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GBPCAD: Bearish FVG Retracement Setup🔍 Market Context Strong bullish rally from Aug 12 → Aug 14 created an extended push. Price broke down after topping out, showing sellers stepping in. Current price is trading around 1.8686, below the trendline break. 📌 My Sell Idea I’m waiting for price to retrace back into the bearish FVG around 1.8700–1.8710 before looking for continuation lower. This makes sense because: The FVG is still unfilled. Market momentum has shifted bearish. The level aligns with structure, making it a clean rejection zone. ✅ Strength of Your Setup FVG retracement zone above price (1.8700–1.8710). Momentum shift after strong bearish candles. Clear downside target around 1.8635 (previous demand/liquidity). Solid R:R: SL above the FVG, TP at next support. ⚠️ Things to Watch If price pushes too far above the FVG, the idea weakens. London/NY session volatility may cause a fake-out wick into supply before dropping. If price drops without retrace, don’t chase — wait for the next setup. 🎯 Execution Plan Sell Entry: 1.8700–1.8710 SL: 1.8720–1.8730 (above supply) TP1: 1.8660 TP2: 1.8635 👑 Professional Take This is a clean FVG retracement play. This is a strong, simple play. The key is patience: let the market come to Us. If it doesn’t retrace, I'll simply miss the trade.
Short
by J4mesWick
Gold 1H | ICT SMC Analysis (OB + FVG Roadmap)This analysis is based on ICT / Smart Money Concepts. •Key Order Blocks ( OB ) and Fair Value Gaps ( FVG ) highlighted. •Current price is testing a bullish OB on the 1H timeframe after a CHoCH . • Possible scenarios: 1. Bullish case → if demand (green OB) holds, price may target 3,390 – 3,410 (upper OB). 2. Bearish case → failure to hold may drive price towards 3,280 – 3,300 demand zone. Methodology : ICT / SMC ⚠️ This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SilentScalpers
Bitcoin – Momentum Turns Bearish After Topside SweepBitcoin has just completed a clean sweep of the old all-time high, which served as a major liquidity grab. This move has cleared out buy-side liquidity at the very top, creating the perfect environment for a shift in momentum. Price action shows a clear rejection after the sweep, suggesting that the market may now be poised to reach for sell-side liquidity. Inversion Structure and CISD On the 4H timeframe, we have a well-defined inversion fair value gap forming immediately after the high was taken. This aligns with the CISD concept, as the liquidity sweep at the top acted as inducement before a sharp displacement to the downside. The CISD level has already been retested, confirming the shift in structure and reducing the likelihood of another deep revisit before the next leg down. Bearish Pathway From here, price could either continue to slide directly or first pull back into a nearby imbalance before continuing lower. Both scenarios favor the downside, as the order flow remains bearish after the displacement. A further push down is likely to aim for sell-side liquidity resting below the recent swing low. Key Downside Objective The primary target sits at the confluence of a marked liquidity pool and a lower fair value gap. This is a high-probability area for price to react, as it combines the sweep of the recent low with a fill of unmitigated inefficiency. Once that zone is reached, we can reassess for potential reversals or continuation patterns. Expectation The market has already shown its intent by taking the highest liquidity first, shifting structure, and respecting the CISD framework. Unless the upside imbalance is filled in a deeper retrace, the path of least resistance remains lower toward the highlighted fair value gap. Conclusion With liquidity above already cleared and the CISD retested, the focus now shifts to the liquidity resting below. The alignment between structure, inefficiency, and liquidity targets supports a bearish continuation into the marked zone before any meaningful bounce. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
51
Gold Futures – Waiting for the Flush Before the Long (Asian KillMarket Context: Gold is sitting right inside a confluence zone — overlapping Daily + H4 Fair Value Gaps at 3,375–3,380. This zone also aligns with the lower boundary of last week’s range (W-L at 3,397). What I’m Watching: Going into the Asian Killzone, I’m looking for an impulsive spike down into this FVG. This move would ideally push below 3,375, tag liquidity, and create DOM excess — the kind of aggressive selling that often marks exhaustion before reversal. ADX is above 25 and rising, signaling momentum is strong — but we’re at a potential pivot level. Bullish Setup Criteria: Flush down into 3,375 or slightly below. DOM excess showing absorption (stuck sellers). Strong rejection candle (M1/M5) followed by bullish follow-through. Targets if Triggered: T1: 3,397 (Weekly Low) T2: 3,423 (Daily High) Stretch: 3,451 (Monthly High) Invalidation: 1H close below 3,375 without immediate reclaim. Summary: Patience is key. I want to see sellers press in during Asia, fail to break down with continuation, and then get run over on a squeeze higher. If we get the right reaction, this could be the start of a strong move into Weekend.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
BTC | Swing Plan UpdatePrice failed to break out above 1D supply and sharply rejected, losing key 4H demand at $117,300. HTF demand at $109,000 (1D FVG + BOS + S/R) is the next major area of interest—this is where I’ll look for fresh swing setups if the market flushes further. No need to rush new positions until a clean setup prints or levels are reclaimed. Plan: Wait for price to test $109,000 zone before considering a swing long. Only consider LTF scalp longs if we reclaim the 4H BOS at $118,300. Stay flat until high-probability entry, let the market show its hand.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
"BTC at Critical Reversal Zone – Watch This Key Liquidity Trap "BTC at Critical Reversal Zone – Watch This Key Liquidity Trap 🎯" Market Structure Overview BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS points indicate shifts in trend phases, first to the downside (end of July to early August) and then back to the upside. BOL (Break of Low): This marked a key liquidity grab before the reversal rally began. Liquidity Zones: The chart highlights both sell-side liquidity (below lows) and buy-side liquidity (above highs), showing where institutional traders hunt stops. 2. Key Supply & Demand Zones Support Zone (112,500 – 114,500): This level acted as a demand base after the liquidity sweep in early August. Price reacted strongly here, triggering the bullish leg. Previous Resistance (121,500 – 122,500): This zone has capped price multiple times, making it a critical area for sellers to defend. 3. Current Trade Setup Entry Zone: Around 120,000 – 120,400, where a short setup is triggered upon rejection. Stop Loss: Above 122,120, just beyond the resistance to avoid premature stop-outs. Target: 116,500 – aligning with prior liquidity pools and structural support. 4. Educational Takeaways Liquidity Hunts: Notice how price often spikes into liquidity pools before reversing—this is common in BTC’s volatile environment. Confluence Trading: The short setup aligns with resistance retest + liquidity grab + BOS, increasing probability. Risk Management: Using defined zones for stop loss and target helps maintain a favorable risk/reward ratio. Summary: BTC is currently respecting the higher-timeframe resistance zone, with a clear short-term bearish setup in play. A rejection from the entry zone could trigger a drop toward the 116,500 target. Traders should monitor price action closely and avoid chasing entries—patience and precision are key.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
EURUSD – Climbing for Liquidity, Then What?EURUSD continues to move within a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. After the recent rejection from the lower boundary, price found support inside a fair value gap, triggering a strong bullish reaction. This bounce has maintained the overall bullish structure, keeping the uptrend intact for now. Fair Value Gap Retest The fair value gap retest provided a clean entry for buyers, confirming demand at that level. This reaction reinforced the idea that liquidity was likely collected from the lows, giving the market fuel to push higher toward key resistance levels. Short-Term Bullish Path From here, price is approaching a major liquidity area above recent highs. This level may act as a magnet, drawing price upward for a sweep of buy-side liquidity. A continuation beyond that could result in a direct test of the upper trendline. Potential Bearish Reversal Setup If the upper boundary of the channel is reached, the reaction there will be critical. A sharp rejection from that area could trigger a deeper retracement, potentially driving price back toward the mid-range or even retesting the lower trendline. A liquidity sweep followed by bearish displacement would confirm this shift. Key Scenarios Ahead There are two primary outcomes to watch. First, price could sweep the current high and reverse lower, respecting the channel structure. Second, price could break through, reach the upper trendline, and then roll over for a larger corrective move. In both cases, the reaction after liquidity is taken will define the next directional leg. Conclusion At this stage, EURUSD is in a controlled uptrend, but the next high-probability move depends on how price behaves around the key liquidity level above. The plan is to monitor for either a sweep and rejection or a push to the upper trendline for a potential reversal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
47
Bitcoin – The Last Stop Before the DropMarket Overview Price action on the daily chart has shown a decisive move into a key rejection block after taking out recent liquidity. This is a classic sign of exhaustion in the current move, suggesting that momentum may now begin to shift in the opposite direction. The daily close reinforced this idea, showing a clear respect for higher-timeframe resistance levels. Rejection Block Context The 4H and daily rejection blocks have aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where sellers have stepped in before. Price did not just test this area, it closed within it, which often indicates a high probability of reversal. This setup builds confidence that the market could be preparing for a retracement. Liquidity Sweep Confirmation Before the rejection occurred, price ran through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs. This liquidity grab often acts as the fuel for a reversal, as it traps late buyers and allows larger players to shift price in the opposite direction. Fair Value Gap Target Below current price, there remains an unfilled gap which is the final gap inside the current run. Historical price behavior shows that such gaps tend to get filled before a fresh move can develop. This unfilled zone provides a clear downside target. Bearish Scenario If the rejection holds, I expect price to work its way lower toward the 110k range, filling that remaining gap before any sustained bullish move can resume. Conclusion With liquidity taken, a clean rejection from higher-timeframe resistance, and an untouched gap below, the chart is aligning for a potential retracement. I am watching for continued weakness to confirm the move toward the 110k region. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
83
EURUSD - Bullish fair value gap and fibonacci support!At the end of July, EUR/USD experienced a sharp and decisive move to the downside, signaling a strong bearish momentum in the market. Following this decline, the pair began to recover, steadily climbing and partially filling the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). After tapping into the 4-hour FVG, price action has entered a corrective phase, moving lower towards a confluence of bullish levels. This area is defined by both the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, which align perfectly with the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement tool, a high-probability zone often watched by traders for potential reversals. Bullish Support The key bullish support zone sits around the 1.158 to 1.160 range. This area holds significant importance because it combines two strong technical factors: the 1-hour and 4-hour FVGs, as well as the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement. The overlap of these technical elements often acts as a magnet for price and can create a strong foundation for a bullish reaction. If the market respects this zone, we could see EUR/USD push higher in the short term, as traders capitalize on the support to drive price towards higher resistance areas. Bearish Resistance On the upside, the main bearish resistance zone lies between 1.170 and 1.174. This area represents the final portion of the unfilled bearish 4-hour FVG and could act as a significant barrier for further bullish progress. If price returns to this level, the strong supply pressure could result in a sweep of recent highs, fully filling the 4-hour FVG before potentially resuming the downward trend. This scenario aligns with the idea that sellers may re-enter the market aggressively once this resistance zone is tested. Final Thoughts Given the current market structure, my expectation is that the bullish support zone around 1.158 to 1.160 will hold, providing a potential launchpad for price to revisit and possibly complete the filling of the bearish 4-hour FVG near 1.174. However, if the market breaks decisively below the 1-hour FVG, it could indicate a shift in sentiment, opening the door for a bearish continuation and deeper downside targets. The coming sessions will be critical in determining whether EUR/USD can maintain bullish momentum or if sellers will regain control. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
71
"Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money "Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money is Watching!" Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with: BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance. Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries. Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels. The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target. Key technical levels: Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area) Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance Market Sentiment: The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone. 📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350 💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
1
XLM Price holding multi-TF Bull FVGCRYPTOCAP:XLM is trading inside a multi-timeframe Bullish FVG cluster (0.40 – 0.4368) with confluence from 1W, 1D, and 4H charts. Price is holding above POI that previously triggered bullish continuation. Bullish scenario (#long): Accumulate within 0.42 – 0.41 zone. Breakout above 4H Sell FVG (0.44 – 0.46) confirms upside momentum. Progressive take-profits: 0.5206 → 0.5606 → 0.6081 → final at 0.6374. Bearish scenario / Invalidation: Breakdown and close below 0.41 shifts bias to bearish, opening path to deeper retrace toward 0.36 and potentially re-testing lower 1W Bull FVG levels. Trading plan: Entry: 50% at 0.42, 50% at 0.41. Stop Loss: Below 0.41. Take Profits: As per targets above. Bias: Bullish while price remains above 0.41.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
BTCUSD – Bearish Retracement Towards Key Liquidity Zone📊 BTCUSD – Bearish Retracement Towards Key Liquidity Zone BTCUSD is currently trading near 116,425, showing signs of a potential bearish retracement after testing the previous resistance zone around 117,000–119,000. The chart structure highlights multiple Break of Structure (BOS) points, confirming shifts in market sentiment. Technical Breakdown Previous Resistance Rejection Price failed to hold above the 117,000 mark, indicating strong selling pressure from the prior supply zone. The rejection aligns with a liquidity grab above the recent highs, suggesting smart money distribution. Liquidity & Fair Value Gaps There’s a visible Liquidity/Fair Value Gap from the late July rally, which may now act as a magnet for price. The market tends to fill these inefficiencies before deciding the next major trend move. Target & Support Zone The next key support and liquidity pool rests between 113,500 – 114,000, highlighted as the target zone. This area has confluence with previous accumulation phases, making it a probable point for a bullish reaction if tested. Volume Profile Context Volume nodes indicate heavier trading activity below current levels, suggesting that a drop towards 114,000 could be met with increased buyer interest. Market Outlook Primary Bias: Short-term bearish retracement. Immediate Target: 114,000 liquidity zone. Invalidation: A daily close above 117,500 may shift sentiment back to bullish, opening the path toward 119,000–121,000. Trading Insight: Aggressive traders may look for short setups below 116,500, targeting 114,000. Conservative traders may wait for price to tap into the support/target zone for potential long opportunities with tight risk management.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
XAUUSD Bearish SMC Analysis – Institutional RejectionXAUUSD Bearish SMC Analysis – Institutional Rejection from Supply Zone Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a clear bearish structure after rejecting a major supply zone at premium pricing. This setup is aligned with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and reflects how institutions manipulate liquidity and order flow before major price moves. 🔍 Market Structure Context: The market had been trending upward with higher highs and higher lows, until it approached a key premium supply zone near $3,420. At this level, price stalled, creating internal Equal Highs (liquidity) — a common trap used by institutions to grab orders before reversing. 🔄 Change of Character (CHoCH): A clear CHoCH was printed when price broke below the most recent higher low, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish structure. This change marked the first early signal that institutional order flow has flipped bearish, and distribution is underway. 📉 Break of Structure (BOS): Following the CHoCH, the market confirmed intent with a clean BOS to the downside. This structural break confirms bearish control and validates short bias. 🧲 Liquidity Engineering: Equal Highs were swept at the top, indicating a liquidity grab before institutions drove price downward. This move traps breakout buyers and provides large players with sell-side execution at premium pricing. 🧱 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Supply Zone Mitigation: After BOS, price retraced into a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the origin of the supply zone, offering a high-probability entry. The rejection from this zone showed imbalance was respected and no bullish continuation existed — further validating the short setup. 🔍 Confluences for the Bearish Bias: Confluence Confirmation CHoCH Structure flipped bearish BOS Bearish continuation confirmed Liquidity Sweep Equal highs taken FVG Retest Smart Money re-entry signal Supply Zone Mitigation Institutional reaction confirmed 📘 Educational Summary: This setup exemplifies a complete Smart Money bearish reversal model: Premium pricing ✅ Liquidity taken ✅ Structure flipped (CHoCH + BOS) ✅ Supply & FVG respected ✅ It reflects how institutions build positions quietly, using engineered liquidity to trap retail traders, and then drive price with high-volume imbalance moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
"BTCUSD Technical Outlook: Support Holds, Bulls Aim for $117K""BTCUSD Technical Outlook: Support Holds, Bulls Aim for $117K" Market Structure Overview BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS points indicate strong shifts in market direction, confirming both bullish and bearish trends across different zones. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): This zone, marked after a BOS on July 23–24, acted as a rejection area, initiating a sharp sell-off — a classic bearish imbalance fill and reversal. Equal Lows & Sell-side Liquidity: This area attracted liquidity grabs, as smart money hunts resting stop losses below these equal lows before reversing direction. 🔸 Key Supply & Demand Zones Previous Resistance Zone (~118,000 - 120,000): Price rejected this area after filling the imbalance, confirming it as a strong supply zone. Support Zone (~112,000 - 113,000): Currently acting as a high-probability demand zone. Liquidity accumulation here suggests a possible bullish reversal. 📉 Liquidity Zones Sell-side Liquidity Sweep: Price dipped below equal lows to collect liquidity, often a signal of institutional accumulation. Liquidity/Fair Value Zone (~116,000): Acts as a magnet for price, offering potential retracement targets before any major trend continuation. 📈 Forecast & Target Current Price: $114,061 Short-term Target: $117,546 — aligning with previous FVG imbalance and liquidity zone. Bias: Bullish Reversal expected from support zone toward the previous inefficiency and resistance levels. 🎓 Educational Takeaways BOS Confirmation is critical in validating trend shifts and structure breaks. FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) highlight inefficiencies and offer high-probability reversal or continuation zones. Liquidity Sweeps near equal lows/highs often precede smart money moves — useful for spotting entries and exits. Volume Profile (left side) suggests higher activity zones — these areas often align with major turning points. ✅ Conclusion BTCUSD has swept liquidity below support and is showing signs of reversal. If the bullish pressure holds above $113,000, a move toward the $117,500 zone is likely, targeting previously unfilled imbalance and trapped liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
US100 - Bullish trajectory to fill the inbalance zones!Over the past week, the US Tech 100 (US100) experienced a sharp decline, dropping into a significant support zone. During this bearish move, several fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on both the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, which remain unfilled. Currently, price action is retracing upward, aiming to fill these imbalances. The structure of the market suggests that both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play, depending on how price reacts to key levels marked by these FVGs and Fibonacci retracement zones. Bearish Resistance The first major area of resistance is located around the $23,160 level, which has just been tapped. This zone presents a strong potential turning point due to the confluence of a 1-hour and a 4-hour fair value gap, which perfectly align with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden pocket. This cluster of technical signals increases the probability that this level will act as a strong supply zone, potentially initiating a rejection back toward the lower support area. Bullish Support On the downside, a key level to watch is around $22,900. This zone marks a 4-hour FVG that was formed during the recent upward move. Importantly, this area also coincides with the golden pocket from that very same leg up, offering a compelling confluence for bullish support. If price revisits this level, it may act as a strong demand zone, providing a springboard for the next leg higher, particularly if buyers step in aggressively to defend it. Bullish Trajectory If support at $22,900 holds, the bullish trajectory suggests a possible continuation toward the $23,400 region. This upper target contains a large overlapping 1-hour and 4-hour FVG that remains unfilled. Historically, price tends to revisit and fill such imbalances before choosing a definitive direction. A bounce from the lower support zone and a successful break of the $23,160 resistance could pave the way for a clean move toward this higher target, completing the FVG fill sequence. Final Thoughts The US100 is currently navigating a key technical crossroads. With multiple unfilled fair value gaps and well-aligned Fibonacci levels on both the upside and downside, the next few sessions will be critical in determining short-term direction. If the $23,160 resistance continues to hold, a pullback to $22,900 could offer a high-probability long setup, while a clean break above this resistance opens the door to filling the higher FVGs. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Youriverse
45
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/08/2025The Judas Swing strategy kicked off the new week with two solid setups on Monday, this time on OANDA:AUDUSD and FX:EURUSD While both played out beautifully from a structure and liquidity perspective, let’s walk through the reasoning behind each trade and how they unfolded The first setup of the day formed on EURUSD during the early part of the New York session. Price had been ranging during the London hours, setting clear highs and lows. Just as expected, NY brought the liquidity sweep a sharp push above the range high, baiting breakout buyers and triggering stops. That was our cue. Once the sweep completed, we watched closely for the break of structure to confirm the reversal. It came swiftly, followed by a retrace into the freshly formed Fair Value Gap the same confluence we wait for every time. As price tapped into the imbalance and printed a bearish close, we executed the short. Risk: 1%. Target: 2R. Price moved cleanly in our direction, offering little drawdown and ultimately hitting our target in due time. A disciplined start to the week with a solid +2% gain. Not long after we entered the FX:EURUSD position, OANDA:AUDUSD served up a nearly identical setup. Once again, we had a clear range established during the Judas Swing sessions. Then came the sweep price spiked above the range high, taking out buy-side liquidity before quickly reversing. We marked our structure break and noted the FVG left behind. Just like before, we waited for the retrace no chasing. Price pulled back, tapped the imbalance, and gave us a strong bearish entry signal. We entered short with the same parameters: 1% risk, aiming for a 2R return. The market delivered. The trade ran smoothly to target, netting our second +2% win of the day.
by CleoFinance
EURUSD Bearish Market Structure Unfolding – Liquidity Grab BelowEURUSD Bearish Market Structure Unfolding – Liquidity Grab Below Support Expected" 🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown: 🔺 Resistance Zone (1.17500 - 1.18500) Labelled “Strong High”, this is a high-supply zone where price previously reversed. Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) confirm this as a strong bearish supply area. Any retracement toward this level could be ideal for short entries. 🟩 Fair Value Gap (FVG) This imbalance area previously served as a magnet for price before it broke down. Price failed to hold inside the FVG, reinforcing bearish sentiment. 🔻 Support Zone (1.13500 - 1.14000) Marked as a "Weak Low", suggesting this level is likely to be taken out in a liquidity sweep. Price is expected to retest and potentially break below this zone in the near term. 📉 Current Price Action Recent CHoCH (Bearish) confirms shift in structure. Price has made a corrective pullback and seems poised for another leg down. Highlighted grey zone suggests price may retrace slightly higher before continuing its bearish move. 🎯 Bias: Bearish Expecting downside continuation toward 1.13500 support, targeting liquidity below. Traders may wait for rejection signals on lower timeframes around the minor pullback zone before executing shorts. 📚 Educational Notes: CHoCH indicates a shift in market sentiment (from bullish to bearish). FVG often acts as a magnet but if not respected, confirms momentum in the opposite direction. Support/Resistance zones are used to determine institutional activity zones.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
1
XAUUSD Chart Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Based🔍 XAUUSD Chart Analysis – Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Based 1. Market Structure Overview: The chart clearly shows a bullish market structure forming after a sequence of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) events. The market has consistently made Higher Lows, indicating strength from the bulls and institutional order flow to the upside. 2. Key Zones Identified: ✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Around $3,260–$3,280, this level has been respected multiple times. It is marked with BOS, CHoCH, and a Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) indicating institutional accumulation and unfilled orders. The area also contains a Weak Low, which gives price a reason to stay above if bullish sentiment continues. ❌ Strong Resistance Zone (Supply Area): Around $3,420–$3,460, this area shows signs of Level Rejection and is labeled with Buy-Side Liquidity. This is where price previously reversed after grabbing liquidity—indicating distribution and possible shorting interest from smart money. 3. Liquidity Zones: Buy-Side Liquidity: Above recent swing highs near $3,420–$3,440. Price tapped this level and sharply rejected. Sell-Side Liquidity (Target Area): Currently aiming for the zone around $3,350, which aligns with a recent imbalance (FVG) and a clean liquidity pool below short-term higher lows. 4. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): A Bullish FVG is seen mid-chart, where price was rapidly driven up, leaving a gap—price later returned to this zone, respected it, and pushed higher again. This is a strong sign of institutional entry and provides excellent long entries. 5. Trend Confirmation: BOS + CHoCH + Higher Lows = Bullish Bias. Each low is forming higher than the previous, with strong rejections from demand zones. 6. Entry & Target Insight: Entry Point: After price reacted from support and printed another Higher Low. Target: Currently price is targeting $3,350 (short-term retracement or pullback target). This target is likely an internal liquidity sweep before potential continuation to retest the resistance zone again. 7. Educational Takeaways: Market Structure is King: Observe BOS/CHoCH for directional bias. Liquidity Matters: Understand where liquidity is resting—price seeks it. FVG as Entry Tool: Fair Value Gaps provide high-probability trade setups when aligned with structure. Patience at Key Zones: Wait for confirmations at resistance/support rather than impulsive trades. ✅ Summary: Bias: Bullish, until structure breaks. Short-Term Target: $3,350 (as per the chart). Long-Term View: If price maintains higher lows, potential revisit to the resistance zone ($3,420–$3,460) is likely. Invalidation Level: Break and close below strong support ($3,260) would shift bias.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
Gold 15-Min Breakout: Eyes on M30 Supply Zone & FVG RetestPrice is currently approaching a key M30 Supply Zone after a strong bullish impulse from the ascending trendline support. 🔹 Key Observations: The price broke above a previous short-term resistance zone and is now retesting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) area marked in pink. The 200 EMA acted as dynamic support, further fueling bullish momentum. Structure shows a series of higher lows, confirming buyers in control on intraday timeframes. 🔹 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation: If the price respects the FVG as demand and forms bullish confirmation, continuation toward the M30 Supply Zone and the 3,399–3,400 region is likely. ⚠️ Pullback Risk: A deeper retracement below FVG could retest the trendline or the 3,371 support near the 200 EMA before any further upside. 🔹 Trade Plan: Watching for price action reaction inside the FVG. A clean rejection could offer entries targeting the upper supply zone.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
IS DOGE Losing Steam or Gearing Up? Pro-Level Market Structure IS DOGE Losing Steam or Gearing Up? Pro-Level Market Structure 📊 Technical & Trend Analysis Current Price & Structure: DOGE is trading around $0.2058 and has recently fallen below both the ascending trendline since late June and the 50‑day EMA (~$0.20), signaling weakening momentum Resistance & Support Levels: Major Resistance: ~$0.21–$0.212 — price has repeatedly failed at this zone, forming a possible bearish flag or resistance trap X (formerly Twitter) +15 Mitrade +15 Cryptonary +15 . Support Zones: Key levels around $0.196 and $0.18, breach of these may open path to $0.15 or lower short-term Mitrade . Trading Sentiment & Derivatives: Rising short interest and negative funding rates in futures suggest growing bearish sentiment among traders. Long-short ratio is near 0.86—indicating more shorts than longs Binance +1 . 🎓 Technical Setup Summary (Educational Breakdown) Chart Pattern: Potential bearish continuation forming with flag or descending consolidation after breakdown. Momentum Indicators: Weak RSI and MACD below zero typically align with this structure—though check live chart from platforms like TradingView or Investing.com Investing.com . Trade Selection Approach: Short Trade Setup: Wait for confirmation below $0.196 to test trend continuation toward $0.18 or $0.15. Stop-loss above $0.202–$0.205. Long Trade Setup: If DOGE reclaims $0.21 with volume and breaks above the broken trendline + 50‑day EMA, potential rebound toward ~$0.225 or higher. Stop-loss below $0.20. 🔮 Forecast & Outlook Short-Term: Likely consolidation or correction toward $0.18 unless bullish momentum resumes. Analysts eye potential targets around $0.199–0.215 in early August, rising maybe toward $0.232 by mid-August if sentiment snaps back Binance +2 Indiatimes +2 Indiatimes . Medium to Long-Term: Some speculative projections place DOGE near $1 by year-end, driven by hype cycles, meme coin revival, celebrity tweets, and ETF optimism. That being said, DOGE’s unlimited supply makes $1 an aggressive target requiring massive capital inflow Crypto News +5 Wikipedia +5 Indiatimes +5 . ✅ Key Takeaways for Traders & Learners Concept Insight Support/Resistance $0.196–$0.18 = bearish supports; $0.21 = strong resistance zone Trendline & EMA Breaking below trendline/50‑day EMA signals weakening structure Volume & Funding Increasing shorts and low funding rates hint at bearish pressure Risk Management Use proper stop-loss zones ($0.196 for shorts, $0.20 for longs) Catalysts to Watch Whale accumulation, meme hype, ETF news, celebrity endorsements 🚨 Risks & Important Considerations Volatility & Pump Risks: MEME coins like DOGE are susceptible to pump-and-dump dynamics and social-media driven surges or dumps Indiatimes Binance +1 . Inflationary Drag: Without a supply cap, DOGE’s price is diluted by thousands of coins mined daily, limiting long-term upward momentum unless demand rises significantly. Macro Events: Broader economic shocks—such as U.S. tariffs or regulation changes—can rapidly swing sentiment across crypto markets. Recent U.S. tariffs pulled DOGE down ~8% with Bitcoin and Ethereum Wikipedia . 🧭 Final Summary Current Bias: Slightly bearish-to-neutral—downward pressure from technical breakdowns. Watch Closely: $0.196 support and $0.21–$0.212 resistance; reclaiming one of these defines short-term bias. Strategy: Consider short plays below $0.196 toward $0.18. Consider long plays only after strong breakout above $0.21–$0.212. Always apply strict risk controls. —
Short
by Mentor_Michael03