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EURUSD - Major resistance ahead with the fair value gaps!The EUR/USD pair remains firmly within a prevailing downtrend, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This bearish momentum has resulted in the formation of several significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the 4-hour chart, which now act as potential resistance zones on any pullbacks. These FVGs not only coincide with important technical structures, but also align with key Fibonacci retracement levels, adding confluence to their strength. In the analysis below, we’ll walk through these zones and discuss the most probable scenarios based on the current price action. First resistance zone The first major resistance lies within the 4-hour FVG in the 1.1600 to 1.1650 region. This zone coincides with the golden pocket, which is formed between the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. This overlap strengthens the likelihood of price reacting bearishly here, should the market manage to retrace upwards into this area. Given the strong downward momentum, this level may be enough to trigger a continuation to the downside, making it a critical area to monitor for rejection signals. Second resistance zone The second key resistance is found in the upper 4-hour FVG, ranging from 1.1690 to 1.1750. This zone aligns closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and marks a former support zone that has now been broken, indicating a potential structure break. Price returning to this level would be retesting the underside of broken market structure, which often acts as a powerful resistance area. Given this, a deeper pullback into this region may serve as a trap for late buyers and potentially offer a high-probability short setup. Bullish bounce area On the bullish side, the most relevant support is currently found within the 1-hour FVG that was formed last Friday, during the release of the U.S. unemployment rate data. This zone is positioned below current price levels and is likely to act as a strong short-term demand area. It is reasonable to anticipate a bullish reaction from this zone if the market retraces downward, making it a favorable area to seek long opportunities for a potential move into the higher resistance levels described above. Final thoughts While the broader trend remains bearish, short-term bullish bounces are likely within defined fair value gaps. Traders should keep a close eye on the 1-hour FVG for possible long entries, while watching the 4-hour FVGs, particularly those aligning with key Fibonacci levels, for signs of bearish continuation. If resistance holds firm, the EUR/USD could resume its downtrend, but any structural breaks or sustained closes above these levels would challenge that view. As always, price action around these zones should guide the final decision-making. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
74
Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based)📊 Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based): 🔹 Market Structure: Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals show a bullish shift in momentum, especially after the recent CHoCH followed by BOS at the current price zone. Strong bullish confirmation after reclaiming previous liquidity zones, indicating institutional interest. 🔹 Liquidity and Zones: Buy-Side Liquidity above $3,420 is likely the short-term institutional target. Price has clearly reacted from a strong support block near the $3,260–$3,280 area, confirming demand and institutional accumulation. The highlighted Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligns with a mid-level retracement zone—ideal for potential pullbacks before continuation. 🔹 Key Supply & Demand: Resistance Zone (3,420–3,450): Contains weak highs and unmitigated FVG—prime liquidity zone for a sweep. Strong Demand Zone: Around $3,260 has shown repeated reaction; the base of bullish moves. Imbalance Fill & Rejection Expected in FVG near $3,420. 🔮 Projection & Scenario: Expected pullback toward $3,340–$3,350, followed by bullish continuation. Targeting liquidity sweep at $3,420, aligned with Smart Money accumulation and distribution logic. Monitor for reaction at $3,420 for either a rejection or a clean breakout, confirming further upside. ✅ Conclusion: This setup suggests institutional buy-side pressure with targets on resting liquidity around $3,420. Smart Money is likely driving price toward that level to grab orders before the next big move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Bitcoin - Imbalance Fill Before Liquidity ExpansionBitcoin is trading inside a compressing structure beneath a clean descending trendline. Price action has been choppy but controlled, creating multiple zones of inefficiency that remain unfilled. We’re currently positioned between two major Fair Value Gaps, one above and one below, which gives us a clear roadmap. The broader market context suggests accumulation beneath key resistance, and the chart structure points toward a two-legged play before any breakout. First Target: Upper Imbalance and Liquidity Trap The first objective for price is to reach into the Fair Value Gap sitting just above current levels. This zone overlaps with the trendline and is backed by several wicks and failed breakouts, which likely means liquidity is built up there. Price may push through this area to trigger stop losses and induce breakout buying, only to reverse shortly after. The imbalance makes it an attractive magnet for price and a likely turning point once filled. Retracement Move: Clean-Up Below After sweeping the highs and filling the upper imbalance, price is expected to rotate back down. The area below holds an untouched Fair Value Gap from a previous bullish impulse, now acting as a demand zone. Once the upper inefficiency is filled, the market should drop into this zone to rebalance. This move will also help clear internal liquidity from the structure formed during the short-term rise. Trendline, Inducement, and Execution Layers The descending trendline plays a critical role here. With many traders watching it for a breakout or rejection, it acts as inducement. A false break or a touch just above the trendline may trigger entries in the wrong direction. The optimal move would be for price to react from the upper imbalance, reject at or just above the trendline, then fall into the lower zone, where we look for confirmation of reversal or continuation. Final Expansion: Breakout After Cleanup Once both Fair Value Gaps are filled and internal liquidity is cleared, Bitcoin will be in a clean position to rally. The area above the prior wicks and rejections is likely to hold significant liquidity, and the final move would aim to sweep that. This would complete the full cycle of imbalance fill, liquidity grab, and directional expansion. Price is unlikely to sustain a move higher until both zones have been addressed. Conclusion This setup focuses on efficient price delivery between key imbalances. Expect a short-term push up into the upper FVG and liquidity cluster, followed by a clean rejection into the lower demand zone. Once both sides are filled, Bitcoin should be ready for a real move higher, targeting liquidity above the current range. Let the market complete the cycle before looking for continuation. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
52
Hedera (HBAR) – Pullback Opportunity After 100% RallyHBAR has surged 100% recently. With the broader market entering contraction, we’re now watching for a healthy retracement into key support, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci level and a fair value gap (FVG). This could be the formation of a higher low before continuation. 🔍 Setup Overview: Entry Zone: $0.22 – $0.19 Take Profits: $0.26 / $0.32 / $0.37 Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.18 Bias: Bullish continuation from support 🧠 Trade Idea: Price is approaching a confluence zone of Fib support and unfilled imbalance. As long as daily structure holds above $0.18, the bullish case remains intact. This zone offers an attractive long setup for the next move higher, targeting previous resistance levels. ⚠️ Invalidation: A daily close under $0.18 would break structure and invalidate the setup. Monitor price action and volume confirmation around this support zone for entry timing.
Long
by Richtv_official
Sunday Premarket AnalysisWe will likely hit the 4H FVG not too far above where price left off on Friday. Then head all the way down take July's low and hit the area below that because there is a BIG FAT juicy MONTHLY, WEEKLY && DAILY FVG sitting directly under the July monthly low. We will likely hit all three or maybe just 2 of these FVG's and then head up for super big push, bullish into at least the first week of September. Keep in mind Jackson Hole Symposium is mid month-ish also.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by GeishaDoll
XAUUSD | Weekly Fakeout → Wedge Breakout | Targeting 3508+🔔 Summary: Reclaimed liquidity, broke wedge structure with strength, and printed continuation signs. Expecting bullish move toward 3,508 on higher timeframe if breakout holds. Will reassess if price closes below 3,314 (invalidates short-term momentum). 🔔 Long Version: 📝 Description: 📆 Date: 2nd August 2025 📊 Timeframe: Weekly → Multi-TF Analysis 📈 Bias: Bullish 🧠 Setup: High-volume breakout from descending wedge + weekly fakeout/liquidity sweep. ⸻ 🧱 Structure • Weekly fakeout below trendline rejected with strength • 4H bullish engulfing candle broke through EMA stack and wedge resistance • Price retested previous Fair Value Gap (FVG) and confirmed buyer strength • Strong volume spike and MACD momentum shift confirmed breakout conviction 📊 Indicators • EMAs: Price above 20/50/100/200 on H1 & 4H • MACD: 4H flipping bullish, Weekly still holding green • Volume: Significant bullish breakout candle, multi-timeframe confluence
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ByDaneo
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is: What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure May–June Range: BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C: ✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE) ✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE) Full Bull Market TBFE: ➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected ➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone Pitchfork (log scale): ➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting. Previous Bear Market Fib Extension: ➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit. 2018–2022 Cycle TBFE: ➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped. Macro Fibonacci Channel: ➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) → 1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K. ✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance. Daily Timeframe ➡️ FVG / Imbalance: Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low. BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely. Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting. The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C. ➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K ➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326 ➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup: Entry: $120,300–$121,000 Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300) Target: $113,500 R:R ≈ 1:2.3 🟢 Long Setup: Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000 Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500) Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation. 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools. Here’s why: ➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings. ➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves. ➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone. In short: When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry. That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes. ⚡ Final Thoughts Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
5
XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential from Strong Support Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,291.780, showing a potential bullish reversal setup from the strong support zone after a clear liquidity sweep and market structure shifts. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand) Price is reacting from a major demand zone (Strong Low) between $3,275 – $3,225, a level that previously triggered bullish rallies. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and CHoCH indicate previous bullish control and a possible re-accumulation phase. ✅ CHoCH Near Support A recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around the support area shows the first signs of smart money accumulation. Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, triggering possible bullish intent. ✅ Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) A clear Bullish FVG remains unmitigated around the mid-range, offering target confluence at $3,349.560. Price may aim to rebalance inefficiency and fill the FVG as part of the bullish move. ✅ Resistance Zone Above The resistance area near $3,325 – $3,350 acts as a short-term target for long positions. Further resistance lies at the Buy-Side Liquidity & Weak High zone around $3,450 if momentum sustains. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Interpretation: Liquidity Grab: Price dipped into strong demand to collect sell-side liquidity before potential reversal. CHoCH + BOS Alignment: Indicates the market may now transition into a bullish phase. FVG as Magnet: Price is drawn toward unfilled value zones—ideal for bullish target projection. 🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purposes Only): Bias: Bullish Entry: Around current zone ($3,290) Target: $3,349.560 (FVG zone) Invalidation/SL: Below strong low (~$3,225)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Bearish Momentum Towards Fair Value BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Bearish Momentum Towards Fair Value Gap Bitcoin is showing clear bearish pressure after rejecting from the previous resistance zone around 118,800 – 120,000. The market structure and smart money concepts indicate potential for further downside. 🔍 Key Observations: Previous Resistance Respected: Price failed to break through the strong resistance zone marked near the 119,200–120,000 level, showing strong institutional selling interest. Market Structure Breaks: BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed bearish shift. Price has maintained lower highs and lower lows, signaling a bearish trend. Liquidity/Fair Value Gap Zone: The market is currently targeting the liquidity/FVG zone between 116,400 – 116,100, which aligns with price inefficiency and unfilled orders. Support Zone Ahead: A strong support zone is visible near 115,600 – 115,200. Expect a potential reaction or consolidation here. 📌 Strategy & Bias: Short Bias Active until price reaches 116,116 (target). Watch for possible bullish reversal signs in the support/FVG zone. Ideal for scalp-to-swing short trades, with tight SL above recent EQH. 📚 Educational Notes: Fair Value Gaps (FVG) indicate institutional imbalances and are often revisited by price. CHoCH and BOS are early signals of smart money moves – always monitor them in confluence with volume and zones.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility. Bullish Scenario Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal. Final Thoughts While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
57
US100 (NASDAQ) Analysis – 1H Chart | July 31, 20251. Vertical Bullish Rally Price exploded upward from 23,251 to 23,705 with strong bullish momentum and no meaningful retracement, indicating a short-term overbought scenario. 2. Fresh Supply at 23,705 The current candle shows hesitation just below 23,705.88 — forming a possible short-term top or reaction zone where sellers might step in. 3. Imbalance Zone Below A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) is left between 23,572–23,600 and the yellow highlighted demand zone (23,411) is untested. Price may revisit to fill that imbalance. 4. Projection: Pullback Possible If price fails to break and hold above 23,705, we may see a pullback toward 23,600 → 23,411 before the next move. 5. Key Levels Resistance: 23,705 → 23,992 → 24,278 Support: 23,572 → 23,411 → 23,251 Structure remains bullish unless 23,411 breaks.
FX:NAS100
by TheWallstreetCapital
USD Dollar Index (DXY): Pushing Higher As Forecast!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 30 - Aug1 In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Index In my last USD video, the forecast was for higher prices. Check the related links below to see that video forecast. It played out exactly as analyzed. The +FVG was used to push for higher prices. The FOMC decision to keep the rate unchanged only pushed it further along. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
BONK | Waiting for DemandNo position yet—alerts are set for the FVG and HTF demand zone below. DOGE/BONK still showing relative strength, so patience here is warranted. Plan: Wait for price to tag HTF area of interest (FVG/demand). Look for LTF trigger for a long entry. Prefer clean sweep/reclaim for confirmation. Reasoning: BONK has strong momentum, but entry here is late after an extended run. Letting the setup come to me reduces risk of getting caught in a local top. DOGE/BONK relative strength signals not to rush.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
EURUSD – Will the bullish parallel channel hold?The EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading within a clearly defined bullish parallel channel, as shown on the 4-hour chart. This channel has provided consistent directional structure over recent weeks, with price respecting both its upper resistance and lower support boundaries. At present, the pair is approaching the lower end of this channel, raising the critical question: will it bounce off support and continue the bullish trajectory, or will it decisively break down, opening the door to lower price targets? Bullish parallel channel On the 4-hour timeframe, the EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a bullish parallel channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This price structure suggests sustained upward momentum, with the top of the channel acting as dynamic resistance and the bottom as reliable support. Today, price action is testing the lower boundary of the channel once again. A successful hold at this level could confirm continued bullish structure and open the door for a potential rebound. Bullish scenario In the bullish scenario, the EUR/USD holds its ground at the support region around 1.164, where the lower boundary of the channel intersects with price. For upward continuation, it must overcome the short-term resistance posed by the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.169 and 1.174. A reclaim and close above this zone could signal a shift in short-term momentum and lead to a move back toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, the path upward is not without resistance , price must navigate through potential supply zones and maintain higher lows to preserve the bullish structure. Bearish scenario On the other hand, a break and close below the channel support could indicate a change in market sentiment and invalidate the bullish pattern. In this bearish case, we would expect a structure break confirmation followed by a possible retest of the broken trendline and the 4-hour FVG. If this retest fails to reclaim the trendline, bearish continuation becomes more likely. The next significant area of interest lies around the 1.150 level, where a bullish 4-hour FVG exists. This zone could act as a potential short-term support and serve as a target for the downside move before any meaningful bounce occurs. Final thoughts The EUR/USD pair is currently at a technical crossroads. Traders should watch closely for price behavior around the lower channel boundary to determine whether bullish momentum will resume or whether a bearish breakout will set the tone for deeper retracement. Confirmation, either through a bounce or a breakdown with a retest, will be key in validating the next directional move. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
61
Gold - Eyes on the Final Flush Before ReclaimGold recently dropped after reacting perfectly inside a higher time frame fair value gap. That zone acted as clean supply, offering a precise close within the imbalance and initiating a strong bearish leg. The move confirmed that buyers were overwhelmed at that level, and price began its descent back into a broader consolidation range. Support Cluster and Fibonacci Alignment The current zone being tested holds significant weight. Price has tapped into a clear support region, one that has already caused multiple strong bounces in recent sessions. What adds further confluence is the alignment of this zone with the golden pocket region of the entire upward leg. This kind of technical overlap increases the chances of responsive buying once liquidity is cleared below. Liquidity Target and Inducement Setup Just below current price action, there's a clean low that hasn't been taken out yet. This low acts as the inducement, sitting right above deeper Fibonacci levels, especially the 0.702. If price continues lower in the short term, a sweep of that low into the golden pocket would provide the ideal liquidity grab before a reversal. The market often rewards those who wait for that final flush. Bullish Recovery Path Once the liquidity is taken and price stabilizes at the golden pocket zone, the path is open for a recovery move back into the midrange and potentially higher. The most likely magnet for price after a successful bounce would be the previous resistance zone, which coincides with the 0.5 retracement of the recent drop. That area should act as the next decision point and could either cap the rally or provide the base for a continuation if buyers show strength. What I’m Watching The cleanest scenario would be a sweep of the low just below support, ideally pushing into the lower green box near the 0.702 level, followed by a strong bullish reaction. I’ll be watching for a market structure shift on the lower timeframes at that point to confirm the entry. If that happens, the trade has room to develop back into the prior resistance zone, offering a solid range for intraday or swing setups. Conclusion Gold remains in a broader range for now, but the technicals suggest one more drop to clear late long positions before a recovery. The reaction at the support cluster will be crucial. If bulls step in after the sweep, there’s a high-probability path back toward resistance, with the move likely supported by the golden pocket confluence. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TehThomas
78
BTC Breaks Structure After Liquidity Grab! Massive Move Loading…BTC/USD Technical Analysis – July 25, 2025 Structure Overview: The current BTC/USD price action showcases a classic market structure shift, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), liquidity grabs, and a clear intent to revisit premium pricing zones. The chart follows a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, identifying key supply and demand areas. Key Highlights: 🔹 Break of Structure (BOS): Several BOS events indicate momentum shifts and short-term trend reversals. The most recent BOS near the support zone suggests a potential bullish move after liquidity sweep. 🔹 Sell-Side Liquidity & Equal Lows: BTC swept the Equal Low level near $114,000, triggering Sell-side Liquidity. This liquidity grab is often a manipulative move by institutional players to collect orders before driving price higher. 🔹 Support Zone: The support zone near $114,900–$114,000 is holding strong. Price wicked into this area, collected liquidity, and reacted with bullish intent. 🔹 Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): A Bearish FVG exists around $117,500–$118,000, which may act as short-term resistance. Price could partially fill this gap before resuming direction. 🔹 Target Zone: Projected target lies at $119,637, aligning with the prior resistance zone and offering a high-probability area for price delivery based on the current bullish market structure. 🔹 Volume Profile Support: The volume profile suggests high volume accumulation in the current range, further supporting the possibility of a bullish expansion phase. Forecast Summary: Bias: Bullish (Short-term) Entry Zone: Confirmed after BOS and liquidity sweep near support Target: $119,637 (resistance zone) Invalidation Level: Sustained break below $114,000 ⚠️ Risk Note: A rejection from the Bearish FVG or failure to break above $117,800 may cause a deeper pullback. Monitor reactions around key levels before continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
1
XLM Explodes +132% — Is the Party Over or Just Starting?XLM has been one of the top movers, sweeping the January 2025 swing high at $0.515 before stalling and moving sideways for the past 4 days. Is XLM gearing up for another push toward the highs, or is a correction imminent? Let’s dive into the details. 🧩 Market Structure & Fractal Pattern XLM skyrocketed +132% in just 13 days, mirroring the explosive move seen back in November 2024. If we apply the November fractal, the current price action suggests we could be setting up for an ABC corrective move. 📉 Key Levels & Confluences FVG Zone: ~$0.49–$0.50 — likely to be swept before any major move down. Monthly Support: $0.4142 Key Level / Liquidity Pool: $0.4056 — likely cluster of stop-losses. Anchored VWAP (from $0.2228 start of trend): currently near $0.4056, adding strong confluence. 1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension (ABC projection): If price pushes to ~$0.49 to complete wave B, the projected 1.0 TBFE for wave C lands right on the $0.4056 key level + VWAP, creating a perfect confluence zone. ➡️ Conclusion: The $0.4142–$0.4056 zone is a critical support and liquidity area with multiple confluences lining up. Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup: Entry zone: $0.48–$0.50 (ladder in) Stop-loss: Above $0.5166 (prior high) Take-profit: $0.4142–$0.4056 zone R:R ≈ 1:3 🟢 Long Setup: Entry zone: $0.4142–$0.4056 (preferably near VWAP) Stop-loss: Below $0.395 Take-profit: $0.44 ⚡ Final Thoughts Watch for a potential final push toward $0.49–$0.50 before a corrective wave unfolds. The confluence at the $0.4142–$0.4056 zone — including monthly/weekly levels, VWAP, liquidity pool, and the 1.0 TBFE target — makes it a key area for decision-making. Stay patient and wait for confirmation at these levels. Will post an update as things unfold! _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
7
DOGE – HTF Plan & Spot Reload ZoneSpot Position & Realized Profit: Spot position held from the $0.19 sweep. Previous long from demand taken and partially realized at $0.26, de-risking the core position. Current Structure: After reaching resistance ($0.26–$0.27 zone), price is retracing. Daily demand/support sits around $0.20–$0.21, with multiple confluences for spot re-accumulation. Immediate Plan: Waiting for price to revisit daily demand ($0.20–$0.21) to reload spot and/or open fresh longs. Watching for a possible lower timeframe (1H) bullish confirmation (e.g., 1H change of structure/1H CSD) as a trigger for a tactical long before daily demand is tagged. LTF Play: If price prints a 1H CSD, a quick long up to daily imbalance ($0.24–$0.25) can be considered. Invalidation: Loss of daily demand ($0.188) would invalidate the bullish scenario and require re-evaluation. Upside Target: If demand holds, looking for moves back into daily supply/imbalance, with ultimate HTF targets at $0.26, $0.32, and higher. Reasoning: The core plan is to build spot exposure at strong demand after de-risking on the first move up. The context is that DOGE has shown willingness to bounce at major demand, and with realized profits in the pocket, risk can be managed comfortably on new entries. Short-term, LTF confirmation (such as a 1H CSD) can offer a tactical long back into daily imbalance before the main reloading zone is tagged. Patience and precise triggers are key—no need to rush until price action confirms.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
Understanding Market Structure: GBPJPY Trendline Support 📊 GBPJPY Technical Analysis — 15-Min Chart (As of July 24, 2025) Trend Structure & Price Action The chart shows a clear ascending trendline, connecting higher lows across the last sessions. Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) points confirm bullish market behavior, with price consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. The most recent BOS and price rejection from the lower boundary of the cloud band indicate bullish intent is still active. Indicators Used Custom Cloud Band (EMA Based 20, 1.5 settings): Price is oscillating within and around the cloud band. Recent candles are attempting to reclaim the upper band, suggesting building bullish momentum. Volume Profile (VRVP) shows strong volume support around the 198.200–198.500 range, aligning with the trendline. Support & Resistance Support Zone: 198.200 (trendline confluence + volume shelf) Immediate Resistance: 198.800–199.000 Major Resistance: 199.400 (next psychological level and prior high) Forecast & Trade Idea (Educational Purpose) If price continues to respect the ascending trendline and breaks above the recent local high (~198.750), we could see a bullish breakout toward 199.200+. A bullish flag or small consolidation above the trendline before breakout is likely, as illustrated by the arrow. Invalidation occurs if price breaks and closes below the trendline and 198.200, which may trigger a short-term correction. ✅ Conclusion GBPJPY is currently in a bullish market structure with support from both trendline and volume profile. A clean breakout above 198.800 with volume confirmation could fuel continuation toward 199.200 and beyond. Risk management is crucial — watch for false breakouts or a shift in structure below the rising trendline.
Long
by Mentor_Michael03
1
Mastering Buy Side and Sell Side Liquidity - How to trade it!In trading, understanding liquidity is one of the keys to predicting where the market might go next. The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) method teaches traders how to recognize where big players like banks and institutions are likely to enter or exit trades. Two important ideas in ICT trading are buy side liquidity and sell side liquidity. Once you understand what these terms mean and how to spot them on a chart, you can start using them to find better trading opportunities. What will be discussed? - What is Buy Side Liquidity? - What is Sell Side Liquidity? - How do you see Buy and Sell Side Liquidity? - Examples - How to trade BSL and SLL Liquidity? What is Buy Side Liquidity Buy side liquidity is found above market highs. It refers to all the stop loss orders from people who are holding short positions. When the market is going down, some traders sell (or go short) and place their stop losses above recent highs to protect themselves. These stop losses are actually buy orders because closing a short position requires buying. Big institutions know this, so they push price upward to trigger those stop losses and grab that liquidity. That’s why you’ll often see the market spike above a recent high before reversing. That spike is the market grabbing buy side liquidity. What is Sell Side Liquidity Sell side liquidity is the opposite. It’s found below recent lows. This is where traders who are buying (going long) place their stop losses. If someone buys a market, they’ll usually put a stop loss just below a previous low. That stop loss is a sell order. Smart money looks at these areas as pools of sell side liquidity. So when the market moves down quickly and breaks a recent low, it’s likely collecting those sell stop orders. After that, you’ll often see a reversal because the liquidity has been taken. How do you see Buy and Sell Side Liquidity? You can spot buy side and sell side liquidity by looking at the chart and identifying recent highs and lows where many traders might have placed stop losses. These are usually obvious swing highs and swing lows. If you look at a chart and see a clean high where price previously reversed, that’s likely where traders are placing stops. That makes it a target for buy side liquidity. Same for a recent low, if it’s a clean level where people might have bought in the past, that low probably holds sell side liquidity. The more obvious the level looks, the more likely it’s full of stops and therefore a liquidity target. Examples How to trade BSL and SLL Liquidity? Trading liquidity means watching for the market to run above a recent high (to take buy side liquidity) or below a recent low (to take sell side liquidity), and then looking for signs of reversal. Once liquidity has been taken, the market often changes direction. When you’re trading the ICT concept of liquidity, the key is not just spotting where liquidity lies, but also knowing when price is likely to reverse after that liquidity has been taken. Reversals don’t happen randomly, they leave clues on the chart. Here’s how you can recognize those signs in a simple way: 1. Market Structure Break This is one of the clearest signs of a reversal. Let’s say the market grabs sell side liquidity by breaking below a recent low. If price then quickly starts moving up and breaks above the last lower high, that’s a break in structure. It shows that sellers are losing control and buyers are stepping in. It’s the first confirmation that the direction might be changing. 2. Rejection Wicks or Strong Candles After price runs into liquidity (above a high or below a low), watch the candlesticks closely. If you see a long wick rejecting the level, or a strong candle in the opposite direction right after the liquidity grab, that’s a clue. It means price went there, collected the orders, and got rejected fast. That rejection shows the market might be reversing. 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Fair value gaps are small “windows” left in price when it moves quickly in one direction. After liquidity is taken and price starts reversing, it often leaves an FVG behind. If price pulls back into that gap and holds, that can be a great entry point. FVGs act like magnets and support zones in ICT. 4. Displacement Displacement is a strong, impulsive move that breaks structure. It usually happens right after liquidity is taken. If price moves very fast in the opposite direction after hitting a liquidity level, that’s a good sign smart money is behind the move and it’s not just random noise. That strong push is a hint that a new trend might be forming. 5. Change in Character (CHOCH) This is a shift in how the market behaves. For example, price might be making lower highs and lower lows (a bearish trend), but after liquidity is taken, it suddenly starts making higher highs and higher lows. That change in character tells you the trend might be reversing. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDEducation
by Youriverse
70
EUR/USD - Bullish parallel channel formation!The EUR/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe, moving steadily within a well-defined ascending parallel channel. Price action has consistently bounced between the lower and upper boundaries of the channel, with each dip finding support at the lower trendline and each rally meeting resistance near the upper trendline. This ongoing pattern suggests a strong and orderly bullish trend as the pair continues to make higher highs and higher lows within the channel. The Market’s Upward Momentum One notable feature of this trend is the recurring formation of 4-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) during each upward leg. These FVGs act as temporary inefficiencies in the price movement, which the market consistently returns to fill before resuming its bullish momentum. As shown in the chart, the EUR/USD has filled multiple FVGs over the past week. Today, the pair once again retraced to fill a newly formed 4H FVG and has since continued its move higher. This repeated behavior reinforces the strength of the uptrend, as the market efficiently corrects itself and then propels further in the direction of the overall trend. Bullish Outlook From a bullish perspective, the key level to watch is the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1766. A confirmed break and hold above this level would signal a strong continuation of the current uptrend. Should the price sustain itself above this level, it could initiate a renewed push toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, potentially targeting levels near 1.1820 and beyond. This scenario would confirm market confidence and open the door for further gains. Bearish Risk On the flip side, the bearish case would involve a false breakout above the 1.1766 resistance level, followed by a sharp rejection and a break below the rising lower trendline of the channel. Such a move would invalidate the current structure and shift the bias to the downside. In that case, the 4-hour FVG located between approximately 1.1710 and 1.1740 will act as a critical support zone. If this area fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper retracement and potentially lead to a more prolonged bearish correction. Final thoughts In summary, the EUR/USD is currently respecting a bullish parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe, with upward moves consistently leaving and then filling 4H FVGs before continuing higher. The 1.1766 level is pivotal, a sustained break above it favors continued bullish momentum, while a rejection and breakdown from the channel could signal a bearish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this key level and the integrity of the ascending channel to anticipate the next significant move. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
47