GBPUSD
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls in ControlMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls in Control
GBP/USD started a fresh increase above 1.3500.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is eyeing more gains above 1.3500.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3530 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD, the pair formed a base above the 1.3390 level. The British Pound started a steady increase above 1.3440 against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.
The pair gained strength above 1.3465 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It even cleared the 1.3500 handle and tested 1.3530. It is now consolidating gains below 1.3530.
The pair is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3446 swing low to the 1.3529 high. It seems like the bulls might aim for more gains. The RSI moved above the 50 level on the GBP/USD chart and the pair could soon aim for an upside break above a key bearish trend line at 1.3530.
An upside break above 1.3530 could send the pair toward 1.3545. Any more gains might open the doors for a test of 1.3620. If there is a downside correction, immediate support is near the 1.3500 level and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The first major support could be near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.3485. The next pivot level sits near 1.3445. If there is a break below 1.3445, the pair could extend the decline. In the stated case, it could drop and test 1.3420. Any more losses might call for a move toward 1.3390.
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GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis - Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis
📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25
Good day, Traders 👋
While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉.
I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades.
Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈
— FRGNT 🔐
FX:GBPUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 01, 2025 GBPUSDThe Bank of England's (BoE) cautious rate cut last month marks a significant divergence from the growing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut borrowing costs at least twice before the end of this year. This, in turn, has been a key factor in the relative strength of the British pound (GBP) against the US dollar and confirms the short-term positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair.
However, the moderate rise in the US dollar (USD) could be an obstacle for the currency pair. Traders are also showing indecision and prefer to wait for important US macroeconomic data, which will be released at the beginning of the new week, to confirm the next stage of the directional movement. Therefore, it would be wise to wait for the continuation of purchases before making new bets on the rise of the GBP/USD pair and positioning for further strengthening.
Market participants are now awaiting the release of the final UK manufacturing PMI to gain some momentum amid low liquidity due to the US Labor Day holiday. Meanwhile, attention will remain focused on the closely watched US employment data to be released on Friday. The popular non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will play a key role in influencing the US dollar's price dynamics and the movement of the GBP/USD pair.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3555, SL 1.3485, TP 1.3665
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal at Multi-Swing High ResistanceBased on H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a multi swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3583, which is a multi swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 1.3673, which s a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.3420, which is a pullback support.
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Bearish reversal forming at resistance zone?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the support, which as as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.3616
1st Support: 1.3208
1st Resistance: 1.3791
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GBP/USD - Support Intact, Bulls Targeting Fresh HighsHi everyone,
As highlighted in our previous idea, we were looking for a pullback into the 1.34400–1.34750 support zone before a renewed push higher toward the 1.36850 resistance level. While the Cable managed to hold support, it lacked the momentum to break above the 1.35300 level.
Looking ahead, we anticipate a renewed attempt this week, with price likely targeting the 1.36850 resistance area. However, a deeper pullback toward 1.33800 before appreciation remains a scenario firmly on our radar.
A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700.
We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead.
Trade safe,
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD: IF This... Then That! Happy September!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
The GBPUSD has been a little more bearish than EURUSD. There was a clear -BOS at the end of July, followed by 2 weekly bullish closes in August. The last two weeks have been ranging, but still in the corrective territory. Price has retraced into Supply, and could potentially drop from these current price levels.
If price continues move higher, closing above the ranging consolidation, then buys are warranted. A Daily bearish BOS will be the key price action I need to see to look for shorts to the relative equal lows.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
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GBPUSD🔸Last week, the pound price reacted to the specified demand range and a good profit was received if the trade was entered
🔹But the long-term trend is still down and the specified red ranges are suitable for entering a sell trade
🔸The 4-hour candle close above 1.35886 invalidates this analysis
🔹The 1.3330 range could be a good target for a sell trade
GBP/USD Bullish Setup – Inverse H&S + EMA Cross | Target 1.3800📈 Technical Outlook
GBP/USD has formed a reverse Head & Shoulders on the 4H chart.
The EMA 50 has crossed above EMA 200 (Golden Cross), signaling bullish momentum.
Key levels:
Support: 1.3460 – 1.3400
Neckline breakout: 1.3580
Targets: 1.3660 → 1.3800
🏦 Fundamentals
Federal Reserve: Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole shifted markets toward expecting rate cuts in September and December, weighing on the USD.
Bank of England: Recently cut rates to 4.0% but remains cautious due to sticky UK inflation (~3.6%), giving GBP relative support.
Institutional sentiment: Goldman Sachs, UBS, and BNP Paribas all see GBP/USD rising toward 1.38–1.40 in coming months.
⚠️ Watch Out
U.S. Data Risks: This week’s U.S. GDP (Aug 28) and Core PCE (Aug 29) are key. Strong surprises could spark short-term USD strength and volatility before the bullish move resumes.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not a trading signal, only my personal idea based on technicals and fundamentals.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Forecast# GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Forecast - August 2025
Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Analysis for Intraday and Swing Trading
Current Price: 1.35033 USD (as of August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4)
24H Change: -0.08%
Market Sentiment: Bullish Bias with Cautious Optimism
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Executive Summary
The GBPUSD pair is currently trading above the critical 1.3500 psychological level, showing resilience after the Bank of England's recent rate cut to 4% in August 2025. The GBP/USD pair gradually crawled back above the 1.3500 barrier on the renewed upside, indicating potential for continued upward momentum despite monetary policy headwinds.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: 1.3450 - 1.3485
Key Resistance: 1.3585 - 1.3620
Psychological Level: 1.3500 (currently above)
---
Market Context & Fundamental Backdrop
Recent Central Bank Actions
At its meeting ending on 6 August 2025, the MPC voted by a majority of 5–4 to reduce Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 4%. This dovish move has created mixed signals for GBP, with the median profile in the August MaPS implied a cumulative 50 basis point reduction in Bank Rate by the end of this year.
Interest Rate Differential Impact
UK Base Rate: 4.00% (recently cut from 4.25%)
Fed Funds Rate: 4.25-4.50% (unchanged)
Rate Differential: Narrowing in favor of USD
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Multi-Methodology Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Pattern Analysis
Current Formation: Doji reversal patterns observed on 4H timeframe
Pattern: Indecision candles near 1.3500 support
Implication: Potential for directional breakout
Confirmation Required: Volume increase on next significant move
2. Elliott Wave Theory Analysis
Wave Structure: Currently in Wave 4 corrective phase
Primary Trend: Bullish impulse from 1.2300 lows
Current Position: Corrective Wave 4 consolidation
Target Wave 5: Projected range 1.3650-1.3750
Invalidation Level: Break below 1.3380
3. Harmonic Pattern Recognition
Active Pattern: Bullish Gartley formation completing
D Point: Target zone 1.3480-1.3520
Fibonacci Levels: 0.786 retracement at 1.3485
Bullish Reversal Zone: 1.3450-1.3500
Target Extensions: 1.3585 (1.27), 1.3650 (1.618)
4. Wyckoff Market Cycle Analysis
Current Phase: Accumulation Phase C (Spring Test)
Background: Institutional accumulation near support
Volume Profile: Decreasing on declines, increasing on rallies
Smart Money: Likely accumulating between 1.3450-1.3520
Next Phase: Markup anticipated above 1.3585
5. W.D. Gann Analysis
Square of 9 Analysis:
Current Position: 1.35033 sits at 144° (important Gann angle)
Support Levels: 1.3472 (135°), 1.3434 (128°)
Resistance Levels: 1.3542 (152°), 1.3580 (160°)
Time Cycles: September 15-20 represents significant time window
Price Squaring: Next major target 1.3689 (169°)
Gann Angles from August Low:
- 1x1 Angle: 1.3520 (primary support)
- 2x1 Angle: 1.3485 (secondary support)
- 1x2 Angle: 1.3585 (resistance)
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis
Cloud Status: Price above Kumo on daily chart
Tenkan-Sen (9): 1.3515 (bullish above)
Kijun-Sen (26): 1.3498 (consolidating)
Senkou Span A: 1.3505 (cloud support)
Senkou Span B: 1.3480 (strong support)
Chikou Span: Above price action (bullish confirmation)
Signal: Bullish bias maintained while above cloud
---
Technical Indicators Analysis
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14-period):
- 4H: 52.3 (neutral, room to rise)
- Daily: 48.7 (approaching oversold relief)
- Weekly: 55.2 (bullish momentum intact)
MACD Analysis:
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GBPUSD turned positive on August 27, 2025, suggesting renewed bullish momentum with the stock continued to rise in of 116 cases over the following month based on historical patterns.
Volatility & Price Action
Bollinger Bands (20, 2):
- Current Position: Middle band test (1.3515)
- Band Width: Contracting (low volatility environment)
- Squeeze Setup: Potential expansion coming
- Direction Bias: Bullish above middle band
VWAP Analysis:
- Daily VWAP: 1.3520 (key pivotal level)
- Weekly VWAP: 1.3485 (major support)
- Volume Profile: High volume node at 1.3500-1.3520
Moving Average Configuration
Short-term (Intraday):
- EMA 21: 1.3518 (immediate resistance)
- SMA 50: 1.3505 (support)
- WMA 13: 1.3525 (dynamic resistance)
Medium-term (Swing):
- EMA 50: 1.3490 (key support)
- SMA 100: 1.3465 (major support)
- EMA 200: 1.3420 (trend support)
---
Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy
Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 4H)
# Bullish Scenario (Primary - 65% Probability)
Entry Strategy:
Long Entry 1: 1.3485-1.3500 (Harmonic D-point)
Long Entry 2: 1.3520-1.3530 (breakout above VWAP)
Stop Loss: 1.3465 (below Wyckoff support)
Take Profit 1: 1.3585 (Gann resistance)
Take Profit 2: 1.3620 (Harmonic target)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (Excellent)
Timeframe Specific Targets:
5M/15M: Quick scalps 1.3500 → 1.3530
30M/1H: Swing to 1.3585
4H: Extended move to 1.3620
# Bearish Scenario (Secondary - 35% Probability)
Entry Strategy:
Short Entry: 1.3465 break (Ichimoku cloud breach)
Stop Loss: 1.3510 (above VWAP)
Take Profit 1: 1.3420 (EMA 200)
Take Profit 2: 1.3380 (Elliott Wave invalidation)
Swing Trading Strategy (4H - Monthly)
# Primary Bullish Wave Count
Long-term Setup (1-3 weeks):
Entry Zone: 1.3480-1.3520 (current accumulation)
Stop Loss: 1.3420 (trend support)
Target 1: 1.3650 (Elliott Wave 5 minimum)
Target 2: 1.3750 (Wave 5 extension)
Target 3: 1.3850 (major resistance confluence)
Monthly Outlook:
- September: Consolidation 1.3450-1.3650
- October: Breakout attempt above 1.3650
- November: Potential test of 1.3750-1.3850
---
Risk Management & Trade Management
Position Sizing Guidelines
Intraday: Maximum 2% risk per trade
Swing: Maximum 3% risk per position
Portfolio Allocation: 5-8% maximum GBPUSD exposure
Dynamic Stop Loss Strategy
1. Initial Stop: Below key support levels
2. Breakeven: Move to entry after 50% target hit
3. Trailing Stop: Use ATR(14) x 2 for swing trades
4. Time Stop: Exit if no progress within 48 hours (intraday)
Bull Trap / Bear Trap Analysis
Potential Bull Trap Warning:
- Watch for fake breakout above 1.3585 with weak volume
- Confirmation needed: Volume > 20-day average
- Invalidation: Immediate reversal below 1.3550
Bear Trap Opportunity:
- Break below 1.3480 with quick recovery above 1.3500
- Entry on reclaim of 1.3500 with strong volume
- Target: 1.3585-1.3620
---
Weekly Trading Calendar & Key Events
Upcoming Market Movers (September 2-6, 2025)
High Impact Events:
Tuesday: UK PMI Final, GDP Monthly
Wednesday: US ADP Employment
Thursday: BoE Officials Speeches
Friday: US Non-Farm Payrolls
Trading Approach:
- Reduce position size 2 hours before high-impact news
- Consider flat positions during NFP release
- Re-enter on confirmed direction post-news
---
Alternative Scenarios & Contingency Plans
Scenario 1: Dovish BoE Surprise (20% Probability)
Trigger: Additional rate cut signals
Expected Move: 1.3500 → 1.3350
Strategy: Short on break of 1.3465, target 1.3380-1.3350
Scenario 2: USD Weakness Theme (25% Probability)
Trigger: Fed dovish pivot or data weakness
Expected Move: 1.3500 → 1.3750
Strategy: Aggressive long on any dip to 1.3480
Scenario 3: Risk-Off Environment (15% Probability)
Trigger: Geopolitical tensions or market crash
Expected Move: Sharp decline to 1.3200-1.3300
Strategy: Full hedging, await oversold bounce
---
Technical Rating Summary
Overall Rating: BULLISH BIAS
1-Week Outlook: BUY (Confirmed by MACD turn positive)
1-Month Outlook: BUY (Elliott Wave structure intact)
Confidence Level: 7/10
Key Catalysts for Bullish Breakout:
1. Sustained break above 1.3585 with volume
2. US economic data disappointment
3. Risk-on sentiment return
4. Technical pattern completion
Bearish Invalidation Levels:
Short-term: 1.3465
Medium-term: 1.3420
Long-term: 1.3380
---
Conclusion & Trading Recommendations
The GBPUSD pair presents a compelling bullish setup despite recent BoE dovishness. Our technical rating for GBPUSD stock is buy today with multiple technical methodologies aligning for potential upside. The convergence of Harmonic patterns, Elliott Wave projections, and Gann analysis suggests a high-probability move toward 1.3585-1.3650 over the coming weeks.
Priority Actions:
1. Immediate: Monitor for entry opportunities in 1.3485-1.3520 zone
2. Short-term: Prepare for breakout above 1.3585
3. Medium-term: Position for Elliott Wave 5 completion at 1.3650-1.3750
Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always implement proper risk management and consider your risk tolerance before trading.
GBP/USD – Bearish Setup (15M)...GBP/USD has shifted into a clear bearish trend after breaking the rising trendline and failing to hold above resistance. Sellers are now fully in control as price trades below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming downside momentum.
🔻 Key Points:
Trendline support is broken → bearish confirmation.
Strong bearish candles show momentum with no sign of reversal yet.
Next support zone lies around 1.1100 – 1.1090, which is the immediate target for sellers.
🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias):
Entry: Below 1.1112 (after breakdown confirmation)
Target (TP): 1.1100 – 1.1090 (support zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1130 resistance
⚖️ Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2 intraday setup
👉 Bias: Bearish until 1.1100 support is tested.
AUGUST TRADE-BY-TRADE RECAPAUGUST TRADE-BY-TRADE RECAP
Strategy: 3% Risk Per Trade | 3RR Target
Model: Full Compounding (Losses & Wins)
Account-Based Logic | All Data Verified | Manual Execution
Here’s a breakdown of one of my August sequences — fully tracked, fully executed, fully compounded. This was a 18 trade model taken during the days across the month using a 3% risk per trade model with a 3RR target, fully respecting system.
Dates + Trade Log
Aug 4 — Win
Aug 5 — Win
Aug 6 — Win
Aug 7 — Win- 1Break even same day.
Aug 8 — Win
5 Wins, No Losses
Aug 11 — Win
Aug 12 — Loss
Aug 13 — Win
7 Wins, 1 Loss
Aug 18 — Win
Aug 20 — Loss → Win (same day)
Aug 21 — Loss
Aug 22 — Loss → Win (same day)
3Wins, 3Loses
Aug 25 — Win
Aug 27— Win
Aug 28— 1Loss
Aug 29— Win
3wins, 1Loss
Final Stats
Total Trades: 18
Wins: 13
Losses: 5
Win Rate: 72.2% win rate
Risk Per Trade: 3%
Target Per Trade: 3RR
Model: Compounding (each trade risks available equity)
Return on Equity: 163.27%
Withdrawals always on the last day of each month.
No shortcuts.
Just structured execution — system-led.
The sequence included both winning streaks and drawdowns, but the rules ensured that losses were manageable and wins were compounded. The key wasn't a high win rate, but the mathematical edge built into every decision.
Key Takeaways:
Losses are capped, ensuring longevity.
Wins are leveraged for geometric growth.
Consistency is built on process, not outcome.
USDSGD – Elliott Wave Breakdown - Big Drop Coming!Every swing has been unfolding with textbook precision - following Elliott Wave structure step by step.
We are now deep into the larger 5-wave decline:
Waves 1, 2, and 3 are already complete.
Price is currently in Wave 4, unfolding as an ABC correction.
Within this correction, we’re finishing wave B, with a final push into wave C expected.
The SELL ZONE is marked at the 38.2–50% retracement area, confluencing with the descending trendline. This is where Wave 4 should end before the downtrend resumes.
Trade idea:
- Once price taps into this reversal zone, we’ll watch lower timeframes for bearish confirmations such as: Break of structure (BOS) / trendline break
- Entry triggers with stops above invalidation
- Targets: 1.247 (600pips), 1.216 (900pips)
Why is the sell zone important?
Wave 4 corrections often retrace into the 38.2–50% region, but rarely go beyond 61.8% without invalidating the wave count. That’s why we focus here - it’s the high-probability turning point.
USDSGD 12H
This next leg will be Wave 5 of the broader move, likely carrying momentum to fresh lows.
Plan your trade. Wait for confirmation. Execute with discipline.
Goodluck and as always, Trade Safe!
GBPUSD – Long Position Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 POST NY 📊 GBPUSD – Long Overview
Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25
🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas:
✅ Daily 50EMA
✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone)
✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled
This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift.
📌 Key Considerations:
Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent
Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in
A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long
🎯 Plan:
Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk.
No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation.
– FRGNT
As per Forecast.
FX:GBPUSD
Indecision and Potential StallingHi Traders!
GBPUSD is telling me indecision right now. When mapping out my trading plan I'm seeing price recently made a higher low on the weekly, dipped into a Daily Order Block, and currently testing the 1.36000 neckline. However, unless GBPUSD closes above 1.35200, retests with continuation, this looks like consolidation. Alerts set, and waiting for some more confirmation right now.
Key levels:
Bullish breakout- Close above 1.35200.
Bearish caution- Break below 1.34600/1.34500.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
LAST SHORT & TRADE OF THE MONTHTook the short after 5M supply held the chain — a rare but high-quality 5M zone.
4H demand also held strong, and price cleared all remaining short-term liquidity.
There was no real reason for lower pricing after that point.
Exited at 3RR.
4H Bias
5M confirmation
15S Entry.
GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis
Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25
🕯️ The previous daily candle closed bullish, and importantly, above the 50EMA.
This signals a shift in short-term daily bias to the upside, indicating that bullish momentum may be building.
📌 A previous bullish daily candle has left behind a 4H Order Block and an imbalance, both sitting within a broader daily POI.
Within this POI, we can identify refined 1H and 15-minute order blocks and voids — key zones to monitor for reaction and structure alignment.
These levels become our points of interest for potential long setups.
🧠 Execution Plan:
No blind entries at the POI.
I’ll be closely watching lower timeframes (M15/M5) for a clean Break of Structure (BOS) or a liquidity sweep followed by bullish confirmation.
If those conditions are met, I’ll look for a long entry, keeping risk tightly managed.
If price fails to hold the POI or shifts bearish, I’ll stay out and wait for clarity.
🎯 Summary:
Bias: Bullish (with confirmation)
Focus: Refined entries from lower timeframe structure shifts
Risk: Capped and only deployed with valid confirmations
Mindset: Patient, mechanical, and reactive to price — not predictions.
FRGNT
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD Q3 W35 D39 Y25 LDN/NY XOVER FORECAST LONG📊 GBPUSD – Potential Long Setup
Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25
🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas:
✅ Daily 50EMA
✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone)
✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled
This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift.
📌 Key Considerations:
Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent
Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in
A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long
🎯 Plan:
Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk.
No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation.
– FRGNT
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD – PCE Data Could Set the Breakout🔹 Market Context
Traders are waiting for the US PCE Price Index today.
Forecasts suggest the data will likely be unchanged from the previous month, which could give the USD slight strength in the short term.
GBPUSD is now trading inside a symmetrical triangle, and PCE may act as the catalyst for the breakout.
🔹 Technical Outlook (H2 Chart)
Support zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 (demand + trendline confluence).
Next key support: 1.3340 – 1.3350.
Resistance zones: 1.3550 – 1.3580 and 1.3660.
Scenarios to Watch:
1️⃣ Bullish Setup
If price holds above 1.3430 – 1.3450 and breaks the triangle resistance →
Targets: 1.3550 – 1.3580, then 1.3660 if momentum continues.
2️⃣ Bearish Setup
If PCE data boosts USD and GBPUSD breaks below 1.3430,
Downside targets: 1.3340, with extension toward 1.3300.
🔹 Trading Plan (reference only)
Buy Zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450
SL: 1.3400
TP: 1.3550 – 1.3580 → 1.3660
Sell Zone: break below 1.3430
SL: 1.3480
TP: 1.3340 → 1.3300
✅ Summary: GBPUSD is at a make-or-break level. The 1.3430 pivot zone is the key to watch ahead of PCE. A bounce from here favors bulls toward 1.3550+, while a breakdown could trigger a deeper move into 1.3340.