GBP/USD Drop: Something Big BrewingGBP/USD is cratering, hitting 1.3550 as weak UK economic data and a soaring dollar dominate. Markets look grim with supports shattered. A liquidity drop could trigger wild swings and wider spreads. Global news adds heat: Trump’s 35% tariff threats on Canada and BRICS nations stir trade war fears, crushing GBP. Stay alert, tighten risk.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD is Nearing the Daily Trend!!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.34100 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Cable looking for a new high with Ending DiagonalCable found some support in the last 24 hours and it looks like we may still see a retest of the high, so apparently this 5th wave is still in progress but unfolding with an ending diagonal with subwave five on the way up to 1.37–1.38, which could be the key resistance for this reversal pattern. So despite some recovery that is happening right now, we still think that the impulse from January is in late stages, which is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI and overlapping price action that clearly suggests that bulls are losing strength up here.
GH
GBPUSD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3409 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3535
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.3347
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/USD still under pressure despite slightly weaker US core CPIThe US dollar, which had gained ground last week, was under a bit of pressure earlier today. And following a mixed inflation report, the greenback spiked before returning to pre-CPI levels. The inflation report hasn’t changed market’s perception about the likely path of interest rates.
US CPI comes in mixed
June’s CPI rose 0.3% MoM and 2.7% YoY—hotter than the prior 2.4% and above the 2.6% consensus. However, core CPI was a touch weaker, rising 0.2% m/m instead of 0.3%, while the y/y rate was 2.9% as expected.
The mixed CPI report means concerns that inflation may persist longer haven’t changed. The Fed may still delay or reduce the scope of any rate cuts, even if a September move is still on the table.
Adding to the dollar’s appeal, President Trump floated steep tariffs—35% on some Canadian goods and up to 30% on imports from Mexico and the EU—if deals aren’t reached by August 1. These protectionist signals and Trump’s expansive fiscal stance could further stoke inflation, supporting the greenback if confidence in US monetary policy holds.
Pound under pressure
Sterling has had a rough start to the week, extending last week’s 1% drop in GBP/USD before rebounding slightly earlier today. The pound's slide follows a run of soft UK economic data, boosting expectations for a Bank of England rate cut—likely in August. On Friday, data confirmed a second consecutive monthly contraction in the UK economy, driven by a worsening manufacturing slump. This has added to speculation that weakening growth and a stronger pound could help ease imported inflation, especially ahead of Wednesday’s UK CPI release.
Technical picture and key data ahead for GBP/USD
GBP/USD has broken below important support zones (1.3630 and 1.3530–1.3550), now turned resistance. It is currently testing the 1.3434 level, aligned with a key trendline. A breakdown here could open the door to deeper losses toward 1.3370 and potentially the low 1.30s.
Two major data points will guide the pair this week:
• UK CPI (July 16): A soft print would likely reinforce rate cut bets.
• US Retail Sales (July 17): After a May decline, a rebound could highlight US resilience and strengthen the dollar further.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
LONG ON GBP/USDGU is currently in its pullback phase of its uptrend.
We have a nice sell side Liquidity sweep being completed at this moment.
Price should now tap into previous demand that broke a high to repeat history and rise again.
Very Nice Setup over 300 pips on the table to the previous high/supply zone.
Pound under pressure ahead of US, UK inflation reportsThe British pound has edged up higher on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3453, up 0.21% on the day. Earlier, GBP/USD touched a low of 1.3416, its lowest level since June 23.
All eyes will be on the UK inflation report for June, which will be released on Wednesday. Headline CPI is expected to remain unchanged at 3.4% y/y, as is core CPI at 3.5%. Monthly, both the headline rates are expected to stay steady at 0.2%.
Has the BoE's battle to lower inflation stalled? The BoE was looking good in March, when inflation eased to 2.6%, but CPI has rebounded to 3.4%, well above the BoE's inflation target of 2%. Services data has been especially sticky, although it dropped to 4.7% in May, down from 5.4% a month earlier.
At 3.4%, inflation is stuck at its highest level since February 2024 and that will complicate plans at the BoE to renew interest rate cuts in order to kick-start the weak UK economy. The central bank has lowered rates twice this year and would like to continue trimming the current cash rate of 4.25%. The Bank meets next on Aug. 7 and Wednesday's inflation data could be a significant factor in the rate decision.
In the US, if June inflation data rises as is expected, fingers will quickly point to President Trump's tariffs as finally having an impact. Recent inflation reports have not shown a significant spike higher due to the tariffs, which were first imposed in April. However, the tariffs may have needed time to filter throughout the economy and could be felt for the first time in the June inflation reading.
The Fed meets next on July 30, with the markets pricing in a 95% chance of a hold, according to CME's FedWatch. For September, the odds of a rate cut stand at 59%. Today's inflation report could cause a shift in these numbers.
GBP/USD tested resistance at 1.3454 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 1.3484
1.3396 and 1.3366 are the next support levels
GBP/USD could be gearing up for a 200-pip move?Start: We jump in at 1.3601 if it’s going up or filling the gap, or 1.3599 if it might drop.
Goal: We aim for 1.3800 if it goes up, or 1.3404 if it goes down.
Safety Stop: Like a safety net, we stop if it drops to 1.3544 (up plan) or rises to 1.3650 (down plan).
Chance: These are best guesses based on the chart’s clues!
DeGRAM | GBPUSD broke down the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Cable’s bounce stalled at the channel base (≈1.3500); price is now carving a bear flag beneath that rail and the prior wedge-break line, signalling failure to regain trend support.
● A 4 h close under 1.3415 confirms channel loss, opening the mid-May pivot 1.3271; flag top at 1.3470 caps risk while lower-high sequence stays intact.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Friday’s firm US consumer-sentiment and Fed Gov. Waller’s “no urgency to cut” comments nudged 2-yr yields back toward 4.80 %, reviving dollar demand.
● UK June payrolls contracted for a third month and wage growth cooled, boosting August BoE-cut odds and weighing on sterling.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.3460-1.3490; sustained trade below 1.3415 targets 1.3271. Short view void on a 4 h close above 1.3470.
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GBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support LevelGBP/USD Rate Falls to Key Support Level
As of today, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the British pound has declined by more than 2% against the US dollar since the beginning of July. Notably, the pace of the decline accelerated on Friday and continued into Monday.
According to Reuters, the pound is under pressure due to market concerns over a potential economic slowdown amid an escalating trade war. Last week’s data confirmed a contraction in UK GDP, which could have far-reaching implications. In this context, criticism of the UK government’s failure to reduce public spending is becoming more pronounced.
What’s next for GBP/USD?
Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart
From a bullish perspective, it is worth noting that the pair has fallen to a significant support level around 1.3425. This level previously acted as resistance in the spring, but after a breakout, it has now turned into support (as indicated by arrows on the chart). Additionally, the RSI indicator shows strong oversold conditions, which suggests a potential short-term rebound.
From a bearish standpoint, it is concerning that the sharp rally from point A to point B has been entirely erased by the July decline. This indicates that despite significant gains by the bulls, they failed to hold them—casting doubt on GBP/USD's ability to sustain growth in the medium term.
Ongoing pressure may lead to an attempt by bears to push GBP/USD below the June low at point A. However, it is also possible that bearish momentum will weaken thereafter, potentially leading to a recovery within the developing downward channel (marked in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.365.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.358 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Will The Prospect of a BoE Rate Cut Continue to Dampen GBPUSD?Macro approach:
- GBPUSD has weakened since last week, pressured by disappointing UK economic data and rising expectations of a BoE rate cut. Meanwhile, the US dollar found support amid cautious risk sentiment and anticipation of key US inflation data.
- UK GDP contracted for a second consecutive month in May, and recent labor market surveys signaled further cooling, reinforcing the case for the BoE's monetary easing. Governor Bailey reiterated that the path for rates is "downward," with markets now pricing in a high probability of a cut at the Aug meeting.
- Meanwhile, the US dollar was buoyed by safe-haven flows and firm inflation expectations ahead of the US CPI release, highlighting policy divergence between the Fed and BoE.
- GBPUSD may remain under pressure as traders await UK inflation and employment data, which could influence the BoE's next move. The pair could see further volatility with US CPI and Fed commentary also on the radar as potential catalysts.
Technical approach:
- GBPUSD is retesting the ascending channel's lower bound, confluence with the key support at 1.3420. The price is between both EMAs, indicating a sideways movement. GBPUSD awaits an apparent breakout to determine the short-term trend.
- If GBPUSD breaches below the support at 1.3420, the price may plunge toward the following support at 1.3175.
- On the contrary, holding above 1.3420 may prompt a short correction to retest EMA21.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25
Welcome back to the watchlist GBPUSD ! Let's go long ! Alignment across all time frames.
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
📈 Risk Management Principles
🔑 Core Execution Rules
Max 1% risk per trade
Set alerts — let price come to your levels
Minimum 1:2 RR
Focus on process, not outcomes
🧠 Remember, the strategy works — you just need to let it play out.
🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day
"The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency."
Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking.
🏁 Final Words from FRGNT
📌 GBPUSD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation all check out.
Let’s approach the trade with clarity, conviction, and risk-managed execution.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Targets Hit So as you can see previously I stated that I was waiting for a breakout of the rising wedge before I entered this trade. Now it didn't go quite as planned as price made a bigger rising wedge from what I originally mapped out but nonetheless I was able to recognise, it re-adjust and enter the trade. Price hit both targets.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 15, 2025 GBPUSDEvents to watch today:
15:30 EET. USD - Consumer Price Index
23:00 EET. GBP - BOE Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
GBPUSD:
Sterling is on the back foot—the rate has dropped toward 1.34500—after the U.S. announced sweeping 30‑percent tariffs on goods from the EU and Mexico, triggering capital flows into dollar assets. The pound was further pressured by lacklustre GDP figures: the U.K. economy expanded by only 0.1 % q/q in Q2, bolstering expectations that the Bank of England could cut rates as early as August.
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On the U.S. side, traders await the June CPI print, which is expected to show inflation quickening to 2.7 % y/y. Combined with a resilient labour market, such a reading could deter the Fed from an early policy pivot and lend the dollar extra support. The yield gap and diverging policy trajectories accentuate the downward bias in GBPUSD.
Political risk is likewise working against the pound: talks between London and Brussels on a ‘steel package’ are stalling, and Governor Andrew Bailey’s recent warnings about labour‑market softness underline the BoE’s dovish tilt. As long as the backdrop remains unchanged, the pair can slide toward 1.3350; a rebound above 1.34800 would likely require an unexpectedly soft U.S. inflation print.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.34500, SL 1.34800, TP 1.33500