GBPUSD H4 |Bullish continuation ahead?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which his a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 1.3645, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.3573, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt.
Take profit is at 1.3690, which is a pullback resistance.
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GBPUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 17, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound is supported by sticky domestic inflation: in July, the index accelerated to 3.8% y/y, and releases and commentary point to the risk of sustained high inflation, forcing the Bank of England to act cautiously in easing pace and maintaining a premium on UK yields.
The scenario of a 25 bps Fed rate cut today sets a softer external backdrop for USD and narrows the yield differential in favor of GBP, boosting inflows into sterling assets on expectations that the BoE will signal slower easing ahead given persistent price pressures.
Market ranges for GBPUSD in recent weeks concentrated around 1.35000–1.36000, which is confirmed by price behavior and news flow, aligning the chosen trade levels with current spot values and fundamental drivers.
Additionally, market participants monitor U.S. developments: ahead of the Fed meeting the dollar index declined and equities traded cautiously, reflecting near‑full pricing of a 25 bps cut and the search for dovish hints in the statement, which, if confirmed, strengthens the case for pound appreciation.
The risk balance for GBP is also supported by the fact that the BoE has eased gradually before and may prefer a pause if service inflation accelerates, maintaining sterling’s appeal relative to currencies with faster rate cuts.
Trade recommendation: GBPUSD: BUY 1.36500, SL 1.36300, TP 1.37500
GBPUSD: Buy SignalPrice already broke and retested the breaker block around 1.3640–1.3645. This are is is holding and showing a strong reaction on retest.
Market recently made a weak high at 1.3680 which is still untested. So price hasn't found a ceiling yet.
PDH sits just below that weak high so we have some liquidity resting above.
🟢Market Execution
Entry 1.36506
SL 1.362
TP 1.375
✅ Pullback Buy
Entry 1.3620–1.3625
SL 1.3600
TP 1.3680
TP2 1.3720
✅ Breakout Buy
Entry: M15 close above + retest 1.3680.
SL 1.3655
TP1 1.3720
TP2 1.3750
UPDATE - GBP/USD Momentum Faces Key Test at ResistanceHi everyone,
A quick update on our GBP/USD idea shared earlier in the week:
As anticipated, once GBP/USD broke above the 1.35300 level, momentum carried the pair higher, pushing beyond 1.35955 and bringing it within reach of the 1.36850 zone. We expect this area to present notable resistance, and price action here will be key in determining whether buyers have the strength to extend the rally further.
A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus, in particular the 1.37890 level. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700.
We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead.
Trade safe,
BluetonaFX
GBP_USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GBP_USD made a retest
Of the strong horizontal
Resistance level of 1.3684
And as you can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GBPUSD - BUY OPPORTUNITYLooking to BUY GU in BUY AREA and PROFIT in TP AREA.
Entry Criteria:
Will be looking for Signs of reversals, rejections at Buy Area.
Do not enter Buy Area 1 if strong bearish break of Buy Area 1.
Will look for entry in Buy Area 2 on signs of reversal and or rejections etc.
Trade Safe
GBPUSD: Price Action & Swing Analysis
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to sell GBPUSD.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
'Meet-Cute' Tokyo High for Supply4th Short Fired -2R for the day at time of print. Aiming for +2R before logging off for the day.
Remaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data.
Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report:
1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors.
2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall
3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps
The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates.
5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps
The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
GBP/USD - Bullish Channel - All Eyes on USD Inflation ReportBuy GBP/USD - Bullish Channel Patterns makes bullish movement Today
Fundaments Updates :
All Eyes on USD Inflation Report, this week give scope of Interest Rate Cute.
Expecting strong movement in upcoming PPI & CPI data for US.. USD Weak in upcoming days.
Thank you. Support buy Likes and Comments
[UPDATE] ON GBPUSD HOURLY TRADE IDEAThe cable so far respected the structure and respected the trend as previously predicted, although I was stopped out and no longer in this trade due to breakeven when the price retraced to our entry due to the NY OPEN pre-market trading and volatility.
Note: This is not financial Advice. Trade responsibly!
Cable Short (GBP/USD) Poor Employment and Payroll DataRemaining underwhelmed by price action, trapping, following this mornings data print. Anticipating a liquidity grab, lower, pushed by US Retail Data.
Recap on the Employment Data, buried in the report:
1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors.
2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall
3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps
The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates.
5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps
The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
Q3 W38 D16 Y25 Pre NY OutlookQ3 W38 D16 Y25 – Pre-NY Outlook
Today’s chart analysis will focus on:
EURGBP
AUDUSD
GBPUSD
GBPJPY
This is simply a forecast of price action and how I plan to react if and when the market presents opportunities.
Stay disciplined, trade what you see — not what you feel.
FRGNT
GBPUSD LONGHey, I’ve been away from the charts for the past week — took some time off to enjoy a family vacation and fully unplug. But we’re back now, as if we never left.
Last week, I shared a bullish bias based on the 4H timeframe, noting the liquidity resting above that could attract price. The market moved exactly as expected, sweeping that liquidity zone.
At this stage, I anticipate a potential short-term pullback — or, if momentum continues, we may see the bullish move extend further.
For today’s trade:
Price remained bullish on the 4H, and 5M demand continued holding. Took a long and exited clean at 3RR, following system rules.
MT5&Entry Charts in the comments
EUR/USD | Supply Zone in Play at 1.179–1.1810 (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 6-hour timeframe, we can see that after dropping to 1.166, the price gained demand again and is now trading around 1.177.
Ahead, there is a key supply zone between 1.179 and 1.1810, and we need to carefully watch how the price reacts to this area. The important demand zones are 1.163–1.166 and 1.156–1.159.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gbpusd outlook 📊 GBP/USD Daily Analysis (16 Sept 2025)
Price currently trading around 1.3632.
Market is approaching a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block zone.
🔹 Expectation: Possible rejection from this supply area with downside movement.
🔹 Key Zone: 1.3650 – 1.3700 (Strong resistance / Order Block).
🔹 Bearish setup unless price breaks & sustains above the OB.
⚠️ Note: Until liquidity sweep occurs to the downside and CISD or MSS structure is formed, taking an entry is risky.
💡 ICT-based analysis – waiting for confirmation before entries
GBP/USD Rate at 2-Month HighGBP/USD Rate at 2-Month High
As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair is trading this morning above 1.3620 – its highest level since the beginning of July.
The bullish sentiment is driven by the divergence in central bank policies:
→ United States: Traders are betting on an interest rate cut, supported by President Trump. The Federal Reserve will announce its decision tomorrow at 21:00 GMT+3, and the market expects a reduction of at least 0.25%, from 4.25%–4.50% to 4.00%–4.25%.
→ United Kingdom: Traders anticipate the rate will remain at 4.00%. The Bank of England will announce its decision on Thursday at 14:00 GMT+3.
Although the rates of the two central banks are comparable, the situation differs: in the UK, inflation is more persistent and rate cuts are seen as risky, while in the US, President Trump is exerting pressure on the Fed’s leadership.
An additional boost for the pound comes from a wave of investment optimism linked to US President Donald Trump’s state visit to the UK. According to media reports, agreements worth around $10 billion are expected to be announced during the visit.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
Looking at the price movements earlier this month, we noted lower highs and lower lows forming a bearish A→B→C→D structure. We also assumed that:
→ bulls could rely on support at the psychological level of 1.3400;
→ but if bearish pressure intensified, GBP/USD could fall towards the median of the descending channel.
Since then, the situation has changed considerably: bears failed to consolidate below 1.3400, and after a bullish double bottom pattern (1–2) formed, the price surged upwards.
At the same time, the GBP/USD chart highlights key signs of strong demand:
→ the descending (red) channel has been broken, and the bearish A→B→C→D structure is no longer relevant;
→ higher highs and higher lows confirm buyer dominance – providing grounds to outline a rising (blue) channel.
On the other hand, the RSI indicator is close to overbought territory, which suggests a possible pullback.
Potential support levels:
→ 1.34900: the breakout point where bulls started their advance;
→ 1.35890: a level that lost its resistance role this week;
→ the upper boundary and median of the blue ascending channel.
Taking all this into account, we could assume that in the near term, bulls may aim to lift GBP/USD towards the upper boundary of the yellow channel. It is also possible that news from the Fed and the Bank of England will aid them on this path.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short Weak Employment and Payroll Numbers Cable (GBP/USD)Data buried in the report:
1) This marks the 38th consecutive period where vacancy numbers have dropped compared with the previous three months, with vacancies decreasing in 9 of the 18 industry sectors.
2) The number of payrolled employees continues to fall
3) Employment rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▲0.1pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▼-1.3pps
The employment rate is up on the quarter and the year, but is still below pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
4) The unemployment rate is up on the quarter and the year, and is above pre-pandemic rates.
5) Economic inactivity rate (all aged 16 to 64)
Quarterly change: ▼-0.2pps
Since Dec-Feb 2020: ▲0.8pps
The economic inactivity rate is down on the quarter and the year, but is still above pre-coronavirus pandemic rates.
GBPJPY → Ascending triangle on an upward trend...FX:GBPJPY is attempting to break through the resistance of the ascending triangle consolidation pattern amid the strengthening of the pound sterling, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts...
The currency pair is breaking through consolidation resistance amid the growth of the pound sterling. The driver is the expectation of positive news...
An attempt to break through resistance is forming, with bulls forming a cascade of support and a local uptrend. If the price closes above 200.27, it will be able to move into a distribution phase.
Resistance levels: 200.27, 200.75
Support levels: 200.06, 199.65
Technically, the chart looks quite strong and aimed at continuing the uptrend. If the bulls can consolidate above the specified level of 200.0 - 200.27, then overall we will see a growth phase. Above the current levels, there is a free zone, and up to 208.0, there are practically no obstacles except for local levels that are not capable of reversing the trend...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD – Buyers Are Gaining Momentum!OANDA:GBPUSD Looking at today’s chart, it’s hard to ignore the strength of GBPUSD. Price continues to climb steadily within a rising channel – a clear sign that momentum remains with the buyers.
The recent break & retest was the highlight: price broke above resistance, pulled back to test it, and then bounced higher. A textbook setup that reinforces confidence the uptrend is far from over.
The next destination? The upper boundary of the channel around 1.3700. If buying pressure holds, GBPUSD could very well extend into another strong bullish leg.