GBP/USD breaks out ahead of key dataThe GBP/USD faces a pivotal week and ahead of it, the pair continues to break important short-term technical levels. Last week it climbed back above 1.3500, buoyed by a weak US jobs report that reinforced expectations of a September Fed rate cut. Now it has broken its short-term bearish trend and the next resistance at 1.3550. A breakout above 1.3600 now looks increasingly likely, targeting the summer highs just beneath the 1.38 handle.
Attention now turns to upcoming US inflation data and UK GDP figures, which could set the tone for the next directional move. Ahead of these, markets will closely watch today's US payroll revisions, expected to show further weakness in job growth, underscoring signs of a cooling labour market. Thursday’s CPI release is the bigger test: a softer print would bolster bets on multiple rate cuts, while an upside surprise could give the dollar a short-lived lift. With Powell prioritizing labour market risks, only exceptionally strong CPI and PPI figures are likely to challenge the Fed’s dovish stance.
UK data is relatively light until Friday, when GDP, industrial output, and construction figures are due. Recent upbeat data, including stronger retail sales and a services PMI upgrade, support a resilient UK recovery, potentially lending sterling further strength.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBPUSD
GBPUSD uptrend remains intactAfter sliding down from the channel top, GBPUSD touched the lower boundary and bounced back sharply, leaving a long wick behind. This is not just a technical signal, but also clear evidence that buyers are still firmly defending the uptrend.
If the recovery holds, the next target will be around 1.3592, with the potential to even break above the channel top and extend the bullish momentum further.
On the other hand, a decisive close below the lower boundary would flip the script, putting GBPUSD into a short-term bearish move.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 9, 2025 GBPUSDThe pound is strengthening as the market has virtually priced in a Fed rate cut in September, while the Bank of England remains inclined towards a longer period of restrictive policy. The interest rate differential supports GBP against USD, while UK macro data remains mixed but shows no signs of a sharp slowdown in consumer activity. The news flow since the start of the week reflects continued demand for risk assets, which also reduces the premium for the dollar.
In the short term, traders are focusing on US inflation releases; moderate CPI will strengthen the case for Fed easing and widen the window for the pair to rise. From a flow perspective, interest in buying the pound is supported by the dollar index falling to recent lows and a decline in US real yields.
Risks: unexpectedly strong US inflation data, negative surprises in UK spending and earnings statistics, as well as possible comments from MPC members in favor of earlier cuts. The base scenario is a continuation of the GBPUSD's upward drift amid a soft dollar.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35600, SL 1.35200, TP 1.36500
Heading Into major resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3579
1st Support: 1.3461
1st Resistance: 1.3675
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.3533 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.3470
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/USD “The Cable” | Bank Heist Plan: Bullish Swing/Day Setup📌 GBP/USD “The Cable” | Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💷💵
🎯 Plan Overview (Thief Strategy Inspired)
Bias: Bullish (Swing/Day Trade) 🐂
Entry (Layering Style): Using staggered buy limit layers to scale into position —
1.34200
1.34500
1.34800
1.35000
(You can increase/adjust layers based on your own strategy & risk tolerance)
Stop-Loss (Protective Level): 1.33500 (Flexible — adjust to your own method/risk) 🛡️
Target (Exit Zone): 1.37500 (Potential “barricade” resistance / overbought trap area) 🎯
⚠️ Important Note: This is an educational plan concept. Everyone should adjust entries/SL/TP according to their own system and risk appetite.
❓ Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy + Analysis)
The “Thief” approach = layered limit orders → designed to “sneak in” quietly across levels, instead of rushing into one risky entry. Think of it as “scaling into the vault with multiple steps” 🗝️.
🔎 Technical View
Bullish structure intact above 1.3350 support ✅
Layered entries align with demand zones 💹
Resistance barrier (around 1.3750) = area to take profits before getting trapped 🚨
📊 GBP/USD Real-Time Data – September 8, 2025
Prev. Close: 1.3510
Bid/Ask: 1.3553 / 1.3555
Day’s Range: 1.3483 – 1.3556
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Reading: 53.1 → Neutral 😐
(0 = Extreme Fear, 100 = Extreme Greed)
🧠 Sentiment Check
Retail Traders: Mixed 🤷
Institutional Outlook: Bullish 🐂
Insight: Institutional desks favor GBP strength amid Fed dovish tilt & USD weakness.
🌍 Macro & Fundamentals
Fed Policy: Dovish — expected September rate cuts 🕊️
BoE Policy: Hawkish — inflation remains double target ⚠️
US Data: Weak — NFP misses, unemployment rising 📉
UK Data: Neutral — GDP flat, industrial output stagnant ➖
Geopolitical Risk: Elevated — trade tensions ongoing 🌐
🐂 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Bullish (Long) ✅
Confidence: Moderate to High
Drivers: USD weakness + Fed/BoE divergence + technical bullish momentum
💡 Key Takeaways
GBP/USD shows bullish bias short-term 📈
Fed decisions & US economic data = major directional catalysts 📊
Watch for resistance traps near 1.3750 (ideal zone to secure profits) 🔐
Expect volatility from geopolitics & trade tensions 🌍
👀Related Pairs to Watch (USD-Based)
- FX:EURUSD : Monitor for correlated USD weakness. 🥶
- FX:USDJPY : Watch for USD selling pressure. 🏯
- OANDA:AUDUSD : Tracks similar USD-driven moves. 🦘
- OANDA:USDCAD : Inverse correlation with GBP/USD.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#GBPUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #ThiefStrategy #Cable #LayeringEntries #PriceAction #MacroAnalysis #FX
The Game Series | Who Wins on GBPUSD?The market is never random — it’s a game of traps and liquidity hunts played by institutions against the crowd.
On GBPUSD, the story unfolds clearly:
🔻 First came the down wave, pulling traders into shorts and building liquidity at the lows.
🔺 Then, price flipped into an upside wave, climbing toward a major liquidity pool sitting above Equal Highs (EQH) and the Intraday High (IDM).
Now here’s where the real game begins. Institutions don’t move without collecting fuel. That’s why a fake push down into the SSL zone near 1.3330 is likely — designed to trigger stop-losses and shake weak hands out of the market.
From there, the stage is set for the strong upside push. The crowd gets trapped, liquidity gets harvested, and the real move is launched.
💡 Takeaway: Liquidity isn’t just numbers on a chart — it’s the scoreboard of the market game. The side that controls liquidity controls the outcome.
👉 Question to you: After the sweep, will the Bulls 🟢 finally secure the win, or do the Bears 🔴 still have a surprise move left?
XAU/USD | Gold at Record Highs – Can NFP Stop the Rally?By analyzing the gold chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its rally today, reaching $3,578 and printing a new all-time high (ATH)! After hitting this level, gold made a slight pullback to $3,510. Right now, the price has bounced back and is trading around $3,550.
So far, there are no clear signs on the higher timeframes that gold is ready to reverse from here. For that, we would need to see stronger bearish moves. The current momentum still supports further upside unless proven otherwise. That’s why it’s better to stay patient and wait for a real break or shift in market structure before looking for attractive trade setups.
Also, tomorrow we have the NFP report, which could trigger a drop in gold if the data comes in stronger than expected. Until then, we’ll wait — and if you guys strongly support this post, I’ll share my updated personal analysis a few hours before the release. Stay tuned!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPUSD LONGFell asleep shortly after executing this trade — I had a long day yesterday and couldn’t stay up to monitor it. Before stepping away, I made sure everything was properly set: ask price, break-even, and final take profit.
Price held bullish structure on both the 4H and 5M, so I waited for liquidity to be swept on the 5m. Once cleared, dropped down to the 15-second chart for entry and followed system rules as they aligned.
Woke up and saw it had hit TP.
15S and 5M charts -alongside MT5 image in the comments
GBPUSD "Bullish Flag" resistance retest at 1.3675The GBPUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a consolidation breakout rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.3466 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.3466 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.3675 – initial resistance
1.3730 – psychological and structural level
1.3790 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.3466 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.3414 – minor support
1.3390 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPUSD holds above 1.3466. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBPUSD Pullback Toward 1.34800 as Dollar Struggles on Soft DataHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around the 1.34800 zone. The pair is trading in an uptrend, with price currently in a correction phase as it approaches this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, though price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 1.34800 — a significant area where buyers may look to re-enter in line with the trend.
Fundamentals: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching 97.850 resistance while struggling to push higher following a series of softer data releases. Most notably, the recent soft CPI print has increased expectations for potential rate cuts, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting GBPUSD’s upside outlook.
Trade safe,
Joe.
GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25GBPUSD Daily Forecast – Q3 | W37 | D8 | Y25 📊
🔹 Weekly Bias:
Remains bullish, with last week’s candle closing strong above the Daily 50 EMA.
Rejection wick adds further confluence to upside continuation.
🔹 Daily Bias:
Current daily structure holds bullish after another close above the Daily 50 EMA.
🟢 Long Scenarios
High-probability longs from defined zones, with opportunities to buy from the lows.
Weekly 50 EMA retest: a potential long area later this week — even if the weekly candle looks bearish, the bias stays bullish due to last week’s strong close above the 50 EMA.
Points of Interest: previous weekly wick lows (wicks often get filled; once filled, expect continuation to the upside).
⚡ Immediate Long Setup (London open)
Early longs are tricky, but the confluence is strong:
Daily imbalance fill + Daily 50 EMA support
Gap above price (market tendency to rebalance)
Daily order block refined with LTF order blocks
If Asia opens at lows with Asia highs unfilled → strong confluence for a London session break of structure → long entry toward Asia highs and gap fill.
Targeting a quick 1:3 RRR with aggressive trade management.
🔴 Short Scenarios
Shorts are possible but require caution.
Daily candles remain above the 50 EMA (bullish bias).
Best short zones: around previously daily highs with high confluence areas.
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 08, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is starting the new week on a softer note, dropping below the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session. However, the decline does not look convincing, which calls for caution from bearish traders and positioning for a continuation of Friday's pullback from the 1.35550 area, or a nearly three-week high.
The US Dollar (USD) is gaining positive momentum and pulling away from its low since July 28, reached on Friday in response to disappointing US employment data, which in turn is putting pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The rise in the USD can be attributed to the fall of the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid domestic political turmoil and risks fizzling out rather quickly amid growing bets on a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut.
The U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed that the economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, significantly below consensus forecasts. In addition, revisions to previous data showed that the economy lost 13,000 jobs in June, the first monthly decline since December 2020, indicating a weakening U.S. labor market. This has fueled speculation of a more aggressive Fed interest rate cut and should limit the USD's rise.
The British Pound (GBP), however, may struggle to attract significant buyers amid financial uncertainty ahead of the autumn budget in November.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.34950, SL 1.34750, TP 1.35950
Bearish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci r etracement and could revrse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3616
1st Support: 1.3208
1st Resistance: 1.3791
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/USD - Building Base for Renewed Bullish MomentumHi everyone,
As highlighted in our previous idea, GBP/USD delivered the deeper pullback toward 1.33800 before reversing to the upside and decisively hitting our NFP trade target at 1.35300 last week. However, price lacked the momentum to break and hold above this level.
Looking ahead, we anticipate a renewed attempt at 1.35300 this week from the 1.34580–1.34880 zone. A successful break and retest of support should give GBP/USD the platform to mount a challenge toward the 1.36850 resistance area.
A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD.
We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700.
We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas.
Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead.
Trade safe,
BluetonaFX
GBPUSD: Bearish-Neutral, But Showing Signs Of WeaknessWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8 - 12.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD
The GBPUSD has been a little more bearish than EURUSD. This is still the case. Bearish and moving sideways. There was a sweep of buy side liquidity Friday, but a late retreat back into the range of last weeks range. This may indicate weakness going into this week, and I am looking for price to turn over, as it is still inside correction territory.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Bullish momentum likely to extend?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3487
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3451
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3548
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance.
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GBPUSD🔸The pound has bounced back from near the demand area last week, preventing us from entering a long trade
🔹The 4-hour chart trend is bearish and has recently hit the first supply area, giving us a sell entry opportunity
🔸As long as the 4-hour candlestick does not close above 1.35953, it is still possible to enter the trade in the red areas
🔹The first target is the blue area
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W37 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | Y25
📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD - LongGBPUSD Analysis - Long
In this Chart GBPUSD H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions.
❤️This Chart is for GBPUSD market analysis.
❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy.
This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts.
The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a setup in GBPUSD, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management.
🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢
❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
GBPUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.334.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.358 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!