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Gbpusd_forecast

GBPUSD Faces Strong Ceiling at 1.36 – Drop to 1.32 Ahead?The first half of this year was strongly bullish for GBPUSD, with the pair climbing from 1.20 to 1.37 — a rally of nearly 1,700 pips (14%). However, after topping in July, cable corrected around 600 pips, only to find solid support at 1.32 in August. From there, a rebound followed, pushing price back up to 1.36 by the end of the month. Looking at the chart, we can see a clear technical picture: while GBPUSD has rebounded from support, it has also formed a very strong ceiling at 1.36. This zone has now been reinforced by a bearish pin bar printed just two days ago. Going forward, as I already highlighted in my DXY analysis, I expect a rebound in the USD — and this will almost certainly translate into a drop in cable. From a purely technical standpoint: • 1.36 = strong resistance, validated by the pin bar and multiple rejections. • 1.34 is the first support and can act as a soft target. • In the medium term, I expect GBPUSD to revisit 1.32. The strategy is clear: sell the rallies into resistance, as the pair appears to be at the beginning of a corrective leg lower. 🚀
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10
GBP/USD “The Cable” | Bank Heist Plan: Bullish Swing/Day Setup📌 GBP/USD “The Cable” | Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💷💵 🎯 Plan Overview (Thief Strategy Inspired) Bias: Bullish (Swing/Day Trade) 🐂 Entry (Layering Style): Using staggered buy limit layers to scale into position — 1.34200 1.34500 1.34800 1.35000 (You can increase/adjust layers based on your own strategy & risk tolerance) Stop-Loss (Protective Level): 1.33500 (Flexible — adjust to your own method/risk) 🛡️ Target (Exit Zone): 1.37500 (Potential “barricade” resistance / overbought trap area) 🎯 ⚠️ Important Note: This is an educational plan concept. Everyone should adjust entries/SL/TP according to their own system and risk appetite. ❓ Why This Plan? (Thief Strategy + Analysis) The “Thief” approach = layered limit orders → designed to “sneak in” quietly across levels, instead of rushing into one risky entry. Think of it as “scaling into the vault with multiple steps” 🗝️. 🔎 Technical View Bullish structure intact above 1.3350 support ✅ Layered entries align with demand zones 💹 Resistance barrier (around 1.3750) = area to take profits before getting trapped 🚨 📊 GBP/USD Real-Time Data – September 8, 2025 Prev. Close: 1.3510 Bid/Ask: 1.3553 / 1.3555 Day’s Range: 1.3483 – 1.3556 😰 Fear & Greed Index Reading: 53.1 → Neutral 😐 (0 = Extreme Fear, 100 = Extreme Greed) 🧠 Sentiment Check Retail Traders: Mixed 🤷 Institutional Outlook: Bullish 🐂 Insight: Institutional desks favor GBP strength amid Fed dovish tilt & USD weakness. 🌍 Macro & Fundamentals Fed Policy: Dovish — expected September rate cuts 🕊️ BoE Policy: Hawkish — inflation remains double target ⚠️ US Data: Weak — NFP misses, unemployment rising 📉 UK Data: Neutral — GDP flat, industrial output stagnant ➖ Geopolitical Risk: Elevated — trade tensions ongoing 🌐 🐂 Overall Market Outlook Bias: Bullish (Long) ✅ Confidence: Moderate to High Drivers: USD weakness + Fed/BoE divergence + technical bullish momentum 💡 Key Takeaways GBP/USD shows bullish bias short-term 📈 Fed decisions & US economic data = major directional catalysts 📊 Watch for resistance traps near 1.3750 (ideal zone to secure profits) 🔐 Expect volatility from geopolitics & trade tensions 🌍 👀Related Pairs to Watch (USD-Based) - FX:EURUSD : Monitor for correlated USD weakness. 🥶 - FX:USDJPY : Watch for USD selling pressure. 🏯 - OANDA:AUDUSD : Tracks similar USD-driven moves. 🦘 - OANDA:USDCAD : Inverse correlation with GBP/USD. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #GBPUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #ThiefStrategy #Cable #LayeringEntries #PriceAction #MacroAnalysis #FX
Long
by The-Thief
The Game Series | Who Wins on GBPUSD?The market is never random — it’s a game of traps and liquidity hunts played by institutions against the crowd. On GBPUSD, the story unfolds clearly: 🔻 First came the down wave, pulling traders into shorts and building liquidity at the lows. 🔺 Then, price flipped into an upside wave, climbing toward a major liquidity pool sitting above Equal Highs (EQH) and the Intraday High (IDM). Now here’s where the real game begins. Institutions don’t move without collecting fuel. That’s why a fake push down into the SSL zone near 1.3330 is likely — designed to trigger stop-losses and shake weak hands out of the market. From there, the stage is set for the strong upside push. The crowd gets trapped, liquidity gets harvested, and the real move is launched. 💡 Takeaway: Liquidity isn’t just numbers on a chart — it’s the scoreboard of the market game. The side that controls liquidity controls the outcome. 👉 Question to you: After the sweep, will the Bulls 🟢 finally secure the win, or do the Bears 🔴 still have a surprise move left?
by Nath26770
1
GBP/USD - Building Base for Renewed Bullish MomentumHi everyone, As highlighted in our previous idea, GBP/USD delivered the deeper pullback toward 1.33800 before reversing to the upside and decisively hitting our NFP trade target at 1.35300 last week. However, price lacked the momentum to break and hold above this level. Looking ahead, we anticipate a renewed attempt at 1.35300 this week from the 1.34580–1.34880 zone. A successful break and retest of support should give GBP/USD the platform to mount a challenge toward the 1.36850 resistance area. A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700. We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe, BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
GBP/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Potential The GBP/USD 30-minute chart shows price moving within an ascending trendline but recently stalling near resistance around 1.3550–1.3560. The Ichimoku cloud suggests weakening bullish momentum, with price struggling to sustain above the support line. Bearish Setup: A breakdown below the ascending trendline and cloud support around 1.3500 could trigger stronger downside pressure. Targets: If selling momentum continues, price may test the 1.3420 and 1.3395 support levels. Stop Loss: A safe invalidation zone lies above 1.3550–1.3560, where further upside would invalidate the bearish scenario. 🔎 Overall, GBP/USD looks vulnerable to a short-term pullback unless it reclaims strong bullish momentum above 1.3550.
Short
by KingProTrader
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis - Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis 📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25 Good day, Traders 👋 While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉. I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades. Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈 — FRGNT 🔐 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Long Position Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 POST NY 📊 GBPUSD – Long Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas: ✅ Daily 50EMA ✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone) ✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift. 📌 Key Considerations: Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long 🎯 Plan: Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk. No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation. – FRGNT As per Forecast. FX:GBPUSD
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🕯️ The previous daily candle closed bullish, and importantly, above the 50EMA. This signals a shift in short-term daily bias to the upside, indicating that bullish momentum may be building. 📌 A previous bullish daily candle has left behind a 4H Order Block and an imbalance, both sitting within a broader daily POI. Within this POI, we can identify refined 1H and 15-minute order blocks and voids — key zones to monitor for reaction and structure alignment. These levels become our points of interest for potential long setups. 🧠 Execution Plan: No blind entries at the POI. I’ll be closely watching lower timeframes (M15/M5) for a clean Break of Structure (BOS) or a liquidity sweep followed by bullish confirmation. If those conditions are met, I’ll look for a long entry, keeping risk tightly managed. If price fails to hold the POI or shifts bearish, I’ll stay out and wait for clarity. 🎯 Summary: Bias: Bullish (with confirmation) Focus: Refined entries from lower timeframe structure shifts Risk: Capped and only deployed with valid confirmations Mindset: Patient, mechanical, and reactive to price — not predictions. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Q3 W35 D39 Y25 LDN/NY XOVER FORECAST LONG📊 GBPUSD – Potential Long Setup Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas: ✅ Daily 50EMA ✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone) ✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift. 📌 Key Considerations: Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long 🎯 Plan: Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk. No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation. – FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD – PCE Data Could Set the Breakout🔹 Market Context Traders are waiting for the US PCE Price Index today. Forecasts suggest the data will likely be unchanged from the previous month, which could give the USD slight strength in the short term. GBPUSD is now trading inside a symmetrical triangle, and PCE may act as the catalyst for the breakout. 🔹 Technical Outlook (H2 Chart) Support zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 (demand + trendline confluence). Next key support: 1.3340 – 1.3350. Resistance zones: 1.3550 – 1.3580 and 1.3660. Scenarios to Watch: 1️⃣ Bullish Setup If price holds above 1.3430 – 1.3450 and breaks the triangle resistance → Targets: 1.3550 – 1.3580, then 1.3660 if momentum continues. 2️⃣ Bearish Setup If PCE data boosts USD and GBPUSD breaks below 1.3430, Downside targets: 1.3340, with extension toward 1.3300. 🔹 Trading Plan (reference only) Buy Zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 SL: 1.3400 TP: 1.3550 – 1.3580 → 1.3660 Sell Zone: break below 1.3430 SL: 1.3480 TP: 1.3340 → 1.3300 ✅ Summary: GBPUSD is at a make-or-break level. The 1.3430 pivot zone is the key to watch ahead of PCE. A bounce from here favors bulls toward 1.3550+, while a breakdown could trigger a deeper move into 1.3340.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25 🔍 Daily Forecast | GBPUSD Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈: 📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position. This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles: Max 1% risk per trade Execute only at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2) 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk. "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊 FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast — Q3 W35 D27 Y25📈 GBPUSD Daily Forecast — Q3 W35 D27 Y25 We’re rolling into D27 with some serious long POIs (Points of Interest) lining up. Here’s the current picture: 📍 Price is sitting on the Daily 50 EMA → This level alone is a key support and rejection zone. → We're watching closely for a reaction. 🔍 Trade Scenarios: 🟢 Aggressive Entry Look for a lower-timeframe break of structure (BoS) Enter on the confirmation and aim to move to break even quickly. 🟡 Conservative Entry Wait for a 15-min BoS Then enter on a pullback into OBs or imbalances, several of which align with the Daily 50 EMA. 🧭 Either approach offers a solid R:R if managed well. 🌍 Session Expectations – London Open We expect London to open at the lows of Asia Look for a liquidity sweep → followed by a push to fill Asia highs. ✅ Even without higher confluence, this is a solid intraday opportunity. ⚠️ Final Notes: Manage risk 💼 Trade one setup at a time 🎯 Stack confluence, and execute with confidence 💡 Trade well, stay sharp. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Q3 W35 D26 Y25 Recap & Daily Forecast📉 GBPUSD – Q3 W35 D26 Y25 Recap & Outlook 📈 🏦 Monday (Bank Holiday Recap) UK Bank Holiday 🇬🇧 led to reduced liquidity. 📉 Price slid, filling the daily imbalance we forecasted ✅ 🎯 Short setups paid off — hope you bagged some profits! 💰💼 🔮 Tuesday Game Plan: 🧭 Primary Bias: Bullish (After Liquidity Sweep) 📉 Expecting price to dip into: 🟡 Daily 50 EMA 🕓 4H, 1H & LTF Order Blocks 🔲 🔍 Looking for: ⚡️ LTF Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation 🚀 Then enter long positions 🌏 Asia Session Outlook: Ideally: Asia closes at the lows ⬇️ 🧲 This gives us confluence for: 🕗 London Open liquidity sweep 📈 Snap long to fill Asia range 📌 Key Watch Zones: 📎 Daily 50 EMA – Strong reaction area 🧱 4H OBs – High-probability demand 🔄 London Open sweep – Watch for fakeout & reversal 🔑 Wait for structure shift – No confirmation, no trade! 🚫 FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D25 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D25 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD Long GBP/USD long from the bounce off the trend line. Of course I will be waiting on more confluence before getting I the trade. For example, I would like to see (price action) rejection off of the trend line. If price blows past the trend line with strong selling pressure I will of course not take this trade. I will be watching the very large (fair value gap). It was made because of news so it could have just been a impulsive move to the up side because of the looming rate cuts or lack there of.
Long
by CalebV23
GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST 📈 GBP/USD Weekly Forecast – Q3 | W35 | Y25 A bullish end to the week has shaken up price action, with price closing right into our mid-range time frame POI. Initially, we’ll be watching for short setups, but caution is key — the weekly candle closing above the 50 EMA signals potential continuation to the upside. 🧠 Smart Shorts Only: If you’re taking shorts from current highs, consider waiting for a clear 5M or 15M break of structure (BOS) to confirm price is ready to fill the daily imbalance and head toward the daily 50 EMA. 🎯 Short-Term Targets for Shorts: Equal Lows Daily Imbalance Daily 50 EMA ⚠️ Manage short positions aggressively — higher time frame trend remains bullish. 📌 Key Bullish POI: Note the daily order block left behind after the explosive move on Friday, Aug 22, 2025. Though currently sitting below the daily 50 EMA, this will be our primary long execution zone. A wick rejection from this area would provide a solid long entry, in alignment with the HTF trend. 🧭 Game Plan: We have a clear, clean range in play. Now it’s all about: Waiting for a confirmed shift in structure on lower time frames Validating the setup with confluences Executing with precision and discipline Let the market come to you — not the other way around. Stay patient, stay smart, and trust the process. — FRGNT 💼📊
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
GBPUSD Faces Pressure as Dollar Strength Reasserts ControlGBPUSD has staged a corrective rally in recent sessions, but the recovery is already showing signs of fading. Price has stalled at a key resistance zone, and sellers are beginning to step back in, eyeing deeper downside. With UK fundamentals under strain and the U.S. dollar supported by resilient macro data, the path of least resistance appears tilted toward further weakness in cable. Current Bias Bearish – downside continuation favored as the rally runs into resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S. dollar demand underpinned by safe-haven flows and strong macro resilience. Bank of England dovish tilt after its recent rate cut, with policymakers cautious on growth risks. UK growth slowdown, particularly in services and housing markets, weighing on sterling sentiment. Trade and tariff uncertainty amplifying pressure on UK-linked assets. Macro Context Interest rate expectations: The Fed is expected to hold rates higher for longer, while the BoE is already cutting, increasing yield divergence against sterling. Economic growth trends: UK economic growth remains fragile, with weak consumer demand and stagnant investment. U.S. data has been relatively stronger. Commodity flows: Lower oil imports may give slight GBP support, but overall trade dynamics favor USD strength. Geopolitical themes: Ongoing tariff disputes, Brexit trade adjustments, and global slowdown fears limit sterling’s upside potential. Primary Risk to the Trend A sudden resurgence in UK inflation or unexpectedly hawkish BoE commentary could support sterling and trigger a sharp squeeze higher. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK CPI print (key for BoE rate expectations) U.S. PMI and Fed commentary (signals on U.S. growth and policy stance) Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBPUSD is often a lagger relative to EURUSD, reacting to broader USD flows rather than leading them. The pair can influence GBP-crosses like GBPNZD, GBPJPY, and GBPCHF, particularly during UK-centric news. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.3424, 1.3160 Resistance Levels: 1.3590, 1.3715 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3720 Take Profit (TP): 1.3424 (first target), 1.3160 (extended target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPUSD remains under downside pressure, with rallies into resistance continuing to attract sellers. The bearish bias is intact, with a stop loss at 1.3720 protecting against a breakout reversal, and take-profit levels eyed at 1.3424 and 1.3160. With UK fundamentals deteriorating and U.S. data supporting dollar strength, traders should keep a close watch on upcoming UK CPI and U.S. Fed communications, as these events will likely dictate the next decisive move. Until then, the pair looks poised to extend lower.
Short
by ultreosforex
8
The correction wave and the continuation of the GBPUSD uptrend✏️GBPUSD is forming a corrective downtrend in the long-term uptrend. The large-timeframe Trendline zone also stops the current upward momentum of this pair's price. This correction can consider Target at the Fibonacci retracement points or old Break out zones. After the correction wave ends, we can wait for a clear price reaction from the buyers to set up BUY signals towards long-term TP zones. 📉 Key Levels SELL trigger: the buying force weakens, cannot break the trendline 1.353 and there is a price rejection from the sellers. BUY trigger: the reaction of H4 at the support zones 1.341 -1.330 (Fibonacci retracement) Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
by VHT_Trader
2