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Gbpusd_forecast

GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W45 | D3| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W45 | D3| Y25 | 📊 GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Bears in Control as Dollar Resilience Weighs on SterlingGBPUSD continues to slide as bearish pressure builds under a strong U.S. dollar backdrop. Despite occasional pauses, GBP/USD has struggled to regain footing, staying trapped in a clear descending channel. With sellers firmly defending key resistance zones, the next leg lower could test the 1.3000 handle if U.S. data remains supportive and the Bank of England keeps its cautious tone. Current Bias Bearish – GBP/USD remains under sustained downside momentum, with price action respecting the descending channel and lower-high structure. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S. economic resilience and persistent inflation are keeping Treasury yields elevated, supporting the dollar. The Bank of England has shifted to a wait-and-see stance, signaling no rush to adjust policy as growth weakens. Weak UK credit and mortgage data underscore the slowdown in domestic activity. Global risk appetite remains fragile amid geopolitical uncertainty, pushing investors toward safe-haven flows that favor the USD. Macro Context U.S. economy continues to outperform its peers, with consumer spending and services inflation holding firm. Fed officials have pushed back against rapid rate cuts, aligning with market pricing that sees easing only gradually into 2025. In contrast, the UK faces slowing growth and sticky core inflation, with the BoE balancing recession risks against still-high price pressures. The yield differential favors the dollar, while commodity and capital flows remain USD-positive. On the geopolitical side, tensions in the Middle East and weaker European data continue to weigh on risk sentiment and, by extension, on GBP. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp downside surprise in upcoming U.S. data (such as ISM or NFP) could weaken the dollar and trigger a corrective rally in GBP/USD. Similarly, any unexpected hawkish tone from BoE policymakers could limit further downside. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. ISM Services PMI and Non-Farm Payrolls BoE member speeches and UK GDP data Fed Chair Powell’s commentary on policy trajectory Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBP/USD acts as a lagger within the USD complex — it typically follows EUR/USD’s direction and broader DXY momentum. Within GBP crosses, movements in GBP/USD often influence GBP/JPY and GBP/CHF but remain secondary to USD-led macro shifts. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.3100, 1.3000 Resistance Levels: 1.3250, 1.3450 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3270 (above upper channel resistance) Take Profit (TP): 1.3000 (major psychological and structural support) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBP/USD maintains a bearish bias, guided by the combination of BoE caution, weak UK macro data, and sustained U.S. dollar strength. The descending channel structure remains intact, favoring continued downside toward 1.3000, provided price stays below 1.3250. A break above that zone would invalidate the short-term bias and shift focus back to consolidation. Traders should keep stops around 1.3270 to protect against volatility, while the take profit near 1.3000 aligns with both technical confluence and the broader macro backdrop. All eyes remain on the upcoming U.S. ISM and jobs data, which could determine whether the next move accelerates the trend or triggers a temporary rebound.
Short
by ultreosforex
#GBPUSD:+1000 Pips Highly Probable Target! Agree with the idea? GBPUSD is currently trading at a highly probable point where we may see a strong bullish volume emerge in the market. This key level is only valid if the US dollar declines further, as a weak dollar will push our prices towards our target zones, helping us gain a higher risk-to-reward trade setup. Please like and comment on the ideas, even if you disagree. Sharing thoughts will help us all. There are three major targets, and they accumulate to a +1000 pips trade setup. Set your take profit and stop loss based on your own analysis. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
55
GBP/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure FPMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD rebounded from the 1.3140 support zone (lowest since May) and is consolidating above 1.3200. The pair faces overhead resistance near 1.3280–1.3300, which aligns with the descending trendline. A rejection here could trigger fresh downside, while sustained strength above 1.3300 would open the door to higher retracement gains. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3280 – 1.3300 (resistance retest) Stop Loss: 1.3314 Take Profit: 1.3150 / 1.3140 Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.33 🌐 Macro Background The pair bounced back above 1.3200 as the U.S. Dollar retreated from its post-FOMC highs. As FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani notes: “Spot prices climb back above the 1.3200 mark amid a modest USD weakness, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bullish traders.” 【FXStreet】 The Fed maintained a hawkish outlook, with Chair Powell pushing back against expectations of another December rate cut. This limits USD downside. On the UK side, fiscal concerns remain a drag. Reports suggest the OBR will downgrade productivity forecasts, potentially widening the fiscal gap by £20 billion. Rising speculation of a 25 bps BoE rate cut in December (with odds at 68%) further undermines Sterling’s outlook. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.3280 – 1.3300 Support: 1.3150 – 1.3140 Psychological Level: 1.3200 📌 Trade Summary GBP/USD trades above 1.3200 but upside is capped by resistance and macro headwinds. Short-term strategy favors selling rallies near 1.3280–1.3300, targeting 1.3150. A clear break below 1.3140 could confirm bearish continuation. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W44 | D29| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D29| Y25 | 📊 GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD: Sterling Finds Its Feet After Testing Key SupportGBPUSD, Cable has been under steady pressure, but buyers are showing signs of life as the pair bounces from a well-defined support zone. With the dollar losing some steam and the pound finding relief from stabilizing UK data, the setup suggests room for a corrective leg higher into the 1.3440–1.3520 region. Current Bias Bullish – GBPUSD is attempting a rebound from the lower boundary, with upward momentum aiming at nearby resistance zones. Key Fundamental Drivers GBP: The Bank of England has turned more cautious, but wage growth and services inflation remain sticky, limiting the scope for aggressive cuts. USD: The greenback is weighed down by softening macro data and rising bets on Fed rate cuts into 2026. Relative Rates: With both the BoE and Fed cautious, short-term momentum depends on US inflation and UK CPI outcomes. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed easing expectations continue to build, while the BoE may be slower to cut given persistent domestic inflation. Economic Growth: UK growth remains sluggish but resilient, while US growth shows clearer signs of slowdown. Geopolitical Themes: Dollar safe-haven demand could still spike on trade-war rhetoric and political uncertainty. Primary Risk to the Trend A hawkish surprise from the Fed or stronger US jobs/inflation data could halt GBPUSD’s recovery and push the pair back below recent support. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK GDP and CPI releases. US PCE inflation and NFP. Bank of England and Federal Reserve commentary. Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBPUSD is often a leader in risk-driven FX flows, especially during periods of heightened USD volatility. Its movements tend to influence GBP crosses like GBPNZD, GBPCAD, and GBPJPY. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.3340, 1.3285, 1.3247 Resistance Levels: 1.3442, 1.3526 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3247 Take Profit (TP): 1.3442 (first), 1.3526 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPUSD is currently biased to the upside, with the bounce from 1.3340 suggesting buyers are targeting 1.3442 and potentially 1.3526. The recommended stop loss sits at 1.3247 to protect against downside risk if the dollar strengthens again. The critical watchpoints are US inflation and UK CPI, as these will determine whether sterling can extend its recovery or remain capped within its broader downtrend. For now, the bias leans bullish, but caution remains key with high-impact data ahead.
Long
by ultreosforex
11
GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 | 📊 GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W43 | D22| Y25 | 📅 Q4 | W43 | D22| Y25 | 📊 GBPUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD | SMC Setup — OB + FVG Alignment for Possible Reversal.“GBP/USD forming a high-confluence OB + FVG setup after liquidity sweep — watching for bullish reaction from discounted zone ⚡ #InsideTradeVision” After a clean sweep of Equal Highs (EQH), price created a strong Break of Structure (BoS) and left behind an Order Block (OB) aligning with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a high-confluence zone for potential bullish reaction. The market is now trading near an EQL area, hinting at liquidity collection before a possible expansion to the upside. If price taps into the OB + FVG zone and holds structure, a rebound toward the premium range could unfold. 📊 Concepts Used: Smart Money Concept (SMC) | OB + FVG | BOS | EQH & EQL | Liquidity 🕐 Timeframe: 1H 💭 Bias: Bullish — watching for confirmation inside the OB + FVG zone.
Long
by InsideTradeVision
GBP/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD is trading around 1.3330, holding above the support zone at 1.3270–1.3310. The chart suggests that if buyers defend this zone, the pair could rebound toward the resistance zone at 1.3470–1.3500. A break above 1.3500 would encourage further bullish momentum, while failure to hold support below 1.3270 could expose the pair to deeper downside risks. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3270–1.3310 (buy near support) Stop Loss: 1.3271 Take Profit 1: 1.3400 Take Profit 2: 1.3470 Take Profit 3: 1.3500 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.32 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Support Zone: 1.3270–1.3310 Resistance Zone: 1.3470–1.3500 Trendline Support: Rising from 1.3260 🌍 Macro Background The GBP/USD slipped slightly after Trump softened his tariff rhetoric against China, calming immediate trade-war fears and helping the US Dollar rebound. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose 0.4% as easing tensions reduced safe-haven demand for the Pound. Meanwhile, the US government shutdown has extended into its 13th day, keeping markets on edge. Fed officials, including Philadelphia Fed’s Anna Paulson, highlighted a preference for gradual rate cuts as labor market signals soften, suggesting policy is restrictive. In the UK, the focus will be on the jobs report and BoE Governor Bailey’s remarks. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7%, while wage growth is projected to hold steady. Stronger labor data could support Sterling, while dovish BoE commentary would limit gains. On the US side, investors await multiple Fed speeches, including from Powell and Waller, for policy direction. 📌 Trade Summary GBP/USD remains constructive above the 1.3270–1.3310 support zone. Pullbacks into this area could offer buying opportunities, targeting 1.3470–1.3500. A break below 1.3270 would invalidate the bullish bias and risk a deeper correction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
GBPUSD – Weekly FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Weekly Forecast 💡 Weekly FRGNT Insight Q4 | W42 | Y25 Weekly Outlook 🔍📅 Here’s a concise breakdown of the current market structure 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these remain our key points of interest for potential reactions 🎯🧭. Patience is key: Wait for a confirmed break of structure (BOS) 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is actually showing — not what we want to see. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: -Risk no more than 1% per trade -Execute only at pre-identified levels -Let alerts, not emotions, guide decisions -Maintain your minimum 1:3 RR plan 🧠 Remember: You’re not paid for how many trades you take, but for how well you manage risk. “Trade what the market gives — not what your ego wants.” Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities play out. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Sterling Under Pressure as Dollar Strength ExtendsGBPUSD, Cable has broken decisively lower after repeated rejections at resistance, confirming that sellers remain firmly in control. The pair continues to track downward in line with USD strength, while domestic UK factors add further weight to the pound. Weak growth signals, sticky inflation, and uncertainty around the Bank of England’s policy path keep GBP vulnerable, with technicals aligning toward a bearish continuation. Current Bias Bearish – momentum favors the downside after the failure to reclaim broken support and continued lower highs. Key Fundamental Drivers Stronger USD: Fed’s slower easing path due to sticky US inflation provides firm dollar support. UK Outlook: Weak GDP growth, fragile consumer demand, and signs of labor market slack keep the BoE cautious. Market Sentiment: Risk-off environment from geopolitical tensions and trade disputes favors the safe-haven dollar. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed is holding back on deeper cuts amid inflation risks, while BoE faces pressure to support growth despite inflation still above target. Economic Growth Trends: US shows resilience, while UK activity is stagnant with downward revisions to growth expectations. Commodity Flows: Rising oil and energy costs weigh more heavily on the UK due to import reliance. Geopolitical Themes: US-China trade escalation and European political risks lean in favor of the USD. Primary Risk to the Trend A dovish Fed surprise or stronger-than-expected UK inflation data could spark a GBP recovery and pressure USD. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK CPI and Retail Sales will be crucial for shaping BoE expectations. US CPI and Fed speakers will guide USD direction. Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBPUSD acts as a lagger to USD-driven moves at the moment, with the dollar setting the tone. It may influence GBP crosses like GBPJPY and EURGBP, but its primary driver remains US macro and Fed policy. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.3330 (near-term support) 1.3140 (major downside target) Resistance Levels: 1.3516 (broken support turned resistance) 1.3609 (upper rejection zone) Stop Loss (SL): 1.3609 Take Profit (TP): 1.3140 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPUSD bias is bearish, with sellers gaining momentum after a failed retest of broken structure. The USD remains supported by sticky inflation and Fed caution, while the UK economy struggles with stagnation and persistent price pressures. Unless BoE rhetoric or data signals a stronger inflation fight, the path of least resistance remains lower. With SL at 1.3609 and TP at 1.3140, the trade plan favors shorts while keeping an eye on UK CPI and US inflation data as key catalysts. Cable is a lagger here, following the broader USD trend, and risk-off sentiment only deepens the downside pressure.
Short
by ultreosforex
GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Q4 | W41 | D10 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W41 | D10 | Y25| 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
2
GBP/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup (Oct 10, 2025)📊 Technical Structure CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD is holding just above the 1.3300 support area, after a brief rebound from the support zone (1.3282–1.3299). The chart shows price trapped between support and the resistance zone (1.3375–1.3389). A corrective bounce is possible, but the overall structure remains fragile, capped by a descending trendline. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3375 (sell limit near resistance) Stop Loss: 1.3397 Take Profit 1: 1.3299 Take Profit 2: 1.3282 Risk-Reward (R:R): ≈ 1: 4.12 🌍 Macro Background The BoE’s cautious stance underpins GBP in the short term. Catherine Mann emphasized that policy must remain restrictive as inflation stays stubborn. However, the UK’s weak growth outlook and strict fiscal measures (no extra spending on wages) weigh on Sterling. On the USD side, ongoing US government shutdown risks and Fed’s dovish bias are counterbalanced by safe-haven demand, keeping the Dollar resilient. This divergence creates a choppy but overall downside bias for GBP/USD if resistance holds. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3375 – 1.3389 Support Zone: 1.3282 – 1.3299 📌 Trade Summary GBP/USD is likely to face selling pressure if it retests 1.3375 resistance. A rejection here could send the pair back toward 1.3282 support, aligning with the broader bearish structure. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
GBP/USD Bearish Trade Setup – October 9, 2025📊 Technical Structure CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD is currently trading near 1.3405, struggling to hold above the psychological 1.3400 mark. The pair remains in a downtrend, capped by a descending trendline that has consistently rejected upward moves. Price action shows consolidation just below the 1.3424–1.3437 resistance zone, with repeated failures confirming bearish momentum. The broader structure suggests rallies are being sold into, with scope for a retest of lower support levels. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3424 – 1.3437 (Resistance zone retest) Stop Loss: 1.3445 (Above trendline + resistance zone) Take Profit : 1.3337 (Key horizontal support) Risk/Reward: ~1 ；4.62 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3424 – 1.3437 Trendline Resistance: Extending from recent highs, acting as a strong bearish cap Support Zone : 1.3337 🌍 Macro Background The US Dollar (USD) remains supported by safe-haven demand amid the prolonged US government shutdown, though uncertainty in economic data releases limits bullish momentum. The Fed minutes revealed a strong inclination toward further rate cuts, but some officials warned against moving too aggressively. This mixed stance has capped USD gains, yet risk aversion continues to underpin the Greenback. Meanwhile, Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill stressed a “conservative” approach to monetary policy, signaling caution despite sticky inflation. This adds downside risk to GBP, as markets see fewer chances of near-term tightening. Overall, the combination of a firm USD and cautious BoE outlook tilts bias lower for GBP/USD. 📌 Trade Summary The GBP/USD pair remains under bearish pressure, with rallies into resistance zones likely to attract sellers. A retest of 1.3324 appears probable, with scope to extend lower if bearish momentum accelerates. As long as price remains capped below 1.3445, the bearish outlook holds. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
GBP/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup (October 8, 2025)📊 Technical Structure GBP/USD is trading near 1.3400, struggling to break above the descending trendline from September highs. Price repeatedly tested the 1.3435–1.3461 resistance zone but failed to sustain gains, confirming bearish dominance. On the downside, critical support lies at 1.3304–1.3278, which aligns with a major demand zone. Unless bulls reclaim ground above the descending trendline, the bias remains tilted lower. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3435 – 1.3461 (near resistance & trendline) Stop Loss: 1.3472 (above invalidation) Take Profit 1: 1.3304 Take Profit 2: 1.3278 Risk-to-Reward: ~1 : 4.3 🌍 Macro Background The Bank of England (BoE) has turned more cautious as sticky inflation persists, while the labor market shows signs of cooling. Markets now expect the BoE to hold rates rather than tighten further. In contrast, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has already begun cutting rates, but officials remain firm in stressing inflation risks. Markets are pricing in two more Fed rate cuts in October and December, which should weigh on the USD over the medium term. However, the ongoing US government shutdown has lifted safe-haven flows into the USD, capping GBP/USD recovery. Combining macro headwinds with the bearish technical picture, downside risk remains dominant. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3435 – 1.3461 Support Zone: 1.3304 – 1.3278 📌 Trade Summary Bearish outlook remains intact. Selling opportunities are favoured near 1.3435 resistance, targeting 1.3304 and 1.3278. A break below 1.3278 could accelerate downside momentum. Conversely, a strong breakout above 1.3490 would invalidate the bearish view. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
GBP/USD Trade Outlook – October 7, 2025🔹 Technical Structure CMCMARKETS:GBPUSD GBP/USD is currently holding around 1.3470, consolidating after losing momentum from last week’s rebound. The pair is supported by the ascending trendline and the 1.3424–1.3438 support zone, while resistance is seen at 1.3514–1.3527. Short-term price action suggests a potential dip into the support zone before buyers regain control to retest the resistance area. 📌 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3424 – 1.3438 (buy zone near support & trendline) Stop Loss: 1.3415 (below key support) Take Profit: 1.3527 Risk/Reward: ~1 : 4 🌍 Macro Background The Bank of England (BoE) remains cautious, warning that recent inflation shocks should not be dismissed as temporary. UK inflation is expected to peak around 4% in September, keeping pressure on the central bank to maintain a restrictive stance. On the US side, Fed speakers like Kansas City’s Schmid have emphasized the need to uphold inflation credibility, but markets are increasingly betting on rate cuts, with CME FedWatch showing a 94% probability of an October cut and 84% for December. Meanwhile, the US government shutdown continues, undermining confidence in the dollar and limiting the impact of otherwise supportive data. If the shutdown drags on, risk sentiment could favor GBP recovery. 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.3514 / 1.3527 Support: 1.3424 / 1.3438 Trendline Support: 1.3435 (approx.) 📝 Trade Summary The GBP/USD outlook favours a buy-the-dip strategy, as long as 1.3420 support holds. Dollar weakness tied to Fed rate cut expectations and political risks should provide medium-term upside potential, targeting the 1.3527 resistance zone. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global