GBP/USD Positioned for Gains Amid DXY BearishnessTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
On the monthly chart, GBP/USD appears overextended to the downside, showing signs of exhaustion in its bearish momentum. This overextension suggests that a reversal or correction is likely, aligning with broader dollar weakness.
Weekly Chart:
The weekly chart also indicates a slowdown in bearish pressure, with candles forming near key support zones. Buyers seem to be stepping in, reinforcing the potential for a trend shift.
Daily Chart:
The daily timeframe shows a strong bullish reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend change to the upside. This reversal is supported by the weakening DXY, which aligns with GBP/USD's upward momentum. The combination of a technical reversal and a fundamentally weaker dollar positions GBP/USD for further gains in the short to medium term.
Fundamental Analysis
Impact of the U.S. Dollar:
The bearish outlook for the DXY directly supports GBP/USD’s potential for upside:
Liquidity Grab in DXY: The recent liquidity grab above 107.348 on the DXY suggests a move lower for the dollar, which would bolster GBP/USD strength.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
Concerns over further rate cuts due to inflation risks are keeping the dollar volatile.
Seasonal labor market strength in November and December may delay immediate rate cuts, but any signs of weakening unemployment or inflation stabilization could lead to long-term dollar weakness.
Upcoming Catalysts:
Key U.S. data releases such as Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rates could create significant volatility. If unemployment increases and inflation stabilizes, GBP/USD could see stronger upward moves.
GBP Fundamentals:
UK Economic Resilience: Any positive data from the UK economy, such as improved GDP growth or strong employment figures, could further fuel GBP/USD's upward trend.
Rate Differentials: If the Bank of England maintains or raises interest rates while the Federal Reserve signals potential cuts, GBP/USD could gain additional support.
Summary and Outlook
Technical and Fundamental Alignment:
GBP/USD is well-positioned for a bullish move, supported by:
A technical reversal pattern on the daily chart, signaling strong upward momentum.
A bearish outlook for the DXY, indicating broader dollar weakness.
Key upcoming U.S. data releases that may provide further catalysts for a GBP/USD rally.
Price Expectations:
Short-Term: GBP/USD could continue its bullish push, breaking above immediate resistance levels.
Medium-to-Long-Term: With continued DXY weakness and supportive UK fundamentals, GBP/USD may sustain its upward trajectory toward major resistance zones.
GBP/USD’s technical and fundamental alignment makes this pair a strong candidate for further upside potential in the coming weeks. Traders should watch for confirmation from U.S. economic data to reinforce this analysis.
Gbpusd_forecast
GBPUSD DOWN The Pound Sterling clings to earlier gains yet trades off the weekly highs, which reached around 1.2749 during the European session. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2684, virtually unchanged.GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Although the GBP/USD is set for weekly gains of over 1.2%, price action suggests Cable didn’t find acceptance above 1.2700, which could exacerbate a pullback toward the 1.2600 figure. In that outcome, the pair’s next support would be the November 27 daily low of 1.2564, followed by the November 26 low of 1.2506. On further weakness, the November 22 pivot low of 1.2486 is on the cards.
Conversely, if GBP/USD finishes the week above 1.2700, this could pave the way for testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2818. However, buyers must clear the current week’s peak of 1.2749.
Oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hint that buyers are gathering momentum, even though the RSI remains below its neutral line.
Scenario GBPCAD continuation update levelsAccording to the previous prediction, I correctly calculated the short position and today it is just a continuation of this previous analysis with an adjustment of the level and a small description of the whole situation. With my eyes, we see resistance here at the price level of 1.78590. If the market does not break through, a peak has formed here, which ends with a triangle. For me, if there are no news that would reverse the trend, this position is short from my point of view. There may be an even smaller pull back, as I drew, we have the untested fibo level of 0.618, which is full of liquidity.
Scenario on GBPUSDWe have created a higher low on the market, which will ultimately mean for me that I will wait to see how the situation develops regarding the marked point. If the price breaks below, it still won't matter because the support is set below which the price would have to fall to start considering a short position. From this perspective, I rather like to return to the creation of a double bottom or some other formation for establishing an SFP because around the price of 1.274 - 1.2867 we don't have selected liquidity and from this price the resistance at the price of 1.3 is very close. This is just my view of the entire situation around this market.
Weekly Forex Forecast: GBPUSD Is Indicating Strength! GBPUSD had a strong close to last week. This led to a bullish BOS on the Daily TF, in the Weekly -FVG. I expect there to be a short term reaction to the imbalance, and then a resumption of the bullish momentum at the bullish FVG on the Daily TF.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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GBPUSD: Three Major Targets+DXY Dropping hard! CAPITALCOM:GBPUSD
GU has been dropping ever since we have got the election results. Due to DXY extreme bullish presence in the market. It was safe not to enter any buy positions or even selling was bit tricky in these kind of price action. However, things have changed so far, we can see DXY reversal and we are getting back to normal market conditions. Please Like and comment.
GBP/USD Trade Setup: Potential Reversal The price is approaching the lower boundary of an ascending channel, with the RSI signaling an oversold condition, suggesting a potential reversal or bounce higher. Wait for confirmation before entering a long position on GBP/USD.
Target levels:
TP1: 1.2780
TP2: 1.3000
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GBPUSD Analysis!!!Dear Traders,
I'm observing a descending channel on GU, and expecting price to approach a key resistance zone around 1.3110 - 1.3170, marked in red. I'll be looking for bearish signs with clear confirmation, in this area to consider potential short entries. Should GBPUSD respect this resistance, it may retrace downwards, targeting support levels around 1.2900 and potentially reaching the 1.2820 zone if bearish momentum persists.
However, if buyers break through the resistance, I expect further bullish movement towards the upper yellow zones. Monitoring closely for confirmations before taking any position. 🚨
Any question comment me bellow!
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28000 as a retracement. This counter-trend idea comes from the fact that price is currently reacting at an old supply zone. However, if this supply fails, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price move up and take out the trendline liquidity above. Ideally, I’d prefer to wait for price to come down to the demand zones to mitigate before aiming for a move up to capture the liquidity pool.
I’ll be watching for signs of Wyckoff accumulation within my points of interest, particularly at the 55-minute or 18-hour demand zones, depending on how price behaves.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Significant trendline liquidity to the upside that could be targeted.
- Demand zone has led to a break of structure on the upside.
- Price has been heavily bearish and may be due for a pullback.
- Several untouched Asian session highs above.
P.S. With upcoming news, including NFP and election events, I’ll likely stay on the sidelines unless a very clear setup emerges, and even then, I’ll keep risk minimal.
GbpUsd- Preparing for reversalAs I mentioned last week, I’m closely monitoring the GBP/USD pair for a potential upside reversal.
This expectation is based on the recent overlapping decline, which is contained within a channel, as well as the proximity to a significant support level.
In recent days, the pair hit a local low of 1.2912 before reversing toward 1.3000 and beginning a consolidation phase.
I believe it’s only a matter of time before GBP/USD clears the 1.3000 mark, potentially accelerating toward a target around 1.3150.
GBPUSD: +600 Pips Buying Opportunity! Comment down your views! Dear Traders,
Hope you are having a great weekend, our latest idea on GBPUSD, sell did not go well, however, we had buy entry which went well in our favour. However, after looking at the data and how price has moved, we have possible another buy entry approaching. Wait for price to come to our area and then rebound from the area towards 1.3500.
Good luck.
GBP/USD Daily Chart Analysis: Short-Term Trend Channel: The price is moving within a downward trend channel, marked in blue. This indicates continued downward pressure in the short term.
Bullish and Bearish Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: As shown by the blue arrows on the chart, the price might make a corrective move up toward the upper boundary of the channel. The target for this movement could be around the 1.32631 level. If this rise occurs, there could be potential buying opportunities.
Bearish Scenario: If the price reaches the upper boundary of the channel, it might encounter resistance and resume a downward trend. In this case, it could potentially drop back to the 1.2960 level or even lower to the support levels at 1.28166 and 1.26647.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels: The 1.33900 and 1.34450 levels are strong resistance zones. If the price reaches these levels, it may face significant selling pressure.
Support Levels: The 1.28166 and 1.26647 levels are possible support points. If the price declines to these levels, it might find upward momentum.
Risk Management: The red zone appears to be a potential stop-loss area, likely set to manage risk during the upward correction.
Trendline: The yellow trendline forms a significant support area for the price direction. As long as the price remains above this line, there’s a chance for upward movements to continue.
Overall, this analysis suggests a short-term upward correction followed by a potential continuation of the downtrend. Resistance and support levels can be monitored for entry and exit points.
GBPUSD: Two Possible Buying Opportunity! Are you buying GU?Dear colleagues,
I would like to share my analysis of the recent price action in the GBPUSD currency pair. As you may be aware, the pair was rejected at the 1.34 level after setting a new yearly high. This move lower was largely due to a sharp rally in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which was in turn driven by stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The NFP report showed that the US economy added a record 254k jobs last month, far exceeding market expectations.
As a result of this data, the GBPUSD pair is now exhibiting strong bearish momentum and is facing significant selling pressure. However, I believe that the current market conditions may present a buying opportunity. While the initial entry point may not be ideal, there is a second entry point that offers a safer and more secure opportunity to enter a long position.
In my opinion, the GBPUSD pair has the potential to rally back up to the 1.34 level as the DXY is unlikely to maintain its bullish momentum. This assessment is based on both technical and fundamental factors, which do not indicate further upside potential for the US Dollar.
I encourage you to consider this analysis and share your thoughts in the comments section below.
Here is our previous charts ON GU
And Here is our view point on DXY/USD:
While last Friday's data may have caused some temporary setbacks, I assure you that the majority of currency pairs are poised for recovery. Your continued support and dedication to your trading endeavors are greatly appreciated. May you all thrive and achieve success in the week ahead.
Team Setupsfx_
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.31600 down to 1.30000This week, my analysis for GBP/USD (GU) focuses on the continuation of the bearish trend. I’m waiting for price to retrace back to the 2-hour supply zone, where trendline liquidity is resting just below. This retracement will set up for a potential move downward.
Once price reaches the 1.30000 level, I may consider a counter-trend buy at that point. However, with structure continuing to break to the downside, my primary focus will remain on sell opportunities. The strength of the dollar is another factor, further reinforcing this bearish outlook for GU.
Confluences for GU Sells:
- Structure Break: Price has broken to the downside, leaving behind a new supply zone.
- Bearish Market Structure: Recent market movement has been bearish, supported by the rising dollar.
- Liquidity: Significant liquidity exists to the downside, awaiting to be taken.
- Strong Dollar: The bullish dollar aligns with and supports the idea of further GU declines.
P.S. If price continues downward, I’ll wait for it to tap into the next demand zone. If price rises and breaks the supply zone, a reaction from the 17-hour supply zone may offer new sell opportunities.