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Gbpusd_forecast

GBPUSD: Buy SignalPrice already broke and retested the breaker block around 1.3640–1.3645. This are is is holding and showing a strong reaction on retest. Market recently made a weak high at 1.3680 which is still untested. So price hasn't found a ceiling yet. PDH sits just below that weak high so we have some liquidity resting above. 🟢Market Execution Entry 1.36506 SL 1.362 TP 1.375 ✅ Pullback Buy Entry 1.3620–1.3625 SL 1.3600 TP 1.3680 TP2 1.3720 ✅ Breakout Buy Entry: M15 close above + retest 1.3680. SL 1.3655 TP1 1.3720 TP2 1.3750
Long
by Dynamic-Dani
GBPUSD Sellers Defend Supply Zone, Eyes Shift Toward Key SupportGBPUSD, Cable has once again struggled to push beyond the heavy resistance block around 1.3580–1.3680, with price stalling inside a supply zone and showing signs of exhaustion. The technical rejection matches up with a broader fundamental backdrop that favors USD strength while the pound faces ongoing domestic headwinds. Let’s dig deeper into the setup. Current Bias Bearish – price action is capped by a strong supply zone, and fundamentals lean toward further downside. Key Fundamental Drivers Bank of England: Recent rate cut reinforced downside pressure, and policymakers remain cautious as inflation stabilizes but growth weakens. Federal Reserve: Sticky US inflation and cautious Fed easing expectations provide underlying support for the dollar. Economic divergence: UK growth outlook remains soft compared to the US, with services PMI and retail sales lagging. Macro Context Interest rates: BoE has shifted toward a looser stance, while the Fed maintains cautious cuts. This relative policy divergence favors USD over GBP. Economic growth: UK data (manufacturing contraction, fragile GDP estimates) paints a weak backdrop. US growth, while slowing, remains stronger. Commodity flows: Oil weakness indirectly pressures GBP through reduced global demand sentiment. Geopolitical: Brexit-related trade frictions persist, adding medium-term uncertainty. Primary Risk to the Trend A dovish Fed surprise (softer CPI, faster cuts) could undercut USD strength, boosting GBP/USD. Conversely, stronger UK wage or inflation prints could temporarily support the pound. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK CPI & Retail Sales – will set tone for BoE policy outlook. US CPI and Fed commentary – crucial for USD trajectory. Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBP/USD acts as a leader within pound crosses (GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP, GBP/CHF), often setting direction. It behaves as a lagger to broader USD moves, especially after US data releases. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.3483, 1.3342 Resistance Levels: 1.3580, 1.3685 Stop Loss (SL): 1.3685 (above supply zone) Take Profit (TP): 1.3342 (major downside target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPUSD remains under pressure after repeated rejections from the 1.3580–1.3685 supply zone. With BoE leaning dovish and UK data fragile, the bias stays bearish, favoring a move toward 1.3483 and possibly 1.3342. A stop loss above 1.3685 protects against upside squeezes, while US and UK CPI will be the deciding catalysts. For now, the setup favors sellers, with clear downside targets and the dollar holding the upper hand.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
GBPUSD Faces Strong Ceiling at 1.36 – Drop to 1.32 Ahead?The first half of this year was strongly bullish for GBPUSD, with the pair climbing from 1.20 to 1.37 — a rally of nearly 1,700 pips (14%). However, after topping in July, cable corrected around 600 pips, only to find solid support at 1.32 in August. From there, a rebound followed, pushing price back up to 1.36 by the end of the month. Looking at the chart, we can see a clear technical picture: while GBPUSD has rebounded from support, it has also formed a very strong ceiling at 1.36. This zone has now been reinforced by a bearish pin bar printed just two days ago. Going forward, as I already highlighted in my DXY analysis, I expect a rebound in the USD — and this will almost certainly translate into a drop in cable. From a purely technical standpoint: • 1.36 = strong resistance, validated by the pin bar and multiple rejections. • 1.34 is the first support and can act as a soft target. • In the medium term, I expect GBPUSD to revisit 1.32. The strategy is clear: sell the rallies into resistance, as the pair appears to be at the beginning of a corrective leg lower. 🚀
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10
The Game Series | Who Wins on GBPUSD?The market is never random — it’s a game of traps and liquidity hunts played by institutions against the crowd. On GBPUSD, the story unfolds clearly: 🔻 First came the down wave, pulling traders into shorts and building liquidity at the lows. 🔺 Then, price flipped into an upside wave, climbing toward a major liquidity pool sitting above Equal Highs (EQH) and the Intraday High (IDM). Now here’s where the real game begins. Institutions don’t move without collecting fuel. That’s why a fake push down into the SSL zone near 1.3330 is likely — designed to trigger stop-losses and shake weak hands out of the market. From there, the stage is set for the strong upside push. The crowd gets trapped, liquidity gets harvested, and the real move is launched. 💡 Takeaway: Liquidity isn’t just numbers on a chart — it’s the scoreboard of the market game. The side that controls liquidity controls the outcome. 👉 Question to you: After the sweep, will the Bulls 🟢 finally secure the win, or do the Bears 🔴 still have a surprise move left?
by Nath26770
1
GBP/USD - Building Base for Renewed Bullish MomentumHi everyone, As highlighted in our previous idea, GBP/USD delivered the deeper pullback toward 1.33800 before reversing to the upside and decisively hitting our NFP trade target at 1.35300 last week. However, price lacked the momentum to break and hold above this level. Looking ahead, we anticipate a renewed attempt at 1.35300 this week from the 1.34580–1.34880 zone. A successful break and retest of support should give GBP/USD the platform to mount a challenge toward the 1.36850 resistance area. A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700. We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe, BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
GBP/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Potential The GBP/USD 30-minute chart shows price moving within an ascending trendline but recently stalling near resistance around 1.3550–1.3560. The Ichimoku cloud suggests weakening bullish momentum, with price struggling to sustain above the support line. Bearish Setup: A breakdown below the ascending trendline and cloud support around 1.3500 could trigger stronger downside pressure. Targets: If selling momentum continues, price may test the 1.3420 and 1.3395 support levels. Stop Loss: A safe invalidation zone lies above 1.3550–1.3560, where further upside would invalidate the bearish scenario. 🔎 Overall, GBP/USD looks vulnerable to a short-term pullback unless it reclaims strong bullish momentum above 1.3550.
Short
by KingProTrader
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis - Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis 📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25 Good day, Traders 👋 While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉. I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades. Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈 — FRGNT 🔐 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Long Position Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 POST NY 📊 GBPUSD – Long Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas: ✅ Daily 50EMA ✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone) ✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift. 📌 Key Considerations: Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long 🎯 Plan: Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk. No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation. – FRGNT As per Forecast. FX:GBPUSD
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🕯️ The previous daily candle closed bullish, and importantly, above the 50EMA. This signals a shift in short-term daily bias to the upside, indicating that bullish momentum may be building. 📌 A previous bullish daily candle has left behind a 4H Order Block and an imbalance, both sitting within a broader daily POI. Within this POI, we can identify refined 1H and 15-minute order blocks and voids — key zones to monitor for reaction and structure alignment. These levels become our points of interest for potential long setups. 🧠 Execution Plan: No blind entries at the POI. I’ll be closely watching lower timeframes (M15/M5) for a clean Break of Structure (BOS) or a liquidity sweep followed by bullish confirmation. If those conditions are met, I’ll look for a long entry, keeping risk tightly managed. If price fails to hold the POI or shifts bearish, I’ll stay out and wait for clarity. 🎯 Summary: Bias: Bullish (with confirmation) Focus: Refined entries from lower timeframe structure shifts Risk: Capped and only deployed with valid confirmations Mindset: Patient, mechanical, and reactive to price — not predictions. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Q3 W35 D39 Y25 LDN/NY XOVER FORECAST LONG📊 GBPUSD – Potential Long Setup Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas: ✅ Daily 50EMA ✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone) ✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift. 📌 Key Considerations: Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long 🎯 Plan: Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk. No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation. – FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD – PCE Data Could Set the Breakout🔹 Market Context Traders are waiting for the US PCE Price Index today. Forecasts suggest the data will likely be unchanged from the previous month, which could give the USD slight strength in the short term. GBPUSD is now trading inside a symmetrical triangle, and PCE may act as the catalyst for the breakout. 🔹 Technical Outlook (H2 Chart) Support zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 (demand + trendline confluence). Next key support: 1.3340 – 1.3350. Resistance zones: 1.3550 – 1.3580 and 1.3660. Scenarios to Watch: 1️⃣ Bullish Setup If price holds above 1.3430 – 1.3450 and breaks the triangle resistance → Targets: 1.3550 – 1.3580, then 1.3660 if momentum continues. 2️⃣ Bearish Setup If PCE data boosts USD and GBPUSD breaks below 1.3430, Downside targets: 1.3340, with extension toward 1.3300. 🔹 Trading Plan (reference only) Buy Zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 SL: 1.3400 TP: 1.3550 – 1.3580 → 1.3660 Sell Zone: break below 1.3430 SL: 1.3480 TP: 1.3340 → 1.3300 ✅ Summary: GBPUSD is at a make-or-break level. The 1.3430 pivot zone is the key to watch ahead of PCE. A bounce from here favors bulls toward 1.3550+, while a breakdown could trigger a deeper move into 1.3340.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25 🔍 Daily Forecast | GBPUSD Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈: 📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position. This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles: Max 1% risk per trade Execute only at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2) 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk. "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊 FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast — Q3 W35 D27 Y25📈 GBPUSD Daily Forecast — Q3 W35 D27 Y25 We’re rolling into D27 with some serious long POIs (Points of Interest) lining up. Here’s the current picture: 📍 Price is sitting on the Daily 50 EMA → This level alone is a key support and rejection zone. → We're watching closely for a reaction. 🔍 Trade Scenarios: 🟢 Aggressive Entry Look for a lower-timeframe break of structure (BoS) Enter on the confirmation and aim to move to break even quickly. 🟡 Conservative Entry Wait for a 15-min BoS Then enter on a pullback into OBs or imbalances, several of which align with the Daily 50 EMA. 🧭 Either approach offers a solid R:R if managed well. 🌍 Session Expectations – London Open We expect London to open at the lows of Asia Look for a liquidity sweep → followed by a push to fill Asia highs. ✅ Even without higher confluence, this is a solid intraday opportunity. ⚠️ Final Notes: Manage risk 💼 Trade one setup at a time 🎯 Stack confluence, and execute with confidence 💡 Trade well, stay sharp. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Q3 W35 D26 Y25 Recap & Daily Forecast📉 GBPUSD – Q3 W35 D26 Y25 Recap & Outlook 📈 🏦 Monday (Bank Holiday Recap) UK Bank Holiday 🇬🇧 led to reduced liquidity. 📉 Price slid, filling the daily imbalance we forecasted ✅ 🎯 Short setups paid off — hope you bagged some profits! 💰💼 🔮 Tuesday Game Plan: 🧭 Primary Bias: Bullish (After Liquidity Sweep) 📉 Expecting price to dip into: 🟡 Daily 50 EMA 🕓 4H, 1H & LTF Order Blocks 🔲 🔍 Looking for: ⚡️ LTF Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation 🚀 Then enter long positions 🌏 Asia Session Outlook: Ideally: Asia closes at the lows ⬇️ 🧲 This gives us confluence for: 🕗 London Open liquidity sweep 📈 Snap long to fill Asia range 📌 Key Watch Zones: 📎 Daily 50 EMA – Strong reaction area 🧱 4H OBs – High-probability demand 🔄 London Open sweep – Watch for fakeout & reversal 🔑 Wait for structure shift – No confirmation, no trade! 🚫 FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D25 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D25 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT