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Gbpusdanalysis

GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD Set to Drop to 1.03600SPREADEX:GBP / AMEX:USD (3W) The British Pound (GBP) is under siege, and the setup for GBP/USD screams downside. We're seeing a confluence of weak UK fundamentals, divergent monetary policies, and speculative positioning that's stacking up against Sterling. Elliott Wave analysis aligns perfectly with this—labeling an irregular expanded flat correction in a broader downtrend, targeting new lows below 1.03600 from the current 1.34310 spot. Weekly COT Report Highlights: • US Dollar (USD): Traders were net-short the US dollar by -6.1 billion (-0.5b w/w) • European dollar (EUR): Asset managers increased net-long exposure to a 19-month high • British pound (GBP): Large speculators increased net-short exposure by 6.2k contracts • Japanese yen (JPY): Net-long exposure rose 12.5k contracts combined across large specs and asset managers • Australian dollar (AUD): Traders most bearish in 16 months • Canadian dollar (CAD): Net-short exposure increased by 12k contracts • Crude Oil (WTI): Managed funds cut net-long exposure by -10.7k contracts, a 15-year low Hedge funds are aggressively shorting GBP/USD: ➖ Macro funds like Bridgewater are likely involved, with IG reporting a 150% surge in short positions amid UK fiscal risks (30-year gilt yields at 5.75%). ➖ Recent news (June-August 2025) highlights UK fiscal turmoil (record £14B bond sale), stagflation risks (inflation projected at 3.6%, growth at 1.0-1.3%), and trade headwinds from US tariffs. ➖ Economic data: UK GDP +0.3% QoQ vs. US +0.8%, unemployment rising, and PMI below average. Debt-to-GDP at 96%. ➖ Rates: BoE cut to 4% (3 more cuts by 2026), Fed at 4.25-4.5% (2 cuts in 2025), widening the differential. DXY forecast: Rebound to 98-100 by Q4, potentially hitting 100+, amplifying GBP/USD downside. Conclusion: GBP/USD likely to fall from 1.34310 to 1.03600, targeting 1.20-1.15 short-term. #GBP #GBPUSD #Trading
Short
by SergioRichi
GBPUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D3 | Y25 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
DeGRAM | GBPUSD under the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● GBP/USD rejected the 1.3590 resistance and sharply reversed, confirming a failed breakout and resumption of the descending channel structure. ● Price is now holding below 1.3390, and continuation lower could expose 1.3250 and extend toward the 1.3140 support zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Pound sentiment weakened after UK PMI data signaled softer business activity, while renewed dollar demand followed stronger US labor metrics, reinforcing bearish pressure on GBP/USD. ✨ Summary Bearish below 1.3390; targets 1.3250 → 1.3140. Invalidation on a close above 1.3590. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
2
GBP/USD Exchange Rate TumblesGBP/USD Exchange Rate Tumbles As today’s GBP/USD chart shows, the pound sterling fell by nearly 1% against the US dollar in just one hour, forming an exceptionally long bearish candle. The sharp drop was driven by concerns over public finances and a broad sell-off in the bond market. According to Reuters, the yield on UK 30-year government bonds hit 5.69% – the highest level since May 1998 – highlighting the elevated risk premium. Technical analysis of GBP/USD Price Chart When analysing the pair’s movements in July, we questioned GBP/USD’s ability to sustain growth. Since then, the chart has developed a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a bearish A→B→C→D structure. At the end of August, the pair consolidated between the Support and Resistance lines shown on the chart. Factors reinforcing the bearish context and confirming earlier doubts include: → a failed bullish breakout attempt (marked with a red arrow); → Liquidity Grab patterns above previous highs (marked with black arrows). What could happen next? Today’s decline highlights a strong resistance zone formed by: → the breakout level of August’s support around 1.3462; → the upper boundary of the descending channel. Bulls may find some support at the psychological 1.3400 level. However, if pressure increases (particularly if new bearish fundamental drivers emerge), GBP/USD could slide towards the median of the descending channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls in ControlMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls in Control GBP/USD started a fresh increase above 1.3500. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound is eyeing more gains above 1.3500. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.3530 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD, the pair formed a base above the 1.3390 level. The British Pound started a steady increase above 1.3440 against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis. The pair gained strength above 1.3465 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It even cleared the 1.3500 handle and tested 1.3530. It is now consolidating gains below 1.3530. The pair is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3446 swing low to the 1.3529 high. It seems like the bulls might aim for more gains. The RSI moved above the 50 level on the GBP/USD chart and the pair could soon aim for an upside break above a key bearish trend line at 1.3530. An upside break above 1.3530 could send the pair toward 1.3545. Any more gains might open the doors for a test of 1.3620. If there is a downside correction, immediate support is near the 1.3500 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The first major support could be near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.3485. The next pivot level sits near 1.3445. If there is a break below 1.3445, the pair could extend the decline. In the stated case, it could drop and test 1.3420. Any more losses might call for a move toward 1.3390. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis - Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis 📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25 Good day, Traders 👋 While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉. I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades. Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈 — FRGNT 🔐 FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD - Support Intact, Bulls Targeting Fresh HighsHi everyone, As highlighted in our previous idea, we were looking for a pullback into the 1.34400–1.34750 support zone before a renewed push higher toward the 1.36850 resistance level. While the Cable managed to hold support, it lacked the momentum to break above the 1.35300 level. Looking ahead, we anticipate a renewed attempt this week, with price likely targeting the 1.36850 resistance area. However, a deeper pullback toward 1.33800 before appreciation remains a scenario firmly on our radar. A decisive break above 1.36850 would bring the next key upside targets into focus. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on GBP/USD. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see how this structure develops in the sessions ahead. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to continue extending from the 1.20991 January low toward 1.40000 and 1.41700. We’ll keep you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe, BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
1
GBPUSD: IF This... Then That! Happy September!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 1 - 5th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: GBPUSD The GBPUSD has been a little more bearish than EURUSD. There was a clear -BOS at the end of July, followed by 2 weekly bullish closes in August. The last two weeks have been ranging, but still in the corrective territory. Price has retraced into Supply, and could potentially drop from these current price levels. If price continues move higher, closing above the ranging consolidation, then buys are warranted. A Daily bearish BOS will be the key price action I need to see to look for shorts to the relative equal lows. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
GBPUSD – Long Position Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 POST NY 📊 GBPUSD – Long Overview Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas: ✅ Daily 50EMA ✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone) ✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift. 📌 Key Considerations: Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long 🎯 Plan: Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk. No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation. – FRGNT As per Forecast. FX:GBPUSD
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Daily Chart Analysis Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🕯️ The previous daily candle closed bullish, and importantly, above the 50EMA. This signals a shift in short-term daily bias to the upside, indicating that bullish momentum may be building. 📌 A previous bullish daily candle has left behind a 4H Order Block and an imbalance, both sitting within a broader daily POI. Within this POI, we can identify refined 1H and 15-minute order blocks and voids — key zones to monitor for reaction and structure alignment. These levels become our points of interest for potential long setups. 🧠 Execution Plan: No blind entries at the POI. I’ll be closely watching lower timeframes (M15/M5) for a clean Break of Structure (BOS) or a liquidity sweep followed by bullish confirmation. If those conditions are met, I’ll look for a long entry, keeping risk tightly managed. If price fails to hold the POI or shifts bearish, I’ll stay out and wait for clarity. 🎯 Summary: Bias: Bullish (with confirmation) Focus: Refined entries from lower timeframe structure shifts Risk: Capped and only deployed with valid confirmations Mindset: Patient, mechanical, and reactive to price — not predictions. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD Q3 W35 D39 Y25 LDN/NY XOVER FORECAST LONG📊 GBPUSD – Potential Long Setup Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Forecasting a continued dip into key confluence areas: ✅ Daily 50EMA ✅ 1H Order Block (Demand Zone) ✅ 4H Imbalance currently being filled This aligns with our higher time frame bullish bias, and we are now watching for signs of reversal and structure shift. 📌 Key Considerations: Waiting for price to tap into the 1H OB and show bullish intent Preferably during or just after the NY Open (13:30/14:30 BST) when volume kicks in A Break of Structure (BOS) on the lower timeframes (M5/M15) is required before executing a long 🎯 Plan: Let price come to the zone → Watch for BOS → Execute with defined risk. No BOS = no trade. Stay mechanical. Wait for confirmation. – FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPUSD – PCE Data Could Set the Breakout🔹 Market Context Traders are waiting for the US PCE Price Index today. Forecasts suggest the data will likely be unchanged from the previous month, which could give the USD slight strength in the short term. GBPUSD is now trading inside a symmetrical triangle, and PCE may act as the catalyst for the breakout. 🔹 Technical Outlook (H2 Chart) Support zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 (demand + trendline confluence). Next key support: 1.3340 – 1.3350. Resistance zones: 1.3550 – 1.3580 and 1.3660. Scenarios to Watch: 1️⃣ Bullish Setup If price holds above 1.3430 – 1.3450 and breaks the triangle resistance → Targets: 1.3550 – 1.3580, then 1.3660 if momentum continues. 2️⃣ Bearish Setup If PCE data boosts USD and GBPUSD breaks below 1.3430, Downside targets: 1.3340, with extension toward 1.3300. 🔹 Trading Plan (reference only) Buy Zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450 SL: 1.3400 TP: 1.3550 – 1.3580 → 1.3660 Sell Zone: break below 1.3430 SL: 1.3480 TP: 1.3340 → 1.3300 ✅ Summary: GBPUSD is at a make-or-break level. The 1.3430 pivot zone is the key to watch ahead of PCE. A bounce from here favors bulls toward 1.3550+, while a breakdown could trigger a deeper move into 1.3340.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD – Intraday Analysis Short Update Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – Intraday Short Analysis Update Q3 | W35 | D29 | Y25 🧠 Primary Bias: Long However, if price reaches the short-term POI first, I’ll be open to a counter-trend short into the area of long interest. This keeps me flexible, but still aligned with the higher time frame bias. 🔍 Technical Insight: Price has now broken structure on the 15-minute, creating a new low, which signals short-term weakness. This move has left behind both a 1H and 15-minute Order Block, located around the previous daily highs. That level also coincides with a daily wick that remains unfilled — an ideal target for a potential short trigger before looking for longs lower. 📌 Plan of Action: If price returns to the short POI (1H/15m OB at previous daily highs), I’ll monitor for: Lower timeframe confirmation (M5/M1 BOS or liquidity sweep) Signs of short-term rejection If confirmed, I’ll consider shorting into the long POI, where I’ll then be looking for bullish confirmation to align with the higher time frame bias. No confirmation = no trade. Risk stays capped at 1% or less. 🎯 Be flexible in analysis, but mechanical in execution. Let price lead. You follow with discipline. – FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Long Setup: Strong Services & Weak USD in FocusToday, we will examine the long position of GBPUSD ( OANDA:GBPUSD ) together from a fundamental and technical perspective . Please stay with me. GBPUSD Fundamental Analysis : GBP Strength Signals: CPI y/y: 3.8% vs 3.7% expected → higher inflation → less likelihood of rate cuts → supports GBP. Flash Services PMI: 53.6 vs 51.8 expected → strong service sector → positive for GBP. GBP Weak Signals: Flash Manufacturing PMI: 47.3 vs 48.2 expected → contraction in manufacturing → short-term pressure on GBP. USD Weak Signals: US Unemployment Claims: 235K vs 226K expected → weaker labor market → negative for USD. Summary: Overall, data favors GBP over USD. Short-term to medium-term, GBPUSD is likely to show upside momentum, driven by strong services, higher inflation, and weaker USD labor data. Watch for upcoming US data or Fed comments that could change this bias. Note: Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will publish soon. Note: Tomorrow, we will have Fed Chair Powell speak. ------------------------------------------ Now let's take a technical look at the GBPUSD on the 4-hour timeframe . GBPUSD is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.343-$1.313) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . In terms of Elliott wave theory , GBPUSD seems to have completed the corrective waves . The first signal to confirm the end of the corrective waves could be the break of the upper line of the descending channel . The corrective wave structure is most likely a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect GBPUSD to rise to at least $1.357 AFTER the break of the upper line of the descending channel . Second Target: $1.363 Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3326 USD = Worst Stop Loss(SL) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. British Pound / U.S Dollar Analysis (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18
GBPUSD shorts due to better than expect US Eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
Short
by NDOBObanks
GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25 🔍 Daily Forecast | GBPUSD Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈: 📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position. This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles: Max 1% risk per trade Execute only at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2) 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk. "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊 FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD Is Falling: Here's Why Selling Could Be RiskyFenzoFx—GBP/USD displaced below $1.3446 minor support in today's trading session. This dip in the price could be a trap for two major reasons: There is a smooth equal highs at $1.3490, and above it exists the weekly opening gap. The market tends to invalidate equal highs and fill the weekly opening gap price. Therefore, selling at the current price is risky. We suggest using the weekly opening gap to plan a bearish trade. If this scenario unfolds, we expect GBP/USD to target the equal lows at $1.3399. This setup provides a 1 to 4 risk to reward.
by FenzoFxBroker