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Gc1!!

XAUUSD Has Left the buildingOn the way up, we first found support at the L-MLH (1). Then the Centerline stepped in as resistance (2), but it eventually couldn’t hold price down. Eating through the Centerline like a mouse through cheese, price found support again at (2) before blasting upward to the U-MLH — and quickly through it. Once again, the U-MLH turned from prior resistance into fresh support. From there, price mirrored (2), moving sideways before blasting off to the moon! 🚀 I’m surprised that WL1 offered no resistance at all. Now that we’ve left WL1 behind, WL2 is the next target. Watching the show patiently.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HowToChart
GOLD surpasses historical peak - waiting for boost from NFPNews of the past week: OANDA:XAUUSD approaches historical peak, benefits from US tariffs and geopolitical tensions • In the trading session on September 26, the spot gold price surpassed the $3,760/ounce mark and fluctuated around $3,780, just a short distance from the historical peak of $3,791 set earlier this week. This is also the sixth consecutive week of increase for the precious metal, thanks to increased demand for safe havens in the context of new US tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions. • The August personal consumption expenditures (PCE) inflation report contained few surprises: Core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month, in line with forecasts and below July's initial 0.3% reading (which was later revised down). Year-over-year, core PCE held steady at 2.9%, still above the Fed's 2% target. Total PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month, up from July's 0.2% reading; year-over-year, it edged up to 2.7% from 2.6%. • This inflationary trend has weakened the US dollar, providing additional support for gold prices. However, the Fed’s monetary policy picture remains cautious. After cutting interest rates by 25 basis points last week, many Fed officials have stressed that there is no need to rush to ease further as price pressures persist despite signs of a slowdown in the labor market. • Meanwhile, U.S. economic data released on Thursday, including stronger-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth and lower jobless claims, added to the Fed’s concerns, potentially complicating the path to rate cuts, while gold continues to benefit from haven demand and a fraught political and trade environment. This week: Global markets await US jobs data and signals from the Fed • From September 29 to October 4, global financial markets will be watching the speeches of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials after the September interest rate cut. The biggest highlight is the non-farm payroll (NFP) report released on Friday, a factor that could shape the interest rate path at the Fed's meeting in late October. • At the start of the week, the Eurozone will release a series of data on economic sentiment, consumer confidence and industrial climate, important indicators to check the possibility of escaping the risk of stagflation. On Tuesday, Australia decides on its benchmark interest rate, Japan publishes its policy summary, while China releases its manufacturing PMI. Germany also releases CPI and retail sales on the same day. In the US, Chicago PMI and JOLTs employment data will be released, along with a series of speeches from regional Fed presidents, where views on interest rate cuts are clearly divided. • Wednesday will see the US ADP jobs report and the Eurozone harmonized CPI, which are key data for ECB policy. In addition, the final PMIs from the Eurozone, Germany, France and the UK will be released. The Fed continues its series of speeches, including from the Vice Chairman, which will further focus the market on the employment-inflation balance. • The climax comes on Friday when the US releases its September non-farm payrolls. If the data is weaker than expected, the chances of the Fed cutting interest rates by another 25 basis points in October will increase, weakening the USD and supporting gold prices. Conversely, strong data could reverse expectations and strengthen the greenback. On the same day, Japan releases its unemployment rate, adding to the currency market. • Overall, this week is a clash of economic data and policy guidance. NFP will be a key measure to break the Fed’s current balance, while European and Japanese data reflect global policy divergence. For investors, gold and the US dollar are likely to be volatile, while crude oil will be influenced by inventory data and Chinese PMIs. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Summary: Gold on the daily chart is running in a clear uptrend channel, buyers are still in control but need to pay attention to the accumulation phase and high RSI before entering orders. Technical perspective • Main trend: Strong increase — price is fluctuating in a clear uptrend channel, tops/cores/bottoms are all making lower and higher lows → bullish structure is intact. • Moving average (MA): Short-term MA is pointing up, price is above MA → confirms the uptrend and MA acts as dynamic support when there is a pullback. • Key support: ~3,720–3,738 USD/oz (near support/lower consolidation band); stronger support around 3,629–3,630 (previous bottom). • Technical resistance/target: immediate resistance ~3,791 USD (recent top). Fibonacci targets if broken: 3,825 (0.5) → 3,872 (0.618) → 3,938 (0.786) → extension to ~4,022 (extension). • RSI & momentum: RSI is in high territory but not yet giving strong reversal signals — momentum remains positive but warns of technical correction risk. Risk management tips & signals to watch • Split orders, don't go all-in; limit risk to 1–2% of account per order. • Monitor RSI: if you see a negative Divergence + a strong bearish candle closing below the lower channel boundary, postpone the Buy. • Macro news (PCE, NFP, Fed speech) can create a strong gap, it is best to use Stop Trading around those events. • If it breaks below 3,630 with high Volume, the Bullish Scenario is null, need to switch to capital preservation. Basic scenario: still prioritize long because of the bullish structure and MA support. However, smart Trades buy with a plan, have disciplined Stop, and don't forget: gold likes macro Drama, so keep a flexible mentality. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3813 - 3811⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3817 →Take Profit 1 3805 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3799 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3753 - 3755⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3749 →Take Profit 1 3761 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3767
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
4
Gold Update 29SEP2025: Top Is Soon, Then PullbackGold Futures are following the projected path closely The first target at $3,900 is now just "miles" away This level could mark the top of wave (3) of ((5)) After that, we might see a pullback to around $3,660 in wave (4) of ((5)), which typically revisits the low of the smaller wave 4 On the 4-hour chart, RSI shows bearish divergence, as it fails to confirm the new high at $3,859 with a lower peak Despite this signal, the market could still reach the $3,900 level Once wave (4) of ((5)) completes, we can reassess and project wave (5) of ((5)) — which might form as a triangle or another complex correction.
COMEX:GC1!
by aibek
XAUUSD targeting 3860 with the 1H MA50 supporting.Gold (XAUUSD) has entered a new Channel Up pattern by turning its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support. The last time it formed such a pattern after a -2.00% decline was during September 19 - 23. Both fractals are identical in structure both in 1H MA50 and Channel terms. The previous Channel Up eventually peaked a little above the 2.0 Fibonacci, which more than covers our 3860 Target. The pattern gets technically invalidated if the 1H MA50 breaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Sep 29 - Oct 03]This week, after opening at $3,683/oz, OANDA:XAUUSD prices jumped to $3,791/oz after NATO forces intercepted three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets when they violated Estonian airspace, causing investors to worry about an escalation of the NATO-Russia conflict. However, after that, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's cautious tone about further interest rate cuts, along with the US GDP data in the second quarter soaring to 3.8%, pushed gold prices down to $3,717/oz. Gold prices then recovered and closed the week at $3,760/oz. Next week, the US will announce the non-farm payroll (NFP) figures for September, which are expected to reach 51,000 jobs, much higher than the 22,000 jobs in August. The recovery in NFP figures compared to the previous period is also natural when the US economy still maintains its growth momentum. However, according to many experts, the September NFP may only be around the expected level, and it is unlikely to exceed the expected level of 51,000 jobs, because US businesses are still facing difficulties due to tariffs and have not expanded their recruitment activities this month. If the NFP is only below 51,000 jobs, this will still be a concern for the FED, forcing the agency to consider further interest rate cuts, supporting the gold price next week to move closer to 3,800 USD/oz, or even exceed this level. 📌In terms of technical analysis, the average price calculated for the D1 chart corresponds to 3,425-3,450 USD/oz. Since breaking through the peak of 3,500 USD/oz, the gold price has increased by approximately 300 USD. Technical indicators signal an overbought state, but the gold price has not shown any signs of a correction. The next resistance zones are based on round resistance levels such as 3,800-4,000 USD/oz. In the near future, if the gold price continues to increase, it may touch around 3,800-3,850 USD/oz. In case of a correction, the price will return to around 3,650 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. • Key support: ~3,720–3,738 USD/oz (near support/lower consolidation band); stronger support around 3,629–3,630 (previous bottom). • Technical resistance/target: immediate resistance ~3,791 USD (recent top). Fibonacci targets if broken: 3,825 (0.5) → 3,872 (0.618) → 3,938 (0.786) → extension to ~4,022 (extension). SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3824 - 3822⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3828 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3659 - 3661⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3655
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: MASSIVE BREAKOUT IMMINENT! Multi-Timeframe Analysis# 🚀 XAUUSD: MASSIVE BREAKOUT IMMINENT! Multi-Timeframe Analysis 📊 Closing Price: $3,761.24 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰ UTC +4 📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days) 🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: $3,755 - $3,760 📍 Stop Loss: $3,740 🛑 Target 1: $3,785 🎯 Target 2: $3,810 🚀 🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: $3,770 - $3,775 📍 Stop Loss: $3,790 🛑 Target 1: $3,730 🎯 Target 2: $3,700 📉 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN 📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS: RSI (14): 67.2 ⚡ *Approaching Overbought* Bollinger Bands: Price at Upper Band 🔥 VWAP: $3,752 - Acting as Dynamic Support 💪 EMA 20: $3,748 ✅ *Bullish Cross Confirmed* Volume: Above Average 📊 *Institutional Interest* 🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS: Elliott Wave suggests we're in Wave 3 of larger uptrend 🌊 Fibonacci Extension: $3,820 (161.8% target) 🎯 🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS: Bullish Gartley completion at $3,745 ✨ PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) active 🔄 ⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks) 🚀 BULLISH TARGETS: Weekly Resistance: $3,820 🏆 Monthly Target: $3,880 🌙 Gann Square of 9: $3,900 ⭐ 📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION: Weekly Support: $3,680 ⚠️ Critical Level: $3,650 🚨 🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE: Trend: Strong Bullish 💪 Momentum: Accelerating 🔥 Wyckoff Phase: Mark-up Phase 📈 Ichimoku: All systems GREEN 🟢 ⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT: Max Risk per Trade: 2% 🛡️ R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:2 ⚖️ Position Size: Based on volatility 📏 🌍 MARKET CATALYSTS: - Fed Policy Meeting Next Week 🏛️ - Geopolitical Tensions Supporting Gold 🌐 - Dollar Weakness Continuing 💵 🎯 FINAL VERDICT: Gold shows STRONG BULLISH BIAS with multiple confluences aligning! 🚀 Watch for breakout above $3,775 for explosive move to $3,820+ 💥 Trade Management: Trail stops every 4H close above entry 📈 Key Level to Watch: $3,752 VWAP support 👀 --- *⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is for educational purposes only.* For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 🔔 Follow for Daily Updates | 💬 Comment Your Thoughts Below
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by sunya
GOLD falls slightly, market awaits inflation dataIn the Asian trading session on Friday morning (September 26), spot OANDA:XAUUSD hovered around 3,747 USD/ounce, as if "listening" for important news: the upcoming US PCE inflation data. This is considered an information bomb that can cause the gold market, US Dollar and stocks to shake strongly. Earlier, on Thursday, gold lost steam when the number of unemployment claims in the US unexpectedly decreased. Specifically, the US Department of Labor reported that the week ending September 20 had only 218,000 applications, lower than the forecast of 235,000 and down 14,000 compared to the previous week. This news reduced the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would quickly cut interest rates. However, gold prices still closed up 0.36% at $3,749.36/ounce, after rising as much as 0.6%. Also in the week, gold hit a historic peak of $3,790.82/ounce on Tuesday, a figure that made many investors “just sit and watch the chart and sigh with regret, just like AD, reviving when preparing to go to the island”. According to CME's FedWatch tool, the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in October is now priced by the market at 85%, down from 90% before the employment data was released. In other words, the Fed is still holding the knife, just hasn't decided whether to cut the "interest rate" yet. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its PCE index for August today. Forecasts show PCE rising 2.7% year-on-year, up from 2.6% previously. The core PCE (excluding volatile energy and food prices) is expected to rise 2.9%, the same as in July. Since this is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, any higher-than-expected figure could strengthen the US dollar, sending gold tumbling in the short term. Gold, by its nature, does not generate interest. It only really shines in a low-interest-rate environment, which investors are hoping the Fed will soon bring. Analysis of the technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD prices Main Trend Gold is still in a fairly clear uptrend channel. The price is fluctuating around 3,739 USD/oz, approaching the midline of the uptrend channel. Short-term trend: up but with slight corrections. Important resistance 3,779 USD (Fib 0.382): if broken, gold can quickly test 3,825 - 3,872 USD. 3,938 - 4,022 USD: strong resistance zone, reaching the top of the uptrend channel, easy to take profit. Important support 3,738 USD (current price). 3,720 USD (Fib 0.236 + nearest MA zone). 3,706 USD: strong support, breaking this zone, there is a risk of returning to test 3,628 USD. RSI Still above 60, indicating the market is still biased towards buyers, but showing signs of being a bit “overextended”. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3815 - 3813⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3819 →Take Profit 1 3807 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3801 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3682 - 3684⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3678 →Take Profit 1 3690 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3696
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Powell tightens, Dollar flies high, GOLD is falling!US Dollar Accelerates, Gold “Slides” After Fed Chairman Powell’s Cautious Speech OANDA:XAUUSD spot prices plunged in the latest session as the US dollar and Treasury yields rose in tandem, following a cautious speech by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell: “Caution remains the priority” In his speech on Tuesday, Mr. Powell said the Fed still needs to carefully consider the two parallel risks: high inflation and a weak labor market. According to him, current monetary policy is still “sufficient to respond to the underlying economic developments,” although it is still limited. Powell this time appeared “more open but tough,” as if to emphasize that the Fed cannot rush to cut interest rates when inflationary pressures are still persistent. Yields and US Dollar put pressure The sharp fall in gold prices also came from rising US Treasury yields. The 10-year yield inched up 3 basis points to 4.137%, while real yields rose nearly 3.5 basis points to 1.767%. This made gold, which does not yield interest, less attractive. The US dollar index (DXY) also rose 0.66% to 97.85, making US dollar-denominated gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies. Markets await US economic data Traders are now focused on US GDP data, jobless claims and personal consumption expenditure (PCE) for fresh clues on monetary policy. The gold market is reacting to both the Fed comments and geopolitical tensions. Russia-Ukraine tensions and the haven factor On the geopolitical front, US President Donald Trump unexpectedly declared support for Ukraine, asserting that “Kiev can take back all its territory”. At the same time, the Ukrainian army said it had attacked two oil pumping stations in Volgograd (Russia). In the context of instability, gold is often considered a safe haven. However, with the acceleration of the dollar and bond yields, the pressure on gold is still quite large. Outlook The Fed will continue to rely on economic data to make decisions, thereby directly affecting the US dollar, interest rates and market sentiment. Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at each of its remaining meetings in 2025, with another cut in the first quarter of 2026. However, with interest rates still an “unknown” factor, gold, which does not generate income, will find it difficult to break out if the Fed does not send a clear signal about the pace of policy easing. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD Overall Trend • The daily chart (D1) shows that gold has been in an uptrend channel since August, with breakout candles accompanied by high volume. • Current price: 3,734 USD/oz (after testing resistance near 3,750 – 3,791). • The main trend is still up, but the price is having a technical correction after a hot rally. Key technical milestones Key Technical Levels • Near Resistance:  3,791 USD (Fib 0.382 + recent high).  3,825 USD (Fib 0.5). • Far Resistance:  3,872 USD (Fib 0.618).  3,938 USD (Fib 0.786).  4,022 USD (maximum target according to Fib 1.0). • Important Support:  3,720 USD (Fib 0.236 + MA zone).  3,628 USD (Fib 0.0 – stronger support, in case of deep correction). RSI • RSI has reached the overbought zone (>70) and cooled down → supporting a short-term correction before continuing to increase. Personal trading idea • Entry 1 (cautious): Wait for the price to correct to 3.720 – 3.730 (nearby support) to buy. • Entry 2 (risky): Can enter immediately when the price holds above 3.734 with a short stoploss. • Stoploss: Below 3.700 (safer than below 3.628 if you want to hold long-term). • Take Profit (TP): o TP1: 3.791 (nearby resistance). o TP2: 3.825 (Fib 0.5). o TP3: 3.872 – 3.938 (strong resistance). o Further: 4.022 (maximum target in an uptrend). SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3767 - 3765⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3771 →Take Profit 1 3759 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3763 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3700 - 3702⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3696 →Take Profit 1 3708 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3714
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD has all-round support, Fed, geopoliticsOn September 23, the OANDA:XAUUSD market experienced a “roller coaster”: initially soaring to a record $3,791/ounce in the European session, then cooling significantly when the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke. However, gold still closed higher than at the beginning of the day, showing that the big uptrend has not been shaken. As of the time of writing, gold has adjusted down slightly to $3,754/oz, equivalent to a decrease of 0.25% and about $10 on the day. What keeps gold “shining”? • Fed monetary policy: Powell stressed that the Fed must balance high inflation with a weakening job market. The Fed cut interest rates last week and the FedWatch tool shows a nearly 90% chance of further cuts in October. Lower interest rates make gold more attractive than bonds or savings. • Fed view: While Powell has been cautious, other officials such as Bowman have warned that the Fed may be “slowing down” and need to cut interest rates faster if the economy worsens. This further reinforces expectations that gold will benefit. • Hot geopolitics: NATO accused Russia of repeatedly violating the airspace of member countries, while Russia-Ukraine tensions were further complicated by the latest statement from former President Donald Trump. After meeting with President Zelensky, Trump unexpectedly strongly supported the possibility of Ukraine regaining all of its territory. This escalation of tensions has caused a sharp increase in safe-haven demand for gold. • Market demand: Commerzbank pointed out that in addition to interest rates, factors such as ETF capital flows, doubts about the independence of the Fed and global political risks are simultaneously pushing up gold prices. Fundamental Outlook: Investors are focusing on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, due later this week. If inflation continues to run hot, the Fed may be more cautious, but the pressure of US public debt and international instability remains a “golden support” for the price of this precious metal. Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased by nearly 40%, the strongest pace since the late 1970s. With low interest rates, political risks and increased demand for shelter, the general trend still favors gold to maintain its “halo”. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD • Main trend: Gold price is still in the uptrend channel, each correction to the lower edge bounces up → buyers are in control. • MA line: Price is firmly above the EMA21 line, and the EMA21 is still pointing up → confirming the uptrend. The EMA plays a quite effective dynamic support role. • Important support: o Nearby: 3,720 – 3,738 USD (Fibo 0.236 zone + lower channel edge). o Stronger support: around 3,628 USD (Fibo 0 bottom). • Resistance – target above: o Nearby: 3,779 – 3,791 USD (Fibo 0.382 + previous candle high). o Next target: 3,825 USD (Fibo 0.5) → 3,872 USD (Fibo 0.618). If the breakout is successful, the possibility of advancing to the 3,939 USD zone is still open. • RSI & momentum: RSI is high, but has not yet fallen into extreme overbought. Momentum shows that there is still momentum, but there may be a pause (small pullback) before continuing to increase. • Candlestick structure: Recent candles have small bodies, narrow fluctuations → signs of market accumulation around the top. If the breakout is accompanied by liquidity, the possibility of further increase is very high. The current gold trend is still inclined to increase. As long as the price stays above the support zone of 3,720 - 3,738 USD, the prospect of conquering the 3,779 - 3,825 - 3,872 USD marks is completely feasible. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3826 - 3824⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3830 →Take Profit 1 3818 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3812 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3728 - 3730⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3724 →Take Profit 1 3736 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3742
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish! Continue To Buy! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Sept. 22 - 26th. Gold is bullish on all HTFs. Selling is not an option. Wait for a pullback, and jump on the uptown train! Dips are your friend, so be patient and wait this market to take a breather. Selling is only valid when there is a bearish break of structure. Until that happens, buy it, my friend. Be wary of the pullback, as that move is likely to be corrected, but that would set up a great long opportunity! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RT_Money
7
GOLD continues to set records, market awaits Powell's speechIn the Asian trading session on the morning of September 23, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD price fluctuated around 3,745 USD/ounce, after just setting a new record. Previously, in the first session of the week (September 22), gold increased sharply by 62.23 USD (equivalent to 1.7%), closing at 3,746.63 USD/ounce and on this trading day, it jumped to 3,759.29 USD/ounce, the highest level in history. OANDA:XAUUSD was supported by expectations that the US Federal Reserve would continue to cut interest rates. Low interest rates are generally beneficial for the precious metal because they do not yield. Despite being considered “overbought”, gold has yet to show any signs of technical weakness. Last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell “poured cold water” on expectations of too-fast policy easing after the Fed cut interest rates. However, the move did not stop money from pouring into gold ETFs, with holdings rising the most in more than three years. This week, global investors are focused on a series of speeches from Fed officials, especially Mr. Powell's public speech on Tuesday afternoon (US time). According to the schedule, he will attend the "Economic Outlook Lunch" event in Rhode Island on September 24, where he will dialogue with more than 500 business and civil leaders. This is considered an opportunity for the market to grasp more about the upcoming monetary policy direction from the Fed. Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD outlook Main Trend Gold is in a steep uptrend channel, showing strong momentum. The most recent candles are all sticking to the channel line and above the MA line, showing that the uptrend is still maintained. Support and Resistance zones Important support: 3,707 USD and 3,673 USD/ounce (Two green lines on the chart). This is the zone where if the price corrects, it is likely to bounce back. Nearest resistance: 3,779 USD (Fibonacci level 0.382). If broken, gold can head towards: 3,825 USD (Fib 0.5), 3,872 USD (Fib 0.618), further: 3,938 USD (Fib 0.786). Technical indicators RSI: is in the high zone (above 70, signaling “overbought”), but has not given a strong reversal signal → indicating that the market still has upward momentum. MA: moving average is sloping up, price is much higher than MA → strengthening the uptrend. Trend analysis Gold may have some short-term corrections to “gain momentum” around the $3,707 – $3,673 range, but the medium-term trend remains bullish. If the price channel is maintained and the support zone is not breached, there is a high possibility that gold will conquer the $3,779 → $3,825 → $3,872 range in the near future. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3789 - 3787⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3793 →Take Profit 1 3781 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3775 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3726 - 3728⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3722 →Take Profit 1 3734 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3740
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
XAUUSD Very aggressive Bullish Leg started.Gold (XAUUSD) is on a remarkable bounce just after marginally breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and reaching the bottom of the 1-month Channel Up, which is technically the new Bullish Leg of the pattern. The previous one extended all the way to +10.65% (which gives us a $4000 long-term Target) before the 4H RSI started to decline on Lower Highs, which on a sidenote gave us the bullish confirmation required when the RSI broke above them today. On the short-term however, we are looking for a much more plausible Target at $3800, which has been the standard mini-rally sequence that this Channel Up has offered. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Sep 22 - Sep 26]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices fluctuated strongly: opening at 3,645 USD/oz, falling to 3,626 USD/oz, rebounding to 3,707 USD/oz after the FED cut interest rates by 0.25%, but being under profit-taking pressure and cautious statements from Chairman Powell, the price fell to 3,627 USD/oz before recovering and closing at 3,685 USD/oz. The Dot Plot shows that the FED may only cut 2 more times in 2025 and 1 time in 2026, while Powell's speech is no longer highly appreciated by the market due to the end of his term and the influence of President Trump. In the short term, gold may adjust and accumulate, waiting for US economic data, US-China trade and geopolitical tensions. This week, the focus will be on the August PCE index: if it exceeds 3% YoY, the FED may postpone the interest rate cut, creating downward pressure on gold; if it is around 2.9% or lower, gold will be supported. 📌According to technical analysis, the gold price continues to be in the overbought zone. If the gold price does not surpass 3,708 USD/oz this week, it will quickly be pushed down to 3,626 USD/oz. If this level cannot be maintained, the gold price is at risk of falling to the 3,550 USD/oz area, or lower. On the contrary, if it surpasses 3,708 USD/oz, the gold price next week may reach 3,750 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,673 – 3,614 – 3,600 USD Resistance: 3,700 – 3,707 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3751 - 3749⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3549 - 3551⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3545
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Gold: Major New Option Portfolios Signal Strong Moves AheadFriday’s CME report showed a surge in large option blocks in gold — two of them stand out. 🔹 1. "Long Condor" on December Futures (GCZ24) This is the most significant structure added: Targets a move below $3,620 or above $3,780 In other words: a breakout is expected, not consolidation 📌 Key point: A "Long Condor" profits from volatility, not direction. It wins if price moves sharply — up OR down — but loses if it stays flat. 💡 My note: When I first encountered delta-neutral strategies like this as a Forex trader — my brain exploded. No directional bias… yet clearly positioned for action? That was the moment I realized: options are a different game. 🔹 2. Bull Call Spread (Oct Series): $3800–$3850 Another key play: A classic bullish call spread at 3800/3850 Target: upside beyond current levels But here’s the difference: Unlike the "Long Condor", this one needs a clear upward move — and soon. Within a few days. This isn’t about volatility. It’s a directional bet that gold will rise. 🧠 Bottom Line: One portfolio says: "Breakout coming — no matter which way." Another says: "Gold goes up — and soon." Are they aligned? Contradictory? Or could both win? Trade smarter, not harder! Looking to boost your profits with valuable market insights and data-driven entry points? Join us or keep moving!
COMEX:GC1!Long
by ClashChartsTeam
XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast✨📊 XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook ✨💰 Asset Class: XAUUSD (GOLD CFD) Closing Price: 3,685.11 📍 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) 🔎 Multi-Lens Technical Analysis 🕯 Candlestick & Patterns 📉 Head & Shoulders → Watching neckline at 3,660 📈 Bull Trap/ Bear Trap → Possible fakeouts near 3,700 zone 🔄 Harmonics + Fibonacci → Reversal signals align around 3,640 – 3,650 🌊 Theories in Play Elliott Waves → Wave 5 completion likely near 3,710 – 3,725 Wyckoff → Distribution phase signs visible 🔔 Gann → Time/price square shows resistance 3,720 – 3,730 Ichimoku → Cloud support at 3,655 📊 Indicators & Tools RSI: 64 → Near overbought ⚠️ Bollinger Bands: Upper band at 3,710 = overextension risk VWAP: Anchored VWAP support at 3,660 Moving Averages: EMA20 (H1) = 3,662 ✅ Golden Cross intact (Bullish bias) ⏱ Trading Time Frames Intraday Focus: 5m / 15m / 1H / 4H Swing Focus: 4H / Daily / Weekly 🎯 Trading Strategy Intraday Plan (Sept 20 – 23) 🟢 Buy Zone: 3,655 – 3,665 (Target: 3,690 – 3,705) 🔴 Sell Zone: 3,710 – 3,725 (Target: 3,670 – 3,650) Swing Plan (Sept 20 – 27) 🟢 Swing Long Entry: 3,640 – 3,655 (Target: 3,720 – 3,745) 🔴 Swing Short Entry: 3,730 – 3,745 (Target: 3,660 – 3,640) 🌍 Market Context 📰 Fed policy & USD strength will remain key drivers ⚔️ Geopolitical tensions = higher volatility expected 🛡 Gold remains safe-haven bid during risk-off ✅ Conclusion 📊 Gold (XAUUSD) trades in critical resistance zone near 3,700. Short-term bias → Bullish, but cautious of traps Swing bias → Range-bound 3,640 – 3,745 🎯 Traders should buy dips & sell rallies within zones ⚡Stay sharp, manage risk! ⚡ For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade ⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by sunya
GOLD "lost steam" after the peak because the US Dollar increasedThe world OANDA:XAUUSD fell in the session on Thursday (September 18) after hitting a record high of 3,707.40 USD/ounce the day before. The main reason came from profit-taking activities of investors and the strengthening of the US dollar and treasury bond yields. As of the time of writing on Friday (September 19), spot gold was trading at 3,648 USD/oz, equivalent to an increase of 0.12% on the day. New economic data from the US weighed on the market: initial jobless claims fell to 231,000, lower than expected, while the Philadelphia Federal Reserve manufacturing index unexpectedly jumped to 23.2, a sharp improvement from the previous month. This pushed the greenback higher and made gold more expensive. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.102%, while the real yield was close to 1.722%, adding to the pressure on the precious metal. This was largely a technical correction after gold hit a series of new highs. However, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. The precious metal typically benefits when the Fed enters a policy easing cycle. In fact, the Fed just cut interest rates by 25 basis points, although there was no absolute consensus. Chairman Jerome Powell called it a “risk-control” measure for the labor market, but also affirmed that the Fed is in no hurry. In addition, data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China increased 254% in August, reflecting strong demand from Asia. The trend of diversifying foreign exchange reserves of the BRICS bloc continues to be a major support for gold prices. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by nearly 39%, and investors still believe that the target of $ 4,000 / ounce can be challenged in the near future. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has had two sessions of technical corrections, but it still has all the bullish conditions in place, while the initial conditions for a deep correction have not yet appeared. Currently, gold is trying to recover and is still above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can be said to be the closest support at the moment. On the other hand, gold is still in an uptrend channel and is receiving major support from the EMA21. As long as gold remains above the $3,600 base point, the declines should be viewed as a short-term correction or a fresh buying opportunity. The relative strength index (RSI) is also moving sideways after testing the 80 level, and a steep RSI break below 80 would be considered a signal for a possible deeper correction. For the day, the overall technical outlook for gold is bullish, and the key points to watch are listed below. Support: $3,614 – $3,600 Resistance: $3,673 – $3,700 – $3,707 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3678 - 3676⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3682 →Take Profit 1 3670 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3664 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3606 - 3608⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3602 →Take Profit 1 3614 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3620
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
GOLD was clearly supported, but Powell stopped shortIn the trading session on September 17 in New York, the US financial market "spinned like a pinwheel" after the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. The Dollar recovered after Mr. Powell's speech, causing gold to be sold off strongly. As of the time the article was completed (Thursday, September 18), the gold price was trading at 3,662 USD/oz. The Fed officially cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate band down to 4.00% - 4.25%, as expected. This is the first time the Fed has cut interest rates since December last year. This decision immediately caused the USD to plummet to a 4-year low against the euro, while spot gold prices jumped to a new record. However, after Powell's speech, the USD quickly recovered strongly, while gold fell from the peak due to profit-taking pressure. The US stock market also fluctuated violently: all three major indexes rose sharply for a moment and then quickly reversed. Powell emphasized that the Fed was in no hurry to ease further and this move was considered a “risk management cut”. In the statement after the meeting, the FOMC acknowledged that the US economy was “slowing”, employment was weakening, inflation was rising and the downside risks to the labor market were growing. However, the Fed still forecast two more 0.25% rate cuts this year, according to the “dotplot chart” tool showing the expectations of each official. New member Milan was the only one who opposed, wanting a sharp 0.5% cut. Powell said future decisions would be considered “on a meeting-by-meeting basis,” suggesting the Fed is moving cautiously rather than aggressively easing. Officials are also increasingly converging on the idea that the Trump administration’s trade and tariff policies will only have a temporary impact on inflation. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has not been able to surpass the 3,700 USD price mark, the profit-taking momentum has caused the gold price to drop sharply and very quickly, but with the current position, it still has all the conditions to increase in price. Specifically, the main trend is still stable with the price channel as the medium-term trend, and the support from EMA21 as the main support, followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level as the current nearest support. On the other hand, in terms of momentum, the RSI has not yet signaled the possibility of a more significant downside correction, as the RSI is still operating in the overbought area and is mostly moving sideways, indicating that profit-taking in the market is limited, leading to limited downside momentum. A downward sloping RSI through the 80 level is the best signal for a more significant downside correction. During the day, if gold breaks above the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level again, it will be in a position to retest the $3,700 level, more so the $3,722 level once the original $3,700 level is broken. Finally, the general trend of gold price on the daily chart is bullish and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 3,645USD Resistance: 3,677 – 3,700USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3696 - 3694⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3700 →Take Profit 1 3688 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3682 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3616 - 3618⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3612 →Take Profit 1 3624 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3630
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Gold — Fed Cut Fade: Overextended, Eyeing a ThrowbackGold — Fed Cut Fade: Overextended, Eyeing a Throwback 🎯 Gold ripped higher into the FOMC, but the 25 bp cut was fully priced in. Post-decision, we saw the classic whipsaw — down → up → slow fade into the close. With the dollar and real yields catching a bid, the metal looks due for digestion before the next leg. Technicals (4h) Overextended run: Vertical leg higher with no real basing. Supply zone: Sellers showed up around 3.71–3.75k. Volume magnet: Confluence of the broken trendline + HVN sits down at ~3.41k. Thin profile: Gap between 3.52 → 3.41k leaves room for a fast move lower if momentum flips. Trade Idea Short bias: Fading the 3.71–3.74k zone or on breakdown acceptance below 3.69k. Stop: Above 3.76k (invalidation). Target: 3.41k (major HVN + retest zone). Macro Context The Fed’s move matches expectations. With positioning stretched and “buy the rumor / sell the news” in play, near-term risk is for a pullback. Medium term, the trend stays bullish if easing continues and real yields drift lower. Not financial advice — just sharing the setup I’m watching. #Gold #GC1 #Futures #ShortSetup #VolumeProfile #FOMC
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
GOLD price exceeds 3,700 USD, market waits for Fed decisionThe spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD has officially surpassed the $3,700/ounce mark, setting a new record. The main reason comes from the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this week. In addition, news that the Trump administration is considering imposing additional tariffs on imported auto parts has further boosted gold's status as a safe haven. Current context: the global economy remains unstable, geopolitical tensions have not cooled down. The US dollar is weakening, falling to its lowest level since July, making gold more attractive. However, some investors have taken advantage of the opportunity to take profits ahead of the important Fed meeting on Wednesday. Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by more than 40% thanks to: • The risk of a trade war, especially from US tax policy. • Demand for gold from central banks, especially in emerging markets. • A weak dollar and the possibility of further interest rate cuts. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut by 25 basis points, although there is still a (small) chance that the Fed will cut by 50 basis points. Personally, I will continue to lean towards the upward trend of gold prices since the beginning of this year because gold has benefited from the low interest rate environment, making gold – which does not yield – more attractive. In addition, with President Trump publicly urging the Fed to “loosen aggressively”, the market is expecting a series of new interest rate cuts to be opened in the near future. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold briefly crossed the $3,700 mark in yesterday's US session, but then pulled back slightly. Currently, the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level is the nearest support level, if the recovery from this $3,677 support level brings gold back to work above the $3,700 base point, this will be the most suitable condition for a new continued bullish cycle, and the target then is around $3,722 in the short term. The 3,722 USD level is the price point of the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, in which the signal for a possible correction to the downside has not appeared in terms of momentum. The RSI maintains its activity in the overbought area, but it is mostly moving sideways in this area, indicating that the market forces (profit taking/selling) are insignificant. A momentum signal for a possible correction to the downside is the RSI folding down below the 80 mark with a significant slope. In case gold is sold below the 3,677 USD mark, it may fall further to retest the 3,645 USD mark, but the trend and the main bullish conditions will remain unchanged. Finally, the bullish trend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following positions. Support: 3,677 – 3,645 USD Resistance: 3,700 – 3,722 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3729 - 3727⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3735 →Take Profit 1 3721 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3715 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3653 - 3655⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3649 →Take Profit 1 3661 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3667
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD hits new all-time high, watch out for FedOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise sharply, renewing all-time highs, currently trading around 3,678 USD/oz. Gold rose thanks to the weak Dollar and US Treasury yields. In addition, there was new news about Trump's tariffs. The US plans to add steel and aluminum derivatives to the tariff list. Trade uncertainty has contributed to the increase in gold prices. The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.3% on Monday and is now down another 0.11% at 97.235, hitting a one-week low, and the 10-year Treasury yield also weakened, reflecting that investors are preparing for a possible rate cut ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated meeting this week. The weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive because of the inverse correlation between the two assets. Regarding Trump's tariffs, according to a notice issued by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday, the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has established a process to include additional steel and aluminum derivatives in the tariff scope authorized by President Trump under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. The notice said the filing period for the September 2025 period has begun. The filing period will begin on September 15, 2025, and end at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on September 29, 2025. Traders are gearing up for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting on September 16-17. Expectations for a rate cut are high, and as a result, US Treasury yields fell sharply on Monday. Gold prices are reflecting the restart of the Fed's easing cycle amid mixed data. Inflation remains high, but a revised jobs report last Tuesday showed that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overestimated by 911,000, raising concerns about a labor market downturn. As a result, last week’s data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s abrupt change of heart at the Jackson Hole symposium in late August have opened the door to a 25 basis point rate cut. However, few still expect the Fed to cut by 50 basis points. Along with their decision, Fed officials will also release their latest economic projections and a “dot plot” of interest rates, in which the committee charts the future path of the federal funds rate. Investors will be watching U.S. retail sales data on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday, which could shape gold’s price direction ahead of the Fed’s decision. Focus on Federal Reserve Decision The Federal Reserve will meet this week under unusually heavy pressure as US President Trump seeks greater influence over monetary policy and the Senate clears a seat for White House economic adviser Milan to join the rate-setting committee in time for a vote at its policy meeting on Wednesday. On Monday, Trump tweeted that he was calling on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to cut the benchmark interest rate “much more aggressively,” and hinted at the need for more aggressive monetary easing, citing the housing market as an example. This came just ahead of this week’s Fed meeting. Traders have fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting and see a 5% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) FedWatch tool. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continues to renew its all-time high, surpassing the 0.618% Fibonacci extension level noted by readers in the previous issue. And now, it is likely to continue towards the full price level of $3,700 with all the technical indicators in place. The RSI is operating in the overbought area (80-100) but has not shown any signal for a possible price decrease, a signal for a corrective price decrease is when the RSI bends down below 80. Therefore, in terms of momentum, gold remains very resilient. The short-term trend is highlighted by the price channel, while the main support is from the EMA21. As long as gold remains above the raw price point of $3,600, the main technical outlook in the short-term is bullish, the dips should only be viewed as a short-term correction or a new buying opportunity. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted again by the following positions. Support: $3,677 – $3,645 Resistance: $3,700 – $3,722 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3699 - 3697⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3703 →Take Profit 1 3691 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3685 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3645 - 3647⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3641 →Take Profit 1 3653 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3659
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3