GDX
So I was wrong about the wedge, but then this just happenedI warned my readers about a bearish ascending wedge which GDX just mashed through (I also had several overhead resistance points for stops and I was certainly stopped out), but then this morning five minutes into our session GDX just hit an overhead resistance going back 2014! What do you all think is going to happen next? Does the wave count bother you? Where do we go from here?
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There has been a strong divergence between price action & the RSI. A breakout of the RSI triggered a bullish run that has taken gold
to new highs but still a far from the upper resistance line of the channel.
💛GDX shows bearish divergence - good idea to take some profit?GDX like gold is looking to break out to the moon, but is that party going to be put on hold for now?
Both Gold and the GDX are showing some bearish divergence (shown in chart), they are moving higher in price on lower momentum. In fact most indexes are showing this, not just the gold market.
We are going to need a lot of rocket fuel to get to $47 for GDX and $1900+ for gold, so I'd like to see more momentum not less/.
TSLA is up 36% in the last 5 days with many tech stocks up 10%+, if momentum runs out of steam for these tech stocks, it mqy impact on the entire market, resulting in one last shake out in the GDX before going higher.
I would not short here but it's a great time to take some profits, most of the ideas for the GDX is to buy, another signal to me that a shake out in July/August may be on the cards.
I'll be adding to the GDX for longs if we hit the $32-$28 area for sure.
GOLD, GDX and GDXJ - when will the Juniors break to the upside?GOLD has made a multi year basing pattern , commencing in 2013 and finally breaking out in mid 2019. The gold miners, GDX followed in April this year. Based on the market direction and momentum for GOLD and GDX we would expect that the gold juniors, GDXJ will follow shortly.
GDX Longcountries started the repatriation of gold from major reserves right before corona struck. I imagine this trend will only accelerate in light of corona and other trends. The Fed and other major reserves are going to want to make for those losses. gold miners are undervalued, we should expect GDX continue it's steady growth irrespective of any minor deviation from the trend.
Gold - Buy/Sell pointsNow that Gold is breaking out, all focus goes to the 4hr chart.
I'm trading E-micro Gold futures ($/MGC), 2 contracts at a time.
Strategy is to hold 1/2 position all the way up to $1,880 target.
Day/Swing trade 1/2 position on the way up.
I'll update my markers where I buy and sell moving forward.
Links below show where I started building position.
Stay Black.
AUY BreakoutI see a chance to go long here in AUY. I bought two days ago at the small arrow. I see it as a breakout today. I believe if you look at the mining sector everything is moving higher. Price is above the supporting moving averages and moving above the trend line. I also bought JNUG and added today.
GDX Clearly broken out - Targeting 46As shown in the daily GDX chart, the turquoise trend lines mark the support resistance trend lines, as well as show a standard flag pattern. Previous upside target in 2019 was 36, it now is upgraded to 46, based on chart pattern and Fibonacci projections.
Recent price action saw a gap above the trend line resistance, and consolidation before yet another gap up (over a minor parallel trend line resistance).
Also observed that MACD is supportive with a break up cross into the bullish territory, and a break above the MACD trend line at about the same time.
Bullish, target 46, around mid-August 2020.
GoldGold priced in Aussie Dollar, Yen, and Euro all well above their respective 2011 or 2013 highs.
With all the "dismantling" of the US dollar talk - a weak dollar would certainly aid Gold's move to new all-time highs.
For the past 2.5 years, we've seen a strong dollar and strong precious metals market. USD rolling over, could be the boost this space needs..
Gold Sets Fourth Highest Weekly CloseGold closed at $1,780.3/oz this week which is the fourth highest weekly closing price in history. The highest weekly closing price was $1,876/oz set in August 2011 and the second highest weekly close was $1,788/oz set in November of 2011. The third highest weekly close was $1,780.8/oz in October 2012 which is jut .50c above where gold closed this week.
If gold holds above $1,773/oz through the end of this month then June 2020 will mark the second highest monthly closing price in history, with the all-time monthly high being set back in August 2011 at $1,831/oz.
Outlook on gold remains bullish with the expectation that price makes a new all-time high this year above $1,923/oz which was set in September 2011.
Gold Miners GDX just broke out - Target 46With almost a 30% upside full potential, the GDX broke out of a down trend resistance line, with MACD crossing over into the bullish territory. The GDX also nicely bounce off the 55EMA and registered a recent higher high.
System Buy signal activated.
Rather bullish signal, don’t you think?
Projections put the upside target at 46, with pauses along the way.
Gold Miners Looking to Confirm the Bullish BreakoutGDX has broken out of multi-year triangle that formed a solid base since 2015. If gold continues marching towards all time highs, I think GDX can hold the breakout here. Perhaps it will cool off for a couple weeks after the rapid rise, but then I'm looking for the move to low $40's on the way to $60+
Positions:
GDX 1/15/21 40c
GDX shares
Reassess if falls back into the triangle (convincingly <$30)