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The Gold Rush and Washington's Strategic MoveThe US OANDA:XAUUSD and OANDA:XAGUSD markets are experiencing an unprecedented boom, with demand up 58% in the last three months alone, precious metal ETFs attracting over $16 billion. But behind this wave of investment is not just a defensive sentiment against inflation or geopolitical risks, but also a deeper shift in the global resource power structure. On November 6, the US Department of the Interior unexpectedly added copper, silver and metallurgical coal to its list of “critical minerals,” expanding the strategic scope of supply security. The list, updated every three years by the US Geological Survey (USGS), will serve as the basis for a new round of tariff reviews under Section 232, a legal tool that allows tariffs on national security grounds. The move was seen by analysts as a clear political signal: Washington is increasingly viewing industrial and precious metals not just as commercial goods, but as strategic assets in global supply chain competition. A Strategic, Not Just Commercial List According to the USGS, the definition of “critical minerals” includes materials that are essential to the economy or national security, are vulnerable to supply chain disruptions, and have systemic impacts if they are not available. Silver, a metal widely used in electronics, solar panels, jewelry, and investments, is the most notable case. Its inclusion on the list has caused market volatility: New York silver stocks hit record levels, while London markets saw short-term shortages. The United States currently relies on imports for nearly two-thirds of its silver needs, mainly from Mexico and Canada. The addition of silver “is the start of a new policy cycle,” said Suki Cooper, an analyst at Standard Chartered, and if tariffs are imposed, it could reshape the global balance of supply and demand for precious metals. While some silver customs codes have been exempted, the political signals from Washington are enough to trigger a wave of speculation and hoarding. From Minerals to Geopolitical Power This is not a one-off change. The US administration, starting with Trump and continuing under Biden, is remaking mineral policy as part of its national security strategy. From promoting domestic mining, to funding smelting projects, to using financial tools like tax credits and federal loans, Washington is trying to reduce its dependence on imports, especially from China, which now dominates many rare and industrial metals supply chains. In addition to silver, elements such as lead, silicon, phosphate, uranium and rhenium were also added to the list, reflecting the US vision of a “transitional energy economy”. Meanwhile, elements with the highest risk of supply chain disruption, such as rhodium, gallium, germanium, tungsten and rare earths, remain in the “special priority” category. The resource power structure is shifting, and the US clearly wants to reshape that order, starting with establishing a “self-reliant mineral ecosystem”. Gold, silver and investor defense In this context, the acceleration of the gold and silver markets reflects more than just traditional safe haven sentiment. The 58% surge in precious metals demand in the US shows that capital is shifting from financial assets to physical goods, a manifestation of concerns about the debt cycle, expansionary monetary policy and prolonged geopolitical volatility. Precious metal ETFs recorded net inflows of $16 billion in the most recent quarter alone, while gold prices continue their relentless bull run. Gold and silver are being repositioned as “strategic assets”, not just temporary shelters. Long-term impact The US upgrade of its mineral policy represents a turning point in post-globalization industrial policy: not just to protect productive capacity, but also to create leverage in strategic competition with other economies. If tariffs and financial support are implemented in a coordinated manner, the metals market could enter a prolonged bull market, with higher volatility and deeper fragmentation in global trade. In the long run, this is not just a story about gold or silver prices, but about how the US reshapes the physical power base of the 21st century economy. Technical outlook analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After a strong rally from July to early October, gold prices have entered a correction and consolidation period around the $3,850–$4,000/ounce range. The daily chart shows a short-term bearish structure within a falling channel, but selling pressure is showing signs of weakening as prices hold above the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $3,846/ounce. The RSI is moving sideways around the neutral level of 50, indicating that the bearish momentum has slowed down, while the short-term MA21 (around $4,055) is acting as important dynamic resistance. A decisive break above $3,973–$4,000 could be an early signal for a technical recovery towards the $4,120 (0.236 Fibo) range. Conversely, if the price loses the $3,846 mark, corrective pressure could pull the price to the next support zone at $3,720 (Fibo 0.618), which corresponds to the medium-term bottom of the current price channel. Overview: Gold is in a consolidation phase after a long rally, with the range narrowing and awaiting a fresh catalyst from monetary policy or geopolitics. A compression phase before a breakout is likely, with lower risk for buyers if prices continue to hold above the $3,850 area. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4021 - 4019⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4025 →Take Profit 1 4013 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4007 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3939 - 3941⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3935 →Take Profit 1 3947 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3953
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
The price action continues to be range-bound.Gold has been trading within a range for eight trading days. On the daily chart, the 10-day and 7-day moving averages are flat, and the RSI indicator is adjusting towards the midline. On the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the price hovering around the middle band. Currently, the short-term moving averages are turning downwards, and the MACD indicator is showing a death cross signal, but it's getting closer to the zero line, so a continuation of the sideways movement cannot be ruled out. The large-scale daily range is locked at 4050-3900. Without breaking out of this range, a clear trend is unlikely. My current view is that a break above 4050 is insufficient for a bullish outlook, while a break below 3900 would indicate a significant decline. Both bulls and bears lack sustained momentum. We have consistently emphasized that gold is currently in a consolidation phase. Don't assume a major bullish surge or trend reversal just because there's a rebound. It's still in a sideways consolidation phase, and the overall center of gravity is still shifting downwards! The trading strategy is to buy low and sell high! Key Levels: First Support: 3963, Second Support: 3952, Third Support: 3936 First Resistance: 4000, Second Resistance: 4010, Third Resistance: 4028 Gold Trading Strategy: Buy: 3960-3965, SL: 3950, TP: 3980-3990; Sell: 4035-4040, SL: 4050, TP: 4020-4010; More Analysis →
FX:XAUUSD
by Wall_street_jun
STAY IN THE WAVE TO CATCH THE WAVE - THE ART OF RANGE MANAGEMENTHey Everyone, Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions. Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share trade ideas for both Bullish and Bearish moves but choose not to hedge out of choice. In my experience, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort and psychological stress. Let us look at an example of the current short/mid term trend to further highlight this point. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down. You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture. Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we ride waves by staying committed to one direction in order to always fall naturally into the wave rather then chasing a wave!! GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Goldviewfx
13
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) — expecting a retracement into a demand/Fibonacci zone before a continuation to the upside toward the target at 4,030.68. Here’s the detailed breakdown --- Overall Idea The analysis suggests a pullback-entry buy scenario, where Gold is expected to retrace to a key Fibonacci confluence + trendline support zone, then resume the uptrend toward 4,030. This setup fits the Smart Money Concept (SMC) and market structure shift logic — from bearish to bullish. --- Key Components 1. Market Structure Shift Price broke above the descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The pullback is seen as a retest of the breakout zone, which often becomes a new support area. The overall expectation is for a higher-low formation, leading to continuation upward. 2. Fibonacci Retracement Zone The 0.5–0.79 retracement area (highlighted blue box) is the ideal buy zone. Price is expected to tap into this area before continuing higher. The 0.705 Fibonacci level aligns with the previous structure and EMAs, adding confluence. 3. EMA Confluence 50 EMA (3,986.37) and 200 EMA (4,007.71) are key dynamic levels. Price is retesting around the 50 EMA, which supports the idea of a bullish continuation if respected. Once price breaks above the 200 EMA, momentum confirmation strengthens. 4. Projected Path The expected pattern: ➤ Pullback into 0.62–0.79 zone → ➤ Formation of a higher low → ➤ Impulsive move toward 4,030.68 target point. The projected move aligns with structure and Fibonacci extension. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Market bias: Bullish Setup type: Retracement buy / Trend continuation Entry zone: 3,975–3,985 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 area) Target point: 4,030.68 Confirmation: Bullish rejection from zone or structure break above 4,000 Invalidation: Break below 3,960 (previous swing low) --- pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a clean structure suggesting continuation toward the 200 EMA. Here's the idea summary: --- Analysis Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup 1. Structure Overview: Price is currently trading above the ascending trendline, showing a short-term bullish bias. The 50 EMA (3,974.93) has recently been retested and held as support. The 200 EMA (4,011.37) acts as the next resistance / target point. 2. Setup Logic: After a breakout above the 50 EMA, price is forming a retest zone (highlighted box). A bullish reaction from this zone aligns with the trendline confluence and EMA support. This suggests buyers may step in again to push price higher. 3. Entry & Target: Entry Zone: Near 3,974–3,978 (trendline + EMA confluence area). Target: 4,011 (200 EMA / key resistance). Stop Loss: Below 3,965 (below the trendline and retest box). 4. Market Psychology: Recent candles show higher lows and strong bullish momentum after rejection from previous lows. Break and retest of dynamic resistance (50 EMA) supports bullish continuation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias Entry Zone Stop Loss Target Confirmation Bullish 3,974–3,978 <3,965 4,011 Bounce from trendline or bullish candle pattern --- Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 6th.Gold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4080, Support: 3890. 4-Hour Resistance: 4035, Support: 3965. 1-Hour Resistance: 4025, Support: 3985. Gold saw a strong rally in the London market, reflecting recent market volatility characterized by rollercoaster-like movements with large and rapid swings. This is typical of range-bound trading. After a rapid rise, a new plunge may follow. Avoid chasing highs after a sharp rise and avoid selling lows after a sharp fall in a range-bound market! Currently, without any major news catalysts, gold is expected to continue its range-bound movement. Focus on the short-term support/resistance level and look for a rebound to the 4030-4045 range, waiting for a pullback before buying opportunities. BUY: 3985~3990
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
GOLD (XAUUSD): Deep Consolidation This week is very slow for Gold. The market is stuck within a wide horizontal range on a daily time frame. With the absence of high impact US fundamentals, I think that probabilities will be high that the market will keep consolidating. The best strategy to follow for now is to look for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the underlined parallel channel: selling from the resistance and buying from the support after a confirmation. As the price is closer and closer to the resistance, wait for its test and then look for selling. That is the plan so far. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VasilyTrader
1
XAUUSD $4025 RESISTANCE NEXT?This chart displays the price action of **Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)** on an **Hourly (1h)** timeframe. ## 📈 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD The price has been in a **consolidative or choppy phase** following a significant prior downtrend, primarily trading within a larger range defined by a **Support zone** around the **\$3,918 - \$3,925** area and a **Resistance zone** near **\$4,020 - \$4,030**. Within this range, price action appears to have formed a **Descending Channel** (indicated by the dashed lines), suggesting a short-term bearish bias or continued correction within the broader consolidation. However, more recently, the price has broken out of the upper boundary of this descending channel. Following the channel breakout, the price has entered a **tight, upward-sloping consolidation**, possibly forming a small **bullish flag or pennant pattern** (indicated by the solid, inner trendlines). The current candle is breaking above the upper trendline of this smaller pattern, suggesting a potential continuation move to the upside. --- ## 🎯 Price Projection Given the breakout from both the descending channel and the smaller bullish consolidation pattern, the immediate projection is **bullish**. The target for this move is the test of the main **Resistance zone** established at **\$4,020 - \$4,030**. * **Potential Target:** The analysis highlights a specific target around **\$4,040.5**, which represents a **1.17%** move from a breakout point and aligns with the upper boundary of the key resistance zone. * **Validation:** Continued strength and sustained trading above the breakout level (around **\$3,980**) would reinforce this bullish projection. * **Invalidation:** A decisive move back below the current consolidation area and the upper line of the descending channel (roughly below **\$3,960 - \$3,970**) would invalidate the immediate bullish bias and suggest a return to the broader ranging behavior or a retest of the support zone. The overall context remains range-bound, meaning a successful test of the $\mathbf{\$4,020}$ $\mathbf{-}$ $\mathbf{\$4,030}$ **Resistance** could lead to another move back down unless there is a strong, sustained breakout above it. Would you like me to search for fundamental news that might be impacting the price of Gold right now?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wolftradx
2
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,965.68. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,993.60 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
XAU/USD – Smart Money Awakens, Targeting Premium Liquidity ZonesGold has shown a powerful Change of Character (CHoCH) on the H4 timeframe — signaling a potential shift in short-term market structure. After sweeping liquidity beneath 3,940, price rebounded decisively, breaking minor highs and forming a Break of Structure (BOS) around 3,981 — a clear footprint of Smart Money re-entry at discount levels. 💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – From Weakness to Strength For several sessions, Gold moved within a declining structure, printing lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent BOS and CHoCH indicate that the bearish momentum is fading. Smart Money seems to have absorbed liquidity below 3,940 — where retail sellers were trapped — and is now repositioning for a possible move toward premium supply zones above 4,030. The key structure level 3,981 – 3,948 now acts as the accumulation base, where institutional buy orders were likely placed. 🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand – The Footprints of Smart Money Karina identifies three critical levels shaping this next movement: Demand Zones: 3,981 – 3,948: Recent bullish order block (H4) and structural demand zone — price should ideally retest this before expanding higher. 3,937: Deep liquidity pocket from previous sweep; if retested, it could be a strong re-entry area for Smart Money. Supply Zones: 4,030 – 4,047: A key bearish order block (OB) and first liquidity magnet for buyers. 4,047 – 4,051: Final buy-side liquidity zone, where price could face institutional distribution. 🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – When the Market Breathes Before Expansion The sell-side liquidity at 3,886 has already been taken, leaving buy-side liquidity resting above 4,030+. This suggests the next directional play is upward, targeting premium levels to rebalance inefficiency and collect orders before any deeper retracement. Karina expects price to potentially pull back to 3,981 – 3,948, find support, then push toward 4,047 – 4,051 before reacting downward — a classic SMC retracement-expansion pattern. 🌙 4️⃣ Trading Outlook – Align With Institutional Flow Bias: Short-term bullish into supply; mid-term neutral awaiting distribution. Scenario: If Gold retests 3,981 – 3,948 and forms a bullish confirmation (rejection wick or engulfing candle), Smart Money likely aims for the 4,030 – 4,051 region. Entry Zone: 3,948 – 3,981 Stop Loss: below 3,937 Take Profit: 4,047 – 4,051 This setup offers a clean 1:4 R:R, aligning perfectly with liquidity-based execution principles. 🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Speaks Softly, Smart Money Listens Closely Gold is whispering signs of strength after weeks of uncertainty. For Karina, this is a phase of quiet accumulation — not chaos, but calm intent. In moments like these, patience becomes power 🌙 — and the most elegant trades often come from listening, not chasing. This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice. Do you think Gold will sweep the 4,050 liquidity before reversing? Let’s discuss below 💬
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_ilina
GOLD → The market is trying to buy back the decline...FX:XAUUSD continues to consolidate in the $4000 zone, failing to develop a rebound in the middle of the week. The price remains in a sideways trend for the eighth day in a row, waiting for a driver that will finally move the price forward... Reasons for market restraint: Strong US data: growth in ADP private employment, growth in the ISM services business activity index, lower odds of Fed easing, the probability of which has fallen to 62% for December... However, the ongoing government shutdown and the delay in employment and inflation data are supporting the metal... Gold is looking for new catalysts. A break above $4030-$4050 will require weak US data or an escalation of risks, which is not currently the case. Resistance levels: 4030, 4050 Support levels: 4000, 3967, 3955 As the specified resistance is reached, the potential for further growth may be exhausted, and in this case, a false breakout could lead to a correction to 4K. However, if support does not hold the decline, this phase could last much longer. I am not yet talking about further growth beyond 4050, as the fundamental background is weak and there has been no reaction to this zone yet, since the price is still far from the level... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
XAU/USD Analysis – Gold Reaches Key ResistanceXAU/USD Analysis – Gold Reaches Key Resistance, Potential Rejection Zone Around 4030 Gold has extended its recovery but is now approaching a major resistance area near 4030, where sellers may step back in. Despite the recent short-term rebound, the overall structure on the H1 timeframe still favors a bearish bias as price remains below key resistance and dynamic supply zones. Technical Outlook Price Structure: The market has formed a series of lower highs since the early November peak, confirming that sellers remain dominant. Current movement appears to be a corrective pullback rather than a reversal. Dynamic Resistance (DEMA 9): Gold is testing the 9-period DEMA near 4008 – a zone that has repeatedly acted as dynamic resistance during past attempts to recover. Key Resistance Zone: 4025 – 4035 is a crucial supply area where multiple rejections occurred before. This level coincides with previous liquidity sweeps and could trigger renewed selling pressure if price fails to close above it. Fibonacci Context: Measuring from the recent swing high (~4065) to swing low (~3965), the 50–61.8% retracement range overlaps with the current resistance, strengthening the bearish setup. Trading Plan Main Scenario (Sell setup): 🔹 Sell around 4025 – 4035 🔹 Stop Loss: 4045 🔹 Take Profit: 3965 – 3945 Alternative Scenario: If price closes firmly above 4045, expect short-term continuation toward 4075–4090 before facing another wave of resistance. Summary Gold is approaching a heavy resistance area within a broader bearish trend. Unless bulls can break and hold above 4045, the probability favors a rejection and pullback scenario. This setup aligns with the “sell-on-rally” strategy many professionals use when the macro bias remains downward. Conclusion: Price action remains heavy near 4030 – look for signs of exhaustion before entering short positions. Follow for daily trade setups and save this analysis if you find it useful for your gold strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
A Bearish XAUUSD Setup You Can’t Afford to MissOANDA:XAUUSD has dropped sharply, reflecting the complete dominance of sellers who continue to push the market lower with strong bearish momentum. After the decline, the price paused and then began to rise slowly, forming a familiar wedge pattern, a classic signal of trend continuation. Buyers attempted to regain control, but the buying pressure was weak, and every rally was quickly met with renewed selling. Eventually, the price broke below the pattern with significant pressure and is now retesting the breakout area. This confirms that the market remains bearish, with limited chances of a meaningful reversal. If the price continues to break below this zone, further declines are likely to follow. I anticipate the next bearish wave could reach around 3,885, aligning with the broader downtrend. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice or financial recommendation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Erikk_Kraft
19
Possible Bullish Turn for GoldOk, some things seems to be changing. The activity that lacking to end US shutdown maybe over. Will it be fruitful is a very big question. If the shutdown end, this will be positive for gold because of the incoming liquidty flowing to the banks. However the first pricing could be in reverse. I have no clear plan yet and might not find time to immidiately write here when I buy so I'm writing this warning here. If everything go smoothly, gold might target 4130 or maybe 4190 in the coming days, but I'm currently not in position yet.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by orancapital