Title: Gold Pullback to Key Fibonacci Zone — Is $3900 the BottomAfter a 10% correction, gold is now pulling back toward the $4150–$4200 Fibonacci retracement zone.
If the price extends to around $4300, it could signal that the recent low near $3900 was the true bottom and that the bullish structure is recovering.
The next few candles will confirm whether this move is just a technical pullback or the start of a new uptrend.
As long as the daily RSI stays above 50, the bullish trend remains valid.
(This post is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.)
#Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Markets #Investing
Gold
Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Versus Monetary Policy
Chart shows:
—Bitcoin/Gold
—20-Week SMA
—SMA Slope Z-Scores*
—Fed Funds
—QE & QT
Bitcoin/Gold broke support of its 20W SMA for the 6th time in Bitcoin's history while the SMA slope normalizer* value reached zero (the long SMA rolled over), the Fed enters a rate-cutting cycle, and QT is ending.
These could represent increased bearish probabilities for the Btc/Gold ratio on medium and long timeframes.
*Slope Normalizer: The differentiated (positive and negative values are separated before subsequent calculations are made with the data) normalized z-scores (z-scores below 1 are muted while z-scores above 1 are not muted, in order to emphasize unusual values.)
When used with the SMA as an input, this essentially shows the normalized values of the rates of change of the SMA (on this chart, it is showing the normalized slope of the long-term simple moving average.)
Gold Intraday – Oct 30 (No. 2)Setup: Short bias on breakout hold below ~3,959 zone.
Looking for move toward ~3,921 (RR 1.5) and potentially ~3,908 (RR 2.0) if momentum continues.
Stop-loss above invalidation level at ~3,984.
Previous call didn’t hit target — resetting bias with clearer structure.
⚠️ Not financial advice — sharing my view only, trade at your own risk.
Gold Price Analysis – Will Bears Drag XAUUSD Below 3900?Gold continues to trade within a clear downward structure facing consistent resistance near the 4040–4060 zone while maintaining pressure below key descending trendlines. Price recently confirmed another Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 3972 level suggesting bearish continuation. The projection shows potential short-term pullbacks toward 3980–4000 followed by a deeper drop toward targets at 3901 and 3857.
Unless bulls reclaim the 4063–4128 resistance the overall bias remains bearish with expectations of further downside toward the $3,816–$3,850 support range.
Regarding the Fed meeting tomorrow markets widely expect a 25 bps rate cut which is already priced in. The real impact will come from the Fed speech if the Fed hints at further easing (a dovish stance) gold may bounce higher as the dollar weakens. But if the Fed sounds cautious or signals a pause gold could drop sharply as yields and dollar strength return. Overall trend remains bearish traders should stay alert to post Fed volatility as it could temporarily disrupt or confirm the next major move.
🔴 Sell Zone:
The main sell zone is between 4150-4200 which aligns with the upper resistance range and the top boundary of the descending channel. This area has repeatedly acted as a rejection point where sellers step in aggressively. If price retraces into this zone and forms bearish confirmation candles it becomes a strong region to look for short entries.
⚡ Sell Trigger Area:
The sell trigger area lies around 4000 which is a key psychological and structural level. A confirmed break and candle close below 4000 would likely trigger renewed bearish momentum opening the way toward 3901-3857 as next downside targets. This break would confirm continuation of the bearish wave and strengthen the short bias.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
GOLD | Consolidating Near Pivot, Awaiting Breakout GOLD | Consolidating Near Pivot, Awaiting Breakout
Gold is currently consolidating around the pivot zone at 3,982, as traders await fresh direction following recent volatility.
Momentum remains neutral-to-bearish, but a breakout from this range will define the next move, with volatility expected to rise ahead of upcoming U.S. data and Fed commentary.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 3,982
Resistance: 4,011 · 4,031 · 4,053
Support: 3,960 · 3,922 · 3,893
Trading Plan:
Sell Setup: Shorts valid below 3,982, targeting 3,960, and below it will get / 3,922 / 3,893.
Buy Setup: Longs valid only above 3,982, targeting 4,011 / 4,053.
Premium Takeaway
Gold is consolidating between 3,960–3,982, waiting for a decisive breakout.
A 15-minute close below 3,960 would confirm bearish continuation toward 3,922–3,893, while a close above 3,982 shifts bias to bullish, targeting 4,011–4,053
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for October 30Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily chart resistance: 4090, support: 3840.
4-hour chart resistance: 4050, support: 3890.
1-hour chart resistance: 4030, support: 3916.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices rebounded technically after falling nearly 5% over four consecutive trading days. The market faced short-term headwinds due to Powell downplaying the possibility of a December rate cut; however, widening divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions have introduced new uncertainty to the market. Meanwhile, the trade easing agreement reached between the US and China has weakened safe-haven demand.
The daily chart shows a stepped decline, with four consecutive days of losses up to the previous trading day, and the moving average system has formed a death cross. After the European market opened today, prices rebounded rapidly. Short-term resistance levels to watch are 4010 and 4030. If gold can hold above 4010 and remain firmly above 4000, it will likely attract previous buying interest and resume its long-term upward trend. Conversely, if gold fails to recover and hold above 4000, selling on rallies is advisable.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages have formed a golden cross, and the MACD/KDJ indicators are providing upward momentum. In the short term, focus on the continuation of the upward trend, paying particular attention to yesterday's rebound high of 4006 and the previous trading day's rebound high around 4030.
Trading Strategy:
SELL: 4050~4056 near
BUY: 3966~3960 near
More Analysis →
GOLD (XAUUSD) | Smart Money Buy Setup from Demand Zone 📝 Description:
Gold is showing a potential reversal structure from the lower demand zone after a liquidity grab near $3,962.
The price is now reacting bullishly from the mitigation block and aiming toward the supply zone at $3,984–$4,019.
Trade Plan:
Entry: From $3,972–$3,975 demand zone (after liquidity sweep)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,962 (structure invalidation)
Target: $4,019 (supply zone / PDH area)
Bias: Bullish – expecting continuation toward previous highs
R:R: ~1:3 setup
If price cleanly breaks above $3,984, expect further continuation to $4,029 (Previous Day High).
A failure to hold above $3,962 would invalidate this bullish setup.
GOLD: Short Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3972.9
Sl - 3987.4
Tp - 3944.7
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,985.10.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 4,051.12 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 4023.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3987.3
My Stop Loss - 4041.7
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected( Gold Protocol ) Bearish After Break Detected
Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
Confidence Level: ★★★★★ ( Hanzo Volume Detected )
☄️ Bearish After Break Out 3948
Reasons
1. Alpha Sequence Engaged — Smart flow detected within Hanzo precision range.
2. Volume Window Synced — Session energy aligns with internal volume pulse.
3. Liquidity Cycle Active — Engineered sweep confirms smart money transition.
4. Time Lock Confirmed — Market phase locked with directional intent.
5. Volume Map Aligned — Cluster balance reveals real directional flow.
6. Hanzo Wick Detected — Manipulation wick verified under Alpha filter.
⤵️Every like & comment on our TradingView posts helps us grow. More engagement means more exposure, which benefits everyone in the community!
XAU/USD Technical AnalysisXAU/USD Technical Analysis – Gold Awaits Reaction Near 4,000 Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a corrective structure after a sharp sell-off from the 4,180 area. On the H1 timeframe, price is currently consolidating just below the psychological level of 4,000 USD/oz, showing a battle between short-term buyers and dominant sellers.
The market is now testing a key decision point:
A bullish breakout above 4,020 – 4,040 could trigger a short-term rally toward 4,100 – 4,130, and potentially the major resistance near 4,180.
Conversely, failure to sustain above the 4,000 zone would likely invite renewed selling pressure, driving price back toward 3,950 and possibly 3,880.
This makes the current area a crucial inflection point where price action confirmation will determine the next directional move.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zones: 4,040 / 4,130 / 4,180
Support Levels: 3,950 / 3,880
Psychological Level: 4,000
Trading Plan
Scenario 1 (Bullish Breakout):
Entry: Above 4,040 (confirmed breakout)
Targets: 4,100 – 4,130
Stop-Loss: Below 3,990
Scenario 2 (Bearish Rejection):
Entry: Near 4,020 – 4,040 (sell rejection signals)
Targets: 3,950 – 3,880
Stop-Loss: Above 4,060
Technical Outlook
Momentum remains fragile after the recent correction, with traders waiting for confirmation before committing to a directional bias. A clean break above 4,040 would shift short-term sentiment bullish, while a strong rejection from this zone would reaffirm the prevailing downtrend.
Keep an eye on upcoming U.S. economic data and Fed commentary, as volatility around the 4,000 level could set the tone for November’s trading range.
Follow for more daily gold market updates, trade ideas, and macro-driven setups designed for professional traders.
GOLD → Price stuck in range after Fed speech FX:XAUUSD continues to battle for the $4,000 zone. The fundamental backdrop has a hint of unpredictability following the Fed's statement. Technically, the range of 3,915-4,015 is developing
Key factors: US shutdown (4th week): Weighs on the economy and the dollar, supporting gold as a safe haven. However, the Fed toughened its tone yesterday: It cut rates by 25 basis points, but Powell ruled out guarantees for a cut in December. Trump and Xi meeting: Agreements reached on soybeans and rare earths, reducing demand for defensive assets.
Gold balances between shutdown risks and monetary policy tightening. Growth is only possible if macro statistics deteriorate or geopolitics escalate.
Resistance levels: 4015 - 4050
Support levels: 3980 - 3960 - 3915
Gold may continue its correction from the 4015 - 4050 zone to 3950 - 3900 if the bulls are unable to keep the price within the upper range. However, if the market continues to buy the metal (there are no fundamental reasons for this yet) and the price closes above 4015, there may be a chance for growth to 4050 - 4085.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Near 4000, Monthly Trend Still Points Higher Into Q1 2026Fear is creeping in after a fast drop, which is exactly when trend traders make their best decisions. This matters because the bigger wave is still up, so short term weakness can be the springboard for the next leg.
My long term view is bullish. The monthly chart shows a strong uptrend, with Monthly ADX 14 at 63.15 and Monthly MACD histogram at 81.78. Price is riding above the monthly upper band near 3754, which signals persistent trend strength, even if it gets noisy. Monthly EMAs are rising, and the current price near 4004 sits well above the monthly pivot at 3722.
The weekly picture is stretched but stabilizing. Weekly RSI 14 is 75.9 which is overbought, and the Weekly MACD histogram is 59.92 which is still positive. Weekly ATR 14 is 152.67, so two to three weeks of back and fill would be normal inside a bigger uptrend. Key weekly levels are 3952 at S1 and 3789 at S2, which is why dips into that zone should attract demand.
The daily chart explains the wobble. Daily RSI 14 is 46.33 which sits just below neutral. Daily stochastic is oversold at 8.92. Daily MACD histogram is negative at minus 45.21, yet it is flattening. Daily ATR 14 is 110.09 which tells us a typical one day swing is about one hundred ten points. That allows room for a near term bounce toward the daily moving averages without breaking the larger pullback structure.
The shortest view shows buyers probing. On the four hour chart, MACD histogram is positive at 6.19 and RSI 14 is 45.18 which is improving. Price reclaimed the four hour pivot near 3967 and is pressing into resistance around 4004 and 4019. This intraday improvement often precedes a daily bounce, which is why I expect a test of overhead levels first.
Here are the levels that matter most. Daily pivot 3956 is first support. Below it, daily S1 at 3882, daily S2 at 3834, and the daily lower band near 3801 form a layered demand zone. On the upside, daily R1 4004, daily R2 4079, and the recent swing region 4140 to 4157 mark the path of least resistance. The prior high near 4381 and monthly R3 4443 are the eventual magnets if the trend resumes.
Short term target next five to ten days is 4079. Probability is about sixty five percent. Oversold daily stochastic, a firmer four hour MACD, and proximity to the daily R2 and the daily SMA 20 near 4072 support a bounce of roughly three quarters of a daily ATR from current levels.
Medium term target within four to eight weeks is 3885. Probability is about sixty percent. Weekly momentum is still hot, daily trend metrics are below their short averages, and OBV on the daily chart has been slipping, which argues for a retest of the 3882 to 3834 support band after the first bounce.
Long term target by March 2026 is 4443. Probability is about sixty two percent. The monthly trend remains dominant with rising EMAs, a strong Monthly ADX, and price holding above the monthly upper band and pivot structure, which favors a drive back through 4381 toward the monthly R3 near 4443 after consolidation.
Conclusion. I am bullish over the long term, neutral to soft over the next few weeks, and looking for a near term bounce first. Use 3956 and 3882 as your risk map. Respect the trend, buy the fear near support, and scale out into 4079, 4157, and eventually 4443 if momentum confirms.
xauusd today 💡 What to watch now:
If price spikes above 4020 and then closes below 4010, that would be a classic manipulation wick, potentially followed by a drop.
If the USDX starts breaking above 99.25, that would confirm the short bias on gold.
I’m not entering yet — it looks promising, but we’re still waiting for a clearer picture. Definitely worth keeping an eye on though!
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Rebound from SupportGold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the buy entry at 3,893.61, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,794.38, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 4,060.49, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
PivotL 4,016.90
1st Support: 3,791.73
1st Resistance: 4,131.50
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold: Trending downwards, 3980 is key.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
In the short term, gold is still digesting the hawkish impact of Powell's speech, and selling pressure remains heavy.
From a technical perspective, yesterday's daily candlestick closed with a long upper shadow. The 4030 level has proven to be a strong resistance level for gold prices, while the daily MA5 moving average has continued to cross below the MA10 moving average, making 3980-3990 a key short-term resistance level. Only by breaking through this key resistance range can gold prices potentially test higher levels further. Otherwise, the market will remain in a weak and volatile state in the short term.
On the support side, pay close attention to the double bottom support level formed on the hourly chart at 3920-3915.
If this range is breached, gold prices may experience an accelerated decline, further testing 3880 or even 3850.
Therefore, in the short term, European trading can try to short gold with a small position when the price rebounds to 3980-3990. The first target can be 3960-3950, and if the price falls sharply, the next target is 3920-3915.
Gold facing pressure ahead of US - China meetingChina's purchase of its first US soybean cargo this year, ahead of a meeting with the US, signals expectations for a constructive dialogue and a positive outcome on the sidelines of the APEC summit.
Optimism over a potential trade breakthrough may continue to pressure gold prices.
However, the ongoing data blackout leaves the Fed cautious, heightening volatility in the near term.
XAUUSD failed to breach the EMA, but the higher swing low signaled diminishing bearish momentum. If XAUUSD holds above 3900, the price may retest the resistance at 4020.
Conversely, if XAUUSD closes above 4020, the price may retest the next resistance at 4150 and reverse the trend.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness.
BTC/USD Timeframe 4H ..🔍 Chart Overview
Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H (Bitstamp feed)
Current price: ≈ $110,300
Pattern: Downward channel breakout → retest → bullish continuation expected
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud showing price above Kumo with bullish bias.
Support zone: around $108,000–$109,000 (highlighted pink zone).
---
⚙ Technical Setup
This looks like a bullish breakout of a descending channel:
Price broke out of the downtrend channel.
It’s currently retesting the upper boundary of that channel (around $109–110k).
If the retest holds, bullish continuation targets are projected based on the height of the channel.
---
📈 Target Calculation (Based on Chart)
The chart marks two “Target Points”:
1. First Target Point: around $120,000
→ This is a near-term target based on the first measured move after breakout.
2. Second Target Point: around $125,000–$126,000
→ This aligns with a full measured move or Fibonacci extension (1.618 zone).
---
🎯 Target Summary
Target Level (approx) Type Notes
Target 1 $120,000 Conservative First major resistance / take-profit zone
Target 2 $125,000–$126,000 Aggressive Full channel projection / secondary target
Support Zone $108,000–$109,000 Retest area Should hold for bullish setup to remain valid
---
🧭 Plan Summary
Bullish bias remains valid as long as BTC stays above $108k–$109k.
Break below $108k could invalidate the breakout and suggest deeper retracement toward $105k.
Upside targets: $120k → $125k
---
USD/JPY 4-hour timeframe..USD/JPY 4-hour timeframe, and you can clearly see my looking at. Let’s analyze it carefully.
---
🔍 Chart Overview
Pair: USD/JPY
Timeframe: 4H
Current price: ≈ 152.97
Structure: Clear Triple Top pattern (1st top, 2nd top, 3rd top)
Neckline / Support zone: Around 151.50–151.70
Indicator: Ichimoku Cloud showing early bearish bias (price retesting near top of Kumo).
---
📉 Pattern Setup
A Triple Top is a bearish reversal signal.
If price breaks below the neckline (≈151.50), the measured move is typically the height of the pattern projected down from the neckline.
---
📏 Measured Move Estimate
Top of pattern: ~153.50
Neckline: ~151.50
Height: ~200 pips
So if price breaks below 151.50, targets are projected 200 pips lower:
---
🎯 Target Points
From what’s marked on my chart:
1. First Target Point: around 149.50–149.70
→ Near-term measured move from the neckline.
2. Second (deeper) Target Point: around 146.80–147.00
→ Extended target if bearish momentum continues (likely based on full height of previous rally leg).
---
⚙ Summary
Level Meaning Zone
152.90–153.50 Resistance (triple top area) Watch for rejection
151.50–151.70 Neckline / key support Break = confirmation
149.50 Target 1 Conservative
146.80–147.00 Target 2 Aggressive
AUD/USD 2-hour chart Pattern..AUD/USD 2-hour chart
---
📊 Chart Overview
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 2-hour
Current Price: Around 0.6490
Support Zone: Around 0.6460 – 0.6470 (small consolidation area below price)
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud + Trendline Break
Bias: Bullish correction after a breakout from downtrend line
---
🎯 Target Levels
1. 🎯 Target Point 1 (Short-Term Target):
Price Zone: 0.6530 – 0.6540
This matches my first blue “Target Point” on the chart.
It’s the first major resistance level above the cloud and likely a take-profit zone for early longs.
Expect some price reaction or pullback around this area.
2. 🎯 Target Point 2 (Extended Target):
Price Zone: 0.6600 – 0.6610
This is my second (upper) “Target Point” on the chart.
It aligns with a previous high and represents the completion of a bullish swing projection if momentum continues.
---
🧭 Summary Table
Target Type Price Level Notes
🎯 TP1 0.6530 – 0.6540 First resistance / partial profit zone
🎯 TP2 0.6600 – 0.6610 Extended bullish target (strong resistance area)
🛑 Support / Stop Area 0.6460 – 0.6470 Key support / invalidation zone






















