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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, This is still a follow up update on our 4chart idea which is still valid and in play with the final gap still in range. Previously we had our Bullish target 3424 and finished off with ema5 cross and lock above this level opening 3499. This gap was filled last week just like we analysed followed with another cross and lock above 3499 opening 3561, which was also hit. We now finished off last week with a cross and lock above 3561 leaving 3615 open. Failure to test this final target will see lower Goldturns tested for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3424 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3499 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3561 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3561 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2615 - BEARISH TARGETS 3347 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3277 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3234 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 2996 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPDaily Chart Update Range Break, Gap Confirmation & Next Target Achieved As anticipated in our previous update, price finally pushed through for a test of 3433, confirming the strength of the upside momentum we discussed. This test produced a candle body close gap open for 3564, which has now been successfully achieved just as projected. The close above 3564 further unlocks 3683 as the next long-term upside target. An EMA5 lock will serve as added confirmation for continuation toward this zone. Meanwhile, both 3564 and 3433 now transition into key support levels for this chart idea. Current Outlook 🔹 3564 Target Reached Our gap target has now been completed with a decisive candle body close above. This confirms bullish continuation and shifts focus to the next zone. 🔹 Next Objective – 3683 The successful 3564 break opens a fresh long-term target at 3683. EMA5 lock confirmation will strengthen the case for this move. Updated Key Levels 📉 Support – 3272 (pivotal floor) 📉 Short Term Supports – 3433 & 3564 📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – 3683 Thanks as always for your continued support, Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPWeekly Chart Update As anticipated, we got the 3482 gap target hit just as projected. Momentum carried further into the final channel top target at 3576, completing the upper channel move. Current Outlook 🔹 Gap Targets Achieved Both 3482 and 3576 have now been met. Price action delivered cleanly into these objectives, validating the prior bullish structure. 🔹 Candle Body Close Above 3576 The weekly body close above the channel top at 3576 has now opened the door to the larger 3659 long-term gap target. EMA5 would provide further confirmation if momentum sustains. 🔹 Channel Top Now Key Test We need to see 3576 - 3482 (channel top) hold as support to confirm the new range zone play. If it holds, the 3659 - 3732 range becomes the next bullish zone. Failure to provide support above 3482 - 3576 will mean the breakout is short-lived, with risk of a swift correction back down. 🔹 Range Support Levels 3576 and 3482 now act as layered support levels to keep the bullish case intact within this range. Updated Levels to Watch 📉 Support – 3482 & 3576 Key supports for this new range. Holding above 3576 strengthens the case for continuation toward 3659. A failure back below 3576 puts 3482 into play as the next defensive level. 📈 Resistance – 3659 The newly opened long-term gap target. This becomes the next upside objective if structure holds above 3576. Plan With 3482 and 3576 achieved, focus shifts to the 3659 gap. The bullish continuation depends on 3576 holding as support. If buyers defend it, the range extends upward into new territory. If not, expect a sharp corrective move back into the prior range. Thanks as always for your support, Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
BTC - Bullish continuation in the makingMarket Context BTC has recently broken out of a long-standing descending trendline, marking a significant shift in sentiment. This breakout signals the end of the controlled downtrend and sets the stage for a possible bullish continuation. At the same time, the chart shows a clear sweep of sell-side liquidity at the lows, which often serves as the fuel for a reversal. Trendline Breakout & Liquidity Sweep The bullish breakout of the old upper trendline is an important technical event. Combined with the earlier sell-side liquidity sweep, this suggests that downside liquidity has been cleared and that the path of least resistance could now be higher. Such a combination often marks the start of a new leg in the trend. Market Structure Shift Retest Following the breakout, price has pushed higher and printed a market structure shift (MSS). The current retest of this MSS zone will be key — if it holds, it provides the ideal spot for bulls to reload positions. This retest acts as confirmation that the breakout is valid, not just a short-lived deviation. Next Liquidity Grab & Upside Targets Above the current range sits a clear buy-side liquidity pool. The next logical move would be a grab of that liquidity, which could extend into a more aggressive bullish expansion toward higher levels. The structure suggests a stair-step move higher: liquidity grab, retest, and then continuation toward 115k–117k zones. Final Thoughts The sell-side liquidity sweep, trendline breakout, and market structure shift all point to a bullish shift in momentum. The key lies in how price reacts to the retest — hold it, and the next liquidity levels are likely to be taken. If this breakdown helped clarify the setup, a like is much appreciated — and let me know in the comments: are you playing the retest, or waiting for the liquidity grab above?
Long
by Louigi_24
52
GAMMA SQUEEZE: Why Gold Prices will hit 5 000 + USDBottom line If 1% of Treasuries ($278B) rotates into gold, $5,000/oz is not only plausible—it sits inside the low end of what flow math + today’s market microstructure can deliver. The path (and whether we print $8k+ spikes) hinges on how much of that flow shows up as short-dated calls—because that is what turns steady demand into a self-feeding gamma loop. ________________________________________ Executive summary • A 1% rotation out of U.S. Treasuries is roughly $278B of new gold demand (using SIFMA’s latest estimate that Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T). • At today’s context (gold ~$3.53k/oz on Sep 2–5, 2025), $278B buys ~79.4M oz ≈ 2,471 tonnes; at $5k/oz it buys ~55.6M oz ≈ 1,729 tonnes. For scale, annual mine supply ≈ 3,661 t and total above-ground stocks ≈ 216,265 t (bars/coins+ETFs ≈ 48,634 t). • That flow is huge relative to both quarterly demand value (Q2’25 ≈ $132B) and typical daily trading turnover (~$290B/day across OTC, futures & ETFs). Even spread out, it materially tilts the tape; if concentrated and routed via options, it can produce dealer hedging feedback—i.e., a gamma squeeze. • Price targets (framework, not prophecy): o Conservative flow-only: +40–60% → $4,900–$5,600/oz o Base case (flow + some options reflexivity): +70–110% → $6,000–$7,500/oz o Squeeze/overshoot window (short-dated calls heavy): episodic spikes >$8,000/oz possible, but hard to sustain without continued flow. These bands come from scaling prior ETF-driven episodes (notably ~877 t ETF inflow in 2020 alongside a ~+36% price run) and sizing against current market depth, while layering a realistic options-hedging multiplier (details below). ________________________________________ 1) What a “gamma squeeze” in gold means (and why it can happen) Definition (in one line): When call buying concentrates near-dated, near-the-money strikes, dealers short gamma must buy futures as price rises (and sell if it falls) to keep neutral—this feedback accelerates upside (“gamma squeeze”). Why it’s plausible in gold right now: • The listed derivatives stack is large. As of Fri, Sep 5, 2025, CME’s daily bulletin shows COMEX gold options open interest ~0.80M contracts (calls ~0.49–0.69M; puts ~0.30–0.38M depending on line item), each on 100 oz—i.e., option OI notionally ties to ~2,400–2,800 t of gold. That is the powder keg a call-wave can act on. • Implied vol is moderate (GVZ ~18 for 30-day GLD options), so vega is “affordable,” gamma is punchy in the front end. • CME’s CVOL framework and open-interest tools confirm where strikes/expiries cluster; when OI stacks close to spot and near expiry, market-wide gamma becomes most sensitive. Back-of-envelope hedging math (illustrative): For a 30-day, at-the-money option with σ≈18%, the Black-Scholes gamma is about Γ≈ϕ(0)SσT≈0.399S⋅0.18⋅30/365\Gamma \approx \frac{\phi(0)}{S\sigma\sqrt{T}} \approx \frac{0.399}{S\cdot 0.18 \cdot \sqrt{30/365}}. At S=$3,500/oz, that’s ~0.0022 per $. A +1% move (+$35) bumps delta by ~0.077 per option. If just 150k near-ATM front-tenor calls are held by customers (dealers short gamma), hedge buying ≈ 150,000 × 100 oz × 0.077 ≈ 1.16M oz ≈ 36 t—per 1% price pop. That’s only a slice of total OI; a broader crowding raises this number. Compare with ~2,500 t/day of global turnover and you can see how concentrated dealer hedging can move price intraday. ________________________________________ 2) Sizing a 1% Treasury → gold rotation Treasury base: latest SIFMA comment put U.S. Treasuries outstanding ≈ $27.8T (Q1’25). 1% → $278B. Gold the rotation would buy: • At $3,500/oz: $278B → ~79.4M oz → ~2,471 t • At $5,000/oz: $278B → ~55.6M oz → ~1,729 t For scale: • Annual mine supply (2024): ~3,661 t; total supply (incl. recycling): ~4,974 t. A $278B buy ticket equals 47–67% of a year’s mine output (depending on price), or ~35–50% of total annual supply. • ETF precedent: In 2020, ~877 t net ETF inflow (~$48B) coincided with a ~+36% move from Jan→Aug 2020. Today’s $278B is ~5–6× that dollar size (and ~2–3× the tonnes, depending on price), hinting at large flow-driven upside even before any options reflexivity. • Turnover lens: WGC puts average daily trading across OTC/futures/ETFs at roughly $290B/day recently. A $278B program is ~one day’s global turnover. Pushed quickly (or skewed to options), that’s impactful; stretched over months, the price impact softens but still accumulates. Futures-only lens (capacity check): At $3,500/oz, one COMEX GC contract notionally = $350k (100 oz). $278B equals ~794k GC contracts. Current futures OI is ~0.49M contracts, so this exceeds all COMEX OI—you cannot push that much via futures quickly without major repricing. Even at $5,000/oz (~$500k/contract), it’s ~556k contracts, still comparable to the entire OI. ________________________________________ 3) Price-target framework (with the math that gets you there) Think of the price in layers: (A) base flow impact + (B) options-gamma reflexivity + (C) second-round effects (short-covering, momentum, FX, central banks). A) Flow-only impact (calibrated to 2020) • 2020 anchor: 877 t ETF inflow ↔ ~+36% price. Using a simple proportionality, 1,729–2,471 t (your $278B) maps to ~+71% to +101%. • Apply to spot ≈ $3,532/oz (early Sep 2025): o +71% → ~$6,050/oz o +101% → ~$7,100/oz Caveat: 2020 had unique macro tailwinds, so I treat this as upper-middle of base range. B) Options reflexivity / gamma squeeze overlay If 20–30% of the $278B rotation expresses via short-dated calls (common for levered macro expressions), dealer hedging can amplify flow impact: • From the OI math earlier, a mere 1% up-move can demand ~20–40 t of dealer hedge buying if near-ATM OI is thick. A 3–5% multi-day grind can easily cascade into 100–200 t of incremental buying from hedgers alone. That’s non-trivial vs. mine supply pace, and it pulls forward upside. • Result: add another +10–20% to the flow-only levels during a squeeze while it lasts. C) Second-round effects • Central banks: still persistent net buyers (>1,000 t/yr pace in recent years), tending to fade dips rather than rallies—a structural bid. • FX & rates: the GVZ ~18 regime means bursts of vol aren’t “expensive”; a weakening USD or policy shocks can tilt the target higher. Putting it together—scenario bands Scenario Assumptions Implied move Target Conservative $278B spread over 6–9 months, mostly physical/ETFs; limited options +40–60% $4,900–$5,600 Base case 50–70% to physical/ETFs, 30–50% to futures/options; moderate dealer short-gamma +70–110% $6,000–$7,500 Squeeze / overshoot Short-dated call concentration, dealers persistently short gamma; flow bunches in weeks +120–>150% (episodic) >$8,000 (brief spikes) $5,000 target is well within the conservative band if any meaningful fraction of the $278B pushes through quickly, even without a full-blown gamma loop. ________________________________________ 4) Why the market could mechanically gap higher • Market size vs. flow: Q2’25 total demand value = $132B. Dropping $278B into this ecosystem is a 2× quarterly shock. • Trading capacity: $278B ≈ one full day of global turnover; price impact is convex when the risk-absorption (dealers, miners, recyclers) cannot scale linearly day-by-day. • Derivatives gearing: With ~0.8M options contracts OI outstanding and futures OI ~0.49M, even a partial shift into calls forces hedge-buys on the way up, the hallmark of a squeeze. ________________________________________ 5) Key risks / reality checks • Time profile of the rotation matters. A slow, programmatic shift spreads impact; a front-loaded move can overshoot then mean-revert as gamma decays. • Elasticity is asymmetric. Jewelry/fabrication falls at high prices (demand destruction), recycling rises, both cushioning extremes. That moderates how long >$7k can persist without continued flow. • Volatility regimes change. If GVZ spikes to high-20s/30s, option premia jump, slowing new call demand; conversely, put demand can flip net gamma long for dealers, dampening squeezes. ________________________________________ References (most load-bearing) • Treasury base: SIFMA—Treasuries outstanding $27.8T (Feb 2025). • Gold supply & stocks: WGC—Above-ground stock 216,265 t (end-2024); bars/coins+ETFs 48,634 t; mine supply 2024 ≈ 3,661 t. • Trading turnover: WGC—gold trading ≈ $290B/day. • ETF precedent: WGC—2020 ETF inflows 877 t (~$47.9B) alongside major price rise. • Current price context: Reuters—record highs $3,532/oz set in early Sep 2025. ( • Options/hedging plumbing: CME daily bulletin (Sep 5, 2025) showing gold options OI ~0.8M contracts; CME CVOL/tools; Cboe GVZ ~18 as 30-day IV. ________________________________________
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
39
Bitcoin Maxis - Brace for Impact !!!🚨 Bitcoin Maxis, brace for Impact 🚨 There is clear, recent evidence that Tether is actively diversifying its reserves and investments by both selling some of its Bitcoin holdings and significantly increasing its exposure to gold, including direct investments in gold mining: 1. Selling Bitcoin and Buying Gold Tether has reported substantial profits from both Bitcoin and gold price appreciation. In 2024, the company booked. How does Tether generate its profits beyond Bitcoin and gold investments?" with \5 billion coming from unrealized appreciation of its gold and Bitcoin holdings. However, recent reports indicate Tether has been increasing its gold reserves while adjusting its Bitcoin treasury. For example, Tether disclosed holding $8.7 billion in gold bars in its Q2 2025 attestation report, and its gold-backed stablecoin (XAU₮) is backed by over 7.7 tons of physical gold as of April 2025. 2. Entering Gold Mining Tether is in active discussions to invest in gold mining, aiming to channel its crypto profits into the metals market. CEO Paolo Ardoino has publicly referred to gold as “natural Bitcoin” and expressed a strong affinity for gold as a foundational asset. The company is exploring opportunities across the entire gold supply chain, including mining, refining, and trading. Tether has already invested over $200 million in Elemental Altus Royalties, a Canadian firm that buys future revenue streams from gold mines, giving Tether exposure to multiple mines with less operational risk. 3. Strategic Shift Tether’s move into gold and gold mining is part of a broader diversification strategy, which also includes investments in AI, Bitcoin mining, and other sectors. The company’s leadership has repeatedly emphasized gold’s role as a hedge and a complement to Bitcoin. In summary, Tether is not only selling some Bitcoin and buying gold but is also directly entering the gold mining sector as part of its diversification and profit deployment strategy. Sources: www.zerohedge.com www.coindesk.com www.fxleaders.com bitcoinethereumnews.com BITSTAMP:BTCUSD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER VANTAGE:SP500 FX:EURUSD COINBASE:USDTUSD AMEX:NUGT AMEX:GDX
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
2
September 5th Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Key Focus: US Non-Farm Payroll Data I. Core Fundamental Analysis Bullish Factors: Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: Market expectations of the Fed starting rate cuts at its mid-month meeting are the core driver of gold's consecutive record highs. The prospect of an accommodative monetary policy reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, providing fundamental support for gold prices. Geopolitical Risk: Ongoing geopolitical tensions have enhanced gold's appeal as a traditional safe-haven asset. Bearish/Risk Factors: Technical Profit-Taking: After gold prices reached a record high for seven consecutive days, they accumulated significant short-term profit-taking. Thursday's (September 4th) pullback of over 1% suggests that bulls are partially closing their positions and locking in profits, which is the primary pressure for the price correction. Bond Market Sell-off: Global bond markets experienced a sell-off, sending interest rates (yields) soaring. This typically signals market concerns about inflation or the economic outlook, potentially attracting some funds from non-interest-bearing gold to interest-bearing assets. This diverges from gold's upward trend and presents a significant risk signal. Non-farm Payroll Data Preview: Today's release of the US August non-farm payroll data is the biggest variable of the day. The data's performance will directly impact expectations of a Fed rate cut: Strong data → Cooling rate cut expectations → Bullish for the US dollar, bearish for gold. Weak data → increased expectations of rate cuts → bad for the dollar, good for gold. II. Key Technical Analysis Current Trend: The long-term uptrend remains intact, but a short-term correction from the highs is indicated. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating heavy selling pressure from above. Key Resistance Levels: Primary Resistance: $3555-3560/oz (hourly resistance, yesterday's US rebound high, today's bull-bear watershed) Strong Resistance: $3570-3580/oz (historical high) Key Support Levels: Initial Support: $3530-3520/oz (4-hour mid-line congestion zone, yesterday's Asia-Europe consolidation platform) Important Support: $3510-3508/oz (Thursday's correction low, strong support from the 5-day moving average on the daily chart and a psychological barrier) Ultimate Support: $3490-3480/oz (deep correction target) III. Comprehensive Trading Strategy Core Principle: Exercise caution and trade within a range before data releases; follow the trend after data releases. 1. Pre-Data Strategy (Before the Non-Farm Payrolls Data Release): Range-Bound Trading Sell on Rebounds: If gold prices rebound to the $3555-3565 area and show signs of stagflation (such as a bearish close with a long upper shadow on the hourly chart), try a small short position with a stop-loss above $3570, targeting $3540-3530. Buy on Pullbacks: If gold prices pull back to the $3520-3530 support area and show signs of stabilization (such as a hammer candlestick or bullish engulfing candlestick), try a small long position with a stop-loss below $3515, targeting $3545-3555. 2. Post-Data Strategy (After the Non-Farm Payrolls Data Release): Trade on Breakouts Breakout Scenario: If weak data leads to a strong breakout and consolidation of gold prices above $3560, follow up with a long position, targeting $3570-3580. Breakout Scenario: If strong data causes gold prices to effectively break below the $3,510 support level, short positions can be followed, targeting the $3,500-3,490 area. 3. Conservative Strategy: Primarily wait and see, waiting for the release of the non-farm payroll data to clarify the market direction before entering the market. Avoid the risk of sharp fluctuations and spread widening immediately after the data release. IV. Risk Warning and Position Management Major Risk Event: All operations today must prioritize the non-farm payroll data. The data results are unpredictable and could trigger sharp market fluctuations. Strict Stop-Loss: Regardless of the strategy chosen, a stop-loss must be set to prevent significant losses due to data trends that go against expectations. Light position operation: Before the data, all transactions should be kept light, and sufficient funds should be reserved to cope with the trend market after the data. Summary: Gold's medium- to long-term bullish logic remains unchanged, but it faces short-term technical correction pressure. The key to successful trading today lies in its response to the non-farm payroll data. It is recommended to buy low and sell high with a range-bound approach in the Asian and European sessions, and enter and exit quickly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
XAUUSD: The Correction Phase BeginsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, the price of Gold has been in a strong uptrend since breaking out of a prior Downward Channel. This entire bullish phase has been developing within the confines of a large broadening wedge, a pattern that indicates expanding volatility as price makes higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the price is at a critical point, testing the Broadening Resistance Line at the very top of this wedge. This test comes after a very strong and steep upward impulse, which often suggests that a trend might be overextended and due for a correction. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is a tactical short, based on the idea that this strong rally is due for a healthy pullback. Trends rarely move in a straight line forever, and the resistance line of this multi-week wedge is a high-probability area for sellers to step in. I'm looking for the price to make one final, small push higher and then show a clear sign of rejection. The primary target for this corrective fall is 3500 points. As you noted, this is an intermediate target, not the major Support 1, making it a logical first objective for a pullback. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
5
Gold will continue to grow inside upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price broke out of its prior consolidation range, a move that originated from the deep buyer zone. This breakout shifted the market structure, initiating a new impulsive phase that has since been neatly contained within a well-defined upward channel. The price action for XAU has been respecting the boundaries of this channel, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, after being rejected from the channel's upper resistance line, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction movement. This pull-back is guiding the price back towards a significant confluence of support, where the ascending support line of the channel converges with the horizontal support zone near the 3485 current support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will defend this area and maintain the integrity of the uptrend. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary bullish trend. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3610 points, representing a new structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
31
Best Trend-Following Price Model For Gold XAUUSD Trading In this article, I will show you a powerful chart setup for profitable trend following trading Gold. I will break down how it works with examples. Here is how this price model looks: It is based on 5 important conditions that should be strictly met. 1 - Gold should trade in a global bullish trend. The price should consistently update Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HL. 2 - Higher Lows should respect a rising trend line, acting as a support. It should be respected by at least 3 consequent bullish movements from that. 3 - After a formation of a high above a trend line, the price should start a correctional movement in a minor trend in a bullish flag pattern. It can be a horizontal, parallel or expanding channel. 4 - Correcting, Gold should test a major rising trend line, being within a flag. 5 - A bullish movement should initiate after a trend line test and the price should break and close above a resistance line of a flag. When all these 5 conditions are met, we can expect a bullish movement on Gold at least to a level of a current high from where a correction started. A broken resistance line of a flag and a major rising trend line will compose a safe zone to buy Gold from. The best time frame for this model will be a daily. Let's study a real example of such a price model on Gold chart on a daily. Examine a price chart of Gold on a daily time frame above. All 5 conditions are met, and we can anticipate a rise to the underlined red resistance. Our buy zone will be based on a broken resistance of the flag and a major rising trend line. You can see that our goal was successfully reached. Here is the proof - This price model will help you to predict strong bullish waves , trading Gold. A simple combination of a trend analysis and a price action are the 2 basic components that you need to study to identify that properly. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
5
Gold - A+ Trade Setup🔎 Weekly View (Macro Bias) Trend: Strong bullish trend intact with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirming upward continuation. Resistance: Price has cleared a prior major resistance near 3,400 and is pushing higher. Implication: Weekly bias remains bullish unless we see a sharp rejection back under 3,400 – 3,450 demand. 📉 Daily View (Intermediate Bias) Trend: Clear bullish structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows. Key Levels: Major Resistance: Broken at 3,100, now acting as historical support. Support Zone: Fresh daily demand sits around 3,450 – 3,500. Implication: As long as daily demand holds, expectation is for continuation into 3,600+. ⏱ 8H View (Execution Frame) Structure: Bullish channel still intact. Price broke above resistance and is holding well above 3,560–3,570 demand. Scenario: Possible retest of the 3,560 – 3,570 zone (aligned with bullish trendline) before continuation upward. Upside Target: 3,600 – 3,620 in the near-term. ⏱ 30M View (Fine-Tuned Entry) Recent Action: Price rallied sharply after clearing resistance and is now consolidating. Fib Level: The 71% retracement aligns with prior breakout structure near 3,570, offering a strong intraday buy zone. Plan: Intraday longs on retests into 3,570 – 3,580 with continuation toward 3,600 – 3,610. ✅ Trade Outlook Bias: Bullish on all timeframes. Setup: Buy retracements into 3,570 – 3,580 (30M / 8H demand). Hold for continuation into 3,600 – 3,620 near-term. Invalidation: Clean break below 3,550 (trendline + demand zone) would suggest a deeper pullback toward 3,450 – 3,500.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jamesibartram
Gold at the Crossroads: Decisive Battle at $3,600 After BreakoutAsset: XAUUSD ( Gold Spot / US Dollar ) Analysis Date: September 5, 2025 Current Closing Price: $3,586.54 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4) Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W Market Context: Record High Territory - Bullish Momentum Sustained Executive Summary & Market Outlook Gold (XAUUSD) has executed a critical technical breakout, pushing above the $3,580 resistance and challenging the monumental $3,600 psychological and technical barrier. The asset is in a firm bullish trend but is now testing a zone where profit-taking and fresh selling pressure historically emerge. The price action in the coming sessions will be decisive. A sustained break above $3,600 could trigger a momentum-fueled rally towards $3,650, while a rejection here may form a short-term top, leading to a retracement towards $3,550 support. This analysis integrates multi-timeframe signals for intraday and swing traders. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart): Primary Trend: Bullish. The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) is unequivocal on the daily chart. Momentum: The breakout above the previous resistance near $3,580 is a significant bullish victory. However, the rapid ascent has left the price extended, increasing the probability of a consolidation or pullback. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories: Breakout & Re-test Pattern: The move above $3,580 has broken the structure of the previous consolidation. The ideal bullish scenario now involves a successful re-test of the $3,580 level as new support. This would confirm the breakout's validity and offer a high-probability long entry. Elliott Wave Theory: The rally from the last significant low is impulsive in nature. We are likely in a later stage of a Wave 3 or a Wave 5 extension. This suggests that while the trend is up, the cycle is maturing. Wave 4 corrections typically retrace to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of Wave 3, which would be near $3,520. Gann Theory: The $3,600 level represents a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break and close above it could open the path to the next Gann angle/resistance level, projected near $3,620-$3,630. Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1): Price is trading well above the Senkou Span (Cloud) on both timeframes, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support far below current levels. 3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance (R1): $3,600 - $3,610 (Key Psychological & Technical Barrier) Resistance (R2): $3,630 (Next Projected Target) Resistance (R3): $3,650 (Measured Move Target) Current Closing Price: ~$3,586.54 Support (S1): $3,580 (Previous Resistance - New Potential Support) Support (S2): $3,550 - $3,555 (Bullish Trend Line & 21-period EMA confluence) Support (S3): $3,520 (Major Swing Low & 38.2% Fib Retracement) 4. Indicator Consensus: RSI (14-period on 4H): Reading is in the 68-72 range, touching on overbought territory. This does not signal an immediate reversal but warns that buying momentum may be overextended in the short term. Watch for bearish divergence on the 1H chart for early signs of a pullback. Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is peeking outside the upper band, a classic sign of a strong trending move. A move back inside the bands will signal a pause in the trend. Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is perfect on all timeframes. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart (~$3,555) has acted as dynamic support and is a key level for the bullish thesis. Volume & VWAP: Volume spiked on the initial breakout. The Anchored VWAP (from the recent swing low) shows price is extended above the mean. A pullback to the VWAP would be a healthy development. Trading Strategy & Forecast A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts): Bullish Scenario (Breakout Hold): A pullback to the $3,580 - $3,582 area that finds support (e.g., bullish pin bar, engulfing pattern) presents a low-risk long opportunity. Entry: On bullish confirmation at support. Stop Loss: Below $3,575. Target: $3,600 (TP1), $3,610 (TP2). Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Highs): If price fails to break $3,600 and shows rejection (long upper wicks, RSI divergence), a short trade for a pullback to $3,570 - $3,575 is viable. Entry: On rejection signals. Stop Loss: Tight, above $3,605. Target: $3,565 (S1). Momentum Breakout: A strong 1H close above $3,605 could be faded with a small long position, targeting $3,620. B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts): Bullish Bias: The strategy remains "buy the dip." The most attractive zones for adding long positions are a successful re-test of $3,580 or a deeper pullback to the stronger support confluence at $3,550 - $3,555. Bearish Risk: A daily close back below $3,560 would be a warning sign that the breakout may have failed (a potential bull trap), opening the door for a deeper correction to $3,520. This would invalidate the immediate upside breakout scenario. Risk Management & Conclusion Key Risk Events: Monitor for any surprise geopolitical developments or unexpectedly hawkish comments from Fed officials, which could trigger a "flight-to-safety" rally or a dollar-strength selloff in gold, respectively. Position Sizing: The increased volatility at key levels demands conservative position sizing. Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade. Conclusion: XAUUSD is at a critical technical and psychological juncture. The breakout is bullish, but the battle for $3,600 is the key to the next directional move. Swing traders should be patient for a better risk/reward entry on a pullback. Intraday traders can play the range between $3,580 and $3,600 until a decisive break occurs. The overall structure favors the bulls, but a period of consolidation is the most likely immediate outcome. Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above $3,555 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish below $3,560 For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sunya
XAUUSD – Bulls Gaining the Edge?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? Yesterday, the market received a series of key US data, sending gold into constant swings. Here’s a quick breakdown of the impact on the precious metal: 🔻 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 54K < 73K (forecast) < 106K (previous) → Labor market weakens → USD down → Gold supported. 🔻 Unemployment Claims: 237K > 230K (forecast) > 229K (previous) → Jobless claims rise → USD down → Gold supported. 🔺 ISM Services PMI: 52.0 > 50.9 (forecast) > 50.1 (previous) → Services expand → USD stronger → Gold under pressure. 👉 Overall: 2 out of 3 data points came in negative for the USD, creating downward pressure on the dollar and supporting gold. Even though services data was positive, market sentiment still leans toward expectations of a less hawkish Fed → easing yields → gold benefits. Preferred Strategy: Look for potential buying zones at support and Fibonacci retracement levels. The main target is a safe move above the trendline, with 3575 in focus. Risk: If price closes below support, wait for fresh signals to identify safer entry points. So, what do you think? Where will XAUUSD head next, and at what price will today’s session end? Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
39
Next Target for Gold: $3600?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Gold has just made a powerful breakout, breaking through the old resistance zone and forming new support. Currently, the price is hovering around $3530 with signs of a minor top forming. The area around the Fib 0.5–0.618 is considered the Expected Retracement Zone where buyers are waiting to accumulate. The EMA34 and EMA89 continue to support the trend, acting as dynamic support levels. The new resistance zone at $3,580 – $3,600 will be the next target if price sustains its rebound. With the Fed likely to cut rates and the USD weakening, gold is once again being viewed as a top safe-haven asset. Each pullback now seems more like a springboard for the next rally. So, what do you think? Will gold sustain this bullish trend? Share your thoughts in the comments💬!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
18
Gold. Expect entry into the fifth waveThe current decline looks like the 4th wave Before it, 3 in 3 is visible There is an alternative probability of the marking, that the marking will lengthen and we will get a stronger upward impulse. But in both scenarios there is another increase in quotes with a target of 3600-3650 In general, the growth of gold is due to a reduction in central bank investments from American treasuries. Just today we described how investments of India and other non-Western countries in American debt are decreasing. All this spurred the growth of gold quotes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by A3MInvestments
1
GOLD WEEKLY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, After completing our 1h, 4h and daily chart ideas this week, please now see update on our weekly chart idea, which we also smashed into pips!!! As anticipated - This time, bulls followed through in full force: ✅ We got our Target Hit at 3482 after confirming the gap from the body close above 3387. ✅ To finish the week on a high, we also completed our long-range axis target at 3576, which has been highlighted on the chart since the beginning of our tracking on this chart idea. 🔹 3482 Gap Target Achieved The upside gap has now been fully confirmed and met. 🔹 Axis Target 3576 Completed The higher-timeframe target we’ve tracked since the start has been fulfilled, marking a strong close to the week. With both the 3482 gap and 3576 axis target achieved, the bullish roadmap we’ve tracked has now played out to completion. Near-term, we’ll watch how price reacts around 3576. A strong close above could open fresh upside extensions, while failure here may trigger a healthy pullback toward 3387 for retest. We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA5 alignments, and structure expectations going forward. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5