Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 4H ChartGold is currently trading around 3,334 USD and, after a corrective phase, shows signs of further weakness. Unless the resistance level at 3,366 USD is sustainably broken, a continuation of the downside move is likely.
Potential target zones can be seen at 3,247 USD, with an extended projection towards 3,145 USD (FE 1.618). Only a breakout above 3,366 USD would brighten the short-term outlook.
Gold
GOLD - BULLISH TO $3,734 (1H UPDATE)Like I said what could happen last night, we saw Gold take out last week’s low for liquidity & STRAIGHT AWAY saw a sharp bullish move back up, holding above last week’s low.
It’s very possible Gold could be getting ready for another bullish move up. For now I am sitting on the side-lines, but I will let you all know when I take a position.
Wave count has been updated & labelled on the chart✅
Invalidation Zone - $3,323 (Wave 2 Low)❌
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We got our Bullish target hit at 3352 followed with no ema5 cross an d lock confirming the rejection. We are now seeing price head towards the bearish target.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3374
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3374 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3398
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3398 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3327
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3327 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,335.78 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,329.38.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold: death cross doesn’t forgive bullsTechnically , gold is stuck around 3336–3354, right at the 0.705–0.786 Fibo cluster and strong volume resistance. But the key signal is a death cross: MA50 cutting below MA200. This bearish pattern strengthens the downside outlook. RSI remains weak, confirming lack of buying momentum. If 3336 breaks, targets lie at 3298 and 3282 (1.618 Fibo extension).
Fundamentally , gold lacks bullish support. The dollar may not be overly strong, but it stays stable thanks to Fed’s cautious policy. Oil near highs fuels inflation expectations, making gold less attractive. No new geopolitical shocks mean safe-haven demand stays muted.
Tactical plan : below 3354 pressure remains on sellers. Break under 3336 confirms downside with 3298 → 3282 targets. Only a close above 3354 would flip the short-term bias, but current MA structure and volume point to more weakness.
Bottom line: death cross is not a romantic metaphor - it’s a cold reminder that bulls are losing the fight.
Gold Technical Outlook – Midpoint Support Holds, Retest of 3,500On the Daily Chart, gold has been climbing steadily since New Year’s Day, with several pullbacks along the way but maintaining its overall bullish trajectory.
After breaking into the 3,167.72 – 3,430.46 range, price has shown comfort within this zone. The midpoint at 3,286.94 (Green Line) has acted as a supportive bias, with price holding above it — reinforcing the view that bulls remain in control.
That said, this period of consolidation has lasted longer than expected, breaking the previous rising trajectory (shown by the diagonal Red Line). This suggests that momentum has weakened.
Importantly, this doesn’t confirm that the bullish run is over — but it does highlight the market’s current struggle to push higher with strength. A high of 3,500.02 was briefly tested but quickly rejected, which leads me to believe the market still has reason to retest that level in the near future.
Gold XAUUSD Intra-Day Setup 18.08.2025Price is currently trading within a descending channel. A key breakout zone is forming.
If price breaks above 3355/58 and retests successfully, it opens room toward the 3381 level.
Conversely, if price breaks below 3345/48 and retests, downside continuation may occur toward the 3325 area.
Additional View:
Momentum shows early signs of bullish exhaustion after touching the channel top, but overall, the structure still favors trend continuation inside the channel until a decisive breakout is confirmed. Hence, confirmation after breakout/retest is crucial before entry.
Trading Signals:
Buy Setup: Above 3355/58 with retest confirmation → Target 3381, Stop-Loss below 3344
Sell Setup: Below 3345/48 with retest confirmation → Target 3325, Stop-Loss above 3355.
XAU/USD: Trend Change After Breakout, Bearish ContinuationHello guys!
After a strong bullish run, Gold has shifted momentum with a clear breakout to the downside, confirming a change in trend. The S&P supply zone acted as a strong resistance, rejecting the price back into a descending channel.
Currently, price is respecting the channel structure and has failed to break above minor resistance. The short-term outlook points to a bearish continuation, with a likely move toward the 3,321.89 support.
A clean break below this level could open the way for a deeper push into the 3,314.44 demand zone.
📉 Bearish bias remains intact while trading below the supply zone.
📈 Bullish invalidation would require a breakout above the channel and the S&P zone.
XAUUSD Buy signal on Triangle bottom.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern, having dropped below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) in recent sessions. It is approaching its 1D MA100 (red trend-line), which is the ultimate long-term Support (holding since December 31 2024), which provided the bounce on the previous July 30 Higher Low.
With the 4H MACD printing a bottom formation similar to all buy sequences of the Triangle, it is highly likely that we will see a rebound next. As with the previous Bullish Leg, we expect to test at least the 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level, which is at 3420.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3345.9
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 3350.4
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 3338.1
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold | Safe-Haven Demand Rises Ahead of Trump–Zelensky Talks XAU/USD: Gold Prices Jump as Traders Shift Focus to Trump–Zelensky Meeting
Backed by European leaders, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Donald Trump on Monday in Washington in a high-stakes attempt to secure a permanent ceasefire and binding security guarantees. The geopolitical backdrop remains tense, with Trump’s comments suggesting Zelensky could end the war “immediately” — framing that complicates the talks.
For markets, the stakes are equally high. Gold, as a classic safe-haven asset, is benefiting from risk aversion. Traders see the fragile peace outlook and ongoing uncertainty as fuel for sustained demand in bullion.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains highly sensitive to geopolitical developments:
Stability above 3343 supports a bullish move toward 3356, and a break higher could extend gains to 3383 and 3401.
A 1H candle close below 3343 would turn the outlook bearish, with downside targets at 3332, 3320, and potentially 3284.
Pivot: 3343
Support: 3332, 3320, 3285
Resistance: 3356, 3366, 3401
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the red box defence and potential target to hold us down and then expect a move downside unless broken. This move played well and as you can see the red box defence downside was broken, ultimately leading to us completing the move we wanted into the target level completing all the targets below before then getting that bounce from the exact level giving us the long trade.
It was only in the latter part of the week we experienced more choppy price action but red boxes worked well as did the path we had plotted out over the week.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re going to keep it short as we would like to put together further analysis and plans for the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium like we have been sharing over the last few years.
So we will start with the higher level 3350-55 which is the order region and has a hotspot. We have the lower level 3320-23 which is key level support for the opening, a tap into this level with rejection can give us the move upside into that 3350-55 level which is the level that needs to hold us down. There is an extension to this move and it’s towards that 3365 level so we have to keep that in mind.
If we break below the defence box, it’s very likely that we will be visiting the 3310-6 level initially while there sits a potential target level at the 3300-3295 level. We’re expecting a range here of 3380 and 3290 as potential for the first part of the week.
We’ll release the Jackson hold analysis and trade ideas towards the middle of the week. For now, that’s all.
KOG’s Bias of the week:
Bearish below 3355 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3317, 3310, 3306 and below that 3295
Bullish on break of 3360 with targets above 3365, 3371, 3375, 3385 and above that 3392
KOGS RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3337 for 3340, 3346, 3350, 3355 and 3363 in extension of the move
Break below 3317 for 3310, 3306 and 3301 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
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Gold retest of key support zone at 3355The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3355 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3355 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3412 – initial resistance
3427 – psychological and structural level
3450 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3355 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3330 – minor support
3317 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3355. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD → Attempt to break through 3350 for a retest of 3370FX:XAUUSD is stagnating in a range, awaiting a driver. The price is consolidating, with boundaries narrowing and forming a symmetrical triangle...
Gold is trying to consolidate above $3,350 after falling to an 11-day low of $3,325 amid geopolitical uncertainty. Markets are awaiting Trump's talks with Zelensky, which will be joined by European leaders, hoping for a quick peace agreement on Ukraine. However, general optimism is limiting demand for “safe assets.” Expectations of a dovish Fed policy and the possible lifting of sanctions against Russia are adding to the positive sentiment. At the same time, gold risks a correction if the dollar strengthens amid profit-taking ahead of the Fed minutes and Jerome Powell's speech in Jackson Hole.
Technically, if gold can break through the 3350 level, the market may test the 3370 resistance in the short term, but then return to support due to uncertainty.
Resistance levels: 3350, 3370, 3400
Support levels: 3331, 3315, 3301
At the moment, since the price is in a range, it is worth considering an intrarange trading strategy: false breakouts or rebounds from strong levels. I think that until a strong driver appears, gold will remain within the specified range.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,348.90.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,370.56 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold can make correction and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price market is currently in a state of equilibrium, consolidating within a large symmetrical triangle after a significant upward rebound from the recent lows near the 3310 buyer zone. This reversal invalidated the prior downward trend and has since forced the price into a period of balance, characterized by contracting volatility between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The price has been methodically rotating within this structure, with the seller zone around the 3390 resistance level consistently rejecting bullish attempts. At present, the asset is undergoing another downward correction, approaching the critical ascending support line of the triangle for a key test. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will once again defend this dynamic support and maintain the integrity of the consolidation pattern. A confirmed and strong bounce from this support line would signal the start of another major upward rotation within the triangle. Therefore, the tp for this long idea is strategically placed at the 3390 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for August 18th.Gold Support and Resistance Update:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3410, Support: 3300
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3375, Support: 3323
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3358, Support: 3344.
Technical Analysis: From the daily chart, the relationship between the short-term moving average (5-day MA) and the medium-term moving average (20-day MA) of gold prices is crucial. Recently, the 5-day MA has shown signs of turning downward, while the 20-day MA maintains a moderate upward slope, albeit at a slower pace. This suggests that the upward momentum of gold prices has weakened in the short term, but the medium-term uptrend has not yet been completely broken, and the market is currently at a critical juncture in the game between bulls and bears. If the 5-day MA further crosses below the 20-day MA, forming a death cross, this could signal the formation of a short-term downtrend. Conversely, if the gold price rebounds quickly, driving the 5-day MA upward to form a golden cross with the 20-day MA, the medium-term uptrend is expected to continue.
The hourly MACD is currently forming an upward golden cross with strong volume, and the STO indicator is rapidly correcting upward, indicating a volatile upward trend. During NY trading, focus on the upper resistance level of $3358-3374, and the lower support level of $3344-3323. I recommend buying on dips. Keep an eye on the bull-bear dividing line at 3340!
BUY: 3343near
BUY: 3325near
Wait for pre-meeting guidance, focus on 3343-3330#XAUUSD
The current market focus is mainly on the upcoming talks.🤝 As expected, the news of the meeting between Trump and Putin was leaked over the weekend. 💻We still need to wait and see the news in the next two days to see whether the Russia-Ukraine war issue can be effectively resolved. 💠
If peace talks between the two sides can be effectively facilitated and risk aversion is reduced, gold will remain weak.🐻 Conversely, if the talks fail, a retaliatory bullish rally is highly likely.📈
Last Friday, gold prices fluctuated very narrowly, failing to find a valid trading point. ⚖️The early morning opening at a new low not only effectively allowed short sellers to exit their positions,😝 but also allowed market makers to reap the profits of last week's long traders😩.
Since the short sellers have all taken profits in the early trading session, there must be greedy people and traders seeking revenge in the market who will take over and short sell at low levels,📊 otherwise gold would not have risen so quickly. 📈
So, theoretically speaking, before the talks are concluded, I think the market will definitely eliminate the traders who shorted at the low level this morning.🐂
The overall hourly line is still under pressure at the high resistance line of 3358.💥 We will first see whether it can fall below 3343 in the European session. 🐂Only after it breaks will it test the small support of 3330. Otherwise, the bulls will still have to counterattack at a low position. Today, we will mainly go long at a low level.📈
🚀 BUY 3343-3330
🚀 TP 3355-3365-3370