Gold Keeps Searching for New HighsHello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Gold continues to surprise us one move after another. As the new week opened, the precious metal recorded a historic breakout, trading near the $3,500 level amid ongoing global economic turbulence.
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD maintains a solid bullish structure, breaking past key resistance levels. The EMA 34 and 89 both confirm that there is still plenty of room for further upside. This rally not only reflects the market’s “gold hunting” sentiment but also opens major opportunities for traders who can catch the right wave.
So, how should we trade? At this sensitive stage, buyers may find it difficult to identify an ideal entry point. For sellers, no new top has yet been confirmed. That’s why it may be safer to wait for clearer signals—whether gold sets a new high or establishes fresh support. For short-term traders, make sure you set both SL and TP with a ratio of 1:1 or 1:2.
In addition, there are several news events this week and in the near future that could further impact gold’s trend. I’ll cover these in upcoming analyses, so stay tuned.
And you—what do you think about XAUUSD’s direction? Leave a like if you agree with my view, and drop a comment if you’d like to share your thoughts.
Good luck!
Gold
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
We kicked off the week strong with our bullish targets at 3458 and then 3477 getting hit. Price is now facing rejection at this zone.
If EMA5 breaks above this level and locks, we could see an extension toward 3497.
If not, we may revisit lower Goldturns to test support before the weighted level bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD about to make new ATH and head to $3800Gold (XAUUSD) is on a huge rebound following the double bounce on its 1W MA20 (red trend-line), a level which has been previously associated with the start of very strong rallies.
The 2-year Channel Up that started back in October 2023 has always formed a consolidation Triangle before the next Bullish Leg and on the three past occasions that was initiated after a 1W MA20 contact.
Assuming we 'just' repeat the minimum +22.41% Bullish Leg, we are targeting at least $3800 before the current peaks.
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BITCOIN vs GOLD - Massive Fall in 2025?My prediction: TVC:XAU (Gold) will OUTPERFORM CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Bitcoin) until December of 2025
Here is why:
1. Technical side. The price failed to break through the 33.5 resistance and is now heading downwards. The right shoulder of the H&S pattern has formed clearly. The TVC:XAU chart is very bullish, breaking resistance one by one. In contrast, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC failed to hold above the $117,000 resistance, resulting in a hard dump that seems to be far from over.
2. Fundamental side. People buy gold during uncertain times, and we are currently on the verge of experiencing such a period. Rate cuts are already priced in, and each FOMC meeting is a "sell the news" event. If only Powell refuses to cut rates or cut it just one - markets, especially SP:SPX , will be heavily affected. When crypto and stocks are falling, people buy gold—it's a simple rule.
I'm not calling for a massive correction in the stock and crypto markets, but holding some gold in your portfolio during the fall of 2025 seems like the right thing to do.
Gold Buy and Sell Scenarios 📊 Gold (XAU/USD) – Buy & Sell Scenarios for Today
Gold is dancing around key levels today, offering both bullish and bearish setups depending on how price reacts to resistance and support zones. Here's a brief breakdown you can use for your TradingView idea:
🟢 Buy Scenario
- Entry: Above $3,450 breakout or bounce from $3,373 support
- Confirmation: RSI > 60, MACD crossover, bullish candlestick pattern
- Target: $3,500 psychological level or July high at $3,439
- Stop Loss: Below $3,373 or recent swing low
💬 "Gold holding strong above key support—looking for bullish continuation toward $3,500 if momentum confirms."
🔴 Sell Scenario
- Entry: Rejection near $3,439–$3,450 resistance zone
- Confirmation: Bearish engulfing, RSI divergence, or Bollinger Band reversal
- Target: $3,373 or deeper pullback to $3,351
- Stop Loss: Above $3,450 or recent wick high
💬 "Gold showing signs of exhaustion near resistance—short setup in play if price fails to break above $3,450."
GOLD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,478.78 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,464.31 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3475.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 3483.9
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3462.6
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
1:2 RR Trade on gold NOW📊 Gold Trade Idea – 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Setup
You're eyeing a clean 1:2 RR trade on gold (XAU/USD), likely based on a high-probability setup. Here's a crisp breakdown for your TradingView post:
🟡 Trade Setup Summary
- Entry Zone: Near recent support or breakout level
- Stop Loss: Tight, just below structure or key moving average
- Target: 2x the risk, aligned with resistance or Fibonacci extension
- Bias: Momentum favors bullish continuation (or reversal, if countertrend)
- Confirmation: Price action + volume spike or indicator confluence (e.g., RSI, MACD)
💬 "Executing a disciplined 1:2 RR trade on gold. Clean structure, tight risk, and clear target. Let’s see how it plays out."
Record-Breaking Gold Faces Correction Below 3,474Gold futures surged to a fresh record high, supported by mounting concerns over the Fed’s independence, growing expectations for rate cuts, and ongoing tariff uncertainty.
Technical Outlook:
🔻 Bearish correction: While below 3,474, price may see a pullback toward 3,460 → 3,450 → 3,436 before attempting another push higher.
🔺 Bullish momentum: A sustained move above 3,486 would confirm renewed upside, targeting 3,502 and beyond.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3,474
Support: 3,460 – 3,450 – 3,436
Resistance: 3,486 – 3,502
📌 Bias: Bullish overall, but expect a short-term correction if price holds below 3,474.
previous idea:
XAUUSD - hit lifetime highs The rally was driven by market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and robust industrial demand. Recent US data showed core PCE inflation rising 2.9% annually in July, the fastest since February, while consumer spending jumped the most in four months, signalling economic resilience. These figures kept September rate cut expectations intact, with Fed Governor Waller backing a 25 bps reduction and further easing in the coming months. On the industrial front, silver demand was further bolstered by China’s expanding solar energy sector," said Axis Securities.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would continue with the chart we shared for Jackson Hole as it was going to plan and the move was expected to continue. We said we would be looking for the red box to be tapped and as long as it didn’t break, a move downside into the lower red box defence was likely. This move worked nearly to the pip giving traders a nice short trade. We then said, as long as we’re above the defence box, we’ll continue the range and look for more upside, which as you can see again played well between the boxes and then the break occurred, giving us the move upside.
A decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and apply the algo to.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
Many traders will be looking at this and thinking we’re too high and stretched here to attempt a long, which is the right plan for now. Having said that, we’re not discounting a move upside during the early session, with the first level above being the 3455-60 region. It’s this region, if rejected, that can give traders the potential opportunity to attempt the short trade initially into the 3440-35 region which is the level that needs to be watched if attacked for a break.
Above, that key level 3460 is the region bulls need to push us over with volume in order for us to then look at targeting higher pricing with levels above 3468 and above that 3485-90
There isn’t a lot on the fundamental front this week apart from NFP on Friday so expect there to be a lot of choppy price action and ranging towards the middle of the week pre-event.
KOG’s bias of the week:
No bias for the week, we’ll release the daily bias instead and play level to level
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3450 for 3455, 3462, 3468 and 3480 in extension of the move
Break below 3440 for 3436, 3430 and 3422 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 1stGold Support and Resistance:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3500, Support: 3405
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3490, Support: 3422
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3490, Support: 3454
News: Gold continued its upward trend in Asian trading on Monday, reaching a high of $3489.8, a new high since April. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, with the CME tool showing an 87% probability of a rate cut. This has led to a continued weakening of the US dollar, providing support for non-interest-bearing gold. At the same time, growing market concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence have further weakened the dollar's appeal and increased gold's safe-haven value.
Technical Analysis: The daily candlestick chart is currently maintaining a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. There are no signs of a peak in the short term. Focus on the resistance zone around 3500 in the short term. Spot gold's 4-hour MACD is currently forming a golden cross with high volume, and the STO indicator is overbought, indicating a bullish trend in the 4-hour chart. Current support lies near the MA5 moving average, corresponding to 3447, followed by the MA10 moving average, at 3430. The NY market is focused on potential selling pressure above 3495-3510, while short-term support below is expected in the 3456-3447 range. My personal recommendation: Buy on dips!
Tonight gold trading recommendations:
BUY: near 3451-3456.
BUY: near 3437-3442.
Consolidation near historical highs is occurring, with increasing buyer/seller liquidity. Use a small S-L position for trading!
Gold Pops 5% as Fed Fears Drive Demand. New Record High Soon?Gold bugs are doing well this summer.
The yellow metal OANDA:XAUUSD just logged its best monthly performance since April, climbing nearly 5% in August and closing at $3,447 per ounce on Friday – its highest level since mid-June.
As stock bros take a break for Labor Day on Monday, gold bugs are pushing higher, challenging the current all-time high with another leg up to $3,490. But before the ATH hits, let's see how we got here.
Between Fed drama, Trump-vs-Lisa Cook headlines, and falling yields , gold suddenly looks like the life raft everyone wants.
🕺🏻 Let’s break it down. 🤸♀️
🏦 Fed Drama Meets Gold Fever
When politics and monetary policy collide, volatility follows – and gold traders have been feasting on it.
President Donald Trump’s latest target? Lisa Cook, a Biden-appointed Fed governor and one of the crew of seven responsible for setting interest rates. Trump wants her out, she wants to stay , and a federal court hearing wrapped Friday without a ruling on whether he can fire her while her lawsuit plays out.
The bigger picture: this fight is about Fed independence – or what’s left of it. A perceived White House grip on rate decisions injects more uncertainty into markets, and when things get murky, gold shines.
Traders don’t just buy bullion for safe-haven vibes; they’re hedging against the possibility that the Fed is less independent than we thought. The Trump-vs-Lisa Cook fight is a precedent, a sight never seen in the history of America.
📉 Rate Cut Bets Are Back on the Table
Friday’s inflation data – the Personal Consumption Expenditures ECONOMICS:USPCEPI price index – came in exactly as expected, up 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year. Core PCE clocked in at 2.9%, in line with consensus.
That’s the Fed's favored inflation metric so it holds big weight when central bankers get together to decide whether to keep, hike, or cut borrowing costs.
Last month's readout showed predictable numbers that set off a chain reaction: markets are now pricing in a 90% chance of a September rate cut, as per the CME FedWatch tool.
Rates are instrumental in adjusting the prices of gold because it doesn’t pay any yield. In a high-rate world, holding bullion means losing out on returns you’d get from Treasuries or savings accounts – a classic opportunity cost, in economic lingo.
But when rates drop, that cost shrinks, and the shiny metal suddenly looks far more attractive as a store of value rather than a drag on returns.
In short, lower yields + lower dollar = stronger demand for gold. And with the dollar down 2.2% in August, the tailwind is getting stronger, helping explain gold’s upswing.
📈 A Double Top… or a Line Crossed?
Here’s where things get spicy for chart-watchers.
Friday’s rally pushed gold right up against its mid-June peak above $3,440 per ounce, forming what looked suspiciously like a double top pattern – a bearish setup where prices stall twice at the same resistance level before heading lower.
Only that, it didn't take long for momentum to carry gold past the double-top pattern and into record-close territory.
Fast fact: gold’s record high is just about $10 to $30 away from current market prices. The precious metal hit $3,500 in late April, just before shaving off some $200 in a bruising two-day wipeout .
🛍️ Why Gold Is Back in Fashion
Gold’s rally is about technicals as much as it is about vibes and fundamentals. And right now, the macro backdrop is doing the heavy lifting:
Fed policy uncertainty is making traders nervous
Political drama over Fed independence is adding fuel
Falling yields are pulling investors into non-yielding assets
Dollar weakness is inviting overseas buyers to pile in
👀 What Traders Should Watch Next
This week could be pivotal for gold’s next leg:
The upcoming nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report on Friday will set the tone. Prediction gurus have pinned their expectations at 78,000 hires in August, about the same as the previous month’s 73,000.
What about revisions? That’s a thing now, after the last reading trimmed 258,000 jobs off May and June.
A weak jobs print would reinforce fears of a slowing economy, cementing expectations of a September rate cut – a potentially bullish setup for gold. On the flip side, a blowout number could cool the rally.
Also on deck: more chatter from the Federal Reserve ahead of its September 16-17 meeting, especially around the firing of Lisa Cook.
For now, traders are watching the $3,450–$3,460 resistance zone like hawks. That’s the line between a short-term top and a fresh breakout.
👉 The Takeaway
Gold just had its best monthly run in four months, but it’s walking a tightrope at a critical resistance level. With prices less than 1% away from the all-time high, the next move could define the rest of the quarter for bullion (and maybe even the fourth quarter).
If you’re trading this, two camps are emerging:
Breakout believers think falling yields and the mosaic of data are about to send prices ripping above $3,500.
Doom-and-gloom permabears see more froth than substance, saying prices can only go one way from here.
Off to you: Which side are you on? Share your thoughts and observations in the comments!
Gold (XAUUSD) – Short SetupGold is currently trading around $3,405 and moving directly into a strong resistance zone between $3400 – $3450. Price is entering a Reversal Zone around that price range, where previous attempts to break higher have failed multiple times.
The structure shows that gold is testing the upper resistance line again, while momentum indicators are already showing signs of exhaustion. If price rejects this area, I expect a potential move down to the following targets:
Target 1 (T1): $3,348
Target 2 (T2): $3,286
Target 3 (T3): $3,169
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,450
If price breaks above this level with strong volume, the setup becomes invalid.
Summary:
I expect a rejection around the resistance zone and a potential pullback towards lower support levels. If the the resistance zone holds, this setup offers a good risk-reward ratio to the downside.
No financial advice – just my personal trade idea based on my chart.
DeGRAM | GOLD above the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Gold rebounded strongly from the 3,320–3,330 support zone, breaking above the descending channel and confirming bullish takeover.
● Price is holding above 3,374 support, with momentum aiming toward the 3,401 resistance and potential extension to 3,433 if buyers sustain pressure.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Weakening US dollar amid cooling labor market signals and dovish Fed commentary supports gold’s role as a hedge, with investors rotating back into safe-haven assets.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 3,374; targets 3,401 → 3,433. Invalidation on a close below 3,359.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): ATH Soon! What's Next?!
What a market opening on Gold!
Bull run continues, and the price is going to reach a current All-Time High soon.
Watching how strong is the momentum, it feels like the market is going to
update the ATH.
Your next confirmation to buy will be a daily candle close above 3500.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
xauusd near ATH!! Whats nextGold is near its ATH, almost about 4months back, just observe the candle on the monthly levels,
this week, 1st September to 5th September, there is only news and daily. While gold is at an all-time high, i am noticing the trend is not that strong, small HH and quick pullbacks, which usually indicate the selling might come. Be very cautious of trading this week because of news and ATH. might want to protect your capital rather than FOMO entry
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3455
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
CaptainVincent | Gold in a tug-of-war amid new geopolitical bloc1. News Waves 🌍
At a 2-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners instead of rivals.
The summit also included Russia and four Central Asian countries, aiming to establish a Global South bloc to counterbalance the U.S. and the West.
👉 This highlights a geopolitical power shift, raising concerns over global polarization → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
On the H2 chart, gold has printed Higher Highs after its recent strong breakout.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): strong resistance, potential supply if retested.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): confluence of FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , key support for a rebound.
Main trend: gold may continue ranging within 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3511 – 3508
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x
🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – strong support)
Entry: 3450 – 3448
SL: 3440
TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“Political news continues to stir the gold sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511 , but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448 . In an unpredictable environment, prioritize short-term SELL setups to ride with safe-haven flows, instead of recklessly challenging the rough waves.”
Gold (XAU/USD) 1st September 2025🔎 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a high-liquidity environment, driven by ongoing flows between equity risk sentiment, real yields, and dollar positioning. With the $3500 psychological level acting as a liquidity magnet above, and demand clusters building in the $3440 region, today’s structure offers both sides of opportunity.
Our institutional framework layers multiple confluences across Daily → 4H → 1H, blending Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, supply/demand, VWAP, and Fibonacci arrays. This ensures only the highest-probability zones are highlighted for execution.
🟢 Buy-Side Liquidity Zones
Primary Buy Zone – $3438 to $3446 (Golden Zone)
Why This Matters:
Daily demand + fresh 4H Order Block.
NY session low sweep + Asia accumulation base.
Fibonacci 61.8% retracement cluster.
Hidden RSI bullish divergence + anchored VWAP support.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3440 – $3444
SL: $3432
TP1: $3476
TP2: $3490
Strength Score: 9/10 (A+ Institutional)
Secondary Buy Zone – $3410 to $3418
Why This Matters:
Deep daily demand retest.
Weekly VWAP lower band + 78.6% retracement.
Sweep of last week’s low + $3415 round magnet.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3412 – $3416
SL: $3402
TP1: $3442
TP2: $3470
Strength Score: 6/10 (Medium Zone)
🔴 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones
Primary Sell Zone – $3488 to $3496
Why This Matters:
4H supply aligned with 1H bearish OB.
Daily swing high liquidity resting at $3492.
Volume Profile POC + $3490 magnet.
Overbought RSI with bearish divergence on 1H.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3490 – $3494
SL: $3504
TP1: $3460
TP2: $3446
Strength Score: 8/10 (Strong Zone)
Secondary Sell Zone – $3518 to $3526
Why This Matters:
Higher-timeframe supply continuation.
Liquidity sweep of quarterly highs near $3520.
Options expiry gamma cluster in $3520s.
Execution Plan:
Entry: $3520 – $3524
SL: $3532
TP1: $3490
TP2: $3465
Strength Score: 5/10 (Medium Zone)
🏆 Golden Zone of the Day
👉 Primary Buy Zone ($3438 – $3446)
Best alignment across institutional confluences.
High conviction zone with clear liquidity sweep and macro alignment.
Execution favors long positioning with SL $3432 | TP1 $3476 | TP2 $3490.
📌 Final Bias
Longs favored on dips into $3440 Golden Zone.
Sells only valid if liquidity sweeps extend into $3490/$3520 zones.
Maintain disciplined risk with tight stops below liquidity pockets.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Analysis 01.09.2025Structure: Gold has broken upward impulsively, forming a higher-high structure, suggesting continuation toward 3500 and possibly 3525.
The immediate support zones (3469–3472 and 3452–3455) are valid demand areas aligning with recent consolidation and order blocks.
If price retraces into 3469–3472, a bullish rejection candle or structure shift on lower timeframes (5m/15m) would validate buys.
If liquidity is swept below 3469, the deeper demand zone 3452–3455 offers a safer long entry with reduced downside risk.
Upside targets remain:
3500 (first liquidity pool / round number resistance)
3525.00 (next extension target)
Invalidation: A sustained close below 3450 would weaken the bullish setup and open room for further downside.
Buying Idea 1:
Entry: 3469–3472
Stop: Below 3460
Target 1: 3500
Target 2: 3525
Buying Idea 2 (safer but deeper):
Entry: 3452–3455
Stop: Below 3440
Target 1: 3500
Target 2: 3525
Aggressive Continuation Buy:
If gold breaks above 3490 with strong momentum and volume, consider chasing continuation toward 3500, but with tighter risk management.