XAUUSD Analysis – August 12 – 4H ChartOn the 4H timeframe, gold is forming a Bullish Harmonic structure (likely a Gartley or Bat pattern), with point D appearing around the strong support zone 3,349 – 3,346 USD, aligning with the 0% Fibonacci level and previous swing low.
1. Technical Breakdown
Harmonic Pattern:
A → B: Strong bearish leg.
B → C: Retracement to the 61.8 – 78.6% Fibo zone.
C → D: Decline to the 88.6 – 100% Fibo zone, touching a strong support area and giving potential reversal signals.
Fibonacci Retracement Key Levels:
50%: 3,352 USD.
61.8%: 3,353 – 3,354 USD.
78.6% – 88.6%: 3,355 – 3,356 USD (near-term resistance target).
Volume: Bullish wick candles at point D with higher volume, indicating bottom-picking activity.
EMA: Price is currently testing the short-term EMA; a successful breakout could open the way toward higher resistance levels.
2. Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy following the Harmonic pattern (Preferred):
Entry: 3,349 – 3,350 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,343 USD (just below point D by ~6–7 USD).
TP1: 3,352 USD (Fibo 50%).
TP2: 3,355 USD (Fibo 61.8%).
TP3: 3,358 USD (major resistance + Fibo 78.6%).
RRR: ~4.8 as seen on the chart, suitable for short-term swing setups.
Scenario 2 – Sell against the pattern (High Risk):
Only consider if price breaks strongly below 3,343 USD with high volume.
Target: 3,338 – 3,335 USD.
3. Key Notes
Prioritize buying as long as price holds above point D with bullish confirmation on H1–H4 timeframes.
If price rallies but fails to break above 3,355 USD, consider partial profit-taking and moving SL to breakeven.
Risk management: limit to 1–2% per trade, avoid FOMO entries.
Gold
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish bounce offXAU/USD is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 3,332.63, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,306.53, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,400.72, which is a swing high resistance.
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Gold Futures: Short-Term Bounce Before Bigger Play?Gold Futures (MGC) has now reached the H4 + Daily FVG confluence zone we’ve been tracking over the past few days. Price action has been decisively bearish, breaking key intraday supports and targeting liquidity below the weekly low.
On the 1H & 4H, the ADX > 25 confirms strong short-term momentum, but the higher timeframes (8H+) still lack the directional conviction for the “big play.” This suggests the current move may be part of a broader setup still in development.
Here’s the scenario I’m watching:
Asian Session: Potential bullish retracement toward the POC in the volume profile as buyers step in from current FVG support.
London Session: Opportunity for shorts if price tags the supply zone around 3,430–3,447 and fails to reclaim higher levels.
NY Session: Possible reaction inside the remaining bullish FVGs, especially if USD news catalysts shake up momentum.
📊 Key Levels:
Support: 3,397 (W-L), 3,385–3,350 (lower FVG & HVN).
Resistance: 3,432–3,447 (supply), 3,466 (D-H).
Bias: Short-term bounce → London short setup → watch for NY session reaction.
Tomorrow’s USD-heavy news cycle could be the volatility driver that determines whether we get a deeper drop into the 3,350s or a reclaim back toward the mid-3,400s.
U.S. Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Gold BarsU.S. Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Gold Bars, Shaking the Global Bullion Market
By Hirad Aryanejad – Macroeconomic & Gold Markets Analyst
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The United States has moved to impose a 39% tariff on imports of one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars from Switzerland — a shock decision that could ripple across the global bullion market.
In a letter dated July 31, 2025, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reclassified these widely traded bullion products — critical to the Comex futures market — as “semi-manufactured”, making them subject to duties.
Previously, they were classified as “unwrought, nonmonetary gold” , exempting them from earlier tariff rounds.
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A Blow to the World’s Largest Refining Hub
The decision follows former President Donald Trump’s broader tariff package on all Swiss goods, announced after rejecting Switzerland’s proposal for a 10% tariff in exchange for \$150 billion in U.S.-bound investment.
Switzerland — the world’s largest gold refining hub — exported roughly $61.5 billion in gold to the U.S. over the 12 months ending June 2025. The new tariff could add nearly $24 billion in duties.
Christoph Wild, President of the Swiss Association of Manufacturers and Traders of Precious Metals, called the ruling “another blow” to Swiss-U.S. gold trade, warning that exports may become “economically unviable”.
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Market Reaction: Record Gold Prices
The ruling triggered an immediate market shock. Gold futures in New York surged past $3,500 per troy ounce, hitting a record $3,534 on August 8, before pulling back slightly.
Analysts say the rally was driven by both the tariff announcement and gold’s safe-haven appeal amid escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty.
Some traders described the CBP’s decision as “shocking” and possibly mistaken, predicting legal challenges ahead. The lack of clarity has already caused certain shipments to freeze in transit.
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The Critical Role of Switzerland in Bullion Logistics
Global bullion trade depends on a triangular supply chain:
Raw gold refined in Switzerland Cast into kilo bars for the U.S. market or 400-ounce bars for London Delivered to satisfy Comex contracts and central bank reserves
This logistical network is now under threat. UBS strategist Joni Teves has questioned whether U.S. gold futures trading can remain viable if tariffs on deliverable products persist.
The Swiss Precious Metals Association noted that the CBP’s clarification applies to all 1kg and 100oz gold bars imported into the U.S. not only those from Switzerland — raising the stakes for global trade flows.
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Negotiations and Uncertainty Ahead
Switzerland continues to negotiate with Washington to reduce the tariff burden, but uncertainty remains.
The White House is reportedly preparing a clarification on the bullion tariffs that could determine whether the market stabilizes or faces prolonged disruption.
Until then, gold industry players — from major banks to refining houses — are bracing for further volatility, both in pricing and physical supply chains.
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Keywords: gold market news, Swiss gold bars, U.S. gold tariffs, Comex gold futures, bullion trade, Switzerland gold exports, precious metals refining, gold price surge, macroeconomic analysis.
"Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money "Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money is Watching!"
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with:
BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance.
Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries.
Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels.
The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target.
Key technical levels:
Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area)
Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks
Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance
Market Sentiment:
The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone.
📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350
💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
XAU/USD | Gold at Make-or-Break $3400! BUY or SHORT ? (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected from the previous analysis, the price began to rise and gained over 250 pips, reaching the $3409 supply zone. Upon hitting this key level, gold faced selling pressure and dropped more than 290 pips down to $3380. When it returned to this important level, strong buying stepped in again, and it is now trading around $3391.
The total return from this analysis so far has been over 540 pips. If gold manages to hold above $3400, the next upside targets will be $3409, $3416, and $3419. Keep an eye on the $3419–$3434 zone for potential reactions. Show some strong support for this analysis, friends, and stay tuned for direct trade setups based on it!
THE Previous Analysis :
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
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Key Catalysts:
Production Growth Pipeline 🚀
Blackwater, Goose, Platreef, and Mineral Park all scheduled to begin production by late 2025.
Expected to meaningfully boost output, cash flow, and dividend capacity.
Commodity Tailwinds 📈
Rising gold & silver prices supported by central bank buying, geopolitical tensions, and persistent inflation.
Fixed-cost streaming model maximizes margin expansion in a bull metals market.
Earnings Acceleration 💵
Q2 2025 EPS forecast: $0.58 (+44% YoY).
Revenue forecast: $424M (+42% YoY).
Potential for valuation re-rating as growth trends materialize.
Shareholder Appeal 📊
$0.165 quarterly dividend offers both income and growth upside for investors.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Entry Zone: Above $81.00–$82.00
Upside Target: $115.00–$120.00, driven by new mine ramps, commodity strength, and operational leverage.
#WPM #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #Mining #StreamingModel #Commodities #InflationHedge #DividendStocks #SafeHavenAssets
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out in true level to level fashion.
We started with our bearish gap hit at 3377, followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3354, which was also hit perfectly.
We are now seeing price play in the retracement range with 3329 also open for test. We expect reaction on this retracement zone, also keeping in mind the Bullish gap above, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3403
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3377 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3377 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3354 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3329
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3329 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,348.65 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,363.07.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The daily trend has not changed, go long on pullback#XAUUSD
Good morning, and a wonderful day. Last night we expected that if the 3390-3380 level below is effective, then gold will still have room to rise. After the morning opening, gold began to fall and adjust, reaching a low of around 3367, and the overall trend fell into a wide range of fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the daily moving average tends to converge upward, with the middle track located near 3357. Before it effectively falls below, the daily bullish trend remains unchanged. Paying attention to the 4H technical indicators, we find that the MACD indicator death cross with large volume tends to fluctuate and fall. In the short term, we should focus on 3380-3390 above. At present, we should focus on the support at 3350. If it fails to break through effectively, gold will rebound again. On the whole, it is recommended to go long when the price retreats to around 3360-3350 during the day, with the target at 3375-3385.
🚀 BUY 3360-3350
🚀 TP 3375-3385
EUR/USD | Holding Above 1.16 Could Unlock More Upside! (READ IT)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price reacted beautifully to all the marked zones on the chart. Especially after reaching the 1.14 demand area, it experienced a strong bullish move, rallying over 200 pips to hit 1.16. Currently, EURUSD is trading around 1.16220, and if it holds above the 1.16 level, we can expect further upside. The next bullish targets are 1.16435, 1.16780, 1.17100, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold | Tight Range as Tariff Uncertainty Caps MomentumGold Pares Gains on U.S. Tariff Uncertainty
Gold slipped, reversing the prior session’s gains as persistent tariff uncertainty weighed on sentiment.
Technical Outlook:
The price is consolidating between 3348 and 3365.
A 1H close below 3348 could trigger a decline toward 3332 and 3320.
A break above 3365 would open the way for gains toward 3383 and 3401.
Pivot: 3365
Support: 3348, 3332, 3320
Resistance: 3373, 3385, 3401
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish & Bullish Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal From - 3397
🩸Bullish Reversal : 3341
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold corrective pullback testing initial support at 3355The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3355 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3355 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3412 – initial resistance
3427 – psychological and structural level
3450 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3355 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3330 – minor support
3317 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3355. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,359.88
Target Level: 3,392.28
Stop Loss: 3,338.21
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD – Technical Analysis H1 (August 11, 2025)1. Overall Trend
On the H1 timeframe, gold is in a clear downtrend after failing to hold the resistance zone at 3,379 – 3,385. The EMA9 has crossed below EMA20, confirming short-term bearish pressure. Strong selling volume in recent candles indicates sellers are currently in control.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Near-term resistance: 3,367 – 3,368 (EMA9 + descending trendline)
Major resistance: 3,379 – 3,385 (previous supply zone + 0.382 Fibonacci retracement)
Near-term support: 3,357 – 3,353 (recent local low)
Target support: 3,333 – 3,332 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement + strong demand zone)
3. Price Action & Pattern
Price has formed a Break & Retest pattern on the descending trendline.
The downside target is set around 3,332, with a potential R:R ratio of ~3.23 for short positions.
High selling volume suggests price may continue testing deeper support levels before any significant rebound.
4. Intraday Trading Strategies
Sell setup: Look for short entries when price pulls back to 3,367 – 3,368, SL above 3,379, TP at 3,333.
Buy setup (scalping): Consider buys only if price tests 3,332 and shows clear bullish reversal signals with declining sell volume.
Maintain strict risk management with R:R ≥ 1:2 and avoid FOMO during high volatility.
5. Conclusion
Gold remains biased to the downside in the short term, with 3,367 – 3,368 acting as the key decision zone for potential continuation shorts. Patience and confirmation signals are crucial for maximizing profit potential.
Follow for more high-quality daily gold trading strategies.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 11, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 11, 2025:
At the beginning of the new week's trading session, the gold price fell sharply from the 340x area to the current 335x area.
Basic news: The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to around 98 last week, unable to stay above 100. Although the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.285%, the Dollar remained under pressure, reflecting market concerns about political risks in the United States.
Technical analysis: After the price met the 340x resistance area, it fell sharply. Currently, the H1 frame MA lines have turned into resistance, but the H4 frame is still support. The H1 frame RSI is showing signs of increasing again and moving towards the average line; the H4 frame RSI is adjusting towards the oversold area. We will wait at the resistance areas and liquidity areas to trade.
Important price zones today: 3375 - 3380, 3350 - 3355 and 3395 - 3400.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3378 - 3380
SL 3383
TP 3375 - 3365 - 3355 - 3330.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3395 - 3397
SL 3400
TP 3392 - 3382 - 3362 - 3330.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355
SL 3350
TP 3358 - 3368 - 3378 - 3390 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable new trading week.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Breaks Rising Wedge – Bearish Targets AheadGold recently broke down from a rising wedge pattern near the $3,385–$3,390 area, signaling potential bearish momentum. Price is currently trading around $3,360, staying below the broken wedge support and also below the main trendline. This breakdown aligns with a shift from short-term bullish to corrective/bearish movement. The trend has shifted bearish unless it reclaims $3,375–$3,388. Short-term bias favors more downside toward $3,350 and $3,342
Key Levels to Watch
- Immediate Resistance: $3,370 – $3,375 (wedge breakdown retest zone)
- Major Resistance: $3,388 – $3,395 (trendline and previous supply zone)
- Immediate Support: $3,350 – $3,352 (short-term Fib and horizontal support)
- Major Support: $3,335 – $3,340 (next demand area)
- Extended Downside Target: $3,322 (Fib 0.22 level)
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Technical Analysis - Bearish Bias Below $3,384Gold is currently trading near $3,373 within an ascending channel but showing signs of weakness. A rejection near the $3,384–$3,390 resistance zone could trigger a downside move toward key supports at $3,350, $3,338, and $3,326. If price breaks below the channel midline, bearish momentum may strengthen. However, a bounce from support could push gold back toward the upper range. Keep an eye on breakout zones for the next move.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $3,384 → $3,390: Strong resistance zone
- Support: $3,350 → $3,338 → $3,326
- Breakout Zones: Below $3,338: Opens room to $3,310 and below. Above $3,390: May lead to fresh highs toward $3,410+
🧭 Trend Outlook
- Short-Term: Bearish bias within the ascending channel, especially if price breaks below mid-channel.
- Medium-Term: Neutral to bullish as long as the lower channel trendline holds.
- Momentum: Losing bullish momentum; potential for downside correction.
Price is at a decision point within the ascending channel. A clean break below the mid-channel and $3,365 area can accelerate downside correction. Stay alert to key support zones and any reversal signals.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for August 11thGold Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3430, Support: 3330
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3402, Support: 3330
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3380, Support: 3348.
Technical Analysis: Gold prices continued their slight rebound last week, and are expected to continue their high-level, volatile trend. After closing slightly lower on Friday, gold prices continued their decline in Asian trading today, encountering resistance near 3400. After breaking through support at 3370, the short-term trend is bearish. The chart shows that gold has fallen below key technical support near $3380, the lower boundary of a short-term ascending channel. Hourly chart oscillators continue to weaken, suggesting further downside risk for gold prices in the short term. The NY market is focusing on upward pressure at $3368-3380 and support at $3345-3334.
SELL: near 3370
SELL: near 3382
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3360.0
Stop Loss - 3353.1
Take Profit - 3373.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 11, 2025
At the beginning of the new week's trading session, the gold price fell sharply from the 340x area to the current 335x area.
Basic news: The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to around 98 last week, unable to stay above 100. Although the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.285%, the Dollar remained under pressure, reflecting market concerns about political risks in the United States.
Technical analysis: After the price met the 340x resistance area, it fell sharply. Currently, the H1 frame MA lines have turned into resistance, but the H4 frame is still support. The H1 frame RSI is showing signs of increasing again and moving towards the average line; the H4 frame RSI is adjusting towards the oversold area. We will wait at the resistance areas and liquidity areas to trade.
Important price zones today: 3375 - 3380, 3350 - 3355 and 3395 - 3400.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3378 - 3380
SL 3383
TP 3375 - 3365 - 3355 - 3330.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3395 - 3397
SL 3400
TP 3392 - 3382 - 3362 - 3330.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355
SL 3350
TP 3358 - 3368 - 3378 - 3390 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable new trading week.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰