GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please review our Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement.
We continue to track our refreshed proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action is now testing the swing range and the swing range seems to be holding support as expected. This swing range support also falls inline with the channel half line providing stronger support.
As long as ema5 remains above the swing zone we expect price to play between this range until the full updated long term swing is completed into 4145. An ema5 break below the swing range will open the lower channel floor for test, currently sitting at 3824
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold
XAUUSD: Buyers Target $4,080 Resistance ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) has recently formed a constructive bullish structure after rebounding from the 3,930–3,960 Buyer Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the Upward Channel. This demand zone has consistently acted as a strong accumulation area, indicating that buyers are actively defending it. Prior to this rebound, price moved within a Downward Channel, where several fake breakouts occurred — showing that sellers were gradually losing momentum and failing to maintain downside pressure.
Currently, a breakout from the Downward Channel shifted the market tone, and since then, XAUUSD has started forming higher lows, signaling an early trend reversal. The price is now trading back inside a new Upward Channel, and the structure suggests buyers are preparing for a continuation move. At the moment, XAUUSD is approaching the mid-range of the channel, while the next major resistance sits near 4,130, which previously acted as a supply level and point of distribution.
My Scenario & Strategy
The current setup suggests that as long as price remains above the 3,930–3,960 demand region, the bullish setup remains intact. I expect Gold to continue moving gradually toward the 4,080–4,130 resistance zone in the short term. A confirmed breakout above 4,130 would likely signal strong bullish continuation, opening the way for a larger upward move toward 4,200 and beyond.
However, if XAUUSD breaks back below 3,930, the bullish structure would be invalidated, and price could revisit deeper support levels before attempting another upward leg. For now, I prefer to look for long entries on pullbacks within the channel, targeting a continuation toward the resistance levels mentioned above.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
A Hunter Waits Patiently, Then Strikes Like a Lion - US100 - 1HMy dear friends, greetings,
My friends, I have set the buy levels for US100 at 24,872 and 24,677.
I will never enter a trade or put myself at unnecessary risk before these levels are reached.
My friends, in order to consistently win in this market and to become a successful trader, patience is essential.
If you act with patience and strategy, you will always be a winning trader, just like me.
I would also like you to know that my target is set at the 26,168 level.
My friends, every single like from you is my greatest motivation to share these analyses.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their appreciation.
With my respect and love.
Gold Analysis H4 - Bullish orderflowAfter gold broke below the 3944.48 level, the market initially showed signs of further downside movement, potentially aiming to sweep more liquidity resting beneath that zone. However, the nature of the breakout suggests that it could itself be a liquidity grab rather than the start of a genuine bearish continuation.
The candle that broke this level was quickly rejected, indicating that selling pressure may have been absorbed by strong buy orders. This kind of price reaction often signals the presence of institutional accumulation or smart money activity.
As a result, the order flow now appears to be shifting, potentially preparing for a bullish move. If momentum continues to build, price may aim to sweep the liquidity resting above the trendline before deciding on the next directional move.
Gold Analysis Daily Time Frame
Hello Traders
Gold is within its daily range (4024 - 3929) and for Monday it will be important whether it can close above or below the marked candle.
I expect a similar move for gold this week, the condition for this move is that the daily candle does not close above 4019, if the Monday candle moves towards 4035 and immediately stabilizes below 4019, this path can be expected to continue until liquidity levels are low.
The three levels of 4062, 4075 and 4090 are still important resistance points, and the market has not yet pulled back to these levels, so the price may be slightly higher than these areas to continue the path. Good luck
Gold next week: Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,024.9 → ~$4,003 — sellers faded upticks; weekly close soft but back above the round $4k.
📈 Trend: Neutral / mild correction inside range; not expecting immediate new highs while <$4,080–4,120.
🛡 Supports: $3,950 → $3,900 → $3,850 — pivotal shelves for bears’ take-profit and control.
🚧 Resistances: $4,040 / $4,080 / $4,120 — repeated supply zones; first taps favored for fades.
🧭 Bias next week: Short sells into $4,040–$4,120; TP $3,950 then $3,850 (your plan). Invalidation on sustained reclaim > $4,120–$4,175; loss of $3,850 risks extension lower.
🌍 Macro tailwinds/headwinds (this week’s tape):
• Narrative tone: Kitco flagged “razor’s edge” near $4,000 with mixed views (bubble vs. consolidation), while another Kitco piece framed the stall as a “healthy pause.”
• WSJ flow: Headlines oscillated between “slips below $4,000” and modest up-days; net read is consolidation around $4k with quick two-way trade.
• Levels: Spot finished the week essentially on $4k; intrawEEK high couldn’t clear early-week $4.02–4.03k cap.
🎯 Street view: After last month’s print above $4,000 (first ever), WSJ tone shifted to digestion; rallies still attract supply until a decisive reclaim of upper resistance.
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,040 — immediate ceiling; weekly high proximity, likely to cap first tests.
• $4,080 — secondary supply ledge from recent failures.
• $4,120 — upper band; acceptance above here starts to neutralize the correction.
🛡 Support Zones
• $3,950 — first defense / first TP.
• $3,900 — round-number shelf; loss invites momentum probes.
• $3,850 — critical structural base and second TP; break risks downside acceleration.
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Compression within a rising-wedge-like structure, ranging $3,850–$4,120. First pushes into $4,040–$4,120 are sellable for rotations toward $3,950 → $3,850 while the market respects weekly lower highs.
🚀 Breakout / Breakdown Triggers
• Bull trigger: Sustained acceptance > ~$4,120–$4,175 turns the tone constructive again and reopens $4,200+.
• Bear trigger: Daily close < $3,900 increases odds of full $3,850 test; failure of $3,850 risks momentum spill.
💡 Market Drivers to watch
• Fed path / real yields (rate-cut odds vs. sticky inflation narrative in WSJ copy).
• USD swings (no broad USD weakness → upside attempts stall).
• ETF/CB flows (Kitco interviews highlight split sentiment; dip-buyers active, momentum players cautious).
• Event risk (headline sensitivity remains high; quick squeezes into resistance possible).
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,120–$4,175 (sustained).
• Bearish below: $3,900 → $3,850 (risk expands under $3,850).
🧭 Strategy for this week
Short from resistance: Scale in around $4,040 → $4,080 → $4,120;
TP #1: $3,950; TP #2: $3,850;
Risk: Hard stop on a daily close above $4,120 (or intraday breach that holds on retest). Consider trimming if a news-driven squeeze tags $4,175 and fails.
Market Psychology: Gold vs Bitcoin - Where We Really Are🧠 The Psychology Test That Changes Everything
Here's a simple test that will tell you everything about where TVC:GOLD and IG:BITCOIN is in its cycle:
Look at these two charts. Which one screams "bull market euphoria"?
────────────────────────────────────
Chart One
🥇 TVC:GOLD : A Textbook Bull Market
Current Price: $4,000.92
Peak Price: $4,390 (Recently hit)
RSI: 69.15
Phase: EUPHORIA → COMPLACENCY (Post-peak pullback)
What the Psychology Chart Shows:
Looking at FOREXCOM:XAUUSD price action overlaid with the Wall Street Cheat Sheet:
✅ Clean parabolic structure - No ambiguity
✅ Multiple phases completed - Hope → Optimism → Belief → Thrill → Euphoria
✅ Peak already hit at $4,390 - The pink Euphoria circle was touched
✅ Now pulling back from peak - Classic post-euphoria behavior
✅ RSI cooling from overbought - Down from 85+ to 69.15
✅ Volume still elevated as reality sets in
This is what a COMPLETED bull market looks like.
When you see this chart, you don't second-guess. You don't wonder "is this a bull market?"
You KNOW it is.
────────────────────────────────────
Chart Two
₿ IG:BITCOIN : Still in Early Stages
Current Price: $101,802.2
RSI: 44.61
Phase: OPTIMISM (not even Belief yet)
What the Psychology Chart Shows:
Looking at INDEX:BTCUSD price action overlaid with the Wall Street Cheat Sheet:
⚠️ "We are here" marker - Sitting in the OPTIMISM phase
⚠️ Haven't reached Belief yet - The green zone is still ahead
⚠️ Thrill phase - Blue circle far above current price
⚠️ Euphoria phase - Pink circle even further away
⚠️ RSI at 44.61 - Not even close to overbought
⚠️ Fourth Halving marker - April 22, 2024 clearly noted
This is what mid-cycle consolidation looks like.
────────────────────────────────────
🔍 The Critical Difference
Let me use an analogy: Think of market cycles like a marathon.
FOREXCOM:GOLD (Chart 1):
Mile 26 - Just crossed finish line - Race is over, starting to cool down
Runners are slowing down after sprint (Post-euphoria)
Crowd peaked, now dispersing (Volume still high but declining)
Everyone saw the finish (Peak at $4,390)
Now wondering if they should have sprinted harder
CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Chart 2):
Mile 8 of 26 - Still early in the race
Runners are fresh and steady (Optimism)
Crowd is watching but not cheering wildly yet
Most people aren't even at the venue yet
Many spectators think the race might be cancelled
────────────────────────────────────
📊 Side-by-Side Psychology Comparison
────────────────────────────────────
🎯 What This Tells Us About IG:BITCOIN
If COINBASE:BTCUSD were truly at a cycle top, it would look like CAPITALCOM:GOLD :
❌ Parabolic vertical moves
❌ RSI pinned above 75 for weeks
❌ Volume exploding
❌ Everyone saying "Bitcoin to $500K"
❌ Taxi drivers asking about crypto
❌ Magazine covers everywhere
❌ No doubt whatsoever about the trend
But OANDA:BTCUSD looks nothing like that:
✅ Choppy consolidation
✅ RSI in neutral zone (44.61)
✅ Volume moderate
✅ Everyone asking "Is the bull market over?"
✅ Retail despair and fear
✅ Zero mainstream coverage
✅ Maximum doubt about the trend
────────────────────────────────────
💡 The Psychology Principle
Here's the key insight from behavioral finance:
**"If you have to ask whether you're in a bubble, you're not in a bubble."**
TVC:GOLD : No one is asking if TVC:GOLD is in a bull market. It's obvious.
IG:BITCOIN : Everyone is asking if IG:BITCOIN is in a bull market. That's your answer.
────────────────────────────────────
🧩 Where Each Asset Really Is
TVC:GOLD - Post-Peak Bear Market Transition:
Completed Phases:
✅ Hope (Oct '23 - May '24)
✅ Optimism (May '24 - Dec '24)
✅ Belief (Dec '24 - May '25)
✅ Thrill (May '25 - Sep '25)
✅ EUPHORIA - PEAKED at $4,390 (Oct '2025)
Current Phase:
🔶 COMPLACENCY - "It'll come back to $4,390"
Price: $4,000.92 (down ~9% from peak)
Classic post-euphoria denial behavior
What's Next:
Anxiety → Denial → Panic → Capitulation (2026+)
Time Remaining: Bull market is OVER - bear phase beginning
────────────────────────────────────
KRAKEN:BTCUSD - Early-Mid Bull Market:
Completed Phases:
✅ Hope (2023 - Post-FTX recovery)
🟡 OPTIMISM (Current - 2024-2025)
Phases Still Ahead:
⬜ Belief
⬜ Thrill
⬜ Euphoria
What's Next:
Break into Belief phase → Thrill → Euphoria
Time Remaining: Given CRYPTOCAP:BTC high volatile nature - 2-6 months of upside potential
────────────────────────────────────
🎨 The Visual Test (Do This Right Now)
Step 1: Look at the TVC:GOLD chart
Does it look like a bull market? YES
Could you be wrong? NO
Is there any doubt? ZERO
Step 2: Look at the IG:BITCOIN chart
Does it look like a bull market? MAYBE?
Could you be wrong? POSSIBLY
Is there any doubt? TONS
Step 3: Ask yourself
**"Would a cycle TOP have this much doubt and fear?"**
The answer is NO.
────────────────────────────────────
📈 What the RSI Divergence Tells Us
TVC:GOLD RSI Pattern:
Peaked above 85 during euphoria
Currently cooling at 69.15
Rolling over from overbought
Classic post-peak behavior
This is bear market transition
IG:BITCOIN RSI Pattern:
Sitting at 44.61
Plenty of room to run
Not even approaching overbought
Recent "Bear" signals flushing out
This is early-cycle behavior
Think of it like a gas tank:
TVC:GOLD : Hit redline at $4,390, now coasting down on fumes
IG:BITCOIN : 45% full, tons of room to run
────────────────────────────────────
🔥 The Contrarian Insight
What the majority thinks:
" TVC:GOLD is in a bubble, IG:BITCOIN topped"
What the charts actually show:
TVC:GOLD is in a mature bull market (near end)
IG:BITCOIN is in early-mid bull market (tons of runway)
The irony:
Everyone trusts TVC:GOLD rally (late stage)
Everyone doubts IG:BITCOIN rally (early stage)
This is exactly backwards.
────────────────────────────────────
🎭 The Emotional State Comparison
TVC:GOLD Holders Right Now:
😰 Starting to feel anxious (down from $4,390)
🤔 "It'll bounce back, right?"
📉 Checking price hoping for recovery
🙃 "I should have sold at $4,390"
😬 "This is just a healthy correction"
This is COMPLACENCY - the denial phase after euphoria.
IG:BITCOIN Holders Right Now:
😰 Anxious and doubtful
🤐 Not talking about their positions
😔 Wondering if they should sell
📉 Feeling defeated
💀 "Maybe the cycle is over"
Which emotional state typically marks:
Post-cycle tops? → TVC:GOLD current state (Complacency/Denial after Euphoria peak)
Cycle middles? → IG:BITCOIN current state (Doubt during Optimism)
────────────────────────────────────
💎 The Bottom Line
Using the Wall Street Cheat Sheet as our guide:
TVC:GOLD :
Phase: Thrill → Euphoria
Completion: ~95% through cycle
Risk/Reward: High risk, limited reward
Action: Take profits soon
IG:BITCOIN :
Phase: Optimism (just finished Hope)
Completion: ~30% through cycle
Risk/Reward: Moderate risk, massive reward
Action: Accumulate aggressively
────────────────────────────────────
🧠 The Psychology Lesson
The market is designed to make you feel wrong at exactly the wrong time:
When TVC:GOLD peaked at $4,390 (Euphoria) → You felt confident, " TVC:GOLD to $5K!"
Now TVC:GOLD is pulling back (Complacency) → You feel like "it's just a correction"
When IG:BITCOIN is cheap and poised (Optimism) → You feel scared to buy
This is why most people:
Miss selling tops (felt too good at $4,390)
Hold through corrections (denial and complacency)
Sell bottoms during fear (Optimism feels scary)
To win, you must:
Trust the structure over the sentiment
Buy when it feels uncomfortable (Optimism/Belief)
Sell when it feels amazing (Euphoria/Peak)
────────────────────────────────────
📍 Where We Actually Are
HOPE → OPTIMISM( IG:BITCOIN ) → BELIEF → THRILL → EUPHORIA ( TVC:GOLD $4390 Peak) → COMPLACENCY → ( TVC:GOLD Current)
IG:BITCOIN is 3-4 phases behind TVC:GOLD .
TVC:GOLD already peaked. IG:BITCOIN hasn't even started its parabolic phase yet.
────────────────────────────────────
🎯 What This Means for Your Portfolio
If you're holding TVC:GOLD at $4,000:
You missed the peak at $4,390
You're in post-euphoria complacency
"It'll bounce back" is denial
Risk/reward is terrible now
Exit strategy needed YESTERDAY
If you're doubting IG:BITCOIN at $102K:
You're sitting in Optimism
You're early to the party
Peak is 3-4 phases away
Risk/reward is excellent
Accumulation strategy needed NOW
────────────────────────────────────
🔚 Final Thought
The next time someone tells you " IG:BITCOIN topped," show them these two charts side by side.
Ask them: "Which one actually topped?"
The answer is clear: TVC:GOLD peaked at $4,390 and is now in complacency denial. IG:BITCOIN is still in optimism.
TVC:GOLD finished its race.
IG:BITCOIN is just finishing Act 1.
The Golden Bull Run isn't over—it's barely begun.
────────────────────────────────────
This is educational content comparing market psychology across asset classes. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
────────────────────────────────────
Gold’s Tight Range = Big Opportunity! Watch These Key Levels.COMEX:GC1! COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures) | Market Analysis & 2025 Outlook
After hundreds of requests since my last ideas, I’ve decided to share another detailed breakdown — this time for Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! . Let’s dive in.
COMEX: COMEX:GC1! Breakdown
Fundamental Analysis → NEUTRAL to BULLISH
Gold remains range-bound as markets await clearer direction from global inflation data and U.S. rate expectations. Safe-haven demand continues to support the metal, but a strong dollar has kept price capped.
Technical Analysis → RANGING (Neutral Bias)
Currently consolidating within a 4H range since October 25th, with price bouncing between resistance near 4045 and support around 3940.
A close below 3940 opens the door for lows near 3823.
A close above 4045 could trigger a move toward the fair value gap around 4235.
If price sustains above 4235, the next major target would be a breakout beyond the all-time high at 4398.
This sideways structure suggests accumulation before a decisive move — traders should stay patient for a confirmed breakout before committing heavy capital.
Sentimental Analysis → Market in Waiting Mode
Gold traders are showing hesitation — institutions and retail alike are waiting for key macro catalysts. The current equilibrium reflects indecision rather than reversal.
My Suggestion:
While the bias remains neutral, a smart strategy is to wait for confirmation from the range extremes.
Trade Plan:
BUY Setup: If we see a strong 4H or daily close above 4045, aim for 4235, then 4398.
SELL Setup: If price closes below 3940, look for continuation to 3823 before considering long re-entries.
Use proper risk management — risk small until direction confirms.
Conclusion
Gold’s current range offers both opportunity and caution. Be patient and let the breakout guide your next move. Remember — the market rewards discipline more than prediction.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, drop a LIKE, COMMENT, and FOLLOW for more updates and technical setups.
See you soon on the next trade idea! ✨📊
$DXY eye a 5 point move. RISK OFF.The dollar index is reversing course.
And I believe highly likely to trigger this complex inverse head and shoulder's.
A swift move to the 105 region
lines up with a expected downside move in #BTC
A corrective move in the #PreciousMetals
and further profit taking on the #AI trade.
I believe this all could play by Xmas.
So the odds of a #SantaRally are slim given current price action that we are seeing across the board.
YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Weekly Institutional 📘 EDUCATIONAL ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
All times Africa/Cairo (UTC+2). Report time: Sat, 08 Nov 2025 — 10:09
🟡 YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Weekly Institutional — COMPREHENSIVE (Approved Protocol)
Spot ref: 4,000.18 • GC1 (front): 4,009.8 • GC2 (next): 4,043.3
→ Term spread (XCM): +0.84% → Contango
— GC futures curve explainer —
• Contango → GC2 > GC1 (normal upward curve; storage/carry is priced in; not bearish by itself).
• Backwardation → GC2 < GC1 (near-term demand/supply stress; often bullish spot impulse).
• Term spread (%) → (GC2 − GC1) / GC1 × 100 → shows curve slope/steepness.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
1) SNAPSHOT & MAP (W1 focus, using your attached GC1/GC2 & XAUMO boards)
• State: Balanced / Sideways around 4,000 handle (POC ≈ 4,000–4,001).
• Boxed range (cash): 3,976–4,027 (VA Low ≈ 3,988–3,990; VA High ≈ 4,010–4,012).
• Immediate inflection: 4,010 (accept above → 4,027/4,034), 3,996 (accept below → 3,983/3,976).
• Weekly VWAP bias: flat-to-slightly up; value building near 4,000.
2) XGM GATE MAP (where the week tends to open)
• Above 4,010 gate → bullish distribution to 4,027 → 4,034/4,043.
• Below 3,996 gate → bearish rotation to 3,983 → 3,976 → 3,965.
• Inside 3,996–4,010 → fade the extremes back to POC (4,000 ±).
3) GC FUTURES STRUCTURE (Daily)
• GC1 ~4,009.8, GC2 ~4,043.3 → mild contango (+0.84%) consistent with carry; no squeeze signal by structure alone.
• Basis vs spot ~ +0.24% (spot 4,000.18) → curve not pressuring immediate spot dislocation.
4) FIB-KICKER / VOLUME MATRIX (from your boards)
• Pullback magnets: 61.8% ≈ 4,004; 88.6% ≈ 4,010.
• Extension magnets: 118% ≈ 4,031–4,034; 138–150% ≈ 4,056–4,075 (stretch if RVOL expands).
• Volume note: rotation pockets inside 3,996–4,010; outside requires RVOL > 1.1 to sustain.
5) ICHIMOKU REGIME TABLE (directional read)
• 4H: Bullish continuation, “retracement in progress.”
• 1H: Mixed / tactical bearish on dips; flips bullish only above 4,012–4,016 acceptance.
• 15m/5m: Buy-the-pullback bias into 4,010 when momentum > EMA(9/21).
6) VALUE MAP (POC/VAL/VAH/VWAP)
• POC ~ 4,000–4,001 • VAL ~ 3,988–3,990 • VAH ~ 4,010–4,012 • WVWAP ~ flat ≈ 4,001
• Interpretation: Acceptance above VAH unlocks 4,027/4,034; failure at VAH reverts to POC then VAL.
7) XAUMO TREND MAP (confidence %)
• Weekly: Sideways-up (58%)
• 4H: Gentle up (55%)
• 1H: Neutral→up only above 4,012 (48% below / 56% above)
• 15m: Up on RVOL>1 / EMA9>EMA21 (60%)
8) KICKER PROJECTIONS (what good looks like)
• Bull path: Probe 4,004 → reclaim 4,010 → build above → 4,027 → 4,034/4,043.
• Bear path: Lose 3,996 → 3,988 → 3,983/3,976 → stretch 3,965 if RVOL>1.2.
9) SESSION BIAS TABLE (London/NY execution tips)
• London Open (LO): Fade early sweep toward 3,996/3,988, target mean (4,000) or VAH (4,010) if momentum confirms.
• pre-NY: If VAH holds support, squeeze to 4,027; if VAH rejects, short back to 4,000 → 3,996.
• NY Main: Break-and-hold above 4,012 tends to run stops to 4,027/4,034; miss = chop back to 4,000.
10) CROSS-ASSET HEATMAP (from your watchlist snapshot)
• VIX ~19 (calm-ish but reactive) • US30 +0.09% • NASDAQ −0.35% • XAU/EUR +0.44%
• Read: Mild equity softness + steady VIX = supportive on dips if DXY doesn’t spike.
11) LIQUIDITY MAP (where stops likely sit)
• Tops: 4,012–4,016 (acceptance flip), 4,027, 4,034/4,043.
• Bottoms: 3,996, 3,988, 3,983, 3,976, 3,965.
12) ECON-AWARE NOTES (weekly posture)
• With curve in mild contango and cash boxed at 4,000, news shocks likely decide who wins 3,996 vs 4,010.
• Plan: Execute technicals; expand size only when RVOL > 1.1 and ADX (LTF) rises.
13) EXECUTION CHECKLIST
HTF bias aligned? (Weekly/4H not fighting your 15m idea)
Above/below gate (4,010 / 3,996) decided?
RVOL > 1.1 and 9>21 EMA on entry TF?
SL1 = structure + ATR(15m)×0.6; SL2 (tailgate) trails behind EMA21/VWAP band
Partial at TP1; move SL1 to BE once +0.75R; trail SL2
14) TRADE SCENARIOS (examples; educational only)
A) Swing (weekly box breakout)
• Long 4,012–4,016 acceptance, SL1 4,004, SL2 trail 21-EMA(15m)
• TP1 4,027, TP2 4,034 (runner 4,043)
• Probability: 62% if RVOL > 1.1 and 1H flips up
• Alt (reversal): Short 3,996 break & hold, SL1 4,004, TP1 3,988, TP2 3,976 (prob 55%)
B) Edge-Fade (inside the box)
• Short 4,010–4,012 rejection (bear wick / delta stall), SL1 4,016, TP1 4,000, TP2 3,996
• Long 3,988–3,996 absorption, SL1 3,983, TP1 4,000, TP2 4,010
• Probability: 58% while range persists; stand down when RVOL expands >1.2
C) Scalping (5m→15m calibrated)
• Long on pullback to 4,001–4,004 with EMA9>21 & RVOL line up, SL1 3,997, TP1 4,008, TP2 4,012
• Short on fail back under 3,999 with EMA9<21, SL1 4,003, TP1 3,994, TP2 3,990
• Use SL2 tailgate once +0.6R; max hold 3–5 bars
D) Continuation (momentum burst)
• Above 4,027 with footprint expansion → quick run 4,034 then 4,043
• Below 3,983 with RVOL>1.3 → 3,976 then test 3,965
• Manage with SL2 trailing behind micro-swings
15) RISK MANAGEMENT (XAUMO style)
• Position tiering: ½ size inside 3,996–4,010; full size only after acceptance outside the box with RVOL>1.1.
• SL1 = structure+ATR buffer; SL2 = tailgate trail. If TP1 hit → lock BE, trail for TP2.
• No add-ons if ADX(15m) falling and RVOL<1.0.
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ARABIC QUICK SUMMARY (ملخص عربي)
• السوق متوازن حوالين 4000. البوابة لفوق 4010–4012، وتحت 3996.
• سيناريو الشراء: تثبيت فوق 4012 → 4027 ثم 4034/4043.
• سيناريو البيع: كسر 3996 → 3988 ثم 3976.
• إدارة المخاطرة: SL1 هيكل + ATR، و SL2 تريل ورا EMA/VWAP. خُد جزء عند TP1 وحرك الباقي BE.
FRENCH QUICK SUMMARY (Résumé)
• Marché neutre autour de 4000. Portes: 4010–4012 (haussier) / 3996 (baissier).
• Achat: acceptance > 4012 → 4027 puis 4034/4043.
• Vente: rupture < 3996 → 3988 puis 3976.
• Risque: SL1 structure + ATR, SL2 suiveur; prendre TP1 puis basculer BE.
🏆 Winners trade with XAUMO
Gold 4H – Key Liquidity Zones Ahead of US PMI & Fed Commentary🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to consolidate within a tight 4H range as traders prepare for a week influenced by U.S. PMI releases, Fed speeches, and shifting rate-cut expectations.
Mixed economic signals — including softer labor data but resilient manufacturing prints — have kept gold trapped between supply overhead and stacked demand levels below.
Institutional flows remain cautious, with markets waiting for clarity on the Fed’s stance. This uncertainty often fuels liquidity-driven sweeps, making this week especially favorable for SMC-style setups.
Short-term volatility is expected as price interacts with major liquidity pools on both ends of the range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is moving within a well-defined range structure, with repeated liquidity grabs on both sides indicating accumulation by larger players.
• The latest 4H ChoCH signals continued hesitation from buyers near the mid-range, hinting that the market may engineer another sweep before committing to a directional leg.
• A significant Premium Supply Zone at 4154–4152 sits just above recent equal highs — an attractive area for liquidity hunts followed by potential short-term distribution.
• Conversely, the Discount Demand Zone at 3907–3909 aligns with previous structural reaction levels and sits below a liquidity shelf, making it an ideal zone for re-accumulation.
• Expect engineered stop-hunts around mid-range liquidity (4000–4016) before a stronger move develops.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3907–3909
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3978 → 4003 → 4016 → 4125
Rationale:
• Discount zone within the current 4H range
• Liquidity resting below the structure lows
• Potential accumulation before the next bullish impulse
🔴 Sell Zone: 4154–4152
SL: 4161
TP targets: 4080 → 4016 → 3978 → 3920
Rationale:
• Premium supply positioned above equal-high liquidity
• Likely area for a sweep before corrective downside
• Confluence with previous 4H structure rejection
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH or BOS confirmation inside each zone before entering.
• Expect liquidity manipulation around 4000–4016, especially during US session opens.
• Avoid entries 10–15 minutes before major Fed or PMI releases to limit spread expansion.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to lock in gains while letting runners play out.
✅ Summary
Gold remains in a controlled 4H range with clear institutional footprints above and below the current price.
Smart Money is likely to engineer a move into either the 4150 supply or the 3900 demand before choosing its next major direction.
Both setups offer high-probability opportunities when combined with intraday confirmations.
Stay patient, wait for liquidity sweeps, and respect structure.
Premium sells remain valid at 4154–4152, while discounted buys are favored at 3907–3909.
🔔 FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context
Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported.
This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor.
From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive.
As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg.
📊 Technical Structure (H4)
The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area)
• 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone)
• ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower.
The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation.
🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View
Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection.
As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term.
Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move**
Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone.
The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken.
If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend.
However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond.
**Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish
**Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100
* Support: $3,886 – $3,614
**Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Please check out our updated Weekly Chart Route Map, featuring updated revised key levels after completion of our last long term weekly chart idea for precise level-to-level tracking.
Price action has successfully filled EMA5 detachment (highlighted with a circle) and we are now seeing price play between 4059 (resistance) and 3821(support).
To determine the next directional move, we’ll need a decisive test and break of either boundary level. On the broader horizon, 3006 stands as the long-range pivotal swing zone, which may come into play if a major correction unfolds.
🔹 Note: The key distinction between a retracement range and a swing range is that swing ranges typically produce larger bounces and wider price reactions compared to standard retracement ranges.
We’ll continue to update this outlook throughout the week as the structure develops. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD → The battle for the $4,000 zone. Are the bulls here?FX:XAUUSD is gradually recovering. The price is breaking through $4,000 and trying to stay above the key psychological level. Focus on 4,030–4,050...
Weak employment data, namely a sharp increase in layoffs in October, has heightened fears of an economic slowdown, a decline in government bond yields, and the ongoing correction of AI assets is fueling demand for safe havens.
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 69%. The situation is stabilizing somewhat, there is no strong news today, and the market may try to maintain the current backdrop...
Gold retains its upside potential while macro risks remain. The $4000 level is currently acting as key support. Closing the week above this mark will open the way to test $4050.
Resistance levels: 4030 - 4050
Support levels: 4000, 3975, 3956
The dollar and gold are rising, and the inverse correlation is decreasing, indicating that bulls are still trying to keep the market from falling sharply. However, given the lack of drivers, strong news, and a clear fundamental backdrop, I would say that gold is not yet ready to break out of its current range. Consolidation above 4K could lead to a retest of 4030-4050, which in turn could trigger a pullback to local support.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Detected )Status: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: Gold
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
Reasons To Enter ( 3980 ) Reversal Zone
➕Volume Cluster
➕Delta +
➕$$ Trend
➕Alpha Range Protecting
➕NY +
➕Visible Range LVN
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan — 3989 Support Holding, Next Stop 4042?Price has broken above 3989 and pulled back to retest the 50MA, which is now holding as support. If bullish momentum continues, the 50MA looks ready to cross above the 200MA, which would strengthen the short-term bullish momentum.
The next resistance is at 4042. A clean break above 4042 could open the move toward 4090.
If buyers fail to hold above 3989, price may slide back into the First Reaction Zone (3957–3918).
Failure to hold that zone could bring the Support Zone and even the HTF Support Zone back into play.
📌Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
4042
4090
4142
Support:
3989
3957
3918
3884
3851
3820
3781
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
Not many high-impact releases today. We do have several FOMC members speaking, along with Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations later.
As always, keep in mind that geopolitical and broader macro sentiment continue to play a major role here — even with a quiet calendar, gold can still react to headlines.
(GBP/USD, 4-hour timeframe)..(GBP/USD, 4-hour timeframe), I have drawn two target points marked with arrows above the current price. Let’s analyze what’s on the screen:
Current Setup
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour
Current price: around 1.3130–1.3150
Pattern: Appears to be a potential inverted head and shoulders or double bottom pattern forming.
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (yellow shaded area), suggesting resistance near 1.3250–1.3300.
Targets drawn:
First target: near 1.3350
Second target: near 1.3500
📈 Target Levels (Based on Chart)
1. First Target (Short-term): 1.3340 – 1.3360
This matches the lower “Target Point” drawn on my chart.
It aligns with the top of the current Ichimoku cloud and previous price structure resistance.
2. Second Target (Mid-term): 1.3480 – 1.3500
The upper “Target Point” shown.
Represents the next major resistance zone.
🛠 Suggested Strategy (if my bullish)
Entry: Confirm breakout above 1.3200 with strong candles.
Take Profit 1: 1.3340
Take Profit 2: 1.3480
Stop Loss: Below 1.3050 (under recent swing low).
Gold struggles below $4KI think it is fair to say that the $4K level is super important in as far as gold’s short-term direction is concerned. A potential breakdown below $3930 would signal gold has decided to stay below this $4K level. The $3930 level is where gold found support from earlier this week, so a break below it would now be quite significant from a technical standpoint. On the upside, $4045 is where gold needs to climb above to trigger technical selling above it. This was the high from last Friday. While gold decides which direction to break, I don’t have too strong a view on the metal currently. Granted, the fresh weakening of the US dollar amid signs of weakness in labour market as reported by Challenger yesterday, and the drop in consumer confidence as reported by the UoM today, both point to potential gains for gold. However, the metal has been trending in the same direction as equity markets. Therein lies the problem. With stocks struggling, gold has been unable to find any fresh haven demand to give it a lift above $4K.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
ETH/USD (Ethereum vs U.S. Dollar) on 2-hour timeframe...ETH/USD (Ethereum vs U.S. Dollar) on what seems to be the 2-hour timeframe.
Here’s what’s visible:
The chart shows a descending trendline (downtrend) and a horizontal support zone around the $3,200 area.
My marked two “Target Points” above, suggesting a bullish reversal setup from that support.
🎯 Target Levels (approximate based on chart scale)
1. First Target Point: around $3,450 – $3,480
→ This aligns with the first resistance zone and the projected move from the descending breakout.
2. Second Target Point: around $3,720 – $3,750
→ This represents the measured move from the pattern height projected upward — the next major resistance.
---
⚙ Summary
Current Price: ≈ $3,283
Support Zone: ≈ $3,200
1st Target: $3,450
2nd Target: $3,720
Bias: Bullish breakout expected if ETH/USD breaks above the descending trendline and confirms above the Ichimoku cloud.
USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe.USD/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe.
Here’s what it shows:
Price has broken below an ascending channel, suggesting a bearish breakout.
My marked two target points with downward arrows.
By reading the price scale on the right side:
📉 Target Levels
1. First Target Point: around 151.500
→ This aligns with the mid-level support from the previous consolidation zone.
2. Second Target Point: around 150.000
→ This represents the full measured move from the channel height projected downward — a major support level and likely the final bearish target.
⚙ Summary
Current Price: ≈ 153.12
1st Target: 151.50
2nd Target: 150.00
Bias: Bearish (breakout below channel + below Ichimoku cloud)






















