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Gold Trading Strategy Essentials for Tuesday, September 9th: I. Core Drivers and Risks (Fundamentals) Bullient Factors Dominate: Expectations of a Stronger Rate Cut: The US August non-farm payroll data fell far short of expectations, leaving the market with near-100% expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. A weaker US dollar and falling US Treasury yields continue to favor gold. Strong Safe-Haven Demand: The escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict and heightened global geopolitical risks are boosting gold's safe-haven appeal. Solid Structural Support: Continued gold purchases by global central banks (such as the People's Bank of China) provide long-term support for gold prices. Potential Risk Points: Data Risk: US CPI and PPI data will be released. If inflation data exceeds expectations and is strong, it could weaken expectations of a rate cut and weigh on gold prices. Technical pullback: The price of gold has risen sharply this year, and the short-term technical indicator (RSI) has diverged, and there is pressure for a technical pullback. Federal Reserve Signals: Be wary of volatility triggered by any hawkish signals in the outcome of the interest rate meeting or the policy statement. II. Key Technical Levels (Spot Gold) Current Price: 3645 Resistance: 3658 (Recent High) → 3700 (Psychological Barrier) Support: 3620 (Initial Support) → 3600 (Key Psychological Level) → 3550.46 (Strong Support) III. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Overall Approach: The medium- to long-term bullish trend remains unchanged, but the market is currently at a critical resistance level. Avoid chasing highs. The primary strategy is to buy on dips after pullbacks, supplemented by using a very light position to capture short-term pullbacks. Buy on Pullbacks Entry Area: Expect a small long position when the 3600-3620 range stabilizes (for more cautious traders, wait for the 3550-3570 area). Stop loss: Place it at $8-10 below the entry level (e.g., for a long order at $3,600, the stop loss is set at $3,590-3,592). Target: First look at 3650 - 3658, after breaking through, you can hold and look up to 3680 - 3700. Aggressive Short-Term Selling (Experienced Traders Only) Entry Signal: A rapid price rise to 3658 or above, accompanied by clear resistance signals (such as a long upper shadow on the 15-minute/1-hour candlestick chart or a top divergence on the RSI). Position: A small position. Stop-loss: Must be set strictly $5 above the entry level (e.g., for a short position at 3660, stop-loss at 3665). Target: Enter and exit quickly to capture 20$-30$pullback profits (such as around 3630). Position Management: Risk exposure on a single trade must be strictly controlled within 1-2% of total capital. Forced Stop-loss: A stop-loss must be set on all trades to prevent unexpected large losses.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FX_Gold_Mastermind
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis Resistance Rejection & Pullback ScenariGold (XAUUSD) – Intraday Analysis: Resistance Rejection and Pullback Scenario Gold has been trading in a strong uptrend channel since late August, but today’s price action is showing the first signs of exhaustion. On the H1 timeframe, price reached a key resistance zone around 3,670 – 3,680 USD/oz and immediately rejected, breaking out of the rising channel. This signals a potential short-term pullback. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,670 – 3,680 (major rejection zone). If bulls manage to break above, the next upside target will be 3,720 – 3,750. Support: 3,600 (psychological level + EMA20 H1). 3,540 – 3,550 (recent swing low + Fibonacci 0.382). 3,500 (major support with confluence at Fibonacci 0.5). Trading Strategies Bearish Setup (preferred intraday scenario): Look for short positions if price fails to reclaim 3,670 – 3,680. Entry zone: 3,635 – 3,650. Targets: 3,600 → 3,550 → 3,500. Stop loss: above 3,685. Bullish Setup (alternative scenario): Consider longs only if price holds firmly above 3,600 and shows reversal signals. Entry: 3,600 – 3,610. Target: 3,660 – 3,670. Stop loss: below 3,590. Indicator Confirmation EMA20 vs EMA50 (H1): a bearish cross will strengthen the pullback outlook. RSI (H1): already leaving overbought territory, supporting a correction. Fibonacci retracement: 3,550 and 3,500 are crucial pullback levels to watch. Conclusion: Gold is showing rejection at the 3,670 resistance area, with high probability of a pullback toward 3,600 – 3,550. Short setups remain favorable, but traders should stay flexible in case bulls defend 3,600 strongly. - If you find this analysis useful, remember to follow for more updated strategies and save it for reference during today’s trading session.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Will weakening US labor market signal fuel gold demand? Gold demand has risen as mounting labor market concerns drive investors toward safe havens. The BLS revised job growth down by 911k over the past year, showing only 847k jobs added versus the previously reported 1.758 mln, far weaker than the 682k consensus, signaling a clear slowdown. JPMorgan CEO Dimon noted deteriorating consumer sentiment and labor market weakness as signs of a softening US economy. However, he added that while the Fed is likely to cut rates, the impact on the broader economy may be limited. XAUUSD continues its uptrend, consolidating near record highs. The widening gap between both EMAs indicates the potential extension of bullish momentum. If XAUUSD breaches above the resistance at 3650, the price may advance toward the psychological resistance at 3700. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3580, the price could retreat toward the next support at 3500.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by inkicho_exness
Technical Analysis: Is Gold Targeting 4000 USD?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? Here’s my medium to long-term view: In recent weeks, U.S. economic data has shown a weakening labor market, with the latest NFP coming in below expectations. This increases the likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates, driving more safe-haven flows into gold. As a result, gold has made new history, currently trading around 3650 USD. From a technical perspective, the trend is moving in line with Dow Theory. On the D1 chart, the bullish structure remains intact. Price has completed wave 1 and its correction, and is now in the process of forming the next impulsive wave to extend the uptrend. According to Elliott Wave, gold has already formed waves (1) and (2). Wave (3) is developing and could soon move into a mild wave (4) correction before advancing to wave (5). My target is the psychological level of 3700 USD, with potential extension toward the 4xxx zone. In the short term, the 3,545–3,560 USD range is the nearest support. If it breaks, price could retreat to the 3,450 USD area, which would act as a medium-term accumulation zone. Given the current trend, the strategy is to buy on pullbacks, with scalping also a reasonable option. Always manage risk carefully with proper TP and SL . ⭐️This is just my personal view based on technical analysis. Gold is also influenced by news, so this is not investment advice, only a perspective on the precious metal. If you have any thoughts or interesting ideas, feel free to share them in the comments! Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
16
Gold - Sell positions are on the table for a short time🟡 GOLD – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔎 Bias: Bullish, waiting for retracement The higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, but price is showing signs of cooling off after tapping into supply. The focus is now on identifying optimal discount zones for continuation buys. 📅 Weekly View (W1) Strong break of structure (BOS) to the upside. Price created a new swing high above resistance. Expectation: pullback into swing range before continuation higher. 📊 Daily View (D1) Major resistance at 3,650 has held initially. Price is riding a bullish trendline with clean demand zones below. Daily demand at 3,500–3,520 remains valid for a deeper correction. ⏱ 8H View Price rejected major resistance and is now retracing. Sitting just above 3,600 support. Demand zones layered beneath, aligned with lower-TF confluence. ⏱ 1H View Clear 3-zone setup: Buy Zone 1 (Shallow) → 3,610 Buy Zone 2 (Preferred) → 3,590 (aligns with 71% retracement + demand) Buy Zone 3 (Deep) → 3,570 liquidity grab before reversal Current PA suggests sellers may push lower before buyers step in. 🎯 Trade Plan Wait for retracement into Buy Zone 2 (preferred level). Watch for bullish confirmation (candle reversal / liquidity sweep). Short-term target: retest 3,650 supply. Medium-term target: 3,700+ continuation if structure holds.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by jamesibartram
Gold at Crossroads: Tensions Mount, PPI LoomsHello traders, it’s going to be a key session. Let’s unpack the story: 🌍 Geopolitical Shockwave Fuels Gold An attack in Qatar today added another layer of tension to already fragile markets. Safe-haven demand spiked, driving Gold to a fresh ATH at 3674. Risk flows are now elevated, and traders are bracing for what comes next. 📊 Structural Map – Where We Stand Gold is currently boxed in between two macro fortresses: 🔼 Upside Fortress: 3675–3700 supply wall, with higher resistance at 3715–3725. 🔽 Downside Fortress: Strong demand at 3595–3580, and the deeper HTF stronghold around 3555–3535. ⚔️ Intraday Battlefield The short-term fight is locked between 3630 and 3650. Holding above 3650 → opens the road back into 3700. Losing 3630 → exposes Gold to a deeper dip toward 3595. The broader bias remains bullish, but only if buyers defend 3630 with conviction. 📅 Core PPI Ahead Tomorrow’s Core PPI release could act as the spark that decides this standoff. If inflation surprises higher, USD strength may pressure Gold lower. If weaker, Gold could break higher and extend into uncharted territory. 🎯 What This Means Gold is caught between supply and demand fortresses. With geopolitics and news in play, this is no ordinary consolidation. 💬 Do you expect Gold to push straight into 3700+, or will it reload lower before the rally continues? 👍 Drop a like if this gives you clarity. 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper maps and HTF breakdowns. Together we sharpen the edge, one level at a time 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Goldman lays out the case for $5,000 gold – here’s how it happenGoldman Sachs has warned that gold prices could surge to $5000/oz if the Trump administration succeeds in undermining the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve. A politicized Fed is seen as likely to cut rates extremely aggressively (Treasury Secretory Scott Bessent and Trump have called for an interest rate of 1.5% and 1.0%, respectively) to stimulate short-term growth, raising the risk of higher inflation. Such a move could drive investors away from traditional safe havens like the U.S. dollar and government bonds. In a report released this week, Goldman noted that if just 1% of the privately held U.S. Treasury market shifted into gold, prices could rise by about 40% from current levels.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Grand Silver SupercycleI present the Grand Silver Supercycle. Silver has followed Elliott Wave Theory nicely through the years. The price hit a century low during The Great Depression, beginning what I believe to be the first wave of a supercycle. There is a clear five wave pattern up from this low, peaking in 1980. This is supercycle wave 1. Then, we see a five wave corrective pattern down, bottoming out in the early 90s. Alternatively, a three wave ABC pattern could be drawn. This is where supercycle wave 3 begins. Wave 3 is typically much more prominent than wave 1 in Elliott Wave Theory. For this reason, it makes sense that the next five wave pattern ending in 2011 is only the first subwave of supercycle wave 3. The second subwave corrected to the 2020 low, and we are currently on the third subwave. Within this subwave, we could either be starting a third wave (as shown in the chart) or still be on the corrective second wave. I believe the former is much more likely due to fundamentals. Price targets within the current subwave were estimated as follows: wave 3 length = 1.618 X wave 1 wave 3 target = $48 wave 4 length = 38.2% retracement of wave 3 wave 5 length = 1.618 X (wave 3 end - wave 1 start) I'm more confident on wave 3 ending near $48 than I am of wave 5 ending near $95. There is strong resistance at $50, which coincides with the Elliott target zone. Wave 5 length can vary significantly. For silver at least, fifth waves have traditionally been long ones. Fundamentals Elliott Wave Theory is only a tool. It needs to be backed up by fundamentals when forecasting on long time frames. Silver is undervalued due to many years of supply outstripping demand, creating cheap prices. That is in the early stages of changing as now demand outpaces supply. Global silver demand was expected to hit an all time high of 1.21 billion ounces in 2022 (www.silverinstitute.org). This is largely due to increases in demand in both industry (Green Revolution) and personal investment (stackers hedging against inflation). Silver reserves currently stand at 530,000 metric tons (www.statista.com). The current demand is 38,000 metric tons per year. A simple calculation shows existing reserves could be depleted in 14 years. However, this calculation doesn't take into account new discoveries and recycling, which have so far kept pace with demand. Estimates of time to depletion of reserves vary wildly from a couple decades to a few centuries. At the moment, the prime driver of price (in addition to inflation) will be the deficit, not depletion of reserves. Inflation is a totally different animal that is much harder to forecast long term due to its close relationship to government and Federal Reserve policy. It is more likely that when presented the choice, our leaders choose high inflation over debt default and depression. How this all is going to play out is anyone's guess. It seems for now our leaders are trying to kick the can down the road for as long as possible. If hyperinflation hits, the silver price will reach extraordinary heights.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Cryptogold14
GOLD Every Rise Has Its Sunset- From 2000 to today, gold has surged by an impressive 1000%, a remarkable performance for the world's leading asset. - Keep in mind, every ascent is bound to face a descent someday. - I’ll skip the deep dive into politics and fundamentals, but the picture is clear: with Trump winning the election, peace could make a comeback. Gold typically rises when fears of war spike, but as those fears ease, its value tends to drop. - As always, the chart tells the story. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels— a prime buying opportunity is likely to emerge in the $1200 to $800 range. - i will post in comments my older Gold Analysis. Happy Tr4Ding !
TVC:GOLD
by thecryer
7
DeGRAM | GOLD held the boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is moving within an ascending channel, rebounding from 3,646 support and stabilizing above the lower channel boundary. ● The short-term structure points toward 3,654, with further potential to test 3,659 if bullish momentum sustains. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Gold is supported by a weaker dollar as traders adjust positions ahead of upcoming US CPI data, while global risk aversion maintains safe-haven demand. ✨ Summary Bullish above 3,646; targets 3,654 → 3,659. Invalidation on a close below 3,646. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
9
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts for us with our 1H chart playing out as analysed with our final target completed today. After completing 3593, 3613 and then 3638, we stated that we would now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3638 to open 3658. We got the lock and confirmation followed with the target hit - PERFECTION!! We are now seeing rejection on this level and will use the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. If the range above opens further please review our daily chart and weekly chart updates with higher range levels to continue to track the movement until we update a new 1h chart. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3593 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3593 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3613 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3613 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3638 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3638 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3658 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 3562 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3562 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3528 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3528 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3492 3470 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3470 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3438 3408 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
Gold – Still One of Wall Street’s Highest Conviction TradesGold – Still One of Wall Street’s Highest Conviction Trades Almost every major Wall Street bank currently lists long Gold as one of their strongest conviction calls – and the reasoning makes sense. There are three fundamental drivers that continue to support the bullish case: I. Persistent U.S. Inflation → Gold remains in strong demand as a hedge. II. Potential Fed Rate Cuts → Likely USD weakness could further lift Gold due to its negative correlation . III. Reserve Diversification → A gradual shift towards Gold as a USD alternative in global central bank and hedge fund portfolios. I’m not typically a trend trader, nor do I trade Gold frequently (my focus is mean reversion in FX), but I do find these arguments compelling. From a tactical perspective, I wouldn’t chase the current highs. Price recently broke out of a triangle formation, and the Williams %R is at levels that historically preceded pullbacks. If I had to establish exposure, I’d prefer to wait for a retracement into the 38.2%–61.8% Fibonacci zone, scaling in gradually with multiple small longs. To be clear – I don’t see an attractive short setup here. But patience may offer better risk–reward on the long side. What’s your view? Do you agree with the fundamental case, or do you see a different setup? Stay safe & happy trading, Meikel
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by WSICapital
5
XAU/USD: Momentum Slows After New All-Time High, Correction LikeXAU/USD has reached a new all-time high within its established upward channel, but is now showing signs of price deceleration near the 3,660 resistance zone—a key area where bullish momentum appears to be fading. The formation of smaller candles in this profit-taking zone signals exhaustion, and a potential rejection at this level could trigger a correction toward 3,590, with a deeper pullback toward 3,470 possible if sellers take control. Structurally, the market appears to be completing an A-B-C correction from this extended zone, suggesting that a broader retracement phase may be unfolding before any renewed bullish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RTED_Investing
Gold | 30min Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders! There is a potential head and shoulders in the making. 🧐 Market Overview: One of the key indicators I watch when trading double tops is negative RSI divergence. On the Gold chart, price has been printing higher highs while RSI has been putting in lower highs — a classic sign of weakening buying momentum. It’s important to note: negative RSI divergence does not guarantee a correction. It’s simply one element within our robust trading system that helps us build higher-probability setups. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.5 Entry: 3655.1 Stop Loss: 3664.7 Take Profit 1 (50%): 3624 Take Profit 2 (50%): 3614 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Always remember — divergence is a signal, not a certainty. Use it in confluence with structure, patterns, and risk management for the best results. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — do you think this head and shoulders will play out, or is Gold still too strong? 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by GTradingMethod
1
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 3648.4 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 3641.2 Recommended Stop Loss - 3652.3 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
4
XAUUSD Stable uptrend eyes quick rise to $3695Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a short-term Channel Up on the 1H time-frame lately, fueled mainly by its 1H MA20 (red trend-line), with the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as the last Support. Right now it is holding the 1H MA20 and as long as it does, we expect it to repeat at least a +1.87% Bullish Leg, similar to the last two. Our immediate Target is $3695. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
Gold Price (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – September 9, 2025On the H4 timeframe, gold has been moving strongly within an uptrend channel, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. At present, price is testing the key resistance zone around 3660 – 3680 USD/oz, which overlaps with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This is a critical area where profit-taking pressure may appear, increasing the probability of a corrective pullback. Technical Breakdown Main Trend: Short-term bullish, but momentum is weakening near resistance. EMA 50 & EMA 200: Both EMAs are sloping upward, confirming bullish structure. However, rejection near resistance could trigger a correction back toward dynamic support. RSI (14): Currently entering overbought territory, signaling potential exhaustion of buyers. Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring the latest bullish leg, retracement levels to watch are 0.382 = 3540, 0.5 = 3500, and 0.618 = 3460 – all acting as key support zones. Price Action: Bearish rejection candles or engulfing patterns near 3660 – 3680 will strengthen the case for a pullback. Key Levels Resistance: 3660 – 3680 Near-term Support: 3540 – 3500 Deeper Support: 3460 – 3420 Major Long-term Support: 3260 – 3300 (trend reversal zone if broken) Trading Strategies Short-term Sell Setup Entry Zone: 3660 – 3680 if bearish confirmation occurs. Targets: 3540 – 3500. Stop Loss: Above 3700. Buy-the-Dip Setup Entry Zone: 3500 – 3460 if price retraces into support. Targets: 3600 – 3660. Stop Loss: Below 3440. - Outlook: Gold is likely to face selling pressure around 3660 – 3680, with a corrective move expected before bulls can regain control. Traders should wait for confirmation signals to avoid falling into a “fake breakout” trap, as seen in previous market structures.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
6