GLD Cycle Analysis – Dual Opportunities from 180 & 90-Week CycleThis chart highlights two dominant rhythms in GLD (SPDR Gold Shares):
The 180-week cycle, which has reliably pinpointed major long-term buy opportunities over the past two decades. Each time price has descended into these troughs, patient investors were rewarded with strong, multi-year rallies.
The 90-week cycle, nested within the larger one, has provided shorter-term opportunities for investors and swing traders. These mid-cycle lows often marked excellent entry points for those looking to capture medium-range gains without waiting for the full 180-week reset.
Takeaway:
Cycles matter - the 180-week rhythm has been the foundation for long-term positioning, while the 90-week cycle has created multiple shorter-range accumulation windows. Both have worked hand-in-hand to map gold’s path higher.
Gold
GOLD continues to set records, market awaits Powell's speechIn the Asian trading session on the morning of September 23, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD price fluctuated around 3,745 USD/ounce, after just setting a new record. Previously, in the first session of the week (September 22), gold increased sharply by 62.23 USD (equivalent to 1.7%), closing at 3,746.63 USD/ounce and on this trading day, it jumped to 3,759.29 USD/ounce, the highest level in history.
OANDA:XAUUSD was supported by expectations that the US Federal Reserve would continue to cut interest rates. Low interest rates are generally beneficial for the precious metal because they do not yield. Despite being considered “overbought”, gold has yet to show any signs of technical weakness.
Last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell “poured cold water” on expectations of too-fast policy easing after the Fed cut interest rates. However, the move did not stop money from pouring into gold ETFs, with holdings rising the most in more than three years.
This week, global investors are focused on a series of speeches from Fed officials, especially Mr. Powell's public speech on Tuesday afternoon (US time). According to the schedule, he will attend the "Economic Outlook Lunch" event in Rhode Island on September 24, where he will dialogue with more than 500 business and civil leaders. This is considered an opportunity for the market to grasp more about the upcoming monetary policy direction from the Fed.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD outlook
Main Trend
Gold is in a steep uptrend channel, showing strong momentum.
The most recent candles are all sticking to the channel line and above the MA line, showing that the uptrend is still maintained.
Support and Resistance zones
Important support: 3,707 USD and 3,673 USD/ounce (Two green lines on the chart). This is the zone where if the price corrects, it is likely to bounce back.
Nearest resistance: 3,779 USD (Fibonacci level 0.382). If broken, gold can head towards: 3,825 USD (Fib 0.5), 3,872 USD (Fib 0.618), further: 3,938 USD (Fib 0.786).
Technical indicators
RSI: is in the high zone (above 70, signaling “overbought”), but has not given a strong reversal signal → indicating that the market still has upward momentum.
MA: moving average is sloping up, price is much higher than MA → strengthening the uptrend.
Trend analysis
Gold may have some short-term corrections to “gain momentum” around the $3,707 – $3,673 range, but the medium-term trend remains bullish. If the price channel is maintained and the support zone is not breached, there is a high possibility that gold will conquer the $3,779 → $3,825 → $3,872 range in the near future.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3789 - 3787⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3793
→Take Profit 1 3781
↨
→Take Profit 2 3775
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3726 - 3728⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3722
→Take Profit 1 3734
↨
→Take Profit 2 3740
The rise in gold is still continuing.Wave -(i) of (E) is forming, and the target of 3900-4050 remains valid, and it could even go higher than this price. After the completion of wave -(i) of (E), there is a possibility of a corrective period in both time and price. A time-based corrective period is more likely.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,783.21 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – September 22Hello traders, let’s break down Gold’s 1H battlefield after last week’s volatility.
The FOMC drop drove price sharply from 3707 down into 3628, where buyers defended the 3625–3635 support pocket, keeping structure intact above the Higher Low at 3612. From that defense, Gold has been trying to stabilize, but remains capped under the 3685–3695 First Cap supply zone. The market is now coiled between heavy resistance above and layered demand below — setting up the next decisive move.
🟥 Supply Zones (upside map)
3685–3695 → “First Cap” – immediate resistance where sellers remain active.
3697–3707 → “Sweep Barrier” – last week’s weak high and inducement trap.
3715–3725 → “Expansion Gate 1” – first breakout zone for bullish continuation.
3735–3745 → “Expansion Gate 2” – next distribution layer above.
3780–3790 → “Premium Barrier” – extended upside magnet.
3825–3835 → “Extreme Expansion” – ultimate ceiling of the range.
🟦 Demand Zones (downside map)
3665–3675 → “Decision Zone” – OB of continuation.
A sweep into 3660–3655 with a reclaim above 3675 would validate this as a re-entry long.
3655–3645 → “Liquidity Pocket” – secondary demand aligned with discount pricing.
3625–3635 → “Support Block” – the zone defended on the FOMC dump.
3612 → “Structural HL” – the Higher Low that keeps bullish bias intact.
3585–3575 → “Deep Support” – lower demand in discount.
3540–3530 → “Extreme Wick Base” – ultimate liquidity sweep zone.
⚔️ Scenarios
Bullish: A break through the First Cap (3685–3695) and Sweep Barrier (3707) unlocks Expansion Gate 1 (3715–3725) and Expansion Gate 2 (3735–3745). Decision Zone (3665–3675) offers a clean re-entry if swept and reclaimed.
Bearish: Rejection under 3685–3695 rotates price back into the Decision Zone. A clean breakdown there exposes the Liquidity Pocket (3655–3645) and the Support Block (3625–3635). Losing these turns the spotlight onto the Structural HL at 3612.
✨ Gold is boxed between capped supply and defended demand after the FOMC drop. Will buyers reclaim the First Cap and unlock expansion, or will sellers drag price back toward the Support Block? Share your view below 👇 Don’t forget to like, follow, and comment to stay tuned with GoldFxMinds 🚀
Market fluctuates repeatedly, focusing on Powell's speechLast night, gold still did not provide an opportunity to pull back and go long. Instead, it continued to rise near the end of the trading day. Gold rose again after opening this morning and once approached 3760 before falling back, maintaining a narrow range of high fluctuations during the day. The daily line closed with a positive sign, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages did not move up accordingly, indicating that yesterday's rise in gold was purely caused by news. At this time, we should be more vigilant about gold rising and falling. Pay attention to the upper pressure of 3760-3770. If gold touches the upper side again in the short term and encounters resistance and pressure, aggressive investors may consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. The focus below is 3730, which was the trend suppression yesterday and also the dividing point between short-term gains and losses for bulls and bears. A more conservative approach is to wait for a pullback to 3740-3730 before buying gold.
Don't chase the rise when the market is bullishbe wary of Powell#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Sure enough, after suggesting last night that gold might reach 3760, gold continued to rise this morning, reaching a high of around 3759, which basically met our expectations. Yesterday's daily line closed positive again, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages did not move up, indicating that yesterday's rise in gold was purely caused by news. At the same time, we should be alert to the possibility of a technical correction in gold. The price of gold has been rising continuously and is at a historical high. Any good news may trigger profit-taking, causing prices to fall. In the short term, focus on the resistance level of 3758-3768; only a break and sustained move above this level will give gold the potential to reach 3800. Otherwise, the price will likely correct. Today's trading focus is on the US session, with market attention on Powell's speech. If he signals an attempt to moderate market expectations for aggressive rate cuts, the dollar could rise, thus putting pressure on gold.
Key support levels to watch are around 3730, which was yesterday's trend resistance and a key level for short-term trend reversal. A break below this level could lead to a move towards 3710-3700. However, the market is still dominated by bulls. If the European session falls back to the support level of 3740-3730 and is not broken, go long on gold. The market trend is unpredictable and the technical analysis is already distorted. You can exit the market when you make a profit of $10-30. Don't be too greedy. Be sure to manage your position well and set a stop loss.
Gold - Quick Move!⚡ GOLD – Quick Forecast ⚡
⏱ 5M View (Lower TF)
Price is riding an ascending channel, respecting both trendlines.
Strong impulsive leg (yellow highlight) → market broke higher with momentum.
Now consolidating just under the upper channel line, cooking for the next move.
🔑 Liquidity & Zones
SSL (sell-side liquidity) marked below — prime magnet if price wants a quick dip.
Confluence reload area: Fib 71% + Imbalance fill + SSL zone around 3770–3765.
If tapped, buyers likely reload here for another rocket.
🎯 Play of the Day
Hold current structure = direct push toward 3805–3810 🚀.
Deeper retrace into SSL/71% zone = better entry for continuation long.
Break below channel low? ❌ Idea cooked, bears reclaim flow.
📝 Forecast Summary
📍 Bias : Bullish (buy dips)
🎯 Target : 3805–3810
🪙 Reload Zone: 3765–3770
❌ Invalidation : Break below channel low
XAU/USD Intraday Analysis – Sep 23, 2025Currently, gold is trading around 3,783 USD/oz, showing strong upward momentum after a short consolidation phase. On the H1 chart, the key observations are:
1. Trend & Price Action
The chart shows an uptrend channel since early September, highlighted with the smaller red arrow. Price has been making higher highs and higher lows within this channel.
After breaking out of the channel, gold went through a sideways consolidation around 3,660 – 3,680 USD/oz before resuming its upward move.
Currently, price is making new highs, breaking previous resistance, signaling strong buying pressure.
2. Support & Resistance
Key support levels: 3,680 USD/oz (bottom of consolidation) and 3,720 USD/oz (previous minor high).
Immediate resistance: 3,800 – 3,820 USD/oz (current high), with the next psychological target around 3,850 USD/oz.
3. Technical Tools
Fibonacci retracement from the swing low at 3,460 USD to the current high at 3,784 USD shows potential support around 3,720 – 3,740 USD (38.2% – 50% retracement) in case of a pullback.
Short-term EMAs (9 & 21 H1) are aligned bullishly, confirming strong upward momentum.
H1 RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but not yet signaling an immediate reversal.
4. Trading Strategies
Buy on pullback: Target 3,760 – 3,770 USD for entering long positions in line with the trend.
Breakout trading: If price breaks above 3,784 USD with strong volume, consider buying for a short-term target of 3,820 – 3,850 USD.
Stop-loss: Place below 3,720 – 3,730 USD to manage risk.
Summary:
XAU/USD on the H1 chart is in a strong uptrend, breaking short-term resistance and forming new highs. Trend-following strategies—either buying pullbacks or trading breakouts—are recommended.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Technical Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
* Pivot Level: 3759
* If price holds above 3759
🎯 First target: 3800 (resistance)
🎯 If 3800 breaks strongly → continuation towards: 3820
---
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
* If price sustains below 3759
🎯 First target: 3736 (support)
🎯 If 3736 breaks → continuation lower towards: 3700
---
👉 Summary:
* Above 3759 → bullish continuation.
* Below 3759 → bearish continuation.
GOLD → Aggressive growth is not over. Powell's speech...FX:XAUUSD is rallying, with demand high amid a falling dollar and the Fed's rate cuts. Technically, there are no obstacles to growth, and the market is aggressive. For trading, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Gold is rallying and hitting new highs as people realize what's going on (interest rates are falling). Powell's speech is coming up, and it may trigger a correction (profit-taking) amid growing risks.
Key factors: Powell's speech today, at which time the market is waiting for hints of further easing of Fed policy.
PMI data (US), weak figures will support the possibility of further rate cuts...
Demand for metal is supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 3800
Support levels: 3760
Many factors are supporting the rise in gold, and there are no compelling reasons to sell gold now. The ideal trading strategy is to wait for a pullback and retest of support levels with the formation of strong reversal points for buying.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
Gold - A shifted move in play and up to 4K🔱 Here’s a shifted move in play 🔱
What exactly is a shifted move?
You see the parallel lines next to the white fork?
Those are the shifted lines.
Now, if you observe how price behaved at the white fork, you’ll notice it was a bit sloppy at the L-MLH, and again at the Centerline after reaching it.
But when we add the dotted parallel lines to the chart and measure the distance from the overshoot at the L-MLH, we find a beautiful support at the Shifted Centerline.
The usual target would be the U-MLH.
So, could the target also be shifted?
And what does that tell us?
Well, if you’re long on Gold, you might want to take some profit at the Shifted U-MLH and let the rest ride up toward 4K—if there’s enough gas in the goose.
For me, a re-entry long would be a pullback to the Centerline—either the original or the shifted one—with a small stop just below some structure.
Let me know what you think ho far Gold will go in the comments.
😊 Thanks for boosting, thanks for following 🙏
Gold Ascending Triangle Breakout - Targets $3,800+This chart is not only for trading, it’s also for educational purposes and shows a long-term trade setup. You can see how the triangle pattern works here.
On the monthly time frame chart shows a clear bullish structure: a rising lower-trendline (series of higher lows), a flat horizontal resistance across the highs (an ascending-triangle shape) and a breakout candle that closes above that horizontal resistance. That is a bullish monthly breakout => the path of least resistance is upward while the breakout holds. (Market context: gold was hitting fresh lifetime highs around 22 Sep 2025 as Fed easing hopes and safe-haven flows supported the move.
Price structure & pattern (what the chart is telling you)
Pattern: the formation is an ascending triangle — horizontal (flat) highs vs. rising lows. This pattern is bullish because buyers progressively step in at higher prices against a persistent overhead supply line. The measured-move technique for triangles (height of the pattern added to the breakout) is a standard way to estimate a conservative target.
Trend: monthly trend is bullish — higher highs and higher lows inside a rising channel drawn above and below price. The breakout out of the triangle also cleared the upper channel midline, increasing odds of a run to the upper channel boundary.
Confirmation to watch: a monthly close back below the breakout level and the rising trendline would weaken the bullish case.
Practical Measured Target
Using the measured-move method gives a conservative first target:
Example estimate from the chart: take the triangle height ≈ (resistance ~3,450) − (swing low ~3,100) = 350. (3,450 − 3,100 = 350).
Add the height (350) to the breakout level (~3,450) → 3,450 + 350 = 3,800 as the first measured target; extension toward the top of the longer-term channel puts price into the ~3,900–4,000 neighborhood if momentum continues. (This is the standard target method — actual numbers depend on the exact points you measure on the chart).
Key levels
Immediate resistance / near-term targets: 3,700–3,900 (measured target and channel top).
Immediate support (first line): the breakout zone / prior flat resistance (now support) — roughly 3,350–3,450 on the chart.
Secondary support: rising lower-trendline / channel mid — roughly 3,100–3,250.
Strong structural support well below: 2,700–2,800 (major prior lows and horizontal red lines on the chart).
Use these as rules-of-thumb zones: if price reclaims and holds the breakout zone, bulls remain in control; if price closes monthly back below the rising trendline, the bullish pattern has failed.
Macro drivers & why the breakout matters now
Interest-rate expectations and real yields are the dominant macro drivers for gold: falling real yields (and expectations of Fed rate cuts) make gold more attractive, and the 2025 rally has been powered by that dynamic. Central-bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty and demand flows are additional tailwinds.
U.S. dollar: gold usually trades inverse to the DXY. Around the breakout date the dollar was not significantly stronger (DXY in the high-90s), which removes a major headwind for gold’s advance. If the dollar weakens further, that amplifies an upside path for gold; if the dollar rallies strongly, it increases the chance of a corrective pullback.
Scenarios (how to think about probabilities)
Bull case (highest probability while breakout holds): price follows measured-move to the ~3,800 region and then challenges the upper channel toward ~3,900–4,000 as momentum and lower real yields continue.
Base case (consolidation): a breakout retest — price dips back to the breakout zone (~3,350–3,450), finds buyers, then resumes uptrend (this is healthy and common).
Bear case (pattern failure): monthly close back under the rising trendline (and below ~3,100) — that would open a deeper correction toward 2,900–2,700 and reduce the bullish edge.
Trade plan and risk management (long-term investors vs traders)
Long-term investor (multi-year): if you believe in the macro thesis (lower real yields, central bank demand), holding through volatility is reasonable; consider layering in on pullbacks to the breakout zone (~3,350–3,450) with wider stops and position sizing for multi-year exposure.
Tactical trader (swing/position): the conservative trade is to wait for a breakout retest to the former resistance (buy on confirmed support hold). Entry zone: ~3,350–3,450 with a stop below the rising trendline (e.g., below ~3,100 in the chart) and targets at measured-move (~3,800) and then the channel top (~3,900–4,000). If you prefer momentum entries, a clean monthly close above the breakout with continued follow-through on the next monthly candle is a valid trigger, but tighten stops.
Always size positions so a failure (close below the rising trendline) does not blow you out — place stop levels outside normal monthly noise.
Extra checks (what to watch next)
Watch U.S. inflation prints, Fed commentary and the 10-year real yields — those will be the largest macro switches that could change the story.
Watch DXY moves: a durable dollar rally would increase the odds of a deeper retracement.
On the chart: volume/flow confirmation on the breakout (higher volume on breakout is healthier); monthly-MA alignment (longer MAs acting as support) — these help confirm sustainability.
One-line conclusion
Monthly chart shows a classically bullish ascending-triangle breakout with a conservative measured target near ~3,800 and upside extension possible toward ~3,900–4,000 if macro drivers (falling real yields, Fed easing expectations, weak dollar) remain supportive; a monthly close back below the rising trendline (~3,100 area on the chart) would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold | 30min Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
I’ve entered a short position on gold based on a potential double top formation on the 30-minute chart.
🔎 Market Overview:
This pattern often signals weakening bullish momentum and potential reversal pressure. While gold has been strong recently, the short-term setup suggests an opportunity for a tactical short if the pattern confirms.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.6
Entry: 3,757.0
Stop Loss: 3,766.6
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3,729
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3,713
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
GOLD – Record High as Rate-Cut Bets StrengthenGOLD – Overview
Gold surged to a new all-time high at 3,770 on Tuesday, fueled by expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Fed Governor Stephen Miran argued that current rates are too high and called for steeper cuts to protect the labor market from unnecessary damage.
Traders now turn their attention to Friday’s U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which could strengthen the case for additional monetary easing and keep gold well supported.
Technical Analysis
Gold maintains strong bullish momentum while trading above the 3,766 pivot zone.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as price holds above 3,766 – 3,749, upside targets remain 3,782 → 3,800 → 3,812.
A sustained 1H close above 3,782 would reinforce momentum toward the psychological 3,800 level and potentially higher.
Bearish/Correction Scenario:
A dip toward 3,749 is possible if price stabilizes below 3,766.
A confirmed 1H close below 3,739 would signal deeper correction potential toward 3,712.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3,766
Resistance: 3,782 – 3,800 – 3,812
Support: 3,749 – 3,739 – 3,712
New US visa policy urged gold to reach another record high againGold prices surged following the announcement of a new H-1B visa policy, which includes a tenfold fee increase, sparking concerns over a further weakening of the labor market. Concurrently, the recent decline in the US dollar index, driven by mounting expectations of a Fed rate cut, has increased the appeal of non-yielding assets, lending further support to gold.
From a technical perspective, XAUUSD has surpassed the 3700 resistance level and is now advancing towards the next resistance at 3800. The expansion of the EMAs (21,78) indicates strong bullish momentum.
Should XAUUSD break above the 3800 level, it could proceed to test the subsequent resistance at 3900. Conversely, a reversal could see XAUUSD retest the 3700 support level.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Enxess
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3754.1 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3743.6
Safe Stop Loss - 3760.9
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3798 - 3802 area
Resistance 2: 3848 - 3852 area
Support 1: 3690 - 3707 area
Support 2: 3613 - 3643 area
Support 3: 3560 - 3580 area
Support 4: 3511 - 3532 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD only BullishIn my last gold post, I had updated a few psychological levels; today's trade is based on the simple breakout level of those psychological levels.
i have also marked how perfectly these levels are working.
Thank you for following me and showing support, hope you guys are learning from my post.
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP💡 EURUSD 2H Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play
After a strong bounce from demand, price is now retesting the supply zone around 1.1820 – 1.1840. Structure shows a possible distribution phase forming here, with sellers waiting to step back in.
🔽 Bearish Scenario
If rejection confirms, price could drop toward the demand zone at 1.1720 – 1.1740.
A clean break below 1.1720 would open deeper downside continuation.
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Buyers would need a strong breakout above 1.1840 supply to invalidate this bearish outlook and push toward higher levels.
⚔️ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.1820 | 1.1840
Support: 1.1760 | 1.1720
📊 Current structure favors short setups from supply, with confirmation entries being the safest.
✅ If this analysis adds value, don’t forget to boost & follow for more updates across Forex, Crypto, and Indices.
💼 If you need account management (personal or funded), I provide professional trading strategies designed for consistency and growth.
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Following the TrendTechnical Analysis
Gold continues to maintain a strong upward trend after breaking out of the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 area and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction.
The EMA200 H1 (3,662) is still sloping upwards, confirming that the main upward trend remains intact.
Fibonacci Retracement for the most recent rise:
The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for a short-term buy scenario.
The 0.618 level (3,707) aligns with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point.
The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for growth.
Trading Scenario
Prioritize Buy following the trend
Entry 1: 3,738–3,740
SL: 3,730
TP: 3,750 – 3,760
Entry 2: 3,707–3,710
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780
Price Levels to Watch
3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments.
3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy.
3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone.
3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend.
This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.