XAU/USD) support level back bullish trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, suggesting a long trade idea with a clearly defined support zone and target projection. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown (3H - XAU/USD)
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price reacted strongly to the 3,244–3,300 area, which is identified as a key support level.
This area has historically seen demand and is now acting as a base for potential bullish continuation.
2. Falling Wedge Breakout:
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
The breakout indicates a shift from the previous bearish momentum into bullish strength.
3. EMA 200 Confirmation:
Price is now above the 200 EMA (3,333.347), supporting a bullish bias.
This can act as dynamic support going forward.
4. RSI Momentum:
RSI at 62.00, indicating growing bullish momentum without being overbought.
The RSI has also broken above a previous local high, confirming strength.
5. Target Projection:
The projected move (blue arrowed box) suggests a potential rally of +105.305 points (3.20%), targeting the 3,394.503 level.
This level aligns with previous price structure and acts as the next major resistance.
6. Anticipated Price Path (Black Zigzag Line):
Price is expected to pull back slightly, retesting the wedge breakout or support zone.
After this retest, a bullish continuation toward the target point is projected.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Pattern: Falling wedge breakout + support retest
Entry Zone: Around 3,300–3,320 on a retest
Target: 3,394.503
Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,244.166
Confirmation: Bullish price action near support + sustained RSI strength
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Goldlong
Trade Breakdown: XAUUSD 15-Min | Liquidity Grab + Reversal PlayOANDA:XAUUSD
Psychological Setup
This trade is rooted in the psychology of smart money and retail behavior. After a sharp drop in price, most retail traders expect continuation (trend-following). However, institutions often manipulate liquidity zones — hunting for stop-losses before a true reversal. This trade capitalizes on that behavior.
🔍 Technical Explanation:
🔻 1. Market Structure:
Price was previously in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
A falling wedge pattern (red lines) formed after a strong bearish move, signaling potential bullish reversal.
Price broke the wedge to the upside — a classic reversal signal.
🔁 2. Liquidity Concept:
Below the wedge: The market grabbed liquidity by taking out stop losses of buyers who entered too early.
Above the wedge (TP Areas):
TP 1 Area (red box): This is the first logical resistance where previous supply sits — many sellers will enter here, providing buy-side liquidity.
Next Target Liquidity (grey box above): This is a major imbalance zone and likely where stop-losses of early short sellers are stacked.
Price is expected to grab liquidity from that area (marked by the red arrow).
✅ Entry & Trade Logic:
Entry Zone: After liquidity was swept at the bottom of the wedge, a bullish engulfing candle formed near demand — signaling institutional interest.
Risk-Reward Setup:
Targeting 0.80% move (approx. 26.48 points).
Trade is based on reversal from demand zone + wedge breakout + liquidity grab confirmation.
🎯 Target Projections:
TP1 Area: Conservative target, just above recent structure.
Final Target: High-probability liquidity zone where market is drawn to clean up resting orders (grey zone).
🧠 Why This Trade Matters (Trading Psychology Insight):
Most retail traders get trapped in emotional entries — entering shorts after a drop or longs too early in a wedge.
Smart money waits for liquidity sweeps before moving price in the desired direction.
This setup shows the importance of patience, structure, and understanding market psychology rather than reacting emotionally to price action.
📌 Key Takeaways:
📉 Trap: Falling wedge builds false bearish confidence.
🧠 Psychology: Stop hunts create fuel for reversal.
📈 Reaction: Smart money absorbs liquidity, moves price toward next inefficiency.
Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #TradingPsychology #GoldTrade #PriceAction #WedgeBreakout #FXOpen #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyDemand
Gold Consolidates Around 3,310 – Waiting for a Breakout📊 Market Developments:
• Gold is currently holding near $3,310, which aligns with the weekly pivot level on TradingView.
• With the upcoming FOMC minutes and key data (CPI, NFP) approaching, the market remains cautious. The USD is stable, keeping gold in a tight range.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Short-term Resistance: $3,325–3,335 (H4 supply zone)
• Nearest Support: $3,300–3,305 (weekly pivot + H1/H4 lows)
• EMA 09 on H4: Price is trading below EMA09 → short-term bearish bias.
• Candlestick/Volume/Momentum: Lower highs on H4 candles with declining volume indicate weak buying momentum and a possible continuation of consolidation or mild pullback.
📌 Outlook:
• As long as gold stays below $3,305 and the USD remains firm, a pullback toward $3,300–3,295 is likely.
• A break above the $3,325–3,335 resistance zone could trigger a rally toward $3,350 or higher.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,322–3,325
🎯 TP: $3,300
❌ SL: $3,332
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,300–3,303
🎯 TP: $3,325–3,335
❌ SL: $3,295
Gold new ATH soon?🟡 GOLD LONG SETUP: Buying the Fear at Key Support 📈
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
"Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" - Warren Buffett
The oscillator we developed is showing some compelling signals on gold right now, and the market sentiment couldn't be more perfect for a contrarian play. 💎
Technical Analysis:
Our custom oscillator is painting a clear picture at the bottom - we're seeing those beautiful green zones emerging after extended red periods
Price action has found solid support around the 3,300 level, creating a strong foundation for the next leg up
The fear in the market is palpable, which historically has been an excellent buying opportunity for precious metals
Volume profile suggests accumulation is happening at these levels
Why This Setup Works: 🎯
The beauty of this oscillator lies in its ability to identify when institutional money starts flowing back into gold during periods of maximum pessimism. When retail traders are panicking and selling, smart money is quietly accumulating.
Key levels to watch:
• Support: 3,300 (current zone)
• First target: 3,350
• Extended target: 3,400+
Risk Management: ⚠️
• Stop loss below 3,275
• Position sizing: Never risk more than 2% of account
• Trail stops as momentum builds
The oscillator's fear signals have been remarkably accurate in identifying these reversal points. When fear reaches extremes, that's typically when the best opportunities present themselves.
This is not financial advice - always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you seeing similar signals on your charts? 🤔
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheFear #Oscillator
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025
Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher.
Entry:
Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone.
Stop Loss (SL):
Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support.
Target (TP):
Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low)
Resistance Levels:
3317.5
3222.9
3326.2 (Final Target)
Market Structure Notes:
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum.
Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential DropGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection From Resistance Zone – Potential Drop Ahead! 🎯
📊 Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a bearish setup forming after multiple rejection points near a key resistance zone around 3,360–3,380 USD.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔴 Double Rejection Pattern:
Red arrows highlight strong bearish rejections from resistance.
Indicates sellers are defending this zone aggressively.
🟠 Support Turned Resistance:
The previous support (labelled as "SUPPOT") is now acting as resistance.
Classic bearish retest behavior.
🔷 Bearish Flag Formation:
Price consolidates in a descending flag pattern.
Breakdown below the flag suggests continuation to the downside.
🎯 Target Zone:
If breakdown confirms, price may drop towards target area near 3,275–3,280 USD (marked as “TARGET FAXS”).
🟧 Important Reaction Zones:
Multiple orange circles indicate zones of high reaction – historically significant for both buyers and sellers.
📌 Conclusion:
Unless bulls reclaim the 3,360–3,380 resistance zone convincingly, the bias remains bearish, and the next leg down may target the 3,280 USD area.
🔔 Traders should watch for a clean break below 3,320 to confirm bearish continuation.
XAUUSD Weekly Chart Buying area📊 XAU/USD (Gold) Price Analysis – 4H Chart
🕒 Date: July 6, 2025
🔍 Technical Overview:
Gold is currently trading around the $3,337 level, showing signs of consolidation after a recent bounce.
🔸 Key Zones:
🟡 Resistance Area 1: $3,295 - $3,310
🟡 Resistance Area 2: $3,250 - $3,270
🟡 Target Zone: $3,390 - $3,410
📈 Possible Scenarios:
Price may retrace to the $3,295 - $3,310 resistance area, hold support, and aim for the $3,390 - $3,410 target zone.
A deeper pullback to the lower $3,250 - $3,270 resistance turned support area may occur before a stronger bullish move.
Breakout confirmation will come on a clean close above the $3,337 level with volume.
📌 Bias: Bullish above the $3,295 level
📌 Watch for: Bullish price action or liquidity grabs near support zones
💡 This setup is based on structure, liquidity zones, and institutional footprints.
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Go short before breaking 3350, go long before falling to 3320📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said, the US stock market closed early today, and the market will lack some momentum. It is difficult to have a large fluctuation. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. I also explained in the previous post that the upper pressure in the short term is at 3340-3350. If it is touched, we can try to short and defend 3360. If it falls back to 3323, we can try to go long for the first time. If it continues to fall, it is expected to reach 3315-3305. Therefore, if it first touches 3323, go long, SL 3316, and consider going long if it touches 15-05 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-33350
TP 3330-3320-3310-3300
BUY 3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
U.S. stocks are closed, how to operate gold volatility📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently, lacking a sustained unilateral trend. The unclear short-term direction of DXY has limited the volatility of gold. The market has repeatedly shown a mixture of high-rise decline and downward recovery. It is unable to effectively break through the previous high and lacks the momentum to break downward. The short-term pressure during the day is concentrated on the 3340-3345 line, and the upper middle track is at 3350. If it fails to effectively break above 3350, then gold may fall further. On the contrary, if it can stand above the middle track 33350, then gold may rise further. The short-term support below is near the 3323 line. If it fluctuates during the day, maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3310
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD Consolidates Below Resistance – A Breakout Imminent?On the 4-hour timeframe (H4), XAUUSD is clearly consolidating just below the key resistance zone near $3,366, forming higher lows and lower highs within a tightening range highlighted by the shaded area.
1. Key Price Action Highlights
Price has been forming higher lows, suggesting growing bullish momentum.
The $3,366 resistance remains intact – a breakout above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
A visible double bottom (W pattern) formed around June 28 hints at a strong technical rebound after a correction phase.
2. Important Support and Resistance Levels
Price Level
Significance
$3,366 – $3,380
Major resistance zone – likely breakout target
$3,300
Key near-term support where price recently bounced
$3,242
Deeper support – a breakdown here could confirm bearish reversal
3. Suggested Trading Strategy
Buy on breakout above $3,366 with strong volume and clear confirmation (e.g., a large-bodied candle closing above resistance).
Consider buying on a pullback to the $3,320 – $3,300 zone for better risk-reward.
Stay cautious if price breaks below $3,300 – this could signal a bearish shift in momentum.
Gold is currently in a tight consolidation phase under major resistance, with bullish structure still intact. A breakout above $3,366 could trigger a sharp move upward. Until then, traders should monitor the lower boundaries for potential pullbacks or invalidation signals.
Gold accumulates and breaks through 3350 points
⭐️Personal comments:
Gold price rebounded around 3350. There was no important news and bank holidays in the US session on Friday, so it rebounded in the short term
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3365-3367 SL 3372
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3330
🔥Buy gold area: $3311-$3313 SL $3306
TP1: $3325
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3350
Gold fluctuates during the day, short-term profits will be left
📌Main driving events of gold
The big non-agricultural data in the United States caused the gold price to fall by almost 40 US dollars in one breath, but after a short emotional storm, the market returned to calm. Today's market began to bottom out and rise. As of now, the non-agricultural market has been backed by 50%, and the energy of the shorts has been basically digested. Next, the bulls will start to exert their strength! Today's direction is still the same and continue to be bullish!
📊Comment analysis
In the US market, the gold price rebounded after the decline and the bottom of the second retracement appeared. The support level is 3322. After a night of fluctuations, gold has begun to rise, and the low point has begun to rise. The key point of the day is still 3323. In the morning, we wait for the gold price to fall back to around 3323 and we will buy the bottom and go long. We don’t expect to surpass yesterday’s high point during the day, but at least it will go to 3350!
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Gold long at 3322-3327, stop loss 3315, target 3350-3360
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Will the NFP impact cause the bear market to dominate?📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis:
In the previous post, I have stated that if the hourly line closes above 3320, gold will fall into high consolidation in the short term. Currently, gold fluctuates narrowly in the short term. I think now we just need to be patient and wait for key points to enter the market. The daily and weekly lines clearly show that the high point of the oscillation range is constantly moving up, and the center of gravity continues to rise. The current market is quietly accumulating momentum, and a new round of weekly and monthly lines are about to rise. Therefore, first of all, I will pay attention to the defensive point below 3320, and then refresh the point below is the previously mentioned 3315-3305. If the point below is touched to get effective support, you can consider going long. Bros who trade independently must strictly set TP and SL to avoid the impact of market fluctuations.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3315-3310
TP 3330-3340-3360
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
NFP unexpectedly broke out, where will gold go?📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis:
The unexpectedly negative NFP data caused a sudden plunge in gold prices, which forced me to terminate the transaction urgently. Currently, gold has not fallen below the 3,300 mark. Therefore, I will still pay attention to the closing of the hourly line. If gold closes below 3,320, the downward trend will continue. On the contrary, if it closes above 3,320, gold will consolidate at a high level in the short term. Two days ago, I gave the support level of 3315-3305 below. Please be cautious in trading at the moment.
🎯 Trading Points:
For now, let’s focus on the hourly closing situation
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
XAU/USD 4H – Retracement or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchGold bulls made a strong push out of the descending channel, but now the real test begins. The market is currently in retracement mode after a sharp impulse, and the next move will be decisive.
🔹 Channel Breakout & Retest in Play:
Price broke out of the descending channel with momentum and hit the $3,357 region before pulling back. We're now hovering around the 0.236 Fib at $3,331 — with the 0.382 and 0.618 Fib zones below offering potential long entry confluence.
🔹 Fibonacci Cluster Support Zone:
Between $3,314 – $3,287 lies a high-probability demand zone, where multiple Fibonacci levels converge with the broken channel top. This area also aligns with the 50 EMA, creating a pocket for bullish continuation — if held.
🔹 RSI Divergence to Watch:
RSI shows signs of slowing bullish momentum after peaking, which suggests this retracement could deepen toward the 0.5–0.618 levels before any meaningful bounce. A bullish RSI reversal in this zone would confirm re-entry.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation:
Price finds support between $3,314–$3,287
Momentum kicks in for a leg up toward $3,388
Final TP at $3,427 (Fib -0.618 extension)
📌 Scenario 2 – Rejection and Deeper Drop:
Failure to hold the 0.5 zone flips the bias bearish
Watch for re-entry back into the previous channel
Next downside target: $3,251 and potentially $3,233–$3,221 (Fib + extension)
💡 Elite Insight:
The pullback is not the risk — entering without a plan is. This is the zone where patience meets precision. Let the levels do the work.
XAUUSD $3500 Recovery? Reverse Heads and Shoulders? 🔎 STRUCTURE & TECHNICAL ELEMENTS
1. Pattern:
A falling wedge was formed and broken cleanly to the upside → bullish reversal structure.
Breakout was followed by a successful retest at prior structure lows (marked “Clear Breakout and Retest”).
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG 1D) Zone:
Currently being tested. This zone coincides with:
Minor support from prior consolidation
Fib retracement (0.5 level)
Potential demand area (watch for bullish reaction/candle structure here)
3. Volume Profile:
3,350 = POC (Point of Control) → heavy resistance.
3,300 = Secondary HVN → strong support below current price.
Low-volume nodes just under current price → if broken, price likely accelerates into the GP zone.
4. Fibonacci & Liquidity Confluence:
Golden Pocket (3287) just below 3,300 = ideal liquidity draw if FVG fails.
Target 1 / 2 / 3 above are Fibonacci-based projections + historical swing zones.
✅ SCENARIO 1: Bullish Case – FVG Holds
If price respects the FVG 1D zone, expect:
Continuation up toward Target One (~3,430)
Extension to Target Two (~3,470) and even Target Three (~3,540+) possible
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing / high-volume bounce / sweep of intraday lows without close below FVG
Bias: Bullish continuation as long as price holds above FVG/0.5 Fib
🚨 SCENARIO 2: Bearish Case – FVG Breaks Down
If price closes below FVG zone, particularly below 3,312:
High probability drop toward 3,300 (psych level)
Liquidity sweep and deeper correction into Golden Pocket (~3,287) likely
This area can act as a high-probability long re-entry zone
Bias: Short-term bearish if close below FVG + swing structure invalidation
⚖️ REFINED SUMMARY
Price rejects off FVG - we can expect target 1 and 2 tagged.
Price breaks & closes below FVG zone - we can expect it to drop/wick to 3,300
Gold non-agricultural layout strategy
💡Message Strategy
Small non-farm data "big surprise"
The ADP employment report released on Wednesday showed that the number of private employment in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first decline since March 2023. Economists surveyed previously expected the number to increase by 100,000 on average.
The ADP employment report showed that the number of private employment in the United States fell for the first time in more than two years in June, indicating that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates as early as September.
Spot gold closed up $18.20 on Wednesday at $3,356.90 per ounce.
Bednarik pointed out that gold has gained upward momentum recently, with a gold price target of $3,373.50 per ounce. The "big surprise" of the ADP data suggests a weak non-farm payrolls report in June.
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line was the support line for the rise in the previous month. It fell back very hard last week and turned into suppression. It was tested repeatedly and finally a big Yin hit the lower track of the pattern. However, it started at a low point this week and rose steadily. Now it has returned to the top of the lifeline again. At this point, the space will consider switching again.
2. The four-hour pattern opens slightly upward, with the lifeline 3330 as the dividing line between strength and weakness. Hold here and climb upward step by step.
3. The double lines on the hourly chart formed a dead cross after breaking through and turning into pressure last week, which helped to further increase the volume and fall by more than 100 US dollars. After breaking through and standing on it this time, it turned into support. The double line range is 3332-3342. This area is used as the boundary to switch between the upper and lower spaces. The support line for the bulls to dominate is the upper rail position of 3332, and the support line for the bulls to sweep is the lower rail position of 3316
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3332-3340,SL:3316,Target: 3400
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside.
The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward.
Technicals:
• Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones
• 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response
• EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion
• First target: $3,352
• Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260
Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance.
Fundamentals
• Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from:
▫️ A strong USD
▫️ Higher cost of carry
▫️ Speculators taking profit
• Fed policy remains the core variable:
▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price
▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum
• Central bank demand remains supportive
• Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again.
Bearish headwinds:
• Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence
• Reduced rate cut expectations post-election
• Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way.
This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility.
Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.