Gold (XAU/USD)Gold (XAU/USD)
As seen in my previous analysis, we successfully caught the price at a great level and have been holding a gold buy position ✅.
🔔 Now, around the $3500 zone, I’m ready to short gold.
With a signal confirmation on the 1H timeframe, we can enter short 📉 and close the earlier buy position from lower levels.
📌 Gold is approaching the top of its range, making this a potential shorting opportunity.
Goldprediction
Gold Hits New ATH – Is a Pullback Coming?Hello traders,
Gold has just hit a new all-time high at 3508, surpassing the previous ATH of 3500. I’m anticipating a pullback toward 3450.
On lower timeframes, we can see clear rejection from the highs, leading to a break in market structure, which suggests sellers may be defending these levels. I’ve identified a supply zone between 3490–3500. My expectation is that Gold could retrace to a nearby demand zone around 3440–3450.
What’s your take on Gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments below!
XAUUSD Gold Intraday Setup 02.09.2025Gold is currently trading at 3473, after hitting new ATH around 3508, now testing into a key demand zone. Price has shown a corrective move after the recent bullish impulse and is reacting from a consolidation order block.
Key Levels:
First buy zone: 3469–3473 → aligns with immediate demand and prior accumulation.
Second buy zone (deeper retracement): 3449–3454 → lower demand zone + strong support base.
Structure & Bias:
Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows intact.
Current pullback is corrective in nature, tapping into demand zones.
Liquidity below minor lows (around 3470 and 3450) could be swept before a strong bullish continuation.
Targets:
First target: 3492 (recent high/intraday resistance).
Second target: 3508 (swing high, liquidity pool).
Trade Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation (rejection wick, engulfing, or structure shift) in the 3469–3473 zone for a buy entry.
If price breaks below decisively, next long entry should be considered from the 3449–3454 zone.
Stop-loss ideally below 3460 for the first zone, and below 3435 for the second zone.
👉 In short: Bias is bullish; buy dips into 3469–73 or 3449–54, aiming for 3492 & 3508.
Gold breaks through 3500! Prove it with strength!
💡Message Strategy
Gold hits new all-time high as expectations of a Fed rate cut continue to build
On Tuesday (September 2nd), the international gold price broke through the $3,500 mark, reaching a new all-time high. As market expectations for a Fed rate cut this month grow, demand for precious metals has significantly increased. Spot gold traded at $3,480 in European trading, briefly hitting an intraday record high of $3,508.50.
One of the main factors driving the latest surge in gold prices is rising market expectations for a Fed rate cut, even if the cut is only 25 basis points. Following significant downward revisions to U.S. labor market data for May and June, market expectations for long-term monetary policy easing have significantly strengthened.
📊Technical aspects
First, regarding the daily gold chart: Yesterday, the market closed positively against the 5-day moving average, marking its fifth consecutive day of gains. In a unilateral uptrend, the most common pattern is a pattern of consecutive positive days followed by a single negative day. The more consecutive positive days, the stronger the trend. If a negative day occurs, it signals a short-term correction, followed by another positive close the next day. At most, there will be two negative days, and the market will continue to rise above the 5-day and, at the very least, the 10-day moving average.
This is why we've been able to perfectly grasp each of these gold market trends. Maintain a bullish trend. Believe in the trend and don't underestimate its allure.
Second, regarding the 4-hour gold chart: The 6:00 PM close saw a large bearish candlestick retracing its previous close, engulfing the morning's large bullish body. However, it has only pierced the 10-day moving average and hasn't yet effectively broken through it. It has now begun to close positively and rise again. Once the 10:00 PM close re-establishes its position above the 5-day moving average, the market will strengthen again. Otherwise, if the market rises and then falls again, a move above the middle moving average would be a good low-level bullish entry point. Maintain a bullish outlook.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3470-3380,SL:3450,Target: 3520
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing Bullish Targets 3458 and 3477 yesterday, we got the EMA5 cross and lock above 3477, which opened 3497. That level was hit perfectly today. With no lock above, we confirmed the rejection, and now price is showing support and bounce at 3477.
We are now seeing play between 3497 and 3477 and will need ema5 cross and lock to confirm the next move.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3458 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3458 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3477 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3477 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3497 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3497 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3513
BEARISH TARGETS
3439
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3439 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3417
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3417 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3395
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3369
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3395 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3336
3315
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Trade Tue 2 Sep wait for retrace to buy again The coloured rectangles are the support and resistance based on last week H4,H8, daily and weekly closings.
The Fibo retracement based from the recent lowest to current high.
We also have dominant candle break TP1,2,3 levels.
1. Fibo retracement
2. support and resistance
3. Dominant candle break
They all point to 2 levels we can buy
3455
3425
Good luck !
Gold Freefall AheadIntraday Trading Adjustments:
1. Closed a short position near 3470 (entry price: 3480), one of the lowest entry prices for a planned swing trade, locking in a profit of nearly 100 pips.
2. Closed a short intraday long position near 3491 (entry price: 3478), locking in a profit of 130 pips.
3. Immediately after closing the long position, added another short position near 3491, still planning a swing trade.
Current Position (Swing Trading Plan):
I continue to hold short positions with entry prices near 3493, 3505, and 3491. For swing trading, the first target area to consider for a pullback is 3460-3450, followed by 3435-3425.
Market Analysis:
While gold has not yet seen a significant decline, it has shown initial signs of topping out. A double-top formation with 3508 as the apex and 3495 as the secondary apex may form a significant resistance level in the short term, prompting a further pullback in gold. According to the current structure, as long as gold remains below 3595, it will help to successfully establish a double top structure; in addition, DXY has a need to continue to rebound in the short term, which is not conducive to the continued rebound of gold to a certain extent, and has a certain suppressive effect on gold.
Therefore, at this stage, I will continue with the swing trading plan and hold the above short positions. The primary target of the retracement is considered to be the 3460-3450 area. If gold falls below this area during the retracement, it may even continue to the 3435-3425 area.
Minor dip to 3330~3320, then skyrocketing to the Moon!Hello Traders,
The first wave of the uptrend is complete.
The second wave will dip to 3330~3320, followed by the third wave uptrend. Check the reference signal for take-profit levels.
Upcoming Macro Events :
- U.S. CPI (August 12): The main catalyst for volatility, likely to impact USD and real yields. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen gold, while a soft print might pressure the bull case.
- RBA Rate Decision (August 12): A dovish outcome could weaken the USD, indirectly supporting gold.
- Global Data (GDP, PPI): China’s economic data and UK GDP could influence risk sentiment and USD strength.
Gold is in a critical phase with bullish technical setup and positive sentiment, but volatility is expected due to key macro events. Traders should focus on support levels, monitor the CPI data, and remain cautious of bearish reversals if the consolidation fails.
XAU/USD 02 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has continued to print bullish with previous pullback being very minimal, therefore, I will apply discretion and mark previous iBOS in red due to depth of pullback.
Price has since printed a bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,508.790.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold waits for a pullback to support before considering buyingYesterday, as the U.S. market was closed for Labor Day, market liquidity and volatility decreased, and gold basically did not fluctuate.
Gold prices rose again at the open today, pushing the all-time high to 3508, but only barely breached it, remaining under pressure from the 3500 level.
Yesterday I said that 3500 is crucial and if it cannot break through, there will be a correction. This view is currently being verified.
In addition, I am determined not to chase high prices anymore, especially when it approaches the 3500 mark. If you want to continue buying gold, I believe you should wait until the price retraces to support around 3450 or 3430 before considering it.
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
XAUUSD Monthly Technical OutlookMarket Structure Overview:
• The chart reveals consistent Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming a strong bullish market trend.
• Price has successfully reclaimed and retested the strong resistance zone (~3390–3400), which now acts as new support.
• A series of higher highs and higher lows show clear bullish intent, supported by sustained bullish momentum after each correction.
⸻
📈 Volume & Price Action:
• The Volume Profile (VRVP) on the left shows strong historical accumulation near the current breakout zone.
• After the breakout from resistance, the price retested this zone—validating it as support—and is expected to continue its bullish leg toward $3,500, the next psychological and technical target.
⸻
📍 Key Levels:
• Support Zone: $3,375 – $3,390 (previous resistance turned support)
• Immediate Resistance: $3,425
• Target Level: $3,500 (Monthly High Projection)
⸻
📘 Educational Note:
• This setup aligns with classic market structure theory: BOS + Retest + Continuation.
• The pullback into the breakout zone is a textbook bullish continuation signal often used in institutional trading strategies.
• Traders watching this pattern should combine it with confirmation entries such as bullish engulfing candles, FVGs, or order block rejections for safer entries.
⸻
🎯 Projection:
• As long as the price holds above $3,375, the bullish scenario toward $3,500 remains valid.
• Expect possible consolidation or minor pullbacks before continuation.
⸻
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before entering the market.
"Gold’s Critical Bounce Zone – Is $3,400 the Next Magnet Level?""Gold’s Critical Bounce Zone – Is $3,400 the Next Magnet Level?"
📊 XAUUSD is showing a textbook bullish structure setup after forming a Higher Low right above strong support at $3,339. Price is now trading inside the Entry Zone ($3,348 – $3,339), an area that aligns with:
✅ Order Block Support
✅ Previous Break of Structure (BOS)
✅ Smart Money Fair Value Gap (FVG) retest
🧐 Market Structure Insight
Recent BOS flipped bias to bullish after buyers pushed through prior resistance.
A bullish FVG from earlier in the trend still holds influence, attracting price back for a healthy retest.
The current Higher Low shows buyers stepping in early, maintaining upward momentum.
Strong resistance is located at $3,400 – $3,440, which also acts as a psychological magnet for traders.
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Example)
Entry Zone: 3,348 – 3,339 📍
Stop Loss: below 3,339 🛑
Target 1: 3,380 🎯 (partial profits)
Target 2: 3,400 ⭐ (main target)
Extended Target: 3,420 – 3,440 💎
📈 Reward to Risk: ~1.6R to the main target, with potential 2.9R to extended resistance if momentum accelerates.
Whether gold can break through 3500 becomes the keyGold fell at the opening today before rising. Following the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit's ruling that Trump's tariffs were illegal, the market rebounded strongly, reaching a high of 3489, edging closer to its all-time high.
Our sell order on Friday was hit by the stop loss of 3460 because we did not close the profit in time, which unfortunately ended our continuous profit streak.
As the gold price approaches its historical high, the resistance it faces from above will certainly become stronger. It is very critical whether it can break through 3500 in the next two days. If it fails to break through, it will face a decline.
Therefore, you must not chase the current rise in gold, at least before it breaks through 3500 or retreats to the support below.
The US market is closed today for Labor Day, reducing liquidity and volatility. Therefore, I don't anticipate many good trading opportunities. Everyone should relax and take it easy. I'll notify you if I see a good opportunity.
GOLD Buys or Sells? the next move today 📈 Gold Outlook – September 2, 2025
Gold continues its bullish momentum today, fueled by festive demand in India and global safe-haven buying. Prices have edged up to ₹10,609 per gram for 24K, with spot XAU/USD hovering near $3,490 and eyeing a breakout above $3,500. Market sentiment remains positive amid Fed rate cut expectations and geopolitical uncertainty.
Bias: Bullish
Action: Buy on dips above $3,430, targeting $3,514 short-term
Support: $3,365
Resistance: $3,500 / $3,514
Stay nimble—any retracement could offer fresh entry opportunities.
Gold Projections (Highly Volatile)GOLD Breaks Through The Historic Milestone of $3500
And Hit a RECORD HIGH of 3508.75
Why?
* The Sep Fed Rate Cut Expectations are Getting Stronger -
* The possibilities of a min of 25 bps cannot be rejected
* Powell will blame weaker labor markets for the rate cuts as inflation are already high and sticky.
Technical Analysis
Gold breached the ascending wedge formation on a Daily TF
While also breaking the previous all-time high of 3500
A close above the 3500 level today will raise the probabilities of a further upward rally till at least the 3520 -3530 zone.
A failure to sustain above the 3500 level might witness some strong corrections in gold due to profit bookings from ATH level
The US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in FUTUREThe decline in the value of the US dollar has created favorable conditions for gold prices to increase, as gold tends to move in the opposite direction to the US dollar. In addition, optimism that the Fed may ease monetary policy amid stable inflation has also contributed to the increase in gold prices.
However, analysts warn that the gold market may face strong fluctuations in the next few days, when the US releases a series of important economic data, including: August Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM - US), August Employment Report and weekly unemployment claims data will be important indicators, directly affecting the Fed's interest rate policy decision. If the data shows weakness, gold prices may continue to increase sharply.
Interest rates will fall and gold prices will go up.Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a dovish speech at the Jackson Hole conference, saying he was no longer too tough on the 2% inflation target, but more concerned about the risk of a slowing economy and a weakening labor market.
Economic data released over the weekend also reinforced this view. The US Commerce Department said the core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose 2.9% in the 12 months through July, in line with market expectations.
“Gold is rising as the market starts to perceive the risk of high inflation coupled with weak growth,”
In addition to economic factors, politics are also a significant catalyst for gold. Tensions between President Donald Trump and the Fed are undermining confidence in the USD.
GOLD - XAUUISD - TIME TO SHORT Team,
GOLD is ready to be burned, reached a high intraday of 3510 - liquidity sweep has taken a lot of stop losses.
Time to short at 3498-3405 ranges
STOP LOSS at 3530 - as 3520-25 - strong resistance - sell orders are ready
Target 1 at 3485 - take 50% partial
target at 3465-56
The gold bullish trend remains unchanged; trade with the trend.Under the influence of factors including geopolitics and expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, the price of gold dipped slightly today before surging sharply, with the intraday high reaching around the 3490 level.
From a technical perspective, the 1-hour K-line chart of gold maintains the bullish arrangement pattern with a golden cross trending upward. The 5-day moving average, 10-day moving average, and 20-day moving average show a stepped upward movement, and the bullish momentum is overwhelming. After breaking through the previous consolidation range, there is a possibility that the price will further open up upward space at any time. In line with the short-term trading logic that "a strong trend sees no correction, while a correction indicates a lack of strength", the current gold price is in a clear upward trend, and the probability of a deep correction in the short term is relatively low. If the correction range exceeds expectations, it will not only weaken the market's confidence in going long but also may lead to a phased decline in bullish momentum.
Looking at the 4-hour timeframe, the middle band of the Bollinger Bands has not yet completed synchronous correction. As the gold price continues to rise, the middle band is expected to gradually move upward to align with the current trend. In terms of operation, we should follow the trend and deploy long positions in batches after the price retraces to the support level of the 4-hour timeframe.