Kahan Ja Ke Rukega?? Kahan Tak chamkega?Gold!
High Today 1.32Lac
A Hammer Candle on Daily Time Frame
I see Gold Slipping till 1.21Lac and if it cant hold that Leven
It Should Go Down till 1.11Lac
Lets Wait and Watch.....
Goldprediction
Gold’s Final Surge Before the Fall: The Herd Joins at the TopGold has rallied over 27% exactly as projected in the previous analysis
Now, the structure shows clear signs of exhaustion — price is approaching the end of wave 5, historically the stage where euphoria peaks and reversals are born.
Across the world, the crowd is piling into gold in a classic late-cycle buying frenzy. This kind of herd behavior — “everyone rushing to buy at once” — has always marked the final chapter of impulsive moves before major trend reversals.
The chart highlights potential trigger zones for the coming reversal:
Upper red dashed lines: triggers for aggressive traders
Lower red dashed lines: triggers for more conservative entries
Once those levels start breaking down, expect momentum to flip hard — and fast — signaling the beginning of a sharp corrective phase for gold.
Gold is about to enter the 4400 era
News：
On Friday (October 17), during the Asian and European sessions, spot gold bottomed out and rebounded in a V-shaped reversal trend. It fell 2% during the session, about $100, and then quickly recovered the lost ground. It is currently trading around 4330.
Recently, with the expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates becoming more and more intense, and there is an expectation of further interest rate cuts, the loose atmosphere, coupled with the expectation of inflation and the impact of the economic and trade turmoil, gold has once again become the darling of the market. Every day, it witnesses new highs in history, and the trend is becoming more and more crazy. There is no top in sight, and it is also unpredictable when a wave of diving will come.
Specifically:
Judging from the 1-hour market trend, we are currently paying attention to the short-term support at 4320, with a focus on the 4215 support. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no top. In terms of operation, we will mainly go long on pullbacks. For the middle position, we will watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will provide detailed trading strategies in the channel, so please pay attention.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4320-4315, SL: 4300, TP: 4360-4380
GOLD at Immediate support? Cut n reverse area??#GOLD... perfect move as per our last analysis and idea regarding Gold,
Now market made a new supporting area that is around 4308 as deep supporting area and immediate supporting area is 4324-25 now.
Keep close both areas and if market holds than we can expect further boucne.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 4308bon confirmation.
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAUUSD To Hot to Handle ( could be last setup on Bullish)XAUUSD is still on bullish Bias and holding the consolidation zone from 4330-4370 .
Today market is creepy We have to be very careful.
What are my conditions For Today's session?
1st- Currently market is moving at previous liquidity Gap at 4330-4325 area and I took multiple buys at 4320 and My stoploss are at my Breakeven.
2nd- if Market remains low and H1 candle closes below 4325 then we'll have Retracement towards 4290- 4270.
Additional Tip:
-BUY the Dips with stoploss my Ultimate next Perfect buy will be 4230-4240 Zone .
Interest rate cuts and safe-haven support gold. 4,400 is unstoppInformation Summary:
Spot gold surged strongly in early Asian trading on Friday, surging over 1.2% to a record high of $4,379.38 per ounce. Gold prices have risen nearly 9% this week and are expected to continue rising for nine consecutive weeks. This surge is primarily driven by strong market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts in October and December, coupled with a surge in SPDR gold holdings, which has boosted bullish sentiment.
In addition to monetary policy expectations, multiple positive factors are fueling gold's upward momentum. The risk of a US government shutdown and the tense international trade situation continue to attract safe-haven funds to gold. At the same time, the continued gold purchases by central banks of many countries around the world and the long-term trend of "de-dollarization" have fundamentally consolidated the support for gold. Amidst increasing geopolitical and economic uncertainty, gold's safe-haven properties are becoming more prominent, and analysts believe that a challenge to the $4,400 mark may be just around the corner.
Market Analysis:
Technically, after a strong breakout above key resistance at $4,200, gold is now approaching the psychologically important $4,400 level, maintaining its short-term bullish trend.
The trading strategy recommends focusing on whether the market can continue to be strong, but be wary of the risk of profit-taking at high levels. A conservative strategy should prioritize buying on dips, with the key support range moving up to $4,310-4,300. If prices fall back to this area and find effective support, it would be a good opportunity to go long with the trend, targeting a new high of $4,400. However, it is crucial to note that an unexpected break below $4,300 could trigger a significant technical correction, potentially leading to a deeper correction towards $4,250.
Therefore, caution is advised when pursuing long positions at current highs, with strict stop-loss orders in place.
Trading strategy:
Buy stocks in batches when the price dips back to the 4320-4315 range. Set a stop-loss at 4310. Profit range: 4360-4370-4390.
Bulls are taking off. Please maintain your bullish strategy.Gold rose steadily after the Asian market opened on Thursday, reaching a high near 4242 before retreating. It reached a low near 4203 before continuing its advance, a so-called symbolic pullback.
The magnitude of this move does appear to be favorable, offering traders an opportunity to enter the long position. However, this strong market also creates confusion for traders. Going long during the rally fears a price correction, while going short fears continued bullish momentum. Current trading is heavily influenced by luck.
The US market continued its upward trend on Thursday, reaching a high near 4330. The strength continued in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a high near 4380. Amidst this frenzied market, all we can do is patiently wait for a pullback before entering the long position. After all, conservative trading is more rational at this point.
Support below is near 4315, a peak-to-trough reversal point. This level can also be considered as a short-term entry point. Faced with the absolute dominance of bulls, the market has become somewhat helpless, and continuing to chase long positions carries the risk of a pullback. Quaid recommends strictly controlling stop-loss orders to avoid significant losses from a deep price correction.
Trading Strategy:
Go long on a pullback near 4315-4310, with a stop loss at 4305 and a profit range of 4380-4390.
Aggressive traders can enter the long position after a 20-point pullback, but please consider your trading capital carefully before entering.
Relentless Rally:Gold Won’t Rest Until 4500!?The 4300 series chapter has begun as expected, with gold continuing its strong upward trend, currently reaching a high near 4381. However, it is clear that after encountering resistance in the 4370-4380 area three times, gold has shown clear signs of a pullback. This could lead to the formation of a triple top structure in the short term, suppressing gold prices in the short term.
However, relatively speaking, as gold continues to rise, testing the 4280 area during the pullback before rebounding again, technical support has shifted to the 4320-4310 area. Furthermore, the validation of the pullback and the current strong upward trend will strengthen the support in this area to a certain extent, thus supporting gold's rebound.
Therefore, for the current short-term trade:
1. First, try to continue shorting gold with resistance at 4370-4380, targeting a pullback to the 4350-4340 area.
2. Once gold retraces to the 4320-4310 area, consider going long on gold, targeting the 4340-4350 area.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its historic rally, printing new all-time highs almost daily. Price is currently hovering around 4,356, consolidating just below the 4,385 resistance after a steep vertical move higher.
Momentum remains strong, with price holding well above both the MA50 and MA200, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control.
Immediate resistance sits at 4,385, followed by 4,406, 4,425, and 4,445. If price fails to break above 4,356, watch the First Reaction Zone (4,329–4,307) for a potential minor pullback.
Failure to hold this zone could open the way for a deeper correction toward lower support areas in line with the moving averages.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4356
4385
4406
4425
4445
Support:
4329
4307
4280
4257
4235
4205
🔎 Fundamental focus:
The U.S. government shutdown and ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions continue to cloud market sentiment, driving investors toward safe-haven assets. The uncertainty has created a “no-ceiling” environment for gold, where every dip is quickly absorbed and traders keep chasing fresh all-time highs amid strong momentum and risk aversion.
10.17 Gold bulls rose sharply and are about to enter the 4400 erLooking at the 4-hour market trend, the short-term support at 4290-4300 is currently under consideration, with a focus on 4270. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. For intermediate positions, be cautious in following orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please pay attention.
XAUUSD: Primary trend and key levels for today's trading sessionOANDA:XAUUSD continued its strong rally, with a trading range of over $120 in yesterday's session, demonstrating powerful upward momentum.
During this uptrend, there have been consistent, unexpected corrections with a magnitude of approximately 30 - 50 USD, followed by immediate recoveries.
As the peak price for this rally remains undetermined, the current optimal strategy is short-term scalping, aiming for a take profit form $10 - $20 prices as the price approaches significant support and resistance zones.
An analysis of the current options market order book reveals that a large volume of Long Call contracts has been filled, with no significant Long Put positions entering the market yet.
=> This suggests a high probability that Gold will continue to push towards new highs in today's trading session.
=> The initial target is the $4400/Ounce level, which corresponds to the $4385 price on the CFDs market.
Key levels for today's trading session:
Resistance:
Resistance: ,
Strong resistance:
Support:
Support: , ,
Strong support:
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely.
Note: Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Gold(based on NEo wave)maybe here is the end of wave i.
based on Dow theory good news on top.
crazy people are buying gold.
I think soon we will see crash of gold.
market will not be bullish forever.
Gold 1H – Will Dovish Fed Bets Keep Gold Above 4300?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold prices remain resilient near $4,365 as traders assess the shifting outlook for U.S. monetary policy. After softer inflation data earlier this week, market sentiment has turned cautiously dovish — investors are speculating that the Federal Reserve may cut rates sooner in 2026 if growth indicators weaken further.
However, today's focus is on the U.S. housing and labor data, which could influence short-term volatility. A strong report may revive dollar demand and trigger profit-taking in gold, while weaker readings could boost safe-haven interest and push XAUUSD higher toward 4,400+.
Expect intraday swings as liquidity hunts unfold before any decisive trend confirmation.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• The structure remains bullish, supported by consecutive Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a clean reaccumulation phase during the 4,230–4,270 consolidation.
• Price recently tapped a premium supply zone near 4,400, where early sellers may attempt short-term reactions.
• The discount demand zone at 4,300–4,302 aligns with a 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement and previous BOS support, offering a high-probability re-entry area for continuation.
• Liquidity sweeps above 4,400–4,398 could attract institutional profit-taking before the next bullish leg resumes.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4400 – 4398
SL: 4410
TP targets: 4340 → 4315
🟢 Buy Setup: 4300 – 4302
SL: 4293
TP targets: 4345 → 4385 → 4410+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH/BOS confirmation before entering any setup.
• Expect volatility during U.S. macro data releases — spreads may widen temporarily.
• Use partial take-profits near intraday liquidity zones and trail stops once structure confirms bullish continuation.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure above 4,300. A short-term pullback toward the 4,300–4,302 demand zone could offer another opportunity for buyers to rejoin the trend.
While profit-taking may occur at 4,400, the broader bias remains “Buy the Dip” unless a confirmed shift in structure occurs below 4,293.
Gold price analysis October 17GOLD UPDATE – The uptrend shows no signs of stopping
The gold market is in the most “breathable” phase for the Buyers — almost every BUY strategy has brought profits overnight. The bullish momentum remains strong, showing that money continues to flow into this precious metal.
The next target that Gold is aiming for is around 4450, and any correction can be seen as a “golden” opportunity to join the main trend.
📈 Trading strategy:
BUY Trigger: when a price rejection signal appears at the support zones 4285 – 4242 – 4216
🎯 Target: 4450
👉 In this context, following the Buyers is still the only reasonable option. Observe the price reaction around the support zones and just “press the BUY button” when the signal appears.
Gold price analysis October 16GOLD UPDATE – The trend is still in favor of the buyers
Gold continues to record new records during the day, showing that buying power is still absolutely dominant. In recent sessions, the simplest strategy – just “BUY” according to the trend – has brought good profits.
At the moment, the most important thing is to wait for the price to adjust to the support zones to establish a new buying position. If you are still trying to “catch the top” of gold, maybe it is time to temporarily remove the Sell button and go with the main trend of the market.
📈 Trading strategy:
BUY Trigger: When a price rejection signal appears at the support zone of 4180 – 4215
Target: Aim for the 4300 mark
XAUUSD: $4,400 Target Next! Gold Bull Run ContinuesKey Observations:
Massive Uptrend: The chart clearly displays a strong, multi-day uptrend, marked by a series of high-momentum green (bullish) candlesticks.
Recent Price Action: Price has recently surged, followed by a minor retracement (the most recent red candle), but remains near the top of the move. This indicates the primary momentum is still firmly to the upside.
Key Support/Demand Zones:Immediate Demand (Yellow Box): A small yellow box is marked around the $\$4,250$ area. This represents a very recent, short-term support or 'flip' zone where price broke out and could potentially retest before moving higher.Deeper Demand (Blue Box): A larger blue box (around $\$4,130$ to $\$4,190$) represents a more significant, underlying demand zone.
Projected Price Action: The hand-drawn path suggests a direct continuation with potentially only a minor dip:
The path shows a small pullback toward the $\$4,300$ area (not explicitly marked by a zone) or a brief sideways move.
The black arrow points to an anticipated strong push up to the final target, resuming the dominant uptrend without necessarily hitting the marked yellow or blue zones.
Target: A dotted blue line at $\$4,400.69$ is the clear final target for this trade setup.
Gold prices hit a new record high
News：
Spot gold soared to another all-time high during U.S. trading on Thursday (October 16). Amid growing geopolitical and economic uncertainties, safe-haven demand continued to be strong, pushing gold prices deeper into uncharted territory.
Market Drivers: Trade wars, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and the government shutdown have kept markets on edge.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said Thursday that "another rate cut is the right approach," noting that conditions haven't changed much in the past six weeks and that the neutral rate is likely 100 to 125 basis points below the current federal funds rate.
On the monetary policy front, markets remain confident that the Fed may cut interest rates further before the end of the year.
Specifically:
Gold bulls remain firmly in control as the yellow metal extends its record-breaking rally without showing any signs of exhaustion. Prices are comfortably above both their short-term and long-term moving averages, reflecting strong underlying momentum and sustained buying interest.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4280-4275, SL: 4295, TP: 4350-4390
Gold breaks through again. Watch for entry opportunities.Information Summary:
Gold continued its upward trend in early Asian trading on Friday, reaching a new all-time high of 4,380. Trade tensions, the ongoing US government shutdown, and bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut all fueled gold's gains. Furthermore, a plunge in US bank stocks dragged down US stocks, fueling risk aversion that further accelerated gold's upward momentum.
Concerns about the credit quality of the US economy and escalating friction over tariffs have also boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Furthermore, the renewed conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with the US supplying Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine, has heightened gold's safe-haven appeal. In an era of heightened global uncertainty, gold remains an asset worth watching. Traders are advised to closely monitor market expectations for the Federal Reserve meeting, news related to the international trade situation, and geopolitical developments.
Market Analysis:
Gold is hitting new highs daily. Recently, I've been reminding everyone to buy on dips. The bull market remains strong. On Thursday, the price surged by $177, reaching a high of 4380. If the market continues to break through 4400, the next target will be 4450.
Gold bulls remain firmly in control, extending their record-breaking rally with no signs of fatigue. The 1-hour chart shows no significant pullbacks. In the short term, gold trading above 4300 is considered strong. Continue buying gold even if it retreats. Patiently wait for opportunities.
Trading strategy:
Short-term gold long position at 4310-4315, stop loss at 4300, profit range at 4370-4390;
Key points:
First support level: 4335, second support level: 4310, third support level: 4300
First resistance level: 4380, second resistance level: 4400, third resistance level: 4428
AUD/USD Longer term OutlookHey Guys,
This is a follow up the the Short Term outlook I posted to show you the bigger picture of what happening. If you haven't checked out that short term thesis I suggest you do to understand why i think in the near term why there will be a decline possibly down to .50.
As I'm sure most people are aware there is abit of fear on the longer term of the debasement of the USD, as we have massive debts and deficits which are highly unlikely to get any better soon. This is ultimately lead to its decline relative to other assets think current rise in GOLD. If we have a recession from slower growth from tariffs, regional banks and private credit going bad and the consumer becoming too squeezed then this budget with get much worse as they will try and stimulate the economy to ease some of these pressure. But as a consequence this will lead to inflation and more debasement just like the 60s - 80s period. Each time they try and rein in inflation growth will slow so they will simulate resulting in the cycle continuing.
Now if the "debasement" continues this doesn't mean the USD will die get replace but it does mean other assets and currencies that aren't having this systemic problem will rise relative to the dollar again just like the 1960s-1980s. Australia has had long running fiscal conservative budgets and most definitely no debasing its currency. Our debt to Nominal GDP peak during covid and unlike most other economies has decreased since. Although we are projected to runn a deficit of A$10 billion our growth will more then out weigh this and this is such a small fraction to out A$1.752 trillion economy is a non factor really.
looking at some technicals on the charts we can see we have been in a falling wedge since the last "debasement" of the USD happened after the GFC. This will breakout sometime over the next two years as its running out of room. we have gaining strength on the RSI creating a divergence on the monthly also point to a breakout to the upside. we have clear outlined targets to hit on the way up and looking back again at previous debasement events by 2011 we were at $1.10 and by the 1975 we were at $1.49 so a return to these levels isn't without precedence.
I have shown with the green line the general direction of where i think it will be please dont take that as an exact model. This will take years to fully play out but if you understand even the most basic supply and demand , technical analyst and fundamental problem America is facing then it should keep you true.
Please check out the shorter outlook to gain a full picture and do you own research
here are some links to data used
www.ceicdata.com
data.worldbank.org
XAUUSD Delivered Excellent profits [1320 PIPs]
Thanks to those who followed, trusted me, and made profits.
As I mentioned in today’s commentary session:
• I took buy trades around 4222 - ( 4234×2)& 4245
My strategy was to buy the dips, and I’m very happy with the profits so far – .
My first target 42o0. is achieved, Alhamdulillah. And I'm looking for 4500 now
**Additional Tip:**
Selling against the current bullish bias isn’t advisable and buy the dips only ,wait and watch for new setup
Gold end points!?After a long journey i think we now need a rest Gold appears to be at a potential turning point where short positions may be closing and prices could move higher
Gold Broke The ceiling of the Bullish Flag to claim $4K Pivot The price of gold has consecutively surge in price for the past 2 months to break the ceiling of the bullish flag pattern formed based on the 4-hour chart.
The asset has gained 35% so far earning almost $1200 prior the surge. With investors sentiment shifting to the asset Gold might claim the 4k resistant this last quarter.
With the RSI at 83, the asset is currently overbought with possible retracement to the $4200 Zone before the next legged up.
GOLDI think this chart is bullish to 6400$ and complete TVC:GOLD 2-leg target.
Best support for pullback 1900$ to 900$ that i think not touch this supports but this rally is very strange.
Please control your money management.
