3875-3850 sell high and buy low,break to determine the directionGold continued to rise during the day and then fell into a narrow range of fluctuations after hitting the high of 3870. Initially, we expected gold to form a double top pattern, suggesting a potential sharp decline. But brothers, do you remember that I have repeatedly emphasized recently that the US government is facing the risk of shutdown? Yes, the U.S. federal government officially shut down at 12:01 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday because Democrats and Republicans failed to reach an agreement on a short-term spending plan.
As I mentioned before, a government shutdown would impact the release of important data such as ADP and NFP. The NFP data, originally scheduled for Friday, may not be released on time. At the same time, the government shutdown will also have a certain impact on the US economy, which will indirectly affect the gold trend. This is why VIP members and I chose to change the TP to 3855 and exit the market with profits.
Judging from the market trend, the current gold rising channel has not been broken, and gold is still in a bullish trend in the short term. Key support is at 3850; as long as this level holds, the bullish outlook remains. Pay attention to the pressure of 3870-3875 on the upside. Once it breaks, the gold price will test the channel pressure of 3890-3900.
Goldprediction
XAU/USD Trade Setup – Bullish Continuation in Play?Gold (XAU/USD) has recently shown a strong bullish recovery after a sharp drop from the $3,870 area. The price is currently consolidating near the $3,843 zone, forming a potential bullish continuation pattern.
We’ve now seen:
A V-shaped reversal off the $3,805 support zone
Strong bullish candles breaking short-term resistance
A potential higher low formation, signaling buying interest
🧠 Trade Idea:
🟢 Long Position Setup
Entry: Around $3,840.80
Stop Loss: $3,830.48 (below the recent low)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $3,854.94
🎯 TP2: $3,861.25
🎯 TP3: $3,871.18 (extended)
This gives a solid risk-to-reward ratio of ~2:1 or better, depending on your target level.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Key resistance levels: $3,855, $3,861, $3,871
Key support level: $3,830
Candlesticks show strong bullish momentum with little selling pressure during pullbacks.
Price is trading above the breakout zone, indicating buyers are in control.
⚠️ Risk Management:
As always, wait for confirmation near the entry zone. Be cautious of false breakouts, especially around the $3,840–$3,845 region. Stick to your stop loss and take profit levels.
Gold Futures Bullish Setup – Entry at Demand Zone1. Channel Formation
The price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (blue lines).
Recently, the price broke below the midline (dashed blue) of the channel, indicating short-term weakness.
2. Trade Setup: Long (Buy) Position
The chart indicates a bullish outlook, expecting a price reversal from the demand zone.
🔹 Entry Zone
Entry Price: ₹116,251 – ₹116,277
This is marked with a grey zone, which aligns with a support area and previous consolidation.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL)
Stop Loss Price: ₹115,705 – ₹115,729
Placed just below the lower boundary of the support zone to protect against a false breakout.
🎯 Target (TP)
Target Price: ₹119,331 – ₹119,338 (LABA target point)
This lies above recent highs and near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio
The blue shaded box indicates a reward zone.
The trade has a favorable Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, which is considered a strong setup.
🧠 Interpretation & Strategy
The red curved arrow indicates expected price action: a short-term pullback into the demand zone, followed by a bullish bounce toward the target.
The structure suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity within an ongoing uptrend.
⚠️ Key Takeaways
Component Value (INR)
Entry Zone 116,251 – 116,277
Stop Loss 115,705 – 115,729
Target 119,331 – 119,338
Trend Bullish inside channel
Risk/Reward Favorable (>2:1)
✅ Conclusion
This setup represents a bullish continuation pattern. If price revisits the highlighted demand/support zone, and forms bullish reversal candles (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing), it could offer a high-probability long entry toward the upper end of the channel near ₹119,338.
Gold 1H – Correction or Continuation After Supply Test?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,861 after consolidating below a premium supply zone at 3876–3874. Structure shows a recent BOS to the upside, but current rejection signals potential engineered liquidity sweeps into the nearby FVG and discount demand zones. The first support rests at 3796–3798, aligning with discount territory and previous accumulation, offering scope for continuation if price reacts positively.
From the macro side, today’s headlines point to persistent U.S. dollar strength as traders await fresh Federal Reserve guidance on inflation and rate path. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical concerns in energy markets are maintaining safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold’s intraday swings.
This dual backdrop sets up a tactical approach: fading rejections at supply while being prepared to enter on discounted dips at demand.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3876–3874 (SL 3883): Premium supply zone, downside targets at 3850 → 3835 → 3815.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3796–3798 (SL 3790): Discount demand zone aligned with BOS, upside targets at 3820 → 3845 → 3860+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3876–3874)
• Entry: 3876–3874
• Stop Loss: 3883
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3835
TP3: 3815
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3796–3798)
• Entry: 3796–3798
• Stop Loss: 3790
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3820
TP2: 3845
TP3: 3860+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains in a corrective phase after testing supply. Expect liquidity sweeps into discount levels before continuation. With the dollar strengthening and Fed commentary in focus, intraday traders should:
• Fade supply rejections at 3876–3874.
• Scale into buys around 3796–3798 if liquidity is cleared.
Is This the Start of Gold’s Next Major Upside Trend?✨ GOLD vs USD Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing Trade) ✨
🟡 Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
📈 Plan: Bullish Outlook
The Thief Strategy 🥷 is in action — using a layering style of limit orders (multiple staged entries). Instead of a single "all-in" shot, we scale in like a smart thief sneaking layer by layer.
🔑 Entry (Layered Style):
Possible levels: 3720 / 3730 / 3740 / 3750 (you can increase layers depending on your own plan).
The idea: Build positions gradually instead of chasing the candle.
🔒 Stop-Loss Zone (Protect Capital):
3680 (nicknamed the “Thief SL” 🚨).
⚠️ Note: This is just my reference level. Please adjust to your own risk style — don’t just follow blindly.
🎯 Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
3860 (Trend Flip Alert ⚡ – High Voltage Zone).
Why? This area aligns with resistance + potential overbought conditions + trap vibes. That’s where I expect smart thieves to escape with their bags 💼.
💡 Reminder for the Thief OGs: I’m not recommending you copy my SL/TP blindly. The market is your playground — grab your profits your way, manage your risk your way.
🔎 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Strong inverse correlation with Gold. If DXY weakens, XAU/USD often rallies.
TVC:SILVER (XAG/USD) → Precious metals move in packs. Silver strength can be a leading indicator for Gold.
BLACKBULL:WTI (USOIL/USD) → Energy inflation links can push Gold higher as a safe haven.
SP:SPX (S&P 500 Index) → Risk-on/off sentiment. Equity weakness often boosts safe-haven demand for Gold.
📌 Key Takeaways:
Thief Strategy = Layered limit order entries (smart scaling).
🚨 Protect your capital with personalized SL — don’t just copy mine.
⚡ Watch for resistance traps near 3860.
📊 Always monitor correlated assets like DXY, Silver, Oil, S&P 500.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Strategy shared just for fun & educational vibes. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage your own risk.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #SwingTrading #TradingStrategy #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #Forex #Commodities #TradingView
Gold Holds Near Record Highs📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD (XAU/USD) continues to consolidate near its all-time high, with price currently trading around $3,863 after retreating slightly from the peak. The chart shows a clear bullish channel, with immediate Support Zone at $3,840–$3,847 and a Resistance Zone at $3,900–$3,905. Any corrective dips into the support area are likely to attract fresh buying, keeping the upside bias intact.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: $3,847 (near support retest)
Stop Loss: $3,836 (below channel and support zone)
Take Profit: $3,905
R:R Ratio: ~1 : 5.13
🏦 Macro Background
Gold’s bullish momentum is underpinned by three key themes:
US Government Shutdown Risk – A Republican spending bill failed in the Senate, increasing the likelihood of a partial shutdown, which supports safe-haven demand.
Dovish Fed Expectations – Markets are pricing in a 95% chance of a rate cut in October and a 75% chance of another in December, keeping USD under pressure.
Geopolitical Risks – Rising tensions over US missile supplies to Ukraine and Middle East instability continue to drive safe-haven flows into bullion.
Together, these fundamentals reinforce gold’s upside bias, making dips attractive for buyers.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: $3,900 – $3,905
Support Zone: $3,840 – $3,847
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains in a bullish consolidation phase near record highs, with the path of least resistance to the upside. A retest of the $3,840–$3,847 support zone may provide a solid long opportunity targeting $3,900+. Fundamentals continue to support safe-haven demand and weaken USD, keeping gold well-bid.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
3930 on Mark!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!!
My stance on XAUUSD?
I'm buying gold on every DIP
✅️ First point of buying will be 3855-3850 area
- if the market drops and for retest on structure support for liquidity sweeps my second buying area will be 3822-3828.
-My target will be 3890 then
In extension 3930!!
- Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3820 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom supply zone at 3780 for buying.
Additional TIP: Buy the dips
Gold Volatility: New Highs Ahead?Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Tuesday, breaking below the 3800 level with a significant decline. Most market participants expected a trend reversal; however, the subsequent rise during European and US sessions demonstrated the strength of the bullish sentiment, driving gold sharply higher.
The bullish momentum remains strong in the short term, with gold consolidating around 3860. The fresh high reached in early Asian trading, around 3875, further reinforced the bullish sentiment.
The 1-hour line is also rising in slow fluctuations. In the short term, we need to focus on the trend of the European session. If the bulls are strong, the retracement of the European session will be relatively limited, otherwise it will lose the momentum to continue to attack; and the top and bottom conversion below will also be maintained around 3855, which may form a watershed position.
You can try to continue to go long near this position, and if the European session breaks down, then we need to abandon the long strategy in the US session. Currently, the competition between bulls and bears is fierce, and prudent traders can maintain a wait-and-see attitude for a period of time.
For more aggressive traders, consider buying around 3855, with a profit target of 3880-3890 and a stop loss at 3845.
Gold experiences a correction. The bull market continues.Gold saw a sudden and significant pullback on Tuesday, but under the influence of a series of risk-averse news related to the potential US government shutdown, gold bulls rallied again, pushing prices higher. Gold closed the day at a high level. The strength of the gold bulls remains robust; this single-day correction suggests that the upward momentum for gold is still strong.
Although gold fell significantly, it did not break below the key support level of 3791, indicating that the bears did not gain complete control. After a short-term correction, the bulls launched a counterattack. The 1-hour moving average for gold remains upward, with no signs of a trend reversal. The bullish momentum for gold is still strong, and the moving average support has now moved to around 3828.
Quaid believes that gold may continue its upward trend, as the current gold bull market is unlikely to end soon. Quaid recommends continuing to buy on dips, maintaining a bullish stance on gold.
Trading Strategy:
Buy around 3825-3830, with a stop loss at 3805, and target profit levels of 3865-3875.
Gold enters the overbought zone, you can short it on ralliesWhy is gold so strong? Ultimately, it's driven by multiple factors: the Federal Reserve entering a cycle of rate cuts, financial and trade factors, and war. However, this doesn't mean gold won't need a short-term correction! Large cycles provide directional guidance, while smaller cycles determine the rhythm.
Yesterday, the gold market completed its final formation for September. After a strong, volatile rally at the beginning of the month, it broke through multiple round numbers, reaching a record high of 3872 in late trading before consolidating. The monthly line finally closed at 3858, forming a large, saturated bullish candlestick with a slight shadow. This monthly gain of over $400 is primarily due to the Federal Reserve's initiation of a new round of rate cuts against the backdrop of poor US data, which heightened market risk aversion, and the intensified conflict in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine. This strong upward trend has led to a strong upward trend. While this large bullish candlestick has the technical potential to continue its upward trend, a rapid short-term rise can also lead to a technical divergence. If the market continues to rise without adjustment and encounters resistance, it can easily lead to profit-taking.
As mentioned before, the increase this time has exceeded 500 US dollars, which has entered our risk zone. Technically, it has deviated from the pattern and entered the overbought zone. Most people in the market are bullish now, but I think the benefits of chasing the rise now are greater than the risks, and there are still opportunities to make profits by shorting gold. So today we are still considering shorting gold on rallies.
Resistance: 3872, 3893
Support: 3843, 3812
If you don't have a detailed trading plan for gold, follow my updates. I'll update my strategies and ideas daily for your reference, helping you avoid detours on your trading journey.
XAUUSD: The last bull run?FXOPEN:XAUUSD keeps grinding higher, but the structure suggests this may be the last impulse of the current move. I expect price to complete the advance into the large liquidity pocket at before a sharper correction, as upside momentum has started to fade.
You can read my previous analysis here:
CME flow shows heavy long-call positioning around 3867. A failure back below 3867 would likely open a deeper pullback.
That said, there is still a Margin Zone/liquidity pool at actively traded by CME participants, so price may push through 3867 toward before reversing.
Watch 3828 (prior session POC) — price can react and bounce from 3828 without visiting the deeper supports.
Key support: ,
Margin Zone:
Trading Plan
Sell: Look for strong sell signals from Quantum Vol-Delta on the M5/M1 timeframes inside .
Buy: If price pulls back into the key supports, wait for Quantum Vol-Delta to confirm buyers returning → Enter on the candle close.
Risk management:
Stop loss: below/above the most recent 5m timeframe swing low/high or beyond the respective support/resistance zone.
Move to break-even at +1R (R:R = 1:1).
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Gold fell as expected, and subsequent pullbacks led to long posiBased on the 4-hour analysis, support is focused on the 3800-95 level. The bulls are rising strongly and there's no end in sight. Trading strategies should primarily focus on buying on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, be cautious and wait for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategies:
1. Buy gold at the 3800-05 level, and add to your long position on pullbacks to the 3785-90 level. Set a stop loss at 3778 and target the 3845-3850 level.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (15m timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bullish Gold Setup
Chart Pattern: Price broke out of a triangle consolidation after retesting the order block (OB, yellow zone). This signals accumulation before continuation.
Order Block (OB): The zone around 3,836 – 3,840 acted as a strong demand area. Price respected it and bounced back.
EMA Support:
50 EMA (red) is sitting just above the OB, providing short-term support.
200 EMA (blue) is trending upward, confirming underlying bullish bias.
Projection: The breakout is expected to expand higher toward the measured move target.
---
Target Point
3,883.44 is the projected upside target.
This aligns with the breakout projection and prior liquidity grab zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trading Idea
Bias: Bullish.
Entry Zone: Pullback toward 3,836 – 3,840 OB for confirmation.
Target: 3,883.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,816 (200 EMA) would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest deeper retracement.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Bullish sentiment dominates, sweeping all before it?The gold market witnessed a dramatic V-shaped rebound. After initially breaking through the key $3800 support level, bearish sentiment briefly dominated.
However, the market sentiment abruptly shifted due to two pieces of news: Fed officials signaled a potential interest rate cut, suggesting the high-interest rate environment may be nearing its end; and Trump's announcement of a significant increase in military spending to $1 trillion by 2026, further fueling geopolitical uncertainty. These two factors combined ignited safe-haven buying, providing strong support for gold.
Gold prices then staged a 360-degree turnaround, rallying strongly. This bottom-reversal pattern clearly demonstrated the strength of the bullish forces. The price not only recovered above the $3830 support level but also formed a strong bullish technical pattern, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment towards optimism, with lower support solidified and bearish resistance effectively overcome.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to buy at $3835-$3830, with a stop loss at $3820 and a profit target of $3860-$3870.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) 30-min chart you shared:
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Setup (M30 Chart)
Market Structure:
Price is moving inside a bullish ascending channel.
Current retracement is pulling back toward a fair value gap (FVG, H4) highlighted in yellow.
Price is still holding above the 50 EMA (3806.16) and 200 EMA (3766.40), both sloping upward → confirming bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Demand / FVG H4): 3810 – 3820 region (yellow box).
EMA 50: Acting as dynamic short-term support around 3806.
EMA 200: Stronger bullish base at 3766.
Target Point: 3857.19 (resistance zone & top of channel).
Price Expectation:
Likely scenario:
Price may retrace into the FVG support zone → bounce upward → continue inside the channel toward the target point 3857.
As long as the structure holds above 3806 (EMA 50), the bullish setup remains valid.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Bias: Bullish
Target: 3857.19 Key Support: 3810 – 3820 zone (FVG + EMA confluence)
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Gold surged and then fell, continue to short at highsGold showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. The highest point reached around 3872 and then encountered resistance and pulled back. The lowest point reached around 3793 and then stabilized and rebounded upward. The gold daily level is a big positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. It rose again after a deep correction today, indicating that gold needs to be adjusted. From the perspective of technical analysis at the one-hour level, the gold trend shows an obvious bearish engulfing pattern. For bulls, the market needs to go through a period of consolidation if the uptrend is to resume. Therefore, any rebound presents a shorting opportunity.
Resistance: 3845, 3868
Support: 3791, 3775
The trend has not changed, bulls are still the main themeGold experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with both bulls and bears having a very volatile day. Gold has rebounded to around 3855 and then fell into high-level fluctuations. There is no good entry point in the current trend, so waiting and watching for the time being is a good decision. If gold in the US market continues to rise to around 3870 and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will participate in shorting gold moderately based on market conditions. If gold first falls back to around the intraday starting point of 3825, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold.
First, Trump’s new round of tariffs will take effect tomorrow, October 1st. Second, the risk of the US government shutdown has not been eliminated, and short-term risk aversion still lingers in the market. At the same time, the gold price is still above the MA10 moving average, and the short-term bullish structure has not been destroyed. Therefore, for intraday trading, I still tend to focus on long positions and short positions as a supplement.
Gold retracement? The trend remains unchanged.Gold continued its typical pattern of rising and then falling on Tuesday, reaching a high near 3872 before retracing, and a low near 3793 before rebounding upwards.
The gold daily level shows a large positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. After a deep correction on Tuesday, it rose again, indicating that gold needs adjustment. Short-term focus should be on whether gold can sustain its upward momentum.
On the whole, Quaid believes that gold is adjusting at a high level and there is a probability of maintaining a range of fluctuations. In short-term operations, a high-altitude and low-multiple strategy should be considered. In the short term, pay attention to the upward suppression range of 3855-3865, and pay attention to the strong support of 3820-3800 below.
Trading Strategy:
Buy in batches between 3830 and 3820, with a stop loss at 3810. Profit range: 3850-3865.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD this week. I'm still bullish up to $3880/ozHi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Start of the Week
Overall Picture:
As I predicted earlier, gold has skyrocketed past the $3,800/oz mark, delivering more than 700 pips of profit from the strategy I previously outlined . This is clear evidence of the strength of the prevailing bullish trend, as safe-haven flows continue to pour into gold amid ongoing global economic uncertainties.
Looking ahead to this week, the outlook remains in favor of the bulls. If no adverse news emerges, I believe gold is highly likely to continue its breakout and challenge the $3,880/oz level – the next key resistance zone.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Strong increase, momentum remains stable on H4 and Daily frames.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3800- 3787 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3835 - 3865 - 3880
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3834 - 3836
SL: 3840
TP: 3800 - 3790
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3790 - 3800
SL: 3780
TP: 3825 - 3835 - 3865
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
HAVE A GREAT WEEK, GUYS!!!
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our 4H chart also playing out as analysed.
Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we complete our 4H chart idea. After completing 3778 target, we had ema5 cross and lock gaps open above at 3811 and 3845 - Both of these gaps are now hit complecting this chart idea.
BULLISH TARGET
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3738 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3811 - - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3845 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX






















