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Goldprediction

Gold is experiencing a pullback. Trend Analysis.Spot gold fluctuated and weakened in early Asian trading on Thursday, falling nearly 1% to near the $4,000 mark, hitting a low of $4,001.33. However, it quickly rebounded above $4,020, buoyed by buying. On Wednesday, gold prices not only broke through $4,000 for the first time, but also hit a new all-time high of $4,059.07, driving silver prices to a record closing high. However, just as the rally was in full swing, a sudden turn in the Middle East geopolitical situation—a ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel—quickly cooled market risk aversion, leading to a pullback in gold prices on Thursday. This warrants investor caution. Investors should monitor further news on the Middle East situation and shifts in risk aversion, wary of the possibility that this factor could prompt more long-term profit-taking, triggering a deeper correction in gold prices. They should also be mindful of any dip-buying support. After Wednesday's rally, gold reached a high near 4059. It reached a high during the consecutive Asian and European sessions, then retreated slightly in the US session, reaching a low near 4000, consistent with the previously analyzed strategy of buying on dips to key levels. In the short term, maintain a bullish long position, with 4000 as a defensive level. Focus on the previous high of 4060. If it doesn't break, take short-term profits. If it does, the market could potentially head towards 4100 or even higher. In addition, keep an eye on Thursday, which could be a turning point this week, potentially leading to a sweeping decline. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on the 4050-4060 resistance, and the short-term support below is 4000-3990. Strategy: Go long near 4010, with a stop-loss at 4000. Profit range: 4650-4060.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
The adjustment has begun, seize the opportunityGold has remained in overbought territory for the past month. After four consecutive days of strong gains, investors have taken profits, and gold's safe-haven appeal has waned. US President Trump stated that a resolution to the Middle East conflict is "very close." Previously, Israeli and Hamas officials expressed cautious optimism about ongoing negotiations in Egypt, believing that the two-year Gaza conflict could end. From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator has been in the overbought range. As mentioned before, the recent rise in gold was driven by news. When geopolitical tensions ease, gold will definitely adjust. Today's trend is in line with our expectations. At this stage, we only need to focus on the 4000 point support. If it falls below this position, the next support will be at 3977-3980. Those who followed me in entering short positions below 4050 today have already taken profits on some of their positions near 4020, and will gradually take profits on the remaining positions near 4000. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
2
Gold: Buy around 4002, target 4030-4059Gold Market Analysis： The current high on the daily chart has reached 4059, a level so strong it's causing some serious doubt. Don't question the buying trend or speculate on the top. Even the sharp pullback in the Asian session was just a normal technical retracement. Many people are starting to speculate, thinking it's reached the top. Yesterday, we placed a buy order at 4036, which also saw a significant surge. Today, we bought again at 4006 in the early Asian session, making another profit. Control the rhythm of gold and buy decisively at support levels. I predict a correction today, and any pullbacks during this correction are buying opportunities. Don't sell; the likelihood of selling gold directly is slim. Focus on the minor support level at 3980 on the daily chart. Unless this level is broken, there's little room for selling. Furthermore, 4059 isn't a major top, so there's still the possibility of a new high. The Asian session has been trading in a narrow range, 4000-4036. The hourly resistance level is also around 4039, and the overall data level is near 4000. Today's Asian session will initially target 4000 for buying. If it breaks through 4000 and reaches 3980, we can buy again. Selling around 4039 is a bit aggressive, as the current market is prone to rising but difficult to falling. Support levels are 3980 and 4000, while resistance levels are 4039 and 4059. 3980 is the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Analysis: Recent fundamentals and data have been relatively benign, with no significant market stimulus. We need to monitor the Federal Reserve's new monetary policy in October. Trading Recommendations: Gold: Buy around 4002, target 4030-4059
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenBigAge
2
Analysis of the latest gold price trends today!Market News： Spot gold prices suddenly plummeted in early Asian trading on Thursday, extending their intraday losses to around $40, hitting a low of $4,001. News broke that a ceasefire agreement had been reached in Gaza. US President Trump stated that Israel and Hamas had mutually accepted a phased peace plan, and all detainees would be released soon. This sudden turn in the Middle East geopolitical landscape—the ceasefire agreement between Hamas and Israel—quickly cooled market risk aversion. Be wary of the possibility that this factor could prompt further profit-taking, triggering a sharp correction in gold prices. At the same time, pay attention to any support from bargain-hunting buying! While international gold prices have performed strongly in 2025, the pullback triggered by the Hamas ceasefire agreement reminds us that the market is not a one-way street. In the short term, international gold prices may fluctuate around $4,000, depending on the stability of the Middle East situation and the recovery of US economic data. Technical Analysis: Gold reached a new high of 4059.07 in late trading, then retreated to close at 4038. It opened at 4040 in the Asian morning session before coming under pressure and falling sharply to 4001. The daily chart shows a series of consecutive positive days, and the price remains within an upward trend. The 5-day and 7-day moving averages (MAs) remain upward. However, the RSI indicator is overbought above 80, so watch for a rebound and a short-term correction in gold prices. This correction could signal a short-term volatile correction. Today's trading strategy: Sell high and buy low, anticipating a period of wide range-bound trading. Looking at the 4-hour chart, focus on short-term support below the 4000-3990 level. The bullish trend is strong and there's no end in sight. Buy on dips. At intermediate levels, be cautious and follow orders cautiously, patiently waiting for key entry points. All bearish candlesticks can be considered corrections for short-term buying, not reversals. From this point of view, placing a sell order at any time could be a mistake. Waiting for a dip after the surge may offer a slight opportunity to enter the market! Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 4000-4003, stop loss at 3992, target at 4060-4080; Short-term gold sell at 4067-4070, stop loss at 4079, target at 4000-4010; Key Points: First Support Level: 4001, Second Support Level: 3988, Third Support Level: 3975 First Resistance Level: 4048, Second Resistance Level: 4059, Third Resistance Level: 4072
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenBigAge
Gold Over $4K: Blow-Off Top or Launchpad Higher?Gold (GC1!) has been one of the most beautifully trending markets over the past two years — a textbook example of structure, momentum, and clean technical behaviour. We’ve been following it closely since February 2024, and every markup and re-accumulation phase has respected the 5 / 10 / 20 / 50 MA stack perfectly. Now, price has reached the key $4 000 zone after yet another powerful rally leg. The big question: are we seeing a blow-off top forming, or is this simply another launch pad before the next expansion higher? Personally, I think we might need a flush toward the 50 MA (orange) to reset momentum and shake out late buyers before any real continuation. That said, I won’t even think about shorts unless the Daily closes below the 20 MA — the trend is still firmly bullish until proven otherwise. Let’s be honest though… this is where everyone suddenly becomes a top-caller, trying to outsmart a two-year uptrend 🤦‍♂️. We just keep it simple — follow the chart, trust the EMAs, and stay bullish until the structure actually breaks down. Key points: • Daily trend remains bullish with EMAs cleanly stacked. • A healthy pullback toward the 50 MA could reset momentum. • Short bias only valid after a Daily close below the 20 MA. • Holding above 20 ma keeps continuation structure intact. • Bias remains bullish until proven otherwise. Questions for you: 1. Do you think this is the final blow-off or just another launch pad before 5K? 2. How far do you see this pullback going — 20 EMA bounce or full flush to the 50 EMA? 3. Are you still riding the trend, or are you one of the many trying to call the top too early?
COMEX:GC1!Long
by SirCharIes
Enter the market with a short position and wait for a pullbackYesterday, as expected, the price fell from around 3977 to 3940, resulting in significant profits on both short positions. We subsequently suggested going long near 3920. Unfortunately, we didn't reach our expected entry point. Gold has broken through 4000 points as expected by the market. The current high is 4025, which has reached what we call the resistance area. Be prepared to enter a short position here. Don’t worry about whether it is a bullish trend or a decline. The only thing that matters is making money in the end. It is worth noting that gold and the US dollar have shown a rare trend of simultaneous strengthening recently. The rise in gold is mainly driven by short-term news, but from the perspective of historical linkage, the strong pattern of the US dollar as the pricing currency of gold is sustainable. If the US dollar continues to rise in the future, it will inevitably significantly suppress the upward space of gold, which further supports our current decision to arrange short positions. For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
The short-term adjustment of gold is for a better rise News： During the Asia-Europe session on Wednesday, spot gold hit a bottom and rebounded. Affected by the ceasefire agreement signed by Hamas in Gaza, it fell nearly 1% during the session, and then rebounded sharply. It is currently down 0.07%, and its price is stable above the historical high of US$4,000 per ounce. Gold smells a familiar smell of sweeping here, which is in line with our expectations. According to the signal strategy given yesterday, if the price reaches 4020-4025, enter the long position and you can make a profit now. Specifically: The bullish momentum has not been broken. The upper double-line support on the hourly chart, along with the channel line, serves as a defensive dividing line. This rally, which began at 3280 in August, accelerated in September and doubled in October, with a nearly $780 surge, setting a new record and reshaping market perception. The two closest waves, one at 3720 and the other at 3820, sought support for further gains. The upper double-line support on the hourly chart is currently between 4000 and 4010, tentatively serving as the dividing line for any shifts in momentum. Holding the upper double-line support level will ensure the overall bullish momentum remains unchanged, and any short-term pullbacks and accelerations are intended to facilitate a stronger rally. Strategy： Long Position4020-4030，SL:4010，Target:4060,4080
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
3
Gold XAUUSD Breakout Setup | VWAP and Market Structure Explained📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis Gold remains in a bullish trend overall 💪. On the 30-minute timeframe, price is approaching a key level of resistance near the previous swing high. 📈 The VWAP bands show price pressing up toward the first deviation, suggesting momentum remains strong — but this is also where we often see short-term reactions. 💡 Trade idea: If price can break above the previous high and the first VWAP deviation, then a retrace and retest of that level could offer a potential long opportunity for continuation 🏹. However, if this setup fails to materialize and price rejects from the current zone, we abandon the long idea and wait for clearer confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
Continued adjustments. Follow the trend.Gold started a steady rise right after the Asian market opened on Wednesday, reaching a high of around 4058. In the recent market, the bulls have become completely numb to the repeated record highs. In the early stage, the market thought that the integer level of 4000 might form a certain suppression and achieve a callback effect; the fact is that this integer level has no resistance, which also makes the market refresh our cognition. On Wednesday, the U.S. market was trading sideways at a high level. After retreating to around 4026 in the European market, it continued to rise, and the upper pressure position continued to rise. The moving average system is intact. After a pullback near 4000 in the early Asian session, it continued to rise. The 4-hour chart shows that the market is in a period of consolidation and correction at a high level, with prices temporarily under pressure near 4050. Currently, the short-term moving average continues to show signs of slight downward divergence, suggesting a consolidation and correction in the short term. The 1-hour chart shows that after a period of narrow range fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. There may be some room for a short-term rebound, but the momentum will be relatively small. Trading Strategy: Go long on a pullback to around 4025, with a stop loss at 4015 and a profit range of 4050-4060.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to shine past the $4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point. • The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter. • Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation. • Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070 SL: 4077 TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in. • On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops. • Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure. 🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
13
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted that gold was extended and due for a retracement. Price failed to hold above 4046 and sharply pulled back, testing the upper edge of the First Reaction Zone, which also aligns with the MA50, now acting as dynamic support. For bullish momentum to continue toward 4064 and 4080, price needs to reclaim and hold above 4046. Failure to do so could trigger another retest of the reaction zone and potentially a deeper pullback toward the lower support levels before buyers step back in. 📌 Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4046 4064 4080 Support: 4020 4000 3970 3937 3909 🔎Fundamental Focus | October 9, 2025 Today’s spotlight is on Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which is expected to set the tone for the day. Markets will be watching closely for any hints on rate-cut timing or comments addressing economic risks amid the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Additional Fed officials — Bowman and Barr — are also scheduled to speak throughout the day, which could add layers of volatility if their remarks differ in tone from Powell’s. With U.S. data releases still limited by the shutdown, today’s Fed communications will be the key market driver.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Do you dare to follow the short selling?Judging from the hourly chart, gold rebounded after testing the lower support several times, and stagnated after rebounding to around 4040. After closing the hourly line with a doji, it formed a large negative line. This pattern means that gold may pull back to test the lower support in the short term. Secondly, gold is still under trend suppression in the short term, so we have good reasons to short it. If gold rebounds again to around 4030-4040, we could consider a light short position, with an eye on 4015-4000. For more real-time updates, please follow🌐
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allen_Boswell
2
Gold’s Bull Run Continues – Target $4,080+Gold is clearly maintaining strong bullish momentum above $4,000. The market has maintained its upward trajectory since rebounding from the $3,900–$3,920 support zone. This zone acted as a solid demand area, leading to consistent higher highs and higher lows — a clear indication that buyers are dominating. The recent price action shows a clean breakout above the $3,980–$4,000 resistance area, which has now turned into a new short-term support. The chart also marks a “Weak High” near the current level, suggesting that a minor pullback or consolidation could occur before another bullish push resumes. This retracement could test around $4,010–$4,020 before aiming higher. The next major resistance levels are visible at $4,060, $4,075, and potentially $4,080–$4,100, which could be the next targets if bullish momentum continues. As long as gold stays above $4,000, the overall market bias remains positive. A sustained break below this zone might trigger a deeper correction toward $3,960 or even $3,940, but that currently looks less likely given the strong bullish structure. In summary, the short-term outlook remains bullish with expectations of a possible brief dip before continuation toward $4,080+. The trendline support and consistent break of minor resistances confirm strong buyer confidence in the market. Strong bullish trend continues Key resistance: $4,072 → $4,132 → $4,150 Support to watch: $3,976 → $3,925 🔹 Buy Zone: A potential buy zone lies between $4,010 – $4,025, where a short retracement is expected before the next upward move. This area aligns with minor structure support and trendline confluence, making it ideal for re-entry or fresh long positions. 🔹 Buy Trigger: A strong buy trigger would be a bullish 1-hour candle closing above $4,045, confirming momentum continuation toward the next resistance targets at $4,065, $4,075, and $4,080+. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
The support is stable. Buy on pullbacks.The strong pattern of the gold market continues, and prices continue to break through historical highs. This strong upward trend has become the new market norm, reinforcing investors' optimistic expectations. However, as gold prices continue to climb to new heights, market sentiment is tinged with a touch of caution, with some investors becoming uneasy about the excessive short-term gains and fearing the possibility of volatile fluctuations. Although there have been technical pullbacks recently, the pullbacks have been relatively small and have not changed the upward trend. In the current clear, one-way upward trend, a rational trading strategy aligns with the primary trend, viewing each pullback as an opportunity to enter long positions on dips rather than a sign of a trend reversal. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the current key support area is around 4000, which is an important watershed for judging the strength of the short-term trend. Trading strategies recommend buying on pullbacks, patiently waiting for prices to fall back to support levels before buying. Be wary of high-level volatility and avoid frequent trading during periods of uncertain direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Gold price analysis September 10Gold is still holding the uptrend and the only priority strategy at the moment continues to be BUY. The corrections in the Asian session are only seen as opportunities to increase buying positions, instead of worrying about the risk of price decline. Trading plan: BUY trigger: when there is a price rejection signal at important support zones 4008 – 3986 – 3945 Target: psychological resistance zone 4100 The main trend is still favorable for the buyers, so waiting to buy at support zones will bring more advantages than looking for opportunities to SELL against the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD: Momentum fades after new ATH, watching for a correctionOANDA:XAUUSD is currently facing strong selling pressure after printing a new high at 4059 and gapping down at the open , which reinforces the expectation of a correction in the coming sessions. In addition, U.S. President Donald Trump recently stated that a deal to end the war in Gaza is “very close” and he may travel to Egypt later this week, as his envoys participate in talks aimed at a ceasefire and hostage-release agreement. ⇒ All factors are aligning for a pullback in gold. As I analyzed in yesterday’s session, a large number of Longput contracts have been deployed by CME traders as protection against downside. You can read my previous analysis here: Today’s plan: We will look for short , with a target at . Resistance: , Key support: Strong support: This is a strong support zone with big liquidity concentration and is also where CME traders have placed a large cluster of Longput contracts. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZuperView
Volatility = Opportunity—Short Gold Now!Although gold is still maintaining a bullish trend, it has repeatedly fallen back to around 4030 after approaching or touching the 4050-4060 area many times, and has shown multiple high points with upper shadows in the candlestick chart. It can be clearly seen that after accelerating its rise, gold showed obvious signs of stagflation near the trend line resistance area of 4050-4060, and there were obvious signs of retracement after touching this resistance area. In addition, from the short-term structure, we can see that the current high is near 4059, and the left high is near 4050. If gold cannot effectively hold above 4050 during the next rebound, there will be signs of forming a head and shoulders top in the short term. Combined with technical divergence and overbought conditions, gold may usher in a good retracement in the short term. Combined with technical divergence and overbought conditions, gold could experience a significant pullback in the near term. We should first focus on the support below at 4030-4020, followed by 4000-3990. So in short-term trading, I still will not give up short trading to gain short-term retracement profits. Therefore, I still advocate considering shorting gold in the 4045-4055 area. As long as gold can effectively fall below 4030, it will inevitably continue its downward trend to the 4010-4000 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
1