XAUUSD: The last bull run?FXOPEN:XAUUSD keeps grinding higher, but the structure suggests this may be the last impulse of the current move. I expect price to complete the advance into the large liquidity pocket at before a sharper correction, as upside momentum has started to fade.
You can read my previous analysis here:
CME flow shows heavy long-call positioning around 3867. A failure back below 3867 would likely open a deeper pullback.
That said, there is still a Margin Zone/liquidity pool at actively traded by CME participants, so price may push through 3867 toward before reversing.
Watch 3828 (prior session POC) — price can react and bounce from 3828 without visiting the deeper supports.
Key support: ,
Margin Zone:
Trading Plan
Sell: Look for strong sell signals from Quantum Vol-Delta on the M5/M1 timeframes inside .
Buy: If price pulls back into the key supports, wait for Quantum Vol-Delta to confirm buyers returning → Enter on the candle close.
Risk management:
Stop loss: below/above the most recent 5m timeframe swing low/high or beyond the respective support/resistance zone.
Move to break-even at +1R (R:R = 1:1).
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Goldprediction
XAUUSD NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE Gold (XAU/USD) Buy Setup 📈
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum and holding above support levels. Buyers are in control, and the price has potential to extend higher.
📍 Entry: Buy from 3850
🎯 Target: 3900+
🛡 Stop-loss: Below nearest support
If momentum sustains, Gold is likely to push beyond the 3900 mark, offering a solid buying opportunity.
Gold fell as expected, and subsequent pullbacks led to long posiBased on the 4-hour analysis, support is focused on the 3800-95 level. The bulls are rising strongly and there's no end in sight. Trading strategies should primarily focus on buying on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, be cautious and wait for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategies:
1. Buy gold at the 3800-05 level, and add to your long position on pullbacks to the 3785-90 level. Set a stop loss at 3778 and target the 3845-3850 level.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (15m timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bullish Gold Setup
Chart Pattern: Price broke out of a triangle consolidation after retesting the order block (OB, yellow zone). This signals accumulation before continuation.
Order Block (OB): The zone around 3,836 – 3,840 acted as a strong demand area. Price respected it and bounced back.
EMA Support:
50 EMA (red) is sitting just above the OB, providing short-term support.
200 EMA (blue) is trending upward, confirming underlying bullish bias.
Projection: The breakout is expected to expand higher toward the measured move target.
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Target Point
3,883.44 is the projected upside target.
This aligns with the breakout projection and prior liquidity grab zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trading Idea
Bias: Bullish.
Entry Zone: Pullback toward 3,836 – 3,840 OB for confirmation.
Target: 3,883.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,816 (200 EMA) would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest deeper retracement.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Bullish sentiment dominates, sweeping all before it?The gold market witnessed a dramatic V-shaped rebound. After initially breaking through the key $3800 support level, bearish sentiment briefly dominated.
However, the market sentiment abruptly shifted due to two pieces of news: Fed officials signaled a potential interest rate cut, suggesting the high-interest rate environment may be nearing its end; and Trump's announcement of a significant increase in military spending to $1 trillion by 2026, further fueling geopolitical uncertainty. These two factors combined ignited safe-haven buying, providing strong support for gold.
Gold prices then staged a 360-degree turnaround, rallying strongly. This bottom-reversal pattern clearly demonstrated the strength of the bullish forces. The price not only recovered above the $3830 support level but also formed a strong bullish technical pattern, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment towards optimism, with lower support solidified and bearish resistance effectively overcome.
Trading Strategy:
Continue to buy at $3835-$3830, with a stop loss at $3820 and a profit target of $3860-$3870.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) 30-min chart you shared:
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Setup (M30 Chart)
Market Structure:
Price is moving inside a bullish ascending channel.
Current retracement is pulling back toward a fair value gap (FVG, H4) highlighted in yellow.
Price is still holding above the 50 EMA (3806.16) and 200 EMA (3766.40), both sloping upward → confirming bullish momentum.
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Demand / FVG H4): 3810 – 3820 region (yellow box).
EMA 50: Acting as dynamic short-term support around 3806.
EMA 200: Stronger bullish base at 3766.
Target Point: 3857.19 (resistance zone & top of channel).
Price Expectation:
Likely scenario:
Price may retrace into the FVG support zone → bounce upward → continue inside the channel toward the target point 3857.
As long as the structure holds above 3806 (EMA 50), the bullish setup remains valid.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Bias: Bullish
Target: 3857.19 Key Support: 3810 – 3820 zone (FVG + EMA confluence)
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Gold surged and then fell, continue to short at highsGold showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. The highest point reached around 3872 and then encountered resistance and pulled back. The lowest point reached around 3793 and then stabilized and rebounded upward. The gold daily level is a big positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. It rose again after a deep correction today, indicating that gold needs to be adjusted. From the perspective of technical analysis at the one-hour level, the gold trend shows an obvious bearish engulfing pattern. For bulls, the market needs to go through a period of consolidation if the uptrend is to resume. Therefore, any rebound presents a shorting opportunity.
Resistance: 3845, 3868
Support: 3791, 3775
Focus on 3870 and 3825 to determine the short-term direction#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The market experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with significant price swings that trapped both buyers and sellers, leading to losses for many. The current market is fluctuating at a high level and it is not a good time to enter the market. It is a relatively wise choice to wait and see for the time being. If gold continues to rise around 3870 in the US market and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will consider participating in shorting gold moderately. If gold first retreats to around 3825, the intraday starting point, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold. The US government shutdown problem has not been completely resolved, and risk aversion still lingers in the market. Short-term trading is still mainly long, supplemented by short.
The trend has not changed, bulls are still the main themeGold experienced another rollercoaster ride this evening, with both bulls and bears having a very volatile day. Gold has rebounded to around 3855 and then fell into high-level fluctuations. There is no good entry point in the current trend, so waiting and watching for the time being is a good decision. If gold in the US market continues to rise to around 3870 and can form an M-top trend in the short term, then I will participate in shorting gold moderately based on market conditions. If gold first falls back to around the intraday starting point of 3825, we can still consider continuing to go long on gold.
First, Trump’s new round of tariffs will take effect tomorrow, October 1st. Second, the risk of the US government shutdown has not been eliminated, and short-term risk aversion still lingers in the market. At the same time, the gold price is still above the MA10 moving average, and the short-term bullish structure has not been destroyed. Therefore, for intraday trading, I still tend to focus on long positions and short positions as a supplement.
Gold retracement? The trend remains unchanged.Gold continued its typical pattern of rising and then falling on Tuesday, reaching a high near 3872 before retracing, and a low near 3793 before rebounding upwards.
The gold daily level shows a large positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. After a deep correction on Tuesday, it rose again, indicating that gold needs adjustment. Short-term focus should be on whether gold can sustain its upward momentum.
On the whole, Quaid believes that gold is adjusting at a high level and there is a probability of maintaining a range of fluctuations. In short-term operations, a high-altitude and low-multiple strategy should be considered. In the short term, pay attention to the upward suppression range of 3855-3865, and pay attention to the strong support of 3820-3800 below.
Trading Strategy:
Buy in batches between 3830 and 3820, with a stop loss at 3810. Profit range: 3850-3865.
ANFIBO | XAUUSD this week. I'm still bullish up to $3880/ozHi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Start of the Week
Overall Picture:
As I predicted earlier, gold has skyrocketed past the $3,800/oz mark, delivering more than 700 pips of profit from the strategy I previously outlined . This is clear evidence of the strength of the prevailing bullish trend, as safe-haven flows continue to pour into gold amid ongoing global economic uncertainties.
Looking ahead to this week, the outlook remains in favor of the bulls. If no adverse news emerges, I believe gold is highly likely to continue its breakout and challenge the $3,880/oz level – the next key resistance zone.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Strong increase, momentum remains stable on H4 and Daily frames.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3800- 3787 - 3750 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3825 - 3835 - 3865 - 3880
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3834 - 3836
SL: 3840
TP: 3800 - 3790
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3790 - 3800
SL: 3780
TP: 3825 - 3835 - 3865
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
HAVE A GREAT WEEK, GUYS!!!
DAILY CHART UPDATEDaily Chart Update – Follow Up
3776 & 3866 Targets Achieved!!
Previously, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That target was achieved with precision, and now we’ve also seen the move extend into the final daily target of 3866, exactly as projected.
What an amazing day on the chart, With the 3866 completion now in DONE, our attention shifts to what comes next:
🔹 Continuation Breakout Scenario – A sustained break and close above 3866 will confirm further bullish expansion, meaning we’ll need to update our upside levels in the next update.
🔹 Rejection Scenario – A failure to hold above 3866 could invite a pullback, with lower Goldturns being tested for support and potential bounce opportunities.
Current Outlook
✅ 3683 Target Reached
Our breakout sequence played out with precision, starting from the EMA5 lock above 3564 and extending to complete the 3683 objective.
✅ 3776 Target Completed
Last week’s price action delivered the full upside into 3776, confirming the breakout momentum.
✅ 3866 Final Daily Target Hit
Today’s action completed the 3866 objective exactly as anticipated. The next update will guide whether this evolves into further continuation or a corrective pullback.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3776 & 3683
📉 Deeper Support – 3564 & 3433
📉 Pivotal Floor – 3272
📈 Resistance / Next Upside Objective – Awaiting new levels above 3866 (on confirmed breakout continuation)
As always, we’ll continue to keep you updated with regular insights throughout the week and show how we manage these active ideas and setups. Thank you all for the continued support, likes, and feedback – it’s truly appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our 4H chart also playing out as analysed.
Yesterday we completed our 1H chart idea and today we complete our 4H chart idea. After completing 3778 target, we had ema5 cross and lock gaps open above at 3811 and 3845 - Both of these gaps are now hit complecting this chart idea.
BULLISH TARGET
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3738 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3811 - - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3811 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3845 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The bullish trend remains unchanged, buy on pullback#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold has fallen sharply by nearly $70, the short-term bullish trend has not changed. The risk-averse panic caused by the United States and the Trump administration is still there. After digesting the short-term selling pressure, the market will return to the bullish trend. 3795-3785 below is the second highest point last week. If the US market retreats here, we can consider going long on gold.
How much further can gold fall?From 3758 to 3871.5, nearly $113, it surged nearly $50 today. However, after breaking the high, it reversed course and fell again, dropping over $60.
A sharp drop and slow rise is just the right way to describe today. The current situation is that the price continued to rise and break new highs in the Asian session, then rose and fell in the European session, breaking the lows. After breaking the highs, it broke the lows again, entering a period of correction.
Technically, there is also a need for correction. Once the highs are confirmed, a new round of market movement begins.
The scope for correction is currently estimated to be around $80-100. Of course, judging by the current trend, the price has already fallen below the 3810 area, a drop of over $60.
Expanding the range to $100 could be just a matter of minutes. Keep an eye on the 3800 area, with a particular focus on the 3775 range.
For bulls, Considering this surge, which has already exceeded $500, the largest gain this year, the upward potential is limited, and technical corrections are imminent. Before the previous decline began, we held onto our highs. Now that a decline is likely, we should hold onto our highs even more. As for buying lows, we should wait until the current downward momentum has fully unleashed.
Using the 3880 area as resistance, I began shorting. As the price continues to fall, I've continued to follow the bearish trend.
Currently, the price is in the 3820 area, and I continue to be bearish. Focus on 3805-3800. If it falls below, I'll target 3875.
If you're feeling lost and unsure about where to go in this market, follow my updates and channel. I'll provide daily updates, including details on both long- and short-term trade executions. If you're interested, please share your current positions so we can analyze whether it's safer to hold on patiently or adjust and change positions promptly.
Gold Double Top ATHThe all-time high forecast earlier this year by Goldman Sachs was 3,700 with an exhaust level of 3,880. I believe we will see a double top formation around 3,871 and 3,880. I do think we will see resolve before a government shutdown and this is a buy the rumor sell the news event on most USDATA coming this week. Good luck!
-This is not financial advice
Gold is Ready For Bull From Support Hello Traders
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Gold price analysis September 30During the European session, gold is in a corrective phase with notable support zones around 3790 and 3760. These are key points to watch for market reaction: if buying pressure appears and holds these zones, the uptrend could continue with a target towards 3900.
On the contrary, the 3832 area is acting as a short-term resistance – if selling pressure returns here, the price is likely to retreat to lower support zones.
📌 Strategy: Prioritize looking for BUY opportunities when price rejection signals appear at 3790 or 3760.
XAUUSD is following the 3930 path !!!XAUUSD is still intact on bullish rising wedge channel trend towards 3930!!
In our previous commantary we are expecting 3845 within the next session which gold delivered during Tokyo session.
My stance on XAUUSD?
I'm expecting bit retracement for again pump.
✅️ First point of buying will be 3785-3795 area ,
-H4 candle should closes above it for healthy buyingtrade.
-My target will be 3830 then 3845.
In extension 3930!!
- Secondly if H4 candle closes below 3780 then our buying will be compromised & I will wait till the bottom major supply zone at 3745-3735 for buying.
Additional TIP: Buy the dips