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Goldprediction

Analysis of the latest gold price trends today!Market News: On Wednesday (October 29th) in early Asian trading, gold rose slightly, currently trading above $3960. Yesterday, gold experienced significant volatility, with London gold prices plunging to a three-week low of $3886. News of progress in US-China trade negotiations weakened gold's safe-haven appeal. However, the latest news on the Middle East situation rekindled some safe-haven buying, stimulating a surge in international gold prices from their lows, ultimately closing with a significant reduction in intraday losses. Gold's safe-haven appeal has been impacted by expectations of a de-escalation in the US-China trade war, leading to continued capital flows into riskier assets such as US stocks. Meanwhile, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East suggest that if hostilities in the Middle East erupt again, gold prices could recover some of the losses from the past two weeks. In the short term, gold prices may continue to be under pressure, and the $3886 low may not be the bottom. However, in the medium to long term, if the Fed's interest rate cut cycle deepens or geopolitical events reignite, gold still has the potential to regain its upward momentum. Short-term attention should be paid to the resistance level near $4000. Today's market focus will shift to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's press conference. Technical Analysis: Gold has completed its phase of adjustment after bottoming out and rebounding. The daily chart shows a long lower shadow, finding support at the 3886/3900 level. The RSI indicator has also found some support at the midline. Technically, the market is biased towards buying, with a strategy of selling high and buying low. Secondly, today's fundamental news, including the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech, will have a significant impact on the gold and silver markets and requires close attention. Looking at the hourly chart, gold prices rebounded after a series of declines, stopping at $3886, but have not yet broken through the resistance at the 4000-4005 level, a previous support/resistance level. The current market is still dominated by sellers! The current hourly moving average resistance is around 3985, and a break above this level could lead to a test of the 4004 level. Unless gold experiences a sharp V-shaped reversal, the selling pressure is unlikely to end easily. There is no such thing as a market that only falls; rallies are necessary to enter the market! Gold intraday trading strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3915-3920, stop loss at 3905, target at 3980-4000; Short-term gold sell at 4005-4010, stop loss at 4020, target at 3950-3920; Key points: First support level: 3925, second support level: 3900, third support level: 3883 First resistance level: 3985, second resistance level: 4004, third resistance level: 4033
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenSpaceship
Gold price analysis October 29✳️ XAUUSD Update – 29/10 The early Asian session saw some buying pressure, but the overall trend is still unclear. The 4015 zone is currently acting as an important resistance – buyers need to break this zone decisively to expect the uptrend to be restored. On the contrary, if the price continues to be rejected at 4014–4015, there is a high possibility that the downtrend will be extended and the price may return to test deeper support zones around 383x. 📉 Trading strategy: SELL when the price rejection signal appears at the 4014 zone Target: 3930 If the price closes above 4015, switch to the BUY plan following the uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold prices still face the risk of falling further News： Gold prices weakened again in U.S. trading on Monday (October 27), extending last week's decline. With the thaw in U.S.-China trade relations, investor demand for gold as a safe-haven asset has declined. Market focus has now shifted to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to be a rate cut later this week. Spot gold prices fell below $4,000 an ounce on Monday, hitting a three-week low of $3,885 an ounce at one point, as improved market sentiment weakened demand for the safe-haven metal. Specifically: Gold daily level: Yesterday closed with a big negative, losing the middle track support. Originally expected to close with a cross or a small positive or negative today, to rebound and confirm the middle track resistance and then rise and fall, to prepare for a wave of pull-ups after tomorrow's interest rate cut, it is also easy to cause a false fall after the middle track breaks, tempting investors to follow the trend and continue to bearish at low levels; but in fact, today continued to fall. At present, the price of gold has fallen below the previous terraced support band in the 4-hour trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure and the short-term moving average maintains a good volatile downward trend. In the short term, we will pay attention to whether there will be a second downward trend after the rebound and repair. Today's focus is on the 4000-20 area to suppress the decline, and breaking through 3970-75 to look below 3900. The target has been achieved. After the short-term plunge in gold, and with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision approaching, the bulls and bears will play a tug-of-war. Trading strategy: Buy: 3990-3985, SL: 4050, TP: 3930-3910
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
3
Gold (XAU/USD) - Bearish Reversal and Potential ContinuationPrior Uptrend: The chart clearly illustrates a strong, sustained uptrend from late September to mid-October, where the price rose consistently, making higher highs and higher lows. Market Structure Shift (MSS): Around October 21-23, the price broke decisively below a significant previous low (the swing low marked by the MSS line, near $4,040). This event signals a likely change in market character or a Market Structure Shift, suggesting the uptrend is over and a downtrend has begun. Impulsive Down move: Following the MSS, the price fell sharply. Fair Value Gap (FVG): The chart highlights a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is an area of price inefficiency created during the sharp move down. This gap acts as a potential magnet or resistance zone. The price is currently near the bottom of this FVG area (around $3,930 - $3,960). Current Price Action and Bias: The overall sentiment is bearish following the MSS. The analysis suggests the price may retrace higher into the FVG (the dashed arrow indicates a possible move into the FVG) before continuing its move lower. Target: The TARGET is marked by a dashed horizontal line around $3,870 - $3,880. This suggests a specific price level the analyst expects the price to reach if the bearish continuation plays out. Interpretation This chart suggests a bearish trading opportunity based on the recent change in trend. The immediate plan seems to be to watch for a reaction within the FVG for a potential entry to short Gold, aiming for the $3,870-$3,880 target.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
1
Why am I bearish when the market is bullish?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD We have reminded everyone today that you can short gold in batches at key points, and now all short positions have been exited. When entering the market, it depends on the technology; when leaving the market, it depends on the mentality. Don’t be dominated by fear and greed. Profits belong to you only when you really get them in your hands. Otherwise, everything is just empty talk. Short-term bears should not continue to participate blindly. By observing the hourly line trend, we can find that this is a typical upward trend. Therefore, bulls may still have a certain rebound momentum in the short term. But it should also be noted that there is pressure from the golden section point of 38.2%, or 3975, and it is also close to the downward trend line. Therefore, for evening trading, I think we can continue to be patient and wait, observe the performance of 3975-3990, and then consider appropriately participating in shorting gold after there is obvious pressure but it is not broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction. The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill. Outlook: 📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term) 🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880 🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980 ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4173 and a gap below at 4079. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 4173 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4173 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 4264 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4264 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4333 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4333 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4333 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4333 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4422 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4494 BEARISH TARGETS 4079 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4079 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3985 3873 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3873 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3741 3632 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
When the market was confused, I shorted at 3975#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Yesterday's short profit marked a good start to this week's trading. Today we will continue this good habit and continue to make profits. First, the weekly MA5 moving average has broken below and is moving closer to the MA10 moving average. Secondly, through the hourly chart and 4H chart, we can find that the bears still dominate the market. Then our trading idea is very clear, which is to focus on shorting on rebounds. Gold has already fallen below 3950, so it is likely to hit the 3900 integer mark next, or even 3880-3870, or even the weekly MA10 around 3835. However, in the short term, I still recommend not blindly chasing shorts and be wary of a possible rebound in the short term. Conservative traders can wait for a rebound to 3960-3975 before attempting to continue shorting gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 15-Minute Chart AnalysisCurrent Price: 4006.53 Trend: Short-term bearish 🔍 Chart Breakdown The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating a continuation of the bearish momentum. There is a key resistance zone around 4035–4060, highlighted in the shaded area. This zone aligns with previous structure and upper trendline resistance. The market is currently making a minor pullback toward this resistance area after touching the lower boundary of the descending channel. 📉 Expected Move The purple projection suggests a pullback to the resistance zone, followed by a strong rejection downward. The target level is set around 3920.72, which corresponds to a previous swing low and a possible completion of the bearish wave. ⚙️ Trading Outlook Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Take Profit Confirmation Sell 4035–4060 4075 3920 Rejection candle or bearish engulfing at resistance 📊 Summary Gold remains in a short-term downtrend, and the best opportunity is to wait for price to test resistance (4035–4060) before considering short positions targeting 3920. A breakout above 4075 would invalidate this bearish setup and could signal a potential trend reversal. LME:CA1! LME:MC1! LME:SN1! LME:LH1! LME:SC1! LME:AH1! LME:CO1! LME:ZS1! LME:PB1! LME:HC1! LME:AA1! LME:EA1! LME:ST1! LME:AN1! LME:AW1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?Hi! The gold price is currently trading around $4,042, sitting just above a critical support area near $3,953.80. This gray zone is a key decision point for the next major move. Trend Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, moving within a well-defined ascending channel. Double Top Formation: A short-term double top has formed near recent highs, triggering a corrective move down into the channel’s midline and the gray support area. Critical Support Zone ($3,953.80): This level aligns with previous structure support and the channel’s bottom, making it a high-probability reaction zone. ________________ Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction (Primary Scenario) If gold holds above the gray critical area and bounces within the ascending channel, we could see a renewed bullish wave. Confirmation: A strong bullish reaction or higher low around $3,953–$3,980. Target: The green target zone around $4,619.57, corresponding to the upper channel boundary and a potential measured move from the recent correction. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown If the gray area fails to hold, it could signal deeper downside momentum. Trigger: A clean break and 4H close below $3,953.80. Target: The pink support zone near $3,656.01, which aligns with prior accumulation and the lower channel boundary. ________________ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
16
The Ultimate GOLD & SILVER Outlook || 5 Trade Setups 28-Oct-2025Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! 📊 DETAILED & COMPLETE ANALYSIS (5 TRADE SETUPS) - OANDA:XAUUSD Gold & Silver Outlook 2025 🏦 Central Bank Buying * 900 tonnes accumulated YTD 2025 (Q3: +19t) * BRICS hold 6,000t (20% global reserves) * 🇨🇳 China: +2,299t * 🇮🇳 India: +880t * 🇵🇱 Poland: +68t (H1) * Motive: De-dollarization & sanctions hedge 📈 Outlook: 950t full-year supports long-term price appreciation. 💰 ETF Inflows & Sentiment * YTD inflows: $28B (AUM: $472B, +6% QoQ) * US inflows: $22B | Europe: $4.4B (Sept) * Gold RSI: 78.4 (Support: $3,700 | Resistance: $3,840) * Silver RSI: 72 (Support: $42) 📈 Outlook: Gold → $3,400/oz (Q4) | Silver → $38/oz on 150t annual inflows. 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Events * Fed cuts: 50 bps by YE, Funds rate → 4.25% * US CPI 2.7% → 2.9% Q4 (tariffs impact) * BRICS gold-backed currency expected 2026 * USD reserves down 15% since 2022 * Trade wars → CPI +0.5–1% 📈 Outlook: Gold → $3,675/oz | Silver → $38.45/oz (Q4) on global inflation >5%. ⚡ Silver Deficit * 2025 deficit: 149M oz (Supply: 844M oz | Demand: 1.21B oz) * Industrial demand: 680M oz (+12% EVs, +20% solar) * China: 40% PV use 📈 Outlook: Deficit to widen → 206M oz (2026) | Silver > $40/oz on 9% industrial growth. 📊 Futures & Options Flow * CME Gold OI: 529k (+12% YoY) * Silver OI: 180k (+15%) * Gold call/put ratio: 2:1 | Silver: 3:1 * CVOL: 15–18% 📈 Outlook: OI → 550k by YE | Volatility → 20% on Fed + geopolitics. 🔮 Fundamentals & Forecast * Gold: +15–20% → $3,400/oz YE 2025 * Drivers: 900t CB demand, $64B ETF inflows, de-dollarization * Silver: +45% → $38/oz YE 2025 * Drivers: 149M oz deficit, 59% industrial demand ⚡ Macro Drivers: CPI >2.7%, Fed cuts, US deficit 7%, BRICS fragmentation.
Structural re-rating likely into 2026 🚀 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
XAUUSD 1H – EW Long SetupHi fellow traders, On the 1H XAUUSD chart, I am applying Elliott Wave principles to outline a potential long setup. Price seems to have completed wave 4 and is reacting from the golden box area, suggesting that wave 5 may now start unfolding to the upside. The invalidation level at 4004.72 represents my expected end of the correction, although the setup remains valid even if price moves slightly lower. My Stop Loss is set at 3940.00, which would confirm structural failure if reached. The Take Profit is positioned at 4437.36, targeting the projected completion of wave 5. Good luck and trade safe!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by OGwavetrader
XAUUSD Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Longer-TermFundamental approach: - Gold prices traded lower this week after setting fresh record highs earlier in Oct, pressured by profit-taking and cautious sentiment ahead of delayed US inflation data. - Geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of further Fed easing continued to support underlying demand for safe havens in the longer term. - US President Trump'sTrump's new sanctions on Russia and export restrictions toward China, alongside the prolonged US government shutdown, reinforced demand early in the week. At the same time, stabilization in trade rhetoric and rising yields curbed momentum later.​ - However, a stronger US dollar and rising Treasury yields amid improved global risk appetite and optimism around an upcoming US. China dialogue also reduced safe-haven demand in the short term, especially with today's CPI, which is expected to rise. Technical approach: - Gold consolidated within the range of 4054-4113. The price is below the converging EMAs, indicating that a bearish momentum persists. - If the XAUUSD breaches the support at 4054, the price may decline further toward the next support level at 3950. - On the contrary, remaining above 4054 may prompt a retest of the upper range at 4143, confluenced with the EMA21. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by DatTong
Gold Price Analysis - Gold Breakout Levels 4200 vs 4040Gold is trading inside a tightening rising channel after forming a strong higher timeframe rejection from the ATH which pushed price into a corrective phase. Buyers have repeatedly defended the strong support zone near 4000-3980 creating a false breakout low followed by a controlled recovery showing that demand remains active. However, each rally into the weak-high resistance at 4160-4200 has shown fading momentum meaning sellers are still protecting this zone aggressively. Until price breaks out with a clean close and retest above this resistance gold will remain in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation phase driven by stop hunts and choppy movements inside the channel. A successful breakout above 4200 can trigger a bullish continuation toward 4240 then 4320-4360 and possibly back to the ATH zone while a breakdown below 4040 rising support would shift the structure bearish again exposing the 3980 demand and potentially a deeper drop to 3900 if buyers fail there. In simple terms buyers still control support, sellers still control resistance and the next big move will come once one of these critical levels breaks with strength. ✅ Option 1-Strong Bullish Bias Gold is still respecting the rising channel and defending the strong support zone around 4000-3980. As long as price stays above the rising trendline bullish structure remains valid. A clean breakout above 4160-4200 will confirm continuation toward 4240 → 4320 → ATH retest. Buyers are still in the game, waiting for the breakout. ✅ Option 2-Neutral to Bullish Gold is consolidating inside a rising channel after rejecting the ATH. Support remains strong around 4000-3980 while sellers continue to defend 4160-4200. A breakout on either side will define the next major move. Above 4200 bullish continuation toward 4240 and 4320+. Below 4040 deeper pullback toward 3980 and possibly 3900. ✅ Option 3-Neutral to Bearish Gold is struggling to break above 4160-4200 showing seller strength at the top of the range. If price fails again and breaks below the rising channel near 4040 downside can accelerate toward 3980 and 3900 for liquidity. Bulls must hold support to avoid a deeper correction. Gold remains trapped between 4040 support and 4200 resistance inside a rising wedge. Buyers holding strong at the bottom but sellers still defending the top. Break above 4200 bullish continuation toward 4320. Break below 4040 bearish move to 3980-3900. Still a range waiting for breakout confirmation. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Gold bulls are powerless to recover rebound continues to bearishThis week, global financial markets are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with real interest rates. Rate cuts typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, thus supporting prices. In the current environment of rising risk appetite, even if the Fed cuts rates as expected, gold's safe-haven appeal may be offset by trade optimism. Yesterday, gold prices broke through the psychologically important 4,000 level as expected, and we saw significant returns on both short positions. After consolidating below the 4,160 high, gold is poised to break lower, generally in line with expectations. The daily candlestick pattern formed a doji candlestick pattern, followed by a mid-sized bearish candlestick pattern that engulfed the lower level, continuing its downward trend. The daily and weekly corrections are still ongoing. The daily chart finally closed at 3982, with a long black candlestick with a long upper shadow. Today's market continues to short. Gold's resistance level is currently moving downwards. The four-hour chart is entirely filled with long black candlesticks. Any rebound is easily swallowed by these large black candlesticks. These large black candlestick bodies demonstrate the strength of the bears, breaking through all support levels. The only lower support level is around 3950. If this breaks down, bears will target around 3800. Therefore, we will continue to focus on long positions, clearly at yesterday's support point, around 4040. From a technical analysis perspective, gold is showing clear bearish signals on the one-hour chart. The moving averages are showing a bearish alignment, with the short-term moving averages pushing downward, indicating that short-term bears have the upper hand. Furthermore, the MACD indicator's death cross continues to diverge, and the growing green momentum bar further confirms the downward price trend. During the Asian session, watch for a rebound in gold prices to the 4035-4040 range. A small position can be entered into a short position with a stop-loss above 4050 to protect against losses from a sudden price reversal. Target prices can initially target the 4000 mark, with further downside potential targeting the 3980-3950 range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
Gold Bullish Reversal Expected from D-FVG ZoneKey Observations and SMC Components: D-FVG (Daily Fair Value Gap): The most important element is the large shaded gray box at the bottom, labeled D-FVG. This indicates an Inefficiency or Fair Value Gap identified on the Daily timeframe, making it a powerful area of demand where institutional buying pressure is expected. CRT-L and CRT-H: CRT-L (Current Range Low/Bottom) is placed near the bottom of the D-FVG zone, marking a key support level. CRT-H (Current Range Top/High) marks the high of the recent drop. Current Price Action: The price is currently at $3,974.61 and has been trending down. It is approaching the key support/demand zone (D-FVG). Projected Move: The curved line and green arrow indicate the anticipated price action: a continuation of the drop into the D-FVG zone, followed by a strong rejection and a reversal upwards (a rally). The rally's TARGET is marked by a dotted line, sitting below the CRT-H level (around $4,020 - $4,030). Trading Bias and Expectation The overall bias is short-term bullish following the retracement. The analyst expects price to: Retrace/Consolidate: Drop into the high-probability D-FVG demand zone (around $3,920 to $3,940). Reverse and Rally: Find strong support in this zone, then reverse and move upwards to hit the intermediate TARGET.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold - Sell near 4019, target 3980-3970Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we sold gold at 4066, 4037, 4049, and 4050, maintaining a bearish outlook. Yesterday's blog analysis and chart clearly demonstrated this bearish outlook. Gold's selling price dipped to as low as 3970, surprisingly breaking through 4000 with ease. In fact, from a broader perspective, 4000 is a major support level and a round number. I predict there will be further trading around 4000. Today's strategy remains bearish, so continue selling on rallies. Yesterday's decline was too large, and today's decline is expected to correct. Gold has been volatile recently, so we should try to follow the trend and chase orders. If you follow orders, the probability of losses is higher. A small rebound can result in 30-50 pips, making it difficult to take technical positions. We must also stick to our direction and not change it easily. Today's Asian session tested resistance at 4019. If this level holds, selling is still acceptable. The current pattern suggests a stronger resistance level at 4049, which has transformed from a previous strong support level into a new resistance level. Yesterday's daily chart closed negative, and after breaking 4000, selling today suggests continued downward momentum. Furthermore, if 4049 unexpectedly breaks, it will be necessary to observe whether there is a new rally. Resistance levels are 4019 and 4049, support is 3970, and 4019 is the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Analysis: The decline in gold prices is attributed to the fading of news, which has led to a decline in risk aversion. We will continue to monitor the Federal Reserve's new monetary policy. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell near 4019, target 3980-3970.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenSpaceship
Analysis of the latest gold price trends today!Market News: In early Asian trading on Tuesday (October 28th), London gold prices continued to fall, currently trading around 3980. Progress in Sino-US trade talks, coupled with strong global stock market performance and rising US Treasury yields, have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal. International gold prices plummeted on Monday, falling below 4000, reaching a low of 3971. From last week's high of 4381, gold has fallen by nearly $400! As tensions between the world's two largest economies ease, investors are more inclined to sell gold and shift to riskier assets such as stocks and technology stocks, putting pressure on gold prices. This week, global financial markets are focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, to be announced on Wednesday. If the Fed reiterates its path of gradual rate cuts at its meeting and fails to signal an end to quantitative tightening, international gold prices may struggle to rebound quickly. The current pullback in gold prices may present an opportunity to invest at a low level, but caution is advised. Closely monitor the Fed's interest rate decision and post-meeting statement, as well as the outcome of Thursday's Sino-US meeting. In addition, tech earnings reports and consumer confidence data will also provide further market guidance. Investors should consider these factors comprehensively and develop flexible investment strategies. Technical Analysis: Gold fell below the 4000 mark and closed with a negative daily close. Technically, the daily chart structure remains biased towards selling. Yesterday, it pulled back below the middle Bollinger Band level of 4000 to 3971. The RSI indicator reached the mid-line 50 and adjusted its value. The 10/7-day moving average formed a death crossover at the high of 4175 and opened downward. On the short-term four-hour chart, after the formation of a double top structure at 4380, gold has entered a mid-term structural correction. The price is trading within the lower middle Bollinger Band, the RSI indicator is trading below the mid-line, and the moving average system is opening downward. Gold still has room to fall. I personally believe that the upward trend will not break in the short term. Gold has broken below the 4000 mark and is about to test the 3900 level. After breaking through the neckline of the double top on the four-hour chart, it has been fluctuating weakly below the neckline. Selling momentum still exists. Gold once broke through the 4004 level, which has now become resistance. Gold's resistance below 4004 presents an opportunity to buy on rallies. Gold is under pressure and struggling to break through, so continue to sell on rebounds! Gold Intraday Trading Strategy: Short-term buy gold at 3910-3915, stop loss at 3900, target at 3980-4000; Short-term sell gold at 4005-4010, stop loss at 4020, target at 3950-3920; Key Points: First Support Level: 3962, Second Support Level: 3920, Third Support Level: 3886 First Resistance Level: 4010, Second Resistance Level: 4045, Third Resistance Level: 4078
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenSpaceship
XAU/ USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update - Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Timeframe: 1H (OANDA) Technical Basis: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + EMA Confluence --- Market Structure Current trend: Bearish, price respecting a descending wedge/channel. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish momentum continuation. Price is retracing after forming a new low and may move back to mitigate imbalance (FVG). --- Key Technical Areas Retracement Levels: 0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci zone marks the premium shorting area. Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone between 0.62–0.79 levels is the ideal entry region. EMA Resistance: EMA-50 ≈ 4,067 EMA-200 ≈ 4,120 Both EMAs align with the supply zone, strengthening sell bias. --- Projected Move 1. Expected retracement toward the 4,067–4,100 zone (supply/FVG region). 2. Potential short entry within that area. 3. Bearish continuation targeting the next structural low at 3,960 (as marked). --- Targets Next Target (retracement zone): 4,089 Final Bearish Target: 3,960 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Gold remains under bearish pressure within a contracting structure. A retracement to the premium zone (4,067–4,100) offers potential short opportunities aligned with structure and EMA resistance. A break below 3,995 would further confirm bearish continuation toward 3,960. --- Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
2