Will gold continue to rise?Brothers, we've been buying gold all the way up from 3350 to 3697. While our take-profit points aren't ideal, the general direction is correct, ensuring we won't be crushed by the market. Trend is king; go with the flow. When you trade with the trend, it feels effortless; when you fight it, everything turns messy.
I know full well that when gold was surging, many of you didn’t dare to chase the rally. There were also friends stuck in losing positions, fixated on articles that called for shorting, while pieces advocating going long were ignored. But here’s a key point: the market won’t change because of your personal emotions.
After days of consecutive consolidation, gold has held firm above the strong support at $3,600. A powerful bull market only requires courage and conviction. The prerequisite for a trend reversal is the breakdown of a key top-bottom conversion level.
The hourly moving average has formed a golden cross and bullish formation, further expanding the upside potential for gold. Gold continues to hit new highs and higher lows, clearly maintaining a bullish trend. However, as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement draws closer, while considering the possibility of "buying in anticipation and selling in reality," and in order to control risk, everyone should exercise caution when chasing high prices. There is no obvious pressure from the top, and we need to pay attention to the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3658-3662. Before falling below this position, the market will remain strong.
Goldprediction
Trade cautiously and wait for a pullback to go longGood morning, my friends.
At present, gold continues to rise, and blindly chasing more will definitely lead to huge risks. We originally planned to wait for gold to pull back before going long, but the market did not give us this opportunity.
I didn't let you blindly chase the short positions yesterday. Now, are you glad that you followed my advice and didn't enter the market rashly? I know that after it hit 3675 yesterday, there must have been a lot of people shorting the market. Many brothers even held their positions until today, but found that the market did not give a good retracement point. At this time, it's even more important to avoid being manipulated by emotions and engaging in revenge trading.
In the short term, the prudent approach is still to wait for gold to pull back before going long. In the short term, focus on 3675-3665. If it does not break through the pullback, you can try to go long on gold.
Gold Ready for the Next RallyOver the past few sessions, I’ve observed gold consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle after a strong bullish move. From my experience, this pattern often represents a “pause for breath” before the market resumes its primary trend.
What caught my attention most is that price has just broken above the upper boundary of the triangle, signaling a clear breakout. That said, I won’t be rushing into a trade. I always prioritize safety, so I’ll wait for price to retest the breakout zone. If the former resistance holds as new support and shows strong rejection, that will be my ideal entry point.
Based on my projection, the upside target for this setup is around 3,720 USD. For risk management, I would place the stoploss either below the lower boundary of the triangle or just under the breakout zone, depending on risk appetite.
On the H2 timeframe, this Symmetrical Triangle setup looks highly reliable since it aligns with the broader bullish trend. If the breakout holds, I believe gold still has plenty of room to climb higher.
Gold hits a new high again, the opportunity to invest has come!Gold's recent performance remains strong, reaching a new all-time high near 3,685, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish sentiment. Although inflation remains viscous, the market is increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this week. Focus is shifting to the extent of the cut and subsequent policy guidance. If the rate cut exceeds expectations, gold may usher in a new round of liquidity-driven gains. If it falls short of expectations, short-term profit-taking may occur, leading to increased volatility.
From a technical perspective, gold has closed higher for several consecutive days, with short-term moving averages aligned in a bullish pattern. The daily and 4-hour charts remain in an upward trend, with the support center continuously shifting upwards. The bullish structure is solid, but the current price is already at a relatively high level. If the upward push fails to break through with significant volume, there is still room for a short-term pullback, and we need to be wary of the possibility of a technical correction. Today's core trading strategy is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by shorting at high levels. We should participate with the trend and avoid blindly chasing the market. Support below is the 3650-3635 area. If it stabilizes after a pullback, we can arrange long positions in batches, with the initial target around 3680-3685, and then explore the potential for further growth after breaking through the new high. Resistance above is the 3685-3690 area. If the short-term upward push encounters resistance and fails to break through, we can try shorting with a light position, with a stop-loss placed above the resistance level. Enter and exit quickly, and avoid a prolonged battle. The short-term bullish strength and weakness dividing line is the 3630-3620 level. If it breaks below, we should be wary of the risk of a deep pullback.
This week is packed with macroeconomic events, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in particular under scrutiny, potentially amplifying market volatility. We recommend building positions in batches, maintaining strict position management, and setting effective stop-loss and take-profit targets to ensure profit capture while minimizing drawdown risk.
Do you think the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates beyond expectations this time? We welcome your exchange of views. We will also adjust our strategies immediately based on the data to ensure that our trading rhythm keeps pace with the market.
Gold XAUUSD: Anticipating a Retracement for Continuation Long📊 Currently watching Gold (XAUUSD), price has been pushing aggressively higher in a strong bullish trend. However, the market is now reaching into areas of thin liquidity, appearing somewhat overextended.
🔎 I’m anticipating a potential retracement toward the 50% equilibrium level of the previous price swing. Within an ongoing uptrend, the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement often acts as a prime entry zone 🏹 for continuation trades.
⚖️ If price pulls back and establishes support, followed by a bullish break of market structure, that would provide a high-probability opportunity. If the setup fails to materialize, then there’s simply no trade — patience is key.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational analysis only and not financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
Gold (XAU/USD) –> Bullish Rectangle Pattern BreakoutHello guys!
💥Gold has been consolidating in a bullish rectangle pattern after a strong upward move. This type of pattern usually signals continuation, with price gearing up for the next leg higher.
🔹 Setup:
The rectangle formed around $3680–$3690 support and resistance near $3689.
A clean breakout above $3689 gives the entry signal for the continuation move.
🔹 Targets:
First target: $3705
Second target: $3724
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below the rectangle support ($3674–$3682) to stay protected against a false breakout.
📌 Conclusion:
The bullish rectangle pattern suggests that Gold is preparing for another push higher. A breakout above 3689 opens the path first to 3705, and then to the extended target at 3724.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold hits record highs ahead of FOMC! Tech SetupGold reached fresh all-time highs near $3690 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting. Its rally reflects a perfect storm of Fed dovishness and geopolitical tensions, but technical divergences suggest positioning carefully ahead of Powell's decision. The 100% Fib extension and double divergence setup makes any hawkish surprise particularly dangerous for leveraged longs.
CATALYSTS DRIVING THE RALLY:
Fed rate cut fully priced in (25bps expected, some 50bps speculation)
US-China tensions escalate (Nvidia antitrust accusations)
Stephen Miron confirmed to Fed Board of Governors (dovish member)
Dollar weakness supporting precious metals
Surprising correlation: Nasdaq & S&P 500 also hit records alongside gold
TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance :
$3,700 - Key psychological level
$3,750 - Next major target
$3,800 - Extended upside if dovish
Support :
$3,660 - First support for entries
$3,610 - Major support level
Previous swing lows - Stop loss reference
WARNINGS:
Double divergence on 4H & 1H timeframes
100% Fibonacci extension reached
RSI overbought conditions
Momentum diverging from price action
FOMC SCENARIOS:
Bullish Case : Dovish 25bps + accommodative guidance → Target $3,750-$3,800
Risk Case : Hawkish surprise or even neutral tone → Profit-taking toward $3,600-$3,500
KEY RISKS:
Powell emphasising inflation persistence
Resistance to aggressive cutting cycle
Hawkish dot plot projections
Any break below $3,660 signals deeper correction potential
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped into the breakout zone and is now positioned between premium scalp supply and higher liquidity pools. The structure suggests engineered plays into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity toward 3,672–3,674 before expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs targeting 3,645 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection
• Entry: 3,656 – 3,658
• Stop Loss: 3,663
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,640
👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity.
🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,672 – 3,674
• Stop Loss: 3,679
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,614 – 3,612
• Stop Loss: 3,607
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,640
TP3: 3,655
👉 High R:R play if price retraces to protected demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones around the breakout point. Bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658
• Swing sells at 3,672–3,674
• Discount buys at 3,614–3,612
Risk management is critical — expect liquidity sweeps both sides before real expansion.
Gold Analysis: Falling Wedge Breakout and Bullish ForecastOANDA:XAUUSD The market is clearly forming a falling wedge, and recent price action suggests a potential shift is on the horizon. Price has begun breaking through this downward structure, which could be the early signs of a strong bullish move.
I’m waiting for the price to retrace back to the broken trendline. This will act as a confirmation, filtering out any false moves, while a retest of the structure will solidify the validity of the breakout. From here, my target is 3682.
The key now is to watch the pullback. If the market returns to the trendline with rising volume, it will add weight to the bullish case.
This trendline breakout is more than just a signal – it’s a story in the making. It represents a shift, and with the right volume, structure, and timing, this could be the start of a larger bullish phase.
GOLD - XAUUSD - IDEAS FOR THE DAYTeam, please carefully looking at the GOLD pattern,
it was consolidation range between 3620-3650 before breaking the channel. this is 5 minutes channel
but if you carefully look at 4 hour channel - the range created during 10 APRIL to 25 AUG before break out.
Short term GOLD should pull back toward 3667-65 - if you are short, stop loss at 3685-90
target short term zone at 3667-65
Medium term if you could hold longer within a week, we should expect the pull back toward the 3500-3400 zone - please review 4 hours chart.
LETS GO
Gold at the Edge – Can 3680 Hold Before Retail Sales?🟡 Gold Daily Outlook | September 16
Hello traders, today we’re mapping the Gold battlefield step by step – from the Higher Timeframe structural zones down to intraday sniper levels. With U.S. Retail Sales on the calendar, tomorrow’s volatility could set the tone for the week. Let’s break it down 👇
🔸 HTF Structure (D1 + H4)
Trend: Strong bullish continuation, price extended above 3680. Structure is intact with buyers still in control.
Key Demand Base: 3630–3620 remains the clean foundation from the last retest.
Key Supply Band: 3700–3710 acts as the next major resistance above.
RSI: Daily reading above 80 shows strong momentum but signals stretched conditions.
🔸 Intraday Map
Support floor: 3652–3645, aligned with prior breakout structure.
Decision zone: 3680–3690 – holding above favors continuation; rejection could trigger a pullback.
Momentum: Flow remains bullish, but risk of retracement before the news release.
🔸 Scenarios for Tomorrow
Bullish 📈:
If 3680 holds and Retail Sales data comes in weak, gold may extend toward 3705 → 3720 with strong momentum.
Bearish 📉:
If price rejects 3688–3690 and Retail Sales beat expectations, a retrace toward 3660 → 3650 becomes likely.
✅ Conclusion
HTF: Bullish structure still intact.
Intraday: 3680–3690 is the pivot range.
LTF: Key demand at 3660–3655, tactical supply near 3690–3700.
Tomorrow’s U.S. Retail Sales could ignite the next move. Keep your levels sharp, wait for confirmation, and let the market show its hand.
✨ Will Gold push through 3700 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below 👇, hit like, and follow GoldFxMinds for more daily precision plans 🚀✨
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Move 15 Sept 2025Gold continues to show resilience within a bullish structure, and the current setup highlights two potential aggressive buying opportunities. The first lies between 3637–3639, while a deeper retracement toward 3630–3633 also offers an attractive entry point, with both setups well-protected by a stop loss at 3622. These zones align with key demand levels and trendline support, suggesting strong buying interest on dips. Upside targets remain at 3657 initially and extend toward the 3674 region, reflecting a continuation of the broader bullish trend. The reasoning behind this bias stems from both technical and fundamental factors — technically, the market continues to form higher lows, signaling strength, while fundamentally, expectations of potential rate cuts this week could weaken the dollar and further support gold prices. Together, these elements create a favorable environment for buyers, offering strong risk-to-reward opportunities in anticipation of continued bullish momentum.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target 3653 being hit, followed with emA5 cross and lock opening 3678 - This was also hit perfectly completing the setup.
We will now look for a ema56 cross and lock above 3678 for a continuation into 3702 or failure to lock above 3678 will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3653 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3653 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3678 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3678 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3702
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3702 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3727
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3727 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3747
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3747 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768
BEARISH TARGETS
3622
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3622 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3585
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3585 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD BULLISH TREND: Possible Buys From 3,640This week, my idea is for gold to continue pushing higher toward the all-time high liquidity. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, which confirms the bullish trend we’ve been seeing.
With this continuation, a new nearby demand zone has formed that I’ll be watching closely. Ideally, I’d like to see a pullback into that point of interest to allow proper accumulation before the next move up.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Structure break to the upside confirms the bullish trend
- Clean, unmitigated 3hr demand zone below
- Higher and lower time frames both showing bullish control
- DXY remains bearish, which supports the bullish bias on gold
- No major news expected to disrupt the move
P.S. If gold respects the ATH and rejects it, breaking below my demand, then I’ll either look for short-term sells or wait for a deeper demand zone.
Gold on the eve of interest rate cut: opportunity or trap?Gold Technical Analysis: Further analyzing gold's trend from a technical perspective, since its decline from the 3675 high, the daily chart has failed to show a clear unilateral direction. Instead, it has exhibited a pattern of alternating negative and positive fluctuations with narrowing amplitudes. Furthermore, the K-line chart continues to trade above the unilateral moving average. This pattern clearly points to a period of consolidation within a bullish trend, rather than a trend reversal. This week's daily chart should focus on two key support levels: the 3600 area represents a short-term watershed between strength and weakness. If broken, the market could shift from strong fluctuations to weak corrections. The 3500 area represents a medium-term bull-bear reversal line. A breach of this level could trigger a fundamental trend reversal. Therefore, 3600 should be the primary defensive line.
The 4-hour chart shows more volatile gold: the Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the moving averages are highly converging. This indicates a complete lack of momentum needed for a unilateral rise or fall. For the time being, the 3615-3660 range is the preferred range. Based on cyclical patterns, the probability of a breakout of the Bollinger Bands on Monday and Tuesday is extremely low before the bands open. Therefore, high-certainty trading can be conducted on these two trading days around 3615 (lower support) - 3660 (upper resistance), without excessive expectations for a breakout outside the range.
Based on real-time trends, gold has completed a short-term correction since the opening. Based on the logic of oscillation, long positions can be established within the day based on support near the lower edge of the range: enter near 3625-3620 (aligned with the lower edge of the 4-hour range), targeting upward fluctuations. Focus on the 3650-3660 area (where the upper edge of the 4-hour range overlaps with key resistance on the daily chart). If the price rebounds to the 3660-3655 range and finds resistance, a small position can be used to test short positions, targeting a pullback to the 3635-3630 area, forming a closed-loop buy-low-sell-high strategy within the range. Note that after the adjustment, the current price is in the middle of the range. Direct entry is not recommended for now. Wait until the price approaches the -3625-3620 support level or the 3655-3660 resistance level before placing orders based on K-line stabilization/pressure signals to improve trading accuracy. Overall, the recommended short-term trading strategy for gold today is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by higher rebounds. Focus on the 3655-3665 resistance level on the upside, and the 3625-3615 support level on the downside.
Gold price "V-shaped rebound", short-term bullish
💡Message Strategy
After hitting a record high last week, gold prices briefly encountered resistance and pulled back. However, buoyed by expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices remained stable above $3,600, fluctuating at a high level. The overall bullish trend remains strong.
Market news remained largely unchanged. Earlier, Fed Chairman Powell delivered a dovish speech, indicating downside risks in the job market and the possibility of a Fed rate cut. The subsequent release of dismal US non-farm payroll data, with new initial jobless claims reaching a four-year high, signaled a continued cooling in the labor market and further validated Powell's comments.
Furthermore, US President Trump has repeatedly pressured the Fed to slash interest rates as soon as possible. These factors have fueled high market expectations for a Fed rate cut, driving gold's recent rally. Although the rally encountered resistance last week, the rate cut and the international situation have limited any decline in gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
Initial jobless claims in the United States hit a nearly four-year high, further solidifying expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. This led to a short-term plunge in the US dollar and US Treasury yields, pushing gold prices back from their lows. Market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain high, providing significant support for gold prices.
Therefore, we recommend a volatile upward trend. Focus on support at $3,640, followed by $3,620, and upward pressure at $3,670.
From a technical perspective, the daily RSI remains in overbought territory, indicating limited short-term upward momentum and the possibility of continued range-bound consolidation. A break above the $3,658 resistance level could push the price back towards the all-time high of $3,675 and further challenge the psychological barrier of $3,700.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3640,SL:3620,Target:3680-3700
Gold Correction After ATH – Bearish Waves Ahead?Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has been in a correction mode for the past four days after creating a new All-Time High (ATH) . The question is whether the correction will continue or not.
Over the past 4 days, US indices were released, but Gold was not greatly affected by these indices, although the manner in which the US indices were announced was in favor of Gold ( Maybe gold is saturated with buying. ).
Gold is currently trading in the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) and near the Support line.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the Double Three Correction structure(WXY), and we can expect bearish waves .
I expect Gold to break the Support zone($3,644-$3,636) AFTER breaking the Support line and fall to at least $3,624(First Target) .
Second Target: Support lines
Stop Loss (SL) = $3,662
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is ranging around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a potential Fed cut this week and dot-plot guidance in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand inside prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656)
• Entry: 3,658 – 3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,651
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,675+
👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613)
• Entry: 3,615 – 3,613
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before New York session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678)
• Entry: 3,676 – 3,678
• Stop Loss: 3,683
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,645
👉 Expect stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on strong H1 close above 3,683.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favors: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
Which comes first, 3600 or 3700?International gold prices continued to fluctuate within a narrow range, hovering around the 3640 level. The range continued to narrow, and market sentiment clearly became more cautious. This phenomenon is due to investors entering a cautious wait-and-see phase regarding the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which has weakened trading appetite and led to low price volatility.
From the 1-hour candlestick chart, gold prices are currently under pressure from a short-term downward trend line, with 3650 becoming the core bull-bear dividing line for today's market. If prices remain below 3650, short-term range-bound consolidation is likely, and caution is advised regarding the risk of a subsequent test of support. If prices break through and stabilize at 3650, it will indicate that short-term resistance has been broken, bullish momentum is expected to be re-released, and the market may resume its strong upward trend, heading towards the previous highs of 3656-3660.
Regarding downward support, the primary focus is on the lower band of the ascending channel. If this fails, strong support will focus on the 3600 mark. This level is not only a key support level that has been repeatedly tested previously, but also a crucial defensive line for the bullish trend on the daily chart. A break below this level would trigger a periodic correction.
Considering the high market uncertainty before the Fed’s interest rate decision is implemented, the recommended operating strategy is to focus on short-term trading: whether going long or short, positions must be strictly controlled to avoid large losses due to sudden fluctuations in news. The core principle is to “quit while you are ahead.”
Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
The support is not broken,continue to go long when it falls backThe overall gold price is currently fluctuating and consolidating at a high level. Although gold has a slight correction in the Asian session this morning, it has not fallen out of the upward channel.
The market focus is still on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. In addition to this news, the fourth US-China meeting in Spain today is also worthy of our attention. If the two sides can reach a good negotiation on the tariff issue this time, then gold may fall. Otherwise, the price of gold will continue to rise.
Currently, gold has rebounded again and is consolidating around 3645. The short-term pressure from 3655-3665 is still there. If it fails to effectively break through this resistance area, then gold still has room for a short-term correction. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3635-3625 below. If the support is not broken, you can still consider going long on gold.