Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Goldprice
The bottom of gold price is still under construction
News:
On Thursday (October 23rd), gold prices regained safe-haven support after a recent pullback, primarily driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and expectations of new US export restrictions.
Risk aversion reignited, while investors awaited Friday's US CPI data to assess the Federal Reserve's policy path. After hitting a record high of $4,381.21, gold prices recently came under short-term pressure, entering a technical correction.
Gold prices found renewed support this week amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty and rising US policy risks.
Specifically:
Gold daily chart: Yesterday, the price stabilized at the middle line, closing with a long lower shadow candlestick. This suggests the 4000 low has temporarily stabilized. Whether it effectively serves as the bottom of a short-term correction will require further confirmation.
On the 4-hour chart, gold prices broke below the neckline of the double top pattern, strengthening bearish momentum. The neckline area (4225-4220) will now become new resistance, and bears may be positioned there with a stop-loss placed above resistance, aiming for a further break below the trendline.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4190-4185, SL: 4205, TP: 4120-4090
Gold at a Critical Crossroad: Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?Hi!
The gold price is currently trading around $4,042, sitting just above a critical support area near $3,953.80. This gray zone is a key decision point for the next major move.
Trend Structure:
The broader trend remains bullish, moving within a well-defined ascending channel.
Double Top Formation:
A short-term double top has formed near recent highs, triggering a corrective move down into the channel’s midline and the gray support area.
Critical Support Zone ($3,953.80):
This level aligns with previous structure support and the channel’s bottom, making it a high-probability reaction zone.
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Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction (Primary Scenario)
If gold holds above the gray critical area and bounces within the ascending channel, we could see a renewed bullish wave.
Confirmation: A strong bullish reaction or higher low around $3,953–$3,980.
Target: The green target zone around $4,619.57, corresponding to the upper channel boundary and a potential measured move from the recent correction.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
If the gray area fails to hold, it could signal deeper downside momentum.
Trigger: A clean break and 4H close below $3,953.80.
Target: The pink support zone near $3,656.01, which aligns with prior accumulation and the lower channel boundary.
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Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Is the XAU/USD Breakout the Next Major Trade Opportunity?💰 GOLD vs USD — “Thief Trader’s Golden Breakout Playbook” ⚡️
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs U.S. Dollar)
Market: Metals
Type: Day Trade Setup
Bias: 🟢 Bullish plan – pending order after breakout
🧭 TRADE BLUEPRINT
Entry Zone:
Wait for a clean breakout above 4160.00 before entering.
(Breakout confirmation > impulsive candle > retest optional)
Stop Loss:
“Thief SL” parked at 4040.00 — move only after breakout validation.
💡 SL isn’t mandatory — your money, your call!
Target:
Ride the move up to 4380.00, where strong resistance meets overbought traps.
🧨 Escape with profits before the crowd gets greedy!
💬 NOTE TO ALL “THIEF OG’s”
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen,
I’m not asking you to use only my SL or TP — they’re examples.
You’re the master of your risk. Make money. Take money. Stay legendary. 💸
🧩 CORRELATION CHECKLIST
Keep your eyes on these key pairs to confirm gold’s direction:
TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): If the dollar drops, gold usually pops.
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver): Often follows gold’s mood — good double-check.
FX:USDJPY & OANDA:USDCHF : Safe-haven cousins. If they fall, gold shines brighter.
OANDA:XAUJPY : A stealth correlation — helps catch sentiment early.
🧠 Gold doesn’t move alone — it dances to USD rhythm and global risk tone.
⚙️ THIEF INSIGHT:
Gold’s sitting near a major pivot resistance (4160) — a breakout signals momentum ignition.
Risk/Reward is balanced: 4040 SL vs 4380 TP (~1:1.8).
Institutional footprints suggest buy interest post-breakout zone.
Stay sharp — watch volume spikes & candle closes above breakout line.
🏁 FINAL WORDS
Trading isn’t robbery — it’s legalized patience.
The real theft is done with discipline, not greed.
Grab your profits like a pro, not a desperado. 🕶️💼
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun & education.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR & trade responsibly. 🧠💰
#XAUUSD #Gold #DayTrading #Breakout #ThiefTrader #Forex #MetalsMarket #GoldAnalysis #USD #DXY #TradingView #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FunTrading #MarketPlaybook
Time for GOLD To DROP! (XAUUSD is heading to the downside!)For many weeks gold (XAUUSD) has been sky rocketing to the upside, however there have been many new signals indicating that it could be a bearish move to the downside. Nothing keeps going up forever! Gold has broken major support levels including the trendline that has been holding it up for weeks. It has also been struggling to break above the fibonacci level of 0.50! Time to sell!
Gold consolidates at 4090 – Downside risk if 4070 breaks1. Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounded slightly from the 4081 low after a quick wick rejection, now trading around 4090–4092. The market remains under pressure from the upper supply zone, while buying momentum is still weak. Traders are waiting for U.S. economic data later today to determine the next direction.
________________________________________
2. Technical Analysis
• Main trend: Short-term bearish
• Key resistances: 4108 – 4115 – 4132
• Major supports: 4070 – 4060 – 4045
• EMA50/200 (H1): Still in a bearish crossover, indicating ongoing downside momentum.
• H1 Candles: Narrow range with long lower wicks — showing mild buying but no strength.
• RSI (H1): Hovering around 45 – not oversold yet, leaving room for further decline.
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3. Outlook
Gold remains in a consolidation phase after a recent drop, with no clear reversal signal yet. As long as the price stays below 4115, the short-term bearish bias prevails. A break below 4070 could push prices toward 4060 or even 4045. Conversely, a close above 4115 (H1) may trigger a short-term bullish correction.
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4. Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4111 – 4114
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4117
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4061 – 4064
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4058
Is the correction over? Bearish resistance levels are expected.Gold's decline intensified during Wednesday's US trading session, partly due to silver's earlier break below $50, which dampened overall sentiment for precious metals. Overall, this decline was primarily driven by profit-taking and a technical correction.
Gold has been fluctuating above the 4,000 mark for the past two days. After these two days of volatile decline, the 4,000 level is crucial for mid-term strategies.
Thursday's Asian session saw slight fluctuations. If the European session sees a rebound, prices could rise again to test 4,130, followed by yesterday's high of 4,161. Therefore, continued strength in the European session is a prerequisite for the US market. Focus on resistance at 4,130 during the Asian session, and watch for resistance at 4,160 after a breakout.
Trading strategy:
Short around 4130, stop loss at 4140, profit range 4060-4050.
If it breaks through, watch for resistance at 4160 and try to trade again.
XAU/USD 23 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 October 2025.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 20 October 2025 where I mention that price is to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,004.280.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE Gold is facing strong resistance after a recent bullish move. Price is struggling to break higher, showing signs of seller dominance in this zone.
If price continues to hold below resistance, a bearish reversal can be expected.
Sellers are likely to take control if support levels break, leading to a possible downward continuation.
XAUUSD is going downGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of potential downside continuation after a sharp rejection from recent highs. The daily candle formed a long upper wick and closed below the midline of the green band — indicating profit-taking and emerging selling pressure.
Bearish Influences
Rejection Candle: Strong upper wick signals sellers defending resistance near the 4,180–4,200 zone.
Loss of Momentum: Price slipped below the short-term support band, suggesting weakening bullish control.
EMA / Structure Confluence: The current pullback aligns with the lower trendline slope and prior breakout structure — a likely retracement phase forming.
🎯 Fibonacci Bearish Targets
If price fails to reclaim the 4,180 level and bearish momentum persists, look for these downside targets:
Target 1 (0.382 Fib) → $4,047 – $4,050
Minor support and initial retracement level.
Target 2 (0.618 Fib) → $3,943 – $3,950
Key Fibonacci confluence and previous structure support zone.
Target 3 (1.000 Fib) → $3,814 – $3,820
Full retracement target aligning with the lower green volatility band — potential swing low zone.
Look for a volatile upward correction of 4200-4220Good morning, bros. Although the market did not provide us with suitable trading opportunities last night, this did not prevent the market from confirming Allen's advanced trading vision. Even if the long orders at 4060-4050 were stopped out, the gold price still fell back to around 4000 as expected. Continuing to go long can not only turn losses into profits in one fell swoop, but also ensure substantial profits. how is it? Although we were unable to participate in this transaction, the final trend and results always prove the high accuracy of Allen's advanced trading vision and strategic analysis.
As the candle chart closed with a long lower shadow that was nearly twice the length of the body, the short-term bottom was found near 4000. Therefore, I believe that gold may be in a state of volatile upward repair today. After a rapid decline and rebound this morning, the current price is once again around 4120-4130. Judging from the hourly chart, there is a rudimentary form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern in the short term. If the gold price retreats again, thus prompting the formation of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, then when the gold price falls back to around 4105-4095, we can also try to go long on gold with a light position. If gold continues to rise, we will pay attention to the performance of 4160-4170 above, which is both a short-term resistance and the daily MA10 moving average. If the bulls want to return to the market, they must first stand firm on the MA10 moving average to have greater hope. Therefore, this resistance range is also the focus of our short-term attention. Once it stabilizes above the MA10 moving average, gold will be expected to rebound to 4200-4220.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is still in a downward channel
News:
On Wednesday (October 22nd), spot gold trading saw increased volatility, trading above $4,000 before the US market opened. Previously, the price of gold retreated rapidly from its stage high: it once reached $4,161 in the European session and then came under pressure again; in sharp contrast to the previous stage peak of $4,380, the retreat was significant, and the market became increasingly sensitive to the offensive and defensive switches of the "four thousand mark".
Overall, the market is in a data vacuum. Affected by the government shutdown, the economic schedule on Wednesday was empty, with only a small number of Treasury auctions and repurchase operations supporting liquidity. However, global macro events have quietly amplified the cross-market linkage effect.
Specifically:
Judging from the 4-hour market trend, the current focus is on the short-term suppression of 4090-4080 on the top, and the short-term support of 4000 on the bottom. If the bulls cannot break through, gold will continue to maintain a downward trend. The operation should be mainly high-altitude, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy in the channel, so please pay attention to it in time.
Trading strategy:
Buy: 4090-4080, SL: 4105, TP: 3990-3965
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends
Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern.
Now the main question is, how far will the fall go?
Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH.
With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day...
Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
COULD GOLD (XAU/USD) BOUNCE TO THE UPSIDE OR DROP?GOLD (XAUUSD) is currently being held by a strong support trend line which is is struggling to breakthrough.. however, it is currently in a new downtrend and could continue to fall to the downside.
If The support trendline has been broken, this will be a great sell opportunity.. if it struggles to break, then it will be a great buy opportunity. Keep an eye!
Gold weakens, retesting key 4080 supportMarket Overview
After failing to hold above the 4115–4120 zone, gold (XAU/USD) has turned lower toward 4085, signaling the loss of short-term recovery momentum.
Profit-taking pressure increased as U.S. bond yields rose again and traders turned cautious ahead of the upcoming U.S. PCE data.
Buyers are now defending the 4080–4078 support area, which will be crucial in determining the next market direction.
📊 Technical Analysis
• EMA50 (H1): 4107 → price now trading below EMA50, indicating a clear correction phase.
• EMA200 (H1): 4126 → remains the main resistance until a firm close above it.
• RSI (H1): dropped to 40, showing bearish momentum dominance.
• Near-term resistance: 4108 – 4115
• Upper resistance: 4130 – 4142
• Immediate support: 4080 – 4075
• Next support: 4062 – 4050
On the H1 timeframe, a bearish engulfing pattern is forming — a signal that deeper downside could follow if 4080 is broken.
💡 Outlook
The short-term trend has shifted back to neutral-to-bearish.
If price closes below 4078 (H1), gold could extend losses toward 4062 – 4050.
Conversely, a bullish reversal candle around 4080–4078 may trigger a rebound toward 4108–4115.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4053 – 4050
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4047
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4108 – 4112
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4116
XAUUSD: The return of CPI and PPI newsAfter a series of absences from news, in today's trading session two CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) will be announced. Therefore, OANDA:XAUUSD can be very volatile and we should be cautious in the last trading session of the week.
The CPI is forecast to be favorable for the dollar and the PPI is forecast to be slightly lower than the previous period , but we still need clearer confirmation to assess the trend of gold in the near future.
Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session:
Resistance: , ,
Support:
Support:
Strong support:
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones.
Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely.
Note : Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
Gold is in a volatile market. Awaiting data releases.In the current market, the critical dividing line of $4,180 is not only a technical resistance level, but also a tipping point for the reshaping of market logic. The surge and pullback have become a shift in market momentum, fueled by an irrational exuberance fueled by bullish sentiment. The surge in gold prices over the past three months is essentially the product of a triple force: policy expectations, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases.
During this process, market sentiment shifted from cautious testing to frenzied pursuit of gains. The RSI indicator briefly crossed the overbought threshold of 80, suggesting that gold prices had broken free from fundamental support. This correction is also inevitable due to a technical correction. When gold prices reached the all-time high of $4,400, market structure shifted subtly: quantitative trading systems triggered stop-loss orders, institutional investors began taking profits, and retail investors' enthusiasm for the rally reached its peak. This pullback is not a trend reversal, but rather a temporary release of upward momentum. Like a spring that rebounds after being compressed to its limit, the market needs to oscillate through fluctuations to clear floating chips and accumulate energy for subsequent breakthroughs.
The market is currently in a fundamentals "information black hole." The US government shutdown has delayed the release of key data such as the non-farm payroll report and CPI, creating a "policy expectations vacuum." In the absence of economic data guidance, investors are increasingly divided over the pace of the Fed's rate cuts. However, central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks have limited downside potential, creating a volatile market with a "bottom and a ceiling."
In the short term, gold will maintain a volatile pattern centered around $4,180. Quaid recommends buying low and selling high within the $4,180-$4,000 range, monitoring Fed policy signals and geopolitical developments. We should also be wary of data shocks after the US government shutdown ends and the risk of a sudden easing of geopolitical conflicts. A break below $4,000 could trigger a technical sell-off.
Thus, short-term traders seek certainty amidst volatility. The current volatility in the gold market is essentially a technical correction within the bull market, not the end of the trend. The $4,180 level marks both a battleground for bulls and bears and a starting point for reconstructing market logic.
For investors, remaining patient amid volatility and seeking certainty amid disagreements may be the best strategy to deal with the current market.
The last trading day of the week, coupled with the release of CPI data, marks the first major data release since the US government shutdown, potentially triggering significant market volatility.
Strategy implementation will remain in place until the CPI data is released. I will update the strategy in the channel after the data is released.
Gold remains volatile. Choose an entry point.Gold experienced a dip on Wednesday, falling to 4004 before rebounding. It tested resistance near 4162 before falling again during the European trading session. It retreated twice to around 4010 during the US trading session before recovering above 4100 at the end of the day.
Judging from the gold market's rhythm on Wednesday, despite some twists and turns, the main structure remained within the moving average range. The 10-day moving average provided strong support, while the 20-day moving average, at 4020 and 4000, formed a support band that effectively provided a short-term bottom.
If gold continues to fluctuate and consolidate in the last two trading days of this week but does not fall below 4000, it could indicate a continued upward trend. If supported by positive fundamental news, gold could experience another short-term uptrend.
If 4000 points falls, panic selling by bulls could intensify, potentially leading to further declines in gold prices in the short term. This could also create the risk of a stampede caused by a sell-off by bulls.
Currently, the weekly MA5 remains near 4000, but the 20-day moving average has risen to 4035. In the short term, focus on the area around 4035, with the 4000 mark remaining the key level. On the upside, focus on the current intersection of the 5- and 10-day moving averages, around 4170-4180.
From the 1-hour chart, there will also be some short-term resistance above 4145, so the approximate short-term range is expected to be between 4000 and 4180. A smaller range of 4035-4145 is also expected.
In addition, the US September CPI inflation data, due to be released this Friday, is attracting much attention. If the report shows higher-than-expected inflation, it could boost the US dollar in the short term and put pressure on dollar-denominated gold prices.
In the short term, we recommend going long around 4110, with a stop-loss at 4100 and a profit range of 4140-4160.
Short-term resistance at 4160 has been persistent, so consider a short position with a profit of 30-40 pips.
Labubu - New pattern spotted on GoldAfter the sharp selloff, I’ll be watching whether bulls can pull the price back into the October rising channel.
Right now, price action looks like a post-panic consolidation, where the market decides: is this just a pause — or the start of a bigger recovery?
The strong break above the yesterday highs would confirm that demand is returning.
Until then, the bias remains neutral but hopeful.
Gold - Buy around 4065, target 4110-4165Gold Market Analysis:
Yesterday's gold price essentially saw a range-bound correction after a sharp drop. The 4-hour chart saw back-and-forth fluctuations, forming a large range. Today's gold price is expected to continue to fluctuate within this range. Both the 4-hour and daily charts showed very long lower shadows, reducing the likelihood of a direct unilateral move. Gold has already fallen over 300 points in the two days before yesterday and yesterday, and technically, it needs a period of correction and consolidation. Today's gold trading strategy is both buying and selling. Look for patterns of volatility. Note that gold has been extremely volatile over the past two days, making it easy to lose money if you buy and sell based on technical analysis. Try to follow the 30-minute trend to chase orders. A small intraday move can reach 50 points. Don't be too concerned about the profit margin. Gold prices will continue to rise in the morning session. Let's first look at the minor support level of 4065. If this level stabilizes, it could reach a new one-hour high. Today's buying strategy must focus on 4161. If it breaks again, it could trigger a new buying trend. Let's look for buying opportunities in the Asian session.
Support is at 4065 and 4080, with strong support at 4000 and resistance at 4161. The market's strength-weakness dividing line is at 4065.
Fundamental Analysis:
The alarming crude oil inventory data is supporting crude oil buying prices. Furthermore, whether Federal Reserve officials have signaled further interest rate cuts will support gold buying.
Trading Recommendations:
Gold - Buy around 4065, target 4110-4165






















