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XAUUSD – Breakout After 33% Correction, Trend ContinuationHi! Gold is moving inside a clear ascending channel and remains firmly bullish. After a healthy 33% correction, the price reclaimed and broke above a key resistance zone, which is now acting as support. The reaction after the breakout is clean, showing strong buyer control and continuation momentum. Market structure: Price keeps making higher highs and higher lows Old resistance has flipped into support Overall trend is still strong inside the rising channel 🎯 First target area: 4640 – 4650 As long as the price stays above the broken resistance area, the bullish trend remains valid, and continuation toward the upper channel is likely. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
30
Gold (XAUUSD): Correction vs. ReversalHi! Market Structure Gold remains structurally bullish. Price continues to trade within two ascending channels, both of which are sloping upward and confirming a sustained bullish trend. The successful break and hold above the prior resistance (now acting as support) reinforces the medium-term upside bias. The breakout from the marked broken resistance area initiated a strong impulsive move higher, confirming trend continuation rather than exhaustion at that stage. Upper-Range Price Action At the top of the channel, price action has transitioned into distribution-type behavior, where two key patterns have formed: 1- Widening Pattern (Broadening Formation) Indicates increasing volatility at higher prices Typically appears during trend continuation phases Suggests aggressive participation from both buyers and sellers without immediate trend reversal confirmation 2- Double Top Pattern Clearly defined at the channel’s upper boundary The neckline has been broken, confirming the pattern technically Measured target from the double top projects toward 4570 This breakdown is corrective in nature and does not invalidate the dominant bullish trend. Correction vs. Reversal Although the double top breakdown signals short-term weakness, the move is best interpreted as a pullback within an uptrend, not a bearish trend reversal. Price remains well-contained within the ascending channel structure, which preserves bullish market integrity. Forward Scenarios Primary Scenario (Preferred): Price completes the corrective move toward the gray demand zones, finds support, and resumes the bullish trend, targeting a continuation toward channel highs and potential new highs. Alternative Scenario: Deeper consolidation within the channel before continuation, without a structural breakdown. As long as price holds above channel support, the bullish bias remains intact. Conclusion Overall bias: Bullish Double top target: 4570 (corrective objective) Strategy focus: Stick to long positions Best execution area: Gray demand zones Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
7
Gold is soaring! It continues to hit new all-time highs. news： On Wednesday (January 14), spot gold prices once again reached a record high, touching $4,639.49 per ounce, and remained near this high during the European session. This surge was not accidental, but rather driven by two clear main themes: firstly, moderate US inflation data reignited market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut this year; secondly, rising global risk aversion, coupled with increased concerns about the Fed's independence, significantly enhanced gold's appeal as the "ultimate safe-haven asset." Technical aspects： On the daily chart, gold hit a new all-time high on Wednesday, demonstrating strong short-term momentum. Support for gold can be seen at the psychological level of $4600, followed by the $4570 level where gold rebounded after Tuesday's pullback. Resistance for gold can be seen near the intraday high of $4640, where prices have repeatedly tested and encountered resistance. A break above this level could open up further upside potential to the psychological level of $4700. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator have formed a golden cross, as have the KDJ and RSI indicators, suggesting that short-term technicals indicate bullish dominance and a potential for further gains. Strategy Signals： Buy ： 4620-4430, stop loss ：4610, target:4660,4680
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold Extends Its Rally, Caution Advised After Setting a New High📊 Market Developments: Gold prices continue to hold at elevated levels after setting a new all-time high at 4,630 USD/oz in the previous session. The bullish momentum is supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain an accommodative monetary policy, weakening U.S. bond yields, and sustained safe-haven demand. However, profit-taking pressure has emerged as prices failed to hold above the peak. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: – 4,615 – 4,630 (all-time high, strong supply zone) – 4,650 – 4,670 (Fibonacci extension, psychological resistance) • Nearest Support: – 4,580 – 4,570 (short-term support, recent pullback low) – 4,545 – 4,530 (strong support zone, dynamic EMA) • EMA: Price remains above EMA 09 → the primary trend is still bullish, but signs of overextension from the EMA are emerging. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: An upper-wick candlestick appeared near the 4,630 peak, while volume is gradually weakening → indicating slowing buying momentum and a higher probability of correction or consolidation before the next directional move. 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break above the 4,615 – 4,630 zone, but the bullish trend remains intact as long as prices hold above 4,550. ________________________________________ 💡 Proposed Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,667 – 4,670 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,674 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,575 – 4,572 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,568.5
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
5
XAUUSD | Head & Shoulders Pullback Into Weekly SupportHI! Gold is still trading within a broader bullish structure, while the visible head & shoulders pattern points to a short-term corrective move, not a full trend reversal. Price is approaching a strong confluence zone made up of weekly support + S&D area, where a bullish reaction is likely. Long setup idea (buy-the-dip scenario): Entry zone: 4,540 – 4,535 (marked S&D area) Invalidation: Clean break and close below 4,520 Target 1: 4,590 (previous range high) Target 2: 4,610 – 4,620 (continuation toward trend highs) As long as price holds above weekly support, any dip into the highlighted zone is considered a pullback within an uptrend rather than a bearish reversal. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
8
Gold - Today marks the official bullrun top!💣Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is creating its top formation: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed an incredible rally of +140% on Gold. But this rally ended today, with Gold retesting a massive resistance trendline. And since Gold is totally overextended, it is now time for a healthy correction of -45%. 📝Levels to watch: $4,500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhil
39
Gold – Buy around 4575, target 4599-4630Gold Market Analysis: Gold has been consolidating for the past two days. Yesterday, the daily chart showed fluctuations at high levels, followed by a sharp drop after reaching a new high in the US session. Currently, the daily chart pattern still suggests a buy signal. For selling on rallies, watch the 4575 and 4561 levels today. A break below these levels would disrupt the short-term daily buy trend and open up further downside potential. This correction is due to the lack of significant fundamental support after the new high, leading to a technical pullback. I anticipate continued consolidation and range-bound trading today; finding the right rhythm is crucial. Today's strategy: Place buy orders above 4575 in the Asian session, with resistance around 4630. The estimated range is 4570-4630. Buy orders are the primary focus, with sell orders as secondary. If the 4561 level is unexpectedly broken, consider a large sell order for a correction, as the moving averages are currently around 4580, a level already confirmed in the Asian session. A rebound and new highs are highly likely. Support at 4575, strong support at 4561, resistance at 4630. 4575 is the key level for determining market strength or weakness. Fundamental Analysis: Previously released data was mixed, with limited impact on the market. Furthermore, geopolitical factors have calmed down again, putting downward pressure on gold and supporting the US dollar. Trading Recommendation: Gold – Buy around 4575, target 4599-4630.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldDiggerPig
1
Waiting for a pullback. Watch the 4570 support level.On Wednesday, international gold prices continued their rebound. Market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle, coupled with safe-haven demand stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions, are providing core support for gold prices. In the short term, market focus will shift to several key US economic data releases, including weekly jobless claims. Current market expectations for these data are generally bearish for gold prices, which could cause a short-term disruption to the upward trend. From a technical perspective, after two consecutive days of gains, gold has established a temporary support level around the 4570 area. The current price is encountering resistance near 4640. Although the overall trend is bullish, with key targets at 4680 and even 4700, caution is needed regarding potential market corrections after the recent rally. Looking back at previous movements, gold prices surged to 4630 after positive CPI data but quickly retreated to around 4570. This volatile price action indicates intense competition between bulls and bears. Therefore, it is not advisable to chase the price higher in the US session. Two key support levels should be closely watched: firstly, the 4570 level. A break below this level could lead to a further test of the stronger support area around 4520, or even trigger a deeper correction similar to previous periods. The key level to watch is the historical high of 4650. Before a clear breakthrough of this level, it is not advisable to be overly optimistic. A conservative strategy suggests looking for buying opportunities near support levels. If gold prices fail to effectively break through 4650, short-term short positions can be considered in that resistance area. If gold prices strongly break above 4650, it would indicate that further upside potential has opened up, and the target of 4680 can be pursued.I will post more strategies in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wealth_Wallet
Fluctuations at high levels. Attempting to short at 4630.Gold prices surged but then encountered a downturn, with the market still consolidating within a range. The battle between bulls and bears is inconclusive, with volatile fluctuations awaiting a decisive breakout. Tuesday's rollercoaster ride continued, with prices surging again near 4634 during the US session before retreating, reaching a low of around 4570, maintaining a large-range oscillation. The Asian market continued its upward trend after opening this morning, and the 1-hour chart is likely to show a sideways trend within a large range. In the short term, various indicators suggest that the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced, which may be accumulating energy for the next upward move. From a technical perspective, the daily chart remains in a bullish alignment with a healthy moving average system, while the 4-hour chart is currently at the end of its fifth wave, suggesting a potential risk of correction in the short term. The key support level below remains around Tuesday's low of 4570, which could be the dividing line between bulls and bears in the near future. A break below this level would lead to a deeper correction. The key resistance level above remains around 4630, and a significant breakthrough in the short term is unlikely. The release of Tuesday's CPI data may have reduced expectations of an interest rate cut. In the short term, consider shorting tentatively around 4630, with a target of 4600-4580 and a stop loss at 4640.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Wealth_Wallet
Gold – Buy near 4600, target 4670-4700.Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, our strategy of selling gold at 4597 and exiting at 4576, then re-entering at 4579, also yielded a profit. All our gold trades this week have been profitable, with no losses. Mastering the timing is crucial. The daily moving averages are starting to diverge, indicating continued upward momentum. Although gold has been fluctuating, the overall trend remains unchanged. The overnight plunge in gold resulted in a gravestone doji candlestick, but the morning rally has formed a new V-shape. Our strategy today remains to buy on dips. Technically, the area above 4561 is generally strong. As long as this level holds, the bullish trend remains intact. Conversely, if it breaks unexpectedly, we need to adjust our strategy accordingly. We are not blindly buying or selling; we are simply following the trend. Gold can be bought near 4600 in the Asian session. The resistance level is 4630-4634, which has been tested twice. If it breaks through three times, it will likely continue to rise. This is an opportunity for those who like to sell, and it's also the only place to sell today. Remember to buy less and sell less in a trending market to reduce the chance of losses. Support: 4600, strong support: 4575, resistance: 4630 and 4634. The key level for market strength/weakness is 4600. Fundamental Analysis: Recent data releases have been rotating. Yesterday, new CPI data was released, and the difference seems small, limiting the market impact. Gold accelerated its rise after the data release. Trading Recommendation: Gold – Buy near 4600, target 4670-4700.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldDiggerPig
XAU/USD Begins to Show a Key Divergence Gold has now posted four consecutive bullish sessions, with gains of more than 3.8% over that period, once again breaking all-time highs in the short term. Buying pressure has remained firm amid recent concerns over a potential loss of independence at the Federal Reserve, a factor that has begun to weigh on demand for the U.S. dollar and has reignited interest in safe-haven assets, such as gold, in the short term. The bullish trend remains the most relevant structure Gold has maintained a consistent bullish trendline for several months, allowing for the continuous formation of new highs under dominant buying pressure. So far, no price corrections have emerged that are significant enough to threaten this structure, leaving the bullish trend as the primary technical reference in the short term. That said, as gold continues to print new highs, price advances have started to become increasingly limited, which could open the door to short-term corrective pullbacks in the coming sessions. RSI divergence At present, gold prices continue to register higher highs, while the RSI has begun to post lower highs over recent sessions. This behavior has led to the formation of a bearish divergence, which may be signaling an excess of short-term buying momentum. Rather than threatening the dominant bullish trend, this setup could act as a pause or consolidation phase within the broader bullish structure, potentially allowing for consistent bearish corrections in the near term. Key levels to watch: $4,700: In the absence of historical references, this level stands out as the next key psychological barrier. Continued buying interest near this area could support a further extension of the bullish trend in the coming sessions. $4,500: A near-term support zone that has acted as a neutrality level in recent weeks. It may serve as the first relevant barrier in the event of short-term pullbacks. $4,353: A key support level, aligned with the December 2025 lows and the long-term bullish trendline. A sustained break below this level could put the current bullish structure at risk and open the door to a more meaningful bearish bias on the chart. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREX.com
Gold M15 FVG Hold and Continuation Setup📝 Description TVC:GOLD is consolidating above a short-term FVG after a strong impulsive leg. Price is holding structure and showing acceptance above intraday support, suggesting continuation rather than distribution. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Bullish while price holds above the M15 FVG base Preferred Setup: • Entry: 4,586 • Stop Loss: Below 4,573 • TP1: 4,601 • TP2: 4,612 • TP3: 4,629 (ATH liquidity) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Clean impulsive leg with shallow pullback • FVG acting as valid support • Upside liquidity remains intact ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary As long as price holds above the intraday FVG, continuation toward higher liquidity and ATH extension remains the favored scenario. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment Despite near-term USD strength, safe-haven demand and macro uncertainty keep gold supported. Any pullbacks are likely corrective, with upside continuation favored as markets remain sensitive to growth risks and policy uncertainty. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TFlab
Gold and the 1980 Blow-Off Fractal – An Analytical NoteThe current gold projection is derived from the 1970–1980 blow-off top, a period defined by monetary stress rather than a conventional bull cycle. That environment produced exponential price behavior driven by negative real rates, geopolitical instability, and declining confidence in fiat currencies. From a fractal perspective, the key characteristic of the 1980 move was time compression. After a long accumulation phase, gold entered a parabolic expansion in which price advanced faster with each impulse. In the final stage, technical structures were increasingly ignored and Fibonacci extensions were exceeded rather than respected. Applied to today’s market, Fibonacci levels should be read as regime thresholds, not price targets. The 4.236 extension marks the transition from structured trend to reflexive expansion, while higher extensions (6.236–7.0 and beyond) historically align with late-stage acceleration and sharply rising volatility. Extreme extensions represent stress boundaries, not stable equilibrium levels. The analytical takeaway is not a specific price outcome, but a shift in market behavior. If the 1980 fractal is valid, the terminal phase is likely to be rapid, unstable, and sentiment-driven—signaling systemic stress rather than a normal trend continuation.
TVC:GOLDLong
by DotGain
XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Reaction at Key SupportHi! Gold has completed a head and shoulders structure after a strong impulsive move up. Price is now reacting near an important weekly support zone, which also aligns with a local S&D area, a place where buyers are expected to step in. Market structure: Overall trend is still bullish, supported by the rising trendline Current move looks more like a correction than a full reversal The marked flip area acted well as support before the last impulse Scenarios: Bullish reaction: If buyers defend the weekly support and S&D zone, price can bounce back toward 4,600 – 4,620 as the first upside target Deeper pullback: A clean break below the support may send the price toward the rising trendline around 4,500 – 4,480, where a stronger reaction is expected For now, this is a decision zone. The reaction at support will likely define the next short-term direction. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
8
Gold Price Update - Bullish Continuation Above Key SupportGold remains in a strong bullish structure as price continues to trade within an ascending channel and holds above key higher low supports. The recent break of structure (BOS) confirms buyer control while price is consolidating above the mid channel trendline indicating a healthy pause rather than a reversal. Technically the 4550-35 zone aligns with previous resistance turned support and sits near the channel support making it a high probability demand area. As long as gold holds above this zone the upside remains favored with scope for a push toward 4650 followed by 4750-4850 if momentum accelerates. From a fundamental perspective gold continues to find support from expectations of future US rate cuts softer US dollar outlook and persistent geopolitical and economic uncertainty which keeps safe haven demand intact. Any weakness in USD will further strengthen gold bullish bias while strong US data may only cause short term pullbacks within the broader uptrend. Trade Plan: Buy Zone: 4535-4495 Buy Trigger: Bullish rejection from the buy zone or a strong 4H close above 4600-4630 Targets: 4630 - 4765 - 4848 Invalidation: Sustained break and close below 4490 Overall dips remain buying opportunities unless price decisively breaks below 4420 which would signal a deeper corrective phase. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
MGC Context: Intra-Period Development & BCOM Absorption AnalysisRelated Tickers: COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026, COMEX:GC1!, CAPITALCOM:DXY Analysis 1. Market Context (Developing Profile Period) We are observing the development of the Current Profile Period above the previous session’s value. • The Structure: Auction is exhibiting Initiative Activity above the Value Area High (VAH) . OTF participants are finding value at higher levels despite BCOM rebalancing. • The Behavior: No "Look Above and Fail" yet; the market is Building Value at elevated levels, shifting the perception of "fair price." 2. Inventory & Nuance (BCOM Money Flow & Acceptance) • Mechanical Pressure: Tracking ~$1.4 billion in mechanical sell-side flow in the current profile. • Absorption Signature: Market is Accepting Price above the 4,600 pivot . High-volume nodes near the range top confirm buyers are absorbing the robot selling. • Inventory: Long-Stretched inventory. Lack of an Excess Tail at highs suggests the upside auction is incomplete. 3. Fundamental Catalyst (CPI Decision Point) • Upcoming Profile Impact: US CPI Data (20:30 WIB) will dictate the next Directional Move . • Scenario A: Weak CPI targets a Trend Day profile toward the next Distribution above ATH. • Scenario B: Hot CPI triggers Range Extension to the downside, testing the Friday POC at 4,480 . Plan & Execution • Bias: Bullish Initiative . • The Play: Monitoring for Acceptance with Volume above the 4,612 Initial Balance High . • Invalidation: Failure to maintain trade above the 4,580 High Volume Node signals BCOM flow has gained control. Talk to you for the next update. Note : BCOM = Bloomberg Commodity Index
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki