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LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritize buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the adjustment from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price range of 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coinciding with a wide FVG + Fib 0.382 is a “liquidity pool” where strong reactions are likely. Macro Summary Hedge funds against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian blocs support the long-term trend. The expectation of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 helps reduce pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper drop to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the latest upward wave: Price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key Resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal area. Important Support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading buffer level), 3928 (lower range boundary – breakout point). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend remains if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy on trend when breaking the upper range Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the bottom of the box (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a clear rejection candle/tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to the bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the liquidity area 4200 Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when a clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 paves the way to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) may disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to target 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reactions at 4200. If breaking 3928, switch scenario to bearish towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold just wrapped up the week with a candle closing at the 4001 zone, after a slight increase and then holding steady within the upward channel on the H4 frame. The current sideways movement is causing many traders difficulty in finding short-term entry points. However, the 4090 zone still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term target before the market adjusts for a deeper decline. From my perspective, gold might rise another step to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – a crucial Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely. 💹 2. Technical Analysis 📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low higher than the previous. 🟣 The 4090–4102 zone is an untested liquidity area, located at the channel peak – a high chance of a downward reaction. 🔹 Potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area. 💫 Main Scenario: Price may rise to test the upper liquidity zone, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum. 🎯 3. Trading Plan Reference 💢 SELL Scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 BUY Scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Prioritize short-term Sell if price reacts strongly at the 4090–4100 zone. Long-term Buy only if price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 zone. Avoid emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before a major move. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is on the right path of accumulation before forming a big wave 💛 Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical zones 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the upcoming week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move** Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone. The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken. If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend. However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond. **Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish **Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100 * Support: $3,886 – $3,614 **Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
17
Will gold's rebound be followed by another decline?It's hard to explain in a few words. By Friday, the market was still fluctuating and oscillating. Gold had just reached a very critical juncture. Is there anything strange about the current position? No, not really. We've seen 4000 points multiple times since Monday, but the candlestick patterns and their arrangement have gradually turned 4000 into a significant resistance level. Two trend lines are evidence of this. First, there's the downtrend line at the top, which is right around 4000. I know it broke down, but does breaking down mean it has stabilized? We definitely shouldn't rush to make a decision. Moreover, the upward trend line at the bottom is clearly over, and the expected resistance level is exactly the same as yesterday's level around 4020. If you look at it this way, it's a perfect double top pattern. I don't need to say what this pattern should do, it's definitely bearish. You can also put the stop loss above 4030, a loss of only about 10 US dollars, which is quite cost-effective. If it can break through 4030, then there's no need to trade anymore, just in case gold goes crazy. It's quite comfortable like it is now. Finally, there's the issue of targets. I'm actually struggling with this too. Today is the last trading day of the week, and holding positions over the weekend isn't ideal. However, assuming 4018 really did top out and the price actually fell, exiting midway would be a huge loss, and it might be difficult to find a good entry point later. Regardless of how much it could fall, at least after this double top pattern formed, gold breaking below 3960 shouldn't be a major problem. Conservatively speaking, I'd suggest aiming for 3980, depending on whether you're a short-term trader. Since the price of 3960 has encountered support and rebounded multiple times this week, there's no need to set a target at 3960. In other words, if it really drops to 3960, it might go down, resulting in a profit of about $40. Let's just see if it reaches 3980. As for whether to go long again later, I still suggest avoiding unnecessary trading. Everyone keeps saying they want to see the US government reopen, but it's been two days since Trump suggested ending the lengthy debates, and there's been no new information, not even news of a vote. After such a long closure, and the second time the non-farm payrolls report was missed, even inflation statistics are being compiled, so why isn't employment data being collected? If I were to speculate maliciously, I'd say it's because employment is simply unsustainable. Just think about how long the closure lasted in October; aside from everything else, how much of the workforce has been lost officially? Not to mention the current situation where businesses have low demand. Previously, layoffs were slow and hiring was gradual, but now layoffs are being accelerated and hiring is being reduced. I really don't know how shocking the non-farm payrolls report will be. This is why I expect the market to fall at the open and then rise. The data is too uncertain, and it doesn't look like good news no matter how you look at it. Let's wait and see. I'm actually hoping that the market will break through this level starting from the opening.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
Selling on rallies remains the dominant strategy for gold!Yesterday's closing price was around 3977, with a low of around 3964, successfully reaching the 3980-3960 range I predicted. I consistently emphasized against chasing the price higher yesterday and provided a shorting strategy around 4020-4030. Congratulations to those who followed my analysis for substantial profits. Gold faces significant upward pressure, and unless there's a major positive news catalyst, a breakout is unlikely. Otherwise, we will continue to focus on selling on rallies. Today, Friday, is the non-farm payrolls report; we will maintain our strategy of selling on rallies during the day. If you're currently experiencing difficulties with your trading, and I hope to help you avoid common pitfalls, feel free to contact me for discussion! From the 4-hour chart, gold is maintaining a generally bearish trend with some volatility. The upside resistance is around 4010-4020, with a key resistance level near 4030. Support is around 3970-3960. The recommended strategy is to sell on rallies, observing more and acting less in the middle range, avoiding chasing the market, and patiently waiting for confirmation at key levels before entering the market. Specific trading strategies will be provided at the bottom; please pay close attention. Gold Trading Strategy: Sell gold in batches in the 4010-4030 range on rebounds, with a target of 3980-3960.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
XAUUSD — Intraday bullish if 3,996 holds — Targets 4,031 → 4,046Overview Market printed CHOCH → BOS up intraday. I’ll look for a sell-side sweep into 3,996 (Bullish OB + FVG) and take confirmation longs toward BSL at 4,031 and extension 4,046. I’m not interested in chasing highs; I want liquidity → confirmation. SMC Map (from your chart) Buy-side liquidity (targets): 4,031.455, 4,046.774 Supply / Bearish OB: ~4,011 Mitigation zone: Bullish OB + FVG ~3,996.993 HTF Demand / Invalidation floor: 3,952.474 Structure: CHOCH → BOS up (intraday). Playbook: sweep → BOS → FVG fill → OB entry. Scenarios (reference levels) Scenario 1 – Long (preferred) Entry zone: 3,997–3,999 after a sweep of 3,996 + M5 BOS up and pullback (FVG fill). SL: below 3,992 or below the M5 BOS swing low. TP1: 4,011 (supply/OB). TP2: 4,031 (BSL). Runner: 4,046 (next BSL). Management: take partial at TP1, move SL → BE; trail to structure. Scenario 2 – Defensive short (reaction only) Entry zone: 4,011–4,013 if price taps supply and prints M5 BOS down. SL: above 4,016 or above reaction high. TP1: 4,002 (intra support). TP2: 3,996 (mitigation zone) → consider flip long if confirmation appears. Invalidation: H1 close above 4,015 (supply reclaimed). Notes & Session Timing Focus on London Killzone; re-assess for NY if 4,011 breaks/holds. No entries without confirmation (avoid FOMO at highs). News/catalyst: manage size around data; protect gains into volatility spikes. Risk Partial at TP1, SL → BE post-confirmation. Risk per trade ≤ your plan. This is a personal view, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_ilina
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2) After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained. Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci) Trendline & Structure The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves. Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement. Support / Resistance (S/R) Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”). Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone). Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110. Volume Profile (recent session / composite) POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad. LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010. Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing) 1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target. 2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking. Today's Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020 SL: 4014 TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110 Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support. Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume) Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline SL: 3988 TP: 4017 → 4045 Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order. Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone) SL: 4056 TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020 Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052. Summary The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
The 11.7 range is narrowing; buy low and sell high.Gold has recently exhibited a typical consolidation pattern. After a brief dip to 3928 at the beginning of the week, it gradually stabilized and rebounded from Wednesday, briefly surging to 4020 yesterday, forming a V-shaped rebound overall, but failing to break out of the large consolidation range of 4060-3915. As time progresses, the range of fluctuation continues to narrow, forming a converging triangle pattern, suggesting the market is at a critical juncture in choosing a direction. Today's trading should focus on two key price levels: 4020 represents significant short-term resistance, while 3965 is a support level that has been repeatedly tested recently. Strategically, short-term investors can buy low and sell high within the 4020-3965 range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend. On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand. The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area. Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction. 💹 2. ICT Perspective 📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend. 🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands. 🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction. 💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed) Entry: above 4018 ｜ SL: 4011 TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077 💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping) Entry: 4040–4042 ｜ SL: 4046 TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order. If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited. Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is showing positive signals 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
STAY IN THE WAVE TO CATCH THE WAVE - THE ART OF RANGE MANAGEMENTHey Everyone, Here at GVFX, we are currently buying dips. What that means is that we buy on the dips and therefore only concentrate on long positions/buys. As mentioned before, having both sell and buy positions open in your account will affect your psychology and in turn, your trading decisions. Now a question that typically arises here is why would it still be advisable to buy when the market is pushing down? Firstly, let me assure you that the same algorithms, experience and strategies that we use with our bullish directional bias also gives us the heads up, or down if you will, on when the market is going down. Don't think for a moment that we only know how to analyse a bull market or up trends. We share trade ideas for both Bullish and Bearish moves but choose not to hedge out of choice. In my experience, it is much safer to get out of a stuck buy position than a stuck sell position. That's not to mention the clean PSYCHOLOGICAL PROFILE that is achieved when trading in just one direction. And although hedging can in theory work, it requires years of experience and in the end, is simply not worth the effort and psychological stress. Let us look at an example of the current short/mid term trend to further highlight this point. When you have short-term bearish momentum down, we take buys from key supports or MAs which act as dips. Remember that the market does not go up or down in a straight line (with the rare exception of short-lived parabolic moves). So, when the market is going down and hits one of our key levels, a buy from that point will go back up for 30 to 40 pips (this number of pips has been calibrated based on back testing) before resuming back down. You can think of it like this. The market moves in a zigzag manner. The zig is that part of the leg which is going down to create lower lows (if the downward trend is continuing). The zag is that part of the leg which takes a breather and pushes back up with momentum for our entry and quick pip-take range to create a lower high (if the downward trend is continuing) before heading back down again. We catch the right and safest waves (buys) in and out and surf to success. When price hits a key structural support or stops creating lower lows and lower highs, we then reassess for entries with a wider range of pip capture. Hope this post helps our followers to understand how we ride waves by staying committed to one direction in order to always fall naturally into the wave rather then chasing a wave!! GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Goldviewfx
13
GOLD (XAUUSD): Deep Consolidation This week is very slow for Gold. The market is stuck within a wide horizontal range on a daily time frame. With the absence of high impact US fundamentals, I think that probabilities will be high that the market will keep consolidating. The best strategy to follow for now is to look for trading opportunities from the boundaries of the underlined parallel channel: selling from the resistance and buying from the support after a confirmation. As the price is closer and closer to the resistance, wait for its test and then look for selling. That is the plan so far. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VasilyTrader
1
LiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term UptrendLiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term Uptrend Gold has officially broken through the descending trendline, confirming a transition to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying strength, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming. Macroeconomic – Fundamental Analysis The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase their gold purchases significantly in September, totaling 39 tons, the highest level since the beginning of the year. Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil added 15 tons of gold to its national reserves for the first time this year. Since the beginning of the year, net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tons, clearly reflecting a shift away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for gold's medium- and long-term uptrend. Technical Analysis On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the descending trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure. The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise. The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher. The 4046 mark is considered a decisive area; if surpassed and maintained, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced. Today's Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend: Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation) SL: 3980 TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090 Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance: Entry: 4015–4017 SL: 4023 TP: 4002 – 3986 Summary Gold is signaling a clear establishment of a medium-term uptrend, supported by central bank buying flows. Traders should prioritize buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Price Surges Above $4,000Gold Price Surges Above $4,000 As the chart shows, XAU/USD climbed above the $4,000 mark today, a move likely driven by: → Weakness in the US dollar index – or a pullback from the resistance level discussed in yesterday’s DXY analysis. → Concerns over the ongoing US government shutdown – according to media reports, one consequence has been that American airlines began limiting ticket sales in November. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD On 28 October, our analysis of gold price movements showed the following: → We constructed an ascending channel (marked in blue), illustrating the metal’s remarkable rally from its August low. → We suggested that the developing pullback might target the QL line, reinforced by the round-number support at $3,900. This support zone successfully held, forming a local bottom at point B, after which the price entered a period of consolidation, resembling a symmetrical triangle pattern. Notably, gold has today broken upward through this triangle (outlined in black). In the broader context, this breakout represents a strong signal from the bulls, suggesting a possible resumption of the 2025 uptrend. If buying momentum continues, their strength may be tested by: → Resistance at $4,045; → Resistance near $4,150, which aligns with the 50% retracement of the A→B decline and has previously acted as a reversal zone for XAU/USD. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by FXOpen
1
GOLD Smart Money Might Be Preparing for Bullish Structure ShiftGold (XAU/USD) is showing early signs that Smart Money may be shifting from a distribution phase into a short-term accumulation phase. After a strong bearish leg marked by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), recent price behavior now suggests the potential formation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) — an early indication that institutional flow could be changing direction. 💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – When the Market “Whispers” About Reversal On the H1 timeframe, we can clearly observe a chain of consecutive BOSs since the 4,150 zone, but what’s intriguing is the reaction around 3,925 – 3,940. Here, price failed to make new lower lows and began rejecting strongly — leaving several rejection wicks that reveal smart money absorption at discounted prices. This area represents the discount zone of the current range — where institutions often collect liquidity from trapped sellers before pushing price toward premium levels for redistribution. The latest Break of Market Structure (BMS) around 3,987 confirms that bearish momentum is weakening, and buyers may be starting to reclaim control in the short term. 🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones – Footprints of Smart Money Karina is currently watching three key zones shaping this market phase: Demand Zones: 3,938 – 3,925: A strong demand base formed after the initial push upward — acting as a key support if price retraces. 3,986 – 3,988: A minor demand zone formed post-BMS, serving as a potential “reaccumulation point” for the next bullish leg. Supply Zones: 4,111 – 4,149: Unmitigated Bearish Order Block from the previous decline — the most probable upside target for Smart Money in the current swing. The projected SMC scenario: Smart Money accumulates at demand → builds liquidity → drives price into the upper supply zones. 🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – Quiet but Purposeful Movement Gold currently sits within a liquidity equilibrium — a transitional area where both buy- and sell-side liquidity coexist. Below, 3,886 remains a pocket of sell-side liquidity, while above, large buy-side liquidity pools rest around 4,110 – 4,150. Smart Money may first collect the remaining sell-side liquidity before triggering a strong upward displacement toward the upper supply zones — following the familiar pattern: liquidity sweep → displacement → continuation. 🌙 4️⃣ Trade Scenario – Flow With Smart Money, Not Against It As long as price holds above 3,938 – 3,987, the short-term bias for Karina is bullish. If price retests these demand zones and forms bullish confirmations (e.g., bullish engulfing or clear order flow shift), it may set the stage for a push toward the 4,111 – 4,148 region. Entry: 3,938 – 3,987 Stop Loss: 3,925 Take Profit: 4,111 – 4,148 This setup presents roughly a 1:4 R:R, consistent with a buy-side liquidity grab strategy under SMC principles. 🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Moves in Silence After an extended bearish phase, Gold now seems to be accumulating strength in quiet preparation. This is not a loud reversal — it’s a subtle rebalancing of institutional flow. To Karina, the market right now feels like a slow, gentle rhythm — calm, deliberate, and full of hidden intent. Sometimes, the key isn’t chasing volatility, but listening to the whispers of Smart Money in the silence of price action. 🌸 This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice. Do you see the same structure forming? Could this be the early stage of a bullish cycle, or just another liquidity grab? Let’s discuss below 💬
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_ilina
XAU/USD Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – DAILY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – DAILY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Although the larger trend for gold leans towards a downtrend, today I prioritize a bullish scenario in the short term. On the M30 chart, the price structure is gradually increasing, indicating that short-term capital is shifting towards buyers. The 3990 zone is a very important area – where a Break of Structure (BOS) has just appeared and is also a strong resistance that has reacted multiple times before. Price needs to confirm a break above this area to continue expanding the bullish trend. 💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) 📈 An ascending structure (BOS) has formed on M30. 🟣 Buy Zone 3977–3979 coincides with the support trendline – a beautiful confluence point for buyers. 🔹 Resistance zone 3990–4000 is the area to confirm the main direction. 💫 Higher target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area around 4049–4050, coinciding with the psychological resistance at 4050. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💖 Main BUY (priority) Entry: 3977–3979 ｜ SL: 3970 TP: 3988 – 4000 – 4022 – 4040 – 4050 💢 Short SELL (when price reacts strongly at resistance) Entry: 4012–4014 ｜ SL: 4020 TP: 4002 – 3988 – 3965 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Price needs to confirm above the 3990 area to solidify the bullish trend. If it breaks below 3970, the ascending structure is temporarily invalidated. Today, prioritize buying according to the capital flow, sell only when there is a clear signal at the resistance zone. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is showing positive signals 💛 Be patient and wait for reactions at the Buy Zone 3977–3979, this could be the starting point for a new upward move towards 4050. This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal view according to the ICT method. If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update gold analysis with me every day ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold Outlook: Bears Stay in ControlGold continues to operate within a bearish market environment characterized by persistent liquidation and declining momentum. The recent structural shift reflects an ongoing reallocation of capital away from defensive metals toward higher-yield instruments, signaling a broader change in market positioning. Trading activity indicates that each upward movement is being met with renewed selling interest, suggesting limited participation from institutional buyers. This behavior aligns with the prevailing sentiment of caution, as investors prioritize stability over speculative exposure. The broader outlook remains subdued, with market conditions favoring continued downside until clearer evidence of renewed demand emerges. Gold’s performance reflects a phase of market adjustment, where declining liquidity and moderate volatility reinforce the persistence of bearish sentiment across the short-term horizon.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
18
4050 or 3905 ?🗒️By examining the gold chart on the 2-hour time frame, 📊you can see that the price managed to reach the 3929 range by breaking the support of 3971; After reaching this range, buyers got to work and gold is currently trading in the 3975 range. 🔻Given the overall market trend, I expect more declines in gold in the 3947 and 3905 ranges; 💬If the resistance at 4002 is broken, we can expect gold to grow to the 4050 range; - - 🗒️با بررسی نمودار طلا در تایم فریم ۲ ساعته، 📊مشاهده می‌کنید که قیمت با شکستن حمایت ۳۹۷۱ توانسته به محدوده ۳۹۲۹ برسد؛ پس از رسیدن به این محدوده، خریداران دست به کار شدند و طلا در حال حاضر در محدوده ۳۹۷۵ معامله می‌شود. 🔻با توجه به روند کلی بازار، انتظار کاهش بیشتر طلا در محدوده‌های ۳۹۴۷ و ۳۹۰۵ را دارم؛ 💬اگر مقاومت ۴۰۰۲ شکسته شود، می‌توان انتظار رشد طلا تا محدوده ۴۰۵۰ را داشت؛ 💭CONTACT ME : @aghayeshademani
TVC:GOLD
by Ashkan-Shademani
1
Profitable Gold XAUUSD Indicator Trading Strategy Explained To profitably trade a massive bullish rally on Gold , you don't need a complicated system. In this article, I will teach you an easy indicator strategy for trend-following trading XAUUSD. It is based on 2 default technical indicators that are available on any trading platform: Mt4, Mt5, TradingView, etc. You will get a complete trading plan: exact entry signal, smart stop loss placement, trade management rules. The first indicator that you will need to trade this strategy is Moving Average. We will use a combination of 2 Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average EMA with 20 length and a Simple Moving Average SMA with 9 length. Our entry signal will be a crossover of 2 MA's on a 4H time frame. SMA and EMA should meet first. SMA should break through EMA to the upside to confirm a bullish signal. With a high probability, Gold price will rise significantly then. The main nuance of this strategy is to wait for a confirmed crossover and avoid the traps. Patiently wait for a touch of 2 moving averages first. After that, you will need to wait for a close of one more 4H candle to make sure that SMA stays above EMA. You can see that though 2 Moving Averages met, SMA failed to break through EMA. That is how a valid buy signal looks: SMA stays above EMA after a close of the next 4H candle. After you identified a valid crossover, it is your signal to open BUY trade on Gold . Your entry should be exactly after a close of a 4H candle. Stop loss will be based on another popular free indicator - Average True Range ATR with default 14 length settings. Your safe stop loss should be 2 ATR from the entry. In our example, ATR is 145 pips. 2 ATR will be 190 pips. That will be our stop loss. With this trading strategy, we will not use a fixed Take Profit TP and use trailing stop loss instead. It will help us to catch extended bullish waves on Gold. Once the market starts rising, updating the highs, trail your stop loss based on EMA and keep it 1 ATR below that. Make sure that you move your stop loss only when EMA and Gold price are rising . Once Gold price or EMA start moving in sideways or go down, do not lower your stop loss. Using this strategy consistently, you will be able to catch significant bullish waves. In Autumn trading season of 2025, this strategy provided, 3100+ pips entry signal. What I like about this strategy is that being very simple, you can easily backtest that and measure its objective trading performance. Easy entry, confirmation, and trade management rules make this strategy appropriate for beginners in Gold trading and will help to not miss a current extraordinary trend. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
12
The Market Is Still in Distribution, but Smart Money Moves QuietGold is trading around $3,990, recovering slightly after last week’s sharp sell-off. However, from a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, the market structure continues to show clear bearish intent — with lower highs, unmitigated supply zones, and descending liquidity still controlling price flow. 💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – The Bearish Flow Remains Intact After several BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmations, the bullish attempts are getting weaker. Price remains capped under a clean descending trendline, showing how sellers are gradually stepping in at every premium retracement level. The current market is operating within a distribution phase, where Smart Money continues to build short positions above liquidity zones while trapping late buyers inside minor pullbacks. The key level 4,043 – 4,050 stands out as the nearest Bearish Order Block (OB) and strong short-term supply. Until this area is decisively broken, Gold remains technically bearish. 🩶 2️⃣ Supply Zones – Where Smart Money Left Their Footprints Karina is currently watching three critical supply layers: 4,043 – 4,050: Active supply zone aligning with trendline confluence – ideal for short-term sell setups. 4,149 – 4,160: A deeper liquidity pocket where Smart Money previously distributed heavy positions. 4,221 – 4,359: Major macro supply zones – where institutional orders were likely built during October’s highs. Price is still well below these regions, suggesting that any rally remains corrective rather than impulsive. 🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – The Path of Least Resistance Below current price, 3,884 – 3,890 forms the next liquidity magnet — a cluster of equal lows and inefficiency gaps that Smart Money might target next. Above, resting buy-side liquidity around 4,050 gives institutions a perfect opportunity to engineer a small push up before resuming the main downtrend. This is the same pattern we’ve seen repeatedly: liquidity grab → displacement → continuation. 🌙 4️⃣ Trading Scenario – Flow With the Institutions, Not Against Them As long as the structure remains below the trendline, Karina maintains a bearish bias. If price retests 4,043 – 4,050 and shows rejection through a bearish engulfing or sharp rejection wick, short setups will align with SMC logic. Entry: 4,043 – 4,050 Stop Loss: 4,060 Take Profit: 3,884 – 3,890 The setup offers a clean 1:4 R:R, based purely on structure and liquidity flow — no indicators, no noise. 🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When Silence Speaks Louder Than Volatility Gold’s current rhythm is calm yet calculated. Every retracement feels like a whisper from Smart Money — testing patience, not conviction. For Karina, this is the phase where discipline matters most. While many chase impulsive moves, Smart Money quietly prepares for the next wave, and the charts tell their story to those patient enough to listen. 🌙 This analysis reflects Karina’s personal view and is not financial advice. What do you see in today’s Gold structure? Is this retracement a calm before another drop, or the beginning of accumulation? Let’s discuss below 💬
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Karina_ilina
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool 🔍 Market Context Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data. The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady. At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4) After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg. This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement. The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift: Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low. Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase. Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area) • 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block) • ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution. 🎯 MMFLOW Scenario If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits. A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact. The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1