XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
Goldtrading
Perfectly grasp the golden trading opportunity?Gold touched the pressure level near 3660-3370 several times during the day and then fell under pressure, which perfectly verified our strategic prediction. The continuous short selling at high levels has reaped great rewards. The current trend relies on the pressure of the 4-hour middle track. The short-term trend is still dominated by a volatile downward trend. The pressure focuses on the 3675-3685 area, and the support below focuses on the 3645-3630 area. From the technical structure, the middle track of the Bollinger band is obviously suppressing. If the rebound cannot break through the middle track pressure, the bears will still dominate the short-term rhythm. In terms of operation, it is recommended to maintain range thinking, enter and exit quickly at high altitudes and low prices, focus on grasping the rhythm, and lock in profits. Steady trading comes from early layout and strict execution. Patiently wait for signals from key positions and then enter the market decisively to seize profit opportunities in the volatile market!
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE3683 Target Achieved – Chart Idea Complete 🚀💥
Booooom! 💥💥 Just as we laid out, the 3683 target was smashed this week – absolutely amazing finish! This move perfectly completed the chart idea we’ve been tracking, right in line with the analysis.
🔹 3564 ➡️ 3683
We first hit the 3564 target cleanly, then carried that momentum straight through to the big 3683 level. The EMA5 confirmations delivered flawlessly, giving us one of the sharpest, most technical finishes of the week.
This closes out the breakout sequence beautifully and proves once again how powerful structured analysis + patience can be.
🔥 What’s Next?
We’ll be back on Sunday with a fresh Daily chart idea, updated targets, and a full multi-timeframe analysis to guide the next leg of the journey. Stay tuned – momentum is only heating up from here!
Thank you for the continued support, and congratulations to everyone who rode this move with us.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market InsightsGold is showing signs of stabilization after recent fluctuations, with price consolidating around the mid-range levels. The chart highlights repeated sequences of structural breaks and shifts, indicating that liquidity has been actively swept on both the buy and sell side.
The latest market move shows a controlled decline, followed by an attempt to absorb selling pressure. Current positioning suggests the possibility of a short-term liquidity grab to the downside, which could fuel a stronger recovery leg in the sessions ahead.
The projected outlook favors a scenario where buyers regain momentum, aiming to retest the upper price zones. If this momentum develops, the market may establish a renewed upward leg in alignment with the broader bullish cycle observed across higher timeframes.
From a macro perspective, gold continues to be supported by demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing global financial uncertainty and shifting monetary policies. This backdrop enhances the probability of gold sustaining its mid-term bullish trajectory despite temporary corrective phases.
XAUUSD – Fibo Zones Poised for the Next Big Wave!📊 Quick Market Snapshot
Gold recently spiked to 3,707.40 USD/oz, briefly touching record highs before pulling back.
The USD’s 0.5% rebound made gold temporarily more expensive for non-dollar holders.
Despite short-term corrections, gold remains up 39% year-to-date, supported by strong safe-haven demand and ongoing market uncertainty.
🔢 Key Technical Zones (H1)
🔴 SELL ZONES
3,683.977 – Major resistance aligned with the descending channel.
3,669.089 – Secondary resistance where sellers may re-enter.
🟡 SUPPORT TARGET FOR SELLS
3,635.678 – Immediate support and the first downside target for shorts.
🟢 BUY ZONE
3,602.769 – Confluence of Fibonacci 1.5 & 1.618 extensions, strong potential for a bullish bounce if price dips.
📈 Suggested Trade Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Trend Continuation
Look to SELL at 3,669–3,684 if price action shows rejection or reversal candles.
Take Profits: 3,635 → 3,602.
Risk Management: Move SL to entry once price moves favorably.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Catching the Dip
BUY at 3,602–3,605 only if there’s a strong reaction or reversal signal.
Take Profits: 3,635 → 3,669, leaving a partial position open if price breaks the descending channel.
⚠ Trading Notes
Expect higher volatility; reduce position sizing for safety.
Enter trades only with clear candlestick or volume confirmation at key zones.
Avoid chasing mid-channel prices—focus on well-defined liquidity areas for optimal entries.
💬 Discussion
📊 Will gold test the buy zone before a rebound, or will sellers defend resistance to continue the downtrend? Share your thoughts or charts in the comments to compare strategies!
Gold vs USD: Fibo Zones Ready for the Next Wave📊 Market Context
Gold is extending its pullback after the FOMC, retreating from above 3,700$ as the USD rebounds from multi-year lows.
The Fed’s dovish tone provides underlying support, while rising geopolitical risks could limit downside pressure.
Expect choppy price action as traders weigh USD strength against safe-haven demand for gold.
🔢 Technical Levels & Key Zones (M30)
OB SELL ZONE (Retest FOMC Bearish): 3683–3685 (SL 3690)
Ideal for short-term selling if price retests with weak bullish momentum.
Retest Support – Sell Zone: 3650–3652 (SL 3660)
Secondary area for potential bearish reaction.
Support Zone: Around 3630–3628
Watch for liquidity sweeps or rejection signals here.
FIBO 1.5 & 1.618 BUY ZONE: 3615–3613 (SL 3605)
Strong confluence for potential long entries if price flushes deeper.
📈 Trade Plan Scenarios
1️⃣ Bearish Continuation (USD Strength Holds)
Sell on retest of 3650–3652 or 3683–3685, confirming rejection candles.
Targets: 3630 → 3615 (Fibo buy zone).
2️⃣ Bullish Rebound (Fed Dovish + Geopolitical Support)
Buy dips at 3615–3613, or partial entries on signs of support at 3630–3628.
Upside Targets: 3650 → 3685, with extended potential toward ATH Zone 3,707 if sentiment flips bullish.
⚠ Risk Management & Notes
Volatility may spike on additional USD headlines or geopolitical developments—use smaller position sizes.
Wait for candlestick confirmation before entering trades at key zones.
Avoid chasing price near mid-range; focus on well-defined liquidity levels.
💬 Discussion
📈 Will USD strength continue pressuring gold, or will Fed’s dovish stance and geopolitical tension fuel a rebound? Share your view or your chart below!
Gold rebounds, bears should not miss this opportunity!Did gold fall as we expected? Congratulations to those who have been paying attention. We have been emphasizing from the weekend, last weekend, until yesterday that the top of gold is just above the 3700 mark, and the extreme position is in the 3720-30 area. When the Fed cuts interest rates, gold will fall. We have been saying this over and over again. I don’t know if you have listened to us.
Gold, the release of yesterday's interest rate decision also made the market experience a shock. The large fluctuations back and forth without a bottom line also made the market abuse the bulls and bears wantonly. The trend was also quite magical, making the market defenseless and not giving the slightest chance. After a small rebound near 3694 when the news was announced, it began to dive rapidly, reaching the lowest point near 3652, and then quickly rose again to near 3707, and then continued to fall rapidly, reaching the lowest point near 3645. After the opening, it rebounded again at 3672 and continued to fall. The current lowest point was near 3634. A series of large-scale back and forth sweeps also made the market more fearful, and the daily line also closed in the form of a large negative line. The market is in a state of decline, directly breaking the support of the short-term moving average. It is currently hovering between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. Therefore, due to the closing of yesterday's large negative line, it is relatively likely to start a pullback and repair again in the short term, and the effective support below is maintained at around 3630-3620. This area is also the key tactical defense we mentioned earlier. Once this position continues to be lost, the long and short positions may be reversed in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained at around 3675-3690. You can refer to this position to continue to short and wait. If gold rebounds to around 3675-3690 during the day, short it, and the target is around 3630-20.
Strategic Long-Term Perspective on GoldGold has delivered a strong bullish cycle after weeks of accumulation. The past phase showed a contracting range where liquidity was built up and multiple structural shifts occurred, signaling preparation for expansion. Once price broke out of that range in late August, momentum accelerated, leading to a clean and sustained rally into September.
The recent move highlights how market flow continues to favor the upside, with each correction acting as a re-accumulation zone rather than a trend reversal. Institutional order flow remains visible, supporting higher valuations as price respects bullish market structure.
Currently, gold is stabilizing after the sharp leg upward. This pause suggests a phase of healthy consolidation, likely absorbing liquidity before attempting the next impulsive wave higher. Overall sentiment remains constructive, with bullish continuation the dominant narrative unless a major structural shift occurs.
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
4H Chart Update
Yesterday we completed 3655 and 3696, noting that price would likely range between these two levels until we saw an EMA5 cross and lock to confirm the next move.
As expected, we continued to see bounces within this range allowing us to catch clean bounces. Now, we are seeing 3655 being tested with a candle. For confirmation of downside toward 3615, we still need EMA5 to cross and lock below 3655.
⚠️ If the EMA5 fails to lock, we can expect another retest back up toward the higher range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3738
BEARISH TARGETS
3615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3583
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3545
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3545 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3458
3409
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3409 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3360
3320
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone .Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659.
Current Setup:
The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward.
A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709.
Bias:
As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored.
If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
XAU/USD 18 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs.
Price previously, and has now for the second time, printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I also have marked this in red.
Price has continued with it's bullish trajectory, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established range, however, I shall continue to monitor price action with respect to depth of pullback relative to recent price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,703,240.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued with its bullish trajectory, printing all-time-highs.
Previous price action printed a bearish CHoCH, subsequently printing higher, however, due to the insignificant depth of the pullback, relative to recent price action, I shall again apply discretion and not classify this an an internal high. This marked this in red.
Price has since continued bullish, printing a bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has reacted from an M15 demand zone, within discount of 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal high priced at 3,703. 240
Alternative scenario: All HTF's require a corrective move, price has since failed to target and close above weak internal high therefore, and in order to confirm HTF bearish pullback phase, price could target strong internal low, priced at 3,612.240.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD on Edge: Will FOMC Spark a Breakout Above 3718?📊 Market Context & FOMC Insight
Gold is holding firm around major Fibonacci levels ahead of today’s FOMC meeting, a key event that could set the tone for monetary policy into year-end. Traders are closely watching whether the Fed will signal a confirmed rate cut path or adopt a more cautious tone.
A dovish outcome (clearer easing or stronger hints of cuts) could trigger a bullish breakout, propelling gold above 3718 toward new highs.
A hawkish surprise or less-committal Fed stance may fuel profit-taking and a deeper pullback toward key buy zones.
🔢 Technical & Fibonacci Outlook (H1)
SELL Liquidity Zones:
3690–3692 (M15 Fibo Reaction) – First reaction area where short-term sellers may step in.
3715–3718 (Major Liquidity Zone, SL 3725) – The critical resistance; a break here signals strong bullish momentum.
BUY Zones on Pullback:
3647–3645 (Fibo 0.618 Reaction Zone, SL 3640) – Primary buy zone for bullish continuation.
3630–3628 (OB Liquidity End Zone, SL 3620) – Deeper support if volatility spikes post-FOMC.
Breakdown Zone:
3674–3672 – Watching this area for structure confirmation on any downside move.
📈 Plan & Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (Dovish Fed)
Look for a sweep of 3647–3645 or 3630–3628 to build positions.
Targets: 3690 → 3715 → Beyond 3725 for potential ATH testing.
2️⃣ Bearish Rejection (Hawkish Surprise)
Monitor 3690–3718 for reversal signals.
Downside targets: 3647–3645 first, deeper to 3630–3628 if sellers regain control.
⚠ Key Notes
Expect high volatility during and after the FOMC statement.
Manage risk with tight stops and smaller sizing around the event.
Confirmation (candlestick rejections or break/retest patterns) is crucial before committing capital.
💬 Discussion
📊 Do you see today’s FOMC as the trigger for a breakout above 3718 or a sharp retracement to reload longs? Share your view and Fibonacci levels below so we can compare strategies!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After successfully sharing our 1H chart target updates earlier this week, here’s an update on our our 4H chart idea shared on Sunday.
This setup has also played out perfectly:
We started the week with 3655 being hit.
That was followed by the EMA5 cross and lock, which opened the target for 3696, also hit perfectly to complete the target.
Currently, we’re seeing range play between 3655 and 3696. The next move will depend on whether we get another EMA5 cross and lock above or below these two Goldturns, which will guide us toward the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3696 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3738
BEARISH TARGETS
3615
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3615 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3583
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3583 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3545
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3545 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3509
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3509 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3458
3409
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3409 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3360
3320
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionHey Traders,
Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone.
The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally.
3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Wave (5) TP 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30.
Targets:
TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
Always risk ≤1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation.
Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip.
Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.
Gold hits a new high again, the opportunity to invest has come!Gold's recent performance remains strong, reaching a new all-time high near 3,685, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish sentiment. Although inflation remains viscous, the market is increasingly confident that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this week. Focus is shifting to the extent of the cut and subsequent policy guidance. If the rate cut exceeds expectations, gold may usher in a new round of liquidity-driven gains. If it falls short of expectations, short-term profit-taking may occur, leading to increased volatility.
From a technical perspective, gold has closed higher for several consecutive days, with short-term moving averages aligned in a bullish pattern. The daily and 4-hour charts remain in an upward trend, with the support center continuously shifting upwards. The bullish structure is solid, but the current price is already at a relatively high level. If the upward push fails to break through with significant volume, there is still room for a short-term pullback, and we need to be wary of the possibility of a technical correction. Today's core trading strategy is to primarily buy on dips, supplemented by shorting at high levels. We should participate with the trend and avoid blindly chasing the market. Support below is the 3650-3635 area. If it stabilizes after a pullback, we can arrange long positions in batches, with the initial target around 3680-3685, and then explore the potential for further growth after breaking through the new high. Resistance above is the 3685-3690 area. If the short-term upward push encounters resistance and fails to break through, we can try shorting with a light position, with a stop-loss placed above the resistance level. Enter and exit quickly, and avoid a prolonged battle. The short-term bullish strength and weakness dividing line is the 3630-3620 level. If it breaks below, we should be wary of the risk of a deep pullback.
This week is packed with macroeconomic events, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in particular under scrutiny, potentially amplifying market volatility. We recommend building positions in batches, maintaining strict position management, and setting effective stop-loss and take-profit targets to ensure profit capture while minimizing drawdown risk.
Do you think the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates beyond expectations this time? We welcome your exchange of views. We will also adjust our strategies immediately based on the data to ensure that our trading rhythm keeps pace with the market.
Gold’s Next Fibonacci Play – Watching Key Buy & Sell Zones M15Technical & Fibonacci Outlook (M15 Chart)
Price has recently broken upward but is approaching resistance at 3,693–3,704.
Fibo 1.5–1.618 Reaction TP Zone (3,703–3,705): Watch for potential profit-taking or minor rejection here.
Fibo 2.618 Reaction – SELL ZONE (3,724–3,726, SL 3,730): A high-liquidity level where sellers may step in for a short-term reversal.
M15 Fibo Reaction Zone – BUY ZONE (3,665–3,659, SL 3,645): Primary area to look for bullish continuation on dips.
Mid-channel structure suggests a healthy retracement could occur before any further rally.
🟢 Trade Ideas – FranCis_Fibo Style
BUY ZONE: 3,660–3,656
Stop Loss: 3,645
Take Profit: Scale out at RR 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3, leave runners open for a potential new ATH.
SELL ZONE (Short-term): 3,723–3,726
Stop Loss: 3,730
Take Profit: Target lower Fibo retracement levels (3,686 → 3,665).
⚠ Key Notes
Expect volatility around Fed-related headlines—manage position sizes carefully.
Watch for liquidity grabs at 3,703–3,705 before committing to directional trades.
A strong bounce from the 3,665–3,659 zone would confirm bullish momentum remains intact.
💬 Discussion
📊 Will gold break through the 2.618 Fibo zone for a fresh push higher, or will sellers defend and force a deeper retracement? Share your Fibonacci levels and outlook below!
Gold (XAU/USD) –> Bullish Rectangle Pattern BreakoutHello guys!
💥Gold has been consolidating in a bullish rectangle pattern after a strong upward move. This type of pattern usually signals continuation, with price gearing up for the next leg higher.
🔹 Setup:
The rectangle formed around $3680–$3690 support and resistance near $3689.
A clean breakout above $3689 gives the entry signal for the continuation move.
🔹 Targets:
First target: $3705
Second target: $3724
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below the rectangle support ($3674–$3682) to stay protected against a false breakout.
📌 Conclusion:
The bullish rectangle pattern suggests that Gold is preparing for another push higher. A breakout above 3689 opens the path first to 3705, and then to the extended target at 3724.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Near ATH – Fed Catalyst Incoming!🚀 Gold Holds Near Record Highs – Key Buy Zones Ahead of Fed Policy Shift
📰 Market Context
Gold remains close to its record highs as traders brace for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s expected monetary policy easing this week. Market participants are also hunting for clues about potential rate cuts later this year.
Adding fuel to the bullish sentiment, unprecedented pressure from former President Trump on the Fed—including attempts to remove Governor Lisa Cook—has become the latest catalyst. According to Goldman Sachs, this could send gold soaring toward the $5,000/oz mark over the longer term.
🔢 Technical & Fibonacci Outlook
On the H1 chart, price has respected the uptrend trendline and is approaching key reaction levels:
Fibo Reaction Zone – Bullish Breakout Support: Around 3,655 (potential first entry)
Down Trendline Retest Zone: Around 3,624 (secondary entry for deeper pullbacks)
Upper liquidity levels 3,727–3,738 mark the next reaction zone where sellers could appear.
These Fibonacci levels align with prior breakout points, suggesting strong structural support.
🟢 Trade Ideas
1️⃣ BUY ZONE #1: 3,655
Stop Loss (SL): 3,645
Take Profit (TP): Risk–Reward 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3 → Open for new ATH if momentum continues
2️⃣ BUY ZONE #2: 3,624
SL: 3,610
TP: Risk–Reward 1:1 → 1:2 → 1:3 → Open for new ATH|
⚠ Key Notes & Risk Management
Monitor Fed announcements closely—volatility can spike during the policy release.
Watch for liquidity grabs near 3,727–3,738; partial profits may be considered there.
Always adjust your position size to account for potential whipsaws around high-impact news.
This analysis is for educational and idea-sharing purposes only, not financial advice.
💬 Discussion
📊 Do you expect the Fed’s decision to fuel a breakout toward a new all-time high, or will gold face heavy profit-taking at liquidity zones? Share your perspective below!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started with our Bullish target 3653 being hit, followed with emA5 cross and lock opening 3678 - This was also hit perfectly completing the setup.
We will now look for a ema56 cross and lock above 3678 for a continuation into 3702 or failure to lock above 3678 will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3653 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3653 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3678 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3678 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3702
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3702 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3727
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3727 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3747
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3747 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3768
BEARISH TARGETS
3622
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3622 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3585
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3585 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3556
3528
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Bullish Supercycle? Key LongTerm Fibonacci Targets Revealed📰 Macro & Market Context
Gold has decisively broken its long-standing consolidation range (3,272–3,560), signaling a shift in the macro trend.
The breakout comes amid continued global uncertainty, inflation concerns, and speculation about interest rate adjustments—factors that historically favor gold as a safe-haven asset.
Daily candles show strong bullish momentum, suggesting that the market may enter a sustained rally over the coming months.
🔢 Fibonacci Outlook for the Long Term
Immediate Support Zones:
3,556–3,588 (0.786 Fibo) – Likely first retest area on any pullback.
3,521 (0.618 Fibo) – Deeper retracement zone if volatility spikes.
Upside Long-Term Targets:
3,775–3,877 – First cluster of resistance on the way up.
3,923–3,934 (1.618 Extension) – Major Fibonacci extension and potential top for the next bullish leg.
A successful break above 3,934 could open the door for new all-time highs beyond 3,950+.
📈 Strategic Outlook
The broader trend remains bullish as long as price holds above 3,556–3,521.
A pullback into these zones would be a healthy correction in a strong uptrend, potentially offering long-term buying opportunities.
Long-term traders may consider scaling in on dips while watching for confirmation candles or volume surges near these Fibonacci levels.
⚠ Risk Considerations
Global macro events (interest rate decisions, geopolitical tensions) could trigger sharp volatility.
A sustained break below 3,474 would challenge the bullish narrative and could lead to a return toward the old range (around 3,272).
💬 Discussion Prompt
📊 Are you positioning for a multi-month rally, or do you expect a deeper correction before new highs? Share your long-term Fibonacci targets in the comments!