Gold Price Outlook | Buyers Stay in Full ControlGold remains firmly positioned within its broader bullish trajectory, supported by consistent demand from both institutional and retail investors. The market has shown strong resilience, forming a well-defined higher-low structure, which reflects continued accumulation. Price action indicates that buyers are confidently stepping in after each controlled pullback, maintaining upward momentum.
The current market tone favors continuation toward the 4,180–4,250 range if momentum persists. Short-term retracements into the 4,070–4,090 area may offer new buying opportunities for position traders aligning with the prevailing trend. Macroeconomic factors such as ongoing inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and cautious monetary policy stance continue to underpin gold’s strength.
Goldtrading
10.20 Gold short-term resistance looks at 4280Gold prices twice confirmed their all-time high of 4380 before falling, the first time by $100 and the second time by nearly $200.
Last Friday, gold prices were insane, plummeting from 4380 to 4279, leaving $100 of room for further gains, before rising another $100 to find 4380.
After confirming resistance at 4380 for the second time, the price continued to rise, signaling a downward trend. Pressure was placed on the short side at 4380, 4355, 4350, 4321, and 4364. The price continued to move around the established downward trend, gradually shifting between levels, and finally accelerating to 4186 before ending the decline.
The price rebounded in late trading, returning to the 4250 mark to end the week!
Judging from Monday's market action, the market has entered a broad range-bound sweep. Specifically, the bullish rally may have temporarily paused, gathering momentum for a subsequent rebound.
We must clearly understand the positioning of our defensive lines. When these lines are breached, adjustments and changes must be made:
1. Coordination between the two lines on the hourly and 30-minute charts
It has fallen back into the 30-minute chart's two-line range, between 4280 and 4110.
It remains above the upper limit of the two lines on the hourly chart, at 4221. Although it broke briefly last Friday, the closing price quickly recovered. Support is also being sought at 4221 in the European session this afternoon.
The upper limit of the two lines, 4280-4220, is where the support is being sought.
If the price breaks through this range, the nature of the market will begin to change.
2. Top and bottom reversal positions and Within the small channel, pressure is building up in the 4280-4385 area. The lower band is extending and expanding, focusing on the 4180-4200 range.
In the Asian session, prices fluctuated around the 4219-4271 range. In the afternoon, we confirmed that the 4268 area was beginning to bearishly bearish. Based on this strategy, we chose to enter a bearish position from above, targeting the 4220 area. Once the price started to move, we would aggressively chase the price, pursuing the bearish trend until it accelerated to the 4221 area.
Short-term strategies for the European and US sessions
1. Short-term trading in the 4278-4282 area, with the upper pressure at 4286, a stop-loss at 4298, and a target of 4250. The next target is 4225-4215.
2. After completing the $100 sweep, focus on the 4320 area for short selling. The specific target is a bit further out, so stay tuned for real-time alerts.
3. Currently, the price has returned to around 4260, so we will wait for the plan in the first point.
4,200 or 4,285? Gold’s Next Move Decides It All📊 Market Overview
Gold remains under pressure at the start of the week, trading below last week’s record highs, after a sharp correction from the 4,380s down to the 4,240 zone.
Investor sentiment is cautious as the market navigates a mix of uncertain U.S. economic data, a still-closed U.S. government, and renewed geopolitical tensions across multiple regions — all of which are fueling both fear and indecision in the market.
During early Asian hours, gold showed a mild recovery but continues to move sideways in a tight consolidation range, reflecting indecisive liquidity buildup before the next major move.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold is consolidating between short-term support near 4,206–4,204 and resistance around 4,285–4,287.
Liquidity has started to cluster above and below the current range, suggesting that a breakout is imminent.
The 4,166 – 4,140 region remains a major Smart Money re-entry zone, aligned with the CP BUY ZONE + OBS demand block.
On the upside, 4,313 – 4,342 stands as a key supply zone where large sellers previously stepped in.
Until price breaks out decisively, traders should expect choppy intraday conditions with limited follow-through.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE (Liquidity Re-entry Zone)
Zone: 4,206 – 4,204
SL: 4,200
TP: 4,210 – 4,215 – 4,220 – 4,230 – 4,240 – 4,250 – ???
🔴 SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
Zone: 4,285 – 4,287
SL: 4,292
TP: 4,280 – 4,275 – 4,270 – 4,260 – 4,250 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
If gold sustains above the 4,200 – 4,210 support area, a short-term rebound toward 4,270 – 4,285 can be expected.
Breaking above 4,287 would open room toward 4,313 – 4,342 (OBS Sell Zone), where Smart Money may begin distributing again.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 4,200 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 4,166 – 4,140 (CP BUY ZONE).
This would still represent a healthy correction within the broader bullish macro structure.
⚡ MMFLOW Insights
Market remains neutral-to-bullish, but current movement reflects accumulation within a compression range.
Sideway structure indicates the market is loading liquidity for the next impulsive leg.
Patience is key — traders should wait for clean breakout confirmations before scaling positions.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Use tight Stop Losses — gold’s volatility remains unpredictable during macro uncertainty.
✅ Avoid over-leveraging while price stays inside the sideway channel.
✅ Focus on reaction zones (CP, OBS, and liquidity sweeps) for precise entries.
🧭 Quick Summary
Gold trades sideways below record highs.
Key support: 4,206 – 4,204, key resistance: 4,285 – 4,287.
Short-term bias: Range-bound with bullish undertone.
Best approach: Buy dips at liquidity zones; wait for breakout confirmation before trend trades.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
10.19 Gold Monday short-term analysis guide!Gold closed near 4247 on Friday. Following five consecutive daily gains, the market closed with a bearish candlestick pattern. Technical analysis suggests that gold prices are poised for a period of volatile correction. Without news stimulus, gold is expected to fluctuate within a range. Given the pullback from Friday's large bearish candlestick, Monday's focus should be on whether the decline can be sustained. If this trend isn't sustained, bulls are poised to launch a counterattack. Otherwise, gold is poised to enter a range of rebound resistance.
From the 4-hour market trend, short-term resistance is currently at 4280-4293, with a focus on 4315-23. Support is at 4185-4193. If bulls fail to achieve a sustained breakout, a period of volatile correction is imminent. Trading strategies should prioritize range-bound trading. In the middle, adopt a cautious approach, cautiously follow orders, and patiently wait for key entry points.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Market Opening?!
We got a nice pullback on Gold on Friday
and the price nicely retraced to a key intraday support.
Analysing the market reaction to that, I spotted a cup & handle pattern
and a confirmed violation of its neckline.
With a high probability, the market will rise after the opening.
The price will reach at least 4272 intraday resistance.
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Rebound Expected from Key Support ZoneTechnical Structure
Uptrend Confirmation: Despite the pullback, the overall structure remains bullish — higher highs and higher lows are intact.
Support Zone (Green Box): The area between 4,132 – 4,197 acts as a strong demand region where a reversal is likely.
Target Point: The upside target lies near $4,378 – $4,381, coinciding with previous highs and resistance.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price tests the support level and shows rejection (bullish candles or wicks), we can expect:
Entry: Around $4,160 – $4,200
Target: $4,380 – $4,381
Stop Loss: Below $4,120
This would confirm a continuation of the uptrend after a healthy correction.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below $4,120, it could trigger:
Deeper correction toward $4,060 – $4,000
Momentum shift from bullish to short-term bearish.
🟢 Signal Summary
Direction Entry Zone Stop Loss Take Profit Confidence
BUY (Long) $4,160 – $4,200 $4,120 $4,380 ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Strong if support holds)
⚠️ Conclusion
Gold is showing signs of retracement within an uptrend.
If the support zone holds, we can expect a bullish reversal toward the $4,380 target point.
However, a break below $4,120 will signal a deeper correction before any new rally.
How to Analyze Daily Time Frame on Gold. 5 Important Things
There are 5 important things that you should analyze on Gold on a daily time frame to accurately predict long term, midterm and short term movements.
In this article, I will share with you a step-by-step guide for daily time frame analysis that you can apply on Gold or any other financial instrument.
1 - Identify the market trend
When you analyze a daily time frame, you should identify long term, midterm and short term market trends.
Long-term trend is based on the analysis of one year long price action.
In the example above, Gold is trading in a long term bullish trend because the price keeps setting new higher high and new higher lows during the year.
Midterm trend is based on the analysis of a price action for the last 4–5 months.
Above, we can clearly see that a mid-term trend is bullish because again, the price sets new higher highs and higher lows over time.
Short-term trend is based on the analysis of price movements for the last 2 months.
Short-term price action is also bullish on Gold, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
According to the trend analysis, long-term, mid-term and short-term trends are bullish.
2 - Identify the directional bias
The directional bias defines a highly probable future direction on the market.
In our example, we can anticipate that Gold will keep growing among all the dimensions: long-term, mid-term and short-term.
3 - Execute structure analysis
Identify important historic horizontal and vertical structures.
That will be the points from where you should look for trading opportunities.
When you analyze key levels, identify the structures that are lying close to the current price levels.
Make sure that all the structures that you spotted were respected by the market in the past.
4 - Look for price action patterns
Price action patterns are the language of the market.
Proper identification of the patters will help you correctly understand the intentions of the market participants.
You can see that a bearish breakout of a rising channel triggered a correctional movement on the market.
Gold started to fall steadily within a bullish flag pattern and after it tested a key support, the price violated the resistance of the flag.
5 - Analyze candlesticks
Candlestick patterns can provide extra clues and confirmations.
You can see that the market formed multiple rejections from key support, an inside bar formation and bullish engulfing candle.
Violation of the inside bar to the upside with a strong bullish candle is an important bullish signal.
Combining trend analysis, structure analysis, price action and candlestick analysis, and you can make predictions and look for trading opportunities.
You can also make your analysis even more sophisticated, for example, analyzing fundamental analysis or applying technical indicators.
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
This is an extended 4H chart idea, continuing from our previous analysis, now with the added Goldturn levels above, allowing us to continue to track ongoing movement.
After completing the 4212 move, price continued to push upward, leaving a small gap near 4383 before facing rejection. We’re now seeing price retest the lower Goldturn levels for support, with a current test around the 4212 Goldturn. The 4212–4154 zone remains a key weighted area, and as long as price holds above this zone, we may see a potential bounce.
We’ll return on Sunday with our multi-timeframe roadmap and trading plans for the week ahead. Thank you all once again for your continued support, likes, and comments, we truly appreciate it.
Mr. Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Resistances
Here are the next potentially significant resistances on Gold to focus on.
Resistance 1: 4397 - 4403 area
Resistance 2: 4447 - 4453 area
Resistance 3: 4487 - 4503 area
Consider the underlined horizontal and vertical supports
for potential buying after pullbacks.
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10.17 Gold bulls rose sharply and are about to enter the 4400 erLooking at the 4-hour market trend, the short-term support at 4290-4300 is currently under consideration, with a focus on 4270. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. For intermediate positions, be cautious in following orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please pay attention.
Gold Retests All-Time Highs – Bulls Still in Full Control📊 Market Overview
Gold experienced a sharp intraday drop during the Asian session, testing the 4,280 – 4,279 USD zone before quickly recovering. Despite short-term volatility, it continues to close the week in green for the ninth consecutive time — confirming the strength of the ongoing bullish cycle.
The broader fundamentals remain supportive:
💥 Persistent geopolitical tensions keep safe-haven demand high.
⚖️ US–China trade uncertainty and the risk of a prolonged US government shutdown weaken risk appetite.
💵 Fed rate-cut expectations and USD softness continue to favor gold upside.
In short — Smart Money remains positioned long, and every dip still looks like a liquidity grab for re-accumulation.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
On the M30 timeframe, gold continues to respect an ascending channel, currently forming a liquidity trap and breakout setup around 4,280 – 4,330.
Price action suggests gold may be completing a short-term corrective wave (B) before resuming the larger bullish impulse.
The structure remains technically bullish, with all pullbacks showing strong rejections from demand zones.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE (Primary Setup)
Zone: 4,230 – 4,228
SL: 4,220
TP: 4,240 – 4,250 – 4,260 – 4,270 – ???
🔵 CP ZONE BUY (Secondary Support)
Zone: 4,284 – 4,285
SL: 4,275
TP: 4,300 – 4,315 – 4,330 – 4,340 – ???
🔴 SCALP SELL (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
Zone: 4,438 – 4,440
SL: 4,448
TP: 4,420 – 4,410 – 4,390 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios
1️⃣ Primary Bullish Scenario:
If gold holds above 4,280 – 4,284, expect continuation toward 4,380 – 4,438 (Liquidity Sell Zone).
The 4,284 level is the key control point where Smart Money may look to re-enter long positions.
2️⃣ Alternative Correction Scenario:
A clean break below 4,280 could drive price toward 4,249 – 4,243 (CP Buy Zone) before another bullish push higher.
This structure still aligns with a Healthy Correction Pattern within a broader uptrend.
⚡ MMFLOW Insights
Gold remains in a mid-term expansion phase, with both macro and technical alignment favoring continued upside.
The 4,280 – 4,330 range acts as a Smart Money accumulation zone, preparing for a liquidity sweep higher.
Medium-term upside target: 4,438 – 4,445 USD/oz (Liquidity Sell Zone).
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Always use a protective Stop Loss — volatility can spike during liquidity hunts.
✅ Avoid chasing entries at highs; wait for reaction around BUY ZONES.
✅ Focus on liquidity confluence zones (Fibo + CP Zone + Order Block) for the highest-probability setups.
🧭 Quick Summary
Gold remains resilient despite early-session volatility.
Watch BUY ZONES at 4,230 – 4,228 and 4,284 – 4,285 for possible long re-entries.
Short-term target: 4,380 – 4,438 USD/oz.
Bias: Bullish – Buy the dips, not the breakouts.
Gold traders - White House to speak on China shortlyGold’s impressive rally has been powered by a mix of rate-cut expectations, political risk, central bank buying, and dollar weakness.
Gold traders’ focus this week has been on the escalating U.S.–China trade tensions though.
Markets are standing by for a statement from the White House, expected within the hour.
We’ll post updates here once the White House statement is released and markets begin to react.
The Golden Triangle is coming to an end, beware of profit takingGold Hourly Chart: The overnight close was relatively high, and today's Asian session continued its upward trend. The European session saw a sharp drop below the upper channel line at 4242. This trend resistance line is the same one that held pressure at 4218 in yesterday's European session. The market then closed with a large, plump, bearish candlestick pattern at 2:00 PM, reaching the target of 4210. Since it was a large bearish candlestick pattern, not a long lower shadow candlestick pattern, a rebound confirming the 5-day moving average at 4230-34 is sufficient, so a further downward push is warranted.
The European session saw consecutive positive days, testing the bottom and rallying to a new all-time high. However, caution is advised in the US session. On the one hand, the 4250 level is a resistance point in the channel, and on the other hand, it is nearing the end of an ascending converging triangle, leaving little room for further movement and a potential reversal. Therefore, support remains at the middle line at 4230. Only a significant break below this level would trigger a potential for a significant short-term correction. Resistance is at 4265. Be cautious about blindly chasing rallies below this level. Consider the gains and losses at both levels and wait for signals.
10.16 Gold Short-Term Operation Guide!!!Three key points to watch today:
1. Position. Today's target is the 4200 area (previously, it started at 4000, then 4090, and yesterday was 4140).
The 4200 mark is today's early trading low. Using this as a dividing line, we're looking to sweep the $40 range above and below. A breakout will open up further opportunities.
2. Channel. The lower band of the channel overlaps with yesterday's low at 4140, while the upper band currently overlaps at 4220-4225.
Today's Asian session saw continued gains, breaking through the small channel range and extending gains by approximately $20 to 4242. However, after the breakout, the price fell back to 4203, retesting the previous high. If the market falls back into the channel, the support and resistance levels will shift again to the 4220-4225 area.
If it successfully holds above the support level, look for the 4200 area. If it breaks below, look for the 4180 and 4165 areas, with the 4145-4140 area exceeding the range.
Similarly, if it breaks above 4240, and the profit margin is halved according to the principle of equal distance, the next resistance level will be the 4270-4290 area.
3. Although the current result is an upward trend, the process has been characterized by significant ups and downs, with each initial move ranging from approximately $60 to $80.
So, regardless of whether you are long or short, regardless of the direction, at this moment, timing is more important than direction. Once confirmed, To determine a trigger, the first consideration is at least $60-80. Within this range, stick to one direction. If it's right, reap the rewards; if it's wrong, exit. Regardless of whether you're long or short, don't dwell on it.
The current market trend is extremely chaotic. In this chaotic situation, perseverance is more important than choice.
In summary, for gold today, Thursday, focus on the 4200 mark as a spatial boundary. From this boundary, we can see a range of $40 above and below.
Two key resistance levels: the upper limit of the 4220-4225 channel and the equally spaced upper limit of the profit margin at 4240-4242.
Using these two levels as resistance, we can see downward pressure on the price, looking for the 4200 area.
If it falls below 4200, Two key support levels are moving downward:
First, 4180, a support point that was repeatedly consolidated in the US market last night. Second, 4165-4160, the bottom of yesterday's sharp drop in the European market.
Of course, if the price does fall to the second support level, it will be easy to find the lower limit of the small channel at 4140, which is also yesterday's low.
Based on this idea, the European market price met expectations. Under pressure from 4242, a decline to 4203 helped to profit from the short position. The rebound continued, but the price slightly exceeded the range.
If the price exceeds the range, then the second confirmed high of 4242-4245 area is still a short position, with a stop loss at 4253 and a target of 4220-4200. If it falls below, look for 4180 and 4165.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update – Goldturn Channel Analysis
Hey Traders,
After successfully completing our previous Daily chart projection, we’re excited to share our latest Goldturn Channel update and Daily chart idea, our proprietary method of identifying structural turning points within Golds ascending channel formation.
Price action has now reached the upper boundary of the Goldturn channel, following a precise move to the 3866 target, triggered by the body close above 3776. With a new body close above 3866, we now have the 3959 gap open.
The 3866 channel top area remains a critical inflection point:
A confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above the channel top would strengthen the bullish breakout structure.
Conversely, an EMA5 rejection or close back below this level may indicate a fake out or short-term exhaustion.
On the downside, 3766 now acts as the nearest dynamic support, while 3683 aligns with the channel midline and remains a key structural pivot should deeper correction unfold.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD is in buy area!Price level 4205.00 is a strong liquidity sweep showign up a momentum gain on GOLD to reverse from this long term support level gold has started to bounce off the level.
As daily and long term trend continue to be bullish price is highly likely to continue to remian upside with another momentum gain from this support level. A bullish trade is high probable from the long term support level.
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview
Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish.
Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold:
💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year.
⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness.
These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View)
Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239.
Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend.
Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔵 BUY Setup 1
Zone: 4,184 – 4,182
SL: 4,178
TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ???
🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace)
Zone: 4,148 – 4,146
SL: 4,140
TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200
🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity
Zone: 4,230 – 4,234
SL: 4,238
TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View
📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction.
We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone).
From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE.
In short:
The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding.
Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range.
The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment.
If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions.
However, traders should:
✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs.
✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones.
✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering.
⚡ Summary
Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction.
Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again.
After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context:
Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown.
Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset.
During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154.
As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241.
Key Zones to Watch:
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242
ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200
OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139
Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.141 – 4.139
SL: 4.134
TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.114 – 4.112
SL: 4.106
TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150
🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 4.240 – 4.242
SL: 4.248
TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200
Summary:
The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone.
Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand.
Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions.
📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.
10.16 Gold maintains the upward trend in the Asian session!!!From a multi-period analysis perspective, first observe the monthly chart's rhythm. From a long-term perspective, 3130 represents a watershed in the long-term trend. Above this level, consider a long-term bullish approach. From a weekly perspective, the current bull-bear watershed is 3585. Above this level, consider a medium-term bullish approach. From a daily perspective, focus on the 3997 support area for now. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. From a four-hour perspective, which we've consistently emphasized, support currently lies at 4175. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. On an hourly basis, prices are also currently bullish, but short-term divergence is occurring. Therefore, be mindful of short-term bullish risks in the event of further upward movement. Meanwhile, today's early trading session saw another surge in gains, with the early morning low serving as a watershed for the day. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. Focus on the 4235-4266 area as an upward move.
Gold's Asian session low of 4199.73 marks the intraday watershed. Above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue. (Also, a divergence is occurring in the hourly chart, so be aware of the risks associated with a short-term rally.)
Gold Price Falls from Above $4,200Gold Price Falls from Above $4,200
The XAU/USD chart shows that gold recently climbed above the $4,200 mark for the first time. The upward momentum has been supported by the ongoing US government shutdown, central bank demand (with reports highlighting a sharp rise in reserves at the Reserve Bank of India), and market focus on US–China trade developments.
According to Trading Economics, on Tuesday President Donald Trump accused China of “economically hostile” behaviour, citing a halt in soybean imports, and warned of potential retaliatory measures.
After an 8% gain since the start of October, the market appears overbought, as reflected by the RSI, creating vulnerability to a correction. Today’s sharp drop from record levels (highlighted by the red arrow) may be seen in this context, yet bullish positions remain solid for several reasons.
Analysing gold price action (highlighted with bold lines), we can identify a rising channel that has remained relevant since late September. Signs of strong demand include:
→ persistent moves towards the channel’s upper boundary;
→ a steeper growth channel forming since 10 October;
→ the local $4,155 level shifting from resistance to support.
It is also notable that previous bearish attempts failed — each short-term plunge was followed by a strong rebound. Today’s correction could similarly precede further gains in gold.
Key levels to watch:
→ Psychological resistance at $4,250;
→ Boundaries of the orange channel and the blue median line.
In summary, the gold market currently appears extremely bullish, and it would likely take extraordinary events to reverse this pronounced trend.
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