The Great Channel: The Great Reset from 9.5A Once-in-a-Decade Market Opportunity
The Great Channel thesis presents a compelling long-term market structure that is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. From a macro-technical perspective, current price action suggests we may be trading at, or extremely close to, the lowest valuation level we are likely to witness over the next decade. Even the next cyclical low, should it occur, may still print at levels higher than today’s price.
This outcome is not guaranteed, but it represents one of the most probable scenarios on the table and one that now carries more conviction than ever before. The concept of the Great Channel first emerged in 2024 as a theoretical framework; however, evolving market behavior indicates that it may now be transitioning from hypothesis into structural reality. If confirmed, this channel has the potential to reprice the market into entirely new regimes.
Importantly, this structure does not conflict with the broader cup-and-handle formation that many long-term participants are tracking. On the contrary, the two patterns may be complementary, with the cup-and-handle reaching full maturity only after a potential Great Reset event. Such a reset could occur near the extreme boundaries of the Great Channel, precisely where asymmetric risk-to-reward conditions are most favorable.
From this vantage point, current levels may represent the most attractive strategic accumulation zone we are likely to see for many years to come. For patient, long-term traders and investors, this region offers a rare alignment of macro structure, technical positioning, and cyclical timing—an opportunity that may not present itself again for a very long time.
Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin- Cyclical Bottom in the 80Ks leading to new ATH in 2026!I connected the major lows of the last two major corrections ever since BTC began its uptrend from the 37K swing low of January 2024. It appears BTC has completed the correction as per the cycle bottom to bottom half circles. Also, see how the price perfectly bounced off the diagonal support coming off from the January swing low! Next, I anticipate the price to make huge bullish pump to test the diagonal resistance! Next major cycle top I predict can happen in end of February to March 2026 time frame.
SP 500 abc decline has ENDED wave a=c to a .382 pullback 3 UPThe chart posted is the sp 500 I am calling the decline as Over and wave 3 up to start waves and c are equal and the drop was .382 > I now look for the santa rally to start in wave 3 up it should be .618 of wave 1 wave 3 should now see 6996 plus or minus 5. best of trades WAVETIMER I am NOW long calls at 75 %
BTCUSD-Bitcoin Remains BearishAfter breaking the key 89,600 support, Bitcoin continued its bearish move and dropped toward 85,382, where we saw an initial buyer reaction and the formation of a temporary support.
Following this bounce, price managed to hold above the 87,000 resistance, but the overall market structure remains bearish, and this move looks more like a pullback within a downtrend rather than a trend reversal.
If price attempts another move below the newly formed support, the probability of breaking the 85,250 support zone increases significantly.
Given the possibility of a fast or “whale-driven” breakdown, placing a Sell Stop below the 87,000 area makes sense to avoid missing the move, with a downside target around 83,700.
For now, long scenarios are completely off the table unless we see clear signs of a trend reversal, such as a break in bearish structure or the formation of higher highs and higher lows.
BTCUSDT Analysis:BTCUSDT Analysis: Elliott Wave Structure & Liquidity Targets
Chart Analysis: Bitcoin is currently navigating a complex corrective phase on the 4-hour timeframe. Based on the market structure and recent price action, we are monitoring two potential scenarios centered around key liquidity pools.
1. Primary Scenario (Orange Path): Liquidity Sweep The market appears to be completing a corrective structure. The primary expectation is a move downward to sweep the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) resting below the previous low.
Target: The key level to watch is approximately $80,600.
Action: A sweep of this level followed by a strong reclamation would confirm a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long setup targeting higher highs.
2. Alternative Scenario (White Path): Immediate Reversal If the price finds support at current levels and breaks the immediate minor resistance, we could see an early invalidation of the lower sweep.
Target: The price would likely aim directly for the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) at $97,684, completing the upper leg of the structure.
Technical Key Levels:
🛑 Support / First Target: $80,600 region.
🎯 Resistance / Upper Target: $97,684 (LQ).
Conclusion: Traders should wait for price reaction at these key levels rather than front-running the move. Managing risk is essential during this consolidation phase.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
EURUSD Approaching the yearly Resistance.The EURUSD pair is currently on the 3rd Leg of a very aggressive rally that started on he 1.14700 Low (Support), with the most recent Higher Low being last week on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
This chart shows a potential Double Sell Signal as the price is approaching the Resistance Zone that started after the July 01 2025 High, while the 1D RSI is approaching its own Resistance level since March 11 2025.
As a result, once the price enters the Resistance Zone or if the RSI hits its own sooner, we will have the most optimal quarterly sell opportunity. If that takes place in the middle of the Resistance Zone, the resulting drop will test the exact 1.14700 Support. As a result, that is our Target on a medium-term basis or if the RSI hits its own Support (32.50) first.
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GreenBayChart: Bitcoin Panic: Why Fear Is the Best Buy SignalAt GreenBayChart we have gone through every major Bitcoin crash and know: panic is not the end, but a buy signal. In December 2025 BTC is down 30 % from its October high of $125,000, and the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 15 — the “extreme fear” zone. Beginners sell in fear, while professionals at GreenBayChart use it as an accumulation indicator. At GreenBayChart the stats are simple: 8 out of 10 times in the last 5 years “extreme fear” preceded +50–300 % growth in the next 6–12 months.
In this article GreenBayChart analyzes the sell-off trigger, what an index of 15 means historically, “smart money” behavior during crashes, past examples, and entry tactics for those who want to be in the 10 % of winners.
BTC –30 % Since October: What Triggered the Sell-Off
At GreenBayChart we record: since October 2025 BTC has lost 30 %, trading in the $86,000–$92,000 range. Triggers at GreenBayChart:
Profit-taking after +180 % yearly rally
ETF outflows of $4.2 billion in November–December
Macro risks: slower Fed rate cuts, geopolitics
At GreenBayChart this is a classic correction: after overheating (funding rate >0.08 %, RSI >80) comes a healthy pullback. At GreenBayChart we saw similar in 2021 (−53 %) and 2024 (−42 %) — both times followed by new ATHs.
Fear & Greed Index at 15: What It Means Historically
At GreenBayChart the Fear & Greed Index is our favorite contrarian indicator.
Level 15 — “extreme fear” — occurred only 8 times in 5 years:
March 2020 (index 8) — BTC $3,850 → +1600 % to peak
September 2021 (index 12) — $40,000 → $69,000 (+72 %)
June 2022 (index 7) — $17,600 → $73,000 (+315 %)
At GreenBayChart average growth after index <20 — +220 % in the next 12 months. Now at GreenBayChart the index is 15 — the zone where retail capitulates and “smart money” accumulates.
“Smart Money” Behavior in Crashes: Accumulation or Flight?
At GreenBayChart we track whales via Glassnode and Arkham:
Exchange outflows: +48,000 BTC to cold wallets in November–December
Institutions: ETF inflows slowed but didn’t turn negative (except short-term rotation)
Miners: sales reduced post-halving
At GreenBayChart this is an accumulation signal: whales buy on retail fear. Example from GreenBayChart: in 2022 whales bought 1.2 million BTC at $16,000–$25,000 — then price +300 %.
History: 8 Times in 5 Years Panic Turned into Growth
At GreenBayChart the stats are compelling:
2018 — index 5 → +1200 %
2020 — index 8 → +1600 %
2021 — index 12 → +72 %
2022 — index 7 → +315 %
5–8. Local panics 2023–2025 — average +85 % growth
At GreenBayChart conclusion: panic is not the cycle end, but its bottom.
Entry Tactics: DCA, Limit Orders, Staged Allocation
At GreenBayChart we recommend three approaches:
Enhanced DCA: weekly buys $500–$2,000 + double on levels $80K and $74K
Limit orders: 30 % at $86K, 40 % at $80K, 30 % at $74K
Staged allocation: 50 % cash in stablecoins, phased entry on rebound confirmation
At GreenBayChart clients with this tactic in 2022 bought average $22,000 — profit +300 % to peak.
Final Word from GreenBayChart
Panic is not an enemy, but an ally of the patient investor.
At GreenBayChart we see: when everyone is afraid — the bottom is forming. Retail sells on fear, “smart money” buys. History shows: 8 out of 8 times “extreme fear” turned into growth.
The main thing is to think like a professional, not the crowd: keep liquidity, enter according to plan, don’t give in to emotions.
At GreenBayChart our clients are already using this panic for accumulation — and preparing for the new rally.
Bullish Trend
CRT.UN (CT Real Estate Investment Trust) is showing modest upside potential, but analysts currently rate it as a “Hold” rather than a strong bullish buy. Price targets suggest limited growth, supported by stable dividends and defensive retail-linked assets.
Analyst Outlook
Consensus Rating: Analysts overwhelmingly rate CRT.UN as Hold. Out of 6 analysts, none recommend “Buy” and none recommend “Sell”.
Price Targets:
Average 12-month target: C$17.00, representing about 7.26% upside from the current price of ~C$15.85.
Range: C$16.50 – C$17.50, showing limited but steady growth expectations.
Why Investors See Upside
Defensive Portfolio: CRT.UN’s properties are largely leased to Canadian Tire, a stable anchor tenant, which provides predictable rental income.
Dividend Yield: Around 5.95%, which is attractive for income-focused investors.
Recent Performance: Year-to-date change of +11.48%, showing resilience in a volatile market.
Technical Support: Key support levels around C$15.79 – C$16.00 suggest downside protection, while resistance sits near C$16.42
USDCAD-Clean Bearish Trend | Support Break as a Sell TriggerBased on yesterday’s analysis, the chart is showing a clean and well-structured bearish trend, with market structure still clearly favoring sellers.
Price has now reached a key support level, and a confirmed break of this support could provide a very strong sell trigger.
If this level breaks convincingly, we expect price to move toward the next support zone identified on the 4-hour timeframe, which would serve as a logical target for this setup.
Ideally, the breakout should be confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below support to reduce the risk of a fake breakout.
Additionally, any short-term consolidation or compression before the breakdown could act as fuel for a sharp bearish move.
As long as this support fails to hold, the primary bias remains bearish, and our focus stays on identifying short opportunities.
USDCHF – Compression Phase Before a Potential BreakoutSince yesterday’s analysis, price has continued to trade inside a smaller range, and this price compression itself is a strong signal that a sharp move may be approaching.
A breakout from this range — in either direction — can define the short-term market direction.
My preferred scenario is a downside breakout, as it aligns perfectly with the higher-timeframe bearish trend and the overall market structure.
For that reason, I’ve placed a Sell Stop below the range support, so if a sudden impulsive move (whale-driven breakout) occurs, I won’t miss the trade.
It’s important that the breakout comes with a strong candle and ideally increased momentum or volume to reduce the risk of a fake move.
Until that confirmation appears, patience is key and we let the market reveal its next direction.
Bitcoin at a Decision Point: Range First, Breakdown Later?After a pullback from the $80,000 area, Bitcoin rallied toward the $95,000 zone. However, following this move, price resumed its bearish leg and is now moving back toward the $85,000 level.
The key question at this point is whether this zone can act as a meaningful support and stabilize price, or if selling pressure will continue.
As I have mentioned before, my higher-timeframe bias on Bitcoin remains bearish. From a broader perspective, I still consider the $60,000–$70,000 range as the primary downside target.
That said, bearish momentum has recently weakened. As a result, in the short term, Bitcoin is likely to experience range-bound volatility between $85,000 and $95,000 over the coming days.
A clean break below $80,000 does not appear likely in the near term, unless a major fundamental or macro news event triggers renewed strong selling pressure.
USDJPY H4 MAPPING | Direction Buy Or Sell ? 📉 Trade Description – Head & Shoulder Pullback Buy Setup
Market Context
• Price was previously moving inside a bullish ascending channel, indicating a strong uptrend.
• The market reached a major resistance zone around 157–158, where buying pressure weakened.
• A Head & Shoulder pattern formed near resistance, signaling a temporary bearish correction, not a full trend reversal.
🔑 Key Technical Zones
• Major Resistance: 157.0 – 158.0
→ Area where price got rejected and formed the H&S pattern.
• Order Block (OB): ~153.0 – 153.5
→ First reaction zone for potential bounce.
• Base Buy Zone: ~151.8 – 152.5
→ Strong structural support inside the broader uptrend.
• Demand Zone: ~149.5 – 150.5
→ Final defensive support and high-probability buy area.
🎯 Trade Bias & Plan
Bias: Short-term bearish → Long-term bullish
Phase 1: Correction
• Price is expected to continue pulling back from resistance.
• Bearish move is corrective, driven by profit-taking after the rally.
Phase 2: Buy the Dip
• Look for bullish confirmation (rejection wicks, structure shift, strong candles) at:
• Order Block
• Base Buy zone
• Demand zone
🚀 Targets (After Buy Confirmation)
• Target 1: 154.5 – 155.0
• Target 2: 156.0
• Final Target: 157.5 – 158.0 (previous major resistance)
USDCADPrice reacted into a higher-timeframe supply zone and showed strong bearish displacement. After the impulsive sell-off, price pulled back into a discount area, offering a short opportunity in line with the higher-timeframe bias.
Looking for continuation to the downside as long as price remains below the key resistance. Invalidation if price reclaims the supply zone.
EURUSD – Entry Trigger Hit, Target AchievedThe entry trigger we discussed earlier on EURUSD was activated today and successfully reached its target.
Price respected the higher-timeframe structure, reacted well from the key support zone, and continued the bullish move with solid momentum.
This move confirms the strength of buyers in the current cycle. For now, no fresh entry trigger is present, and the best approach is to stay patient and wait for a new pullback or a clear continuation setup.
Risk management remains key, especially with upcoming news that could increase volatility.
BTC Bearish continuation incomingPrice rejected hard at the descending trendline, now consolidating below 88k key level. Expect breakdown to 77k target, then full retest of 76k lows.
Bulls calling for 100k+ are ignoring the macro downtrend – this is distribution, not accumulation.
Short bias until proven otherwise. Risk management first."
Controversial Title:
"Bears Still Own Bitcoin – 100k Moonboys Are Delusional"
Post this exactly like that. It’ll trigger the perma-bulls, get engagement, and separate real traders from hopium addicts. No mercy – if your setup is wrong, the market will punish you anyway. Grind smart.
The price of gold will rise above $5,000!Technical analysis: The Price-action has reversed following the #4,262.80 local Low's making Hourly 4 chart an aggressive Ascending Channel which is not against my Short to Medium-term expectations. However I am still expecting on the Medium-term the Daily chart's Ascending Channel no limits towards #5,100.80 benchmark, posing as well as an retracement level which on (1W) Weekly chart will form possible Annual Ultimate High's, however Short-term Targets are intact / #4,352.80 / #4,402.80.
usd vs BRICS currencies The chart illustrates the growing divergence between BRICS-led trade settlement mechanisms and continued reliance on the US dollar. While the USD remains dominant in global reserves and cross-border payments, the BRICS share shows a gradual but clear upward trend, reflecting increased use of local currencies and alternative settlement frameworks. This shift is driven by efforts to reduce exposure to US monetary policy, currency volatility, and geopolitical risk. Although the USD still outweighs BRICS currencies in absolute terms, the chart highlights a structural rebalancing, suggesting a slow transition toward a more multipolar international monetary system rather than a sudden displacement of the dollar
A pullback is a buying opportunity.Technical Analysis: Oversold Rebound + Solid Key Support
The $86,100 level is at a point of multiple bullish technical indicators: ① The daily RSI has fallen to around 32, approaching the oversold threshold (30). After the 4-hour candlestick broke below the lower Bollinger Band, historical patterns suggest an over 80% probability of a "return to the channel after breaking the band," indicating strong short-term rebound potential; ② The key support system is solid. $83,680 is the confluence of the 100-week SMA and the long-term upward trend line, representing strong structural support. The $85,000-$85,500 range has formed a support platform with significant buying interest, having been tested multiple times without breaking; ③ The daily MACD histogram is continuously shrinking, and the DIF and DEA are about to form a golden cross. The 4-hour chart shows decreasing volume and increasing accumulation, indicating complete exhaustion of downward momentum and a clear rebound signal.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:85000-86000
tp:88000-90000-92000
Gold is poised for a breakout.Bullish Core Support: Triple Drivers Bolster the Bottom
Policy and Liquidity Support: The Federal Reserve implemented its third interest rate cut of the year, lowering the target range to 3.5%-3.75%, and simultaneously initiated a technical balance sheet expansion by purchasing $40 billion in short-term Treasury bonds. This high level of purchases will be maintained for several months, effectively supplementing market liquidity and pushing down the US dollar index. Despite policy disagreements, the underlying logic of the easing cycle and liquidity support remains unchanged, reducing the cost of holding gold.
Central Bank Gold Purchases Provide Strong Support: The global central bank gold buying spree continues, with the People's Bank of China increasing its gold holdings for 13 consecutive months. In October, global central banks net purchased 53 tons of gold (a 36% increase month-on-month), with countries like Poland and Brazil continuing to increase their holdings. This national-level gold demand provides strong support. Global gold ETFs have seen net inflows for six consecutive months, with over 700 tons added in 2025, indicating strong institutional confidence in gold allocation.
Technical Support Confluence: The $4287 level corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level on the hourly chart and is close to the short-term oscillation lower bound of $4288-$4290, forming a technical support confluence. The 4-hour chart MACD shows a bullish crossover and high-level oscillation, and the stochastic oscillator is repairing upwards, indicating clear short-term rebound momentum and strong resistance to price declines.
Gold trading strategies
buy:4280-4290
tp:4300-4320-4350





















