Harmonic Patterns
USDCHF 1📌 USDCHF – Sell Limit Setup (Professional Analysis)
🔹 Entry: 0.77200
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.78400
🔹 Take Profit: 0.76000
📉 Market Structure & Bias:
USDCHF is currently trading within a bearish market structure on the higher timeframe, confirmed by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The recent strong impulsive move to the downside indicates clear seller dominance.
🔍 Technical Confluence:
The 0.77200 level aligns with a key supply zone and a previous support turned resistance area.
This zone represents a pullback level after the strong bearish expansion.
Prior price action shows clear bearish rejection from this region, suggesting institutional selling interest.
🛡 Risk Management:
Stop loss is placed above the previous swing high to invalidate the setup if bearish structure fails.
Take profit is positioned near a major support level, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 Trade Expectation:
Price is expected to retrace into the supply zone before resuming bearish continuation toward the downside target.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always apply proper risk management and trade responsibly.
NZDUSD 2📌 NZDUSD – Buy Limit Setup (Professional Analysis)
🔹 Entry: 0.59900
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.58700
🔹 Take Profit: 0.61100
📈 Market Structure & Bias:
NZDUSD is trading within a bullish market structure on the higher timeframe, supported by consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recent price action shows strong bullish momentum, indicating continued buyer control.
🔍 Technical Confluence:
The 0.59900 level represents a key demand and support zone, aligned with a previous consolidation and bullish reaction area.
This zone acts as a pullback level following the recent impulsive bullish move.
Price previously respected this area, confirming strong buying interest and market acceptance.
🛡 Risk Management:
Stop loss is placed below the previous swing low to invalidate the setup if bullish structure breaks.
Take profit is positioned near a key resistance level, offering a clean and favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📌 Trade Expectation:
Price is expected to retrace into the demand zone before resuming bullish continuation toward the upside target.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always apply proper risk management and trade responsibly.
XAGUSD with William Gunn Rule of 7XAGUSD and Gann’s Rule of 7 on the Monthly Chart
One of William Gann’s lesser-understood principles is the so-called Rule of 7.
In his writings, sequences of seven often mark sensitive zones for an existing trend, areas where price action tends to change character, not necessarily reverse, but frequently slow down, correct, or shift phase.
On the monthly chart of XAGUSD, an interesting structure appears:
the latest silver rally has unfolded in seven consecutive price cycles, each cycle roughly matching the size of the consolidation range that preceded the breakout.
Some important clarifications:
• A “cycle” here is defined as a measured expansion of the prior range, not a literal or rigid Gann textbook definition
• This observation is made on a monthly timeframe and is not intended for short-term trading
• The Rule of 7 is not a trigger, it is a contextual framework
The practical takeaway is not that price must reverse.
Rather, reaching the seventh cycle marks a zone where trend continuation becomes statistically less straightforward, and the probability of a change in behavior increases, whether through correction, consolidation, or structural slowdown.
As with most Gann work, the value lies in cycle recognition, not point prediction.
At this stage, silver appears to be approaching a maturity zone in both price expansion and structure, a place where risk assumptions deserve reassessment and certainty should be reduced.
Not a buy signal.
Not a sell signal.
But a level of context that deserves attention.
#XAGUSD Silver – Monthly Chart (Higher Time Frame Analysis Updat📈 #XAGUSD Silver – Monthly Chart (Higher Time Frame Analysis Update)
On the monthly COMEX chart, Silver has reached a historically critical zone — a level it has touched only three times since its inception on the forex market ⚡️
### 🕰 Historical Context
1️⃣ 1980:
Silver made its first-ever major peak around $48, followed by a massive correction all the way down to $5.
2️⃣ April 2011:
The metal created another lifetime high at $49.80, but history repeated itself — price crashed sharply, touching lows near $11.50 in subsequent years.
3️⃣ October 2025 (Current Scenario):
Silver has now printed a new high at $51.20, marking its third attempt in history to sustain above the psychological barrier of $50.
---
### 🔍 Key Technical Outlook
Both previous times, Silver failed to sustain above $50, leading to deep corrections.
Hence, this time, we need to see at least 1–2 consecutive weekly candle closings above the $50–$51 zone to confirm a strong breakout and trend continuation.
Once that confirmation comes in, we could confidently plan fresh long entries, as this would signal a potential super-cycle rally in Silver 🔥
---
### 🎯 Upside Projections
If Silver manages to hold above $50 convincingly, the next major targets on a higher timeframe would be:
* First Target: $60
* Extended Target: $68
This move could potentially open the doors for a massive long-term bullish phase, supported by both technical breakout and global precious metal demand fundamentals 💎
**#XAUUSD – Weekly Higher Timeframe Analysis**
## 📆
We have now extended our view from the **Daily** to the **Weekly timeframe** to get a broader and clearer market structure picture.
After creating a new **lifetime high at 4381**, gold faced **strong rejection** and printed **two consecutive bearish weekly closes**.
However, last week price reacted sharply from the **Weekly Fair Value Gap near 3886**, showing strong demand from that zone ✅
---
### 🟥 **Bearish Scenario**
The level **3886** remains extremely crucial.
If this week gold faces heavy selling pressure and we see a **weekly close below 3790**,
then we may witness a **strong downside continuation** towards:
📍 **3460 – 3242 zone**
This area can act as a **major long-term buying opportunity** if price reaches there.
---
### 🟩 **Bullish Breakout Scenario**
On the upside, if the weekly candle **closes above the previous ATH zone – 4380 to 4400**,
then we may see the start of a **fresh bullish leg** towards:
🚀 **4878 – 5000 zone**
A weekly close above this range would confirm a **continuation of the bigger bullish cycle**.
---
### ✅ **Conclusion**
This week’s **weekly candle close is extremely critical**.
It will decide whether gold enters a **deep pullback phase** or **resumes its strong uptrend**.
Stay patient and follow structure, not emotions. 📊✨
**#XAUUSD Weekly Higher Time-Frame Analysis**📌 **#XAUUSD Weekly Higher Time-Frame Analysis**
The **weekly candle has closed strongly bullish**, which is a very important development.
Previously, **no weekly candle was able to close above the 4250–4260 zone**, but this week we finally got a **weekly close above it** — a clear sign that **strong bullish momentum is building**. 📈🔥
---
### 🔺 **Upside Outlook**
On the weekly timeframe, our **major target comes around 4879**, based on the **advanced Fibonacci extension**.
However, for this move to unlock fully, we need a **weekly candle close above 4381**, which is the **previous lifetime high**.
A confirmed close above this level can open doors for a **very big bullish expansion**.
---
### 🔻 **Pullback Buy Scenario**
On the downside, if price **pulls back and retests the 4250–4260 zone**,
this area — which was earlier a **very strong resistance** — may now act as **strong support**.
If price shows a **bullish reaction from this zone**, we can look for **buy opportunities**.
---
🧠 **Summary:**
* Weekly close above **4250–4260** = bullish strength confirmed
* Weekly close above **4381** = pathway toward **4879**
* Retest of **4250–4260** = potential support-buy zone
Patience and higher-timeframe confirmation remain the key. 📊✨
Regis Corporation RGSP/E (TTM),~0.58x,SHOCKINGLY CHEAP ✅. Extremely low due to one-time tax benefits and accounting gains.
Forward P/E,~14.5x,Reflects a more realistic 2026 earnings forecast. MODERATE ✅.
Free Cash Flow,~$13.7 million,VERY GOOD ✅. They have 4 consecutive quarters of positive cash flow.
ROE,~98%,"PHENOMENAL ✅. Although skewed by small capital base
Debt/Equity,~0.59 (59%),MODARE ⚠️. Debt has come down significantly (was over 1.7 in 2024).
Revenue Growth,~28% (Q1 2026),EXCELLENT ✅.
Cash on Hand,~$15.3m,"MODARE ⚠️. Not much, but operationally sound."
FCF Margin,~6.5%,Stable for a service sector.
Quick Ratio,~0.85,LOW ⚠️. Liquidity is slightly squeezed in the short term.
Inst. Ownership,~45% - 50%,"MODARE ⚠️. There is interest, but it is not dominated by funds."
Current Ratio,~1.10,"MODARE ⚠️. They cover their liabilities, but without much of a buffer."
Analyst DCF,~$77.00,OVER-UNDERVALUED ✅. InvestingPro models show huge potential at ~$25 price.
Wall St Target,$31.50,Potential upside of ~25% in the short term.
Gross Margin,~37.6%,LOW ❌. Far from your 90% (typical for a brick-and-mortar business).
Sales Growth,~28%,
Altman Z-Score,~1.49,RISK ❌. Still in the financial instability zone.
Why is RGS an interesting bet now?
Supercuts Transformation: The company is modernizing its brand and digitizing its processes, which is already driving footfall.
Alline Acquisition: The acquisition of over 280 salons in late 2024 began to bear serious fruit in fiscal 2026, which explains the 28% jump in revenue.
Tax assets: They have huge accumulated tax credits from past losses, which means they won't pay real taxes on their profits for a long time.
Stoneridge SRIInst. Ownership ~95%+ VERY HIGH ✅. Large funds (Citadel, BlackRock) hold almost everything.
DCF (Base Case): Fair value is estimated at around $11.50 - $12.80.
Simply Wall St DCF: They value the stock as 60% undervalued relative to long-term cash flows.
Wall Street Avg Target: $14.50 - $16.00. This represents over 130% upside potential from the current price (~$6.27).
ETH/USD — Bearish Bias Ahead of Fed DecisionETH remains under pressure after a sharp pullback to the 2770–2785 area. The rebound toward 2950 looks purely technical, while macro and regulatory uncertainty ahead of the Fed meeting keeps downside risks elevated.
Bias: Bearish below 2770
⸻
Key Levels
• Resistance: 3165 → 3359 → 3560
• Support: 2770 → 2656 → 2500
⸻
Scenario 1 — Bearish Continuation (Primary)
• Trigger: Daily/4H close below 2770
• Entry: 2760 (SELL STOP)
• Targets:
• TP1: 2656.25
• TP2: 2500.00
• Stop-loss: 2855
• Timeframe: 5–7 days
Rationale:
Break of the former range floor (61.8% Fib) confirms continuation of the downtrend. Weekly structure favors further downside.
⸻
Scenario 2 — Bullish Rebound (Alternative)
• Trigger: Break and hold above 3165
• Entry: 3170 (BUY STOP)
• Targets:
• TP1: 3359.38
• TP2: 3560.00
• Stop-loss: 3040
Rationale:
Reclaim of the 50% Fib and BB midline would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
⸻
Indicators
• Bollinger Bands: Sloping down
• MACD: Negative territory
• Stochastic: Rebounding from oversold
⸻
Conclusion:
ETH is testing a critical support zone ahead of the Fed decision. A confirmed break below 2770 likely accelerates selling toward 2656–2500, while bulls must reclaim 3165 to shift momentum.
Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3)P/E ~3.2x Price to earnings. EXTREMELY LOW ✅. The market values it very conservatively due to its structure.
Forward P/E ~2.9x - 3.1x Forecast price to future earnings. VERY CHEAP ✅. A slight improvement in earnings is expected in 2026.
Free Cash Flow ~$705 million. Real cash after expenses. STABLE ✅, but highly dependent on the dividends it receives from VW and Porsche AG.
ROE ~15.6% Return on equity. GOOD ✅. Covers your criterion of 14.5%.
Debt/Equity ~19.6% (0.20) Debt to equity. EXCELLENT ✅. The holding company has debt of ~$7 billion compared to equity of ~$36 billion - very stable.
Revenue Growth N/A The holding company technically does not have "income" from sales, but from investments. However, earnings are expected to grow significantly in 2026.
PEG ~0.32 Price to Growth. PERFECT ✅. A value below 1.0 indicates a serious underestimation of expected earnings growth.
Dividend Yield ~5.14% Dividend yield. EXCELLENT ✅. Traditionally strong payer, suitable for yield.
Cash on Hand ~$1.95 billion Liquid cash. GOOD ✅. Enough to service interest and current operations.
FCF Margin N/A Not applicable for holding structure.
Quick Ratio 12.5x Immediate liquidity. EXTREMELY HIGH ✅. Can cover their current liabilities 12 times.
Inst. Ownership ~52% (Core) The main stake is held by the Porsche and Piëch families, but the rest is institutional.
Current Ratio ~6.0 Current liquidity. EXCELLENT ✅. Financially extremely stable structure.
Gross Margin 0% / N/A Since it is a holding company, the margin is realized at the Volkswagen/Porsche AG level (where it is around 18-25%).
Sales Growth N/A Sales are reported at the subsidiaries. The forecast for Porsche AG for 2026 is for "recovery".
Altman Z-Score ~1.8 - 2.2 Bankruptcy risk. ATTENTION AREA ⚠️. The value is low, but this is normal for holding companies with large long-term assets (shares in factories).
BTCUSD – 1H Long Setup AnalysisBTCUSD – 1H Long Setup Analysis
Educational purpose only
Market Context
Price formed a weak low near 87,300 and is showing a short-term recovery.
Structure indicates a possible corrective bounce after the recent sell-off.
Price is trying to hold above short-term EMAs, suggesting early bullish strength, but higher resistance remains overhead.
Long Setup (Bullish Scenario)
Entry zone (pullback / hold area): 87,600 – 87,800
This area aligns with short-term support and recovery structure.
Stop Loss (SL)
Stop Loss: 87,200
Below the recent swing low and invalidation of the bullish idea.
Targets
Target 1: 88,450 – 88,650
Target 2: 89,400 – 89,700
Extended Target: 90,300 (previous supply / resistance zone)
Invalidation
A strong 1H close below 87,200 would invalidate the long setup and may open further downside.
Summary
Long idea is counter-trend / recovery-based.
Works best with confirmation and support hold.
Conservative approach: partial profits near first resistance.
For educational purposes only.






















