Harmonic Patterns
USDCAD H4 | Heading Into 50% Fibonacci ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently moving toward the sell entry level, positioned slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell Entry: 1.4037
Pullback resistance
Aligned just above the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 1.4096
Swing high resistance
Positioned slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 1.3982
Strong overlap support
Aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
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EURUSD H4 | Falling Towards Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
The price is currently falling toward the buy entry, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence strengthens the potential for a bullish reaction.
Buy Entry: 1.1583
Strong overlap support
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 1.1547
Pullback support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 1.1665
Swing-high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USDCHF H4 | Potential Bullish Bounce OffMomentum: Bullish
The price has already bounced off the buy entry which is swing low support.
Buy entry: 0.7892
Swing low support
Stop loss: 0.7856
Swing low support
Take profit: 0.8007
Pullback resistance
50% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USDJPY H1 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and has broken past the previous ascending trendline.
Sell entry: 154.39
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 154.779
- Multi-swing high resistance
Take Profit: 153.756
- Multi-swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,030.94
- Strong pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 127.2% Fib extension
Stop Loss: 3,963.75
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 4,111.7
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
XAGUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 49.11
- Strong pullback support
- 71% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 46.89
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 51.98
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
BTCUSD Initial Setup Proposall have labelled everything as per how l am seeing it,
My first attempt on Analysing BTCUSD,
The structure as per how l currently see it will face a somewhat bullish move then continue with the bearish momentum and we enter the market from there
DISCLAIMER : Treat this overwiew as EDUCATIONAL and is not to be treated as Investment advice
What are your thoughts ?
EURCAD – 4H Bullish Opportunity Forming at Discount ZonePrice action on EURCAD is presenting a compelling continuation play, provided we get the correct reaction from the demand zone sitting around 1.6229 – 1.6237.
The current pullback is simply price repricing back into a 4H demand block, aligning cleanly with prior structure, liquidity sweeps, and discounted pricing on the Fibonacci model. This behaviour is textbook in a market that wants to accumulate orders before driving higher.
🔍 Key Observations
1. Clean Liquidity Grab & Pullback
Price rejected the 1.6340 region (TP1 zone) and is now retracing to rebalance inefficiency and pick up unmitigated orders.
This retrace is not weakness , it’s order-flow optimisation.
2. High-Quality Demand Zone at 1.6229 – 1.6237
This zone is where the previous bullish push originated.
It’s the last unmitigated demand block with clean structure beneath it. Meaning institutions have reason to defend it.
3. Bullish Reaction Expected
If we tap into this zone with proper lower-timeframe confirmations (M30–M15), the risk-to-reward setup becomes optimal, targeting a return to 1.6393.
This aligns with:
Prior supply
Equal highs resting above
A large liquidity pool begging to be cleared
4. Smart RR Play
Your projected RR shows smart positioning: stop below structural invalidation at 1.6189, with upside targeting the inefficiency at 1.6393.
🎯 Execution Plan
You’re not chasing.
You’re waiting.
The operational excellence here is in your patience letting price fill the imbalance, test demand, and give confirmation before committing capital.
Entry zone:
📍 1.6229 – 1.6237 (confirmation entry on LTF recommended)
Stop:
📍 Below 1.6189
(Protects against deeper sweep scenarios)
Target:
📍 1.6393
(Major supply & liquidity target)
⚠️ Key Risk Flag – Watch the First Reaction Carefully
If price taps the zone but shows aggressive absorption or distributive behaviour on M5/M1, stand down. This zone sits above deeper liquidity, so a manipulation wick is possible before the real move initiates.
Your edge here is not prediction, it’s reaction based on confirmation.
EURUSD – Bullish Order Flow Targeting Equal Highs & Old HighHello traders,
On the 4H timeframe, EURUSD continues to show clear bullish order flow, moving consistently from internal liquidity toward external liquidity.
Price is currently reacting to the bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), and as long as this area holds, I expect continuation to the upside.
📌 Targets:
• 1.16560 – equal highs (first target)
• 1.16688 – old high / draw on liquidity (final target)
The structure is simple:
Price takes internal liquidity → reacts from bullish PD Arrays → seeks external liquidity.
As long as bullish FVG support holds, I remain bullish on EURUSD.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
BTC Weekly Update | Still in Uptrend – Next Target 140K to 150KIn the start of 2025 (10 Feb), I shared a #BTC analysis when Bitcoin was trading around 95K, and our buying zone was clearly mentioned between 86K – 79K.
#BTC perfectly touched this zone and gave over 100% return!
Our position is still active and in strong profit.
Now, once again on the weekly timeframe, #BTC is showing a potential AB=CD pattern formation.
Currently, #BTC is moving within the Fibonacci golden zone (0.382–0.5), testing the trend line, and testing the EMA 50, theses are strong technical confluence zones for a bullish continuation.
Spot Trade Plan:
We will accumulate #BTC at CMP (Current Market Price).
Futures Trade Plan:
For confirmation, we will wait for:
A bullish candle on the 1D timeframe
A bullish divergence on the 4H chart
A clear breakout of the resistance zone
Once confirmed, we’ll look for a long setup with proper risk management.
Trend Outlook:
#BTC remains in a strong uptrend, and the next potential target zone could be around 140K – 150K if bullish momentum continues.
What’s your view on #BTC — are you bullish or expecting a deeper correction? Drop your thoughts below!
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Bullish #ABCDPattern #Fibonacci #Uptrend #EMA50
The logic for going long on BitcoinETF outflows ≠ bearish sentiment; OTC market is secretly maneuvering
The Bitcoin ETF has seen a cumulative outflow of $2.8 billion in the past month. This is not an indication of institutional bearishness; rather, it is a shift of funds from "off the books" to "on the books". Major banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs have taken positions through the OTC market, with the volume of off-exchange transactions surging by 78% in 30 days. This was done to circumvent the restrictions of ETF subscription and redemption rules. This "openly reducing while secretly increasing" pattern occurred at the bottom of the bear market in March 2020 and led to a 170% increase in Bitcoin prices over the following 6 months. Data from Bitfinex shows that the balance of wallets holding over 10,000 Bitcoin decreased by only 1.5% in October. This was not a panic sell-off; rather, it was a gradual profit-taking in the context of weak ETF demand, resetting positions for the next rally.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:95500-96500
tp:98000-99000
sl:94000
GOAT/USDT — Critical Decision Zone: Major Reversal or Breakdown?GOAT is now sitting at the most critical level since its earlier distribution phase: the price has returned to retest the Primary Structural Base at 0.041–0.035, a zone that previously triggered a major bullish expansion.
This area is not just support — it is the battleground that decides the next macro direction.
The entire downtrend from the peak has formed a consistent descending wave structure, yet each drop into the 0.041–0.035 block has been met with aggressive buy absorption. This indicates that a large liquidity cluster sits within this zone and may act as the pivot for a significant reversal.
---
Pattern & Market Structure Overview
Price action is currently forming a low-compression pattern into the key support.
This typically ends with either:
a strong impulsive reversal, or
a high-momentum breakdown into deeper liquidity zones.
The latest 2D candle closed right above the upper boundary (0.041), showing buyers are still defending — but the momentum remains fragile.
Overhead resistance levels (0.0635 → 0.0885 → 0.114 → 0.150 → 0.1999) form a clean ladder of recovery targets if a bounce is confirmed.
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Bullish Scenario — “Major Accumulation Rebound”
This scenario activates if:
1. Price holds and rebounds strongly from 0.041–0.035.
2. A clean 2D close above 0.0635 appears — this zone is the Bullish Trigger.
Once confirmed, the market shifts from a downtrend into a recovery structure, with step targets:
0.0635 → Reversal validation
0.0885 → Momentum expansion
0.114–0.150 → Mid-range trend shift
0.1999 → Major structural retest
From the support zone to the upper targets, the upside potential can reach +300%, but only with full bullish confirmation.
---
Bearish Scenario — “Liquidity Flush Breakdown”
A strong breakdown below 0.035 signals buyer exhaustion.
If that occurs:
Price will likely drop quickly into 0.02684 (previous liquidity wick).
If 0.02684 fails, the chart may enter a capitulation phase, opening the path toward the low 0.02 region.
This would confirm the continuation of the primary downtrend.
---
Core Conclusion
GOAT is positioned inside a macro decision zone.
The 0.041–0.035 range determines whether we see:
the end of the prolonged bearish cycle and the beginning of a major reversal, or
the start of a deeper capitulation leg, as the market hunts lower liquidity.
This makes the zone both the highest-reward entry area and the highest-risk failure point.
#GOATUSDT #GOAT #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportZone #Breakout #BullishScenario #BearishScenario #CryptoTA #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC BIG SHORT Why Bitcoin Might Fall: Potential Risks and Market DynamicsBitcoin (BTC), the flagship of the cryptocurrency market, has long captured the attention of both investors and speculators. However, Bitcoin’s price does not always follow an upward trend and can experience significant declines. So, what are the reasons behind a potential drop in Bitcoin’s price? In this article, we will explore the key factors that could trigger a downturn in Bitcoin’s value.1. Macroeconomic Factors and Global Economic UncertaintyBitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," is heavily influenced by global economic conditions. For instance:Interest Rates and Monetary Policies: When central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), raise interest rates, demand for risky assets tends to decrease. Higher interest rates may push investors toward cash or fixed-income assets, reducing the appeal of volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Inflation and Recession Concerns: During periods of high inflation or economic downturns, investors may need liquidity and sell off Bitcoin to convert their portfolios to cash, creating downward pressure on its price.
Strengthening U.S. Dollar: Bitcoin often exhibits an inverse correlation with the U.S. dollar. When the U.S. dollar index (DXY) rises, Bitcoin’s value may face pressure.
2. Regulatory PressuresCryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are under the scrutiny of global regulators. Bitcoin’s price is directly affected by regulatory developments:Restrictive Laws: Some countries may impose restrictive regulations on cryptocurrency usage. For example, China’s 2021 bans on crypto trading and mining led to significant drops in Bitcoin’s price.
Tax and Reporting Requirements: Increasing tax regulations or transparency requirements for crypto transactions could cause individual and institutional investors to exit the market.
Stablecoin and Exchange Regulations: Regulations targeting stablecoins or major crypto exchanges could lead to liquidity issues and panic selling in the market.
3. Technical Factors and Market ManipulationBitcoin’s market is heavily influenced by technical analysis and trader behavior:Large-Scale Sales (Whale Movements): Large Bitcoin holders, known as "whales," can trigger price drops by selling significant amounts, often sparking chain-reaction sales.
Liquidity Crises: Low liquidity in crypto exchanges can amplify the impact of large sell orders, causing sharp price declines.
BTC At the Edge of Breakdown or Reversal?!!!Bitcoin has once again tapped the lower boundary of the descending channel, creating a clean liquidity sweep inside a major demand zone. This area has repeatedly triggered strong bullish reactions, and the current price action shows early signs of another potential rebound.
As long as BTC holds above the channel low, a corrective move toward 98K → 102K → 105K remains on the table.
However, the broader structure is still bearish until a confirmed breakout above the red trendline and the upper channel levels is achieved.
Key Levels:
• Support: Channel Low + Demand Zone
• Resistance: Red Trendline, 98K, 102K, 105K
• Bias: Short-Term Bullish Correction, Mid-Term Bearish Structure
📌 Clear invalidation occurs if price breaks down below the channel with a strong close.
BTC 95K is DONE. WATCHING FOR 100K BounceMorning folks,
So, our plan worked perfect, BTC collapsed as we suggested. Now price is at oversold as on daily as on weekly TF and at support. So, it is reasonable to expect a tactical bounce, somewhere back to 100K. And it could start from a kind of reverse H&S on 1H Chart .
If it starts at all...
But it is not interesting... today we probably can't escape some fundamental analysis. I don't believe in occasional coincidence of stock market collapse right at the eve of Thanksgiving and Xmas and appearing of Epstein compromat on D. Trump. Meantime Donny is loosing all his allies - Musk, Carlson, Now M. Taylor Greene.
I wouldn't worry too much, if I would not see a big bearish signs on BTC, suggesting drop to 80K and even 50K in perspective. As you understand, this could happen only in a case of total collapse on stock market.
Buckle up and be prepared. No longs by far. Wait for mentioned pullback to consider a new shorts.
Take care, S.
EURUSD downside target: 1.154On the 4-hour chart, EURUSD encountered resistance and fell back after testing the previous supply zone, forming a bearish bat pattern in the short term. Currently, watch for resistance around 1.162; consider shorting if it rebounds and encounters resistance. Support is around 1.154, and a break below that level would target the 1.147-1.150 area.
Uptrend Oscillation: Pullback Post-Open, 1.3300 BreakoutGenerally, it’s still in an upward oscillation.
Post-market opening, a minor retracement is expected before the uptrend resumes, with significant resistance near 1.3300—await a breakout
Buy 1.31500 - 1.31600
TP 1.31900 - 1.32400 - 1.32800
Accurate signals updated daily. They serve as a reliable guide for trading issues – feel free to refer to them. Hope they help!






















