Harmonic Patterns
UNH set to breach 430$ in the near termNYSE:UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) is showing all the technical and fundamental signs of a major bullish reversal. After a steep decline, the weekly chart has now triggered a powerful signal: the 9-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) has crossed above the 20-period SMA, confirming short-term momentum and marking the start of a new uptrend.
This crossover, highlighted in the chart, historically precedes large moves higher, especially when supported by rising trading volume and positive company developments. What’s even better, UNH just released robust earnings that beat market expectations, demonstrating the company's resilience and growth potential even in challenging environments. Q3 revenue reached $113.2 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase driven by double-digit growth in both UnitedHealthcare and Optum segment
Technically, there’s a clear path towards the near-term resistance around $436, and a break above this level could open the door for a run back to previous highs near $487. With a recovery in fundamentals and a high-probability technical setup, UNH now has the potential to deliver gains of over 40% from current prices—backed by both chart dynamics and a strong earnings trend.
My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700
As shown in Figure 4h:
My ultimate target for a gold dip: $3700
$3950: Primary Resistance (Aggressive Shorting Zone)
$4060: Secondary Resistance (Conservative Shorting Zone)
If my analysis doesn't indicate that you set a stop-loss on your short position, or if you don't understand my clear trading plan, I recommend reviewing my strategy and analysis from yesterday.
Today, gold prices fell to around $3900 as expected, and we made a substantial profit. Now we patiently await a rebound and a pullback, potentially testing resistance around $3950.
As long as gold prices remain around or below $3950, our strategy remains: continue shorting.
Note: If gold prices rebound and stabilize above $3950, caution is advised. Exit the market cautiously and wait and see. Meanwhile, gold prices will continue to test resistance in the $4000-4050 range.
The primary strategy for the coming week is to short at high levels.
Today's gold trading strategyThe strength of the US dollar has become the "dominant restraining force". The US dollar index has firmly reached the 107.5 mark, reaching a new high in the past year, exerting continuous pressure on gold. The US ISM manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rebounded to 50.2 (returning to the expansion zone) in October, while the service sector PMI remained at a stable 51.8 level. The resilience of economic data has completely dispelled the market's expectation of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. In contrast, the inflation rate in the Eurozone has fallen faster than expected, raising expectations for an interest rate cut by the ECB. The widening US-Eurozone interest rate gap has increased the attractiveness of the US dollar. This currency strength and weakness contrast is unlikely to reverse in the short term. As a substitute for non-US assets, the value of gold continues to decline.
Today's gold trading strategy
sell:3930-3940
tp:3920-3910
sl:3950
TSLA is going UP! .. time to buy!Tsla aka Tesla was stuck in-between 2 powerful support and resistance zones (the red and green lines) .. It finally broke to the upside and broke above the resistance level. It is now very likely to head to the next resistance zone which was the previous high (the next resistance zone has been drawn as the white line shown on the chart) - this is where we will be taking profit at. BUY NOW!
DIA enters breakdown trendDIA has officially entered a breakdown phase after losing its key short-term structure and falling back into the breakdown volume zone.
The sharp rejection from the $0.86 level triggered heavy selling pressure, confirming a shift in short-term trend momentum.
📉 Current outlook:
Price is now consolidating between $0.60 – $0.38 within the breakdown range.
Volume is elevated, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation.
Unless DIA reclaims $0.65+, the trend remains bearish.
📊 Observation:
This move resembles a post-hype correction where early buyers exit and liquidity thins out.
The next key level to monitor for reaction sits near $0.38 support — a potential short-term base if selling slows down.
💬 Summary:
DIA is currently trading in a breakdown trend, with risk leaning to the downside until structure rebuilds above $0.65.
TECH MARKET MENAGERIE PUTS GOLD SPOT 10% OFF. TO WHERE IT GOES?!Due to recent stock market menagerie appetite, Gold's spot market has experienced a sharp correction, with prices dropping over 10% from recent record highs above $4,400 per ounce to levels just under $4,000 in late October 2025.
This decline, the steepest in over a decade, followed an extraordinary rally characterized by aggressive speculative buying and "fear of missing out" momentum trades.
The abrupt reversal was primarily driven by profit-taking, unwinding of leveraged positions, and the market reaching extreme overbought conditions rather than major shifts in fundamental drivers such as inflation or geopolitical risk.
After nine weeks of sustainable Gold market growth, Gold futures volatility CBOE:GVZ has almost doubled in price from 20 points to up to 35, from early by mid-October 2025 that left no chance to avoid further Gold market turmoil (that has appeared in the 2nd half of October, 2025).
Gold spot and volatility over the past twelve months.
In the near term, volatility is expected to stay elevated as traders reassess risk after the technical correction. While some analysts warn of continued downside—suggesting the rally may have been overextended and that further declines toward $3,500 per ounce are possible if sentiment worsens - others emphasize that structural supports like central bank demand and global uncertainty remain intact, limiting the long-term bearish case.
Thus, while the sharp correction has tested investor nerves, the broader outlook remains constructive if gold holds key support levels above 50-day SMA ($3780-3800 per ounce in this given time), through the current repositioning phase.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Descending Triangle Pattern.KSBP Analysis
Closed at 205.39 (28-10-2025)
Descending Triangle Pattern.
If the immediate Support (around
204 - 206) is broken, we may see
further selling pressure; may be towards
150ish.
However, upside resistance 220, if crossed
with good volumes, we may witness
upside trend.
GOLD- STOP TRADING,WAIT FOR GOOD SIGNAL
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion, please feel free command me.
CAKE/USDT Short Set-upCAKE/USDT Short Re-entry
— A return to retest the repeatedly tested level. The price failed to break above the daily MA50 (2.95). If the overall market index continues to move down, there’s a high probability of a retest of the daily MA200 and the strong support zone around 2.2–2.3.
— Entry: $2.694 (market sell)
— Stop: $2.82 — 5% price move from entry to stop (not the loss percentage).
— Target: $2.315
Risk per trade: 0.5% of total equity (actual loss percentage).
Position size: 10% of total equity, with 10x leverage.
Risk-to-Reward: 1 : 2.63
US30 lost its low time frame — possible breakdown aheadUS30 lost its low time frame — possible breakdown ahead ⚠️
US30 has lost its low time frame structure, showing early signs of weakness after the recent push to 47.5K.
The current price action suggests that momentum is fading, and sellers may start to take control.
📉 Short-term view:
Structure break below 47.5K zone confirms loss of bullish control.
The next visible support area sits around 47.1K, followed by 46.1K.
With time, price could continue to drift down toward the start level near 45.1K if buyers fail to defend.
📊 Observation:
Volume has started to cool off, and price is trading below the short-term EMA range — a typical setup before a gradual downward retrace.
💬 Summary:
US30 lost its low time frame momentum and looks to break down step by step toward the start level zone. We’ll monitor if buyers can react near 47.1K or if this becomes a broader correction phase.
XAU/USD – 4H ABCD Harmonic Pattern | Possible Bullish ReversalXAU/USD – 4H ABCD Harmonic Pattern | Possible Bullish Reversal Toward 4850 🟡📈
Hey traders 👋
Gold has been on an impressive run recently, but now we’re entering a key retracement phase, setting up for what could become a textbook ABCD pattern completion.
The structure suggests that once price finishes its C-leg correction into the highlighted demand zone, there’s room for a strong bullish continuation — potentially extending all the way toward 4850.
🧩 Pattern Structure:
A → B: Strong impulsive move upward, defining the current bullish leg.
B → C: Deep retracement in progress — targeting the golden zone (0.618–0.65 fib retrace).
C → D: Expected next impulse, projected by the AB = CD symmetry and extended fib target (around 1.618).
Once C confirms support and holds within the shaded demand zone, we could see the next leg (D) launch.
📊 Technical Confluence:
Fibonacci retracement: 0.617 aligning with structural support — a high-probability reaction area.
Volume Profile: Strong buying interest clustered in this range, visible on the left-hand histogram.
RSI Divergence Indicator: Showing multiple bullish signals at local lows — early momentum hinting at buyer re-entry.
Market Structure: Uptrend intact on higher timeframes; current move appears corrective, not reversal.
This alignment gives weight to a bullish continuation scenario once the correction completes.
🎯 Trade Outlook
Entry Zone: Around projected “C” completion within the demand box.
Stop-Loss: Below the structural low / invalidation zone.
Take-Profit:
TP1: Near mid-structure resistance.
TP2: Previous high area.
TP3 / Final Target: 4850, projected from the full harmonic leg extension (AB = CD).
This setup offers a massive risk/reward potential, provided confirmation triggers (bullish candles, divergence hold, or breakout of minor structure).
⚠️ Key Notes
If price breaks below the green demand box, the pattern invalidates.
A retest confirmation or divergence hold will increase probability before entering long.
Watching the DXY for additional confirmation — a weakening dollar could accelerate this bullish scenario.
📌 Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H ABCD Setup Building Toward 4850 | Awaiting C-Leg Completion for Long Entry
Are you buying the dip at the C-zone or waiting for bullish confirmation first? Drop your view 👇
#XAUUSD #Gold #HarmonicPatterns #ABCDPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #SwingTrade #BullishSetup
Today's gold trading strategyThe strong dollar trend has taken shape and formed a "suppression loop"
Recently, the US dollar index has surpassed the 107 mark, reaching a new high since November last year, exerting strong pressure on gold prices. This strength is not a short-term fluctuation but the result of the resonance of three factors: The US third-quarter GDP grew at an annual rate of 4.9%, and in October, non-farm payrolls increased by 336,000. The economic resilience exceeded expectations, completely dispelling the market's aggressive expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates; The European Central Bank released dovish signals suggesting a possible early end to interest rate hikes, forming a "scissors gap" with the Fed's policy, driving European capital to flow into US assets; Japan's intervention in the foreign exchange market led to a contraction in US liquidity, further strengthening the scarcity of the US dollar. Historical data shows that the correlation coefficient between the US dollar index and gold prices is -0.87. For every 1% increase in the US dollar, the average gold price drops by 1.2%. Under the current strong trend, the pressure on gold prices is inevitable.
Today's gold trading strategy
sell:3900-3910
tp:3890~3880
sl:3920
#CHR/USDT Buy Opportunity#CHR
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 0.0694, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.0706
First target: 0.0720
Second target: 0.0738
Third target: 0.0764
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#AUCTION/USDT — Major Accumulation or Bearish Continuation?#AUCTION
The price is moving in an ascending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 6.90, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 7.11
First target: 7.30
Second target: 7.66
Third target: 8.11
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold experienced a sharp decline last week, but found support around the $4,000 zone, leading to a modest rebound.
Since then, the price has entered a range-bound phase, oscillating between key support and resistance levels.
Current Outlook:
The next directional move depends on a breakout from this consolidation range:
A break above the resistance zone could trigger a move toward the previous high.
Conversely, a break below the support zone would likely signal a deeper bearish continuation and formation of new lows.
For now, gold remains in a neutral range, and it’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
QQQ RSI high + Stoch 98Expect a cool-off or pullback within 1-2 sessions - not necessarily a trend reversal, but enough for those gap fills ($625 to $617), historically ~2-3% fade over the next few sessions
Market-makers and dealers are short gamma after a week of heavy call buying (Fed cut bets + tech earnings)
As QQQ keeps rising, they must buy more QQQ shares to hedge, which pushes prices even higher
It’s a self-reinforcing loop… until call buyers stop pressing or IV rolls off
Stochastic at 98 is extremely overbought
Each prior time the 4H Stoch hit this zone (see late June, late August & mid-October), QQQ pulled back 1.5-3 % within 1-3 candles (roughly 12-24 hours)
RSI: 70.5 is at the classic “overbought” threshold
RSI’s slope is still positive, but you can already see momentum flattening which is a common pre-fade signal
When RSI ≈ 70 + stoch > 95, QQQ often pauses or retraces to the 20d EMA or VWAP on the 4H chart
In this case, that support sits near $616-$618, lining up with the open gap from last week
If momentum fully resets, a deeper test toward $610-$612 (previous breakout base) becomes possible before bulls step back in
The rally from ~$604 to $628 happened in less than three sessions - a parabolic extension
It was likely fueled by gamma-hedging flows (dealers buying stock to cover short calls)
Once those flows slow, momentum traders often take profits & dealers sell back shares - fast, but contained dip
$626-$628
Short-term resistance
If rejected here, fade likely
$618
First support/minor gap
Ideal first-target for any pullback
$610–$612
VWAP/20d EMA confluence
Stronger support, potential re-entry
$635-$640
Upside extension
Only if RSI resets & buyers rotate back in
KSE 100 Index - Technical AnalysisCurrent Status: The index is at 162,271, down 98 points (-0.08%), showing consolidation near key support levels.
Key Technical Observations:
Channel Structure: The index has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel (white lines) since August. Price is currently testing the lower boundary of this channel around 162,000-162,500, which coincides with horizontal support.
Critical Support Zone: The current level around 162,000 represents a significant support area where price has bounced multiple times in recent weeks. This is also where the rising channel support meets previous resistance-turned-support.
Trend Line: The blue ascending trendline from the August lows provides additional dynamic support around 160,000. This represents the last major defense for bulls before a deeper correction.
Pattern: Price has formed lower highs since early October, suggesting weakening momentum within the channel. The recent decline from 169,000+ shows sellers gaining control.
Outlook:
Bullish scenario: A bounce from current levels could target the channel midpoint around 165,000-166,000
Bearish scenario: A break below 162,000 would likely test the blue trendline near 160,000, with further downside to 158,000 if that fails
Key Levels:
Resistance: 164,000 | 166,000 | 169,000
Support: 162,000 | 160,000 | 158,000
The index is at a critical juncture - holding 162,000 maintains the uptrend structure, while breaking it signals potential correction to lower channel support.
Elite Invest Market Insight ⚠️
The market is very choppy these days even I haven’t entered fully, except for a few low-exposure trades, as the risk level is quite high.
Currently, the market keeps rotating its focus daily, and this is the time of year when many traders end up losing the profits they made over the last three quarters.
🧭 How to safeguard yourself in this environment:
Take as few trades as possible focus on quality, not quantity.
Book profits whenever your trades are in green.
Reduce exposure and offload positions that are at break-even or minor loss.
Free up cash so you can enter only when there’s a high-probability setup with strong confirmation.
Patience and discipline will protect your capital in volatile times like these. Remember cash is also a position. 💡
Gold Market Update: Correction Mode 3750/3500 USD possible🟡 Where We Are Right now
After ripping to fresh records, gold snapped hard — WSJ logged the steepest one-day loss in years last week and a follow-through weekly drop as longs unwound.
Analysts across Kitco and others frame this as a technical/positioning correction after a parabolic run, with a fight around the $4k handle and scope to probe $3,750 → $3,500 if selling persists.
Sentiment/flows flipped: GLD and other gold ETFs saw notable outflows into the selloff after heavy YTD inflows. That flow reversal is consistent with a near-term correction phase.
🔻 Why the Market Is Correcting Now
1️⃣ Positioning & Froth Unwinds
The rally attracted outsized speculative length; once momentum cracked, forced de-risking kicked in. WSJ called out “long unwind” dynamics; Kitco says the correction could persist for months as near-term drivers fade.
2️⃣ $4k Failed on First Retest; Technical Break Triggered Stops
Kitco flagged a “fight for $4k” with downside risk if that shelf gives. Once sub-4k prints hit, systematic sellers likely accelerated.
3️⃣ Flow Flip in ETFs
After massive 2025 inflows, GLD posted a sharp daily outflow during the drop — classic late-cycle reversal behavior for a momentum move.
4️⃣ Macro Balance Less Supportive at the Margin
Even with long-term tailwinds (deficits/geopolitics), the recent leg higher ran ahead of fundamentals. Kitco and others note easing physical tightness and cooling central-bank buying pace compared with earlier in the year, removing a key prop for spot.
⚙️ Near-Term Levels That Matter (Tactical)
$4,000 → Battle zone. Regaining and holding above turns near-term tone neutral.
$3,750 → First meaningful downside target; aligns with multiple analysts’ “healthy pullback” zone.
$3,500 → Deeper correction magnet if flows/positioning continue to bleed; widely discussed as a plausible washout level.
🔮 4–8 Week Catalyst Map (What Can Push Price)
🏛️ Macro / Policy
Treasury Quarterly Refunding (Nov 5): Mix/size guidance can sway the long-end, USD, and real yields — key for gold. A heavier bill tilt (and steady coupons) is less threatening than a surprise coupon ramp.
Fed Communication Cadence: With the Oct 28–29 FOMC just occurred, watch minutes (Nov 19) + any guidance shifts. A less-dovish tone or firmer real yields = near-term headwind; growth scares or easing bias = support.
US Data Prints: CPI/PCE, NFP, ISM — anything that re-prices the path of real rates. (Direction of real yields remains the single most important macro input.)
💰 Flows & Positioning
ETF Flows (GLD/IAU): Continued outflows would confirm distribution; a turn back to net inflows often leads price inflections.
COT Positioning: If spec length compresses materially, downside fuel diminishes — setting up a cleaner base. (Track weekly CFTC updates.)
🪙 Physical / Seasonal
India Demand (festive/wedding season) and China retail demand can stabilize spot if discounts narrow and premiums re-emerge, but Kitco notes near-term tightness has eased versus the squeeze earlier in the rally.
📈 Base Case Outlook (Next 4–8 Weeks)
Trend: We’re in a bull-market correction — momentum currently with sellers — inside a bigger, intact secular uptrend. WSJ + Kitco both frame it as a technical consolidation after a near-vertical ascent.
Range Expectation: $3,500–$4,100 with whipsaws around $4k. The market likely tests $3,750 and could overshoot to $3,500 on negative macro surprises or persistent outflows before attempting a higher-low base.
Bull Re-acceleration Triggers:
(a) USD/real-yield rollover post-Refunding/Fed minutes
(b) A visible reversal in ETF flows
(c) Stabilization in Asia physical premiums
(d) Fresh geopolitical shocks
Bear Extension Risks:
(a) Firmer real yields / stronger USD
(b) Deeper ETF outflows and CTA/systematic supply
(c) Evidence of slower central-bank demand than H1
(d) Soft physical uptake into dips
⚔️ Trade / Hedge Tactics
If Underweight/Flat:
Stagger bids $3,760 → $3,520, scale size smaller into weakness; insist on confirmation (stops above prior day’s high) before adding.
If Long From Higher:
Respect $3,750 — below it, tighten or partially hedge (short miners, long USD vs. FX beta, or buy short-dated puts) targeting $3,500 as a potential flush.
If Momentum Trader:
Let $4,000 decide regime. Sustained reclaims with rising on-balance volume/ETF creations = green light for a bounce to $4,080–$4,150; failure = fade rallies into $3,950–$3,980.
🧭 What I’m Watching Day-to-Day
1️⃣ Treasury refunding headlines (Nov 5) and term-premium reaction.
2️⃣ Fed minutes (Nov 19) and any shift in balance-of-risks language.
3️⃣ GLD/IAU flow tape (creations/redemptions).
4️⃣ Kitco/WSJ desk color on physical tightness and dealer inventories.
Gold next week Key S/R Levels and Outlook for Traders🔥 GOLD WEEKLY SNAPSHOT — BY PROJECTSYNDICATE
🏆 High/Close: $4,380 → ~$4,112 — lower close within range; momentum cooled but holding the $4,000 handle.
📈 Trend: Uptrend intact > $4,000; oversold into $4.1k—setup favors reflex bounce.
🛡 Supports: $4,120–$4,080 → $4,020–$3,988 (bullish liquidity) → $4,000/3,980 must hold.
🚧 Resistances: $4,200 / $4,250 (bearish liquidity) / $4,300 → stretch $4,350–$4,380.
🧭 Bias next week: Buy-the-dip $4,020–$3,988; momentum regain above $4,200 targets $4,250 → $4,300–$4,350. Invalidation < $3,980 risks a deeper flush to $3,950.
🌍 Macro tailwinds:
• Policy: Easing real yields supportive on dips.
• FX: Softer USD tone = constructive backdrop.
• Flows: Central-bank buying + tactical ETF interest underpin $4k.
• Geopolitics: Trade/tariff & regional tensions keep safety bids alive.
🎯 Street view: Select houses still float $5,000/oz by 2026 on policy easing & reserve-diversification narratives.
________________________________________
🔝 Key Resistance Zones
• $4,200–$4,230 immediate supply from the weekly close
• $4,250 bearish liquidity / primary target
• $4,300–$4,350 extension band
• $4,380 prior spike high / stretch
🛡 Support Zones
• $4,120–$4,080 first retest band below close
• $4,020–$3,988 buy zone (bullish liquidity)
• $4,000 / $3,980 must-hold shelf
________________________________________
⚖️ Base Case Scenario
Expect pullbacks into $4,120–$4,080 and $4,020–$3,988 to attract buyers, rotating price back toward $4,200 then $4,250. Acceptance above $4,250 invites a drive into $4,300–$4,350.
🚀 Breakout Trigger
A sustained push/acceptance > ~$4,250 unlocks $4,300 → $4,350, with room toward $4,380 if momentum persists.
💡 Market Drivers
• Real-yield drift lower (supportive carry backdrop)
• USD softness aiding metals
• Ongoing CB accumulation; ETF flows stabilizing on dips
• Headline risk (trade/geopolitics) sustaining safe-haven demand
🔓 Bull / Bear Trigger Lines
• Bullish above: $4,020–$4,100 (buyers defend pullbacks)
• Bearish below: $3,980 (risk expands; threatens $3,950)
🧭 Strategy
Buy low from bullish liquidity (~$3,988) with a target at $4,250; oversold conditions favor a strong bounce. Add on strength above $4,200 toward $4,300–$4,350. Keep risk tight below $3,980–$4,000 to invalidate.






















