EUR/USD – Key Intraday OutlookEUR/USD – Key Intraday Outlook | Liquidity Sweep + Rejection From Premium Zone
Overview
EUR/USD continues to trade within a well-defined range as price reacts repeatedly to premium and discount zones. The chart shows multiple structural flips (ChoCH, BOS) confirming that the market is hunting liquidity on both sides before making a decisive move. Today’s narrative focuses on how price responds to the premium supply zone around 1.16650–1.16780 and the discount demand zones at 1.16000–1.16250.
Market Structure Analysis
1. Price rejected from the premium supply zone
The upper red zone between 1.16650 – 1.16780 has acted as a strong supply region. Every visit has produced lower highs, indicating a weak high and confirming sellers’ presence.
The recent push upward was quickly absorbed, forming a clean rejection wick—showing smart-money distribution.
2. Mid-range liquidity grab
The cluster of ChoCH signals through the middle of the chart reflects liquidity sweeps as price gathers orders before a directional expansion.
The current position at 1.16360 sits right at a short-term decision point where the market will choose whether to revisit premium or return to discount.
3. Discount demand zones remain attractive for long setups
Two key demand zones are visible:
1.16250 – 1.16300 (upper discount zone)
1.15950 – 1.16080 (major discount zone)
Both zones have produced impulsive bullish reactions previously. If price taps into them again, traders may look for continuation buys—provided structure confirms.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance
1.16650 – 1.16780 (major supply zone)
1.16880 (weak high liquidity level)
Support
1.16250 – 1.16300 (intraday demand)
1.15950 – 1.16080 (strong higher-timeframe demand)
1.15800 (extreme discount liquidity)
Trading Strategy for Today
Scenario 1: Sell From Premium Zone
If price retests 1.16650 – 1.16780, look for:
bearish ChoCH on M5–M15
rejection wicks
liquidity sweep above weak high
Target areas:
1.16300, then 1.16080
This setup aligns with the current bearish order-flow from premium to discount.
Scenario 2: Buy From Discount Zones
If price returns to 1.16250 – 1.16300 and shows bullish reaction:
bullish ChoCH
fair value gap fill
confirmation candle
Targets:
1.16550, then 1.16700
A deeper pullback into 1.15950 – 1.16080 offers an even higher-probability setup for buyers.
Summary
EUR/USD remains range-bound but highly technical, with liquidity sweeps defining today’s movement.
The key to navigating this session is waiting patiently for price to reach extremes—either the premium supply zone or the discount demand zones—before executing trades.
Harmonic Patterns
GBPUSD – Intraday AnalysisGBPUSD – Intraday Analysis
Key Levels, Market Structure and Trade Scenarios
GBPUSD remains in a corrective phase after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Price is currently trading around the EMA cluster on H1, showing signs of weakening momentum as buyers fail to reclaim the short-term structure. The pair continues to oscillate between two major zones: the resistance at 1.3385–1.3400 and the support around 1.3285–1.3300.
Market Structure
The uptrend leg that originated from the early-December accumulation zone is now losing steam. Price has broken beneath the short-term dynamic support and is hovering around the 200-EMA, which often acts as a neutrality line during consolidation phases.
Current structure suggests a potential liquidity sweep toward the lower support before any bullish continuation attempt.
Fibonacci & Trendline Behavior
The pullback is aligning with the 38.2%–50% retracement zone of the major impulsive move. If buyers defend this region, the market may form a fresh higher low, allowing the trendline to remain valid for another rally attempt.
Key Support
1.3285–1.3300: Major intraday demand zone and previous breakout area.
1.3238: Deeper liquidity target if the first support fails.
Key Resistance
1.3350–1.3360: Immediate supply where price previously stalled.
1.3385–1.3400: Higher-timeframe resistance and the top of the current consolidation range.
Intraday Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Reaction from Support
If GBPUSD drops into the 1.3285–1.3300 zone and forms a clear rejection candle or RSI divergence, the probability of a rebound increases.
Target 1: 1.3350
Target 2: 1.3385–1.3400
This scenario matches the projected upward leg shown on the chart.
Scenario 2: Sell-the-Rally Opportunity
If the market retests 1.3350–1.3360 but fails to close above these EMAs and horizontal resistance, bearish continuation could resume.
Targets include 1.3310 and 1.3290.
Scenario 3: Breakout Continuation
A confirmed H1 close above 1.3400 may open the path for higher expansion, potentially pulling GBPUSD toward 1.3450.
Conclusion
GBPUSD is currently in a compression range with neither side in full control. Traders should watch price action closely at 1.3285–1.3300 for potential bullish setups, and at 1.3350–1.3360 for trend-continuation signals.
XAUUSD – Intraday OutlookGold continues to move inside a broad consolidation range as buyers and sellers struggle for control near the EMA cluster on H1. The chart shows price repeatedly rejecting both the upper resistance band around 4250–4260 and the lower demand zone near 4175–4180, forming a balanced structure before the next expansion phase.
Market Structure & Trendline Context
The short-term trendline from recent swing lows remains intact, but momentum has weakened as candles close beneath the EMA 34/89 cloud. This signals fading bullish strength and increases the probability of a liquidity sweep toward the lower support zone before any meaningful rebound.
Fibonacci & Price Behavior
The current decline is approaching the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci pocket of the previous impulsive leg. Historically, this area has acted as a re-accumulation zone when market sentiment is not aggressively bearish. A reaction here could create the right shoulder of a bullish structure.
Support Levels
4180–4175: Major intraday support where price previously created a strong reversal.
4145–4135: Deeper liquidity pool and last-defense support of the broader structure.
Resistance Levels
4235–4245: Immediate supply zone aligned with EMA compression and previous rejection wicks.
4255–4265: Key higher-timeframe resistance and the major target area if price breaks upward.
Intraday Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Rebound from Support
If price reaches the 4175–4180 support zone and forms a clear rejection with RSI divergence:
Target 1: 4235
Target 2: 4255–4265
This scenario aligns with the projected V-shaped recovery illustrated on the chart.
Scenario 2: Sell-the-Rally Setup
If price pulls back toward 4235–4245 but fails to close above this resistance cluster:
Short entries may become favorable toward 4185 and 4175.
This remains valid as long as candles stay below the EMA cloud.
Scenario 3: Breakout Continuation
A clean H1 close above 4265 opens the door for bullish continuation toward the next major psychological level around 4300.
Conclusion
Gold is in a compression phase, waiting for liquidity. Traders should focus on reactions at 4175–4180 and 4235–4245 to determine directional bias. Monitoring price action near the EMA cluster, trendline stability, and RSI signals will provide early confirmation for the next move.
AVAXUSD 2-year Channel Down starting a rally to $20?Avalanche (AVAXUSD) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Down which made a Lower Low bottom 3 weeks ago. The price has since then traded sideways, potentially in an attempt to price a technical Support base.
If the market doesn't break below this, there are high probabilities to see this pattern initiating a new Bullish Leg. The previous two Bullish Legs showed a declining rate on their rallies with the first hitting the 0.786 Fibonacci level but the second being only able to hit the 0.618 Fib.
If this decreasing rate continues, we shouldn't go much further than the 0.5 Fib this time. With the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1M MA50 (red trend-line) posing as the two main Resistance levels of this Bear Cycle, we place our Target below at $20.000.
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NZDJPY.Bullish Momentum Builds — Pullback or Lift-Off? After breaking above the 89.70 – 88.98 support zone, NZDJPY has entered a sustained bullish structure. Price stabilization above this zone shows strong buyer control, and any correction toward this area may act as a bullish pullback to retest support. 🟩📈
Price is now approaching the 91.94 – 92.33 resistance zone, an area that has shown significant reactions in the past. This level represents the first major challenge for buyers. A clean breakout above this resistance could open the path toward the key weekly resistance at 94.33, which may become the main target for mid-term bulls. 🔥
🎯 Potential Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario)
If price breaks and holds above 92.33 with strong momentum, NZDJPY is likely to continue its upward trajectory toward higher resistance levels. The market structure remains clearly bullish.
2️⃣ Pullback Toward Support (Corrective Scenario)
If price fails to break the current resistance, a retracement toward the 89.70 – 88.98 support zone becomes likely. Such a correction could provide a new buying opportunity with a higher low formation. 📉➡️📈
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This analysis reflects personal opinion only and does not constitute financial advice or a buy/sell signal. Please apply proper risk management and follow your own trading plan. I am not responsible for any potential profits or losses. ⚠️
❓ What Do You Think?
Will NZDJPY break resistance first or drop for a deeper pullback?
Share your thoughts in the comments! 📊💬
ETH Daily Chart UpdateEthereum has bounced strongly from the key support zone at 2728–2869 and is now pushing upward. This level has acted as a reliable demand area throughout the year, and the latest reaction confirms buyers are active again.
The next major hurdle is the resistance zone at 3608–3970. ETH will need a clean breakout above this range to open the door for a larger trend continuation.
For now, the structure remains intact:
• Support held perfectly
• Momentum shifting upward
• All eyes on the resistance above
FOMC DAY XAUUSD is cranky Todays the Fed’s interest rate decision
The 4220 level continues to act as a key resistance & 4190-4180 act as Strong support
yesterday’s recovery by the bulls has weakened the bearish momentum, making a sharp decline less likely for now.
For this reason, we continue to favor buying opportunities in the 4190–4180 zone.
Targetshould be 4220, If 4220 breaks, the next level to watch is 4230.
Caution ⚠️
H1-H4 candle closes below 4175 no more Buy &wait for the Drop towards 4145.
BTCUSD Stabilizes Near 92,000 – Key Entry Zones & TargetsBitcoin prices kicked off a sharp unilateral rally from around 90,000 yesterday. The upward momentum was extremely strong, as prices not only broke through the key 94,000 level smoothly but also hit a short-term high near 94,550. This move successfully broke the previous consolidation range of 88,000–91,000, setting a new price high in nearly three weeks and reflecting robust short-term bullish momentum.
However, facing heavy pressure from strong resistance near 95,000, prices subsequently entered a phase of sustained pullback. Hourly charts saw a string of consecutive bearish candles, with a marked retracement magnitude that drove prices gradually down to around 92,000. Today, BTCUSD trended with an oscillating pullback after breaking the key level, and it is currently stabilizing around the 92,000 mark without further sharp declines.
Resistance Levels:
The immediate strong resistance remains in the 94,000–94,550 range, which was the short-term high established in the early hours of today. For bulls to reignite an upward move in the near term, a breakout above this range is essential to unlock further upside potential. Further up, the 95,000 round-number level acts as a major psychological resistance, which exerted significant suppression and triggered the pullback during the previous rally.
Support Levels:
92,000 serves as the most immediate support level, which has already been tested during the morning pullback and is currently showing effective support. Below that, the core support band lies in the 91,000–91,500 range—a zone that was the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform and acts as a critical bullish defense line. If this support fails to hold, the next major support zone will be 88,000–90,000, which has withstood multiple market tests in the past and boasts relatively strong support strength.
Trading Strategy:
Buy 92000 - 92500
SL 91000
TP 94000 - 94500 - 95000
Sell 94000 - 94500
SL 95000
TP 92000 - 91000 - 90000
#CVX/USDT : Long-Term Breakout Signals Massive Upside Potentia#CVX
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and is expected to break out and continue upwards.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100-period moving average again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which supports an upward move if it breaks above it.
We have a key support zone in green that pushed the price higher at 1.81.
Entry price: 1.88
First target: 1.92
Second target: 2.00
Third target: 2.088
For risk management, don't forget your stop-loss and capital management.
The stop-loss is below the support zone in green.
Upon reaching the first target, take some profit and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For any questions, please comment.
Thank you.
GLXY Reversal Confirmed — Entry Still Valid, Targets Set to $36 We opened this long position today in the premium channel — and the entry point is still valid.
📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Galaxy Digital (#GLXY) is a diversified digital-asset financial company founded by Mike Novogratz. It operates in three key segments:
trading and market-making of digital assets,
asset management and institutional crypto products,
venture investments in Web3, infrastructure, and DeFi.
🔍 Growth-supporting factors:
🟢 Strong recovery of the crypto market (BTC, ETH, and altcoins are all moving higher, directly boosting trading and asset-management revenues).
🟢 Increasing inflows into digital asset funds, futures, and spot ETFs → higher fee income for Galaxy Digital.
🟢 Expectations of improved Q4–Q1 financials, assuming the current crypto momentum continues.
🟢 The stock trades well below its 2021/2024 highs, despite improving fundamentals — making it attractive from a mid-term perspective.
🔴 Risks: high correlation with Bitcoin (any BTC/ETH pullback pressures GLXY), sector volatility, and regulatory uncertainty in the U.S.
🛠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (4H timeframe)
📈 LONG
The chart shows a strong reversal structure forming:
🔹 1. Breakout of the descending channel
Price has broken out of a two-month falling wedge with an impulsive candle, closing above the EMA 50 — the first clear signal of a trend shift.
🔹 2. EMA structure
Price is consolidating above EMA 50,
aiming toward EMA 200, which acts as resistance at $30–31.
A breakout of this zone may trigger accelerated upside momentum.
🔹 3. Bullish divergence on RSI
RSI divergence + a breakout of its local trendline confirms the bullish reversal.
🔹 4. MACD crossed above the signal line
And is moving above the zero level → early phase of a mid-term uptrend.
🔹 5. Pivot & R1 levels
Pivot (P) = 25.25 has been confirmed as support.
Next target — R1 = 36.98, matching our T1 level.
↗️ TRADE SETUP
🎯 Target 1 (T1): $36.31
Aligns with the R1 zone and the upper volume range from September.
🎯 Target 2 (T2): $42.51
A major liquidity zone with previous sellers.
Also corresponds to the 65% measured-move projection shown on the chart.
📊 Upside potential from current levels: ≈ +45%
💼 Portfolio #active_management
GLXY fits perfectly into the current crypto-sector market cycle.
⚠️ All ideas published are not investment recommendations and represent only the personal opinion of the blog’s author.
Bitcoin Market CycleMy analytical graph of the Bitcoin cycle isn't just about crypto; it’s the recurring pattern of human psychology that drives every speculative bubble in history—from the 1637 Tulip Mania to the 2000 Dot-Com Crash.
The core delusion that traps investors is believing the most expensive four words in financial history: "This time is different."
Look closely at the bottom of the chart: the market has followed these four predictable phases in sequence since 2013, creating an almost rhythmic pattern:
ACCUMULATION : The quiet bottom when everyone is in despair (and smart money is buying).
MARKUP : The steady rise driven by hope, often following the Halving.
DISTRIBUTION : The irrational top fueled by FOMO, where investors repeatedly tell themselves, "This time is different."
BEAR (The Crash): The inevitable correction driven by Panic.
The Lesson: The asset changes, but the human reaction never does. The only way to win this game is to recognize the cycle and act contrary to the crowd's emotional state. Don't chase the price; trade the psychology.
#APT/USDT 1H – Stablecoin-heavy, swing long from local base#APT
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We are seeing a bearish bias in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 1.80. The price has bounced from this level several times and is expected to bounce again.
We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend.
Entry Price: 1.82
First Target: 1.86
Second Target: 1.90
Third Target: 1.95
Remember a simple principle: Money Management.
Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Gold Intraday ViewGold has shown a clear shift in behaviour after an extended downtrend, where price consistently respected lower highs and maintained pressure within the sell zone. The significant break of structure from the lower base marked the first meaningful sign that sellers were losing momentum. Once the market dipped into the buy zone, buyers responded firmly, lifting price with a cleaner series of higher lows, eventually forming a CHoCH that confirmed the shift in short-term control.
Following this transition, price has been attempting to stabilise above the reclaimed support levels, suggesting buyers are beginning to re-establish interest after a lengthy corrective phase. Even though intraday pullbacks remain present, they currently appear corrective rather than impulsive, giving the impression that the market is preparing for a potential continuation higher.
As long as the market holds within or above the identified buy zone, the broader intraday structure remains constructive for buyers. Smaller dips into previous support may simply offer opportunities for renewed buyer participation. With this developing structure, XAUUSD could extend toward the upper region marked on the chart, where the next reaction is likely to take shape. Overall sentiment leans cautiously bullish, supported by stabilising structure, the recent shift in control, and consistent reactions from key demand areas.”
USD/JPY is moving higher to complete the bearish Bat formationWe have witnessed continued strong bullish momentum from the 154.34 swing low. This was analysed as the completion of a bullish Butterfly formation.
Although we have seen a stalling bullish momentum overnight, dips continue to find buyers.
We have a confluence zone between 157.30 and 157.42. This will complete a bearish Bat formation.
The pattern will be invalidated on a move through the previous swing high of 157.90.
Support levels are located at 155.90 and 155.32.
The single currency analysis suggests limited downside pressure in JPY.
Conclusion: I look for rallies to find sellers.
GBP/USD has posted mixed results for the last four days in frontWe have seen four days of mixed and volatile price action with spikes noted in both directions. This is a clear indication of indecision in front of the Fed interest rate decision this evening.
This has resulted in a corrective channel formation being posted on the intraday chart.
We have liquidity at 1.3330.
We have bespoke support at 1.3258. It should be noted that this is also the 61.8% pullback of the last rally.
Conclusion: with this last period of consolidation seen as a potential flag pattern, technical analysis studies would suggest a breakout to the upside. The preferred support level is seen at 1.3258
US Crude Oil (WTI) is moving lower to complete the 5th waveBroke out of the corrective channel formation to the downside. We continue to make lower lows and lower highs, highlighting downward momentum.
The next substantial target/support level is at $57.74.
This would be the completion of a bearish Elliott Wave count (five waves).
Resistance is located at $58.88. The liquidity zone is seen at $59.66 to $59.80
Conclusion: I can see no technical reason for an immediate change in the bearish trend






















