Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to support area 1.16780 (Wave 2).Colleagues, I believe that the price is completing an upward movement in wave “1” of the middle order, and we will soon see a correction in wave “2.”
First of all, I think we should expect the completion of the small wave “5” in the 1.18300 area and then expect the price to fall to the support area of 1.16780.
There are two possible ways to reach the target:
1) the price will immediately start moving towards the target, and then we will need to slightly revise the wave marking.
2) from the resistance area.
In any case, the target is the same.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to the area of 6956.Hello, colleagues!
I previously published a forecast for an upward movement, and I believe it is time to update the plan slightly. The direction of movement remains the same, but wave “1” has lengthened, which means that the correction in wave “2” may occur slightly higher than previously.
I expect a corrective movement to the support area of 6764, followed by a continuation of the upward movement and an update of the peak level of wave “3” of the higher order 6929 and reaching the area of 6956 at a minimum.
An extension of wave “1” is also possible, but then it will be necessary to slightly revise the wave markings again.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.18000.Colleagues, the price is successfully moving in an upward impulse “12345” in a medium-term wave “3”.
I believe that this week we will see a continuation of the upward movement.
A slight correction to the support area of 1.17049 is possible to complete wave “4”, followed by an update of the local maximum of the lower-order wave “3” and reaching the resistance area of 1.18000.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 55.74 (Wave 5).Colleagues, wave “4” of the minor order is ending or has already ended. As part of a major downward movement in wave ‘5’ of the major movement, I expect a downward movement in wave “5” of the minor order.
This wave should update the low of wave “3”, but I believe it is worth looking at the nearest target in the support area of 55.746.
I also allow for the possibility of reaching the 59.00 area before the price begins a downward movement.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to support area of 4360 (Correction).Colleagues, the price has shown fairly steady growth, reaching a new historic high, and I believe that a correction is not far off.
So, at the moment, wave “1” of the higher order is coming to an end, and I expect this to happen around the 4545 level, followed by the start of corrective movement “2” towards the 4360 level — this is the minimum target. Of course, I expect a deeper correction, but I prefer to take more likely targets.
I would also like to point out that the price may already begin its correction, which would mean that wave “1” is already complete.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% Fibo lvl (58.00).The structure has broken down. Wave “2” of the middle order should not have updated the minimum of 56,420 of wave “B” of the higher order, but this has happened.
This means that the wave structure will have to be revised.
It seems that the major correction is not yet complete, and in order for the scenario to be completed, impulse “12345” must be completed.
At the moment, I think that the price will begin to form wave “4”.
I expect movement towards the 50% Fibonacci level from wave “3” at 58.00.
The target is not far off, but at the moment we need confirmation of the impulse.
This would mean that the price will update the local minimum, but more on that later.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4417.This week, I expect the upward movement to continue and the medium-term “12345” impulse to complete.
I expect to see a small correction, after which I expect to see at least the 4417 area reached at the end of wave “5” or in the extension of wave “3”.
This week, after the completion of this movement, I plan to figure out our next steps.
It may be that a major correction awaits us in the near future, but we will talk about that later.
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Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.34683.Colleagues, the upward movement is actively developing, and I see a medium-term upward impulse (12345) developing in the higher wave “1” (red).
At this stage, I see:
1) the possibility of a correction in wave “4” in the area of 1.32440, then reaching the resistance area of 1.34683.
2) the extension of wave “3” directly to the area of 1.34683. Such scenarios often occur in impulses.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4298.I suggest to consider the lower timeframe (1H), which has some peculiarities.
I see here an upward impulse in the red wave “3”, which is not over yet.
I believe that we should expect the price in the resistance area of 4298.33.
A small correction in the form of continuation of wave "4" to the area of 4174.78 is also possible. But in general, I am set for long positions.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 1.17561.Colleagues, I assume that wave “C” ended at 1.14668 and at the moment we see an upward movement in the mid-order impulse “12345”.
I think that the wave “1” of lower order will either extend to the area of 1.17561, or we will see a correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 1.15967, and then the movement in the wave “3” to the area of 1.17561.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “1”.Colleagues, I believe it is necessary to update the forecast slightly. Overall, it remains unchanged, with an upward movement expected.
At the moment, I believe that the higher-order wave “B” has formed, and now in wave ‘C’ I see a five-wave movement “12345”.
I expect wave “3” to begin its movement soon, and I consider the first target to be the maximum area of wave “1” at 60.576.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to MAX of wave "3" of 6928.Colleagues, we continue the previous scenario of upward movement in the impulse “12345”.
I expect a small correction in the middle order wave “2” approximately to the area of 38.2%-50% Fibonacci levels (6675).
Then I expect a continuation of the upward movement to the maximum of the wave "3" of the higher order 6928.4.
It is possible that the first wave may be stretched, which may mean a correction-free movement to the target.
Fundamental Context.
Market sentiment remains cautiously bullish ahead of this week’s US data releases. Investors continue to price in a softer Fed policy path for 2026, which supports the equity market after the recent correction.
US Treasury yields remain under pressure, and the latest macro indicators — especially labor market cooling and weaker business activity components — reinforce expectations of an economic slowdown. This backdrop typically favors equity upside as markets look ahead to potential policy easing.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382(Wave 3).In the past forecast, many have rightly pointed out that wave “4” went behind the high of wave “2” and yet we are not dealing with a diagonal.
This means that the waves have stretched and have a larger range of motion and now the correction in wave “2” is ending.
Essentially the upward movement is still prioritized and I expect two scenarios:
1) Continuation of the upward movement to the resistance area of 4382 (market entry)
2) Reaching the support area 3994.4, after which the correction can be considered complete and only then the movement to the area 4382 will start.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the MIN of wave "3" 1.14647.We continue to monitor the decline in downward momentum. In the last forecast the target was almost reached, but the correction turned out to be stronger than we thought, which does not cancel the forecast, but just gives us an opportunity to enter a short position once again quite favorably.
I expect that the small wave “b” is either over or almost over and the price is about to start its decline to the support area at 1.14647.
This movement should be a confirmation of the completion of the large correction (red) “ABC”.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to the area of the maximum of wave “A”.Colleagues, the past forecast has not been canceled, but I see some changes and therefore feel it is necessary to make a fresh forecast.
Apparently, the corrective wave “B” has extended to the area of 57.930. This is quite close to the low of wave “C” at 56.408 and the price should not update it, otherwise there will be a full-fledged break of the structure.
In connection with the above, I think that the price is already completing the downward movement and I expect the resumption of the upward movement at least to the area of the maximum of wave “A” - 62.990.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6775.Dear colleagues, according to the last forecast the price is at the support level, but as it turned out, the correction in wave “4” is a bit more complicated than I thought.
Wave “4” consists of three waves “ABC” and should be over soon. The upward movement is still in priority, but I will target the not so distant resistance area of 6775.
Once it is reached, we will think about how to reach higher levels.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): SHORT to the support area 1.14647.Colleagues, the corrective movement in wave “4” seems to be completed at 1.16529.
Further I expect the continuation of the impulse movement in wave “5” at least to the support area at 1.14647.
All this impulse will mark the movement in the bigger wave “C”.
Fundamental Context
The US Dollar remains firm as markets downgrade expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This keeps pressure on the euro, especially since Eurozone macro data is still weak and provides little support. At the moment, EUR/USD is mostly driven by USD dynamics rather than European fundamentals.
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Hellena | GBP/USD (4H): SHORT to min wave "4" area 1.30100.Colleagues, I haven't reviewed the pound for a long time and now I finally did it)
The wave layout shows that the downward movement is not over yet. I think that wave “4” will soon complete its development and the impulse in wave ‘5’ will start, which will complete the big correction “C”. The minimum target is the support area at 1.30103.
Further we will observe the activity in this area.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 4382.Colleagues, in the last forecast I made a markup of corrective movement (ABC), but the price broke important resistance levels and it means that the price is still in the impulse, namely in the wave “5” of higher order and wave “3” of medium order.
I believe that soon we will see a correction in wave “4”, then an upward movement to the resistance area of 4382.
The correction in wave “4” may reach the support area of 4075, but I still recommend to work with pending orders and look out for long positions.
Fundamental context
The gold market continues to benefit from favourable conditions: demand for safe-haven assets is increasing amid global uncertainty and a weaker US dollar. At the same time, central banks’ purchases of gold remain at record highs, providing a strong structural base for further upside. Despite the recent pullback, the key drivers — low real interest rates and reserve-diversification efforts — remain intact.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistanse area 1.16296.Colleagues, the rather complicated correction suggests that the upward movement is gradually slowing down and I think that we will see a rather confident move towards the 1.16296 area.
The difficulty is that on higher timeframes we are dealing with a ending diagonal, and these are quite complicated figures to analyze.
Nevertheless, I think that there is a probability of reaching the support area of 1.14647 before the upward movement.
Fundamental context
The U.S. dollar is under pressure: weak economic data and expectations of monetary easing are reducing its appeal as a safe-haven asset. The euro is receiving moderate support amid relative stability in the eurozone economy and investor interest in non-dollar assets. These conditions set the stage for a resumption of the EUR/USD pair’s upward move.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area 4219.Colleagues, I am not abandoning the idea that the upward movement is not over yet.
It seems that the correction in wave “4” is very long and I think that it may continue to the support area 3807 and there is an important nuance - it is quite difficult to label all this movement as wave “C”, because it contradicts some rules of wave construction, but there are exceptions and I tend to interpret the downward movement in this way.
There is one more option, which does not contradict the rules and it is a “shortened wave ”5" at 4377, and then (ABC) looks more adequate, but I will not display this option. In both cases, I expect a resumption of the move to at least the 4219 area.
Fundamental context
Against the current macro backdrop, gold remains well-supported: the U.S. dollar is under pressure, and bond yields continue to decline after recent weaker economic data. This environment sustains demand for safe-haven assets.
Short-term pullbacks and profit-taking after record highs appear natural — overall interest in gold stays strong, particularly amid expectations of further Fed policy easing.
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Hellena | GOLD (1H): SHORT to support area 3925.Colleagues, I believe that at the moment we see a rather complicated situation - the correction is not over yet and we may see a complicated correction. In most probability I see the completion of wave “B”, and the continuation of the downward movement to the support area of 3925.
The “ABC” correction may be completed this week. In any case, I expect the decline to continue.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to resistance area 64.8.Colleagues, in fact, I have not changed the wave markup, but I have a slightly different view on the near-term price movement plan.
In the last forecast I emphasized that the target is the area of 58.9, but now it looks more likely that the completion of wave “C” in a complex correction (resistance area 64.8). Then I will consider the long-awaited downward movement again.
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