Hellena | XAG (4H): LONG to resistance area 94.00.Colleagues, the price has shown a strong bullish bias, which supports the forecast that the medium-term “3” impulse will continue.
I believe that the minor-wave “3” is nearing completion, and a correction followed by the final “5” wave will begin shortly.
I expect a correction in the 82-83 support zone, and I see the target slightly closer than the peak of the higher-order “B” wave—the 94.00 resistance area.
It is also possible that the price will continue its upward movement without a correction.
In any case, I recommend focusing only on long positions, even if they are pending orders in the correction area.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to MAX wave "1" 4894 area.Colleagues, the price has shown strong upward momentum, and I believe we should expect this upward momentum to continue in the intermediate-term “3” wave.
At this stage, a correction to the 4632 area is possible, but I believe the priority is the high of wave “1” at 4894 within the minor-order wave “3.”
In any case, I recommend keeping an eye on the upward movement.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to MIN wave "1" 90.136.Colleagues, the price has shown a decent bearish impulse, and I think we should move Wave 1 lower—to the 90.136 level. Wave “2” is currently forming; this is a correction that has either ended or will end around the 103 level, and I expect the downtrend to resume soon in wave “3”.
I believe we should keep an eye on the nearest target—the low of wave “1” at 90.136.
Once this target is reached, it is worth considering a continuation of the downward movement.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 4788 area (update).Colleagues, I would like to update the current forecast, as the price has remained within the parameters of the previous scenario for quite some time, and the conditions regarding the primary wave structure have not yet changed.
The price is still within an uptrend wave pattern. In my opinion, the market is currently continuing to work through a corrective move in Wave 2. The correction began a little earlier than I expected, but the structure itself remains valid.
I expect the decline to continue toward the 4384–4200 range, where wave “2” may end. After that, I anticipate a resumption of the upward movement within wave “3.”
At the same time, it is important to consider an alternative scenario: if support holds above this level, the price may already be at the beginning of wave “3” and continue to rise without fully reaching the 4300 area.
Regarding targets, the situation remains cautious. From a structural standpoint, it is logical to expect a move at least to the high of wave “1” around 4891; however, I prefer a more conservative scenario and will mark the target area at 4788 for now.
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Hellena | XAG (4H): LONG to the MAX of wave "1" area of 83.00.Colleagues, I believe that Wave 2 of the intermediate-term correction is complete or nearly complete, and we should expect an upward move in Wave 3.
This move will take place within the larger Wave 1 (red), which I am not labeling at this time because its end is still quite far from current levels.
To be more specific, I expect the price to reach the resistance zone around 83.00—the high of wave “1.”
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 94.00.The downtrend is continuing within the intermediate-degree Wave 3. The previous scenario remains valid, and I expect that the movement within the minor-degree Wave 2 is now coming to an end or has already ended in the vicinity of the 109.500 level.
This means I expect prices to fall to at least 94.00 as part of the movement in wave “3” of both the minor and intermediate orders.
Don’t set your sights too far ahead—let’s focus on the immediate targets! Good luck and patience to everyone!
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to MAX 1.18460.Colleagues, the previous forecast has remained unchanged for quite some time now, and this is because the price is in a consolidation phase.
But there is one caveat. The price reached the 1.17845 area, which suggests that the intermediate-term “1” wave has already completed, and the price is now in a corrective “2” wave movement.
A correction is a rather dangerous wave for trading, and I would recommend keeping an eye on long positions, as before.
At worst, I think we will see the price in the 1.16260 area, complete wave “2,” and an upward movement will begin, reaching at least the high of wave “1” at 1.18460.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 100.Colleagues, Wave 2 has dragged on, but the bearish trend is still intact, and I expect Wave 3 to develop, which should retest the low of Wave 1 at 82.661.
However, we will be monitoring the nearest support levels, such as 100. This is a fairly strong psychological level, and a reaction from it is quite possible.
In any case, the price is currently under the fairly strong influence of geopolitical changes, but this does not negate the wave structure.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 4788 area.Colleagues, the price is still in an upward wave movement; it’s just that the correction began a little earlier than I expected, and wave “2” should soon complete its downward movement.
I expect the correction to extend to the 4384–4200 range, after which the upward movement will continue in wave “3”.
Keep in mind that the uptrend may continue within the already-started wave “3” without reaching the 4300 support zone.
The target zone is a bit more complicated; logically, we should reach at least the wave “1” high of 4891, but I’ll err on the side of caution and set the target zone at 4788.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to 38.2% Fibo area of 6900 .Last week, the price continued its upward trend, indicating an extension of the intermediate-term Wave 1. I still believe we should expect a corrective move in Wave 2.
In light of this, I suggest looking at the 6900 level as a target. This is the 38.2% Fibonacci level.
The price may reach slightly higher levels in wave “1,” but I would not recommend buying or taking long positions.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area 1.18461.Colleagues, the correction in Wave 4 turned out to be a bit deeper than I had anticipated, but that doesn’t change the original plan.
I still see an upward impulse in a five-wave structure within this movement, and I believe Wave 5 will begin its run very soon.
I will set the target slightly closer than before, and it will be the 1.18461 area—the high of the lower-order wave “3.”
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 5000 area.Colleagues, I think we can tweak the previous idea a bit.
The plan is exactly the same as before—the target is 5,000. The price has gotten a bit stuck in consolidation, but I believe the 5,000 mark will be reached.
This is Wave 1 of the intermediate order and Wave 5 of the minor order in an upward impulse.
The larger “V” wave will likely make new highs, but it’s too early to say for sure; the geopolitical situation is unstable.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 78.110.Colleagues, I believe that the downward movement in the “ABC” correction is not yet complete. If we view Wave ‘C’ as a five-wave impulse, I believe that Wave “3” is beginning to develop, and along the way we can see a fairly strong support zone at 78.110, which I consider to be the nearest target.
Wave “2” may not be over yet, but I still recommend keeping a close eye on the downward movement.
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Hellena | XAG (4H): LONG to the resistance area of 87–88.The previous scenario remains valid, and it is now important to maintain the upward momentum in Wave 3 of the intermediate degree (blue) and Wave 1 of the higher degree (red).
I consider 75.598 to be the support zone, and I see the 87–88 range as the resistance zone. This is a fairly strong level that could trigger a correction.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 84.8.It is important to note that Wave “C” began to develop within a downward correction. I expect that after a minor correction in Wave “2,” we will see the price reach the support area at 84.8.
The most important thing is to break through the low of wave “1” at 91.352, as this level also serves as a support level.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area 1.19000.Colleagues, the price is aligning perfectly with the wave scenario initially outlined. Specifically, it is following the upward impulse of intermediate-degree Wave 1.
At this point, I see Wave 1 completing near the significant round number level of 1.19000.
Two scenarios are quite possible:
1) A continuation of wave “3,” which rules out a correction
2) A correction in wave “4” (1.17367), followed by an upward movement.
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Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to resistance area 1.18000.Colleagues, the price is moving in an upward wave pattern and will soon complete the intermediate-degree Wave 1 (blue).
This means I expect a correction to the 1.16525 area, followed by an upward move toward the 1.18000 level—a strong round number that could trigger a significant reaction.
A second scenario is also possible, in which the price continues its upward movement without a correction.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6739 .The price is trending firmly upward, and I am confident that Wave 1 will soon end or has already ended, which means we should expect a correction in Wave 2, which I anticipate will reach at least the 6739 level. Keep in mind that this movement is part of a larger upward trend in wave “3” (Red).
The price may rise a bit further to the 7021 area, but I’m specifically looking for short positions.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 6894.After such a strong upward move, it would be logical to expect a correction, but I still lean toward the view that the intermediate-order Wave 1 is not yet complete, and I expect that after a correction to the 6686 area, we will see the price reach the target at the 6894 resistance level.
A second scenario is also possible, in which the price continues the minor-order wave “3,” and we will see the correction later.
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to support area of 6735.Colleagues, structurally speaking, the higher-order “2” wave has completed its correction, and we should now look for a continuation of the upward trend.
If impulse “3” (red) has begun, then the correction wave of the intermediate order within wave “2” is currently ending or has ended in the 6326 area; therefore, it is quite logical to expect the price to reach the 100% Fibonacci extension level at 6735 (in fact, I set the target slightly closer than the actual 100%).
This movement will be the development of the medium-order “3” wave (blue wave).
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 102.653.I am reposting this due to an error in the direction mentioned in my previous post.
Colleagues, it took quite some time to revise the wave count based on numerous factors. Of course, geopolitics plays a role, but the wave structure always follows certain patterns in one way or another.
At this point, I believe that in order not only to break through the 119.313 level but also to consolidate above it, the price needs to gather strength, which I expect to see at lower levels, for example around the 76.8 area—a fairly distant target, but one I will keep in mind.
As for the specifics, I believe that the price is currently in a major correction “2” (red) and therefore consists of “ABC” waves, which are developing quite clearly.
I think that wave “C” has only just begun its development, and for now, I expect the development of a minor wave “1” toward the support area of 102.653.
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 5000 area.Colleagues, judging by the structure, Wave IV appears to be complete, and we should now expect an upward Wave 1 of intermediate order; however, it is somewhat unclear how the correction in Wave 2 will play out.
Perhaps the price will reach the 4900 area, then drop for a correction to 2500, and only then reach the target, or we may see it reach 5000 without any sharp corrections.
Either way, I recommend only long positions.
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Hellena | XAG (4H): LONG to the resistance area of 78.678.The silver chart shows a situation very similar to that of the gold chart. I believe that Wave 5 is nearing its end, but the most important question is how far Wave 5 is capable of pushing the price down. It may be truncated and end around the 63.7 level.
In any case, I would keep an eye out for an upward move at least to the resistance area of 78.678.
This would mark the start of a larger “V” wave.
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