Copper Trend Acceleration! LSMA Pullback Supports the Move!🔥 XCU/USD — “COPPER VS U.S. DOLLAR”
🔧 Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day / Swing Trade Edition)
📌 🔵 Market Plan: Bullish Structure Confirmed
Copper continues to showcase strong upside structure, and the LSMA Moving Average Pullback has now confirmed fresh bullish continuation momentum.
The price action is stabilizing above key intraday support, keeping buyers in control while maintaining trend discipline.
🎯 Entry Strategy (Flexible + Layer-Friendly)
You may enter at any price level, depending on your personal plan.
For traders using the Thief Layer Strategy, here are the structured levels:
🔹 Layer 1 → 5.3400
🔹 Layer 2 → 5.3800
🔹 Layer 3 → 5.4200
🔸 (You may extend layers based on volatility and your personal system.)
This layered approach helps average entries while staying aligned with market strength.
🛡 Stop-Loss Zone (Trader-Controlled)
Suggested SL for the thief plan: 5.2800
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is NOT a mandatory level — adjust according to:
• Your risk profile
• Your system’s buffer
• Market volatility
Use your own decision-making to secure gains and protect your capital.
🎯 Target Levels (Smart Exit Zone)
Copper is approaching a strong resistance cluster combined with overbought conditions + liquidity trap zones.
So the recommended approach is to escape with profits rather than hold blindly.
🏁 Primary Target → 5.5600
Again, Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this TP is optional — manage exits with your own discipline, risk, and style.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Guide + Key Points)
🟠 1. XAU/USD — Gold vs USD
Correlation:
• Often moves inversely with USD strength
• Can highlight broader commodity demand sentiment
Why watch it:
• Gold strength can indicate commodity-wide risk-on behavior
• Helps confirm metals sector flows
🟣 2. XAG/USD — Silver vs USD
Correlation:
• Silver and Copper often rise together during industrial demand expansions
Why watch it:
• Strong silver rallies often lead or follow copper momentum
• Helpful for timing metals-based pullbacks and extensions
🟢 3. USOIL / WTI Crude
Correlation:
• Copper responds to global growth expectations — oil confirms economic activity
Why watch it:
• Rising oil typically reflects higher industrial production
• Gives early signals of demand conditions that benefit copper
🔵 4. AUD/USD — Commodity Currency
Correlation:
• Australia is a major copper producer
• AUD is strongly tied to global commodities
Why watch it:
• AUD strength often corresponds with rising metals
• Can help detect early sentiment shifts
🟤 5. DXY — U.S. Dollar Index
Correlation:
• Copper moves inversely with USD
Why watch it:
• Copper rallies strengthen when USD weakens
• A strong DXY can slow or cap copper upside near resistance
Remember:
✅ Trade with layers ✅ Adjust SL/TP to your style ✅ Watch correlated assets
🚀 Let’s catch this move, Thief OG’s!
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Stay tuned for more high-quality setups.
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Copper Futures HG1!
Copper At A Crossroads: Rally Exhaustion Vs Macro RiskCopper just delivered a classic volatility sequence: a blow off into the 5.89 area, followed by a fast 27% flush in six days. Since printing the 4.29 low, price has been grinding higher and is now back into my short entry around 5.40, which is roughly a 26% retrace of the drop. What matters to me here is the structure: we retraced without a clean liquidity sweep above the prior extreme, which keeps the move looking corrective, not a fresh impulse leg.
On the macro side , the tape has been pricing a lot of bullish copper narratives at once. We have seen copper trade at record levels in global benchmarks, with the rally supported by supply risk headlines and policy driven optimism. That is exactly why I am interested in fading the retrace: when supply premium and bullish positioning get crowded, even small shifts in risk appetite can trigger sharp mean reversion. Recent reporting has highlighted how sensitive flows and inventory distribution can become when policy risk enters the picture, which tends to amplify volatility rather than smooth it.
Technically, I am treating 5.40 as the “decision zone” after the rebound. As long as price holds below the prior spike region near 5.89, my base case is a rotation back toward the mid range and ultimately a retest of the 4.29 low. If we reclaim the prior extreme and hold above it, that would invalidate the correction thesis and I would reassess.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COPPER / GOLD & ISM PMI = Critical For AltseasonBeen seeing a lot of commentary on COPPER / GOLD.
This is a strong indication of industrial growth in the economy, as the demand for copper rises with build-outs.
The ISM PMI has a very strong correlation with C/G, also showing strength in the economy, as consumers buy more which gives businesses the ability to expand operations.
In a nutshell, these charts portray “Retail” ie “Main Street”.
There’s a very real possibility that we do not get our typical Alt Season at all this cycle if C/G & ISM PMI do not have a violent move up in the next few months. (more on this later)
The last time we saw such a divergence between these two was in January 2016 where it took C/G ~230 days to turn-up.
This would put Alt-Season Q4 ’26 - Q1 ’27, which makes sense theoretically based on Trump’s suspected stimulus plans which would come right before mid-terms.
This would give us our typical year-long bear market which has snuck up on us all because we lacked the retail euphoria phase due to very weak retail participation.
HOPIUM:
In 2016 When the ISM climbed above 50, COPPER soon found a bottom and Alts ripped.
Notice the bullish divergence on the RSI during that time, same as we are seeing now.
It looking like C/G may have found a bottom on this multi-decade parallel channel.
*Our livelihood depends on the ISM showing immense strength in the coming months so that C/G can follow.
XCU/USD: Will This Demand Zone Hold for Bulls?🎯 XCU/USD: The Great Copper Heist Strategy | Multi-Layer Entry Setup 💰
📊 Asset Analysis
Copper vs U.S. Dollar (XCU/USD) - Metals Market
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMATION
🔍 Technical Setup Overview
The setup shows bullish confirmation with triangular moving averages converging in a demand zone - a classic institutional accumulation pattern. We're seeing strong support structure forming, making this an attractive risk-reward opportunity for multi-layer entries.
🎯 The "Layered Entry" Strategy Explained
This isn't your typical single-entry approach. We're using a multi-limit order layering strategy (what I call the "strategic accumulation method") to build positions gradually:
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Levels:
Layer 1️⃣: $4.9000
Layer 2️⃣: $4.9500
Layer 3️⃣: $5.0000
Layer 4️⃣: $5.0500
Layer 5️⃣: $5.1000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. The beauty of layering? You average into the position as price dips, reducing overall entry cost.
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $4.8000
This level invalidates the bullish structure and protects capital if the setup fails.
⚠️ Important Disclaimer: The stop loss mentioned is based on this specific analysis. You should always determine your own risk parameters based on your account size, risk tolerance, and trading plan. Take profits at YOUR comfort level - your risk, your rules! 🎲
🎯 Profit Targets & Exit Strategy
Primary Target: $5.4000 🎊
This represents a solid risk-reward ratio from our layered entries.
⚠️ Long-Term Resistance Warning: There's a major resistance zone around $28.00 (historical supply zone acting as a strong barrier + potential overbought conditions). If you're thinking ultra-long term, be aware that this level has trapped bulls before.
💰 Exit Strategy Note: The targets provided are guideline levels. Always manage your own exits based on price action, momentum, and your personal profit goals. Lock in gains when you're comfortable - trading is personal!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the copper move:
HG (Copper Futures) - Direct correlation, primary benchmark
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) - Major copper producer, equity proxy
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = stronger copper
CL (Crude Oil) - Industrial commodity correlation
AUD/USD - Australian dollar heavily tied to copper exports
CNY/USD - China is the largest copper consumer globally
💡 Key Point: If DXY weakens and AUD/USD strengthens while industrial commodities rally, this confirms the copper bullish thesis.
📈 Why This Setup Works
✅ Triangular MA convergence in demand zone = strong technical confluence
✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk
✅ Clear invalidation level for risk management
✅ Favorable risk-reward ratio to first target
✅ Industrial metals showing strength in current macro environment
⚡ Final Thoughts
This is a methodical approach to capturing potential upside in copper while managing downside risk through layered entries. Remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Build positions strategically, manage risk religiously, and let the market come to you.
🎭 Strategy Style Disclaimer
This analysis uses a creative "layered accumulation" approach for educational and entertainment purposes. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. This is not financial advice - trade at your own risk and always do your own research. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ⚠️📉
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XCU #Copper #MetalsTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #XCUUSD #CopperFutures #MultiLayerEntry
Copper extends gains amid risk on tradeFollowing the weaker US cpi report, risk assets have all rallied and copper is among those. The metal broke out of a triangle continuation pattern yesterday and held above $5.00 key level. With optimism over US-China sending stocks to new records today, copper could follow suit and gain further ground in the days and weeks ahead. Watch out for more upside potential.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Copper (HG1) Market Watch Simple & Clear!Copper’s looking strong right now 💪 and it might be setting up for a big move.
Here’s the key level I’m watching:
📈 If copper breaks and closes above 5.41, that could open the door for a run all the way up to 7.13.
That’s a big potential move but only if we hold strong above that breakout level.
💡 Right now, it’s all about confirmation ; a clean close above 5.41 could shift the trend in a big way.
Want to see the chart setup I’m using and how I’m planning around that 5.41 breakout?
💬 DM me “COPPER” and I’ll send you the exact breakdown directly. 🚀
Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
How To Spot Stagflation?One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio.
• Gold reflects real money and investor confidence.
• Copper tracks recession.
• Crude oil represents inflation pressures.
When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains.
What could trigger it?
Copper Gold Ratio - A downward trend signals slower growth and potential recession. This does not mean copper prices are falling; rather, if both copper and gold are rising but copper is climbing at a slower rate than gold, the ratio will continue to trend lower.
Crude Gold Ratio - As of now, the trend is still down, indicating that inflation remains under control. However, if crude oil starts moving higher, and its percentage change exceeds that of gold, the ratio will turn upward. Currently, inflation already seems to be pointing upward, and if the copper-gold ratio also rises, inflation is likely to trend higher than its current level.
Video version:
Therefore, stagflation = slow growth (copper-gold ratio) + high inflation (crude-gold ratio). Keep a close watch on the direction of copper and crude oil.
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Tracking Stagflation with this Ratio - Crude, Copper, Gold RatioHow to Spot Stagflation?
One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio.
• Gold reflects real money and investor confidence.
• Copper tracks recession.
• Crude oil represents inflation pressures.
When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains.
What could trigger it?
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Zinc & Copper Correlation is very healthyZinc and copper markets are closely related because both metals are used heavily in construction, manufacturing, and electrical applications, so demand often rises and falls together with industrial activity.
They’re also frequently mined from the same deposits, meaning supply-side disruptions can affect both. As a result, prices for zinc and copper tend to show a high degree of correlation, moving in similar cycles tied to global economic growth and infrastructure.
Comparing the Charts (Zinc on the left on a Monhtly TF), we see that Zinc has a lot of room left to the upside. Because it's goal is to go back to balance, which is the Centerline.
And because of the close correlation, I think the Chart of Copper HG1! is still OK.
So, in Copper, the Centerline target is still in play.
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first:
- Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels.
- Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices.
- U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials.
📈 Now the Chart:
P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void.
Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up.
The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline.
💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊
Happy new week to all §8-)
Copper vs Dollar | Institutional vs Retail Sentiment Analysis🔥 XCU/USD – Copper vs U.S Dollar | Thief Money-Making Plan (Swing/Scalping Trade)
🎯 Plan & Thief Entry Style
Bias: Bullish ✅ (Re-Accumulation Buy Setup)
Entry Style: Thief strategy = multiple limit order layers 🧩
Suggested Layers: (4.4600) 🟢 | (4.4700) 🟢 | (4.4800) 🟢 | (4.4900) 🟢 | (4.5000) 🟢
You can always increase limit layers depending on your own strategy.
Stop Loss (Thief SL): 4.4200 ⚠️
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — always adjust SL to your own plan & risk appetite.
Target Zone: 4.6700 🎯
Resistance + overbought zone + possible trap → steal the money & escape! 🏃💰
📊 XCU/USD Market Snapshot (Copper vs U.S Dollar) – Sept 5, 2025
Real-Time Change: -0.8% 🔻
Retail Sentiment: 45% Long 😊 | 55% Short 😟
Institutional Sentiment: 60% Long 🚀 | 40% Short 🛑
➡️ Retail leaning bearish, while institutions show cautious optimism.
😨💰 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 48/100 (Neutral) ⚖️
Market mood balanced → no extreme fear/greed at the moment.
📊 Fundamental Score – 6/10
Stable global copper demand ✅
Risks: US economic slowdown ❌ & weaker China industrial output ⚙️
Key Watch: industrial production data + trade policy shifts
🌍 Macro Score – 5.5/10
US Dollar strength 🦅
Global PMI data + US jobs report 🏭
Tariff talks & supply chain risks add uncertainty
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Neutral ➡️ Slightly Bullish ⚖️➡️🚀
Short-term pressure from USD strength 📉
Long-term supported by institutional buying & steady industrial demand 🏗️
Watch: US Nonfarm Payrolls + China economic updates 📡
🔎 Quick Take – Why This Thief Plan?
Copper is stable but under macro pressure.
Institutional flow is bullish compared to retail → signal of hidden strength.
Neutral sentiment = less volatility now, but data events may unlock momentum.
Swing/Scalp opportunities exist with layered buy entries → thief escape at 4.6700! 💰
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
PEPPERSTONE:USDX (Dollar Index)
$CLUSD (Crude Oil)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Copper #XCUUSD #Metals #Commodities #TradingView #SwingTrade #Scalping #Forex #ThiefStrategy #Layering #CommoditiesTrading #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #USDIndex #CrudeOil
COPPER Multi-year Support held. Strong Buy Signal.Last time we had a look on Copper (HG1!) was almost 2 months ago (July 17, see chart below) and it delivered an instant return on our sell as it got rejected at the top of the Rising Wedge, quickly hitting our 4.700 Target:
The price just broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again this week after completing 5 weeks below it. With the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) intact as Support, the multi-year Rising Wedge should now technically initiate its new Bullish Leg.
Check also the 1W RSI, which just hit and rebounded on its 2-year Support Zone.
We expect a new Higher High on the Rising Wedge, targeting $6.000.
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Copper testing bullish trend lineWith copper prices easing over the last few days, it has now reached a key short-term support area in the shaded region. Here a bullish trend line meets prior support/resistance range. Can we see a bounce here today? Or are we inside a bear flag pattern? Either way, we will soon find out, and then one can trade copper accordingly. We prefer the long side give a positive long-term macro backdrop for copper.
Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Copper establishing a baseFollowing the big drop in copper prices on the back of news at the end of July that Trump's tariff excludes refined metal, prices have started to stabilize near the lows, suggesting a potential recovery could be on the cards.
Copper prices dropped by the largest on July 30 after Trump excluded refined metal from his planned import tariff.
Dip-buyers are starting to step back in now, with prices now finding their footing around $4.40 area, which itself was a prior demand zone from early April.
Short-term resistance around $4.50 has provided a short-term ceiling but if that breaks then we could see a quick recovery towards the 200-day average first, ahead of potentially $5.00 in the coming weeks.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Strength in Precious Metals ContinuesThere was a good mix in price action across many asset classes on the day today where the precious metals traded higher led by the Silver market, which traded up near 1.3% on the day. There was a mixed set of data being released today with manufacturing data and PMI, and the S&P and Nasdaq finished the day lower. Over the past few weeks, there has been significant volatility in the precious metals looking at Gold, Silver, and Copper, and the last few trading days Gold and Silver have strung together a few positive days in a row. Both Gold and Silver have been trading at or near all time high prices and have been able to hold at these levels even with slight selling pressure.
Copper on the other hand has continued to struggle after the 50% tariff on all imports was announced last week, and the market has dropped from “overbought” to “oversold” levels on a daily basis in a matter of a few days. There will be a good amount of earnings coming out for the remainder of the week that could add additional volatility to the equity indices along with the precious metals to wrap up the week.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Copper: Trump Signs Tariffs on Imports Amid National Security...President Donald Trump signed a proclamation on Wednesday that imposes tariffs on copper imports, citing concerns over national security.
The White House announced that the new policy will introduce a 50% tariff on semi-finished copper products and other copper-derived goods that are highly dependent on the metal.
These tariffs are scheduled to come into effect on August 1, as outlined in a White House fact sheet.
In terms of market dynamics, copper is currently within a monthly demand zone, with a daily demand area also identified for setting pending orders. The potential impact on prices could be twofold: a possible upward movement driven by the discount effect on the metal, or continued decline following President Trump's announcement.
What are your thoughts on how these tariffs might influence copper prices moving forward?
✅ Please share your thoughts about HG1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COPPER Top of 4-year Rising Wedge. Sell.Copper (HG1!) eventually followed the bearish break-out signal we gave on our last analysis (April 03, see chart below) and within 2 days it hit our 4.1250 Target:
Right now the price sits at the top of the 4-year Rising Wedge pattern and on the 1W time-frame it is a textbook technical sell signal.
With the 1W RSI also rejected on a Lower Highs trend-line, we are looking to aim for the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) at least. Every Bearish Leg since the July 11 2022 Low, reached at least its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding again.
As a result, our Target is 4.700, which given a fair 3-month time-frame, should be at the time marginally below the 1W MA50, in line with all previous bottoms of the Rising Wedge.
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