Copper extends gains amid risk on tradeFollowing the weaker US cpi report, risk assets have all rallied and copper is among those. The metal broke out of a triangle continuation pattern yesterday and held above $5.00 key level. With optimism over US-China sending stocks to new records today, copper could follow suit and gain further ground in the days and weeks ahead. Watch out for more upside potential.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Copper Futures HG1!
Copper (HG1) Market Watch Simple & Clear!Copper’s looking strong right now 💪 and it might be setting up for a big move.
Here’s the key level I’m watching:
📈 If copper breaks and closes above 5.41, that could open the door for a run all the way up to 7.13.
That’s a big potential move but only if we hold strong above that breakout level.
💡 Right now, it’s all about confirmation ; a clean close above 5.41 could shift the trend in a big way.
Want to see the chart setup I’m using and how I’m planning around that 5.41 breakout?
💬 DM me “COPPER” and I’ll send you the exact breakdown directly. 🚀
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XCU/USD: Will This Demand Zone Hold for Bulls?🎯 XCU/USD: The Great Copper Heist Strategy | Multi-Layer Entry Setup 💰
📊 Asset Analysis
Copper vs U.S. Dollar (XCU/USD) - Metals Market
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMATION
🔍 Technical Setup Overview
The setup shows bullish confirmation with triangular moving averages converging in a demand zone - a classic institutional accumulation pattern. We're seeing strong support structure forming, making this an attractive risk-reward opportunity for multi-layer entries.
🎯 The "Layered Entry" Strategy Explained
This isn't your typical single-entry approach. We're using a multi-limit order layering strategy (what I call the "strategic accumulation method") to build positions gradually:
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Levels:
Layer 1️⃣: $4.9000
Layer 2️⃣: $4.9500
Layer 3️⃣: $5.0000
Layer 4️⃣: $5.0500
Layer 5️⃣: $5.1000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. The beauty of layering? You average into the position as price dips, reducing overall entry cost.
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $4.8000
This level invalidates the bullish structure and protects capital if the setup fails.
⚠️ Important Disclaimer: The stop loss mentioned is based on this specific analysis. You should always determine your own risk parameters based on your account size, risk tolerance, and trading plan. Take profits at YOUR comfort level - your risk, your rules! 🎲
🎯 Profit Targets & Exit Strategy
Primary Target: $5.4000 🎊
This represents a solid risk-reward ratio from our layered entries.
⚠️ Long-Term Resistance Warning: There's a major resistance zone around $28.00 (historical supply zone acting as a strong barrier + potential overbought conditions). If you're thinking ultra-long term, be aware that this level has trapped bulls before.
💰 Exit Strategy Note: The targets provided are guideline levels. Always manage your own exits based on price action, momentum, and your personal profit goals. Lock in gains when you're comfortable - trading is personal!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the copper move:
HG (Copper Futures) - Direct correlation, primary benchmark
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) - Major copper producer, equity proxy
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = stronger copper
CL (Crude Oil) - Industrial commodity correlation
AUD/USD - Australian dollar heavily tied to copper exports
CNY/USD - China is the largest copper consumer globally
💡 Key Point: If DXY weakens and AUD/USD strengthens while industrial commodities rally, this confirms the copper bullish thesis.
📈 Why This Setup Works
✅ Triangular MA convergence in demand zone = strong technical confluence
✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk
✅ Clear invalidation level for risk management
✅ Favorable risk-reward ratio to first target
✅ Industrial metals showing strength in current macro environment
⚡ Final Thoughts
This is a methodical approach to capturing potential upside in copper while managing downside risk through layered entries. Remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Build positions strategically, manage risk religiously, and let the market come to you.
🎭 Strategy Style Disclaimer
This analysis uses a creative "layered accumulation" approach for educational and entertainment purposes. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. This is not financial advice - trade at your own risk and always do your own research. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ⚠️📉
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XCU #Copper #MetalsTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #XCUUSD #CopperFutures #MultiLayerEntry
How To Spot Stagflation?One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio.
• Gold reflects real money and investor confidence.
• Copper tracks recession.
• Crude oil represents inflation pressures.
When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains.
What could trigger it?
Copper Gold Ratio - A downward trend signals slower growth and potential recession. This does not mean copper prices are falling; rather, if both copper and gold are rising but copper is climbing at a slower rate than gold, the ratio will continue to trend lower.
Crude Gold Ratio - As of now, the trend is still down, indicating that inflation remains under control. However, if crude oil starts moving higher, and its percentage change exceeds that of gold, the ratio will turn upward. Currently, inflation already seems to be pointing upward, and if the copper-gold ratio also rises, inflation is likely to trend higher than its current level.
Video version:
Therefore, stagflation = slow growth (copper-gold ratio) + high inflation (crude-gold ratio). Keep a close watch on the direction of copper and crude oil.
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Tracking Stagflation with this Ratio - Crude, Copper, Gold RatioHow to Spot Stagflation?
One way is by looking at the copper-to-gold ratio and the crude oil-to-gold ratio.
• Gold reflects real money and investor confidence.
• Copper tracks recession.
• Crude oil represents inflation pressures.
When real money is under threat, the economy slows, and inflation rises at the same time, we have stagflation. This is the worst-case scenario for any economy. Fortunately, we are not experiencing it yet, though the risk remains.
What could trigger it?
Copper Oil Futures & Options
Ticker: HG
Minimum fluctuation:
0.0005 per pound = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Zinc & Copper Correlation is very healthyZinc and copper markets are closely related because both metals are used heavily in construction, manufacturing, and electrical applications, so demand often rises and falls together with industrial activity.
They’re also frequently mined from the same deposits, meaning supply-side disruptions can affect both. As a result, prices for zinc and copper tend to show a high degree of correlation, moving in similar cycles tied to global economic growth and infrastructure.
Comparing the Charts (Zinc on the left on a Monhtly TF), we see that Zinc has a lot of room left to the upside. Because it's goal is to go back to balance, which is the Centerline.
And because of the close correlation, I think the Chart of Copper HG1! is still OK.
So, in Copper, the Centerline target is still in play.
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first:
- Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels.
- Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices.
- U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials.
📈 Now the Chart:
P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void.
Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up.
The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline.
💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊
Happy new week to all §8-)
Copper vs Dollar | Institutional vs Retail Sentiment Analysis🔥 XCU/USD – Copper vs U.S Dollar | Thief Money-Making Plan (Swing/Scalping Trade)
🎯 Plan & Thief Entry Style
Bias: Bullish ✅ (Re-Accumulation Buy Setup)
Entry Style: Thief strategy = multiple limit order layers 🧩
Suggested Layers: (4.4600) 🟢 | (4.4700) 🟢 | (4.4800) 🟢 | (4.4900) 🟢 | (4.5000) 🟢
You can always increase limit layers depending on your own strategy.
Stop Loss (Thief SL): 4.4200 ⚠️
Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — always adjust SL to your own plan & risk appetite.
Target Zone: 4.6700 🎯
Resistance + overbought zone + possible trap → steal the money & escape! 🏃💰
📊 XCU/USD Market Snapshot (Copper vs U.S Dollar) – Sept 5, 2025
Real-Time Change: -0.8% 🔻
Retail Sentiment: 45% Long 😊 | 55% Short 😟
Institutional Sentiment: 60% Long 🚀 | 40% Short 🛑
➡️ Retail leaning bearish, while institutions show cautious optimism.
😨💰 Fear & Greed Index
Score: 48/100 (Neutral) ⚖️
Market mood balanced → no extreme fear/greed at the moment.
📊 Fundamental Score – 6/10
Stable global copper demand ✅
Risks: US economic slowdown ❌ & weaker China industrial output ⚙️
Key Watch: industrial production data + trade policy shifts
🌍 Macro Score – 5.5/10
US Dollar strength 🦅
Global PMI data + US jobs report 🏭
Tariff talks & supply chain risks add uncertainty
🐂🐻 Overall Market Outlook
Neutral ➡️ Slightly Bullish ⚖️➡️🚀
Short-term pressure from USD strength 📉
Long-term supported by institutional buying & steady industrial demand 🏗️
Watch: US Nonfarm Payrolls + China economic updates 📡
🔎 Quick Take – Why This Thief Plan?
Copper is stable but under macro pressure.
Institutional flow is bullish compared to retail → signal of hidden strength.
Neutral sentiment = less volatility now, but data events may unlock momentum.
Swing/Scalp opportunities exist with layered buy entries → thief escape at 4.6700! 💰
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver)
PEPPERSTONE:USDX (Dollar Index)
$CLUSD (Crude Oil)
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Copper #XCUUSD #Metals #Commodities #TradingView #SwingTrade #Scalping #Forex #ThiefStrategy #Layering #CommoditiesTrading #XAUUSD #XAGUSD #USDIndex #CrudeOil
COPPER Multi-year Support held. Strong Buy Signal.Last time we had a look on Copper (HG1!) was almost 2 months ago (July 17, see chart below) and it delivered an instant return on our sell as it got rejected at the top of the Rising Wedge, quickly hitting our 4.700 Target:
The price just broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again this week after completing 5 weeks below it. With the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) intact as Support, the multi-year Rising Wedge should now technically initiate its new Bullish Leg.
Check also the 1W RSI, which just hit and rebounded on its 2-year Support Zone.
We expect a new Higher High on the Rising Wedge, targeting $6.000.
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Copper testing bullish trend lineWith copper prices easing over the last few days, it has now reached a key short-term support area in the shaded region. Here a bullish trend line meets prior support/resistance range. Can we see a bounce here today? Or are we inside a bear flag pattern? Either way, we will soon find out, and then one can trade copper accordingly. We prefer the long side give a positive long-term macro backdrop for copper.
Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Copper establishing a baseFollowing the big drop in copper prices on the back of news at the end of July that Trump's tariff excludes refined metal, prices have started to stabilize near the lows, suggesting a potential recovery could be on the cards.
Copper prices dropped by the largest on July 30 after Trump excluded refined metal from his planned import tariff.
Dip-buyers are starting to step back in now, with prices now finding their footing around $4.40 area, which itself was a prior demand zone from early April.
Short-term resistance around $4.50 has provided a short-term ceiling but if that breaks then we could see a quick recovery towards the 200-day average first, ahead of potentially $5.00 in the coming weeks.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Strength in Precious Metals ContinuesThere was a good mix in price action across many asset classes on the day today where the precious metals traded higher led by the Silver market, which traded up near 1.3% on the day. There was a mixed set of data being released today with manufacturing data and PMI, and the S&P and Nasdaq finished the day lower. Over the past few weeks, there has been significant volatility in the precious metals looking at Gold, Silver, and Copper, and the last few trading days Gold and Silver have strung together a few positive days in a row. Both Gold and Silver have been trading at or near all time high prices and have been able to hold at these levels even with slight selling pressure.
Copper on the other hand has continued to struggle after the 50% tariff on all imports was announced last week, and the market has dropped from “overbought” to “oversold” levels on a daily basis in a matter of a few days. There will be a good amount of earnings coming out for the remainder of the week that could add additional volatility to the equity indices along with the precious metals to wrap up the week.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
Copper: Trump Signs Tariffs on Imports Amid National Security...President Donald Trump signed a proclamation on Wednesday that imposes tariffs on copper imports, citing concerns over national security.
The White House announced that the new policy will introduce a 50% tariff on semi-finished copper products and other copper-derived goods that are highly dependent on the metal.
These tariffs are scheduled to come into effect on August 1, as outlined in a White House fact sheet.
In terms of market dynamics, copper is currently within a monthly demand zone, with a daily demand area also identified for setting pending orders. The potential impact on prices could be twofold: a possible upward movement driven by the discount effect on the metal, or continued decline following President Trump's announcement.
What are your thoughts on how these tariffs might influence copper prices moving forward?
✅ Please share your thoughts about HG1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
COPPER Top of 4-year Rising Wedge. Sell.Copper (HG1!) eventually followed the bearish break-out signal we gave on our last analysis (April 03, see chart below) and within 2 days it hit our 4.1250 Target:
Right now the price sits at the top of the 4-year Rising Wedge pattern and on the 1W time-frame it is a textbook technical sell signal.
With the 1W RSI also rejected on a Lower Highs trend-line, we are looking to aim for the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) at least. Every Bearish Leg since the July 11 2022 Low, reached at least its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding again.
As a result, our Target is 4.700, which given a fair 3-month time-frame, should be at the time marginally below the 1W MA50, in line with all previous bottoms of the Rising Wedge.
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Bullish Consolidation After the copper market exploded higher on the Trump Administration’s 50% tariff headline, the market has been quietly consolidating above the breakout level at 5.33. While above this level the risk is higher, and in case of a break back below the 5.30 level, the risk would be a larger retracement. This would likely be caused by the Trump Administration abandoning that threat of a 50% tariff.
Copper: Event-driven Trade Idea on Recent TariffsCOMEX: Micro Copper Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MHG1! ), #microfutures
The Event
On July 9th, President Trump announced that he would impose a 50% tariff on imports of copper, effective August 1st.
The decision was based on national security assessment. Copper is the second most used material by the U.S. Department of Defense. The President intents to use tariffs to reduce reliance on imports and shore up support for domestic production.
Immediate Market Reaction
U.S. copper prices ended Tuesday’s session over 13% higher — the sharpest single-day gain since 1989. The September COMEX copper futures contract was settled at $5.584 a pound on Friday, up 35.7% year-to-date.
Due to tariffs, Copper in the U.S. is priced at a large premium over international markets.
• UK: LME copper contract was quoted at $9,660.5 per ton on Friday.
• China: SHFE coper futures was settled at RMB 78,420 per ton. It can be converted to $10,959.4 via the Dollar/RMB exchange rate of 7.1555.
• US: COMEX copper quote of $5.584 can be converted to $12,312.7 per ton.
• As of Friday, COMEX copper is priced at a 27.5% premium over LME copper, and a 12.3% premium over SHFE copper.
The U.S. Copper Market
The U.S. Geological Survey reports that the 2024 total refined copper consumption was 1.8 million metric tons. Of which, 850,000 tons were from mining, 150,000 tons were refined from scrap, and 810,000 tons from imports.
Chile is the biggest source of U.S. copper imports, accounting for 581,000 tons, or 71.7% of total imports. Canada is the second largest, for 169,000 tons, or 20.9%.
Copper is a widely used base metal, found in products ranging from machinery, electronics, household goods, housing, infrastructure projects, to aircraft and missiles.
Since President Trump announced a probe into copper in February, traders have been poised for a hike on copper duties, leading to major shifts in inventories away from Europe and Asia and into the U.S.
The Next Event: Will the Copper Tariffs get postponed or reduced?
The goal to increase domestic production of copper is very challenging. It will take years to ramp up and decades to fully meet demand — at a massive upfront investment cost.
Hiking the import duties would not help national security. It could not change the fact that the biggest copper mines are in Chile, Peru and Canada. A sharp increase in the cost of copper will quickly translate into wide-ranging inflation in the U.S.
In my opinion, once the Trump administration realizes the full impacts, we could possibly see a crawl-back from the intended copper tariffs. The effective date would be postponed, the tariff rate could be reduced, and many companies may get exemption/waiver. We have seen similar maneuvers happening multiple times in the past few months.
Overall, the actual impact of copper tariffs will be much smaller than the original announcement.
Shorting COMEX Copper Futures
Historically, the price difference between COMEX and LME coppers has been near-zero and was around the $150 level in 2024.
Since February, COMEX copper has been trading at $500-$1,500 premium over LME. As of Friday, COMEX copper futures have gone up 35% this year and are now priced at $2,652 per ton above LME copper.
In my opinion, these price differences reflect no economic fundamentals. It is purely due to the ever-changing global tariff conflict. If President Trump rescinds his tariff narratives, we could likely see a large drop in COMEX copper prices.
A trader sharing this view could explore shorting the COMEX Micro copper ( GETTEX:MHG ).
Last Friday, the September micro copper futures contract (MHGU5) was settled at 5.5910. Each contract has a notional value of 2,500 pounds of high-grade copper, or a market value of $13,977.5. To buy or sell 1 contract, a trader is required to post an initial margin of $1,100. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 12.7-to-1.
Let’s use a hypothetical trade to illustrate how to use a short futures position to take advantage a potential reduction on copper tariffs.
Hypothetical Trade:
• Short 1 MHGU5 contract at 5.5910, and set a stop loss at 6.00
• Trader pays $1,100 for initial margin
Scenario 1: Tariffs go into effect, copper rises to $6.57
• Futures reflect a 50% premium over current LME copper price, which is at $4.38 per pound
• Short order stop loss at 6.00, and the maximum loss is $1,022.5 (= (6-5.591) x 2500)
• The trader loses most of the margining fund, but owes no more
Scenario 2: Trump Rescinds Tariffs, Copper falls to $4.38
• COMEX copper will be priced at No premium over LME
• Short position gains: $3,027.5 (= (5.591-4.38) x 2500)
• The hypothetical return will be 275.2% (= 3027.5 / 1100)
The above scenarios show that
• When copper falls, short position will have higher returns due to its leverage nature.
• When copper rises, the stoploss will kick in to set maximum losses.
The above trade idea could be deployed using the standard-size Copper Futures contract. Its notional value is 25,000 tons, which is 10 times bigger than that of the micro contract. The initial margin is $11,000. The standard-size contract is more liquid. On Friday, it had a total volume of 60,313 contracts, and an open interest of 221,682.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
XCU/USD: Low-Risk Loot Opportunity!🔥 THE COPPER HEIST: XCU/USD Robbery Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🔥
🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🌟
(Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master heist plan for the XCU/USD "The Copper" Metals Market! This is a high-probability long setup, but we must escape before the police (bears) set their trap near the red zone! 🚨📉
📌 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT
✔ Entry Strategy (Breakout or Pullback)
✔ Stop Loss (Protect Your Loot!)
✔ Target (Escape Before the Cops Arrive!)
🚀 ENTRY: TIME TO STRIKE!
"The heist is ON! Wait for the ATR breakout (5.00000) before moving!"
Option 1: Place Buy Stop orders above the Moving Average.
Option 2: Use Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m recent swing lows).
📢 ALERT! Set a breakout alarm—don’t miss the move!
🛑 STOP LOSS: PROTECT YOUR LOOT!
"Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're entering on a Buy Stop, DON’T set your SL until AFTER the breakout!
📍 Thief SL Placement: Recent swing low + Moving Average (5H TF) → 4.80000
⚠️ WARNING: If you ignore this, you’re playing with fire! 🔥 (Your risk, not mine!)
🎯 TARGET: CASH OUT & ESCAPE!
🏴☠️ First Take-Profit: 5.25000 (or exit early if the market turns!)
💰 Scalpers: Only trade LONG—use trailing SL to lock in profits!
📊 MARKET STATUS: NEUTRAL (But Bullish Potential! 🐂)
Fundamentals? Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics, News Sentiment!
🔗 Links in bio0 for full analysis! 👉🌎📰
🚨 TRADING ALERT: NEWS = VOLATILITY!
⚠️ Avoid new trades during major news!
🔒 Use Trailing SL to protect open positions!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST PLAN!
Hit 👍 LIKE & 🔄 SHARE to strengthen our robbery squad!
🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned! 🤑💎
🎯 FINAL WORD:
"Take profits, treat yourself—you deserve it! 💸🏆"
Lundin Mining Outlook - Copper trade - Coming monthsIm getting really bullish on this stock. With a few copper mines left in the world with tiny lifespans, Lundin mining comes in with copper mines that will deliver for the next 15-20 years. Taking advantage of these high copper prices in the coming raging bull market.
If the price close above the upper resistance line then it will most likely take off. Eventually we will most likely get a pullback to make the resistance line to a support level. Im using DCA method for entry on this one.
Always make your own analysis and your own decision. Don´t see this as a financial advice. I only show you what I do. Nothing else.
OMXSTO:LUMI
CMCMARKETS:COPPERN2025
COMEX:HG1!
OANDA:XCUUSD
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
Ready to Rob the Copper Market? XCU/USD Heist Plan Revealed!🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟
Money Makers, Risk Takers, and Market Shakers! 🤑💸✈️
Dive into our XCU/USD "Copper" Metals Market heist, crafted with the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, blending sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Follow the strategy outlined in the TradingView chart, focusing on a long entry targeting the high-risk Yellow ATR Zone. Expect a wild ride with overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals where bearish players lurk. 🏆💰 Celebrate your wins, traders—you’ve earned it! 💪🎉
📈 Entry: Storm the Vault!
The market’s ripe for a bullish grab! 💥 For Pullback trade place buy limit orders within the most recent 15 or 30-minute swing low/high levels. Set alerts on your chart to stay locked in. 🔔
🛑 Stop Loss: Guard Your Loot!
Set your Thief SL at the nearest swing low on the 3H timeframe for day/swing trades. Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders. Safety first! 🔒
🎯 Targets: Claim Your Prize!
🏴☠️ Short-Term Target: 5.10000
👀 Scalpers, Listen Up!
Stick to long-side scalps. Got deep pockets? Jump in now! Otherwise, join swing traders for the heist. Use trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect your stash. 💰
🐂 Why XCU/USD "Copper" is Hot!
The Fiber’s bullish surge is fueled by key fundamentals. Dive into Macro, COT Reports, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment, Intermarket trends, and future targets via the linkss below for the full scoop. 👉🔗. Stay informed to stay ahead! 📰
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management
News releases can shake the market like a heist gone wrong! 🗞️ To protect your profits:
🚫 Avoid new trades during news events.
🛡️ Use trailing stops to secure running positions.
💥 Boost the Heist!
Hit the Boost Button to supercharge our Thief Trading Strategy! 💪 Every click strengthens our crew, making it easier to swipe profits daily. Join the squad, trade smart, and let’s make money rain! 🌧️💵
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022).
You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down.
The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop.
Why do these two curves move in opposite directions?
Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions.
To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve.
Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇
Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it.
For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together.
As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse.
#Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
Mid-Week Market Forecast: GOLD, SILVER, COPPER & PLATINUMIn this video, we'll present analysis and best setups for Wednesday, April 22nd to the end of the week.
Gold is still a buy.
Silver may present a sell opportunity at current levels.
Copper looks like it is setting up for a valid sell.
Platinum has showed weakness early this week. We'll watch for continuation.
Be patient, and wait for confirmations!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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