Hindenburgomen — Trading Ideas on TradingView

NVIDIA - AI Child Poster Goes Lower as Hindenburg Omen Alive The Hindenburg Omen is a technical indicator of stock market breadth, or "breathing," that is believed to be a harbinger of a major market crash. It is known to have received its name from the disaster of the German passenger airship Hindenburg, which burned to the ground in just over 30 seconds on May 6, 1937. This became a dramatic and widely known omen of the end of the airship era and the beginning of the motorized era, which escalated into the all-encompassing "Motor War" — war conflict also known as "World War II" in which motorized technology such as airplanes, tanks, and automobiles, as well as aviation and naval forces, played a key role. How the indicator works The Hindenburg Omen indicator is based on an analysis of market breadth—the ratio of stocks reaching new highs and new lows over a given period (usually 52 weeks) on a stock exchange (e.g., the NYSE). A "signal" occurs when certain conditions are met that suggest the market is experiencing hidden weakness (yet undetected by many market participants), even though the underlying index (S&P 500 or NYSE Composite) continues to rise, reaching its 52-week or even all-time highs. The main technical chart says Hindenburg Omen has occured again.. and exactly on Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA top, sending AI child poster to lower degree.

HINDENBURG OMENS — 2025. WHAT HISTORY AND TRENDS ARE TALK ABOUT The Hindenburg Omen is a technical indicator of stock market breadth, or "breathing," that is believed to be a harbinger of a major market crash. It is known to have received its name from the disaster of the German passenger airship Hindenburg, which burned to the ground in just over 30 seconds on May 6, 1937. This became a dramatic and widely known omen of the end of the airship era and the beginning of the motorized era, which escalated into the all-encompassing "Motor War" — war conflict also known as "World War II" in which motorized technology such as airplanes, tanks, and automobiles, as well as aviation and naval forces, played a key role. How the indicator works The Hindenburg Omen indicator is based on an analysis of market breadth—the ratio of stocks reaching new highs and new lows over a given period (usually 52 weeks) on a stock exchange (e.g., the NYSE). A "signal" occurs when certain conditions are met that suggest the market is experiencing hidden weakness (yet undetected by many market participants), even though the underlying index (S&P 500 or NYSE Composite) continues to rise, reaching its 52-week or even all-time highs. Key conditions for a signal include: A large number of stocks, usually a figure of 2.2% threshold or higher (for example, 11 or more stocks out of 500) are reaching new 52-week highs. However, a large number of stocks are also reaching its new 52-week lows on the same day (indicating a strong divergence in investor sentiment). A market/ exchange index (e.g., the S&P 500 or NYSE Composite) has no reaction yet, and continues to rise, reaching 52-week or all-time highs. In other words, there is no yet outward sign of potential danger in the index's price action. The McClellan Oscillator (another market breadth indicator) should be negative, confirming underlying market weakness. Importance and Reliability While this indicator is associated with predicting major market crashes (for example, it was active before the crashes of 1990, 2000, and 2008), it is not an absolutely accurate forecasting tool and requires refinement based on an analysis of overall market conditions. Many analysts consider it controversial and unreliable, as it can generate false signals. Nevertheless, its appearance usually attracts investors' attention, reminding them of potential risks in an overheated market, especially when the "Hindenburg Omen" appears for the first time in a significant period of time (3 months or more), and the market is at peaks and significantly deviates from its key, most common support levels. Overall, the "Hindenburg Omen" is more of a warning signal for traders to exercise caution than a guarantee of imminent collapse. The 2025 Survey The 2025 is the first time (at least) over the past twenty years the "Hindenburg Omen" has repeatedly occured twice in one calendar year; both times with a threshold 3.4% as a minimum. Over the past twenty years there were just 3 cases at all, the "Hindenburg Omen" has occured with a threshold 3.4% as a minimum. November 2007, a hidden start of 2007/09 world financial crisis. There were no new all-time highs in major US indices over the next 6 years, up to December 2013. December 2014, no new all-time highs in major US indices over the next 2 years, up to December 2026 March 2025 - Nowadays. Practical Application of the "Hindenburg Omen" Indicator on TradingView In the spirit of TradingView, Pine programming master @QuantNomad created the "Hindenburg Omen" indicator directly on the website and made its source code open source so traders can explore it and see its functionality. Kudos to the author.

"Hindenburg's Omen" to predict a stock market crash."Hindenburg's Omen" to predict a stock market crash. "Hindenburg's Omen" is a technical indicator in financial analysis designed to predict a potential significant decline or a stock market crash. Here are the main things to remember about this indicator: Definition and origin Introduced by Jim Miekka in the 1990s. Named after the Hindenburg airship disaster in 1937, symbolizing an unexpected disaster. How it works - Hindenburg's Omen is triggered when several conditions are met simultaneously on a stock market: - A high number of stocks reaching both new highs and lows over 52 weeks (usually more than 2.2% of stocks). - The number of new highs must not exceed twice the number of new lows. - The stock index must be in an upward trend (positive 50-day or 10-week moving average). -The McClellan Oscillator (sentiment indicator) should be negative. Interpretation -When these conditions are met, the Omen suggests underlying market instability and an increased risk of a significant decline. -The signal remains active for 30 trading days. Reliability -The indicator has correctly signaled some historical crashes, such as the one in 1987. -However, its reliability is questionable as it also produces many false signals. Usage -Generally used in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis to confirm sell signals. Traders can use it to adjust their positions or as an alert for increased market monitoring. It is important to note that, like any technical indicator, the Hindenburg Omen is not infallible and should be used with caution, in conjunction with other analytical tools. In the following photos, a harmonic "BLACK SWAN" pattern was detected on the DOW JONES, announcing a stock market crash or a strong correction!

Hindenburg Omen is ON. Market might slide much lower. Last week there were perfect conditions for Hindenburg Omen indicator. Markets seems unstable at the moment, > 3% of stocks marking both new 52w highs and lows. The Hindenburg Omen looks for a statistical deviation from the premise that under normal conditions, securities are either making new 52-week highs or 52-week lows. The abnormality would be if both were occurring at the same time. According to the Hindenburg Omen, an occurrence such as this is considered to be a harbinger of impending danger for a stock market. The signal typically occurs during an uptrend, where new highs are expected and new lows are rare, suggesting that the market is becoming nervous and indecisive, traits that often lead to a bear market. For it to be on 4 conditions should be satisfied: 1. Number of new 52-week highs and 52-week lows in a stock market are greater than a threshold (2.2% for example). 2. Positive recent trend. Index > index 3. The McClellan Oscillator ( MCO ) is negative. 4. 52-week highs cannot be more than two times the 52-week lows. You can read more about the indicator on Investopedia: www.investopedia.com

VIX macro signal I follow a CFA from Charles Schwab, who uses this signal to establish negative or positive sentiment. To notice how it worked in the past, I have added the S&P500 trend line. The idea is as follows: When the upper Bollinger Band (with a 50 period and 1 standard deviation) on the $VIX turns higher, that is a bearish sign, and when it turns lower, the SPY tends to rally. ----------- Also, today January 28th, we had a Hindenburg Omen flash.