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XAUUSD Outlook Monthly / Weekly ( 1st -5th Sept )Hello Traders, Welcome to a fresh month and a brand-new week! Once again, last week’s plan unfolded just as we mapped it out — I trust many of you managed to catch those green (or blue, whichever you prefer) prints. Now as we roll into September, gold sits at a pivotal supply zone. The 3500 liquidity magnet is pulling price, but the stretched EMAs warn of a possible retracement. Key levels are clear: bulls must defend 3400–3360, or else we risk a revisit toward the 3250–3120 liquidity pocket. My bias remains bullish while 3400 holds. Gold is testing supply, and a sweep of the 3500 liquidity magnet looks probable. A bearish shift only comes if 3360 breaks. And don’t forget — NFP Friday is the major decision point this week. Let’s dive into the setups and see how we can position for another profitable month and week ahead. ✨ 🔑 High-Level Summary Macro Trend: Still bullish, but price is pressing into premium supply zones (3460–3500). Bias: Bullish above 3400; bearish shift only if 3360 (H4 cluster) breaks. Main Magnet: 3500 liquidity pool + Fibo expansions at 3520–3530 and 3600–3620. Risk: Extremely stretched above EMAs → a corrective wick/pullback likely in September. 🟡 Monthly View Supply: 3460–3500 (premium, untested). Demand: 2800–2850 (macro HL + EMA21 confluence). Liquidity Wick: 3250–3120 (likely sweep/re-accumulation, not clean OB). Progression Map: Bullish → Break & hold 3460–3500 → 3550–3600, then 3700–3720. Bearish → Rejection at 3460–3500 → pullback 3320 → possibly sweep 3250–3120. Bias: Bullish above 3300; bearish shift only on monthly close <3120. 🔵 Weekly View Supply: 3460–3500 (key liquidity). Demand: 3360–3340 (shallow, first cushion). 3280–3250 (EMA21 ~3222, strong accumulation). Progression Map: Bullish → Break above 3500 → 3550–3575 → 3600–3620. Bearish → Rejection → correction 3340 → 3250. Bias: Bullish above 3340, neutral in 3460–3340 range, bearish below 3250. 🔴 Daily View Supply: 3460–3480. Decision Zone: 3400–3380 (EMA21). Demand: 3340–3320 (EMA100 confluence). Liquidity Zone: 3260–3240. Bias: Bullish while >3400. Neutral 3480–3400. Bearish only if <3320. 🟠 H4 View Supply: 3450–3470 (wick rejection). Liquidity Magnet: 3485–3500. Demand Zones: 3420–3400 (Decision Demand, EMA21). 3380–3360 (stacked EMA cluster 50/100/200). Fibo Targets: 3520–3530, 3600–3620. Bias: Bullish >3400, neutral 3470–3400, bearish <3360. 🟢 H1 Intraday View Supply: 3495–3475 (major rejection zone). Liquidity Magnet: 3500 (ATH cluster). Demand Ladders: 3435–3425 → 3415–3405 → 3395–3380 → 3375–3360. Bias: Bullish above 3435–3425. Bearish only under 3395–3380. 🎯 Bottom Line (September Setup) Upside path: Break 3460–3500 → sweep ATH 3500 → 3520–3530 → 3600+. Downside path: Rejection at 3460–3500 → correction 3400 → 3360. Big liquidity re-accumulation: 3250–3120 (if deeper pullback). Catalyst: NFP (Sept 5) likely decides whether Gold expands higher or retraces. 📌 Educational only, not financial advice
TVC:GOLDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
EUR/USD at a Breaking Point: 1.1450 Demand in FocusCommitment of Traders (COT) USD Index (ICE Futures): Non-Commercials reduced both long (-1,370) and short (-1,629) positions. Positioning remains net short on the dollar (11,359 long vs 17,347 short), signaling relative weakness of the greenback. EUR Futures (CME): Non-Commercials significantly increased long positions (+6,420) and also added shorts (+3,106), but net long exposure remains dominant (252,719 long vs 133,974 short). This reflects renewed bullish interest in the euro. 📌 COT Summary: Institutional flows indicate a bullish bias on EUR and bearish bias on USD, supporting a medium-term long outlook on EUR/USD. Seasonality August is historically a weak month for the euro: seasonality shows, on average, a decline in EUR/USD during the second half of the month into early September, followed by a recovery later in Q3. 📌 Seasonal Bias: Slightly bearish in the short term, with potential for a rebound later. Retail Sentiment 58% of retail traders are short EUR/USD, compared with 42% long. 📌 Contrarian view: This increases the probability of a bullish move, as retail positioning is skewed against the trend. Technical Context Structure: EUR/USD is trading at 1.1636, within a range, with a supply zone above 1.1750 and a key demand zone between 1.1520–1.1450. RSI: Neutral, with no extreme overbought/oversold conditions. Primary Scenario: Potential further dip towards 1.1520–1.1450, where institutional buyers may re-enter. Secondary Scenario: If this support breaks, the next target lies in the 1.1350–1.1400 zone. Key Resistance: 1.1750–1.1800. 📌 Operational View: The market may still release downward pressure in the short term, but the 1.1450–1.1500 area appears strategic for potential long entries aligned with COT and sentiment.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
15
Bitcoin – Next Week Outlook: Liquidity Sweep Then Gap FillBitcoin has been trading inside a broader downtrend, with repeated rejections at key resistance levels confirming bearish pressure. Recently, we saw price reject strongly at a 4H resistance zone, which set the stage for another leg down. However, before extending lower, there is still an unfilled CME gap above, and history shows that these gaps are often targeted before the market makes its next decisive move. Liquidity Sweep The most recent drop into the 108,500 zone appears to have created a potential liquidity sweep. Price dipped below a short-term low, likely grabbing stop losses and inducing traders into shorts, which could fuel a reversal back upward. This kind of move often signals accumulation before the market retraces higher. CME Gap Dynamics The CME gap between 114,000 and 116,000 remains unfilled, making it a strong magnet for price. Bitcoin has a clear tendency to revisit and fill these inefficiencies, and until that gap is resolved, I am leaning toward another upward push. The gap aligns with the rejection area from the previous resistance, so it would be a logical point for price to revisit before resuming the downward move. Short-Term Scenarios If Bitcoin holds above the recent liquidity sweep and builds strength on lower timeframes, I expect a climb back toward the CME gap. Once that gap is filled, the reaction from 115,000–116,000 will be key. If sellers defend that level again, the market could set up for another decline, targeting the lows around 109,000 and potentially lower. On the other hand, a clean break and acceptance above 116,000 would challenge the bearish bias, but for now that is less likely given the trend context. Expectations and Targets The primary expectation is for Bitcoin to rally back into the 114,000–116,000 zone to fill the CME gap. From there, I anticipate sellers to step in again, driving price back down toward 110,000 and possibly retesting the sweep lows. This sequence of liquidity sweep, gap fill, and bearish continuation would align with the current market structure. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin has swept liquidity at the lows and now has unfinished business above with the CME gap. A move up into that gap looks probable before we see continuation to the downside. As long as price respects the 4H resistance zone after the gap is filled, I will maintain a bearish outlook with eyes on new lows afterward. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
93
NG1!: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.022 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2.981.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
RUS:NG1!Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
Bitcoin - Will the CME gap be filled?Introduction Bitcoin has been under consistent downward pressure since it reached its new all-time high, and the market has been struggling to regain momentum. During the past weekend, we saw a notable drop in price that created a CME gap, which also happens to align with the bearish 4-hour fair value gap. Since then, the price has been climbing back up, but the recovery has been slow and cautious rather than explosive. The key question now is whether Bitcoin will continue to rise and fill the CME gap or whether it will lose strength and revisit the recent lows. In the following sections, I will go over the levels and scenarios to watch closely. Daily FVG bounce Last week, Bitcoin found support at the daily fair value gap, which acted as a strong demand zone. From this level, the price bounced upward and has been grinding higher ever since. Although this reaction gave some relief to buyers, the pace of the move has been rather sluggish, and momentum remains weak. What traders now need to evaluate is how far this move can realistically extend. The daily FVG provided the initial foundation for this bounce, but the real test will come as the price approaches shorter-term imbalances and resistance areas. Bullish scenario For the bullish outlook to play out, Bitcoin needs to hold the current 1-hour fair value gap as support. If this level remains intact, it will signal that buyers are in control of the short-term trend and that the recent bounce has the potential to evolve into a more sustainable rally. In that case, the next logical upside target would be the 4-hour fair value gap, which conveniently aligns with the CME gap left behind last weekend’s drop. Filling this inefficiency would not only provide a technical target for bulls but would also help restore some balance to the market structure. Bearish scenario On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to maintain the 1-hour fair value gap and breaks below it with a clear 1-hour candle closure, the outlook shifts to bearish. This kind of move would create a bearish inversion and serve as confirmation that sellers are regaining control. If this occurs, the probability increases significantly that Bitcoin will revisit its recent lows. In such a case, the market could once again test the demand at the daily fair value gap, and depending on the strength of that support, we could even see deeper retracements. Final thoughts Bitcoin is currently at an important crossroads where both bullish and bearish outcomes remain possible. The reaction around the 1-hour fair value gap will provide the clearest signal as to which direction the market is likely to take next. If buyers manage to defend this level, the path toward the 4-hour FVG and the CME gap becomes a realistic target, offering room for a meaningful recovery. However, if sellers push the price below the 1-hour imbalance, then the recent bounce may be nothing more than a temporary relief rally before another leg down. Traders should remain cautious, monitor these key levels closely, and adapt to whichever scenario unfolds. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
48
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 38.963 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 38.858.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
XAUUSD (GOLD) 30M – Intraday PlanPrice is trading between $3,387.70 (resistance) and $3,367.84 (support). Currently sitting mid-range around $3,377, with both sides still open. 🔼 Bullish Plan Trigger: 30m body close above $3,387.70. Targets: First push into $3,389.59, then $3,391.19. Momentum extension possible into $3,392+. Management: Partial profits at first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,387 is defended. 🔽 Bearish Plan Trigger: Clean 30m close below $3,367.84. Targets: First into $3,365.16, then $3,362.88, with extension risk toward $3,361.28. Management: Scale at each level, trail stops if downside expands. ⚡ Range Scalp (riskier) Shorts: Rejection at $3,387–$3,388, targeting $3,377–$3,378, SL above rejection. Longs: Bounces from $3,368 zone, targeting $3,376–$3,377, SL below wick lows. Use smaller size — chop can reverse fast. ✅ Confirmation for Break Strong 30m body close through key level. Momentum follow through after breakout. ❌ Invalidation Breakout closes back inside the range (fakeout). Multiple wicks through level with no follow through. 📌 Bottom Line: Waiting for a decisive 30m close outside $3,367.84–$3,387.70. Upside focus above $3,387.70 into $3,391.19. Downside focus below $3,367.84 toward $3,362.88–$3,361.28.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by fxt8
EURUSD: Local Bearish Bias! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16702 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16512.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
EURUSD - Is there more bearish momentum ahead?Introduction Last Friday, the EURUSD experienced a sharp move to the upside following Jerome Powell’s speech, which fueled optimism and created strong bullish momentum. However, the market could not sustain this rally, and by yesterday all the gains were fully retraced. Price dropped back into the bullish inversion fair value gap (FVG), ultimately filling it entirely. While this retracement has cooled off the bullish pressure, it has also introduced some new dynamics into the market that traders should be aware of. Liquidity sweep During Friday’s impulsive rally, EURUSD swept liquidity above the recent highs and simultaneously filled all the bearish fair value gaps. This move, while initially strong, did not manage to establish a sustainable break above those highs. As a result, bearish momentum began to reappear, suggesting that the rally was more of a liquidity grab rather than the start of a prolonged bullish trend. Bullish case scenario The bullish scenario from here would require EURUSD to reclaim strength and invalidate the recently formed bearish 4-hour FVG. For this to happen, the pair would need a decisive 4-hour candle close above this zone, signaling renewed upside momentum. Should buyers manage to achieve this, the next logical target would be another attempt at the highs that were swept on Friday. A confirmed break above those levels would strengthen the bullish case and potentially open the path to higher price levels. Bearish case scenario On the other hand, the bearish scenario appears more probable if EURUSD faces rejection at the bearish 4-hour FVG. A failure to break above this area would confirm that the bearish momentum is still in play. If that occurs, price will likely seek liquidity by moving lower, potentially targeting the bullish 4-hour FVG that sits beneath the liquidity zone. This move would align with the broader bearish structure and reinforce the idea that the market remains under selling pressure despite Friday’s rally. Final thoughts In conclusion, EURUSD is currently at a critical juncture, with both bullish and bearish scenarios still on the table. The decisive factor will be how price reacts around the bearish 4-hour FVG. A strong close above could set the stage for a continuation to the upside, while rejection from this zone would likely lead to a liquidity grab to the downside and a revisit of lower fair value gaps. Traders should remain cautious and patient, waiting for clear confirmations before committing to a direction, as the market continues to balance between bullish hopes and bearish pressure. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Short
by Youriverse
41