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MNQ Daily Analysis - Friday February 28 2025let an awful two day stretch/a Friday turn a solidly profitable week into unprofitable. 0-3 / -$362 --------------- As a learning, beginner day trader I go through the market replay predefining what I am looking for to enter a trade and walk through my thoughts as I experience the market action bar by bar throughout the entire day to see how I handle various events and assess my execution. This is for me and others to learn if you desire.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by stephdruss_61
EURUSD Monthly Orderblock ReactionQuick Summary EURUSD has already started moving lower and This move is a normal reaction from the monthly orderblock, This bearish continuation remains valid Price is targeting the bullish trendline liquidity on the hourly chart Short term pullbacks are possible to allow continuation without leaving FVGs behind Full Analysis EURUSD has begun to decline which is a normal reaction after interacting with the monthly Fvg This reaction supports the broader bearish view and confirms that higher timeframe supply is still active On the hourly timeframe there is a clear bullish trendline liquidity resting below price EURUSD is currently moving with the intention of breaking this trendline in order to continue the downside move Before that break occurs price may perform small corrective pullbacks to the upside These corrections are necessary to rebalance short term inefficiencies and avoid leaving unfilled FVGs behind As long as price remains below the monthly reaction zone and continues to respect bearish orderflow Any upside movement should be treated as corrective The main expectation remains a clean break of the bullish trendline followed by continuation to the downside
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1
EUR/USD: The Ultimate "Deep Discount" Trap?Is the Euro's bull run finally exhausted, or are we just witnessing a massive liquidity hunt? The 100 EMA and a massive Fair Value Gap are about to collide, creating a "Do or Die" zone for traders. If you missed the 1.2000 rally, this retracement might be your last chance to catch the next big wave—or get trapped in a freefall. The Technical Narrative The recent rejection from the 1.2050 highs wasn't just a pullback; it was a structural shift. We are currently tracking a Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 4H timeframe. Price is gravitating toward the 1.1740 - 1.1770 Imbalance (FVG), which perfectly aligns with the 100 EMA. The Setup: We expect a brief "dead cat bounce" into the 1.1890 supply zone (upper pink box) to trap early buyers before the final flush down to the demand zone. The Kill Zone: Look for price exhaustion around 1.1750. This is the high-confluence area where institutional "Smart Money" is likely to reload. 🚨 Red Alert: The "Volatility Week" This isn't a normal trading week. We are facing a "Perfect Storm" of macro data that could invalidate any technical setup in seconds: ECB Rate Decision (Thursday): Any dovish hint from Lagarde will send the Euro straight into our FVG target. NFP Friday: The ultimate USD mover. A strong labor report will be the catalyst for the final liquidity sweep. Trading Advice: Don't be a hero during the news release. Let the market hunt the liquidity first, then join the trend once the dust settles at the 1.1750 support.
by Alpekon
Gold - “Let price choose. We just execute.”🟡 Hello Goldies — Hope the week’s started smoothly. Let’s zoom out and see where gold actually stands on the weekly map. Gold remains firmly in a strong weekly uptrend, trading in full price-discovery mode. Structure is clean, momentum is in control, and despite being extended, the weekly chart shows no evidence of a structural top — just sustained strength. The sweep has already happened. Now gold isn’t choosing direction… it’s deciding how much it wants to pull back before continuing higher. 🧭 BIG PICTURE TAKEAWAY Weekly trend: Bullish and intact (no CHoCH). Current phase: Correction / digestion after a liquidity sweep. Key question: Not direction — depth of pullback. Weekly structure holds above: 4,650–4,850. Daily control zone: 4,850–4,950. H4: Neutral and deciding inside balance. H1: Bearish until structure is reclaimed. ➡️ Patience is required. Best trades come from reactions at key zones, not from prediction.. 🟡 WEEKLY – TREND STILL KING Higher highs / higher lows intact No weekly CHoCH → pullbacks = pauses, not reversals Key Weekly Logic Above 4,650–4,850: bullish structure survives Below that: correction deepens, narrative changes Upside Map (only if momentum rebuilds) 5,300–5,600 → volatile continuation 5,900–6,050 → reaction / slowing zone 6,300–6,500 → blow-off (not base case) 👉 Weekly says: “I’m bullish — but don’t chase me.” 🔵 DAILY – CONTROLLED DAMAGE Daily is doing what healthy trends do after a sweep: resetting. Daily Decision Zone 4,850–4,950 Hold = shallow correction Acceptance below = deeper pullback unlocked Daily Flow Supply above: 5,100–5,250 / 5,500–5,600 Support below: 4,450–4,600 (first real rebuild zone) 4,200–4,350 (major accumulation) 3,900–4,050 (aggressive correction) 👉 Daily says: “I’m allowed to bleed without breaking.” 🟠 H4 – THE BATTLEFIELD H4 trend broke momentum, not structure. H4 Balance Zone (Most Important) 4,920–4,880 Above → stabilization & rotation higher Below → continuation of correction H4 Levels That Matter Resistance: 5,000–5,040 → corrective only unless reclaimed Support: 4,680–4,640 (reaction base) 4,560–4,520 (trend foundation) 4,360–4,320 (last H4 defense) 👉 H4 says: “Decide first. Trend later.” 🔴 H1 – FLOW IS STILL BEARISH This is where most traders get trapped. Why H1 Is Bearish Clean CHoCH + BOS from 5530 → 4945 EMA stack bearish RSI still under pressure Every bounce capped by supply H1 Decision Zone 4,920–4,890 Above = retracement opportunity Below = continuation sells If Bulls Want Control They MUST: Break & hold above 4935 Print BOS Defend a pullback Targets if that happens: 5,010–5,040 5,110–5,140 5,210–5,240 If Bears Stay in Control Expect continuation into: 4,810–4,780 4,705–4,675 4,570–4,540 👉 H1 says: “Structure first. Hope later.” 🎯 FINAL SYNTHESIS (THE TRUTH) Weekly trend is not broken Daily correction is healthy H4 is deciding H1 is still bearish This is a market that rewards patience and punishes anticipation. The trade is not direction. The trade is reaction at the flip zones. Levels > opinions. Acceptance > predictions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
ETH Breaks Support, Bearish Continuation This is a 1-hour ETH/USD chart with Ichimoku Cloud. Price first moved sideways in a defined range, then rallied into a clear resistance zone near the top. After rejection, ETH broke down below key support and the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish shift. Price is now trending lower with weak momentum, and the chart projects a downside target around 2,550, suggesting continuation of the bearish move unless price reclaims the broken level.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Alpha_Trade_Scope
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