AVNT Bullish Reversal / Accumulation Entry on the 2H macro phase.
2H Manipulation phase (0.7258 - 0.4316) is confirmed as {COMPLETE}. Price is now in the high-probability {Accumulation} phase—the institutional setup for a massive directional shift.
ENTRY CONFLUENCE (UNICORN MODEL)
MAIN ENTRY 0.5007
exact boundary of the 30m FVG (0.5007 - 0.4990), strategically placed for optimal mitigation and nested within the 30m Breaker Block for supreme structural support.
SL 0.4866 (Placed below the 30m Breaker Block for absolute invalidation control
Ictconcepts
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/10/2025The Judas Swing strategy continues to show how patience and structure can consistently produce high-probability setups. Yesterday FX:EURUSD offered a clear example of how the market manipulates early liquidity before revealing its true move.
Heading into 08:30EST, price had been trading in a tight range throughout 00:00 - 08:30EST. Our attention was on the highs and lows, key zones that often set the stage for the Judas Swing’s liquidity sweep.
Price ran below the low at 08:35EST, taking out liquidity resting beneath those lows. This was our first signal, a potential false move designed to trap early sellers. Once that downside sweep occurred, we shifted our focus to the upside looking for buys. The key confirmation came shortly after with a clean break of structure to the upside, showing that momentum was reversing. At this point, all we needed was patience. We waited for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) formed during the impulsive move up.
Once price tapped into the imbalance, we executed our long position with 1% risk, targeting a 2% reward. Initially, the market dipped slightly below our entry, testing our patience but our stop was well-placed beneath the liquidity sweep, giving the trade enough room to breathe
Within minutes, the bullish momentum kicked in. The move from discount pricing quickly turned into a strong rally as price reclaimed the earlier range and pushed firmly into premium levels.
Our target was hit decisively, delivering a +2R return in just an hour and 45 minutes. A clean execution, following the exact sequence of events the Judas Swing strategy thrives on:
1. Liquidity sweep
2. Break of structure
3. Retrace into FVG
This trade was a perfect reminder that discipline and structure always win. It’s easy to get tempted by early entries or impulsive setups, but the Judas Swing strategy continues to show that following your rules pays off
Dip Buying Levels on TSLA Post Earnings"Abide in me, and I in you. As the branch cannot bear fruit by itself, unless it abides in the vine, neither can you, unless you abide in me. I am the vine; you are the branches. Whoever abides in me and I in him, he it is that bears much fruit, for apart from me you can do nothing."
- John 15:4-5
Hello Traders!
As part of my weekly equity trade analysis, I will be uploading my recordings of what I am seeing and intending to trade for the week. A quick summary of what's in the video is as follows:
- TSLA earnings are highly anticipated with most retail traders expecting bullish continuation from its breakout from previous consolidation
- We are expecting a retracement to resolve some imbalances, but to structurally hold key levels either above $408 or $385, and to close the week above last week's high over $440
- Our vehicle of choice this week are the $430 weekly calls or $415 calls (if price retraces further to $390)
Cheers,
DTD
Financial Risk Disclaimer |
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. The videos on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I invest and day trade, but remember, investing of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine. While day trading can bring substantial gains, it can also bring serious losses! So make sure you do your research to fully understand the market before diving in. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore should not invest money that you can't afford to lose. The fluctuation of the market can work for you or against you. You should carefully consider your investment objectives and experience before deciding to trade in the market. Again, what you invest in is solely your responsibility.
Bullish Bias Toward $4,400+🌍 Fundamental Overview
Gold is trading around $4,135–$4,155/oz, staying firm despite mild USD recovery.
Friday’s U.S. data (Michigan Consumer Sentiment, inflation expectations) came slightly higher, but Fed cut expectations remain unchanged — markets still price 99% chance of a rate cut in October.
Geopolitical backdrop remains tense — Middle East concerns, ongoing U.S.–China trade friction, and soft global growth outlook keep gold demand resilient.
ETF inflows show renewed interest; central banks (China, Turkey, India) continue accumulating.
Short-term: Profit-taking possible early this week; medium-term trend remains bullish toward $4,300+.
📊 Technical Overview
Current Price Range: $4,135 – $4,155
Support Zones:
$4,120 (minor intraday support)
$4,080 (major short-term floor)
$4,050 (psychological & structural support)
Resistance Levels:
$4,180
$4,200 (key breakout zone)
$4,300 (next major upside target)
Trend: Bullish consolidation — healthy sideways price action above $4,100 zone.
RSI (H4): Resetting from overbought, suggesting space for renewed upside momentum.
🎯 Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Buy Dip Setup
Entry: $4,090–$4,120
SL: below $4,050
TP: $4,180 → $4,220
2️⃣ Breakout Buy
Entry: above $4,180 (confirmed 1H close)
SL: below $4,150
TP: $4,250 → $4,300
3️⃣ Short Scalp (Counter-trend)
Entry: $4,180–$4,200 (if rejection appears)
SL: above $4,220
TP: $4,120 → $4,080
📌 Bias: Bullish above $4,080 — watch for early-week volatility and liquidity traps.
Gold Steady Above $4,000 — Dips Remain Buying Opportunities1) Macro & Fundamental Drivers
Narrative: Gold remains in a structural bull phase, supported by policy-easing expectations, soft USD/real yields, and persistent safe-haven demand. After the vertical run to—and through—the $4k handle, price is consolidating at elevated levels.
Rates/Yields: Markets still price near-term Fed cuts; real yields have eased from recent highs—historically bullish for gold.
USD: The dollar is mixed but broadly softer on easing expectations and global growth worries—tailwind for XAU.
Growth/Inflation mix: Growth data is uneven, inflation trend is moderating on a 3–6m basis; that reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Risk Premium: Ongoing geopolitical/fiscal headlines (US fiscal noise, US–China tension) keep safe-haven bids alive.
Official & Institutional Demand: Central-bank net buying remains a structural pillar; ETF/retail participation is improving on breakouts.
Supply: Mine output growth is slow; AISC (all-in sustaining costs) are elevated—supportive to longer-term floor.
Bottom line: Macro backdrop remains gold-positive, with the caveat that the pace of the recent rally leaves price vulnerable to tactical pullbacks.
2) Flows & Positioning (what matters for timing)
CTA/Trend followers: Likely max long or near it after the $4k breakout. This magnifies both momentum upswings and the risk of air-pocket pullbacks if key levels break.
Options: Skew is biased to calls (crash-up hedging) but rich—implieds elevated. Fade extreme IV spikes; use options for defined-risk breakout exposure.
ETFs/CBs: Dip buying remains a theme; structural demand reduces the depth/duration of corrections.
3) Technicals (multi-timeframe)
Weekly
Trend: Strong uptrend, higher highs/higher lows; price well above rising 20/50-WMA equivalents.
Momentum: Weekly RSI high but not reversing—trend intact.
Daily
Structure: Post-breakout sideways-to-up range developing above the $4k handle (healthy digestion).
Key Levels:
Support: $4,100 (nearby pivot) → $4,050 (strong base) → $4,000 (psych + breakout retest).
Resistance: $4,180–4,200 (cap) → $4,300 (extension) → $4,400+ (measured move if momentum resumes).
Indicators: RSI cooling from overbought; ADX still firm; 10/20-DMA above 50-DMA—bullish stack.
Volatility: Daily ATR expanded—position size down, wider stops.
Intraday (H1–H4)
Bull channel intact while price makes higher lows above $4,100–4,120.
Intra supports: 4,120 / 4,090–4,100; Intra resistances: 4,175–4,200, then 4,240–4,260.
4) Scenario Map (next 1–2 weeks)
Scenario Catalyst / Sign Market Reaction Gold Plan
Bull Base Case Easing-friendly data; calm USD; steady risk-off tone Grind higher into 4,200 → 4,300 Buy dips 4,090–4,120; trail below 4,050
Bull Acceleration Dovish Fed signaling / softer inflation, risk flare-ups Break & close > 4,200, momentum to 4,300–4,400 Breakout long on daily/15-min close >4,200; add through 4,240
Sideways/Mean Revert Mixed data; USD stabilizes; profit-taking Chop 4,050–4,200 range Range trade: buy 4,070–4,100, fade 4,190–4,210 with tight stops
Bear Risk (tactical) Hawkish surprise / strong USD / hot inflation Flush to 4,000–4,020; if breaks, 3,950 Stand aside into the flush; reload longs on reclaim of 4,050/4,100 or buy 3,950 with reversal signal
5) Trade Plans (levels are live-action guides)
A) Swing – Buy the Dip (core idea)
Entry: 4,090–4,120 (staggered)
Invalidation: Daily close < 4,050
Targets: 4,180 / 4,220; runners 4,300
Notes: Use half size first; add only on strength back above the 4,150 pivot.
B) Breakout – Continuation
Trigger: 15–60min close > 4,200 with expanding volume / breadth
Stop: 4,160–4,170 (below breakout)
Targets: 4,260 / 4,300 / 4,360
Tactics: Trail stop under rising 20-EMA (H1).
C) Tactical Short – Reversion
Setup: Rejection wicks at 4,190–4,210 or parabolic spike >4,240 without breadth
Stop: Above the rejection high (tight)
Targets: 4,150 / 4,120; stretch 4,080
Note: Counter-trend. Keep size small and take profits fast.
Risk & Sizing
Keep risk 1–2% per idea.
ATR-adjust stops; don’t widen stops—cut size instead.
Avoid stacking correlated risk; use time-stops if catalysts disappoint.
6) What Would Change My View?
Bearish shift: A sustained daily close below $4,000, or a sharp rebound in real yields + USD with hawkish Fed tone.
Bullish extension: A clean weekly close > $4,200 with improving breadth; that unlocks 4,300–4,400 roadmap.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/10/2025This week’s FX:GBPUSD setup was another textbook example of how patience and discipline can turn a high-probability setup into gains. We marked out our range highs and lows, the key zones we monitor for potential manipulation going into New York open.
As Judas Swing session kicked off, price swept below the low of the zone, taking out resting liquidity. This was our first major clue. The Judas Swing strategy looks for these liquidity sweeps before positioning in the opposite direction of the trap.
Once that downside sweep occurred at 9:25EST, our focus shifted to potential long opportunities. We patiently waited for confirmation, specifically a break of structure to the upside before considering any entry. When that break came, all that was left was a retracement into the fair value gap (FVG) formed during the impulsive move up. Price retraced and filled the imbalance, and that’s where we executed our long after the candle closed. Risk was set at 1%, targeting a 2% return.
This entry could be considered a sniper entry because price barely moved against us. Within minutes, price began to rally, confirming the Judas reversal and validating our entry. Price continued climbing and reached our take-profit in less than an hour. The result was a +2R winner while maintaining disciplined risk management.
The Judas Swing strategy thrives on patience and structure. Wait for liquidity sweeps, confirm the break, and execute only when price revisits your FVG. You won’t catch every move, but you’ll catch the right ones and that’s what leads to consistency.
Gold Holding Strong Above $4,100 — Bulls Eye $4,300 Next🌍 Market Update & Key Drivers
Gold is holding above $4,100/oz, after a strong run.
Safe-haven demand is still a major driver given global uncertainties (trade tensions, risk in U.S. fiscal policy).
The U.S. dollar remains soft, which is favorable for gold.
Fed rate-cut expectations are still elevated; major central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold positions.
Some caution emerges: central banks and institutional funds may take partial profits, leading to short-term volatility.
📈 Technical Structure & Levels
Support Zones
First: ~$4,100
Then: ~$4,050
Deeper: ~$4,000
Resistance / Target Zones
$4,200 → $4,300
If momentum is strong: $4,400+
The trend is strongly bullish, but momentum indicators suggest overextension. A cooling-off or sideways phase is possible before new highs.
🎯 Bias & Trade Strategy
Directional Bias: Bullish overall, but expect short-term consolidation.
Trade ideas:
Buy on dips into recent support zones (e.g. $4,050–$4,100).
Breakout trade: If gold convincingly breaks above $4,200 with strong volume, engage for a move to $4,300+.
Scalp / Short pullback: If you see reversal signals near recent highs, play short-term moves back to support.
Key risk factors include: hawkish surprises from the Fed, USD strength, or large profit-taking at extremes.
AMD short term bullish. Price is expected to have sought its SSL and Receiving nice reaction from Previous Bull POI which was that Bullish Breaker and thus Seeking new Price discovery for short term.
Thus it is very good chance that Price will visit that Bearish Breaker first in next few weeks.
DYOR. This isn't a financial advice. This is just educational and speculative idea.
Your gains or losses are your own responsbility.
If you like this idea, please give it a thumbs up.
All Time High in the crosshair...again1. Weekly Lows hit;
2. Repricing below Weekly Open and Monthly Open;
3. Large Displacement on the upside confirming reversal;
4. Monday's high, Daily FVG and ultimately ATH relative equal highs in the crosshair for the upcoming days/weeks (that is bullish bias until proven otherwise);
Gold Bulls in Control — Eyes on $4,200 Breakout📰 Key Fundamental Drivers
Gold remains elevated above $4,100/oz, consolidating after recent surges.
Safe-haven demand is strong, supported by persistent U.S.-China tensions and global economic uncertainty.
Market expectations for Fed cuts remain robust, with ~99% chance priced in for October and ~94% for December.
Institutional flows (ETF & central banks) continue to add structural support.
Some caution from Fed officials about inflation and pacing of cuts could moderate upside in the near term.
📈 Technical & Price Structure
Support zones to watch: ~$4,100 → ~$4,050 → ~$4,000
Resistance / upside targets: $4,200 → $4,300 → $4,400+
Gold is in a strong uptrend, but short-term momentum is overextended. A pullback or consolidation is healthy and expected.
If price holds above support, the upside bias remains intact. A break below $4,000 would be an early warning.
🎯 Bias & Trade Strategy
Bias: Bullish overall, with caution in the short term.
Trade ideas:
Buy on pullbacks into support zones (e.g. $4,050–$4,100) with tight stops.
Breakout longs if price decisively clears $4,200.
Scalp / reaction shorts near resistance zones if rejection patterns appear.
Pay attention to upcoming U.S. data, Fed commentary, and any sudden USD strength as risk factors.
⚠️ Risk Note
Risk only 1–2% per trade
Confirm setups with volume/candle patterns
Avoid over-leveraging — gold volatility remains high
📌 For educational purposes only – Trade Smart. Athens
Gold Next Week levels📊 GOLD (XAUUSD) Price Update
Looking at the current price action, Gold is showing bullish momentum, but we’re now approaching two major resistance zones around 4055 and 4029. ⚠️
💡 Trading Plan for GOLD:
✅ If price holds above 4000, and based on the CBDR range, we could see a push toward 4200 this week.
❌ But if price breaks below 3976 and sustains, lower levels may open up — turning this into a bearish week.
📈 I’m personally bullish on Gold for now, and will be trading within the dealing range and CBDR zones for confirmation.
What’s your take? 👇
Drop your thoughts in the comments — let’s see how the market plays out! ⚡
BTC LEVEL FOR UPCOMING WEEKLooking at Bitcoin’s price action, a sustained breakout above 126,000 could pave the way toward the 120,000 region in the coming week. Conversely, a sustained breakdown below 110,000 would likely expose the 100,000 level as the next area of interest. The key question remains: where will the market makers steer the price next?
The broader trend continues to lean bearish, though a partial liquidation candle fill of at least 50% may be required before a meaningful reversal to the upside can materialize.
Future of #GOLD #XAUUSDSurprises from #Gold #Levels and #Positional #Targets.
Based on Analysis from yearly chart and #Fibonocci retracement and #extension
& Based on Elliot wave theory, Gold didn't give a retracement at 1.618 levels, which means, Gold broke and holding above 2950., which means the next possible stop is at 2.618 Fib extension and #elliot wave #analysis 3rd wave. Until it reaches this levels the momentum will continue and will reach quickly !
So the ultimate possible target will be #4617.
The Intermediate monthly resistances will be 4041 / 4277 / 4617.
Riding the 3rd wave, which is an Impulse wave will give quick positional targets.
Need not believe this analysis blindly. Do your own analysis and wait and watch the wonders.
Analysis shared for Educational purpose only. Do your own analysis, to be successful on a longer run !!!
#technical #analysis #wonders. There is no holy grail.
October 05, Forex Outlook: Key Moves to Watch This Week!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉






















