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XAUUSD – Technical Analysis on 3H FrameXAUUSD – Technical Analysis on 3H Frame ✅ Lana waits for a correction to buy safely 💛 Trend: Very strong increase, continuously setting new highs Monitoring frame: 3H Current status: Price is rising sharply, no significant correction yet Strategy: Do not chase buying, wait for a correction to the liquidity zone to Buy Market context In today's Asian session, gold has surged strongly and approached the 4500 zone, an unprecedented price level. The increase is very steep, with almost no pause or small correction, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. From a fundamental perspective, the expectation that the Fed will continue to maintain a dovish stance is weakening the USD, combined with escalating geopolitical tensions, has reinforced gold's role as a safe haven. The decisive break of the 4375–4380 zone and then 4400 has triggered additional speculative inflows following the upward trend. Technical view on 3H frame On the 3H frame, the upward structure is still very clear and the price channel is well maintained. However, when the increase range is too large and continuous, entering orders at high zones becomes very risky. For Lana, in such phases, patiently waiting for a correction is more important than trying to catch up with the market. If the buying force continues after a pause, further targets around 4580 can be fully aimed for. Price zones Lana is monitoring Near Buy zone – Liquidity Buy around: 4415 This is the nearest liquidity zone, where the price may return to "gain momentum" before continuing to rise. Lana will closely observe the price reaction here. Long-term Buy zone – Deep correction Long-term Buy: 438x If the market shows a clearer correction, this is the price zone Lana prioritizes to find safer buying opportunities for the medium-term trend. Notes when trading Do not chase buying during phases with too large a range Only enter orders when the small frame creates a clear structure according to Dow theory Reduce volume, prioritize risk management during high market excitement phases FOLLOW LANA TO ANALYZE TOGETHER EVERY DAY.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
8
XAUUSD (H1) – Trading by LiquidityXAUUSD (H1) – Trading by Liquidity Price breaks the channel but buying power is weakening, wait for a pullback to the trendline to enter a trade Summary of today's strategy Gold has broken the price channel, but the key point is that buying power is weakening after the breakout. As the market is about to enter the holiday season – with thin liquidity, I prioritize trading in the "right zone" (liquidity), not FOMO. Plan: watch for a Buy when the price pulls back to the trendline/old channel, and Sell reactively at the Fibonacci liquidity zone 4474–4478. 1) Key Levels today (according to the chart) ✅ BUY Zone (liquidity pullback) Buy Zone 1: 4379 – 4382 SL: 4373 Buy Zone 2: 4361 – 4358 SL: 4353 These are the "beautiful" price zones to wait for a pullback – true to the spirit of trading by liquidity: wait for the price to return to the reactive zone, do not chase buying at the top. ✅ SELL Zone (Fibonacci liquidity) Sell zone: 4474 – 4478 SL: 4482 This zone is "premium + liquidity" so if the price touches it and cannot hold, the likelihood of a profit-taking/reversal is very high. 2) Main Scenario: Wait for a pullback to the channel/trendline to Buy After a breakout, the market often tends to retest the old trendline/channel to check real buying power. Since buying power is weakening, the likelihood of fluctuations to sweep liquidity is high → must be patient to wait for the zone 4379–4382 or deeper 4361–4358. Expected target (scalp/short swing): capture a pullback of 8–15 points depending on volatility, take partial profits when the price bounces according to the plan. 3) Secondary Scenario: Sell reactively at the zone 4474–4478 If the price continues to pull up to the fib zone, I prioritize reactive Sell instead of chasing buy. Only sell when there are signs of "weakness" (long wick/shadow, not closing strongly above the zone). 4) News Context: Weak liquidity → easy "sweep" The market is approaching the holiday season, liquidity is weakening, making it easy for spikes/stop-hunts to occur. Political-economic stories related to policy/tax refunds are causing businesses to prepare strategies, but during this period, prices often react strongly to short-term cash flows rather than sustainable trends. Conclusion: Today prioritize "right zone – right discipline", limit entering trades mid-way. 5) Risk Management Maximum risk per trade 1–2%. Do not enter trades when spreads widen/unusual candle spikes. Which scenario are you leaning towards today: pullback to 4379/4361 to Buy, or pull up to 4474–4478 to Sell reactively?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
32
EURUSD Long: Post-SSL Reversal (London Open)1. MACRO & CONTEXT Environment: Monday, Holiday Week (Low Liquidity). Bias: Bullish Reversal following a "Judas Swing" into the Asian Lows. News: Clear docket (No high-impact drivers). 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (ICT CONCEPTS) Liquidity Run: The algorithm successfully purged Sell-side Liquidity (SSL) below 1.17130 (Asian & Bridge Lows). Market Structure Shift (MSS): A clear displacement candle has closed above the Bridge High (1.17221), confirming a shift in order flow from Bearish to Bullish. PD Array: A fresh Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has aligned perfectly with the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) fib levels. 3. EXECUTION PLAN Type: Limit Order (Buy). Entry Zone: 1.17175 - 1.17188 (Discount Array). Stop Loss: 1.17125 (Hard stop below the Swing Low). Take Profit: TP1: 1.17243 (Secure partials). TP2: 1.17378 (Run on Previous Day High). 4. RISK NOTE Due to the holiday season volatility/thin books, risk is capped at 0.25% - 0.5%. Plan the trade, trade the plan.
Long
by Joeywave369
XAUUSD – Lana prioritizes Buying on retracement XAUUSD – Lana prioritizes Buying on retracement 💛 The uptrend has been confirmed: Lana prioritizes Buying on retracement 💛 Quick Summary Trend: Strong upward, no clear correction signs Status: New ATH has been established Monitoring Frame: H1 Strategy: Prioritize Buying, wait for price to retrace to liquidity zones Market Perspective Gold is maintaining a very strong upward momentum and continuously setting new highs. When drawing the price channel, it can be seen that the price is currently touching the upper area of the channel, indicating the possibility of a slight reaction or short retracement before continuation. The next Fibonacci target is around 4414, which is an area where short-term technical reactions may occur, but the main trend remains upward. Technical Perspective After a strong breakout, the market often tends to return to test the liquidity/ value area before continuing. Lana does not chase buying at high levels but prioritizes waiting for technical retracements to enter orders in line with the trend. Priority Buy Trading Plan Buy Scenario 1 – Near Liquidity Zone Buy: 4371 – 4374 SL: 4165 This is a price area with strong liquidity, suitable for waiting for a reaction to continue the upward trend if the price retraces slightly. Buy Scenario 2 – Deeper Retracement Zone Buy zone: 4342 – 4339 SL: 4330 If the market adjusts deeper in the year-end liquidity condition, this is the area Lana prioritizes for finding a safer entry point. Fundamental Perspective Spot gold prices have surpassed the $4,400/ounce mark for the first time, recording a nearly 68% increase for the year. The upward momentum is not only seen in gold but also extends to silver and platinum, supported by: Expectations of continued Fed rate cuts Strong inflows into ETF funds Net buying activities by central banks Escalating geopolitical tensions The year 2025 closes with a very impressive picture for the precious metals group. Lana's Notes 🌿 Strong upward trend → prioritize Buying on retracement, avoid FOMO Always set clear stop-losses, reduce volume during high volatility periods If the price does not reach the waiting area, Lana is ready to stay out
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
9
Intraday Scalp: Midnight Open Breakout (Counter-Trend)Market Context Price is compressing below the Midnight Opening Price (1.17180) following a sweep of sell-side liquidity at 1.17080. The current M5 structure suggests accumulation, but the H1 order flow remains bearish. This creates a conflict between timeframes. Trade Logic This is a short-term volatility scalp targeting buy-side liquidity resting above immediate bridge highs. Execution Plan Trigger : Requires a confirmed M5 candle body closure above 1.17180. Entry : Limit order at the 1.17120 Bullish FVG (Discount Array). Invalidation : A swing failure pattern (wick only) at 1.17180 or a close back below 1.17120. Target : 1.17216 (Bridge Highs). Risk Management This setup opposes the higher timeframe bias. Risk: 0.25% (Quarter size). Management: Take profit at target, do not hold for reversal.
Long
by Joeywave369
3
267 handle move bullish - NQ Lower 1D Shadow quadrant exactly respected, which is a strong bullish sign according to ICT 1D Breaker MT (midpoint or mean-threshold) exactly respected with the candle bodies, which is also a strong bullish sign according to ICT The event horizon - which is the midpoint of 2 new-day- or new-week-opening-gaps align exactly with the 1D volume imbalance CE (consequent encroachment or midpoint) Strong bullish market-structure and the movement aligns with seasonal tendencies as well
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by mnakatenus
XAUUSD – Lana prioritizes Buying on the retracement to FibonacciXAUUSD – Lana prioritizes Buying on the retracement to Fibonacci 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Continued increase Monitoring frame: H1 Context: Weak liquidity due to upcoming holiday, price has not decisively broken resistance Strategy: Prioritize Buying, wait for price to retrace to the 50 Fibonacci zone Market Context Gold prices continue to maintain an upward momentum and are approaching the historical peak around 4350 USD/ounce. Although it has not completely broken the upper resistance, the upward trend remains strong. The rise in gold is supported by U.S. employment data showing signs of weakening, expectations of the Fed lowering interest rates soon, and escalating geopolitical tensions, especially concerns related to Venezuela ahead of President Trump's speech. In conditions of reduced liquidity due to the holiday, the market may fluctuate more slowly, but the main trend still leans towards buying. Technical View H1 On H1, the upward structure is well maintained. The price is accumulating below a strong resistance zone, indicating the market needs more time to absorb selling pressure. The 50 Fibonacci zone currently coincides with the support area that reacted strongly yesterday, suitable for waiting for a retracement and then continuing to trade with the trend. Intraday Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Buy according to the upward trend Entry: 4309 – 4312 SL: 4300 TP: 4330 → 4352 → 4390 Lana prioritizes waiting for a slight price adjustment to this zone to enter orders, rather than chasing buys when the price is near resistance. Trading Notes Weak liquidity → avoid large orders, prioritize risk management If the price does not retrace to the waiting zone, Lana is ready to stay out Observe price reactions at resistance before expecting a breakout Lana's Notes 🌿 Each setup is just one possibility among many market scenarios. Lana always sets clear stop losses and only trades when the price reaches the planned zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan 12/18 XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Trading Plan 12/18 Wait for CPI to "choose direction" | Break 4355 to Buy, break trendline to Sell Strategy Summary (understand the plan in 10 seconds) Before the US CPI data, Gold is likely to hold its price within a range and will only truly "make a big move" when there is confirmation of a structural break. Currently, the price is still following the upward channel, but volume is clearly decreasing → prioritize trading in a break-confirm style, avoid FOMO. Buy is only valid when surpassing the strong resistance 4355 Short-term sell if the upward trendline breaks Medium-term sell if the bottom 4306 breaks Key Levels (important levels according to the chart) Strong resistance: 4355 (the "door" area for buyers to confirm) Sell scalping zone: 4354–4355 (short-term reaction area) Sell zone liquidity: 4392 (liquidity sell area above) Structural level / important bottom: 4306 (breaking opens the medium-term sell scenario) FVG / deep liquidity attraction zone: 4248 (target if the market sells off strongly) Scenario 1: Price Increase (only activated when breaking 4355) Confirmation condition: Price breaks and holds above 4355 (preferably with a clear H1 candle close). ✅ Buy entry: 4348 SL: 4340 TP1: 4355–4360 TP2: 4392 (sell zone liquidity) Logic: When volume decreases, false breakouts are very likely. Therefore, only buy when the price surpasses the "directional" resistance area 4355. Scenario 2: Short-term Price Decrease (prioritize if the upward trendline breaks) Confirmation condition: Break the lower trendline of the upward channel → sell following the break rhythm. After breaking, prioritize selling on a retest back to the trendline/near resistance (avoid chasing the bottom). The first target is usually the liquidity area below around 4306. Logic: The trendline is the "backbone" of the upward rhythm. Losing the trendline in the context of CPI + weakening volume → the market is likely to have a quick sell-off to sweep liquidity. Scenario 3: Medium-term Price Decrease (when breaking the bottom 4306) Confirmation condition: Price clearly breaks 4306. ✅ At that point, prioritize medium-term selling according to the structure. Expected TP: expand down to deeper support areas, with the FVG 4248 zone being a notable attraction point. News Context (why "wait for confirmation" today) The market is waiting for US CPI – inflation data that could change expectations about the Fed's rate cut path, thereby directly impacting the USD and determining the next directional move of XAUUSD. Therefore, today prioritize: wait for a range break + tight risk management. Risk Management Maximum risk per order 1–2%. If SL is hit: stop, wait for re-confirmation (don't revenge trade). This article shares a perspective and trading plan
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
13
XAUUSD – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ON H1 FRAMEXAUUSD – TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ON H1 FRAME Lana trades based on liquidity, prioritizing price reactions 💛 Quick Summary Context: Midweek, gold liquidity is quite weak as holiday sentiment gradually appears Monitoring Frame: H1 Strategy: Buy at reasonable liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance Expectation: No major USD news, difficult to expect strong fluctuations Market Context The market is entering a "rest" phase for many traders before the holiday, causing liquidity to decrease significantly. Today, there is no important economic data for USD, so gold is likely to fluctuate within a narrow range and mainly react based on technical factors. From a macro perspective, recent statements revolving around maintaining a clear distance between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that the market is still very sensitive to inflation control issues. However, the short-term impact is not large, suitable for light and quick trading scenarios. Technical View H1 On H1, the price is fluctuating around the equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. The liquidity zones below still play a good supporting role, while above are psychological resistance zones that easily create short-term reactions. With weak liquidity, Lana does not seek strong breakouts but focuses on price reactions at clear zones. Intraday Trading Scenario Main Scenario – Buy based on liquidity Buy: 4302 – 4306 SL: 4298 This is a price zone with concentrated liquidity. If the price returns and maintains the structure, the possibility of a technical rebound is high. Alternative Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance Sell: 4351 – 4355 SL: 4360 This sell order is for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions when the price approaches the resistance zone. Not prioritizing holding long orders in the current market conditions. Trading Notes Weak liquidity → reduce volume, prioritize quick closing Avoid expecting large fluctuations when there is no USD news Observe price reactions at zones, do not enter orders in the middle of the range Lana's Notes 🌿 Each scenario is just one possibility among many different market scenarios. Lana always prioritizes protecting the account, setting clear stop losses, and is ready to skip if the price does not reach the waiting zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
1
#NZDUSD: Three Targets, Swing Buy, Ready For Next Big MoveDear Traders NZDUSD Chart Analysis SMC+ICT💭📊 🔺The price was rejected at 0.5580, a ‘discounted zone’ price, which was reversed without consolidation or accumulation. The price then moved in an impulse pattern and encountered strong resistance at 0.58320. 🔺A rejection at 0.58320 presents a favourable opportunity for traders to optimise the next significant price impulse. This analysis suggests a potential reversal from 0.5710. Entry, Take Profit And Stop Loss👨‍💻📈 🔺 The entry between the blue and red horizontal lines indicates a significant volume zone and can be considered a discounted buying opportunity. 🔺A stop loss can be placed at the red horizontal line or increased based on your own analysis. 🔺We recommend targeting take profit first at the outset. As the price crosses our take profit level, you can consider adjusting the take profit area. Like And Comment❤️ Team Setupsfx_🏆
Long
by Setupsfx_
17
XAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis TodayXAUUSD (H1) – Gold Analysis Today Touching the resistance trendline but the plan still prioritizes Buy (VAL 4303–4306) Strategy Summary Gold is touching the resistance trendline and reacting, but currently, there is not enough data to confirm a downward reversal. The immediate plan is still to watch for buying according to the liquidity zone (Volume Profile – VAL), and only "confirm a strong trend" when the price clearly breaks the trendline. 1) Technical Perspective The price is being "pressed" by the resistance trendline above → easy to shake/wick. However, the lower area has Volume Profile support (VAL), suitable for a buy strategy based on reaction rather than FOMO in the middle. The upper area has Strong Liquidity around 4370 → this is a place where profit-taking/distribution forces are likely to appear. 2) Today's Trading Plan (clear entry – SL) Scenario A (priority): BUY according to Volume Profile (VAL) ✅ Buy: 4303 – 4306 (VAL) SL: 4295 TP near: 4320 – 4330 TP far: heading to the liquidity zone 4370 if the trendline is successfully broken Logic: VAL is a "low value" area according to Volume Profile, often attracting buying forces back. As long as the price holds this area, the bias remains buy pullback. Scenario B: SELL at the strong liquidity area above ✅ Sell: around 4370 SL: 4380 TP: 4330 → 4306 (return to value area) Logic: 4370 is a Strong Liquidity area. If the price hits this area and cannot hold, it is a very textbook reaction sell signal. 3) Trend Confirmation Conditions Strong upward confirmation: when the price breaks and closes the H1 candle clearly above the trendline → then buying will be "safer," targeting the upper liquidity zone. If the price continues to be rejected multiple times at the trendline → prioritize waiting for the price to return to VAL 4303–4306 before buying, do not chase buy. 4) Fundamental Context CIBC: Weak US employment data may cause the Fed to cut interest rates earlier next year → this factor usually supports gold in the medium term. Silver prices surpass high levels due to scarce supply + increased demand → the precious metal cash flow is still very "hot," so gold is likely to have strong fluctuations according to liquidity. Which scenario are you leaning towards today: Buy at VAL 4303–4306 or wait for 4370 to sell reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD OVERVIEW FOR 12/16XAUUSD OVERVIEW FOR 12/16 Strategy Summary Gold is holding steady but the main trend is unclear due to a series of strong news today. I will trade in a "wait for confirmation" style, clearly dividing into two scenarios: Price increase confirmed when breaking above 4320 Price decrease confirmed when breaking below 4271 1) Important price levels on the chart 4320: confirmation point for buyers + resistance/FVG area above 4370 – 4373: strong liquidity area → prioritize waiting for a reaction to SELL 4271: confirmation point for sellers (break support) Lower area (according to structure/trend line): deep support area where price may react before bouncing back (as per the arrow drawn) 2) Today's trading scenarios (in "trade the level" style) Scenario A – Price Increase (only confirmed when breaking above 4320) If the H1 candle closes clearly above 4320, gold is likely to move up to test the liquidity area above. Priority at this time: watch for short-term BUY according to the rhythm (as per the arrow), avoid FOMO in the middle. Reasonable target: heading towards the 4370 – 4373 area (Strong Liquidity). But note: 4370 – 4373 is an area prone to "sell reaction" due to large liquidity there. Scenario B – Price Decrease (confirmed when breaking below 4271) If the price breaks below 4271 and the retest fails, the bearish scenario will prevail (consistent with the "sell retest" idea on the chart). ✅ Sell 4271 SL: 4280 Expectation: the price may extend the downward rhythm to deeper support areas according to the structure. 3) Main SELL order at the large liquidity area ✅ Sell entry: 4370 SL: 4380 Logic: This is a "Strong Liquidity" area – where profit-taking/distribution forces are likely to appear. Only SELL when there is a reaction, do not chase the sell. 4) Today's News Today there is a series of data that could cause gold to swing sharply and sweep both ends: Average Hourly Earnings m/m Core Retail Sales m/m Non-Farm Employment Change Retail Sales m/m Unemployment Rate Flash Manufacturing PMI Flash Services PMI My principle: light volume before the news, wait for the market to "reveal its hand" after the news, then follow 4320 / 4271. 5) Risk Management Do not enter orders in the middle of the noise. Only trade when the price hits the level and there is confirmation. Question for everyone: Which scenario do you lean towards today — breaking above 4320 or breaking below 4271?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
33
XAUUSD – Lana prefers Sell, Buy is only for scalping XAUUSD – Lana prefers Sell, Buy is only for scalping 💛 Quick Summary Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates Timeframe to watch: H1 Strategy: Sell is primary; Buy is only for short-term, quick trades at liquidity zones Note: Today there are many US data releases and events, so volatility could be higher than usual Market Context The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US President’s speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, and retail sales. In such a context, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity hunts before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritises selling at higher zones and only buying short-term when the price reaches clear support areas. Technical View After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows that the price is weakening and a continuation of the downtrend is likely. The upper zone, where short-term resistance converges, is suitable for Sell trades following the intraday trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger bounce reactions, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold long Buy positions. Intraday Trading Scenarios Main scenario – Sell with the trend Sell: 4308 – 4312 SL: 4320 This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If the price retraces to this zone and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue. Buy Scenario 1 – Scalping near support Buy: 4253 SL: 4240 This Buy is only for a short wave, with priority on quick profit-taking when there is a reaction. Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at deep liquidity zone Buy: 4213 SL: 4200 This is a stronger liquidity zone. If the price drops quickly here during news releases, a technical bounce may occur, but Lana still prefers not to hold Buy positions for long. Session Notes Asian – European sessions: may see oscillations and technical retracements US session: can experience strong news-driven moves, sweeping both ends before choosing a clear direction Each scenario is only a probability, not a certainty. On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and accepts skipping trades if the price does not reach the target zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
20
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373 Strategy Summary Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan revolves around two of the cleanest zones on the chart: POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with the main money flow. Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone. Key Levels BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area) SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373 Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241 Invalidation level: 4191 Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC) ✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation) SL: 4287 (below the POC zone to avoid noise) TP1: 4330 – 4338 TP2: 4370 – 4373 (approaching the Fibonacci sell zone) Logic: The POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price is often drawn back to this level to collect liquidity before committing to the next directional move. Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone) ✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for a reaction or loss of momentum; do not chase the trade) SL: 4382 TP1: 4338 – 4330 TP2: 4295 (return to the POC) Logic: The Fibonacci premium zone is commonly where profit-taking pressure emerges. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it often provides a textbook reaction sell setup. Alternative Scenario – If the POC Is Broken If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle beneath this level, I will not force buy positions. Priority then shifts to waiting for price to react at: 4238 – 4241, or deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone. Always keep in mind that 4191 is the invalidation level. News Context (to Avoid Being Stopped Out) Trump has expressed concerns that economic impacts have “not fully filtered through yet”, increasing political risk and market sensitivity. Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on the economic outlook may trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, leading to sharp moves in gold. Tip: Avoid late entries during news-driven spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the predefined zones. Risk Management Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels. If you are also monitoring 4295 and 4373, share your view: 👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focusing on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focusing on zone-based trading Quick Summary Context: The week starts with many high-impact news events. Gold opened with a strong rally and is now approaching a major resistance zone. Timeframe: H1 Strategy: No chasing price. Priority is to wait for buys at the liquidity void (VL) zone and look for corrective sells at higher resistance. Expectation: The Asian–European sessions may move sideways, with stronger volatility likely during the US session. Market Context The year-end period is typically packed with economic data. Non-Farm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are all released within the same week, alongside interest-rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan. For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news. Technical View After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is currently trading around a key resistance area. On the H1 timeframe, the Asian session open left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for price to return and look for trend-aligned buy setups. On the upside, a trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a sufficiently strong resistance zone to consider a short-term corrective sell. Trading Scenarios for the Start of the Week Primary Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL) Buy: 4298 – 4302 SL: 4294 This is Lana’s highest-priority zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and structure remains intact, there is a strong probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend. Secondary Scenario – Corrective sell at higher resistance Sell: 4367 – 4370 SL: 4376 This scenario is viewed as a short-term correction when price reaches a strong resistance zone. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is essential and positions should not be held for too long. Session Notes Asian – European sessions: price may range and show mild volatility around current levels. US session: higher volatility is likely, with liquidity sweeps and clearer execution of the outlined scenarios. Wishing everyone calm and disciplined trading in this news-heavy week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
8
XAUUSD Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction CycleXAUUSD – Wave 5 Completed, Entering an ABC Correction Phase Weekly Plan Summary Gold has completed Wave 5 with a very strong impulsive rally and is now entering an ABC corrective phase to complete the Elliott Wave structure. For the coming week, the primary strategy is to SELL at the Fibonacci resistance zone 4316–4320, then look for BUY reactions at the major liquidity area around 4215. 1) Elliott Wave – Why the Market Is Likely Entering an ABC Phase The recent rally shows clear end-of-Wave-5 characteristics: strong momentum, long bullish candles, followed by a sharp downside reaction (profit-taking and liquidity withdrawal). Once Wave 5 is completed, the market typically moves into an ABC correction to rebalance supply and demand and complete a full Elliott cycle. ABC Structure Based on the Chart Provided A-leg: Price drops into the 4259–4262 area (first reaction zone of the correction). B-leg: Price retraces back towards 4316–4320 (the Fibonacci SELL zone on the chart). C-leg: Price continues lower towards 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster formed late last week) — this is the primary target of the correction. 2) Key Price Levels Sell Zone (B-leg): 4316 – 4320 (Fibonacci resistance) Near Support (A-leg reaction): 4259 – 4262 Mid Support: 4238 – 4241 Main Target / Liquidity Area: 4215 (POC + major liquidity cluster) Scenario Invalidation Level: 4191 If price breaks below this level, the structure will need to be reassessed. 3) Trading Scenarios for the Coming Week Scenario 1 (Preferred): SELL at the End of the B-leg Sell: 4316 – 4320 SL: 4326 (clear break above the sell zone) TP1: 4262 TP2: 4240 TP3: 4215 Logic: The B-leg is typically just a corrective pullback within the broader ABC structure. Selling at the Fibonacci resistance offers a far better risk-to-reward profile than chasing shorts mid-range. Scenario 2: BUY Reaction at the End of the C-leg Buy: Around 4215 (preferably with a clear reaction) SL: 4191 TP1: 4240 TP2: 4262 TP3: 4290 – 4310 (if structure reverses and the uptrend resumes) Logic: 4215 is both the POC and a major liquidity zone, often acting as a “magnet” to complete the C-leg before a new market cycle begins. Alternative Scenario: If Price Breaks and Holds Above 4320 If price breaks above 4320 and closes clearly on H1 above this level, the ABC correction may be delayed, and gold could extend higher into the next resistance zone. In this case: Do not stubbornly hold SELL positions. Shift bias to waiting for pullbacks to BUY in line with the trend. 4) Fundamental Context – Volatility Likely to Increase, Supporting a Correction Phase Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson noted that rate cuts have “removed some of the insurance” against risks in the labour market. She also highlighted that while the labour market is under pressure, it has not yet broken. This reinforces a cautious Fed stance, a backdrop in which gold often experiences sharp liquidity sweeps before aligning with its technical structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
6
XAUUSD Trend holds wait to re buy on pullbackXAUUSD (H1) — Bullish structure remains intact, waiting for pullbacks to re-buy at key zones Strategy Summary Price continues to move in line with the bullish plan. Two buy entries have already been captured, with price advancing by around ~5 points. At this stage, the priority is not to chase price, but to wait for pullbacks into reaction zones to re-enter in the direction of the trend. 1) Trading Plan (H1) ✅ Buy Zone 1: 4262 – 4258 SL: 4250 Rationale: A shallow pullback zone. If price maintains the bullish structure and reacts higher from this area, trend-following buys are preferred. ✅ Buy Zone 2: 4240 – 4235 SL: 4238 Rationale: A deeper pullback (better discount). If price sweeps this zone and then prints strong confirmation candles or a sharp rebound, this becomes a higher-quality buy area. Projected targets (based on the chart): Near resistance: 4285 Extended target: 4304 – 4307 2) Fundamental / News Context to Watch The Fed releases US household financial conditions data (Capital Flow Report, Q3/2025). Voting FOMC members and Philadelphia Fed President Paulson deliver remarks on the 2026 economic outlook. The US has threatened to expand the seizure of Venezuelan oil tankers → geopolitical and energy-supply risks may increase volatility, with gold prone to sharp “spike” moves. 3) Technical & Behavioural Perspective The current structure remains bullish. After a strong impulsive move, the market may require a pullback to rebalance before continuing higher. The plan remains clear: only buy at predefined zones, no FOMO in the middle of the move. If price breaks below the zones and H1 candles close beneath the stop-loss levels, the preferred approach is to stay flat and wait for a new structure to form.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
4
XAUUSD H4 Lana Weekly AnalysisXAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Analysis: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛 Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1) Gold is revisiting its previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout. Primary Monitoring Timeframe Timeframe: H4 Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to look for BUY opportunities at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50. Market Context for the Coming Week US Treasury yields, especially at the long end, remain elevated, making gold more prone to sharp short-term fluctuations. Recent Fed commentary continues to reflect a cautious stance, while US political uncertainty may cause gold flows to become less predictable. For this reason, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than attempting to forecast every short-term move. H4 Technical Outlook (Medium-Term) Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cool-down” phase to rebalance liquidity. On the H4 chart, the two most important areas align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity zones, making them suitable areas to wait for pullbacks before continuing in line with the broader trend. Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching 1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred) Entry: 4216 – 4220 Stop Loss: 4210 This is an attractive Fibonacci discount zone and an area where price is likely to react if larger flows step in to support the trend. 2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy) Entry: 4171 – 4175 Stop Loss: 4165 This scenario may unfold if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry from a positional perspective, though it requires patience. Trading Scenarios for the New Week Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades. If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs. Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated If price remains in premium territory with heightened volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries. Instead, the focus is on observing price behaviour and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution. Lana’s Notes 🌿 Each setup represents a probability, not a certainty. Stop losses are always set in advance, with position sizing kept moderate to accommodate gold’s wide volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD Lana is waiting for a pullback into the Fibonacci ...XAUUSD – Lana is waiting for a pullback into the Fibonacci discount zone, with 4285 as the key decision level 💛 Idea Summary Main trend: Bullish continuation, although price may retrace into Fibonacci levels before pushing higher Timeframe: M30 Strategy: No chasing price; Lana waits for price to reach clearly defined buy zones Key level: 4285 is a strong resistance and a decisive level for the next directional move Market Context The Fed is placing significant expectations on rising labour productivity to ease pressure between economic growth, inflation, and the labour market. This keeps expectations for rate cuts next year relatively cautious. For gold, such conditions often result in large price swings, making a zone-based trading plan essential. Key Price Zones Lana Is Monitoring 4285: Strong resistance, major reaction zone 4265: Short-term target 4245–4248: Fibonacci-based buy zone combined with price imbalance 4210–4213: Liquidity buy zone if a deeper correction occurs Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario – Buying on pullback into the discount zone Buy: 4245–4248 SL: 4240 TP: 4265 → 4285 → 4300 This zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and previous strong price reactions, making it suitable for trend-following buys. Secondary Scenario – Buying at the liquidity zone Buy zone: 4210–4213 SL: 4205 TP: 4230 → 4255 → 4285 This represents a deeper corrective move, where price may sweep liquidity before stronger buying interest returns. Each scenario is only one of many possible market outcomes. Lana always prioritises capital protection, uses clear stop-loss levels, and is comfortable skipping trades if price does not reach the planned zones. Conclusion 4285 is a level that requires close attention. Strong reactions are highly likely if price approaches this area. A clean break and sustained hold above 4285 could allow the bullish trend to extend towards 4300. This is Lana’s personal market view.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
7