IDEA
Will APT see 50% growth?Aptos plummeted 61% with no rebounds! There is a high probability of seeing a similar movement until the first short FVG on the daily chart.
I think we will see a similar movement by the end of January or early February.
There are bullish divergences and oversold conditions in the RSI. Technically, there should be a rebound after a 61% drop without rebounds.
BINANCE:APTUSDT.P
GBPUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
GBPUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Novo Nordisk (NVO) 1WI’m looking at the weekly NVO chart as of late December 2025, and this is no longer about fear or headlines. It’s about structure and valuation. After a powerful multi year rally from 2022 to 2024, the stock went through a deep and healthy correction. In 2025, price built a strong weekly demand base around the 50–55 USD area, where volume profile, historical support and long term buyers align. Selling pressure is fading, volatility is compressing, and price action is stabilizing.
Technically, NVO is transitioning into a post correction accumulation phase. On the weekly timeframe, RSI has recovered from oversold territory and is holding a neutral bullish range. MACD is forming a constructive reversal structure, while declining volume on down moves suggests exhaustion rather than distribution. As long as price holds the weekly base and does not break lower, the recovery scenario remains valid, with upside reference zones near 72–75 USD and later 90–92 USD if momentum confirms.
From a fundamental perspective, as of the end of 2025, Novo Nordisk remains one of the highest quality businesses in global healthcare. Revenue exceeds 39 billion USD, with the Diabetes and Obesity Care segment generating more than 85% of total sales, continuing to show resilient growth. The United States and Europe remain the core revenue drivers, while international markets continue to expand steadily.
Cash flow quality remains strong. Operating cash flow is above 18 billion USD on a TTM basis, free cash flow stays positive despite heavy investments into capacity expansion and R&D. Dividend policy remains disciplined and shareholder friendly, with TTM dividend yield around 2.3% and a payout ratio near 35–36%, leaving room for both reinvestment and future dividend growth.
What matters is that the 2025 correction did not come with any structural deterioration of the business. This was not a business breakdown, but a valuation reset after an extreme growth phase. Expectations have been normalized, multiples compressed, while fundamentals stayed intact. That’s where asymmetry begins to emerge.
Tactically, I see NVO as a long term quality compounder, where 2025 served as a reset year. As long as the weekly structure holds, the path for gradual upside remains open. This is not a short term trade, but a trend rebuilding phase driven by cash flow, market leadership and scale.
Sometimes the best opportunities appear not at peak optimism, but when the market has already done its emotional damage and the numbers are still standing.
Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) when growth stops being randomI am looking at the weekly chart of NBIS and this is no longer about emotions, it is about structure. Price has formed a stable bullish cycle, broke out from a wide base and is now holding above key moving averages. On the weekly timeframe most indicators have already shifted into buy mode, while the market does not look overheated. RSI remains in a neutral bullish zone, momentum is intact, and pullbacks are being absorbed without aggressive selling pressure.
The 50, 100 and 200 week moving averages are starting to align into a bullish configuration, which often signals a transition into a medium term trend. Volume confirms the move. This is not an empty or purely speculative rally, but one supported by growing participation from longer term capital. Technically, this structure suggests trend continuation with potential for new highs as long as the current range is held.
From a fundamental perspective, Nebius has gone through a major transformation over recent years. Company revenue has increased multiple times compared to prior periods, while the income structure has become more diversified. The core contribution now comes from cloud solutions, infrastructure services and technology driven segments that continue to grow even in a challenging macro environment. EBITDA has returned to a positive trend in recent reporting periods, and operational metrics are improving due to cost optimization and a stronger focus on higher margin business lines.
Yes, the company is still in an investment phase and this is not a classic profit here and now story. However, revenue growth rates, business scaling and expansion of core segments provide a clear long term value setup. This is not hype. It is a bet on a technology platform that is only entering its value realization phase.
Tactically, I view NBIS as a growth stock where the market can continue higher without a deep correction as long as the current structure holds. While price remains above key weekly levels and moving averages, the bullish scenario stays valid. This is not a one day idea. It is a trend that is just beginning to form.
Sometimes the market already knows where the money is going, and in those moments it is better to listen to the chart rather than the headlines.
BTC Update: Chop, Chop, Chopping Wood. Don't get shaken out. BTC Update: Price is doing exactly what I was expecting after the prior expansion phase - chopping and grinding rather than resolving immediately. Despite the growing panic and bearish sentiment, the market has not seen a true downside flush yet. From a structural perspective, this still looks like a higher timeframe consolidation rather than a full trend breakdown.
On the weekly, BTC remains above major cycle support, and the recent weakness appears more corrective than impulsive. Historically, these types of ranges tend to resolve with one final liquidation move to reset positioning. I’m still watching for a sharp downside extension into the ~$70k region, which would represent a deeper test of higher timeframe demand and a more complete sentiment washout.
What stands out most right now is sentiment. Fear has escalated quickly relative to actual structural damage, which is typically what you see before a final flush, not after one. Until that move happens, I expect continued volatility and frustration as the market works through excess leverage.
Assuming a proper reset plays out, this would likely set the stage for a cleaner continuation higher into early next year. For now, patience is key - this phase is about letting the market finish its reset before the next sustained leg develops.
MSTR. When Bitcoin sneezes, Strategy looks for the floorMSTR is deep in a corrective phase after the rally to 543. The current decline does not signal a structural breakdown but a return to a major demand zone at 100–102, where long term support and prior accumulation align. Selling volume is fading, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than panic. As long as price holds above 100–102, the recovery scenario remains valid. Initial rebound targets sit near 230, followed by 300 if market structure stabilizes.
Fundamentally, Strategy remains the most leveraged public Bitcoin proxy. As of December 2025, the company holds over 214000 BTC, making it the largest public Bitcoin holder globally. The average acquisition price remains well below historical highs, reducing long term downside risk. In Q3 2025, the company reported an increase in digital asset value as crypto markets recovered. The core analytics software business remains stable, while debt servicing shows no liquidity stress. Strategy is no longer just a software company. It is a macro Bitcoin instrument in equity form.
When Bitcoin panics, MSTR falls harder. But it usually stands up first when the cycle turns.
Airbnb: Proof that even stocks love to traveThe analysis of Airbnb (ABNB) stock reveals an intriguing setup following the breakout and retest of a key resistance level, which previously acted as a trendline on the daily chart. After successfully breaking above this line and confirming it with a retest, the price is now showing potential for further upside — aligning with a bullish scenario that targets the $164 area, which also coincides with the 1.0 Fibonacci level (164.12).
The current structure suggests the beginning of an upward movement after a period of consolidation, with both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MA50 and MA200) positioned to support further growth, reinforcing the overall bullish outlook.
Notably, trading volume has increased in line with the breakout and continued price movement, adding confidence to the scenario playing out toward the higher targets. Key Fibonacci resistance levels to watch next include 0.786 (150.37) and 1.272 (181.61), with a long-term extension target at 1.618 (203.85).
LULU 1D - stretching into a comebackOn the daily chart of Lululemon Athletica (LULU), a clean AB=CD pattern is forming, signaling a potential end to the correction and the beginning of a new upward wave. The price has tested the strong buy zone between 164–167, aligned with a major daily support level and rising volume - a classic setup indicating that buyers are regaining control.
Technically , the structure is highly symmetrical, RSI shows a bullish divergence, and the 50-day moving average is starting to turn upward - all suggesting a possible trend reversal. The first upside target for this pattern is $230, followed by a second target at $340, which corresponds to the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions.
From a fundamental standpoint, Lululemon remains a powerhouse in the premium activewear market, maintaining strong brand loyalty even amid competition from Nike and Alo. The company continues to expand its men’s line and footwear segment, which now accounts for over 25% of total revenue. International growth remains robust, with new stores opening in South Korea, the UAE, and Germany. Lululemon’s shift toward higher-margin online sales and more efficient logistics continues to strengthen its profitability.
In the latest quarterly report (September 2025), revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, and EPS came in above Wall Street expectations. High customer retention - over 90% repeat purchase rate - and stable gross margins create a solid foundation for a mid-term recovery in the stock.
Tactical plan: watch for entries within the 164–167 buy zone, consider partial profit-taking near $230, and target $340 if momentum extends. Just like in yoga, patience and balance lead to the best results.
ESPR 1W: cholesterol therapy for patients and investors alikeEsperion Therapeutics (ESPR) has broken its long descending trendline and retested the $2.4–$2.6 support area, forming a solid triple bottom with rising volume. The stock is now holding above key moving averages, signaling accumulation. While above $2.5, the technical setup points to a move toward $6.4, aligning with major resistance and the 200-week MA.
Fundamentally, the company enters one of its strongest phases in years. Following earlier liquidity struggles, Esperion has stabilized its operations and regained investor confidence. The core growth driver is Nexletol (bempedoic acid), a non-statin cholesterol-lowering therapy for patients intolerant to statins. In 2025, combined Nexletol and Nexlizet sales jumped over 45% year-on-year, surpassing $170 million for the first nine months. Recent safety data were positive, leading to new approvals across Europe and Japan - expanding partnerships and licensing revenues. Cash position strengthened via milestone payments from Daiichi Sankyo and Viatris, reducing debt and supporting R&D without new dilution. Challenges remain: profitability is still out of reach, as marketing and development expenses stay high, though liquidity provides breathing room. The broader biotech sector’s rebound amid rate-cut expectations adds tailwind to revenue-backed small caps like Esperion.
Tactically, holding above $2.5 keeps the bullish trajectory intact toward $6.4. A weekly close below $2.3 would negate the setup and re-test lower support, though current accumulation favors the upside.
Esperion helps reduce cholesterol - ironic that its chart still raises investors’ heart rate.
SOFI 1D double checking the bill before the next moveSOFI is trading at 27.09 and may retrace toward 25.00, which is a strong demand area combining the 0.786 retracement level, a major VWAP node and a visible volume cluster. Since September 25 the price has been moving inside a broadening channel, signalling liquidity expansion. The 25.00 level remains a balance zone with proven buyers. The pullback from 32.73 looks like a structural retest.
Fundamentally SOFI stays strong as of December 11 2025. The company reports more than 8.2 million members and around 2.5 billion USD in annual revenue. The lending segment generates over 1.3 billion USD, and the banking division adds about 0.85 billion USD. Operating cash flow is positive. Recent news includes an expanded partnership with Mastercard, a new corporate credit platform and full Technisys integration.
As long as the price holds above 25.00, the bullish structure remains valid. A rebound from demand opens the path toward 29.20, 34.51 and 41.48. VWAP and volume behavior confirm buyer interest.
Fintech never avoids a plot twist. SOFI seems to be preparing one more dip before the next act.
EURCHF 1D EURCHF shows a clean technical structure that rarely deceives a focused trader. After a strong impulse price reacted precisely at the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 0.93884 confirming strong demand near the upper boundary of the range. The current setup suggests a pullback toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 0.93123 which forms the optimal continuation zone. As long as price maintains this area the trend remains bullish and limits the risk of a deeper correction. Once the market stabilises above the Fibonacci cluster the first target stands at 0.94419. The second target at 0.96107 reflects the natural extension of the current impulse. Volume supports buyers and creates favourable conditions for a sustained move higher. The logic here is simple the market pauses only to regain strength for the next leg.
LONG USD/CADAs we seek last week, the sharp decline that happened in last Friday which was affected by strong jobs 53 k versus-1.5k , this decline was a trap for loonie then the fed will cut rates with 25 basis points with 90 % confirmation and central bank of Canada will hold rates this week , so the fed rate is still higher and more attractive than CAD after cut off with 1.5% increase for USD ( 3.75% for US 2.25 % for CAD) so still more good for USD to be bullish in the next week
CLOV 1D - Health Is Back in TrendOn the daily chart, Clover Health (CLOV) has broken out of its descending channel and triangle, now pulling back for a retest near 3.27–3.43 - a key buy zone aligned with the MA50. Buyers are clearly regaining control, and the setup looks ready for continuation.
Technically:
– first clean breakout of the downtrend since January 2025;
– volume expansion on bullish candles, suggesting institutional accumulation;
– holding above the former resistance turned support.
Upside targets: $4.71 (local volume peak) and $5.98, offering +70% potential upside if momentum sustains.
From a fundamental perspective, Clover Health is stabilizing its business:
– a leading player in Medicare Advantage, with an expanding senior member base;
– Q3 results show 40% reduction in net loss and +18% YoY revenue growth;
– leveraging AI-driven healthcare analytics to improve efficiency and patient outcomes;
– with high short interest, a confirmed breakout above $4.70 could ignite a short squeeze.
Tactical plan: accumulation near 3.27–3.43, add above 4.70, targets 4.71 → 5.98. Sometimes the healthiest trend is the bullish one.
WLFI/USDT Analysis — Long Setup
Below the current price, strong seller volumes were accumulated. When price returns to the $0.157–$0.154 zone, it is reasonable to expect those positions to be closed at breakeven.
We consider a long setup if a clear bullish reaction occurs from this zone, with a target at $0.17.
This publication is not financial advice.
BITCOIN - PRESSURE BUILDING - SHORT SQUEEZE INCOMING?Traders,
Bitcoin might be preparing a short squeeze. Let’s walk through the flow, structure, math, and correlations step-by-step so you understand what is happening and why it matters.
1. What Happened
Bitcoin dumped from 96k → 80.6k last week. Price then bounced and is now trading around 87k.
Under the surface:
Stablecoin-Margined Futures (USDT-M)
Since 27 Oct:
OI increased from 225k → 280k contracts
That’s +55k contracts (~24% increase)
CVD went down, not up
Meaning:
These new positions were mostly shorts
The market added leveraged short exposure during the dump
Interpretation:
USDT-M traders attacked the move lower aggressively. Increasing OI + dropping CVD = new sellers dominating, not buyers.
Coin-Margined Futures (BTC-M)
Since 27 Oct:
OI and CVD both dropped from 7.41B → 5.90B
BTC-M is usually “higher conviction” demand
A drop in BTC-M CVD means
Longs closing
Capitulation
Reduced bullish positioning
Interpretation:
Native BTC longs stepped aside. Short-term leverage traders pressed the downside.
Spot + Futures CVD (27 Oct → 21 Nov)
Spot CVD ↓
Futures CVD ↓
Price ↓
All making lower lows and lower highs
This was a clean, correlated downtrend.
2. The First Major Shift: Spot CVD Divergence
Since 21 November:
Spot CVD:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Rising together with price
Indicates real demand stepping in
Stablecoin Futures (USDT-M):
Still making lower lows
Still pressing shorts
Still fighting the spot buyers
This is the key:
Spot = real money
Futures = leveraged speculation
Rising spot CVD vs falling futures CVD = absorption pattern
Meaning:
Strong hands buy
Weak shorts keep selling
Price rises anyway
The pressure builds
Shorts eventually run out
The squeeze begins
This is one of the cleanest pre-squeeze structures you can get.
3. The Math: Fibonacci Rotation Logic
Let’s break down the structure.
(A → B → C Structure)
A = 116k (27 Oct)
B = 98.710
C = 107.403 (retracement)
The retrace sits at 0.5.
The reciprocal extension is 2.0
The 2.0 extension lands exactly at the 21 Nov wick (~81k)
This is a perfect harmonic rotation.
(X → Z → A Extension)
X = 06 Oct high
Z = 18 Oct low
A = 27 Oct high
Fibonacci extension from X → Z → A:
1.618 extension = 80.544
It matches the 2.0 from the ABC structure
It matches the 0.886 retracement on the HTF
Three independent mathematical signals hitting the same level. This is extremely rare and confirms the 81k zone as a rotation completion.
4. Structure Break
Since the 10 Nov low:
4H is making higher highs & higher lows
The descending trendline from 11 Nov is broken
Trend shifted from controlled downtrend → early reversal
Structure now favors continuation upwards as long as higher lows hold
Interpretation:
Sellers who relied on the trendline no longer have control.
4.5 Intermarket Correlation: Why Bitcoin Dumped When ES Dumped
Another important factor:
Bitcoin dumped because ES dumped.
From 12 Nov → 21 Nov:
S&P500 (ES)
Dropped from 6900 → 6525
–5.43% correction
Bitcoin:
Dropped from 107k → 80.5k
–24.77% correction
BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES.
BTC acted as a ~4.5× levered version of ES.
Correlation Data:
Rolling BTC/ES correlation increased from 0.38 → 0.74
Meaning BTC traded almost in sync with equities during the selloff
Why?
Risk-Off Mechanics
When ES sells off:
Equity funds de-risk
Macro algos rotate out of high beta
Volatility spikes
Systematic funds reduce exposure
Crypto is treated as “high beta tech”
BTC amplifies the move by a factor of 3–5×
Bitcoin didn’t dump because crypto was weak — It dumped because macro markets were risk-off.
Why this matters now
ES has stabilized
BTC stopped following ES lower
Spot demand started rising
BTC/ES correlation is dropping again (from 0.78 → ~0.55)
USDT-M shorts didn’t adjust
This is exactly when short squeezes start on BTC:
Macro stabilizes
Crypto regains independence
Shorts remain positioned for risk-off
Spot buyers take control
Price accelerates upward
This is a classic intermarket correlation unwind.
5. USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Confirms Risk Rotation
USDT dominance has turned down, which means:
Traders are deploying capital
Less stablecoin sitting idle
More risk-on appetite
Historically aligns with BTC beginning new legs up after HTF rotations
When USDT.D falls at the same time spot CVD rises, the market is shifting capital into crypto.
6. Targets: 118.5k → 124k
These are the next liquidity magnets.
Target #1: 118.5k
Confluences with:
1.141 extension of the 11 Nov → 12 Nov move
First major liquidity pool
First real “decision point” for the market
Target #2: 124k
Confluences with:
A weak high that will be swept
1.618 extension of the same 11→12 Nov move
Natural squeeze exhaustion zone
Perfect location for a Swing Fail Pattern
Rotation Logic
Shallow retraces → larger extensions (1.618 → 2.0)
Deep retraces → smaller extensions (1.272 → 1.414)
BTC currently fits the shallow retrace profile → favors strong extension
7. Other Pivot Points
Marked on the chart:
Minor LVNs
Minor-imbalances
CME Gaps
Expect reaction at each point.
8. Invalidation & Bearish Pathway
My invalidation is clear:
Trading below 80k invalidates the squeeze setup.
Below 80k, the absorption breaks.
If 80k is lost, the downside extension levels become:
74k
70k
64k
These levels are:
The natural downside extension pathways from the 11 Nov → 21 Nov swing
They form the mirrored rotation of the bullish structure
Final View
We dumped because macro went risk-off
Bitcoin amplified the ES selloff
Shorts loaded heavily into the move
Spot buyers stepped in first
A clean absorption pattern formed
Mathematical rotation completed at ~81k
Structure flipped
Risk metrics like USDT.D turned down
Correlation with ES is now unwinding
If Bitcoin continues to hold above 80k and spot keeps leading, the squeeze toward 118.5k → 124k becomes the most likely path.
Abbreviation List
BTC – Bitcoin
ES – S&P500 E-Mini Futures
OI – Open Interest
CVD – Cumulative Volume Delta
USDT-M – Stablecoin-Margined Futures
BTC-M – Coin-Margined Futures
HTF – Higher Timeframe
LVN – Low Volume Node
AVWAP – Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price
PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone
SFP – Swing Fail Pattern
Fib – Fibonacci
CTA – Commodity Trading Advisor (systematic trend-following funds)
VIX – Volatility Index
Beta – Sensitivity of an asset’s movement relative to a benchmark
Risk-Off – Market environment where investors reduce exposure to risky assets
Risk-On – Market environment where investors increase exposure to risky assets
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If you enjoy this type of deep, data-driven breakdown—spot vs futures, CVD flow, intermarket correlation, and rotation math—drop a like and leave a comment. It helps me see whether these higher-level analyses bring value, and it motivates me to keep sharing them for free.
FUBO 1D is testing investor patienceFUBO is testing investor patience, yet it looks like a recovery candidate
FUBO is once again testing the major daily support zone between 2.90 and 3.00. This area is confirmed by rising volumes on pullbacks, consistent buyer reactions and a developing bullish divergence on oscillators. Recent price behavior suggests stabilization and the early phase of accumulation. The first confirmation of strength will appear after a breakout and close above 3.72. This level is the nearest structural resistance. Once price holds above it, the targets at 4.39 and 4.72 become active. As long as price stays above the support between 2.90 and 3.00, the primary scenario remains bullish.
FuboTV operates in the sports streaming segment. Recent results show revenue growth, rising average revenue per user and strengthening subscriber retention. The company continues to optimize expenses and expand partnerships across the sports broadcast ecosystem. Demand for live sports content remains strong which supports long term fundamentals.
As long as the support holds, the idea of a reversal base remains valid. A breakdown below 2.90 and 3.00 would open the door to deeper correction, yet the combination of volume and divergence signals increases the probability of a recovery.
Markets often whisper before they shout. The reaction at this support suggests that buyers are already preparing their voice.
NGAS 1D - bulls waiting for the green lightOn the daily chart, Natural Gas has broken out of a falling wedge, but price remains below the MA200, while EMA still hovers above it - a mixed signal showing short-term hesitation within a longer-term downtrend.
The 3.10–3.20 buy zone remains key - that’s where the retest area aligns with short-term support. If buyers can reclaim the EMA and push above the MA200, the next upside targets are 4.14 and then 4.92.
Volume on the breakout supports growing bullish interest, while fundamentals - like rising seasonal demand - may soon add more fuel to the move.
Tactically , watch how price behaves near MA200. Once EMA flips back on top, momentum could accelerate fast. Until then, the market’s like a gas burner waiting for that click - ignition pending
mij btc ideahis is my perspective on Bitcoin.
Bitcoin has fallen sharply in the last few weeks to $86,000-$87,000. There's a lot of fear in the market, which presents many opportunities. My idea is that Bitcoin will rise to its old alt-high or to $140,000 in the coming months to create liquidity so that retail traders will fully invest in crypto while hoarders will slowly take profits. After that, a bear market will emerge, and I see Bitcoin possibly falling back to around $60,000 or even lower in the next two years.
BLMZ - bottom building or just warming up before a move?BLMZ continues to hold the key 0.14 support zone, where the market has built a tight accumulation base after completing the previous descending channel. Volatility compression, multiple retests of the horizontal level, and persistent lower wicks indicate active absorption by buyers. A rebound from 0.14 opens the way toward the first structural target at 0.50 - the liquidity zone of the previous range and a confirmed breakout above it unlocks the next target around 0.65, aligned with the upper imbalance area of the prior structure.
Company: BLMZ (Harrison Global Holdings) is a holding entity focused on distressed and developing assets, investing in undervalued businesses and restructuring opportunities.
Fundamentally , as of November 15, the company remains in a restructuring stage with low revenue, minimal liabilities, and attempts to stabilize operating expenses. As a typical microcap, the stock combines weak financials with high sensitivity to news, low float, and thin volumes. The balance sheet structure - low debt, ongoing corporate reboot, and occasional institutional interest - creates potential for sharp upside moves if a positive catalyst emerges.
As long as price stays above 0.14, the accumulation structure remains valid. A move above 0.18 pulls the range toward 0.30, and a full breakout of the upper boundary sets targets at 0.50 and 0.65. Losing 0.14 returns the stock to an extended sideways phase, though the current formation increasingly resembles pre-impulse positioning.
The chart may be whispering for now, but whispers often turn into sudden moves in the microcap world.
GOLD approaches a critical inflection inside the triangleGold is compressing inside a large triangle on the four hour chart and has returned to the twenty four hundred seventy area which acts as the main sell zone at four thousand one hundred seventy to four thousand one hundred seventy five. The market still fails to break above this region and preserves a sequence of lower highs. A breakdown through the triangle support may open the path toward four thousand forty six three thousand nine hundred ninety seven and three thousand eight hundred eighty six where strong liquidity and the two hundred period moving average converge.
The fundamental picture as of November twenty fifth remains mixed. United States inflation is cooling more slowly than expected which keeps treasury yields elevated and limits the attractiveness of gold as a defensive asset. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in the first half of next year persist which supports the metal during pullbacks. Demand from Asian jewelry markets stays muted which adds pressure when yields rise.
Price is approaching a decision point. A rejection from the sell zone may send the market toward four thousand forty six three thousand nine hundred ninety seven and three thousand eight hundred eighty six. A confirmed move above four thousand one hundred seventy five will invalidate the bearish scenario and allow a possible breakout to the upside although the market still looks weaker than the seller for now.
Gold is precious without doubt but inside a triangle nothing shines too confidently until the market shows its choice.
BTC 1W: preparing a reversal or just stretching the correction?Bitcoin trades in the 85,500–86,000 area, moving steadily toward the key weekly MA100 around 83,200 - the primary dynamic support of this cycle and the level where prior corrections have consistently formed bullish reactions. As long as price respects the lower boundary of the rising channel, BTC maintains a controlled corrective structure: liquidity is being taken below local lows, setting up the conditions for a rebound into the major 104–109K supply zone. This area remains the central mid-term target for recovery, aligning with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci cluster, the upper boundary of the previous distribution range and the zone of prior large-scale selling.
Fundamentally as of November 21, the market is shifting from euphoria into redistribution: ETF and institutional flows have slowed, large holders are taking profits, and a strong dollar alongside elevated real rates is pressuring risk assets. Network strength remains intact - hashrate near all-time highs and miners still expanding capacity - even though their margins are tightening. This is a typical late-stage cycle environment: short-term downside pressure with long-term trend strength preserved.
As long as BTC has not yet touched the MA100, the base scenario remains a dip into 83K followed by a rebound toward 104–109K. A breakout above 110K restores bullish continuation, while a loss of 80K accelerates the move toward 70–75K and the weekly MA200. This correction is not the end of the cycle - it’s a cooling phase after an overheated expansion.
Bitcoin does what it always does: terrifies everyone near MA100, then moves exactly when most have given up waiting.






















