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Imbalance

Trading Imbalances: How to Use Fair Value GapsDifficulty: 🐳🐳🐋🐋🐋 (Novice+) This article is designed for traders who want to understand Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in a simple, practical way — without drowning in complex Smart Money Concepts terminology. 🔵 INTRODUCTION If you’ve studied Smart Money Concepts (SMC), you’ve likely come across Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). For many, the concept feels overcomplicated. In reality, an FVG is just an imbalance in price — a spot where the market moved so fast that it didn’t fully trade both sides. 🔑When price leaves a gap behind, it often comes back later to “rebalance.” This gives traders powerful zones for entries, exits, and target setting. 🔵 WHAT IS A FAIR VALUE GAP? A Fair Value Gap is formed over three candles : Candle 1: The first move (anchor). Candle 2: The big impulsive candle (the imbalance). Candle 3: The follow-up candle. The gap exists when the high of Candle 1 is below the low of Candle 3 (in a bullish case). This leaves an “untraded zone” inside Candle 2. Think of it as a skipped step. Price rushed through so quickly, there wasn’t enough time to trade at fair value. 🔵 WHY DOES PRICE RETURN TO FVGs? Markets seek balance. When an imbalance forms, algorithms and institutional flows often revisit the gap to collect liquidity and rebalance orders. This doesn’t mean every FVG gets filled instantly — some remain open for days or even weeks. But many serve as magnets for price. 🔑Key point: An FVG is not a magic level. It’s a clue about where inefficiency sits. 🔵 HOW TO TRADE FVGS SIMPLY 1️⃣ Mark the Zone Identify the three-candle imbalance. Highlight the gap inside Candle 2. 2️⃣ Wait for Return Don’t chase the impulsive candle. Instead, wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone. 3️⃣ Trade the Reaction Bullish FVG → wait for price to dip into the zone and show bullish reaction Bearish FVG → wait for price to retest zone and reject downward Stops are usually placed beyond the gap, targets set toward the next liquidity pool or swing level. 🔵 EXAMPLE SCENARIO A strong bullish candle leaves an imbalance. Price continues higher, but a day later revisits the gap. At bullish rejection candles form with increasing volume. Entry taken, stop below gap, target at next swing high. 🔵 TIPS FOR ADVANCED TRADERS Higher timeframe FVGs are stronger and attract price longer. Not every gap fills — filter with trend direction. Combine with OBs (Order Blocks) or liquidity zones for more precision. Ignore small random gaps in low-volume markets. 🔵 CONCLUSION Fair Value Gaps don’t need to be mysterious. They’re simply imbalances in the auction process. By waiting for price to return and react, traders can build structured entries with defined risk. 🔑Instead of overcomplicating SMC concepts, think of FVGs as footprints of urgency — and opportunities for balance. Do you already trade FVGs, or is this your first time hearing about them? Share your setups below!
Education
by BigBeluga
13
How to use Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator for IntradayWhat you’re seeing This idea visualizes an intraday session with my Order Flow / Delta Volume study applied. The chart overlays three things that matter for short-term context: • Cumulative delta (blue line) : running sum of delta, rescaled so it’s easy to compare to price swings. • VWAP (grey line) : session anchor for bias and mean-reversion context. Signal logic (kept simple & rule-based) A bar is considered imbalanced when one side’s volume dominates the bar’s total volume. • Imbalance: upVol / totalVol > 0.60 → buy-side imbalance; downVol / totalVol > 0.60 → sell-side imbalance. • Trend/strength filters (optional but enabled here): • VWAP filter → longs only when price > VWAP; shorts only when price < VWAP. • RSI(14) filter → longs only if RSI > 50; shorts only if RSI < 50. • Noise throttle: minimum 5 bars between signals + price must exceed the prior close by ±ATR(14) to avoid tiny wiggles. These rules try to capture moments when flow (delta) and context (VWAP/RSI) line up, while the ATR and cooldown help skip low-quality, back-to-back prints. How to read the chart • Rising blue cumulative-delta with price above VWAP → constructive backdrop for longs; fading/ranging delta warns to de-risk or wait. • Green “ BUY ” labels plot when a buy-side imbalance clears the filters; red “ SELL ” labels mark sell-side imbalances with bearish context. • Background tints briefly highlight where the raw imbalance occurred (light green/red), even when a trade filter blocks a signal. Walk-through of the attached example • Trend leg after a base: cumulative delta turns up first and price reclaims VWAP → several filtered BUY signals print into the push; ATR gate avoids chasing the very first small upticks. • Mid-session chop: delta flips around the zero line and price hovers near VWAP → far fewer signals; most imbalances are filtered out by RSI/VWAP or fail the ATR move requirement. • Late expansion: a swift VWAP reclaim with strong positive delta → clustered BUY signals that track the follow-through, while opposing sell imbalances near VWAP are rejected by filters. Inputs used on this chart • Imbalance threshold: 0.60 • VWAP filter: On • RSI filter: On, threshold 50 • Cooldown: 5 bars • ATR length: 14 Notes • This is not a trade recommendation. Signals highlight where participation leans, not certainty of direction. • Best paired with your execution plan (risk unit, stop location, partials near prior S/R or VWAP). • In fast spikes, delta can be extreme—ATR and the cooldown help, but slippage and whipsaws are always possible. • For instruments with very low volume or during illiquid hours, consider raising the imbalance threshold or disabling signals altogether. Takeaway Order-flow imbalance by itself fires often; layering VWAP, RSI, and an ATR-based movement check concentrates signals to moments when both flow and context align. The attached session shows that behavior clearly: fewer prints in chop, more conviction when cumulative delta trends and price holds its side of VWAP. Educational post for discussion only. No financial advice.
by TradeTechanalysis
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook,August 11-15, 2025Hello traders , We step into a new week with gold holding its ground in the premium zone, standing just beneath the towering high of 3439. The weekly chart tells a story of persistent bullish momentum — each pullback over the past months has been shallow, showing that institutional buyers remain firmly in control. The macro calendar is packed with potential catalysts. US CPI and PPI will be the main drivers, shaping inflation expectations and influencing the USD. Stronger readings may spark a controlled retracement, while softer data could be the trigger for gold to finally break through the ceiling at 3439. Retail Sales and Consumer Sentiment later in the week could serve as the final push to decide direction. 📊 Weekly Structure & Key Zones Major HTF Supply: 3350 – 3439 (full wick-to-body range of the last strong sell-side push; the only true weekly supply left). First HTF Demand: 3290 – 3260 (breakout origin, untested bullish OB). Deep HTF Demand: 2920 – 2880 (historical liquidity pocket, unlikely without major sentiment change). 📌 Bias: Bullish — structure, EMA flow, and momentum remain in buyers’ favor, but execution requires patience as we are already in premium pricing. 🚀 Bullish Breakout Path If we see a decisive weekly close above 3439, gold steps into clear skies. The next reference points are: 3460 – 3475 → imbalance + inducement zone on H4/D1. 3480 – 3490 → 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the last weekly swing. Beyond this, fresh mapping will be required on daily structure. 📉 Bearish Retracement Path A rejection from 3439, especially if reinforced by strong USD data, could pull price back into 3290 – 3260 for a potential reload. Only a weekly close below 3260 would shift the bias toward the deeper 3100–3050 area. 🔍 Confluence & Indicators Dynamic EMA Flow: Fully bullish, EMAs stacked in buy order. RSI: Holding in bullish territory, no weekly divergence. FVGs: Small unfilled gaps above 3439 act as liquidity targets. Fibonacci: Price currently reacts near 1.272 extension; 1.618 remains above. 📌 Outlook Summary The bulls still have the upper hand, but this is a premium zone where patience matters. The best plays will come from either a disciplined pullback into demand or a confirmed breakout toward 3480–3490. 💬 Your turn — what’s your call? Are we about to see new highs, or will gold take a breath first? Share your thoughts below. If you enjoy these outlooks, don’t forget to like and follow for precision updates. — GoldFxMinds Disclosure: This analysis uses Trade Nation’s price feed and is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Sniper Entry on AUDCAD - SMC Concepts - Trade Code RevealedAlright snipers, here it is! From today onwards, I will publish my live trades. My A+ setups. In this one, I follow the H2 game ( Bullish) as there is no other game played at the moment on this pair contradicting my story. Story says, H8 bullish, H2 bullish, BOS confirmed. Now market is mitigating towards an imbalance left behind and visible on m15/m8. I am expecting this last point of true mitigation to be reached, inducing the last swing buyers who believe the market has to go up. Also a very important info: market will break through the low of Asia and low of Europe sessions before taking off (0.89519) No sign of reversal move either, H8 candles are closing above the H8 S/R. No sign of H2 or m30 reversal candlestick pattern (Rejection + Acceleration or Supply Zone). So we're good to go. Enjoy this trade! See you on the one...
Long
by Trade4gammapo
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/08/2025The Judas Swing strategy kicked off the new week with two solid setups on Monday, this time on OANDA:AUDUSD and FX:EURUSD While both played out beautifully from a structure and liquidity perspective, let’s walk through the reasoning behind each trade and how they unfolded The first setup of the day formed on EURUSD during the early part of the New York session. Price had been ranging during the London hours, setting clear highs and lows. Just as expected, NY brought the liquidity sweep a sharp push above the range high, baiting breakout buyers and triggering stops. That was our cue. Once the sweep completed, we watched closely for the break of structure to confirm the reversal. It came swiftly, followed by a retrace into the freshly formed Fair Value Gap the same confluence we wait for every time. As price tapped into the imbalance and printed a bearish close, we executed the short. Risk: 1%. Target: 2R. Price moved cleanly in our direction, offering little drawdown and ultimately hitting our target in due time. A disciplined start to the week with a solid +2% gain. Not long after we entered the FX:EURUSD position, OANDA:AUDUSD served up a nearly identical setup. Once again, we had a clear range established during the Judas Swing sessions. Then came the sweep price spiked above the range high, taking out buy-side liquidity before quickly reversing. We marked our structure break and noted the FVG left behind. Just like before, we waited for the retrace no chasing. Price pulled back, tapped the imbalance, and gave us a strong bearish entry signal. We entered short with the same parameters: 1% risk, aiming for a 2R return. The market delivered. The trade ran smoothly to target, netting our second +2% win of the day.
by CleoFinance
ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) LONGThe Technology Sector Continues to Break Records The tech sector keeps setting new highs, and alongside individual stocks, it's a great idea to consider investing in an ETF that mirrors the profits of the NASDAQ 100 index. One of the most attractive options is TQQQ - it’s more affordable than the index itself, yet offers similar growth potential aligned with the entire tech sector. I expect continued growth through the end of the year, assuming the geopolitical landscape remains relatively stable. From a technical standpoint, those looking to minimize risk might prefer to wait for a retest of previous highs. However, my approach is to gradually build a position both before the breakout and after the retest of the highs. A classic technical analysis pattern -the cup formation, also supports the bullish case for entry. As George Soros wrote in his book: “What moves the market : our expectations or the events themselves?” I’d say it’s both. The key is not to miss the wave. P.S. Don’t forget: with TQQQ, you also receive dividends - a nice bonus while riding the trend.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by InvestWorld_777
1
Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 10/07/2025Last week, we saw a textbook Judas Swing play out on OANDA:NZDUSD and this one checked every single box on our trading checklist. Let’s walk through the trade step by step After a slow Asian session, NYO brought the kind of liquidity grab we look for. Price swept the low of our Judas swing zone, trapping early sellers and triggering stop hunts classic Judas behavior. As always, our first thought wasn’t to jump in it was to observe. Once we spotted that liquidity sweep, our next confirmation came quickly: a clean break of structure to the upside. That shift in market sentiment was the green light to start prepping our entry. But, as we’ve learned from experience, patience is a trader’s superpower. Instead of chasing the move, we waited for price to retrace into our Fair Value Gap (FVG) a key element in our Judas Swing checklist. No FVG touch, no trade. This time, price dipped right into our FVG zone. The moment the candle that entered the FVG closed, we executed with confidence. Risk: 1% Reward: 2% Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 After executing the trade, there was a minor drawdown nothing major, just about 4 pips. Price never came close to our stop loss. Then came the move we were waiting for. OANDA:NZDUSD moved in our direction, and in an hour and 40 minutes, we hit our full target. A clean +2% gain added to the week’s tally. This trade is a perfect example of how the Judas Swing strategy thrives especially after false moves into liquidity zones. It was a clean setup: - Sweep of liquidity - Break of structure - Retrace into FVG - Controlled risk, solid R:R If you’re still taking trades without a structured plan, now’s the time to consider building one. Strategies like this don’t just work because of entries they work because of discipline, timing, and consistency. We don’t trade everything. We trade the setups that check every box.
by CleoFinance
XAUUSD NY SESSION FLOW – JULY 8→ 9 , 2025"Structure doesn’t lie. Price answered exactly where we expected it to." Hey traders 👋 Let’s set the record straight after today’s precision bounce. We saw textbook price action across all sessions — Asia triggered the short from our 3344–3351 HTF supply, and both London and New York followed through with no hesitation, driving price down to 3287. But here’s the key point: 🧨 3287 was just 10 pips above our clean 3286–3280 buy zone. No mitigation. Just a front-run. That’s what real liquidity does — grabs what it needs before the crowd gets in. Our zone is still valid… just untouched. 🔍 HTF BIAS & STRUCTURE UPDATE 📆 Daily Bias: Structure is still bearish — lower highs, CHoCH, and soft RSI. EMAs 5/21 are flat. No power for bulls unless 3351 breaks. ⏰ H4 Bias: New lower high confirmed after rejection from our 3344–3351 zone. Trend is still bearish unless we reclaim 3330+ with conviction. Liquidity is driving movement, not news. 🕐 H1 Flow: Bounce from 3287 = engineered reaction before real demand Price now hovering above 3306, forming mid-structure No trade in the middle. Let’s work the edges. 🎯 TODAY’S SNIPER ZONES 🔻 SELL ZONES 1. 3325–3330 Nearest short trap. OB + inefficiency + H1 rejection base. If price returns, watch M15/M30 for CHoCH or BOS → entry. 2. 3344–3351 Our major HTF supply. Asia already reacted from top half. If revisited, this zone remains the high-probability rejection zone. 3. 3380–3394 Premium OB + imbalance pocket. Untouched zone far above — if tapped late in the week, watch for liquidity sweep → clean reversal potential. 🟢 BUY ZONES 1. 3297–3300 NY session bounce zone. Price tapped 3297 → pushed to 3306. Still live for intraday reentry if price retests and confirms with BOS. 2. 3286–3280 Our true demand base. Price front-ran it by 10 pips — didn’t mitigate. Still valid, still reactive. Don’t delete this zone. 3. 3263–3255 Last line of support. Deep zone — only comes into play if 3280 fails with conviction. ✅ EXECUTION REMINDERS Price is hovering mid-range → don’t force entries Only act if structure reacts at the edges (3325 or 3286) 3380–3394 may be a late-week trap if bulls get overconfident 📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀 and drop a comment: 👉 Are you stalking 3325… or waiting for 3286 to finally wake up? Let structure talk. You just execute. GoldFxMinds 💭🔥 📢 Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee. ⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Weekly Outlook | XAUUSD June 30 – July 4, 2025Welcome to a new trading week. Let’s break down the gold chart from a clean, high-timeframe perspective. No setups, no noise – just structure, momentum, and zones that matter. 🌐 Macro Overview This week concentrates all key USD events into one tight window: Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing + Fed Chair Powell speech Wednesday: ADP Employment Thursday: NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM Services PMI Friday: US holiday – markets closed 📌 This means liquidity and momentum will peak by Thursday, then fade into the weekend. Expect gold to stay in range until macro data breaks direction. 🧠 Weekly Structure & Momentum Gold remains in a bullish macro structure, but price is hesitating below 3300. Last two weekly candles printed long upper wicks with no body follow-through – clear sign of distribution, not continuation. We’re still trading above the 21EMA Weekly, which maintains the uptrend’s integrity. RSI (14): sitting at ~59 → no real momentum breakout, just consolidation. 📌 The chart is not reversing, but it’s also not trending anymore. We’re in a decision zone. 📍 Key Weekly Areas of Interest 3430 – 3500 → W1 Imbalance + March High Sweep This is a wide weekly imbalance left unfilled since March, paired with the prior 2024 swing high. 3500 is also a psychological round number. If price pushes into this area, it becomes a liquidity target, not an entry – unless a clear rejection forms. 3330 – 3230 → Weekly Decision Block This is the current consolidation range. It includes multiple W1 candle bodies, wick highs/lows, and volume cluster. – Weekly close above 3330 = likely bullish continuation toward 3430+ – Weekly close below 3230 = confirms weakness and opens path to the next major support 3080 – 2970 → Weekly Demand + Fib 38% Clean block of accumulation from April–May, aligned with the 38.2% retracement of the 2024 rally. This is where we’d expect institutional buying interest on a deeper pullback. A weekly candle with a long wick into this zone + strong close would reset bullish structure. 2850 – 2720 → Last Macro Demand Zone This zone includes the 50EMA weekly, a weekly FVG from late 2023, and unmitigated demand before the full 2024 breakout. If price ever gets here, we’re no longer in a healthy uptrend – we’re correcting structurally. But this zone will matter if that happens. 🧭 Summary & Expectations Gold is still inside a large weekly range. Until we break above 3330 or below 3230, it’s just consolidation on the HTF. Thursday’s data will decide the candle. Don’t predict direction — let the W1 close speak. 📌 Final Notes: Above 3330 = room toward 3430–3500 Below 3230 = risk opens toward 3080–2970 Inside = no directional edge — stay reactive, not biased 🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below! Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/06/2025This week the Judas Swing strategy has delivered two clean setups on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Both trades played out beautifully, hitting their targets and ending the day with a solid +4% return (2% each), reinforcing the power of patience, structure, and sticking to the rules. Let’s break down how each trade unfolded: Trade 1: OANDA:AUDUSD Long — Textbook Setup We kicked off Wednesday’s session watching OANDA:AUDUSD closely after identifying a classic Judas Swing scenario. First, we saw liquidity swept below the previous session’s low, exactly what we’re looking for. This kind of move is crucial to the strategy, it grabs early sellers or stop orders and sets the stage for a reversal. Right after the sweep, price broke structure to the upside, confirming our bullish bias. At this point, we didn’t rush in. We waited for price to retrace into our FVG (Fair Value Gap). Patience paid off and price finally tapped into the FVG, and as soon as the entry candle closed in our direction, we executed the trade. We risk 1% on every trade, aiming for a 2:1 reward-to-risk. After being in drawdown for a bit, price accelerated sharply and hit our target after being in the trade for 5 hours. Clean setup, clean execution, and a smooth +2% return. Trade 2: OANDA:NZDUSD Long OANDA:NZDUSD presented a near-identical setup. Price had been consolidating, but by the time the NY session rolled in, the stage was set. Just like OANDA:AUDUSD , we saw a liquidity sweep at the lows, followed by a bullish break of structure, textbook Judas Swing again. This time, the retracement into the FVG came swiftly. We executed as soon as we had confirmation on the candle close. The trade barely hesitated, and price moved decisively in our direction, steadily climbing until our target was hit. Another +2% return, reinforcing the strategy’s strength when rules are respected What This Week Reminds Us: Discipline matters: We don’t chase trades. Both setups met all our checklist criteria Patience is key: Waiting for the FVG entry and confirmation avoids emotional entries Risk management is the foundation: With a 1% risk and 2:1 target, you only need to win half the time to be consistently profitable When you follow a rules-based strategy like Judas Swing, you remove the guesswork and bring structure to your trading decisions.
by CleoFinance
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – Monday, June 23, 2025Current Price: 3368.76 Trend: Bearish on H4 | Corrective on H1 | Weak Bullish Attempt on M15 Market Context: Gold is consolidating under EMA pressure after FOMC. Price is pinned inside a key flip zone, awaiting Monday’s fundamental triggers. 🔸 HTF Overview (D1, H4, H1) 📰 Macro + Economic Context – Week of June 23–28: This is a high-impact week for USD with Fed speeches, inflation, and growth data. Monday opens with caution: Monday, June 23 🟠 FOMC Member Waller Speaks 🔴 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI 🟠 Existing Home Sales Tuesday, June 24 🔴 Fed Chair Powell Testifies 🟠 CB Consumer Confidence 🟠 Richmond Manufacturing Index Wednesday, June 25 🔴 Powell Testimony (Day 2) 🟠 New Home Sales Thursday, June 26 🔴 Final GDP q/q 🔴 Unemployment Claims 🟠 Durable Goods Orders 🟠 Pending Home Sales Friday, June 27 🔴 Core PCE Price Index 🟠 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 📌 Monday is lighter in impact, but PMI data and Waller’s speech may spark the week’s directional bias. Avoid trading blindly into PMI spikes. H4 Structure & Bias: Bearish trend intact: Lower High = 3418, Lower Low = 3311 EMAs (21/50/100) aligned downward — price capped below 3380 RSI still under 60 = no bullish momentum Rejection zone remains valid at 3406–3420 (H4 OB) Strong demand expected at 3340–3352 and extreme at 3310–3288 🔸 LTF Precision (M30, M15) Price compressing around 3365–3372 RSI around 56 → indecision No bullish HH above 3380 = still within bearish control EMA flattening → prepare for trap setups around NY open 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔻 Sell Zone – 3406–3420 H4 OB, FVG top, liquidity above 3405 Entry: 3412 SL: 3426 TP1: 3312 TP2: 3288 TP3: 3265 🧠 Wait for sweep or strong bearish reaction — no early entries. ⚠️ Flip Zone – 3360–3380 No-trade zone: EMA cluster + mid-FVG Only use for confirmations, not entries 🟢 Buy Zone – 3340–3352 OB + demand + Fib retracement Entry: 3348 SL: 3334 TP1: 3448 TP2: 3472 TP3: 3490 🟢 Buy Zone – 3310–3288 Below LL sweep (3311) Deep liquidity + OB demand Entry: 3298 SL: 3280 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3405 TP3: 3440 📍 Key Structural Levels – June 23 Level Type Role 3460 Bull Trap Limit Irrational spike area 3445 FOMC Unfilled wick – trap zone 3426 Sell Zone Risk protection above OB 3418 H4 LH Confirmed bearish structure 3410 OB Midpoint Micro-rejection inside OB 3395 Previous HH Inducement target 3384 FVG Top Minor LTF rejection 3360–3380 ⚠️ Flip Zone MA/FVG compression – avoid entries 3352 OB entry edge Buy Zone 1 upper limit 3340 OB base Buy Zone 1 key level 3311 H4 LL Confirms bear structure 3300 Round Level Psychological + liquidity 3288 OB base Final demand structure zone 3265 Final TP Bearish extension only ✅ Final Action Plan 📉 Stay bearish below 3380 unless a clean HH + OB support forms ⚠️ Avoid trading inside 3360–3380 flip zone during NY PMI data 🛒 Longs valid only from 3340 or 3310 with confirmation (RSI, PA, OB) 🧠 Focus on structure integrity and clean OB rejections only 💬 Will you fade the 3412 OB or wait for the sniper bounce at 3348? 🔔 Follow and 🚀@GoldFxMinds for premium breakdowns, macro updates, and real-time sniper execution guidance. 🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts. GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down: 🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT USD drivers this week: 🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking 🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony 🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims 🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations Macro sentiment: FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection. 🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS Market structure: Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS). Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection. EMA Cluster: Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100. EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds. Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term. 🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map 🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification 🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support 🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance 🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone 🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH 🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB 🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA) If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285. A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected. Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises. ✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan 🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point. 📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405. 📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength. 💎 Best RR zones: Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340 Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380 🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post! 🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for more real-time, structure-based sniper plans. 🧠 Precision isn't optional. It's the edge. 🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts. GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | June 23–27, 2025👋 Hey gold traders! As we close out the FOMC week and head into the final stretch of June, gold continues to hold bullish structure — but this week's candle is entering a very sensitive premium area. Let's break it all down in full top-down clarity: 🔍 Weekly Structure Update ✅ Weekly BOS confirmed since November 2023 ✅ Price holding above EMA 5/21/50 — bullish lock intact 🔼 Current HH printed at 3452 📍Price is now entering a weekly FVG + supply trap zone around 3440–3460 🟣 RSI divergence starting to appear — caution in premium 🗺 Key Weekly Zones Type Price Range Context 🔵 Demand Zone 3150 – 3190 Weekly OB + EMA50 confluence 🟣 FVG Support 3284 – 3320 Fresh imbalance post BOS 🟠 Flip Zone 3363 – 3385 Retest of BOS + FVG bottom 🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Weekly OB + liquidity sweep area 🧠 Bias This Week 📌 Bullish, but extended. We expect a reaction from 3440–3460, not blind continuation. The next healthy buy opportunity is only valid on a retrace toward 3320–3280, aligned with imbalance + structure. 🧭 GoldFxMinds Game Plan Above 3440–3460 = overextension — wait for trap/sweep confirmation 🧨 Below 3363 = bearish flip zone — risk of revisiting 3280 Ideal buy = 3284–3320 → only on bullish PA or reversal confirmation 📰 Upcoming Economic Events (June 23–27) 🗣 FOMC Speakers flood the week (Waller, Powell, Williams, Goolsbee, Hammack, etc.) 🏠 Existing & New Home Sales, Consumer Confidence, Pending Home Sales 🛢 Crude Oil & Natural Gas Inventory reports 📊 Final GDP q/q, Core PCE, Personal Spending/Income 📉 Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims 🧪 Bank Stress Test Results (Friday) ⚠️ This is a dense news week — stay alert for surprise volatility, especially around Powell’s testimonies (Tue & Wed). ⚠️ Summary: We are no longer in discount — we are inside the premium trap. Gold remains bullish, but 3440–3460 is a red flag zone. If this becomes the top, watch the flip at 3363–3385. Only re-enter long if structure confirms. 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a comment, give it a like, and make sure to follow GoldFxMinds for more sniper-level updates every week! 📣 This post was made using the Trade Nation chart feed. As a partner in their influencer program, I receive compensation for using and sharing their tools.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
1
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — 16 June 2025👋 Hello team, here’s where we stand before the upcoming key week: 🔎 The Narrative Gold remains in bullish control after weeks of controlled expansion. The clean breakout above previous major highs triggered liquidity resets that cleared significant weak-handed positions. Last week’s sweep into 3447 activated premium liquidity, trapping late buyers at the edge of impulsive highs. But the game is far from over — smart money continues to rotate liquidity at these extreme levels, using premium expansion to build further trap pockets both above and below. Behind this technical expansion, macro tensions continue to fuel underlying gold demand. Geopolitical uncertainties remain elevated with the Middle East escalation risk growing, while recent Fed positioning keeps rate path expectations flexible. The upcoming FOMC decision later this week will likely act as the true liquidity catalyst — until then, gold remains positioned for further inducement cycles as both buyers and sellers continue to get baited into traps. 🔼 Premium Supply Zones Price Zone Description 3447 – 3470 Weak high sweep — premium liquidity trap fully active 3500 – 3525 Main extension liquidity pocket — Fibonacci cluster (1.272 & 1.414 extensions) 3550 – 3570 Exhaustion inducement — full 1.618 premium extension stack 🔽 Demand Defense Zones Price Zone Description 3415 – 3395 Minor imbalance recalibration — short-term liquidity refill zone 3365 – 3345 Core breakout OB + FVG overlap — main recalibration zone if pullbacks extend 3285 – 3265 HTF bullish structure base — BOS origin + deep recalibration defense level 🎯 Where We Stand Right Now ✅ Smart money holds full control inside premium expansion. ✅ Inducement layers remain open both above and below current price. ✅ We expect short-term liquidity sweeps before any major expansion unfolds. ✅ No change in bias — bullish structure remains valid while 3285 holds. 🔐 The Mindset 👉 This is not the place for aggressive chasing. 👉 Liquidity will continue to hunt both sides into key events ahead. 👉 Our job is not to predict, but to position with discipline once liquidity confirms displacement inside the calibrated zones. 🚀 If this breakdown helps you stay locked: 💬 Drop a 🚀, leave your thoughts & follow for full sniper-level updates as we approach a volatile week ahead. Stay sharp — the trap is already in play. — GoldFxMinds
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAU/USD 4H Technical Analysis 13 June 2025Market Structure & Bias: On the 4H chart, gold has broken out of a recent sideways range and formed a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This “break of structure” (BOS) through the old swing high confirms a bullish bias. Price action respects key support zones (demand areas) on retracements, suggesting underlying buying interest. The overall bias is bullish, driven by risk‐off sentiment. Support and resistance act as natural pause/reversal zones For example, a demand zone/order block around ~3390–3400 (from the prior swing low) has been tested and held, fueling the recent rally. Likewise, an imbalance (fair value gap) left below 3400 could attract buyers if price returns. We also note that a change of character (CHOCH) would occur only if price breaks below a higher-low; so far that has not happened. In short, gold’s 4H market structure is bullish (higher highs/lows) and the trend looks set to continue upward unless a strong reversal forms. Key Levels (4H): We use classic pivot points to mark critical levels (using the last 4H high, low, close). Pivot points can project future support and resistance. Based on recent swings, key levels are: Pivot: 3424 (calculated from last bar’s H/L/C) Support 1: 3413 Support 2: 3399 Support 3: 3374 Resistance 1: 3438 Resistance 2: 3449 Resistance 3: 3474 Price currently hovers just below R1. These levels align with congestion zones and Fib retracements (50–61.8% of the last $3290–3427 upswing), so expect active bidding near S1–S2 and selling around R1–R2. Intraday 1H Trade Setups Buy Zone ~3395–3405 (Bullish OB/Demand): Entry: Long on dips into the order-block/demand area near 3395–3405 (just above S1). Stop: ~3385 (≈$10 below entry zone). Targets: TP1 ≈ 3438 (Resistance 1), TP2 ≈ 3450 (near R2). Reason: This zone aligns with a prior institutional order block/demand and a 61.8% Fib retrace of the recent rally. Price has shown bounce here before, so a bullish reaction is likely. Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle (e.g. bullish engulfing or pin bar) on 1H in this zone, or a market structure low (MSL) turning point. A break back above the high of that candle can serve as confirmation to enter. Sell Zone ~3435–3445 (Bearish Retrace): Entry: Short near resistance around 3435–3445 (just below R1–R2). Stop: ~3455 (≈$10 above entry zone). Targets: TP1 ≈ 3413 (Support 1), TP2 ≈ 3399 (Support 2). Reason: This area is the upper end of the recent range. It contains a minor supply zone and the R1–R2 pivots. A liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) may occur above recent highs. If price loses momentum here, expect a pullback. Trigger: Watch for a bearish price action signal (e.g. a bearish engulfing candle or a double-top swing) on 1H. A break of the immediate lower low (lower than the last minor swing) would confirm a short-term change of character and signal entry. Breakout Long ~3449+: Entry: Long on a sustained break above R2 (≈3450). Confirm entry when price closes above 3449 on 1H. Stop: ~3424 (just under the Pivot). Targets: TP1 ≈ 3474 (Resistance 3), TP2 ≈ 3495+ (new highs). Reason: A clean breakout of 3450 would indicate strong bullish order flow and trigger stop-run triggers. This would be a continuation trade in line with the 4H uptrend. Trigger: A bullish candle closing above 3449 (ideally with above-average size) or a 1H break of structure (higher high over 3449) would signal entry. Takeaway: Gold remains in a bullish 4H trend; focus on buying dips into demand zones and watch for clear candlestick triggers at support/resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Judas Swing Monday Recap – Sticking to the Plan Pays 09/06/2025In case you're new to the Judas Swing Strategy, here’s the strategy in a nutshell: It’s a classic price manipulation strategy where the market fakes a move in one direction (the “Judas” move), usually after the 00:00–08:30 EST window, before sharply reversing. This tactic is often used by smart money to trap retail traders around key highs/lows, followed by a reversal into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) for entry confirmation. We began Monday spotting a textbook Judas Swing on FX:EURUSD which was our first trade of the day. Price took out session lows, grabbing liquidity, then gave us a break of structure to the upside and a clean reversal into the FVG. We entered long with our stop loss below the manipulation low. The trade moved nicely into profit and came within points of our target but just as we were anticipating a clean 1:2, price stalled and reversed aggressively, stopping us out. Trade Outcome: Loss Risk-Reward: -1% Lesson: Even the most valid setups will sometimes fail The next Judas swing setup came on $GBPUSD. Price swept the low of the zone, then gave a break of structure, with price retracing into the FVG. We entered long, placing the stop loss 10 pips below entry price. The trade rallied hard post-entry, hitting our target with minimal drawdown Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: +2% This is why we take every valid setup. The win here offset the earlier FX:EURUSD loss, keeping us net even on the day at this point The final Judas swing setup on Monday was on OANDA:AUDUSD , and it couldn’t have been cleaner. After a strong sweep of previous lows, price reversed and broke structure convincingly. An FVG formed and price retraced into it beautifully. We entered long, placing the stop below the liquidity sweep. Price then rallied steadily throughout the session, and retraced almost hitting our stop loss but turned around and hit our 1:2 target. Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: +2% Despite starting the day with a loss, staying disciplined and trading all valid Judas setups left us with: 1 loss ( FX:EURUSD -1%) 2 wins ( FX:GBPUSD +2%, OANDA:AUDUSD +2%) Net Gain: +3R This is why a rules-based approach beats emotional trading. Stick to the process, and the edge takes care of the rest.
by CleoFinance
Decision Day: Flip or Fail?” — XAUUSD Sniper Battlefield Plan👋 Hello gold tacticians — we’ve entered a key battlefield. Price is hovering in a critical flip zone after a sweep of 3395, and with ADP Non-Farm + ISM Services PMI coming up, the market won’t stay neutral for long. This is not a time for random trades. Let’s lock in real zones and prepare for both traps and confirmations. 🎯 🟡 Neutral Bias Price is in a flip zone (3345–3352) → Not clearly bullish or bearish. We’ve seen both buying pressure from 3320s and strong rejection from 3395. Market is ranging between premium and discount — no confirmed trend. ⚠️ Bearish Weight (Slight Tilt) 3384–3395 sweep confirms liquidity trap. RSI divergence + price rejected from premium supply. FVG gap under price (3303–3289) remains unfilled — likely draw. Big news (ADP + ISM) may trigger stop hunts — downside has better structure for continuation. ✅ Conclusion: We are neutral, but leaning bearish unless price confirms a clean break and hold above 3395. You should follow structure shifts on M15/H1 after ADP before committing fully to either side. 🟡 Neutral Decision Zone – The Flip Battlefield 3345 – 3352 → Previously acted as resistance — now tested as support → This is neutral ground — confirmation will decide if we bounce or dump → Use only with clear M15 PA 🧠 Wait here — bulls and bears will fight it out. 🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Traps Zone Key Levels Why it Matters 🔺 Main Rejection Block 3384 – 3395 Sweep + FVG + OB cluster — price was rejected here. If tapped again → watch for M15 bearish shift. 🔺 Flip Trap Extension 3368 – 3375 Previous broken high. If price fails to stay above → good place for fakeout sell. 🔺 Ultimate Premium Trap 3412 – 3422 Extreme liquidity grab if market spikes after ADP. Use only if FOMO buyers get trapped. 🟢 BUY ZONES – Smart Demand Levels Zone Key Levels Why it Matters 🟢 Active Rebound Zone 3330 – 3320 OB + FVG + current HL reaction. Great sniper long if price holds. 🟢 Reload Buy Pocket 3303 – 3289 Fresh NY FVG + EMA confluence + liquidity. If ADP gives downside wick, this is the reload zone. 🟢 Final Demand Block 3265 – 3278 Deep sweep zone from H4. If hit → expect strong reaction. HL or M15 BOS confirms. 🔍 Strategy Scenarios 📉 Sell Plan A → Spike into 3384–3395 → M15/M30 bearish shift → short to 3352 → then 3320 📉 Sell Plan B → Flip rejection from 3368–3375 → short scalp to 3330 📉 Sell Plan C → FOMO sweep into 3412+ → wait for reversal wick → high-RR short 📈 Buy Plan A → Bounce from 3330–3320 → confirm HL → long toward 3368 📈 Buy Plan B → Flush into 3303–3289 → watch for OB reaction + PA → long scalp toward 3345 📈 Buy Plan C → Extreme dip to 3265 → reversal PA → long to 3300+ ⚙️ Market Context EMA 5/21/50 bullish but stretched Price is compressing under a sweep — not trending ADP + ISM = volatility trap window RSI showing bearish divergence in premium 💬 Final Words from GoldFxMinds Gold is standing in the middle of a flip battlefield. It doesn’t matter if you’re bullish or bearish — what matters is structure and reaction. Let the market reveal its hand. 🎯 Stay out of noise. Wait for the trigger. Act with clarity. If this breakdown helped you today: ❤️ Drop a LIKE 🧠 Leave a COMMENT on what you’re watching 📌 And FOLLOW GoldFxMinds for clean, structured daily plans Let’s dominate June with patience and precision. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
USDCHF SELL IDEAUSDCHF is Ready to continue It's SELL Move to the higher time frame recent swing low of 0.803. SELL IDEA BREAKDOWN; Weekly is bearish and price is moving closer to the 0.803 swing low. Daily is also bearish, price is moving towards the weekly swing low. 4HR had a bearish break in market structure, followed by a retest of the recent swing low that was broken by price to give MSS. My entry was taken after the formation of a swing low and price is done retesting the old low. This is a continuation trade.
Short
by Elijahenoch7