BTC - Are You Ready?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in red.
This week, BTC has been retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong strong and previous all-time high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and previous ATH.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Impulse
Silver Unfolds A New Impulse Within 5th WaveSilver is moving higher as expected, pushing even beyond 39, but since the market also broke to new highs, it’s clear that higher degree wave four is finished as a flat correction back at 36.20, so be aware of even further continuation higher into wave five while makret trades above 39. We need five subwaves now in this blue wave 5 cycle, so more gains can follow after some intraday setbacks. But keep in mind that we are in the final leg of the higher-degree fifth wave impulse that could come to an end around 42/43 this year.
EURGBP Steps Into A New Intraday Five-Wave Bullish ImpulseEURGBP has been moving in line with expectations over the past couple of weeks. After completing a projected higher-degree abc correction in wave B, it now appears that EURGBP has entered a new intraday five-wave bullish impulse, which could drive the price back toward the July highs.
Yesterday, we identified a lower-degree abc pullback in wave (ii). Since then, the pair has been trading nicely higher within wave (iii) of “iii.” This suggests further upside potential, though traders should remain cautious of a possible subwave (iv) pullback before the move continues.
Ebay Extends The Rally; Pointing To 100 AreaEbay Extends The Rally within an impulse, which can push the price up to 100 area from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
Ebay is extending strongly higher after beating earnings at the end of July, which we see it as a wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Currently it can be trading in subwave (5) of 3 that can stop around 100 area, and from where we may see a new corrective pullback in wave 4, as eBay executives sell shares worth over 5.5million. So soon watch out for a new higher degree wave 4 pullback before the bullish trend for wave 5 resumes.
A bullish impulse in Elliott Wave Theory is a five-wave upward movement showing strong trend momentum. Wave 1 starts the advance, Wave 2 corrects part of it, Wave 3 is the longest and most powerful leg, Wave 4 consolidates without overlapping Wave 1, and Wave 5 is the final push before a larger correction. The key rules are: Wave 2 never fully retraces Wave 1, Wave 3 is never the shortest, and Wave 4 doesn’t enter Wave 1’s price zone. This pattern reflects shifting market psychology from early accumulation to final optimism.
Is Gold (XAUUSD) finally ready to rally?Gold has been in a corrective phase since April 2025. The broader complex correction or triangle formation now appears to be complete, and a high-probability bullish signal is emerging.
On the 1-hour chart, a clear 5-wave impulsive pattern has unfolded. I expect one more pullback to complete a 3-wave corrective move for Wave 2, ideally retracing toward the prior Wave 4 zone.
If this scenario plays out, it would provide a high-conviction entry ahead of a potential Wave 3 extension.
However, if price continues its current momentum and closes above $3,390 (the end of Wave 1), I’ll consider that Wave 2 may already be complete, in which case I would look to enter on confirmation of breakout strength (strong RSI reading).
Corrective Dip or New Downtrend on the S&P 500 Futures?🟣 1. Impulses vs. Corrections – The Classical View
When price trends, it doesn't move in a straight line. Instead, it alternates between directional movements called impulses and counter-directional pauses or retracements known as corrections. Most analysts define an impulse as a sharp, dominant move in the direction of the trend—typically accompanied by rising volume and momentum indicators. Corrections, on the other hand, tend to be slower, overlapping, and often occur with declining volume.
Common methods to identify impulses vs. corrections include:
Swing structure: Higher highs and higher lows suggest impulse; overlapping lows suggest correction.
Fibonacci retracements: Corrections often retrace up to 61.8% of a prior impulse.
Moving averages: Price above a rising MA is often viewed as impulse territory.
Volume analysis and oscillators such as RSI or MACD are used to confirm price behavior.
Despite the abundance of methods, the distinction between impulses and corrections often remains subjective. That’s where the Directional Movement Index (DMI) provides an objective lens—especially when paired with price action.
🟣 2. Rethinking Impulses with the DMI Indicator
The Directional Movement Index (DMI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, offers a quantitative way to assess the strength and direction of price movement. It breaks down market activity into three components:
+DMI (Positive Directional Movement Index): Measures the strength of upward movements.
−DMI (Negative Directional Movement Index): Measures the strength of downward movements.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Quantifies overall trend strength but is optional in this discussion.
The key to applying DMI lies in the crossover between +DMI and -DMI:
When +DMI > -DMI, upward price moves dominate—suggesting bullish impulses.
When −DMI > +DMI, downward moves dominate—suggesting bearish impulses.
Calculation is based on a comparison of successive highs and lows over a specific lookback period—commonly set to 14 or 20 periods.
While EMAs track trend direction and momentum, DMI helps dissect who’s in control. This makes it a powerful filter when evaluating whether a breakdown or breakout is likely to become an impulsive trend—or just another correction in disguise.
🟣 3. Case Study – Two Breakdowns, Two Outcomes
Let’s apply this logic to two recent moments on the E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) daily chart.
🔹 Feb 21, 2025 Breakdown
Price broke sharply below the 20-period EMA. At first glance, this looked like a potential trend reversal. The DMI confirmed this suspicion: −DMI surged above +DMI, signaling downside impulses were in control. The market followed through with a clear downtrend, confirming the move was not just a pullback—it was a shift in market structure.
🔹 Aug 1, 2025 Breakdown
A similar sharp break below the 20 EMA just occurred again. However, this time +DMI remains above −DMI, despite the bearish price action. This divergence tells a different story: the breakdown may not be impulsive in nature. Instead, it's likely a corrective dip within a broader uptrend, where buyers are still the dominant force.
This is a textbook example of how a moving average crossover without DMI confirmation can mislead traders. By combining these tools, we’re able to make more informed decisions about whether price action is signaling a true shift—or just a pause.
🟣 4. CME Product Specs – ES vs. MES
Traders can express directional views on the S&P 500 using two primary CME futures contracts: the E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) and the Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES). Both track the same underlying index but differ in size, capital requirement, and tick value.
✅ E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES)
Symbol: ES
Contract Size: $50 x S&P 500 Index
Tick Size: 0.25 index points
Tick Value: $12.50
Initial Margin: Approximately $21,000 (varies by broker and through time)
Market Hours: Nearly 24/6
✅ Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES)
Symbol: MES
Contract Size: $5 x S&P 500 Index
Tick Size: 0.25 index points
Tick Value: $1.25
Initial Margin: Approximately $2,100 (varies by broker and through time)
The Micro contract provides access to the same market structure, liquidity, and price movement as the E-mini, but with a fraction of the exposure—making it ideal for smaller accounts or more precise position sizing.
🟣 5. Risk Management Matters
Understanding whether a market move is impulsive or corrective isn’t just academic—it’s the difference between positioning with the dominant flow or fighting it. Traders often get trapped by sharp moves that appear trend-defining but are simply noise or temporary pullbacks.
Using tools like DMI to confirm whether directional strength supports price action provides a layer of risk filtration. It prevents overreaction to every EMA crossover or sudden price drop.
Stop-loss orders become vital in both impulsive and corrective conditions. In impulsive environments, stops help lock in profits while protecting from reversals. In corrective phases, they act as circuit breakers against breakouts that fail.
Moreover, knowing the product you're trading is critical:
A single ES contract controls ~$320,000 of notional value.
An MES contract controls ~$32,000.
This disparity means poor sizing on ES can magnify errors, while proper sizing on MES can offer flexibility to test, scale, and hedge with tighter capital control.
Whether you're reacting to price or preparing for continuation, risk management is the only constant. It’s what turns analysis into disciplined execution.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NIKE Confirms A Bullish Reversal With An Impulsive RecoveryWe talked about Nike on July 10 with our members, where we mentioned and highlighted a completed higher degree ABC correction in wave IV on the monthly and weekly charts.
Today we want to represent a closer view, as we see a five-wave impulsive recovery away from the lows on a daily chart. It actually confirms the bottom and bullish reversal, but since it can be trading in 5th wave that can stop around 80-85 area, we should be aware of a three-wave corrective setback soon. It can slow down the price back to the open GAP, so ideal buy zone is in the 70-60 area. Invalidation level is at 52.
Highlights:
Direction: Up, but watch out for a correction
Structure: Impulse, Wave 5 in final stages
Support: 70 / 60
META Slows Down For A Correction Within UptrendMeta has seen a strong recovery recently, but barely retested February highs around 740, from where we can see some nice pullback, but it appears corrective, since it’s unfolding in three waves, and forming a potential bull flag — likely wave 4. A breakout above the downward channel on a daily close could signal the start of wave 5 and a push to new highs.
However, keep a close eye on the 666.1; a break below this level would invalidate the bullish view and suggest a deeper consolidation phase may follow.
Highlights:
Direction: Up (pending breakout)
Structure: Wave 4 bull flag; wave 5 possible soon
Support: 680 / 690
Acet Token will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Acet Token. Looking at the recent price action, we can see a clear narrative unfolding. The asset initially formed a large wedge pattern, experiencing a trend reversal that led to a breakdown and a period of prolonged consolidation within a defined range between the buyer zone around 0.0580 and the upper boundary. Recently, however, the market showed a strong impulse, breaking out of this range and decisively moving upwards. Currently, the price of act is testing the key resistance level at 0.0755, an area historically defined as a seller zone. The hypothesis is that after this powerful impulse, the asset will manage to break and hold above this resistance. A successful retest of the 0.0755 level would likely signal a continuation of the uptrend, paving the way towards our specified take-profit targets. The first goal is set at TP 1 at 0.0860, with a further extension to TP 2 at 0.0960, capitalizing on the anticipated bullish momentum. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
GateChain Slows Down Within An Impulsive Bullish TrendGateChain with ticker GTUSD came slightly lower, but we still see it trading in a higher degree wave »iv« correction that can resume the bullish trend for wave »v«. It can be actually finishing final subwave (c) of a three-wave (a)(b)(c) corrective decline, so keep an eye on strong support here at the former wave (iv) swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement. If we get sharp rebound and impulsive rise back above channel resistance line near 20 bullish confirmation level, then we can easily expect further rally within final wave »v« of 5 this year, which can push the price even up to 35 – 40 target area.
BTC- New Impulse Soon You Can See read captionbitcoin (BTC) – Bullish Outlook
Price action breaking above key resistance, signaling potential trend continuation
Strong volume supports the move, confirming buyer strength
Higher highs and higher lows forming—classic bullish market structure
RSI and MACD both showing bullish divergence
Next target zone: TSXV:XX ,XXX – watch for consolidation or breakout
Overall sentiment shifting positive with macro tailwinds
BTC - New Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been bullish, trading within the rising channel marked in orange. 🟧
In a typical trend, corrections are usually bearish. 🔻
However, in BTC’s case, the correction phases marked in red are flat — a strong signal that the bulls are in control 💪 and not allowing the bears to trigger a classic pullback.
As long as BTC holds within the rising orange channel, we expect the next impulse phase to kick off soon 🚀 — aiming for the $115,000 round number. 🎯
This move will be confirmed once BTC breaks above the current flat correction zone marked in red. ✅
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
NIFTY Resumes Its Bullish TrendHello traders! Today we will talk about an Indian stock market exchange NIFTY 50, as we see nice and clean pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective.
As you can see, NIFTY is in an impulsive bullish rise on the weekly basis, which looks like a higher degree wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse by Elliott wave theory.
After recent corrective slowdown in subwave (4), which perfectly tested channel support line and 38,2% Fibonacci retracement, we can now see it extending even higher, ideally for subwave (5) of a higher degree wave 3 that can push the price even up to 28k-30k area this year, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Can Be Unfolding A Bullish ImpulseBlackRock's Bitcoin ETF with ticker IBIT made a massive rally in 2024, which can be wave 3 of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse. Despite the recent decline at the beginning of 2025, it's still above 42 invalidation level, and as long as it's above that level, it can be wave 4 correction, so we may still see that 5th wave this year.
The Elliott Wave Principle is a form of technical analysis that identifies patterns in market movements. A bullish impulsive wave is one of the most important and common wave structures in an uptrend. It describes how prices typically move in the direction of the main trend. A bullish impulsive wave consists of five waves labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
EURUSD - Trade The Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red.
Currently, EURUSD is retesting the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the $1.12 is a strong weekly supply zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and supply.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Ripple May Face Another Rally This YearRipple with ticker XRPUSD hit all-time highs for the final blue wave V as expected, so we should be aware of limited upside this year. However, despite recent slowdown, which we see it as an ABC correction within red subwave (IV), there can still be room for another rally this year, at least up to 4-5 area to complete final subwave (V) of V of an impulse on a daily chart.
Cable Is Trading Impulsively HigherCable is making a very nice and strong extension higher on the 4-hour time frame, so it appears to be impulsive. We should be aware of further upside, especially as the market has broken out of a base channel, which typically happens within wave three of three.
In fact price is now even higher after a triangle in wave four so wave 5 of red (3) is in progress as expected, but it can target 1.32, so be aware of a new red higher degree wave (4) correction before the bullish trend for wave (5) resumes. Ideal support is at 1.29 – 1.28 area.
World Index Shows 5Th Wave Is Still MissingWorld Index ETF with ticker TSX:XWD has extended its rally for 261,8% Fibonacci retracement, which is ideal zone for wave 3, so current slow down can be just a higher degree ABC correction in wave 4. It’s now testing interesting and important textbook support at the former wave 4 swing low and 38,2% Fibonacci support area, from where we may see a bullish resumption for wave 5 this year. Invalidation level is at 90.