DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal.
Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in.
If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63.
But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport.
Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
Index
Is the Nasdaq a Bubble? A Technical Correction Is PossibleCME_MINI:NQ1!
Here’s a breakdown of the current Nasdaq correction scenarios based on the Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) chart.
Every time I reached the top of the channel, an adjustment came out.
Based on the monthly chart, it has closed positively for six consecutive months since the tariff reduction, and it is judged to have entered the overbought zone by breaking through the upper Bollinger Band.
While a Santa Rally could still occur in Q4, we expect a short-term correction within one to two weeks.
Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀
I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy!
📈 Setup Summary
Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash)
📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀
🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”:
💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage!
🔹 Sample Limit Layers:
• 97.800
• 98.000
• 98.200
(💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!)
🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone”
👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer!
💰 Target Zone (TP):
🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely
💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes!
⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅
🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning
✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure
✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈
✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually
✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack
🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs)
Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍
💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY
💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation
💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY
🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY
💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY
💡 Key Tip:
When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭
⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers
👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs):
I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼
You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭
This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠
Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun
#DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
EURNZD finding support at the daily 20SMASimilar to the previous 2 posts regarding GBP pairs, EURNZD is currently riding support at the daily 20SMA (overlayed on this 1H chart). The hourly RSI is also indicating this pair is oversold. RBNZ is expected to cut interest rate tomorrow by another 25 basis points which could be the catalyst to realizing this potential bullish move. Recent weakness in the NZD came after the latest interest rate cut, and if further dovish comments follow the interest rate decision tomorrow, this pair could retest the 2.03xx high hit in late September.
How to Use The Relative Strength Index (RSI) in TradingViewMaster RSI using TradingView’s charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used momentum indicators in technical analysis. It helps traders identify potential overbought and oversold conditions, spot divergences, and confirm the strength of trends.
What You’ll Learn:
Understanding RSI: a momentum oscillator plotted from 0 to 100
Key thresholds: how readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions and below 30 suggest oversold conditions
Why RSI signals are not automatic buy/sell triggers, and how strong trends can keep RSI extended for long periods
Spotting bullish and bearish price divergences
Using RSI to confirm trends
How to add RSI on TradingView via the Indicators menu
Understanding the default inputs and how changing them affects the indicator
Example on the E-mini S&P 500 futures: how RSI dipping below 30 and crossing back above can highlight momentum shifts
Combining RSI with other analysis for better confirmation
Practical applications across multiple timeframes, from intraday trading to swing setups
This tutorial will benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate RSI into their trading strategies.
The concepts covered may help you identify momentum shifts, potential reversal points, and confirmation of trend strength across different markets
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting.
When will Microsoft (MSFT) close its monthly gap?NASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft (MSFT) saw a 7% gap up following its earnings report in May.
To fill this gap, the stock would need to drop about 28.59% from its high, or 23.33% from the current level.
Historically, gaps on the monthly chart have eventually been filled, so it’s reasonable to assume that this one might be as well in the long term.
However, given that MSFT is one of the top three companies by market capitalization, a decline of more than 20% would likely trigger a broader correction across the Nasdaq index.
Therefore, this potential gap fill should not be seen merely as an individual stock event, but rather as part of a broader market correction scenario.
Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀
I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
US30 -Dow Jones Industrial Average Technical Analysis & ForecastCurrent Price: 46,785.30 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 46,785.30, showing consolidation near all-time highs. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bullish trend with caution signals emerging on shorter timeframes. Key resistance at 47,000-47,200 zone presents a critical decision point for continuation versus correction.
Bottom Line: Bullish bias remains intact on daily/weekly charts, but intraday traders should watch for potential pullback to 46,500-46,300 support zone before next leg higher.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME MARKET STRUCTURE
Monthly/Weekly Context (Swing Trading)
Trend: Strong bullish momentum maintained since October 2023 lows
Elliott Wave Count: Potential Wave 5 of larger degree impulse, suggesting final push before correction
Key Levels: Major support at 45,800-46,000 (previous breakout zone); resistance at 47,200-47,500
Daily Chart Analysis
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows pattern intact
Ichimoku Cloud: Price trading above bullish cloud; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish cross active
Pattern Recognition: Ascending channel formation with upper boundary at 47,150
4-Hour Chart (Critical Timeframe)
Candlestick Patterns: Recent doji and spinning tops indicating indecision
RSI: Divergence warning - price making higher highs while RSI shows lower highs (bearish divergence)
Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent push higher suggests weakening momentum
1-Hour/30-Minute (Intraday Focus)
Microstructure: Double top formation developing at 46,850-46,900 zone
Bollinger Bands: Price touching upper band with band width expanding
VWAP: Trading 0.2% above daily VWAP (46,692) - moderately extended
TECHNICAL INDICATOR DEEP DIVE
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14):
Daily: 62 (neutral-bullish)
4H: 58 (declining from 72 two days ago)
1H: 54 (bearish divergence present)
Interpretation: Momentum cooling after recent rally; not yet oversold
Trend Indicators
Moving Averages:
20 EMA: 46,580 (immediate support)
50 EMA: 46,200 (critical support)
200 EMA: 44,800 (long-term trend support)
Golden Cross Status: Active and bullish (50 MA above 200 MA)
Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price at upper band; squeeze releasing suggests increased volatility ahead
ATR (14): 285 points (elevated) - expect 250-350 point daily ranges
Volume Analysis
Volume Weighted Average Price: 46,692
Volume Trend: Declining on up-moves (distribution warning)
Anchored VWAP: From October 1st low at 46,450 - price 0.7% above anchor
HARMONIC & PATTERN ANALYSIS
Gann Analysis
Square of 9: Next resistance at 47,088 (90° from current cycle low); support at 46,488
Gann Angles: 1x1 angle from September low projects support at 46,550
Time Cycles: October 8-10 represents potential reversal window (45-48 trading days from last pivot)
Harmonic Patterns
Potential Bat Pattern: Monitoring for completion at 46,950-47,000 (0.886 retracement level)
Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension of recent corrective wave targets 47,150
Wyckoff Analysis
Phase: Appears to be in Distribution Phase B (preliminary supply)
Spring/Shakeout Watch: False breakout above 47,000 could trigger sell-off
Elliott Wave Count
Primary Count: Wave 5 of Intermediate (3), targeting 47,400-47,800
Alternate Count: Wave B corrective triangle forming; expect breakdown if 46,500 breaks
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FRAMEWORK
Immediate Resistance Zones
46,850-46,900 - Intraday double top / psychological
47,000-47,050 - Major psychological / round number / Gann level
47,150-47,200 - Channel top / Fibonacci 1.618 / weekly pivot
47,500-47,600 - All-time high extension target
Support Zones
46,650-46,700 - VWAP / hourly demand zone
46,500-46,550 - 20 EMA / Gann 1x1 angle / pivot
46,200-46,300 - 50 EMA / gap fill / strong demand
45,800-46,000 - Daily cloud / major breakout point
TRAP SCENARIOS
Bull Trap Alert
Setup: Break above 47,000 with low volume followed by immediate reversal
Confirmation: Close below 46,800 same day with volume spike
Target: Retest 46,300-46,500 zone
Bear Trap Potential
Setup: Quick spike below 46,500 followed by rapid recovery
Confirmation: Close above 46,650 with strong volume
Target: Resume rally toward 47,200+
INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (October 4-11, 2025)
Day Trading Strategy - Scalp Setups
Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Pullback to 46,650-46,700 with bullish engulfing or hammer on 15M chart
RSI (15M) reaches 40-45 oversold region
Volume contraction during pullback, expansion on reversal
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,680-46,720
Stop Loss: 46,580 (100 points risk)
Target 1: 46,850 (130 points, 1.3:1 R/R) - scale out 50%
Target 2: 47,000 (280 points, 2.8:1 R/R) - scale out 30%
Target 3: 47,150 (430 points, 4.3:1 R/R) - let 20% run
Optimal Entry Times:
9:45-10:15 AM EST (post-opening volatility)
2:00-3:00 PM EST (afternoon momentum)
Bearish Scenario (40% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Rejection at 46,900-47,000 with bearish engulfing on 15M/30M
RSI (15M) overbought above 70
Break below 46,780 (short-term support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,760-46,800 (after break confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,920 (120-160 points risk)
Target 1: 46,650 (110-150 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 46,500 (260-300 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 46,300 (460-500 points) - trail remainder
Optimal Entry Times:
10:30-11:00 AM EST (if morning rally fails)
3:00-3:45 PM EST (late-day profit taking)
SWING TRADING PLAN (1-4 Week Horizon)
Primary Swing Setup - Bullish Continuation
Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry Zone: 46,300-46,500 (if pullback materializes)
Aggressive Entry: Current levels with 46,450 stop
Pattern: Bull flag/ascending channel continuation
Position Management:
Entry: 46,400 (scale in 30% at 46,500, 40% at 46,400, 30% at 46,300 if available)
Stop Loss: 46,100 (300 points, daily close below)
Target 1: 47,200 (700-800 points) - reduce 40%
Target 2: 47,800 (1,300-1,400 points) - reduce 30%
Target 3: 48,500 (2,000+ points) - trail with 50 EMA
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
Confidence Level: 65%
Alternative Swing Setup - Mean Reversion Short
Activation Criteria:
Daily close below 46,500 with volume above 20-day average
RSI daily breaks below 50
Break of ascending trendline from September
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,450-46,500 (after confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,850 (350-400 points)
Target 1: 46,000 (450-500 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 45,600 (850-900 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 45,200 (1,250-1,300 points) - trail remainder
Timeframe: 1-3 weeks
Confidence Level: 35% (lower probability setup)
WEEKLY ROADMAP (October 4-11)
Monday-Tuesday (Oct 6-7):
Expected Range: 46,500-47,100
Bias: Neutral to bullish - watch for pullback completion
Key Level: 46,700 (holding above maintains bullish structure)
Wednesday-Thursday (Oct 8-9):
Gann Time Window: Potential reversal period
Strategy: Reduce position size; let patterns develop
Watch: Economic data releases could spike volatility
Friday (Oct 10):
Weekly Close: Critical for swing positioning
Bullish Confirmation: Close above 46,850
Bearish Warning: Close below 46,600
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES
Position Sizing
Intraday: Risk 0.5-1% of capital per trade
Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade
Max Portfolio Heat: 4-5% across all positions
Key Risk Levels
Invalidation Point (Bulls): Daily close below 46,100
Invalidation Point (Bears): Daily close above 47,300
Correlation Monitoring
Watch US10Y yields (inverse correlation currently strong)
S&P 500 and Nasdaq leading/lagging analysis
Dollar Index impact on risk appetite
MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS
Macroeconomic Considerations
Federal Reserve policy stance remains influential
Q3 earnings season beginning - watch corporate guidance
Geopolitical tensions requiring monitoring (Middle East, US-China)
Sentiment Indicators
VIX below 15 suggests complacency - potential volatility spike risk
Put/Call ratios showing neutral sentiment
Institutional flows appear distributive near highs
Seasonal Patterns
October historically volatile (correction risk)
Year-end rally potential if correction occurs early month
FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
For Intraday Traders:
Best Setup: Wait for pullback to 46,650-46,700 for low-risk long entries
Avoid: Chasing above 46,900 without confirmation
Focus Timeframes: 15-minute and 1-hour charts for entries; 5-minute for exits
For Swing Traders:
Patience Required: Current levels are extended; wait for 46,300-46,500 zone
Alternative: Small position at current levels with very tight stops (46,650)
Best Risk/Reward: Appears in the 46,300-46,400 region
Overall Market Outlook:
Bullish bias maintained with 60-65% probability of testing 47,200+ in coming 2-3 weeks. However, near-term consolidation or shallow pullback (5-7%) is healthy and would provide better entry opportunities. The combination of weakening momentum indicators and potential Gann time reversal window suggests patience will be rewarded.
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTES
FOMO Warning: Resist urge to chase at current elevated levels
Discipline: Stick to predefined entry zones even if price continues higher
Flexibility: Be ready to flip bias if key levels break (46,100 bears / 47,300 bulls)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Next Update: October 7, 2025 (Mid-week review with refined levels)
Analysis combines multiple technical methodologies for comprehensive market perspective. No single indicator should be used in isolation. Confluence of signals increases probability of success.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) OutlookThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a major corrective structure after topping out in 2022. On the monthly chart, price action suggests we are in the final stages of a Wave II correction, with a potential bottom forming around key Fibonacci retracement levels.
The correction appears to be forming a WXY/ABC structure, with wave c in progress.
Price is currently within the 0.618 – 0.786 retracement zone of the prior impulse.
The long term ascending channel from 2008 lows remains intact, with support aligning around this Fib cluster.
A bullish reaction from this zone could trigger the beginning of Wave III, which historically is strong and impulsive.
Invalidation: Sustained break below 87.00 would weaken the bullish count
Targets:
1 = 132.91
2 = 141.88
If this count holds, DXY could be setting up for a multi-year bullish cycle, suggesting that the dollar may regain strength in the coming years, impacting major USD pairs across the board.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
S&P500: More Upside Likely Before PullbackThe North American Mass Index kicked off the new week with some momentum, extending its climb within the ongoing magenta wave (3). For now, we anticipate this upward trend could continue before reaching a new high. Afterward, we expect a pullback as part of the subsequent wave (4), likely bringing the index into the magenta long Target Zone between 6,283 and 5,781 points. In our view, this price range offers attractive opportunities for long positions, as wave (5) is expected to follow—potentially pushing the index significantly higher and completing the larger blue wave (III). To protect newly established long positions, a stop can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the Target Zone.
Market Mood Turns Sour as Nifty Slips Below 25KThe Nifty 50 ended its three-week winning streak with a sharp fall of ~2.6% , slipping below the crucial 25,000 psychological mark .
What Triggered the Decline?
● Global headwinds weighed on sentiment as trade tensions resurfaced, hurting risk appetite across equity markets.
● Domestic pressures coupled with persistent selling by foreign investors added to the weakness.
● Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth over ₹5,500 crore during the week.
● Concerns around a potential change in U.S. H-1B visa norms spooked the IT sector, a key driver of Indian exports.
Technical Backdrop
● The index has now fallen for 7 straight sessions , showing clear downward momentum.
● Immediate support: 24,400–24,500 zone. A break below this could drag the index toward the 23,900–24,000 strong support zone.
● Resistance levels: After slipping below the 25,000 mark, this level will now act as an immediate resistance. Strong resistance is placed at 25,400–25,500.
Market Outlook
With global uncertainties and foreign outflows, cautiousness and volatility are likely to dominate sentiment heading into October.
Strategy for Traders & Investors
● Maintain strict stop-loss discipline and manage position sizing carefully in this environment.
● For short-term traders: watch the 24,400–24,500 support zone for signs of reversal or breakdown.
● For investors: remain selective, focus on quality stocks, and avoid chasing momentum until stability returns.
GER40: 24K FORTRESS UNDER SIEGE! European Bull Run 🚀 GER40: 24K FORTRESS UNDER SIEGE! European Bull Run 📊
Current Price: 23,763.00 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰
📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days)
🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 23,720 - 23,780 📍
Stop Loss: 23,650 🛑
Target 1: 23,920 🎯
Target 2: 24,080 🚀
🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 23,800 - 23,850 📍
Stop Loss: 23,920 🛑
Target 1: 23,600 🎯
Target 2: 23,450 📉
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS:
RSI (14): 63.7 ⚡ Bullish Territory Hold
Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Test 🔥
VWAP: 23,740 - Critical Pivot 💪
EMA 20: 23,680 ✅ Strong Uptrend Base
Volume: Above Average Flow 📊
🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave: Wave 3 Impulse Active 🌊
Fibonacci Extension: 24,200 Target 🎯
🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS:
Bullish Gartley Completion at 23,650 ✨
Cypher Pattern PRZ Active 🔄
⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)
🚀 BULLISH TARGETS:
Psychological: 24,000 🏆
Weekly Resistance: 24,150 🌙
Gann Square: 24,300 ⭐
📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION:
Weekly Support: 23,500 ⚠️
Critical Break: 23,300 🚨
🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE:
Trend: Ascending Channel 💪
Momentum: Building Steam 🔥
Wyckoff Phase: Mark-up Active 📈
Ichimoku: Bullish Breakout 🟢
🏰 24K FORTRESS BATTLE:
Resistance Cluster: 23,950-24,050 ⚔️
Volume Spike Needed: Above 24,000 💥
Breakout Confirmation: 24,080 hold 🔓
⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk per Trade: 1.2% 🛡️
R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:2.5 ⚖️
European Session: Prime Trading 📏
🌍 EUROPEAN CATALYSTS:
ECB Policy Supporting Growth 🏛️
German Economic Data Resilient 📈
Export Sector Momentum Strong 🚢
🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS:
Breakout: 23,850 decisive close 💥
Support: 23,700 | 23,620 | 23,500 🛡️
Resistance: 23,900 | 24,000 | 24,150 🚧
🎯 FINAL VERDICT:
DAX storming toward 24K BREAKTHROUGH! 🚀
European strength driving momentum! 💪
Bull channel intact - trend your friend! 📈
Trade Management: Buy dips to VWAP support 💎
Key Battle: 24K psychological fortress! 🏰
---
⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risk. Use proper position sizing. Educational content only.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
🔔 Follow European Markets | 💬 Share Your DAX 24K Strategy
US100 M30 – Sideway at the Top - Short OpportunityThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index has experienced a strong upward move on the 30-minute chart, pushing price to a new high around the 24,800 – 24,850 zone. However, recently, price has been moving sideways within a narrow range, forming a consolidation phase near this key resistance area. This sideways action signals a potential short-term correction or trend reversal.
📉Technical Analysis:
Current Sideways Zone: Price is consolidating between approximately 24,800 and 24,850, repeatedly testing this resistance but failing to break through decisively.
Key Support Level: The 24,650 – 24,700 zone is acting as critical support, holding price during this consolidation.
Support Break Signal: A close below the 24,650 – 24,700 support range would confirm the start of a downtrend and signal a likely bearish move.
📊 Trading Plan
Sell on Support Break: If price closes below the 24,650 – 24,700 support zone, consider entering a short position targeting the next strong support area near 24,400 – 24,350 .
Sell on Retest of Sideways Zone:
After breaking support, if price pulls back to retest the sideways zone (24,800 – 24,850) and shows bearish rejection signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing), this provides a good opportunity to enter or add to short positions.
⚠️Risk Management:
Stop-loss: Place above the sideways resistance area, around 24,860 – 24,870 , to avoid false breakouts.
Take profit: Consider partial profit-taking near 24,650 – 24,700 and final targets around 24,400 – 24,350.
Wait for Confirmation: Avoid entering trades without clear support breaks or bearish rejection signals to minimize risk.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
S&P500: Flash dump continues, short bias remains!
📝 1. Market Context
BLUEBERRY:SP500 Yesterday’s analysis highlighted the weakness after the market failed at resistance. Today, that scenario was confirmed with a flash dump and a sequence of strong red candles, signaling sellers remain firmly in control. The short-term structure continues to print lower highs and lower lows, which clearly reflects the dominance of the bearish trend.
🟥 2. Resistance Zone
The 6,651 – 6,658 area (red zone on the chart) continues to act as a critical resistance. This zone is reinforced by 4 levels of resistance combined with moving averages (MA). Moreover, the latest bounce is still contained within a large red candle, signaling that buyers lack the strength to shift momentum.
Each time price tested this zone, it faced strong rejection. As long as the market trades below this red zone, the dominant trend remains bearish.
📉 3. Bearish Trend & Downside Targets
Currently, the market has confirmed the bearish trend by consistently forming lower highs. This is already the third bearish leg since the downtrend began – and according to wave logic, the third leg often turns out to be the strongest one, provided resistance at 6,658 holds.
• Immediate target: 6,629 – 6,615 (a key support cluster that previously rejected price).
• If broken: selling pressure could push the market further down toward 6,578 and even 6,560 – both strong technical and psychological support levels.
✅ 4. Conclusion
The S&P500 has confirmed its bearish trend with a flash dump. The 6,651 – 6,658 area remains the critical resistance, and as long as price stays below this zone, sellers have the upper hand. The bearish scenario remains valid with the first target at 6,629 – 6,615, and if this support fails, the move could extend toward 6,578 – 6,560.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥
Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦
Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨
📈 Entry: The Break-In
Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels:
98.00 💸
98.20 💸
98.40 💸
98.60 💸
Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊.
Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨.
🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route
Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️.
Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️.
Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥.
🎯 Target: The Getaway
Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out!
Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃♂️💨.
🧠 Why This Heist?
The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡:
Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍.
Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉.
Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰.
⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp!
News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫.
Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️.
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GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast📊🇩🇪 GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook
Asset Class: GER40 CFD (DAX40)
Current Close: 23,675.1 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Technical Setup
🕯 Candlesticks: Strong rejection tails at resistance, suggesting supply pressure.
🌊 Elliott Waves: Market in corrective wave phase after strong rally.
📐 Harmonics: Possible Bearish Gartley forming near 23,950 zone.
📊 Wyckoff: Distribution signs emerging after extended markup.
📏 Gann Angles: 23,800 key pivot (time & price convergence).
☁️ Ichimoku: Price testing Kijun resistance; cloud support below 23,400.
📈 Indicators
💪 RSI (H1): 65 – nearing overbought zone.
📉 RSI (Daily): Neutral → potential downside risk.
🎯 Bollinger Bands: Pinching – volatility expansion expected.
⚖️ VWAP (Weekly): 23,520 – magnet level.
📊 MA Cross: Short-term EMA threatening bearish crossover.
⏱ Intraday Outlook
🕒 Key Levels:
🟢 Buy Zone: 23,420 – 23,480 (bounce setup).
🔴 Sell Zone: 23,800 – 23,950 (rejection expected).
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 23,720 → 23,840 → 23,950
Downside: 23,520 → 23,400 → 23,250
⚡ Bias: Range-bound with bearish tilt near highs.
📆 Swing Trading Outlook
🟢 Swing Buy Entry: 23,200 – 23,300 (strong demand zone).
🎯 Upside Swing Targets: 23,850 → 24,100 → 24,350
🔴 Swing Sell Entry: 23,900 – 24,050 (supply area).
🎯 Downside Swing Targets: 23,400 → 23,050 → 22,750
📉 Bias: Bearish divergence forming – possible correction if 23,900 rejects.
🌐 Market Context
⚠️ Eurozone slowdown + ECB policy risks may cap upside.
📊 US indices correlation → keep an eye on US500/NAS100.
🛢 Energy price spikes = potential drag on DAX industries.
📝 Trading Plan
✔️ Intraday traders: Sell rallies into 23,800–23,950 🔻
✔️ Swing traders: Accumulate near 23,200–23,300 🟢
✔️ Manage risk: Always place tight stops below support or above resistance.
🔥 Conclusion:
DAX40 (GER40) faces stiff resistance at 23,900. Intraday range traders can fade extremes, while swing traders prepare for a correction towards 23,200 support before the next big move.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
US500 (S&P500) Projection📊 US500 (S&P500) Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉
Asset Class: US500 CFD (SPX, SPY, S&P500)
Current Closing Price: 6,661.8 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Market Overview
The S&P500 remains highly volatile as it consolidates near all-time highs. Both bullish continuation and reversal traps are emerging.
We integrate Elliott Wave 🌊, Ichimoku ☁️, Gann 🔺, and VWAP 📏 tools to frame trade setups.
⚡ Intraday Technical Levels
Immediate Support: 6,635 – 6,610 🟢
Key Resistance: 6,690 – 6,725 🔴
VWAP Zones: Anchored support at 6,628 📏
RSI: Neutral (52) → room to swing both sides 📈📉
🎯 Intraday Trade Ideas
Buy (Scalp): 6,620 – 6,635 🛒
Target: 6,670 → 6,690 🚀
Stop Loss: Below 6,600 ❌
Sell (Scalp): 6,690 – 6,710 🛑
Target: 6,645 → 6,625 📉
Stop Loss: Above 6,730 ❌
⏳ Swing Trading Outlook
Swing Support: 6,580 – 6,520 📉
Major Resistance: 6,750 – 6,820 🚀
Ichimoku Cloud: Bullish bias (daily/weekly) ☁️
Wave Count: Elliott suggests Wave 4 consolidation before Wave 5 breakout 🌊
🎯 Swing Trade Ideas
Buy (Swing): 6,580 – 6,600 🛒
Target: 6,720 → 6,800 🚀
Stop Loss: 6,520 ❌
Sell (Swing): 6,750 – 6,820 🛑
Target: 6,640 → 6,600 📉
Stop Loss: 6,860 ❌
📐 Pattern Watchlist
⚠️ Potential Bull Trap: Above 6,725 – rejection zone
⚠️ Head & Shoulders risk: Breakdown below 6,580
📏 Gann Levels: Time cycle indicates critical reversal window next week
☁️ Ichimoku Twist: Signals momentum shift by month-end
📌 Strategy Recap
🎯 Intraday Bias: Range trade → watch VWAP flips 📊
📈 Swing Bias: Bullish above 6,600, bearish below 6,580 🔑
⏳ Patience Key: Avoid chasing breakouts without volume confirmation 📉📊
🧭 Conclusion
The US500 (S&P500) is at a make-or-break zone.
✅ Buy dips near 6,600
❌ Sell rallies into 6,750 – 6,820
🔮 Expect volatility as macro events drive direction
📊 Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and adapt quickly 🚀📉
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX/US30
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
DXY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in a
Downtrend and the
Index made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 97.200
So we are bearish biased
And we think that a
Further price decline is
Likely to happen
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NAS100 Forecast & Projection📊 NAS100 Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 (11th Sept 2025)
🕵️ Market Context
NAS100 closed at 24,096.
Global equities remain volatile due to inflation, Fed policy outlook, and tech earnings season.
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Bullish.
Swing sentiment: Bullish while above 23,500 key support.
🧩 Technical Framework
Candlesticks: Bullish engulfing spotted on H4, suggesting buyers defend 23,800 zone.
Elliott Wave: Current move resembles Wave 3 extension with corrective pullbacks near 23,750–23,900.
Wyckoff: Distribution signs absent, market in late accumulation.
Gann Analysis: 24,200–24,250 forms a key resistance square.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo (H4/D1), bullish confirmation if 24,300 breaks.
Support/Resistance:
Major Support: 23,500 / 23,750
Major Resistance: 24,300 / 24,750
📈 Indicators Snapshot
RSI (H1): 58 → room to climb before overbought.
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band → momentum bullish, risk of overextension.
VWAP (D1): Holding above daily VWAP → bullish bias intraday.
MA Cross: 50 EMA > 200 EMA (Golden Cross) → swing uptrend intact.
⚡ Intraday Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,820 – 23,900 (pullback entry).
🎯 Targets: 24,150 / 24,300 / 24,450.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,700.
⚠️ Bear Trap Alert: A dip under 23,800 with quick rebound signals strong accumulation.
🌀 Swing Trading Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,500 – 23,700.
🎯 Medium-Term Targets: 24,600 / 25,000 / 25,500.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,300 (weekly close).
📌 If 24,750 breaks → bullish continuation toward 25,800.
❗ If 23,500 breaks → swing bias shifts bearish to 22,800.
📊 Pattern Watch
🦅 Head & Shoulders invalidated (bullish continuation favored).
🦋 Harmonic Bullish Gartley forming near 23,750 (PRZ zone).
🚨 Watch for Bull Trap above 24,300 → confirmation needed before chasing longs.
🧭 Final Outlook
Intraday Bias: Buy dips toward 23,820–23,900.
Swing Bias: Accumulate above 23,500 for 25,000+.
Market remains buy-the-dip mode while above 23,500.
Risk management 🔑: Keep SL tight as volatility persists.
💡 NAS100 traders should balance intraday momentum with swing accumulation zones. The broader structure favors upside continuation, but resistance at 24,300 must break cleanly for momentum to sustain.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
US100 Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keep trading in
A strong uptrend and
The index is now trying
To breakout the key
Horizontal level of 23,940
So IF the breakout is
Confirmed we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.






















