Global Market InsightsGlobal Market Insights
Introduction
The world economy has never been as connected as it is today. A single headline in New York can influence stock prices in Mumbai, a factory shutdown in China can disrupt supply chains in Europe, and a currency decision in Tokyo can ripple across the global financial system. This interconnectedness is what we call the global market—a dynamic web of trade, finance, investment, and technology that links countries, businesses, and consumers.
Understanding global market insights means going beyond numbers and charts. It is about recognizing patterns, decoding the interplay between economies, and anticipating the opportunities and risks that shape the world’s financial and trade environment. For businesses, it means better decision-making; for investors, it provides a roadmap; and for policymakers, it is the foundation of economic strategy.
Historical Evolution of Global Markets
Early Trade Routes
Global markets are not new—they have been evolving for centuries. Ancient trade routes like the Silk Road connected China, India, and Europe, enabling the exchange of goods, culture, and ideas. Spices, silk, and gold moved across continents, laying the foundation of international trade.
Colonial Trade
During the colonial era, European powers expanded overseas trade. Colonies became sources of raw materials, while Europe turned into the hub of global commerce. The triangular trade routes connected Africa, the Americas, and Europe, setting the stage for structured global markets.
Industrial Revolution
The 18th and 19th centuries brought industrialization, mass production, and mechanization. This created demand for global raw materials and expanded markets for finished goods. Railways, shipping, and telegraph systems made trade faster and more reliable.
Post-WWII Institutions
After the devastation of World War II, new financial institutions like the IMF, World Bank, and GATT (later WTO) were established. Their goal was to stabilize currencies, promote trade, and rebuild economies. The Bretton Woods system anchored the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
The Digital Era
The late 20th and early 21st centuries saw globalization accelerate. The internet, digital platforms, and financial technologies made cross-border trading seamless. E-commerce, digital payments, and global capital flows now define how markets operate.
Key Drivers of Global Markets
Economic Growth & GDP Trends
Growth in GDP reflects an economy’s strength. For example, India’s rapid GDP expansion makes it attractive for foreign investment, while slowdowns in Europe raise global concerns.
Central Banks & Interest Rates
Monetary policy is a powerful driver. A rate hike by the US Federal Reserve often strengthens the US dollar, affects emerging market currencies, and shifts capital flows worldwide.
Geopolitics
Conflicts, trade wars, and diplomatic relations heavily impact markets. For instance, the Russia-Ukraine war disrupted energy markets, while US-China tensions reshaped technology supply chains.
Technology & Innovation
Advancements like artificial intelligence, fintech, blockchain, and automation are creating new asset classes and transforming trade. Digital finance is reducing barriers for investors across borders.
Global Supply Chains
Modern economies depend on complex supply chains. A disruption in semiconductor production in Taiwan can stall automobile factories in Germany or the US, highlighting interdependence.
Global Market Segments
Equity Markets
Stock exchanges like NYSE, Nasdaq, London Stock Exchange, and NSE India are central to global finance. The US remains dominant, but Asia is rising fast, with China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges gaining global importance.
Bond Markets
The global bond market is even larger than equities. Sovereign bonds, like US Treasuries, are considered safe havens, while corporate bonds fund business expansion worldwide.
Currency (Forex) Markets
The foreign exchange market is the largest in the world, with daily transactions exceeding $7 trillion. The US dollar remains the dominant reserve currency, but the Euro, Yen, and increasingly the Chinese Yuan are challenging its supremacy.
Commodities
Oil, gold, copper, and agricultural goods form the backbone of commodity markets. Oil prices influence inflation, while gold is a traditional safe haven during uncertainty. Industrial metals like copper are seen as indicators of global economic health.
Alternative Assets
Cryptocurrencies, private equity, hedge funds, and real estate investments are becoming major parts of global portfolios. Bitcoin, in particular, has sparked debates about the future of decentralized money.
Regional Market Insights
United States
The US remains the world’s largest economy and financial hub. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq set global benchmarks. US Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates influence global capital flows.
Europe
The Eurozone represents a unified market but faces challenges like debt crises, energy dependency, and post-Brexit trade disruptions. Germany’s manufacturing and France’s luxury goods industries play central roles.
Asia
China, the world’s second-largest economy, has slowed down recently but still drives global trade. India is emerging as a fast-growing market, fueled by demographics, technology, and reforms. Japan continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, affecting global yen carry trades.
Emerging Markets
Countries like Brazil, South Africa, and Indonesia are resource-rich and attract investment. However, they are vulnerable to capital outflows during global crises. ASEAN nations are gaining strength through regional cooperation.
Major Trends Shaping Global Markets
Shift from West to East
Economic power is gradually shifting toward Asia, particularly China and India.
Digital Finance & Blockchain
Cryptocurrencies, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and decentralized finance (DeFi) are reshaping financial systems.
ESG & Green Investing
Investors now focus on sustainability. Companies that prioritize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards attract global capital.
Supply Chain Diversification
The pandemic exposed supply chain weaknesses. Companies are diversifying away from single-country dependence, moving toward "China+1" strategies.
De-dollarization
Several nations are exploring alternatives to the US dollar for trade settlements. The BRICS bloc is discussing new currency frameworks.
Challenges & Risks
Inflation & Stagflation: Rising global inflation threatens purchasing power and investment returns.
Geopolitical Conflicts: Wars and trade disputes disrupt supply chains and energy flows.
Climate Change: Extreme weather impacts agriculture, energy, and insurance markets.
Financial Contagion: A crisis in one country can trigger a domino effect, as seen in 2008.
Global Market Opportunities
Emerging Technologies: AI, electric vehicles, renewable energy, and biotech present trillion-dollar opportunities.
India & Southeast Asia: With growing populations and strong digital adoption, these regions attract global investors.
Africa: Resource wealth and demographic growth position Africa as the "next frontier."
Digital Trade & Fintech: Cross-border e-commerce, digital payments, and fintech innovations expand global financial access.
Future of Global Markets
The next decade is likely to witness:
A multipolar financial world where the US, China, India, and Europe share influence.
The rise of digital currencies—both private and government-issued.
Green transformation, with renewable energy and sustainability as key investment drivers.
Increased regional alliances, as countries secure supply chains and reduce dependency on single markets.
Conclusion
Global markets are the heartbeat of the interconnected world. They reflect the hopes, fears, and ambitions of billions of people, from Wall Street traders to farmers in rural Africa. Insights into these markets allow investors, businesses, and policymakers to anticipate changes, mitigate risks, and seize opportunities.
As the global economy becomes more multipolar, digitalized, and sustainability-driven, the importance of staying updated with global market insights will only grow. For anyone involved in trade, investment, or governance, understanding these dynamics is no longer optional—it is essential.
Insights
Mid-Session Market InsightsMid-Session Market Insights
In today's session, I'm closely monitoring eight different futures markets: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, Gold, Crude Oil, Euro Dollar, Yen Dollar, and Aussie Dollar.
S&P 500: We're seeing a rotational pattern within the prior day's value area and the CVA. I'm eyeing long opportunities from the prior value area low up to the high.
NASDAQ 100: The market is a bit choppy around the PVA and CVA highs, with a slight upward intraday trend. I'm staying cautious here.
Russell 2000: Also choppy, but we've got acceptance within the CVA. I'm looking for long opportunities from the CVA low, which aligns with the prior day's low.
Euro Dollar: I'm currently short from the CVA high, with the first target at the prior day's low. We've broken below the prior value area, so I'll trail this trade and see how it develops.
Yen Dollar: It’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I took a short below the CVA and prior day's low, got stopped out, but it was still a decent setup.
Aussie Dollar: I took some long positions that weren't the best setups, as it was quite choppy near the CVA high and prior day's low. Lesson learned for next time.
Crude Oil: I took a short from the CVA and PVA highs, hit my target at the low of those areas, and we’re currently hovering around that level.
Is ETH - Next 3,000?ETHUSDT – Market Insight & Price Structure
Ethereum has been shaping a falling wedge pattern over the past 2 to 3 months—a structure that typically suggests a bullish reversal. Recently, price action confirmed a breakout above the key resistance zone between $2034 and $2040, along with a clean break of the upper trendline of the wedge. These movements point to a strong bullish signal, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
Currently, Ethereum is approaching a significant resistance level around $2860. If price reaches this zone, we’ll be watching closely for confirmed reversal signals to consider a potential short/sell setup.
On the other hand, the primary bullish trend trade remains valid near the $2160–$2150 support range. A long position will only be considered upon confirmation, such as a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, market structure shift (MSS), or other trusted technical signals.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
ETH : What the Options Are Saying (Hint: Big Move Ahead)Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise.
And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit.
Let me break it down for you…
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We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit, someone — or maybe a few someones — started stacking **Call options on ETH at 1,800 and 2,200 strike prices**, all under one portfolio. That’s not random. That’s a classic **Call Spread** setup, expiring June 27, 2025.
Translation? Someone’s betting hard on ETH heading north — straight toward **$2,200**.
But here's where it gets spicy. The **Max pain** for this contract sits right at **$2,000** — currently above spot price. Yeah, we’ve seen mixed stats on whether "price gravitates" to max pain like magic. But from experience? Right before expiry, price tends to *flirt* with that level.
So here's our read:
- There's **bullish sentiment** building.
- Eyes are locked on the **$2,200 zone** — likely within the next **30–50 days**.
- BTC’s playing the same game — big interest around **$100K–$110K strikes**, same expiry.
This isn’t noise. This is signal.
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If you're tired of FOMO and want to catch the real setups before they blow up — follow. We turn complex flows into simple edge. Just actionable insights.
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📈 *Trade smart. Stay sharp.
Join the crew that reads the market — not the hype.
Trading Smarter, Not Harder: Decoding Institutional MovesThere’s an old saying in trading: “Follow the smart money.” But how do you know where the smart money is going? The answer lies not in guesswork but in data—specifically, the kind of institutional-grade data that most retail traders overlook. If you’re serious about understanding market dynamics, it’s time to dive into the world of **COT (Commitment of Traders) reports** and **options flow data** from the **CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange)**. These tools are like your personal radar, cutting through the noise to reveal what the big players are doing.
Step 1: Understanding the Big Picture – Why Market Sentiment Matters
Before we zoom into the specifics, let’s start with the basics. Markets are driven by sentiment—the collective mood of participants. When fear dominates, prices fall; when greed takes over, they rise. But here’s the catch: Retail traders often react to sentiment after it’s already priced in. By the time you see a headline screaming “Market Crashes!” or “Record Highs!”, the opportunity has likely passed.
This is where systematic analysis comes in. Instead of relying on emotions or lagging indicators, smart traders use raw data to anticipate shifts in sentiment. And two of the most powerful sources of this data are **COT reports** and **CME options flow**.
Step 2: The Commitment of Traders (COT) Report – Peering Into the Mind of Institutions
The **COT report**, published weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), provides a breakdown of positions held by different types of traders: commercial hedgers, non-commercial speculators (like hedge funds), and small retail traders. Here’s why it’s invaluable:
- **Commercial Hedgers**: These are the “smart money” players—producers and consumers who use futures markets to hedge their risk. For example, a sugar producer might sell futures contracts to lock in prices. Their actions often signal future supply and demand trends.
- **Non-Commercial Speculators**: These are the momentum-driven players who bet on price movements. Tracking their positioning helps identify potential reversals.
- **Small Traders**: Often considered the “dumb money,” their positions frequently coincide with market tops or bottoms.
By systematically analyzing the COT report, you will discover your ability to identify patterns and positioning levels of participants that signal trend reversals or the onset of corrections. Seriously, this will blow your mind! The insights you gain will be so groundbreaking that they will change your trading game forever.
Step 3: Options Flow – Real-Time Insights Into Institutional Activity
While the COT report offers a macro view, **options flow** gives you real-time insights into institutional activity. Directly through CME data feeds, you can track large block trades in options markets. Here’s why this matters:
It will take some time, observation, and comparison with price charts to learn how to uncover insights that lead to trades with a risk-reward ratio of 1:10 or even higher. This isn’t about needing to make options trades; that’s not a requirement. It’s about being able to trade the Forex market much more effectively by using entry points highlighted by options and futures market reports.
For example, over the past few weeks, the USD/JPY pair has been in a downtrend. Long before this happened, major players were accumulating positions in call options on the futures for the yen (which is equivalent to a decline in the yen). We discussed this before the drop occurred (you can easily find those analyses on our page ).
What’s remarkable is that there are many such insights available. For certain instruments (like precious metals and currency pairs), these insights appear with a certain regularity and provide excellent sentiment for opening positions or reversing positions in the opposite direction.
Step 4: Connecting the Dots – From General Trends to Specific Trades
Now that we’ve covered the tools, let’s talk about how to apply them systematically. Imagine you’re analyzing the sugar futures market (a favorite among commodity traders):
1. **Check the COT Report**: In the precious metals market, commercials are often positioned short, hedging against the risk of a decline in the underlying asset's value. When their net position hovers around zero , it typically signals a bullish trend for gold prices in the vast majority of cases.
2. **Analyze Options Flow**: when filtering options by sentiment, there are several key factors to consider:
- Size and value of the option portfolio
- Distance from the central strike (Delta)
- Time to expiration
- Appearance on the rise/fall of the underlying asset
Option portfolios with names such as vertical spread, butterfly, and condor (iVERTICAL SPREAD, IRON FLY/FLY, CONDOR/IRON CONDOR) have predictive sentiment regarding the direction of the asset's price movement. While "naked" options (PUT or CALL options) with above-average volume can signal that the price is encountering a significant obstacle at that level, leading to a potential bounce off that level (support or resistance).
3 **Combine with Retail Positions Analysis**: Look for opportunities to trade against the crowd. If retail sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, consider a bearish position, and vice versa.
This layered approach ensures you’re not just reacting to headlines but making informed decisions based on valuable data.
Step 5: Why Systematic Analysis Sets You Apart
Here’s the truth: Most traders fail because they rely on intuition rather than evidence. They chase tips, follow social media hype, or get swayed by emotional biases. But markets reward discipline and preparation. By mastering tools like COT reports and options flow, you gain a competitive edge—a deeper understanding market breath! The path of least resistance!
Remember, even seasoned professionals don’t predict every move correctly.However, having a reliable structure allows you to maximize profits from transactions, eliminate noise and unnecessary (questionable) transactions.
Final Thoughts: Your Path to Mastery
If there’s one takeaway from this article, let it be this: The best traders aren’t fortune-tellers; they’re detectives. They piece together clues from multiple sources to form a coherent picture of the market. Start with the big picture (COT reports), zoom into real-time activity (options flow), and then refine your strategy with technical analysis.
So next time you open chart, don’t just look at price. Dive into the reports/data before. Ask questions. Connect the dots. Because in the world of trading, knowledge truly is power.
What’s your experience with COT reports or options flow? Share your thoughts in the comments below—I’d love to hear how you incorporate these tools into your trading routine!
**P.S.** If you found this article helpful, consider bookmarking it for future reference.
Decoding the Yen: Strategies for the Upcoming ExpirationIn the Yen, our 'old friend' has opened a Straddle, just like he’s done several times this year. Notably, he’s picking a 5-day expiration, which is his signature move tha twe can use to track him. So, this time, the range boundaries are as shown on the chart.
Keep in mind that this is a futures contract on the Yen, not the USD/JPY forex pair. In other words, the quotes are inverted. To get what’s on the screen, you need to do 1/USDJPY.
But it’s way easier to just use the TV options and select '6JZ2024'
GOLD / Are we touching the bottom or flying up?After 2 wins in a row in 'Mind' section, I opened the 3rd position. Let's post here.
Here is what I think: Gold price almost touched the bottom of the 6-day bearish trendline. Is there a chance that the price will go up? Sure. But according to my analysis and tools, the price will go down back to 2540 again with a probability of 75%, there is a possibility that it'll go even lower, but I'll take only 150 pips down just to be more confident.
To be honest, I think that even if today's news about PPI is positive for gold, gold will still fall. It'll definitely reverse, but it must reach the bottom first.
My position: TP at 2540, my stop loss is very far to be on the safe side.
Trade safely and let's see what happens! ☕️
Looks Like Someone's Prepping for a Rocket Launch in AUD!Alright, alright, it seems like someone has seriously geared up for a rocket launch in the Australian dollar, and it’s happening in the next few days.
Looks like we might get some news dropped right after everything goes down, or maybe I’m just out of the loop.
A super aggressive portfolio, a Call Spread, popped up yesterday, and it looks like they’re still pouring in options today.
Targets for the futures are set at 0.68-0.6825. It’s like a rocket ready to go...))
What October 25th's Options Portfolio Tells Us About the YenOur analysis of options portfolios from October 25th revealed a Straddle setup on the Japanese yen futures, with a short expiration date set for November 1, 2024. Now, this isn’t exactly a rare sight for the yen; these Straddle portfolios pop up pretty regularly, especially when we’re looking at short expiration periods.
From what we've seen, in about 4 out of 5 cases, the quotes tend to hang around the Straddle boundaries and often bounce off them. A recent example? August 5th—prices hit the upper limit at 149.20 (that’s the spot quote) and then bounced back nicely, giving savvy traders a sweet opportunity to jump into a short position on the dollar with a solid risk/reward ratio.
So, what's the takeaway here? Use those Straddle boundaries to open positions in the spot/forex market. It makes sense to trade in the direction of the main trend, which means looking for a drop in the yen against the dollar when prices hit that upper boundary—check out #1 for a visual.
Now, I can hear the skeptics asking: what's the rationale behind these price movements at the Straddle boundaries? After all, a Straddle is just a straightforward strategy that involves buying volatility and betting on price movement. True, that’s the textbook definition, but it’s just scratching the surface. The real insights and "battle-tested applications" of this strategy are way more intricate than they seem.
Stay tuned for our updates, and you’ll definitely uncover the hidden meanings and value of options analysis for the everyday forex trader. Trust me, these insights can give you a real edge in the market. It’s worth your time and effort!
Gold! Will the rally continue..?As expected, gold futures were pretty much flat before the expiry of the March 24 option series, with the only notable exception being a spike in volatility after the Fed news.
And what's going on in the options market right now?
At the moment, there aren't really any interesting portfolios that show signs of insider trading in the option market. Yes, yesterday there were some pretty significant portfolios opened in growth with an underlying asset value of around $3,000 for the May series, but the logic behind their opening was pretty standard and, in our opinion, doesn't have a lot of predictive power.
Copper. The spring is compressingEvery day, we are seeing higher volumes in options, with predominantly bullish option portfolios targeting the 4.05-4.1 range. Graphically, after the data release, there is consolidation under the resistance level, which reinforces the possibility of an upcoming upside shot.
$ADA Analysis, Bulls need more push!Though $ADA performed very well during the last bull run, it lost 91% of its value and is still trading below its Daily MA 200. However, $ADA price is setting up nicely here. So let's surf the chart for what to expect in the near term,
Right now, it is trading below the immediate resistance at $0.38 while the key resistance lies on $0.42 - $0.43. Looking at the chart, breakout above the key resistance is the sweet spot (blue path) which shows a V-bottom pattern with a price target at $0.60, the next resistance. Failure to break can lead to correction below (Yellow path) so timing and patience is the key here, for either way, $ADA is brewing a good entry for both scenarios and due for a nice run off the lows.
Thanks for reading, surfin ends….
SOL AnalysisSol has been the least interesting chart for almost 2 months. After losing the support at $26 and the nasty capitulation in response to FTX collapse, it goes as low as $8 where accumulation takes place. Now It is trading just below $26, its 5 months support now turned resistance. Once broken, could be a bullish breakout, so let's surf the chart.
Crypto market looks stronger with the bounce from Bitcoin while most Altcoins like SOL are correcting on their immediate resistances. After Bitcoin runs, stronger ALTS will bounce and be bullish on SOL in the near term once $26 is reclaimed and the daily MA 200 (sitting at around $27) is recaptured. It is also a very nice confluence area with the trend line and a breakout here could give a decent re-entry, the next resistance is at $38-$40. It is also notable that this range is the accumulation/demand zone in April to July 2021 before it breaks into new all-time high.
Surfin ends…
Bitcoin Analysis; Bullish Thesis!Bitcoin rallied and found an immediate resistance at $21.3K. Now trading within the 5 month range at $18K to $25K which validates the cycle lows at 60 weeks from the highs. So is it UP from here? Definitely not. Still downtrend on Macro. But this range is very significant in my opinion to look for signs of strength and of possible reversal of a trend.
So let's surf the chart and see what's in it in the near term.
Now that BTC is way above $18.2K which is the bottom horizontal support, the hardest part is for the price to hold above it.
First, take note of Bitcoin closing above Daily MA 200 (around $19.5K) for the first time since December 2021. (Orange Circle) this also converged with the 2017 highs at $19.8K, so closing daily above $20K is a positive sign. Next stop is, where BTC could find its demand zone or support in the coming months as it slowly breaks the clearly defined resistance laid out in the chart. Two scenarios to expect in the near term as shown in Bar Pattern. (1) BTC will not go above $21.3K and consolidates below in the next coming days/weeks or (2) capture $21.3K and stop at next resistance at $22.6K then consolidates here in the next coming days/weeks OR (3) Form a possible classic Head and Shoulder Bottom, whether small or complex like the image inserted in the chart.
Till then, we follow the trend and look for validations/invalidations of this set up.
Thank you for reading and appreciating the comments, supporting ideas as well as contradicting ideas.
Surfin ends ...
Bitcoin Analysis, Impending Breakout? Almost 3 weeks since the last post, Bitcoin price remain around the mid-range at sub $16k since a major rejection at $18k level. No rally, no swing lows but went below $16.8k as expected then move sideways for weeks testing an immediate resistance at $16.9k which is an important key level in my opinion (price and time wise) considering it's a final week to cycle lows.
So let's surf the chart and dive deeper…
BTC price price held strongly at $16.2k level as shown in the chart forming a Symmetrical Triangle with an upthrust (circle) . As we can see, BTC price is creeping slowly at the apex of the triangle and just tag EMA 34 ( yellow line) near the upper trendline (white arrow). It is also the confluence area of EMA 8 and MA 50. Capturing these levels or closing above EMA 34, around $17k means it will break out from the upper trendline of the triangle pattern which can send the price back to $18k. This is bullish in the near term.
Still, $18k is the sweet spot to be bullish in the medium term.
On the negative side, if the price will be rejected in the immediate resistance and did not break out, then in the coming days, expect a test on the lower trendline at $16.3k or if it goes below, take note of the stop loss below this level and watch the price for a fake out as shown in the chart (yellow circle). Also note the volume which usually increases with reversal in price. For now, price is tight here and expect volatility.
Thank you for reading and appreciating the comments, supporting ideas as well as contradicting ideas.
Surfin ends ..
Bitcoin Rejected at 18K, What is Next?HELLO all, in my last post, I discussed my view on Bitcoin at a macro level and pointed out based on its history that the usual 4 Year Cycle Low is forming around 52 weeks from the highs followed by 8 weeks of accumulation period. I mentioned about time here, not to exactly predict but to guide us on our analysis and what to expect considering both time and price action.
So now, let's ZOOM OUT and SURF the CHART!
To note, the lows when BTC breakdown from $18k (Red Arrow from the left) is within the 52 weeks timeframe. This is supported with a notable capitulation candle (White Arrow Below) and followed by sideways price action for 2 weeks until printed new lows at sub $15,400 (2nd Red Arrow from Left) then bounce back.
Finally, after 35 days, Bitcon tested the $18200 level and as expected got rejected with a daily closing below MA 50 (orange circle) which also formed an Evening Doji Star candle. This is a bearish sign since that level is a previous support, now turned into a resistance. This could lead to another decline to the mid-range at $16.8k.
Also my notes here: IF Bitcoin failed to recapture MA 50 and flip $18200 in the coming days or week, I consider this a LOCAL price TOP.
If BTC tops here, what's next?
It will further decline, may retest the support at $15500 ( Red Arrow) and I am expecting a bounce in this key level OR clearly moves sideways in this range (Purple Rectangles) for more days ahead to the next LOCAL LOW to happen 3 weeks from now.
Whether it bounces and develops strong support at $15k or breaks below to $13k, Only time will tell.
Till then, I will post another update.
Thank you for reading and appreciating the comments, supporting ideas as well as contradicting ideas.
Surfin ends …
Crypto unsettled - Will he have another ATH before next dip?Hey everyone!
I can`t keep thanking enough to everyone who supports the DataMoney community and wants more interactions and more posts!
Sometimes taking some time off is inevitable and within a month posts should be more frequent.
Alternatively, everyone is welcome to support DataMoney on Patreon - that would allow us to grow our community faster and incentivize members to produce more quality content more frequently.
Back to business:
Let's recap what is happening in the market:
- All cryptocurrencies continue to be super hyped
- ETH hits another ATH of $2643
- Volatility jumps way up opening good day trading opportunities
- Upwards trend is obviously slowing down
What does all of that mean?
In a nutshell, one could oversimplify and say that market ran out of gas. Larger price swings just communicate that the number of hypesters is reducing. Maybe it means that more and larger investors have closed their positions and waiting for a profitable drop? Maybe it means that there are more and larger short sellers? Regardless the higher the volatility the better for daily traders. More and more people are getting excited for that 20-30% drop that should send all cryptos down (with ETH ballpark of sub $2k)
On the other hand, hyperinflation in crypto markets is still disconnected from the rest of the world. US Dollar is still surprisingly strong and given the supply and global markets are still yet to reopen. Billionaires are still stashing their billions with nothing else to do other than pour it into the crypto market. It may take another month of the bull market before we have a large correction.
Upcoming week's technicals:
Position likely to be short (with plenty of buy and sell opportunities!)
Forecasted highs at ETH $2550 and $2650
Mid-way point at $2350 (basically anything above that point is overpriced)
Forecasted lows at $2150 and $2000 (In the short term, anything under $2k is a good buy. Let's see what it looks like in 5days!)
Have a great week trading! 🤑
Our DataMoney community remains active!
If you would like to have early access invite to DataMoney ETH technical analysis, please drop in the comments below what was your favourite DataMoney post 😉
DataMoney strikes again! Will ETH hit a new ATH?Hello everyone!
The early access DataMoney community already know that good old Mr. DataMoney is taking some time off. Sometimes life happens and we need our time off.
That being said - I am flattered, shocked and honoured by everyone writing to me. It is great to read your messages and see that soo many of you love this content and genuinely missed me. Thanks again!
Now, a quick catch-up:
- Bulls market in full throttle.
- ETH hit a few new ATH's in the last few days
- Cryptos forever making more money!?
Speculation:
Why is this all happening? Surely many of you will have a variety of opinions. Please feel free to drop a comment down below if I have missed any massive market event. At a high level, all stocks and crypto should be going down. Uncle Sam is busy with the money printer and M1 should be sending the majority of world economies into hyperinflation. But it isn't! Weirdly enough, a lot of the wealthier world just have a lot of money that they are not spending on fine dining, showing off, luxury entertainment and travelling the world. It seems that one way or another, all of that including the variety of stimulus packages end up in financial markets! Now, this is not the place to discuss whether that's right or wrong, but the number does raise eyebrows 👀 At the moment it seems that people buy and buy in large amounts regardless of the price. A crazy speculator would say that the price will keep rising until the Covid restrictions would end and all the new billionaires would want to dust off (or buy) their jets and yachts sending BTC and ETH at least 50% down together with all the small-time investors 😈
Back to business:
There are some speculations that both BTC and ETH have formed H in H&S pattern and mid-March scenario is repeating itself. It would be reasonable to expect a 20% correction in the next week or so.
Today's technicals:
Position is short
Forecasted highs at ETH $2220 and $2260
Mid-way point at $2120
Forecasted lows at $2100 and $2050
Have fun trading! 🤑
For the next month or two, there will be fewer DataMoney posts here on TradingView. However, if you have early access invite, DataMoney community remain active and members continue to actively post and collaborating ideas!
If you would like to get an early access invite, drop a link to your favourite DataMoney post in the comments down below!
Will Easter cause a price drop? Who will hype the market?Happy Easter for those who celebrate and happy (long?) weekend for those who don`t! ☀😎🕊 🥚🐣🐇
Many of you noticed that I did not post for a while. Thanks for your messages! There are a few reasons for that: Life, Work, Easter and JetLag 😅
Trading, data analytics and all of that good jazz is great fun. I absolutely love what we have managed to achieve at the DataMoney community. It is amazing to see that our community continues to grow, help one another and everyone profits along the way even in my absence. If you are reading this - please drop a cheerful comment for our community. They are simply great!
Back to business
What is going on in the market? From doom to the moon. As the ghost of BTC futures past, the bulls were charging ahead and the markets skyrocketed to a new All-Time-High! Now, Easter time puts many of those bulls behind an easter table to put on some weight instead of trading. That naturally pulls back from that super overhyped and overpriced ATH. Nothing to worry about tho, as soon as Monday and Tuesday will kick back in - we shall see some more price movement. Everyone is very excited to see if that will be a new ATH or a dip 😁📈📉
Today's technicals:
Position is short 🔻
Forecasted highs at ETH $2150, $2200
Mid-way point moved to $2000! 😱 From $1650 to $2000 in less than a week! 😱
Forecasted lows are at $2000, $1950
Have fun trading! 🤑
If you would like to get an early access invite to DataMoney ETH technical analysis, write in the comments down below what in your opinion would be the best achievement for the DataMoney community members 😉
When will ETH hit a new ATH?Today is the last day of March and potential ATH for BTC ( and maybe ETH? ). What can we expect?
Let's take a look at the big picture!
This week started with a V-shape price recovery. Many sources said that this price action lacks reason/merit and is unsustainable, but we all know that markets can remain irrational longer than any one person can remain solvent 😂
In reality, ETH went from underpriced to way, way overpriced in 3 days. For comparison, it took 2 weeks to drop from $1800 to under $1600 and only 4 days to spike back to over $1800. It has been a long time since anything like this happened. Rationally if the price has a sudden spike up, it should go down. Currently, the market is ruled more by the news than supply/demand some believe that the news regarding Visa to accept USDC was a big one. It might as well be just an inflated hype.
Please keep in mind that since Tuesday last week crypto markets have been ruled by hypesters and news. Again and again, we have seen technical analysis rendered useless.
What's happening today?
Bull market at full throttle! The market is hot and hypesters are pushing very hard for new All Time Highs (ATH) for both ETH and BTC. It is also the last day of the month therefore common sense would suggest that traders will push hard to close with another record sale. The overall situation should remain similar as yesterday - market technicals suggest a retrace and the market is likely to be heading in a different direction.
Today's technicals:
Position should be Short (and the price actually dipped since our early access TA!), but I mark it as Long-ish as traders are very likely push for ATH
Forecasted highs at ETH $1900 and $1960
Mid-way point jumped to $1750
Forecasted lows at $1750 and way below, however unlikely to get under $1700.
Have fun trading! 💸
If you would like to get early access invite to DataMoney ETH technical analysis, write what was your most successful trade in March! 😉
Market is consolidating. Will ETH go up or down?A moment of tribute. I would like to thank all of DataMoney fans and followers, without your interest and support this would not be possible. DataMoney now has over 540 fans and followers, our community growing strong. Thank you! 🏆
A quick overview of the market
- Half of the week, the 22-24 of March, continued with way prolonged H&S pattern and had a sharp drop on Wednesday the 24th🔻
- BTC again dominated the headlines as hypesters kept hyping BTC and the news of expiring BTC futures came crashing in with analysts and institutional investors predicting sharp price declines for the rest of the week.
- BTC futures doomsday never came to be and on Friday the price kept ticking up slowly and steadily instead of the massive volatility and price drop that the majority of traders were expecting 🙈🙊🙉
What happened? No one knows... BTC futures crisis did not come to be. Contracts were settled on Friday without any major fluctuations in the market. Was there a reason for that? Maybe it was just a case of hypesters trying to pull a quick one on the majority of the market? If any of you have any good insights of articles to share why BTC did not drop 20-30% last week - please share in the comments below!
Regardless, the weekend price movement raises doubts. On Friday, almost guaranteed market decline takes a U-turn with periodic high volume ticks rising price and many eyebrows. Maybe it was just whales and/or institutional investors reopening closed positions? We all know that the crypto market is not regulated, however, situations, where a few reap a massive profit at the cost of all the rest, reopens discussions of market manipulation.
What's next? Many traders taking more and more time off. Looking at the weekend data it seems that it was a good test for what direction the market is going. ETH price remained more or less stable within about 1.5% fluctuation up or down. Where daily traders work very hard to make a decent profit every day, 1% profit or loss is just not worth the hard work. Given that last week price was dropping, it should have given a chance for the price to pick up during the weekend. The fact that it did not, just shows that there may not be that much demand at this price level. It is likely that today will be price exploration, the price will rise a little then likely to drop towards the mid-way point. Market is consolidating.
Today's technicals:
Position is Long (at least until it reaches forecasted high and then short at least until it bounces back to mid-way point)
Forecasted hights at ETH $1760, $1800
Mid-way point at $1650 (that's right! ETH is overpriced this whole weekend!)
Forecasted lows at $1660, $1650 and less likely $1600
Have fun trading! 🤑
If you would like to get an early access invite to DataMoney ETH technical analysis - write "I made money today" or "I did not make money today" in the comments down below 💸😉
Friday FOMO! How to close your week with profit?Happy Friday! 🥳 I am sure all of you are excited to see what this first quarterly futures expiration will bring to the market 😁
Yesterday was an intense power struggle between hypesters and market news rendering all technical analysis useless. BTC showed up strong to lead the fight and had a massive dump handed to it. Overall alt-coins were performing better than BTC with everything ranging from ETH to XRP outperforming BTC. Back to ETH... At a macro level it is declining. Surprisingly, regardless of yesterday's dump, at micro level ETH is showing signs of recovery. Although truth to be told - it is very likely that TA will be out the window again with FOMO taking over the market.
One way or the other, BTC is at the centre of attention and will ultimately dictate the course of the whole market today. Internet is full of analysts and institutional investors who are threatening to exit their BTC positions and forecasting a massive decline. Some range from 20%-30% decline all the way to wild "dooms-day" type of forecasts of BTC losing 50% of its value this week 😱 Unfortunately, any larger BTC dips or dumps will affect the rest of the market, therefore ETH is expected to decline as well.
May the odds be with you shorting the market! 🎯
Today's technicals:
Position is Short
Forecasted hights at ETH $1650, $1700
Mid-way point at $1670 (That's right, this week ETH lost ~10% of its value and keeps dropping!)
Forecasted lows at $1580, $1550 and $1520
Have fun trading! 🤑
If you would like to get early access invite to DataMoney ETH technical analysis - write what would you do if you would make over 10% profit shorting ETH today! 💰