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GoldGold 🥇 | Comprehensive Technical Analysis - Setting a Significant Rejection Zone Current Price: Around $4,353 | Timeframe: Daily - Weekly Date: October 21, 2025 ══════ 📊 Overview On the Market: Gold has completed an exceptional bullish cycle, reaching new all-time highs above 4,400, which I believe represents the local high for the current phase. However, several technical factors now point to an imminent correction before any potential continuation. ══════ 🔍 Key Technical Notes: ▪️ Price Zone: The stock is currently trading in a bullish zone—an area where institutional investors historically tend to take profits and open short positions. ▪️ Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index: 78/100 (Extreme Greed) These extreme readings in bullish zones precede corrections in 85% of historical cases. ▪️ Structural Analysis: - Overall Structure: Bullish (higher timeframes) - Internal Structure: Showing signs of weakness and bearish divergence - A potential Change in Personality (CHoCH) is forming on medium timeframes ▪️ Supply and Demand Zones: Multiple untested resistance zones below, as well as unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets. ▪️ Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Price is analyzed across multiple timeframes (4-hour, 1-day, 1-week, etc.) using advanced order flow techniques and proprietary market structure mapping tools—all of which point to a potential upcoming correction. ══════ 🎯 Expected Scenario (High Probability): Stage 1 - Initial Correction: 📍 Target 1: $3,777-$3,816 (Balance Zone) 📍 Target 2: $3,688-$3,749 (Discount Zone - Optimal Entry) Stage 2 - Deeper Correction (Moderate Probability): 📍 Target 3: $3,465-$3,580 (Strong Institutional Demand - Buy Orders) In addition to unfilled fair value gaps that act as price magnets. Note: Additional Confirmation Required After Reaching the Discount Zones: The possibility of a continued uptrend exists, but is not currently highly likely. The situation will be reassessed upon reaching the demand zones. ══════ ⚡ Why this analysis? This analysis is based on: ✓ Advanced order flow analysis techniques ✓ Professional tools for mapping market structure ✓ Premium/Discount Zone Theory ✓ Detecting institutional order blocks ✓ Market sentiment analysis ✓ Liquidity level mapping These are not traditional retail trading tools; they are institutional analysis techniques used by professional traders. ═════ 📚 Previous Record: Some may remember my previous analysis of gold in August 2023: 📌 Analysis for August 13 2023: - Expectations: Rise from 1780 - Targets: 2500 → 2800 → Over 3800 - Result: ✅ 100% Success Rate - Actual Movement: Reaching over 4400 (147% Profit) - Update (April 2024): "Trade Closed at Target" This analysis is based on the same institutional framework applied to this current situation. The methodology is effective because it tracks actual cash flow—not trader sentiment. ═════ ═════ ⚠️ Risk Management (Mandatory): Regardless of your confidence level, risk management is non-negotiable: ✓ Don't risk more than 1-2% of your capital on each trade. ✓ Always set a stop-loss before entering. ✓ Avoid excessive leverage. ✓ Maximize your profits. Steps ✓ Research yourself (DYOR) ══════════════════════════════════════ ═════ ⚖️ Disclaimer: This is educational technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Trading carries a significant risk of capital loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade at your own risk. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ══════ 💬 Share your opinion with us: What do you think of gold at these levels? 📊 If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to like and follow it for more analysis. 🔔 Turn on notifications to receive updates as soon as this setting develops. ═════
TVC:GOLD
by jewelllc
QE and YCC: What does it all mean?ECONOMICS:USCBBS CBOT:ZB1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:NQ1! There is growing market speculation that the Fed may tolerate inflation above 2% for longer, consistent with its Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework introduced in 2020. This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal rates minus inflation are likely to fall significantly. Given this, we anticipate gold to continue trending higher as the U.S. dollar's purchasing power erodes with mounting debt, persistently higher inflation, and falling real yields. What is QE? Quantitative Easing (QE) refers to the Fed injecting liquidity into financial markets by purchasing large quantities of assets such as Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) and U.S. Treasuries, especially during periods of economic stress like the Global Financial Crisis (2007–2008) and the COVID-19 downturn. How Does QE Work? Asset Purchases: The Fed buys large volumes of Treasuries and MBS from financial institutions. Balance Sheet Expansion: These purchases expand the Fed's balance sheet (now hovering near $6.6 trillion, per FRED). Increased Liquidity: Banks receive excess reserves in exchange, increasing system-wide liquidity. Lower Interest Rates: Demand for bonds pushes prices higher and yields lower. Economic Stimulus: Lower borrowing costs promote credit creation, investment, and consumer spending. However, a key drawback of QE is asset price inflation. As seen between the GFC and the COVID-19 pandemic, low rates and excess liquidity drove significant appreciation in equities, housing, and other financial assets, even while consumer inflation remained near target. QE vs. Stimulus Checks If traditional interest rate policy is Monetary Policy 1 (MP1), then QE is MP2. Stimulus checks, or government handouts, fall under MP, a fusion of monetary and fiscal policy. While QE primarily injects liquidity into financial institutions, stimulus checks inject purchasing power directly into households. This approach where the Treasury issues debt and the Fed purchases that debt, stimulates demand for real goods and services. We saw this during the post-COVID recovery, which brought a sharp rebound in consumer activity but also a surge in inflation, reaching a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 (CPI YoY). QE impacts Asset Price Inflation Stimulus Checks impact Goods & Services Inflation What is YCC? (Yield Curve Control) Yield Curve Control (YCC) is a policy whereby the central bank buys government debt across various maturities to control yields not just at the short end (via rates), but across the entire yield curve. A prime example is the Bank of Japan, which has used YCC since 2016 to anchor 10-year JGB yields near zero. The Fed has not formally adopted YCC, but market participants believe it may lean in that direction in the future especially during crises where long-end rates rise undesirably. Mounting US debt and rising long end yields may prompt the Fed to step in and adopt YCC like BoJ has done previously. Front-End Control: Managed via policy rates Long-End Control: Central bank buys 5Y, 10Y, 20Y, 30Y Treasuries to anchor yields Potential Risks of YCC: Credibility Risk: If inflation rises while the central bank suppresses yields, it may lose market trust. Currency Pressure: Artificially low yields may trigger speculative pressure on the currency (as seen with the yen under BoJ YCC). We’ve kept this concise and digestible for now, but there’s more to unpack—especially on the long-term implications of coordinated monetary-fiscal policy (MP3), debt sustainability, and central bank credibility. The Fed’s balance sheet chart shows how Fed’s balance sheet has increased: Aug 1, 2008: $909.98B Jul 1, 2017: $4.47T Aug 1, 2019: $3.76T Feb 1, 2020: $4.16T Mar 1, 2022: $8.94T Aug 1, 2025: $6.61T Note that this is not just a US phenomenon. It is a world wide phenomena looking at many of the developed and emerging markets. The Debt to GDP ratios are increasing, Central Banks balance sheets are rising in tandem with rising government debt. With the rate cutting cycle starting, it is a matter of time that we also see QE restarting. If you’d like us to dive deeper into any of these topics in future educational blogs, let us know. We're happy to build on this foundation with more insights.
ECONOMICS:USCBBS
by EdgeClear
3
MSTR 1D Time frameMarket Snapshot Current Price: ~$328.50 Daily Change: -0.4% (approx) Technical Overview Indicators & Momentum RSI (14-day): ~40 → Neutral, slightly below the midpoint—no major squeeze yet. MACD: Negative (~–1.6) → Weak bearish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator: Around 31 → Neutral to slightly oversold. Stochastic RSI: Overbought zone → Possible short-term exhaustion. Williams %R: ~–39 → Suggests room for both upside and downside. ADX: ~18–26 → Indicates a weak to moderate trend—market lacks strong direction. Moving Averages Short-term moving averages (like 5-day and 10-day) show buy signals, while broader averages—including the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—are all negative, suggesting broader downward pressure. Support & Resistance Based on various pivot point analyses: Immediate Support: ~$324–325 Near-term Support Zone: ~$320 Immediate Resistance: ~$332–334 Further Resistance: ~$340–345 Broader Technical & Market Context Downtrend in Play: The stock has declined nearly 40% from its July highs and is approaching its lowest levels since April. Death Cross Forming: The 50-day moving average is nearing a bearish crossover below the 200-day average. Diving Technical Ratings: Most moving averages and oscillators point to a negative bias—short-term signals are weak, and longs are retreating. Bullish Divergence? Some chart setups hint at a potential wedge or triangle pattern with possible bullish divergence, but these are speculative and not yet confirmed. MicroStrategy remains under pressure, with indicators pointing overwhelmingly to neutral or bearish signals. While short-term moving averages show minor support, the broader technical picture remains weak—and a breakout above ~$334 would be needed to suggest a reversal.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by LegacyTradingss
MSFT 1D Time frameMarket Snapshot Current Price: ~$498.41 Daily Change: +0.23 (≈0.05%) Market Cap: ~$2.79 Trillion P/E Ratio: ~28.9 EPS: ~12.93 🔎 Technical Indicators RSI (14-day): ~41 → Neutral, leaning slightly bearish. MACD: –2.7 → Negative but giving a weak buy crossover signal. Williams %R (14-day): ~–74 → Suggests a possible rebound (buy). CCI (14-day): ~–108 → Oversold zone, buy indication. ADX (14-day): ~20.6 → Weak trend strength. ROC (Rate of Change): –3.5 → Mild bearish momentum. 📈 Moving Averages 5-day MA: Below current price → Bearish short-term. 20-day MA: Below current price → Bearish. 50-day MA: ~$509, above price → Acting as resistance. 100-day MA: ~$476, below price → Supportive. 200-day MA: ~$443, below price → Long-term uptrend still intact. 🔧 Support & Resistance Support Zone: ~$491 – $497 Resistance Zone: ~$500 – $510 📅 Outlook Bullish Case: If MSFT climbs above $509–510, momentum could extend toward new highs. Bearish Case: A break below $491 may lead to a pullback toward $480–485. Overall Bias: Neutral to slightly bearish in the short term, but long-term bullish trend remains intact above the 200-day MA.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by LegacyTradingss
NVDA 2HourTime frameNVDA 2-Hour Snapshot Current Price: $170.76 USD Previous Close: $168.31 USD Day Range: $166.74 – $170.97 USD 52-Week Range: $139.34 – $200.00 USD Volume: 170,370,750 VWAP: $169.67 USD Market Cap: $1.1 Trillion 🔎 Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 39.44 — Neutral Moving Averages: 5-period: $169.68 — Sell 10-period: $174.59 — Sell 20-period: $177.06 — Sell 50-period: $172.58 — Sell 100-period: $150.61 — Buy 200-period: $139.34 — Buy Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -0.91 — Buy Stochastic Oscillator: 20.33 — Neutral Commodity Channel Index (CCI): -119.52 — Buy Average True Range (ATR): 4.93 📈 Market Sentiment Pivot Points: Resistance: $175.00 USD Support: $165.00 USD 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $175.00 USD could signal a move toward $185.00 USD. Bearish Scenario: A drop below $165.00 USD may lead to further downside. Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TitanMarkets
USDJPY 2Hour Time frameUSD/JPY 2-Hour Snapshot Current Price: 147.46 JPY Change: +0.05% from the previous close Market Cap: Not applicable P/E Ratio: Not applicable EPS: Not applicable Intraday High: 147.59 JPY Intraday Low: 147.27 JPY 🔎 Technical Indicators RSI (14): Neutral MACD: Neutral Moving Averages: 5-period SMA: Not available 10-period SMA: Not available 20-period SMA: Not available 50-period SMA: Not available 📈 Market Sentiment Pivot Points: R1: Not available R2: Not available R3: Not available S1: Not available S2: Not available S3: Not available 📅 Outlook Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the current price could lead to further gains. Bearish Scenario: A drop below the current price may test support levels. Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
Long
by TitanMarkets
USDJPY – Liquidity Sweep & CHoCH → Short SetupUSDJPY shows a clean liquidity play under MY Liquidity MM Trading System: Price swept liquidity above Friday’s High, triggering buy-side stops. CHoCH confirmed a bearish shift in orderflow. Retest into the Supply Zone (OB + Highest Volume Area) offers a short entry. Targeting liquidity resting at Previous Day’s Low (PDL). Execution Plan: Entry: Supply zone retest Stop: Above Friday’s High for R:R: 1:2 For tighter stops: Refine entry at top of OB wick + add buffer of 2–3 pips TP: PDL liquidity pool R:R ≈ 1:4
Short
by BFUFX_MARKETS
TSLA TESLA Institutional Roadmap for September Discount ZoneTesla NASDAQ:TSLA – Institutional Roadmap for September: Discount Zones, Breakout Triggers, and Squeeze Targets Tesla continues to trade as one of the clearest institutional battlegrounds in the market. The footprints in option open interest, dark pool levels, and anchored VWAP create a very precise map for swing traders who want to follow the flow rather than fight it. Elliott Wave Context Tesla completed a clean 1–5 impulse wave earlier in the year. The stock has since been retracing in an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave (C) still tentative. The rejection near 348–350 matches heavy open interest and serves as a possible end of (C). However, the high-volume sell candle at 333 suggests the correction may continue lower into discount zones before the next advance. Institutional Discount Zones 330–332: first defense level, with recent dark pool support 322: deeper discount aligned with the 0.618 retracement 314: anchored VWAP level, a frequent institutional reload zone 298–300: July dark pool activity and strong confluence support 288: extreme discount zone from February Breakout Triggers BA 338: first bullish-above confirmation trigger, but only valid if defended by volume 356–360: the real battleground. Massive call open interest is stacked here. A clean break above confirms institutional participation Upside Targets 367–374: first expansion target and resistance magnet 403: Fibonacci 2.618 extension 443: Fibonacci 3.618 extension 467: Fibonacci 4.236 extreme target if momentum continues Flow and Volume Notes Options flow shows concentrated put open interest between 300–320, confirming institutional defense of that floor. Call interest is stacked heavily at 350–360, which explains the recent rejection zone. The latest sell-off candle came with above-average volume, reinforcing the probability of a deeper retest into 330–322 or even 314 VWAP. Trading Roadmap If Tesla holds 330–332, expect a potential reversal with BA 338 as confirmation. If 330 breaks, expect a move into 322 or 314, and a flush to 298 remains possible. If 356–360 is reclaimed with volume, the squeeze path opens toward 367–374. Breaking above 374 accelerates directly into 403 and later 443. Conclusion Tesla remains a classic institutional shakeout pattern rather than a breakdown. The map is clear: watch the discount zones for accumulation, use BA 338 and the 356–360 battleground as confirmation triggers, and follow the roadmap toward 374, 403, and 443 once the breakout validates. Patience is edge. Institutions will reload near VWAP and dark pool levels, while retail chases 350. Follow the Darkpools not the noise.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DarkPoolRay
12
USDJPY: Bearish Momentum Builds After H4 Structure Shift!Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDJPY, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow remains bearish, positioning us to focus on high-probability selling opportunities aligned with downside liquidity objectives. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Bearish Order Block Reaction: Price recently reacted to a weekly bearish order block, causing an H4 market structure shift (MSS) to the downside. This confirms that the H4 order flow is now in alignment with the higher timeframe bearish bias, with the weekly order block acting as a strong institutional resistance zone. Liquidity Dynamics: Recent price action saw sell-side liquidity swept (external range liquidity), followed by a pullback into an H4 fair value gap (FVG), representing internal range liquidity. This reinforces the expectation that the H4 FVG may hold as a firm resistance zone. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate the bearish continuation. Target Objective: Focus on discount-side liquidity pools, consistent with institutional objectives to rebalance price and capture liquidity resting below. The main liquidity draw is towards the weekly liquidity pool- which is our long term draw on liquidity. Remain patient, allow the market to confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
2
EURGBP: Bullish Continuation Setup from H4 Fair Value GapGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURGBP, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow has shifted firmly bullish on the H4 timeframe. This directional bias positions us to focus on high-probability buying opportunities aligned with upside liquidity objectives. Key Observations on H4: Weekly FVG Rebalancing: Price recently rebalanced a weekly fair value gap (FVG), which acted as a higher timeframe inefficiency. Following this, we saw a market structure shift (MSS) on H4, confirming the transition from bearish to bullish order flow. Liquidity Dynamics: After external range liquidity (buy stops) was taken, price began gravitating towards internal range liquidity (FVGs), reflecting the market’s natural movement from external to internal liquidity and vice versa. H4 FVG Support: Price is currently trading within an H4 FVG, which we anticipate will act as a firm institutional support zone, offering a favorable area to seek long setups. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation-based entries on lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate bullish continuation. Target Objective: Aim for upside liquidity pools, in alignment with institutional objectives to draw price higher and capture resting buy-side liquidity. Remain patient, let the market confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
August 24, Forex Outlook: What Can Traders Expect This Week?Welcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: USDJPY USDCAD EURGBP EURJPY GBPCHF NZDCHF USDCHF Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
USDCAD: Bearish Continuation Setup from Premium SupplyGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCAD, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. This reaffirms our downside bias and positions us to seek high-probability selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Fair Value Gap Rejection: Last week, price rejected a weekly bearish FVG, aligning with the higher timeframe bearish draw toward discount liquidity. Bearish Market Structure Shift: The H4 chart confirmed a market structure shift to the downside, signaling institutional alignment with the weekly timeframe. Premium Bearish Order Block Confluence: Price has retraced into a premium-priced H4 bearish order block, which overlaps with an FVG—creating a strong institutional resistance zone. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for bearish confirmation entries within the confluence zone. Target Objective: Aim for the liquidity pools resting in discount pricing, in line with the overall bearish narrative. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, remain patient, wait for confirmation, and manage your risk with precision. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
August 11, Forex Outlook: What to Expect from This Weeks TradingWelcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: USDCAD EURGBP EURJPY GBPCHF USDCHF NZDCHF EURNZD Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
7
USDCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup From Reclaimed Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. This reinforces our directional bias to the downside, prompting us to focus on strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Bearish Order Block: Price recently tapped into a weekly bearish order block, which triggered a decisive market structure shift to the downside. This confirms the order block's validity as a firm resistance zone. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): Following the market structure shift, price retraced into an H4 FVG. This zone acted as resistance, maintaining bearish momentum. Reclaimed Mitigation Block: After breaking through a previous mitigation block, the area now functions as a reclaimed order block. We expect this to serve as a high-probability resistance zone moving forward. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for confirmation entries within the reclaimed order block. Target Objective: The current draw on liquidity is the discount-side liquidity pools, which aligns with our bearish bias. As always, remain patient, wait for solid confirmations, and manage your risk with precision. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
USDCAD: Bearish Structure with Rejection from Key Supply ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCAD, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week's candle rebalanced a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating internal range price action. As a rule of thumb, once internal imbalances are addressed, the draw typically shifts toward external liquidity—located at the swing low, where the weekly liquidity pool resides. H4 Resistance Alignment: On the H4 timeframe, price shifted bearish and has since retraced into a bearish FVG that aligns precisely with a reclaimed bearish order block. The alignment of these bearish arrays strengthens the case for continued downside, making this zone a high-probability resistance area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for bearish confirmation setups on the M15 or lower timeframes within the H4 supply arrays (FVG + OB confluence). Target Objective: The primary draw on liquidity lies within the discount range—targeting the liquidity pool below the most recent swing low. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Stay patient, wait for your confirmations, and trade in alignment with the flow of smart money. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
EURJPY: Rejection Block Support Fuels Bullish momentum!Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURJPY, recent price action confirms the presence of bullish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by seeking high-probability buying opportunities that target the long-term highs, where a significant liquidity pool resides. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week, price retraced into a weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This reaction has initiated a bullish response across lower timeframes, validating the weekly FVG as a meaningful area of institutional demand. H4 Bullish Market Structure Shift: Following the weekly bounce, the H4 chart presented a clear bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS), signaling the onset of upward momentum. Price then retraced into an extreme discount, where it found support at a well-defined Rejection Block—an institutional array we expect to hold as a launchpad for further bullish continuation. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the Rejection Block zone for bullish confirmation setups on lower timeframes (M15 and below) to validate potential long entries. Target Objective: The draw on liquidity remains at higher premium levels, with the liquidity pool above the long-term highs serving as our primary objective. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, exercise patience, wait for confirmation, and maintain strict risk management. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
August 3, Forex Outlook: High-Reward Setups You Need to See Now!Welcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: EURUSD USDCAD EURGBP EURJPY GBPCHF USDCHF NZDCHF EURNZD Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
EURNZD: Bullish Shift and Institutional Re-Entry from SupportGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bullish. This alignment now provides us with a clear bias to seek buying opportunities in line with the predominant higher timeframe trend. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe is currently delivering bullish order flow. With the recent bullish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have confluence across both timeframes, which strengthens our confidence in seeking long setups on lower timeframes. Key Observations on H4: Sell Stop Raid & Structural Rejection: Price action recently swept sell-side liquidity, a typical behavior indicating institutional order pairing. Following this, price attempted to move lower but failed to break the previous low, instead being supported by a Rejection Block. This led to a bullish market structure shift—our key signal of trend continuation. Mitigation Block Entry Zone: Price has since retraced into a Mitigation Block—an area where previous institutional selling occurred. The purpose of this pullback is to mitigate earlier positions and initiate fresh buying orders. This now becomes our zone of interest for potential confirmation entries towards the upside. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 Mitigation Block. Target: The objective is to target the H4 liquidity pool residing at premium prices, aligning with the discount-to-premium delivery model. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ As always, remain patient and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before executing, and manage your risk accordingly. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
AUDJPY: Bullish Structure Shift Signals Institutional Buy ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of AUDJPY, we observe a recent bullish market structure shift (MSS), signaling potential for continued upward movement. With this in mind, we aim to capitalize on buying opportunities at key institutional points of interest to target higher premium prices. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe maintains a clear bullish narrative. This long-term bias is now supported by a bullish MSS on the H4 timeframe, offering strong confluence and alignment across both macro and intermediate structures. This increases our confidence in expecting further bullish continuation. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support: Price recently pulled back into a weekly FVG and has rebalanced that inefficiency. This reaction aligns with the H4 MSS, reinforcing the weekly FVG as a strong institutional support zone. Reclaimed Bullish Order Block: After the MSS, price retraced into a bullish reclaimed order block—an area where previous institutional positioning occurred. Since price has now reclaimed this level, it becomes a high-probability zone for renewed buying interest in the direction of the dominant trend. Lower Timeframe Confirmation: This reclaimed order block will serve as our primary zone of interest to seek confirmations on the lower timeframes for precise entries. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation within the reclaimed H4 order block zone before entering long positions. Target: The primary objective is the H4 liquidity pool situated at premium prices, which the market is likely to be drawn toward. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, execute with discipline and align your trade management with your overall plan. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
EURNZD: Bullish Confluence Aligns for Buy Setups at Key ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we identify that the current institutional order flow is bullish. With this bias in mind, we aim to capitalize on high-probability buying opportunities from key points of interest aligned with institutional behavior. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe is showing a clear bullish narrative. This bullish order flow is confirmed by the H4 timeframe, which is also delivering higher highs and higher lows—providing confluence between both the macro and intermediate timeframes. This alignment increases our confidence in seeking long setups. Key Observations on H4: Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep: Price recently took out H4 buy stops, which triggered a retracement into internal range price action. Re-Delivered Re-Balanced Zone (RDRB): Price has now pulled back into a re-delivered, re-balanced array—a significant institutional level that typically offers low-risk buy setups. Given the nature of this zone, we do not anticipate a deeper pullback into the fair value gap (FVG), thereby treating it as a potential breakaway gap. Draw on Liquidity: The next probable target is the external liquidity pool resting in premium prices. The market appears poised to gravitate towards that area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the lower timeframes for bullish confirmations within the RDRB array. Targets: The primary target is the engineered liquidity pool in premium prices. For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ Remain patient, trust the structure, and execute with precision as the bullish narrative unfolds. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets. Key Observations on H4: Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection. Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level. Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions. Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next. For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles. Kind Regards, The_Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
2