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Intel

Intel - The breakout happens now!💰Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) will break out quite soon: 🔎Analysis summary: For the past two decades, Intel has overall been moving sideways. While we witnessed significant swings during this period of time, Intel recently retested another strong support area. If Intel now breaks the short term resistance, we will officially see the bottom formation. 📝Levels to watch: $25 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
15
Nasdaq records near critical resistance! More to go or crash?Strong economic data suggest the soft landing scenario remains intact. Manufacturing strength, combined with improving employment data, appears to provide support. The Fed's dovish pivot also offers liquidity tailwinds, while the Nvidia-Intel partnership signals continued investment in US stocks. But is the market reading the signals? Strong employment data could actually be bearish for equities since it reduces the urgency for the Fed to cut. The Fed's dot plot already shows fewer 2026 cuts (only one instead of three) with higher growth and (slightly higher) inflation projections. The Nvidia-Intel deal also excludes Intel's struggling foundry business, a core problem for the company. Technicals are not too promising either. Multiple resistance factors converge just a tad higher if not at current levels: Long-term trendline from November 2021 138% Fibonacci level Triangle pattern measured move completion 100% Fibonacci expansion target Indicators flash warnings too: RSI second divergence since May (price up, momentum flat) Volume oscillator 13% below zero - lack of institutional buying Missing third-wave volume surge - typical bull pattern absent Fifth-wave characteristics suggesting impulse completion As we trade in the historically worst month for equities, where the NASDAQ typically underperforms the S&P 500 during September selloffs, a high-probability short setup could be underway: Entry : 24,700-24,750 area (resistance test) Stop : Above 25,000 (avoid false breakout) Targets : 23,700 → 22,730 → 22,200 Risk-Reward : Approximately 2.6:1 to first major support Prefer a 5-wave decline if bear case confirms, followed by a 3-wave up, then continuation lower. Watch 24,500 as it appears to be a decision point where multiple technical and fundamental factors converge. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by ThinkMarkets
4
INTEL Heist Playbook: Buy the Dips, Escape Before the Sirens🔓💻 INTEL CORPORATION "Chip Heist" Stock Raid 💻🔓 🎯 Plan: Bullish Robbery | Targeting $30.00 | Stop Loss: $21.00 💰 Layered Limit Entries | Silicon Valley Loot | Calculated Takedown 🚨⚠️ Attention TRADERS, Tech Pirates & Market Mercenaries! ⚠️🚨 The INTC data vault is cracked, and the Thief Trader squad is executing a multi-layer LIMIT ENTRY HEIST – stacking shares like we're loading the getaway van. 🚐💾⚡ 👀 We ain't chasing price – we're ambushing it with precision. Every discount? A planned acquisition. 💥 ENTRY: Any Price Level is a Gift 💥 "Bullish on Silicon" – we're collecting shares on any dip into value town! Deploy buy limits at key psychological support layers: $25.00, $24.00, $23.00 (Add more layers based on your own capital). Thief-style: We don't buy the hype; we steal the undervalued chips. 🛑 STOP LOSS: This is a Thief SL @ $21.00 🔐 Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), this is set at the breakdown panic zone – where the weak hands get shaken out. Adjust your final SL based on your own risk appetite and strategy. Size wisely. 🎯 TARGET: $30.00 💸 The police barricade is there, so kindly escape with your stolen money before arrival. We're targeting the next major resistance vault. Take profits and live to trade another day. 🧠 Swing Traders? Load the boat. Day Traders? Snatch the quick flips. Investors? Stack and hold. 💵☕ Use a trailing stop loss to protect your capital as the trend accelerates. 🕵️‍♂️ THIEF TRADER INSIGHTS: 📊 Backed by tech sector momentum, oversold bounces, and order block analysis. 🗞️ Earnings? Chip news? = increased volatility = adjust your layers accordingly. ⚠️ HEIST PROTOCOL: ✅ Avoid over-leveraging – this is a layering strategy, not a casino bet. 📉 ✅ Use risk-adjusted position sizing on every limit order. ✅ Discipline is key. The market will deliver the discounts; you just need to be patient. ❤️‍🔥 Hit that 💥 LIKE & FOLLOW 💥 if you're riding with the Thief Squad! Support the strategy. Respect the plan. Stack your gains like a true Market Outlaw. 🔔 Follow for the next HEIST. Big bags only. 💼🚀📈 “The market is a river of money—flowing from the impatient to the patient.” – Thief Trader #INTC #Intel #StocksToWatch #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #StockMarket #Investing #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrader #ChipHeist
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by The-Thief
3
Intel (INTC) silent accumulation pattern and projection of priceThe last time INTC broke out of its sideways range, it re-tested support three times. After that, price surged upward, pulled back to the Centerline (an 80% probability move), and then began accumulating again within a sideways coil — or “Battery,” as I like to call it (see the TSLA example). This setup looks similar now. In fact, we even have a stronger filter: Price must first break out of the downsloping red Fork. Once that happens, we can expect a re-test of the upper median line (U-MLH). That’s the point where I decide whether or not to take a position. My target is the Centerline of the grey “What If Fork.” I want to emphasize that the inventor of the Forks highlighted this idea in his original course: always project and think, “What if…?” That’s exactly what I do — and maybe it will help you as well. Let’s see if Intel’s “Battery” gives us a solid trade. §8-)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
$INTC the next leg to $34-44I took a trade last month that ended up going 500%, now I think it's time for the next leg of the move to play out. The chart shows a recent breakout of a bull flag and price now testing a key resistance level. I think once price breaks resistance here and can make it above that $26 resistance level, we'll see a large move higher start. I think the move has the potential to reach $34-37, but can potentially make it all the way up to $44-45 level. Let's see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by benjihyam
1
INTC Ready For Breakout?Intel INTC appears to be putting in a major bottom on the weekly time frame. Stock has been beaten down for some time! On the daily time frame, price appears to be ready to breakout of the range above the High Volume Node after multiple tests of the upper boundary resistance. Theres been a gap to fill for some time up to $28. The pivot targets are subdued due to the amount of time INTC has spent ranging, so not super useful for targets in this case. Price is above the daily 200EMA which has flicked positive. Here is an example from my trade signals Substack. Stop below the 200EMA, pivot, High Volume Node and descending support line - you don't want to see price losing these as it adds confidence to the downside. This asset is volatile so the stop is wide for now - I will be looking out to adjust this to a tighter stop and thus a larger position size once I see how price action unfolds. I believe we have a good opportunity ahead to make several trades on this asset as we play it level by level. Safe trading
NASDAQ:INTC
by Maddox_Metrics
Intel - The bottom is in!🔮Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) forms a clear bottom: 🔎Analysis summary: After a consolidation of about three decades, Intel is now creating a strong bottom formation. With the retest of a major horizontal support area, Intel is respecting clear market structure. Quite likely therefore that Intel will soon start its next major higher timeframe bullrun. 📝Levels to watch: $25 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
24
Giving away 10%. Is it good or bad for Intel Corp. (Nasdaq:INTC)Recently, the US government took away 10% of NASDAQ:INTC in an effort to lift the company back to its glory. Is this something that the government should do, when we are not in a crisis officially? Let's dig in. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
NASDAQ:INTC
by Marketscom
Intel in 2025: The Pre-Boom Echo of Early Nvidia?In 2018, Nvidia (NVDA) was trading at a fraction of its current valuation, largely overlooked despite its cutting-edge GPU tech and early AI involvement. Fast forward to 2023–2024, it became the poster child of the AI revolution, with exponential growth driven by massive demand for AI infrastructure. Intel (INTC) today mirrors that earlier phase: undervalued, undergoing strategic shifts (Gaudi AI chips, foundry expansion, AI PCs), and investing heavily in AI and semiconductor independence in the West. While NVDA had clear early tech leadership, Intel is positioning itself as the alternative > a comeback story with geopolitical tailwinds, untapped AI potential, and a lower price entry. If history rhymes, Intel might be where NVDA was , not in dominance, but in opportunity. Easy words, BUY SOME AND HOLD!!!
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by TopCalls
$INTC looks good for at trade to the upside? Targeting $34+?If we look at the chart, we can see INTC failed the breakdown of an H&S, retested the trendline breakout and seems to be heading higher. Failed breakdowns are usually the most bullish patterns. I could see the possibility of a large move here to go back and retest the $34 region, or potentially even go higher ($40+) if we can surpass that resistance. Being price fell so quickly from March until now, I can see a sharp move higher (maybe on some news?). Let's see what happens over the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by benjihyam
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto
$INTC - Best in the sector against Trump tariffsIntel is a semiconductor technology giant, renowned for its x86 processors that dominate the CPU segment, top revenue in Q2 2025 came from PC chips (Client Computing Group, ~$7.9B) and server/AI chips (Data Center & AI, ~$3.9B) . Other revenue includes foundry services ($4.4B) and legacy businesses ($1.1B). But, for the last 4 years the company has experienced one disaster after another: - Loss of Market Share & Intensified Competition vs AMDs Ryzen and NVIDIA AI GPUs has been major drivers for last 4 years of decline. - Gross margin dropped to around 38–39% in 2024—a steep fall from pre‑pandemic levels above 60%, while NVIDIA maintained margins above 75%. - Intel perpetually lagged in transitioning to advanced nodes (7 nm, 5 nm), resulting in costly delays and reduced competitiveness . - Credit rating downgrade: In August 2025, Fitch downgraded Intel’s credit rating from BBB+ to BBB (negative outlook) due to weak demand and deteriorating profitability . S&P had already downgraded Intel to BB+, and Moody's also cut its rating in 2024 . Recent events and price action show its time for a buy at these prices. - Spin-off of Network & Edge (NEX) group: Intel announced the spin-off of its Network and Edge Group (NEX) into an independent entity focused on critical communications and networks, seeking external investors while retaining a major stake . - Workforce reduction and factory cancellations: Intel confirmed layoffs of ~24,000 employees (~15% of workforce) and cancellation of chip plant projects in Germany and Poland . New CEO Lip-Bu Tan plans to cut the headcount to ~75,000 by year-end 2025 . - Executive departures and internal reorganization: Three corporate VPs (Kaizad Mistry, Ryan Russell, Gary Patton) announced retirement from manufacturing operations amid deep restructuring . Intel also cut its manufacturing capacity planning and engineering teams as part of an efficiency-driven reorganization . - Recent key products/services: Intel launched new Xeon 6 CPUs for AI workloads (e.g. Xeon 6776P) and is preparing Panther Lake CPUs (PCs) for 2025 . It also began 18A node production in Arizona and sold part of its Mobileye stake (~$922M) to boost liquidity . Price/sales: Intel (0.80), AMD (10.3), NVIDIA (29.6), QCOM (3.68) Wrap-Up Intel's last four years have been marked by a series of structural, competitive, and strategic challenges—ranging from manufacturing delays to margin erosion and intense pressure from rivals like AMD and NVIDIA. Yet, the tide may be turning. With decisive actions like major cost-cutting initiatives, new AI-focused products, and progress in advanced node production, Intel is signaling a strategic pivot. Trading at a deep discount relative to peers based on the price-to-sales ratio, the stock reflects much of the past negativity. For investors seeking a long-term turnaround play in the semiconductor sector, now could be the moment to re-evaluate Intel’s potential. Let’s see if this chip giant can turn the corner. Cheers! Pablin
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Pablin000
7
Intel Share Price Hits 3-Month High Without Clear CatalystIntel (INTC) Share Price Hits 3-Month High Without Clear Catalyst Intel Corporation (INTC) stocks rose by over 7% yesterday, making them one of the top performers in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). As a result, the stock price reached its highest level in three months. What’s notable is the apparent lack of clear drivers behind the rally. According to Barron’s, the increase in INTC shares could have been triggered by a rating upgrade from Wall Street analysts or a corporate announcement – yet no such developments have occurred. "Nothing new or fundamental," says Mizuho managing director and technology specialist Jordan Klein. At the same time, from a technical analysis perspective, the INTC price chart is showing significant developments. Examining these price movements may provide clues as to what’s fuelling the recent rise. Technical analysis of INTC stocks For many months, the share price had been confined within a downward channel. However, the psychological level of $20 acted as a strong support – repeated attempts by bears to push the price lower ultimately failed. Bearish patterns in INTC’s chart may have led to a supply squeeze, as holders were given repeated reasons to sell (particularly against the backdrop of Nvidia’s success). Yet the bullish reversals near the $20 mark suggest that institutional interest was accumulating the stock at what was perceived to be a deeply discounted level – a characteristic sign of the Accumulation Phase in Wyckoff methodology. It is this lack of available supply that could explain the sudden price rise in the absence of obvious news catalysts. Since early summer, INTC shares have been making higher highs and higher lows, breaking upwards through the descending channel and beginning to form the early stages of a new bullish trend (highlighted in blue). Should fundamental catalysts emerge in the near term, they may serve as the spark to accelerate this nascent rally. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:INTC
by FXOpen
Intel - The rally starts!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - creates a major bottom: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) For approximately a full year, Intel has not been moving anywhere. Furthermore Intel now trades at the exact same level as it was a decade ago. However price is forming a solid bottom formation at a key support level. Thus we can expect a significant move higher. Levels to watch: $25.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
21
Bullish Thesis for INTC Intel Stock in 2025If you haven`t bought INTC before the previous earnings: Now Intel INTC is positioned for a potential turnaround and upside by the end of 2025, driven by strategic leadership changes, foundry business expansion, AI innovation, and favorable geopolitical dynamics. Here’s why INTC could head higher this year: 1. Leadership Transformation and Strategic Vision The appointment of Lip-Bu Tan as CEO in March 2025 has injected new optimism into Intel’s prospects. Tan is a respected semiconductor industry veteran, and his arrival was met with a 10% jump in INTC’s share price, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the company’s direction. 2. Foundry Business Expansion and Government Support Intel’s pivot toward a foundry-centric model is gaining momentum. The company is leveraging its U.S.-based manufacturing footprint to attract domestic and international clients, especially as geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions make U.S. chip production more attractive. There is speculation about strategic partnerships, such as TSMC potentially acquiring a stake in Intel’s foundry operations, which could accelerate technology transfers and client wins. The U.S. government is likely to continue supporting domestic semiconductor manufacturing through incentives and tariffs, directly benefiting Intel’s foundry ambitions. 3. AI and Next-Gen Product Launches Intel is aggressively targeting the AI and data center markets. The upcoming Jaguar Shores and Panther Lake CPUs, built on the advanced 18A process node, are set for release in the second half of 2025. These chips will be available not only for Intel’s own products but also for external clients like Amazon and Microsoft, expanding the addressable market. Intel’s renewed focus on AI accelerators and competitive cost structures could help it regain share in high-growth segments. 4. Financial Resilience and Market Position Despite recent setbacks, Intel remains a dominant player in the PC CPU market and continues to generate substantial revenue, outpacing some key competitors in the latest quarter. Analysts have revised their short-term price targets upward, with some projecting INTC could reach as high as $62—a potential upside of over 170% from current levels. Forecasts for 2025 suggest an average price target in the $40–$45 range, with bullish scenarios pointing even higher if execution on foundry and AI strategies meets expectations. 5. Technical and Sentiment Factors While technical analysis currently signals caution, the $18.50–$20 zone has provided strong support, and any positive news on foundry contracts or AI wins could catalyze a breakout from current consolidation patterns. Market sentiment has shifted more positively following the CEO change and strategic announcements, suggesting the potential for a sustained rebound if Intel delivers on its promises. In conclusion: Intel’s combination of visionary leadership, foundry expansion, AI innovation, and favorable geopolitical trends sets the stage for a potential stock price recovery by the end of 2025. With analyst targets and investor sentiment turning more bullish, INTC presents a compelling case for upside as it executes its turnaround strategy Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:INTCLong
by TopgOptions
Important Support and Resistance Zones: 23.03-28.93 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (INTC 1D chart) It shows an upward trend above the 18.69-21.33 zone, which is a medium- to long-term buy zone. However, you need to be relaxed because it needs to rise above 28.93 to turn into an uptrend. The 28.93 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1M chart, and it is expected that a breakout trade will be possible when it breaks above this point. Since the price is located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, you should respond quickly and briefly with short-term trading while observing the situation. Therefore, if you were unable to purchase in the mid- to long-term purchase section, 1st: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart 2nd: 28.93 You can proceed with a purchase when it shows support near the 1st and 2nd above. If it falls below 18.69, you should stop trading and observe the situation. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:INTC
by readCrypto
Intel - This might be the bottom!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - might create a bottom: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) For almost an entire year, Intel has been consolidating at a major horizontal support. Considering the previous significant bloodbath, Intel might soon find its bottom, which is inevitably followed by a major bullish reversal. After all, market structure is slowly shifting bullish. Levels to watch: $20.0, $25.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
8
INTEL INTC Short setup target 15.29Fibonacci technical analysis : Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC has already found resistance at the Fib level 61.8% (23.07) of my Down Fib. The May 30th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 23.6% (19.73), confirming a sell signal. A Bear Flag pattern has also formed. My Down Fib guides me to look for NASDAQ:INTC to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (15.29). NASDAQ:INTC – Target 1 at -27.2% (15.29), Target 2 at -61.8% (12.26) and Target 3 at -78.6 (10.79) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (22.04). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by rose_excellence
INTC Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-26INTC Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-26) Model Summaries Grok/xAI Report Technicals: INTC at $20.05, below 10/50 EMAs on M5 and well below 200 EMA; RSI(10) ~36 signals bearish momentum; MACD negative; price near lower Bollinger Band. Sentiment: VIX elevated at 22.29; mixed news but bearish outweighs bullish; options max pain at $21 may cap upside. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41; profit target $0.62 (50% gain); stop-loss $0.20 (50% premium loss); hold to May 30 expiry. Confidence 65%. Claude/Anthropic Report Technicals: Strong short‐ and medium‐term bearish (price below all EMAs, RSI ~36–38, MACD negative, volume spike confirms selloff). Sentiment: Rising VIX, negative headlines, heavy put OI at $20 strike. Max pain $21 above spot. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41; primary target $0.62 (50% gain), secondary $0.72; stop‐loss 25% premium ($0.31) or if INTC >$20.15; exit by Wed EOD. Confidence 72%. Gemini/Google Report Technicals: Bearish on M5 and daily (below 10/50/200 EMAs, RSI weak but not deeply oversold, bearish MACD). Sentiment: VIX rising; negative news flow; put demand greater than calls; max pain less relevant vs. momentum. Recommendation: Buy $19.50 weekly put at $0.22–$0.25 limit; profit target $0.44 (100% gain); stop‐loss $0.11 (50% premium) or if INTC >$20.40; size 1 contract for small account; exit EOD. Confidence 75%. Llama/Meta Report Technicals: Daily and M5 bearish (price below all EMAs, MACD negative); RSI ~38 suggests possible bounce but trend remains down; price near lower Bollinger Band. Sentiment: VIX up; mixed news but bearish tilt; max pain $21 unlikely this week. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41; profit target $0.615; stop‐loss if INTC >$20.50; hold to expiry. Confidence 70%. DeepSeek Report Technicals: Bearish momentum (below all EMAs, negative MACD, daily RSI ~38); support at $20.02–$20.03 and lower band at $19.41. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; mixed news; heavy put OI at $20 strike; call interest at $21 as resistance. Recommendation: Buy $20.00 weekly put at $0.41 midpoint; profit target $0.62 (50%); stop‐loss if INTC >$20.10; close by Thursday EOD. Confidence 65%. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement All models view INTC as bearish into weekly expiry. Consensus on buying puts, with most favoring the $20.00 strike. Targeting a 50% gain on premium and risking ~25–50% premium loss. Entry timing at market open and holding into expiry or early in the week. Elevated VIX and heavy put open interest reinforce bearish bias. Disagreement Gemini prefers the $19.50 put for greater leverage vs. $20.00 put. Stop‐loss levels vary: from $20.10 up to $20.50 underlying or premium-based stops. Exit timing differs: some through expiry, others midweek to reduce theta decay. Profit‐target aggressiveness: 50% vs. 100% gains. Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: Bearish Recommended Trade Strategy: Buy single-leg naked put Option: INTC 2025-05-30 expiry, $20.00 strike put Premium: $0.41 per contract Entry Timing: At market open Profit Target: $0.62 (≈50% premium gain) Stop Loss: $0.20 (≈50% premium loss) Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations Short-term oversold RSI may trigger a bounce around $20.00 support. Max pain at $21.00 could exert slight upward pressure if market stabilizes. Volatility drop (VIX normalization) could compress option premiums (vol crush). Weekly options have rapid theta decay; managing timing is critical. Liquidity and bid-ask spreads may widen at open—use limit orders. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "INTC", "direction": "put", "strike": 20.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.62, "stop_loss": 0.20, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.41, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-26 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: INTC 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 20.00 💵 Entry Price: 0.41 🎯 Profit Target: 0.62 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.20 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-26 11:39:04 EDT Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by quantsignals
Intel Corporation | INTCIntel reported second quarter earnings on Thursday, showing a return to profitability after two straight quarters of losses and issuing a stronger-than-expected forecast. the stock rose 7% in extended trading. Here’s how Intel did versus Refinitiv consensus expectations for the quarter ended July 1: Earnings per share: 13 cents, adjusted, versus a loss of 3 cents expected by Refinitiv. Revenue: $12.9 billion, versus $12.13 billion expected by Refinitiv. For the third quarter, Intel expects earnings of 20 cents per share, adjusted, on revenue of $13.4 billion at the midpoint, versus analyst expectations of 16 cents per share on $13.23 billion in sales. Intel posted net income of $1.5 billion, or 35 cents per share, versus a net loss of $454 million, or a loss of 11 cents per share, in the same quarter last year. Revenue fell 15% to $12.9 billion from $15.3 billion a year ago, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of declining sales. Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on a call with analysts the company still sees “persistent weakness” in all segments of its business through year-end, and that server chip sales won’t recover until the fourth quarter. He also said that cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for artificial intelligence instead of Intel’s central processors. David Zinsner, Intel’s finance chief, said in a statement that part of the reason the report was stronger than expected was because of the progress the company has made toward slashing $3 billion in costs this year. Earlier this year, Intel slashed its dividend and announced plans to save $10 billion per year by 2025, including through layoffs. “We have now exited nine lines of business since Gelsinger rejoined the company, with a combined annual savings of more than $1.7 billion,” said Zinsner. Revenue in Intel’s Client Computing group, which includes the company’s laptop and desktop processor shipments, fell 12% to $6.8 billion. The overall PC market has been slumping for over a year. Intel’s server chip division, which is reported as Data Center and AI, saw sales decline 15% to $4 billion plus Intel’s Network and Edge division, which sells networking products for telecommunications, recorded a 38% decline in revenue to $1.4 billion.moreover Mobileye, a publicly traded Intel subsidiary focusing on self-driving cars, saw sales slip 1% on an annual basis to $454 million and Intel Foundry Services, the business that makes chips for other companies, reported $232 million in revenue. Intel’s gross margin was nearly 40% on an adjusted basis, topping the company’s previous forecast of 37.5%. Investors want to see gross margins expand even as the company invests heavily in manufacturing capability. In the first quarter, the company posted its largest loss ever as the PC and server markets slumped and demand declined for its central processors. Intel’s results on Thursday beat the forecast that management gave for the second quarter at the time. Intel management has said the turnaround will take time and that the company is aiming to match TSMC’s chip-manufacturing prowess by 2026, which would enable it to bid to make the most advanced mobile processors for other companies, a strategy the company calls “five nodes in four years.” Intel said on Thursday that it remained on track to hit those goals. Nvidia has had an amazing run, but any emerging technology, such as AI, which is bottlenecked by a single company will have issues in growth. Consulting firm McKinsey has pegged the AI market to be worth $1 trillion by 2030, but also that it was in an experimental and in early phases of commercial deployment. While Nvidia will likely retain its leadership in GPU hardware as applied to AI for the foreseeable future, it is likely that other hardware solutions for AI systems will also be successful as AI matures. While technologist may quibble on specifics, all major AI hardware today are based on GPU architectures, and as such I will use the terms and concepts of AI hardware and GPU architecture somewhat interchangeably. One likely candidate for AI related growth may be AMD (AMD), which has had GPU products since acquiring ATI in 2006.However, unlike Nvidia, which had a clear vision for of general-purpose GPU products (GPGPU), historically, AMD had largely kept its focus on the traditional gaming applications. AMD has developed an AI architecture called XDNA, and an AI accelerator called Alveo and announced its MI300, an integrated chip with GPU acceleration for high-performance computing and machine learning. How AMD can and may evolve in the AI may be subject of a different article. Another contender for success in the AI applications using GPU is Intel, who is the focus of this article. Intel has maintained a consistent, if low key focus on GPU hardware focused on AI applications over the last decade. Intel’s integrated HD Graphics is built into most modern processor ICs; however, these are insufficient compared to dedicated GPUs for high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks. It has 2 primary GPU architectures in production release: In 2019 Intel Corporation acquired Habana Labs, an Israel-based developer of programmable deep learning accelerators for the data center for approximately $2 billion. Habana Labs’ Gaudi AI product line from its inception focused on AI deep learning processor technologies, rather than as GPU that has been extended to AI applications. As a result, Gaudi microarchitecture was designed from the start for the acceleration of training and inferencing. In 2022 Intel announced Gaudi2 and Greco processors for AI deep learning applications, implemented in 7-nanometer (TSMC) technology and manufactured on Habana’s high-efficiency architecture. Habana Labs benchmarked Gaudi2’s training throughput performance for the ResNet-50 computer vision model and the BERT natural language processing model delivering twice the training throughput over the Nvidia high end A100-80GB GPU. So, Gaudi appears to give Intel a competitive chip for AI applications. Concurrent with the Habana Labs’ Gaudi development, Intel has internally developed the Xe GPU family, as dedicated graphics card to address high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks as well as more traditional high-end gaming. Iris® Xe GPU family consists of a series of microarchitectures, ranging from integrated/low power (Xe-LP) to enthusiast/high performance gaming (Xe-HPG), data center/AI (Xe-HP) and high-performance computing (Xe-HPC). The architecture has been commercialized in Intel® Data Center GPU Flex Series (formerly codenamed Arctic Sound) and Intel® Arc GPU cards. There is some question on Xe GPU future and evolution. Intel has shown less commitment to the traditional GPU space compared to Gaudi. Nonetheless, it does demonstrate Intel ability to design and field complex GPU products as its business requires. Intel has many other AI projects underway. The Sapphire Rapids chips implements AI specific acceleration blocks including technology called AMX (Advanced Matrix Extensions), which provides acceleration inside the CPU for efficient matrix multiplications used in on-chip inferencing and machine learning processing by speeding up data movement and compression. Intel has supporting technologies such as Optane, which while cancelled as a production line, is available for their needs of a high-performance non-volatile memory, one of the intrinsic components in any AI product. Based on the above, Intel appears to have competitive hardware solutions, however if we look at Nvidia success in AI, it is a result of a much a software and systems focus as it is the GPGPU hardware itself. Can Intel compete on that front. Ignoring for the moment that Intel has a huge software engineer (approx. 15,000) resource, it also has- access to one of the leading success stories in perhaps the most competitive AI application – self driving cars. Mobileye, who was acquired by Intel in 2017, has been an early adopter and leader, with over 20 years of experience in automotive automated driving and vision systems. As such, Mobileye has a deep resource of AI domain information that should be relevant to many applications. Mobileye has announced that it is working closely with Habana, as related divisions within Intel. While Intel is in the process of re-spinning out Mobileye as public company, Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY), at present Intel still owns over 95% of shares, keeping it effectively an Intel division. In looking at Intel, we have a company with the history, resources, and technology to compete with Nvidia and infrastructure. They have made significant investment and commitment to the emerging AI market, in times when they have exited other profitable businesses. It should also be understood that AI related product are a small percentage of overall Intel revenues (INTC revenue are more than twice NVDA, even if NVDA has 6x its market cap), and continues to keep its primary business focus on its processor and foundry business. Hopefully for shareholders, Intel continues to push their AI technology and business efforts. Their current position is that this is strategic, but Intel is in a very fluid time and priorities may change based on business, finances, and of course the general interest and enthusiasm for AI. It is always worth noting that AI as a technical concept is mature, and appears to be cyclical, with interest in the technical community rising and falling in hype and interest once every decade or so. I remember working on AI applications, at the time labeled as expert systems in the 1980s. If we are currently at a high hype point, this may be temporary, based on near term success and disappointment in what AI does achieve. Of course, as always, “this time is different” and the building blocks of effective AI systems currently exist, where for previous iterations, it was more speculative.
NASDAQ:INTC
by moonypto
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