MEUSDT 4H analysisBMV:ME has broke previous resistance with high volume.
We can expect good upward movement. Possible targets are drawn on the chart.
DYOR. NFA.
Intraday
24-10-2025 Intraday Plan (CPI + NY Open Scenario) – US30 5M/1M💬 Intraday Plan (CPI + NY Open Scenario) – US30 5M/1M
📍 Bias remains bullish above 46,700 (structure still forming higher lows).
📍 Expecting CPI at 13:30 to create a liquidity grab — ideally sweeping lows into the ascending trendline/support.
📍 After CPI spike settles, looking for a NY Open breakout above 46,850 (key resistance).
📍 If we get a break + retest of 46,850, I’ll look for long entries targeting:
✅ TP1: 47,000
✅ TP2: 47,100
✅ TP3: 47,200 (liquidity extension)
❌ If CPI breaks below 46,700 and fails to recover, I’ll reassess for a bearish scenario.
🕒 No trades during initial CPI spike – waiting for structure confirmation post-news & into NY session.
📌 Plan: CPI grab → NY breakout → retest entry → continuation.
US30 (15M - 1M Daily Setup) - Bearish Bias US30 (15M - 1M Daily Setup) - Bearish Bias 📉
Price is consolidating under key resistance, forming lower highs. I’m watching 46,400 as the make-or-break level.
✅ Plan:
1️⃣ Consolidation phase complete
2️⃣ Looking for a clean break below 46,400
3️⃣ Retest → possible short entry
4️⃣ Target zones:
• TP1 → 46,200
• TP2 → 46,000
• TP3 → 45,800
📍 Bias stays bearish as long as price remains below 46,850 – 47,000.
Let’s see if the breakdown plays out. 👀
The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters!
DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS )
Central Bank Buying
Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026.
ETF Inflows & Sentiment
Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+.
Macro & Geopolitical Events
Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow.
Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI.
Silver Deficit
Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops
Futures & Options Flow
CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes
Fundamentals & Forecast
Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
AUDUSD intraday timeframe 45m
This 45-minute chart highlights a short-term opportunity on AUD/USD, structured around a disciplined entry and tight risk management. The setup is based on price consolidation followed by bullish momentum confirmation.
🔹 Entry Level: 0.64903
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64762
🔹 Take Profit: 0.65050
🔹 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.12
🔹 Setup Date: October 22, 2025
🔹 Timeframe: 45-minute
🟦 Risk Zone: -0.00141 | -0.28% | 1650.9
🟧 Reward Zone: +0.00147 | +0.30% | 500
This setup favors traders who prioritize precision and efficiency. The trade aligns with intraday volatility patterns and offers a realistic reward-to-risk ratio. Ideal for those monitoring price action around key psychological levels and anticipating movement ahead of the Asian session.
---
USD/CHF - Outlook Breakdown🔥 USD/CHF Outlook Breakdown 🔥
Let’s unpack this setup across the timeframes — clean and simple trader talk 👇
🧭 Wee kly Timeframe
Price is squeezing tight within a descending channel, holding under that key 0.8050–0.8100 supply zone.
We’ve seen multiple rejections there, confirming strong seller control.
Structure-wise, it’s still bearish — last week’s BOS (Break of Structure) sealed the lower bias.
➡️ Expect continuation lower unless we see a weekly candle close above 0.8050.
📆 Daily Timeframe
Price had a reaction from the second wave of supply, tapping into the daily zone around 0.8050 before rejecting.
The move broke minor daily structure to the downside, confirming bearish order flow.
We’re now hovering near a support shelf ~0.7920, but the context still favors shorts while below that daily zone.
➡️ Next clean liquidity pocket sits near 0.7820–0.7850.
⏰ 8H Timeframe
Here’s where the detail shines.
We’ve got a nice 5-wave internal structure forming:
(1) BOS confirming shift to bearish flow
(2) Pullback into 8H BH zone (premium area)
(3) Sweep of local SSL (liquidity grab)
(4) Retest of 71% fib zone (perfect premium fill)
(5) Targeting external HTF SSL (around 0.7820)
Currently retesting that mini 8H supply (0.7940–0.7960).
If it holds — 💣 expect the drop to continue towards 0.7820.
🎯 Trade Idea
Bias: Bearish
Sell Zone: 0.7940–0.7960 (retest of 8H supply / 71% fib)
Targets : 0.7850 → 0.7820
Invalidation: 0.8000 (clean break & close above)
Bonus Tip: Watch for a lower-TF liquidity sweep before short entries for cleaner confirmation.
⚠️ Summary
USD/CHF still sits in a tight bearish squeeze under strong higher-timeframe supply.
Until bulls reclaim 0.8050, the path of least resistance = downside.
Next major magnet: 0.7820 liquidity pool.
Review and plan for 20th October 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results- selected few for tomorrow!
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Gold Healthy PullbackGold is taking a short breather after a strong rally. Price recently tapped near the $4,230 zone before showing its first meaningful pullback in days.
The 33 EMA (pink line) is acting as dynamic support, if the price holds above it, we could see another leg higher toward the $4,280–$4,320 range. However, if that level breaks cleanly, the next strong demand sits around $4,020, where both the 100 EMA and previous accumulation zone align.
In simple terms, this is a healthy correction within a bullish trend. A bounce from either the 33 EMA or 100 EMA could easily trigger the next push upward.
XAUUSD (GOLD) 30M – Intraday AnalysisPrice is consolidating between $3,994.50 (buy trigger / resistance) and $3,942.30 (sell trigger / support).
Current price is around $3,962, sitting mid-range with no confirmed breakout yet.
A clear 30-min candle closure beyond either boundary will define the next directional move.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: 30-min body close above $3,994.50.
Targets: $3,998.69 → $4,006.94 → $4,010.58.
Management: Take partials at $3,998.69, move stop-loss to breakeven once $3,994 clears. Trail remainder if momentum continues.
🔽 Bearish Plan (clean if floor breaks)
Trigger: 30-min body close below $3,942.30.
Targets: $3,938.28 → $3,930.40 → $3,927.00.
Management: Scale partials at $3,938.28, secure breakeven on remainder. Trail if sellers extend.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk — small size)
Shorts: rejection near $3,994 → aim $3,962–$3,965, SL above rejection high.
Longs: bounce near $3,942 → aim $3,962–$3,965, SL under range lows.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30-min candle close through the trigger level.
Volume and momentum expansion after breakout.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout candle closes back inside range (false break).
Multiple wicks and no follow-through.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,994.50 → bullish bias toward $4,010.58.
Below $3,942.30 → bearish bias toward $3,927.00.
Inside range = scalp only; reduce size and manage risk tightly.
GBPJPY Potential BULLISH Setup🚀 GBPJPY: BULLISH Setup
Summary:
Analysing price action from yesterday, breakout from the Daily timeframe accumulation zone has materialized with strong conviction.
TRADE SETUP Metrics:
- Entry: ✅
- Stop loss - Below Support Zone
- Target 1: (R:R 1:2)🎯
- Target 2: (R:R 1:3)🎯
- Target 3: (R:R 1:4)🎯
Technical Anticipations:
- Price action to show a Bullish follow-through
- Support zone to hold
Position Management:
- partial profits secured at Target 1
- Stop loss adjusted to breakeven upon reaching Targets
- Final Target 3
LIKE or COMMENT if this idea sparks your interest, or share your thoughts below!
FOLLOW to keep up with fresh ideas.
Tidypips: "Keep It Clean, Trade Mean!"
Gold Weakens - Bearish Eyes on 3770Hello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move..
Gold is respecting the parallel channel really very well and now it has break the middle line of parallel channel and now it is possible that gold can move further low till the lower line of parallel channel. Gold is forming a higher lows . Currently it is now at 3820 and according to me gold will further fall and now gold is at a resistance area and it is respecting it superbly.. So now next move is possible around 3770.
KEYPOINTS:
Entry-level 3820
Target 3770
Stoploss 3840
Resistance 3822/3831
Gold Near $3,800 & Preparing for a Major Move🔥 XAUUSD – FiboMatrix Trading Plan
📊 Market Overview
Gold extended its bullish momentum on Thursday, pushing closer to the record high near $3,800/oz on Friday. The rally is fueled by a weaker USD as Treasury yields continue to slide, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts support non-yielding assets.
However, the market is not without risk. As we move into the end of September, gold could face a sharp correction wave, setting up liquidity sweeps and a technical pullback in early October before the next major bullish leg.
📍 Key Technical Levels (H4–H2 Chart)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
3,750 – 3,752 → First intraday rejection area.
3,735 – 3,736 → Secondary resistance zone.
3,719 – 3,720 → Short-term rejection level.
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3,693 – 3,695 (Fibo 0.618 confluence) → Strong liquidity zone for bullish setups.
Breakdowns may provide a high-RR BUY opportunity for swing traders.
🎯 Trading Plan
1️⃣ Short-Term SELL Setup
Entry: 3,750
Targets: 3,720 → 3,695.
SL: Above 3,760.
2️⃣ Major BUY Opportunity
Entry: 3,693 – 3,695 zone with bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3,735 → 3,780 → Break above 3,800.
SL: Below 3,685.
⚡ Pro Insights
Expect end-of-month volatility with potential liquidity grabs.
Best R:R comes from waiting for pullbacks into Fibo confluence zones.
If gold holds above 3,695, the bullish structure remains intact heading into October.
💬 Community Discussion
Will gold break $3,800 this week, or will we see a deeper pullback to 3,695 first before the next big rally? Drop your charts & setups 👇
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside.
A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782.
Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25
Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases:
🔴Final GDP q/q
🔴Unemployment Claims
🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders
🔶GDP Price Index
🔶 Existing Home Sales
👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is consolidating between $3,758.55 (resistance / buy trigger) and $3,735.09 (support / sell trigger). Current price is around $3,756–$3,757, sitting just below resistance. Breakout confirmation is key.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: 30-min body close above $3,758.55.
Targets: $3,765.10 → $3,769.74 → $3,772.50.
Management: Take partials at $3,765.10, move SL to breakeven once $3,759 is cleared, trail remainder if momentum extends.
🌍 Fundamental Note
October rate cut pricing can still keep gold supported at these higher levels. A sustained bullish push likely needs either a surprise dovish shift or further DXY weakness. If the dollar pivots back into its weekly bullish structure, gold’s upside could be capped.
🔽 Bearish Plan (clean if floor breaks)
Trigger: 30-min body close below $3,735.09.
Targets: $3,732.50 → $3,731.38 → $3,729.19 → $3,727.30.
Management: Scale partials at $3,732.50, protect remaining position at breakeven. Trail if sellers stay in control.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk — small size)
Shorts: rejection near $3,758 → aim $3,748–$3,750, SL above rejection high.
Longs: bounce near $3,735–$3,736 → aim mid-range ($3,745–$3,747), SL under lows.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30-min close through the level.
Momentum expansion after breakout.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout candle closes back inside range on the next bar (trap).
Multiple wicks with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,758.55 → bullish bias toward $3,772.50.
Below $3,735.09 → bearish bias toward $3,727.30.
Inside the box = scalp only, keep risk tight.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading just above $3,712 after breaking the mid-line of the rising channel and the $3,690 level. The next resistance sits at $3,728, which also aligns with the channel’s upper boundary. A clean break above this area would open the path toward $3,753.
On the other hand, failure to break $3,728 could trigger a pullback, with downside targets at $3,712 and $3,690.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,712
$3,720
$3,728
$3,753
Support:
$3,690
$3,665
$3,642
$3,622
📌 Fundamental Focus – Week of Sept 22–27
This week brings a heavy U.S. data calendar, with key events that will guide gold and USD sentiment.
Tuesday: Flash PMI data and Powell’s speech – potential intraday volatility.
Thursday: High-impact releases including Final GDP, Unemployment Claims, and Durable Goods Orders – crucial for growth outlook.
Friday: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE, along with Consumer Sentiment – the highlight of the week for markets.
⚠️ Expect increased volatility around Powell’s speech and PCE data.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is consolidating between $3,660.93 (resistance / buy trigger) and $3,626.93 (support / sell trigger). Current price is near $3,648, sitting mid-range. Breakout confirmation is key.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: 30-min body close above $3,660.93.
Targets: $3,662.79 → $3,665.17 → $3,669.30.
Management: Take partials at the first target, move SL to breakeven once $3,661 is cleared, trail remainder if momentum continues.
🔽 Bearish Plan (clean if floor breaks)
Trigger: 30-min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,621.49 → $3,619.00 → $3,616.88.
Management: Scale partials at the first target, protect remaining position at breakeven. Trail if selling momentum builds.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk — small size)
Shorts: rejection near $3,659–$3,660, target $3,648–$3,650, SL above rejection high.
Longs: bounce near $3,627–$3,628, target mid-range (~$3,640–$3,645), SL under wick low.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30-min body close beyond the trigger.
Expansion candles with follow-through.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next bar.
Multiple wicks through levels without momentum.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,660.93 → bullish bias toward $3,662.79 → $3,665.17 → $3,669.30.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias toward $3,621.49 → $3,619.00 → $3,616.88.
Inside range = scalp only, keep risk tight.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,685.87 (resistance) and $3,673.62 (support). We’re trading around $3,675–$3,676 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick.
🔼 Bullish Plan (needs confirmation)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,685.87 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,688.10 → $3,688.98 → $3,690.51.
Management: Take partials at $3,688.10, move SL to breakeven once $3,686 holds on a retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,673.62.
Targets: $3,670.82 → $3,669.51 → $3,667.48.
Management: Scale partials at $3,670.82, protect the rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,685–$3,686 on a clear rejection → aim $3,676–$3,678, SL above rejection high / $3,690.
Longs: $3,673–$3,674 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,670.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through the level.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle (trap).
Multiple wick rejections with no momentum.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,685.87 → bullish bias to $3,690.51.
Below $3,673.62 → bearish bias to $3,667.48.
Inside the box = scalp only, keep risk tight.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,687.16 (resistance) and $3,675.64 (support). We’re trading around $3,683–$3,684 inside a tight box. Scalps can work, but reversals are quick.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus — fundamentals supportive)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,687.16 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,689.59 → $3,692.00 → $3,695.06.
Management: Take partials at $3,689.59, move SL to breakeven once $3,687 holds on a retest. Trail remainder if momentum continues.
Fundamental note: 25bps rate cut odds are at 100% and there are rumours of a 50bps cut. The FOMC move is largely priced in, so a strong sustained leg higher is limited unless a surprise 50bps cut appears. Still, fundamentals favor looking for longs on confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary — cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,675.64.
Targets: $3,673.66 → $3,671.30 → $3,669.64 (trail if sellers stay in control).
Management: Scale partials at $3,673.66, protect the rest at breakeven.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,686–$3,687 on a clear rejection → aim $3,680–$3,682, SL above rejection high.
Longs: $3,675–$3,676 on a strong rejection wick → aim mid-range, SL below $3,674.
⚠️ Use reduced size, chop can reverse fast.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30-min body close through the level.
Momentum expansion after the close.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box on the next candle → likely trap.
Multiple wick pierces with no follow-through.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,687.16 → bullish bias toward $3,689.59 / $3,692.00 / $3,695.06.
Below $3,675.64 → bearish bias toward $3,673.66 / $3,671.30 / $3,669.64.
Inside the box = scalp only, keep size tight.
Primary focus: longs on confirmed close above $3,687.16 (fundamentals supportive; full momentum requires surprise 50bps cut).
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,657.17 (resistance) and $3,626.93 (support).
We’re trading around $3,652–$3,653 just below resistance. Scalps can work, but bigger moves need confirmation.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus – aligned with fundamentals)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,657.17 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,660.30 → $3,664.53 → $3,666.14
Management: Take partials at $3,660.30, move SL to breakeven once $3,657 holds on retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary, cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,624.52 → $3,623.32 → $3,621.49
Management: Scale partials at $3,624.52, protect the rest at breakeven.
🌍 Fundamentals: CPI bit hotter than expected → supports Fed rate cuts (odds at 100%). Real yields declining + strong central bank demand → keeps gold structurally bullish.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,656–$3,657 on rejection → aim $3,650–$3,652, SL above $3,660.
Longs: $3,627–$3,628 on rejection wick → aim $3,636–$3,640, SL below $3,624.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through $3,657 or $3,626.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box (trap).
Multiple wicks with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,657.17 → bullish bias to $3,660 → $3,666.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias to $3,624 → $3,621.
Inside the box = scalp only, risk tight.
XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Projection📊 XAUUSD (Gold) Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook ✨
Asset: XAUUSD (Gold CFD)
Closing Price: $3,643.41 📌 (11th Sept 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Multi-Lens Technical Analysis
📉 Chart Patterns & Theories
🕯️ Candlesticks: Strong rejection at $3,660 resistance; possible reversal signals.
🎯 Harmonic: Potential bearish Gartley forming near $3,670–$3,690 zone.
🌊 Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely unfolding; upside capped unless $3,700 breaks.
🏦 Wyckoff: Market nearing distribution phase with weakening momentum.
📐 Gann Theory: Time/price cycle hints at key inflection around Sept 15–16.
☁️ Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud top, testing bullish continuation zone.
🎭 Bull Trap Alert: Break above $3,670 could trigger false upside before reversal.
🧩 Head & Shoulders: Left shoulder visible; neckline around $3,600 support.
⚖️ Support/Resistance: Major support $3,600 | Resistance $3,670–$3,700.
📊 Indicators & Tools
📈 RSI (14): Neutral (52) → Room for either breakout or correction.
📊 Bollinger Bands: Squeeze forming; volatility expansion expected soon.
📉 VWAP / VWMA: Current price slightly above VWAP → intraday bullish bias.
📏 Moving Averages:
50 EMA → $3,625 (near-term support)
200 EMA → $3,540 (swing support)
Golden Cross intact → trend still bullish medium-term.
⏱️ Trading Time Frames
Intraday Strategy (5m–4H)
🎯 Buy Zone: $3,620–$3,630 (if tested with bullish confirmation).
🚀 Upside Target: $3,660–$3,670; Breakout extension → $3,690.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3,610 (tight risk management).
⚠️ If $3,670–$3,690 rejects → look for sell setup back to $3,600.
Swing Strategy (4H–Monthly)
📍 Buy Range: $3,580–$3,600 for swing accumulation.
🎯 Swing Targets: $3,700 → $3,740 → $3,800 (extension possible).
🛑 Swing Stop: Below $3,550 closes.
⚠️ Bearish swing trigger if $3,600 breaks → downside $3,540 then $3,500.
🌍 Market Context
📰 Fed rate expectations & USD strength remain key drivers.
⚔️ Geopolitical risks (Middle East + Asia tensions) could fuel safe-haven demand.
💹 Rising equity volatility may enhance Gold bids short-term.
📌 Summary
✅ Bullish Bias: Above $3,600 support.
❌ Bearish Bias: Below $3,600 with momentum.
🎯 Key Levels to Trade:
Buy: $3,620–$3,630 / Swing Buy: $3,580–$3,600
Sell: $3,670–$3,690 rejection / Swing Sell: Below $3,600
📢 Action Plan:
Intraday: Trade the $3,620–$3,670 range breakout/rejection.
Swing: Hold long above $3,600; flip bearish only if breakdown confirmed.
⚡️ Stay disciplined. Respect stop-losses. Let the market come to you.
USDCAD - LONG - Conviction: Medium | Chronex ( London • Sep 10 )Hello Guys!
🎯 90 % mechanical | Just your entry model
No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open
Context:
🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view)
- Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session.
- Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data.
- Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list.
- Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*.
📍 Today’s Playbook:
Risks
1. Do we have economic high impact news release?
2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones?
3. Has better zone above/below?
Verdict:
💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the Range with Fundamentals🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus)
Trigger: A clean 30m body close above $3,649.14 (not just a wick).
Targets:
First into $3,653.32.
If momentum extends, room opens into $3,657–$3,660 zone.
🌍 Fundamentals Supporting the Move
Fed rate cut odds at 100% → policy easing reduces real yields → bullish.
CPI sticky but real yields still trending lower → long-term upside.
DXY + yields soft, safe-haven + central bank demand strong → gold’s floor is firm.
1️⃣ Fed Policy – The Main Driver
Fed Rate Cut Odds at 100% → Markets are fully pricing in a rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Lower interest rates directly reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. This shifts flows from bonds/dollar into safe-haven assets.
Traders are positioning ahead of confirmation, keeping dips supported.
2️⃣ Inflation Outlook – CPI as a Near-Term Catalyst
U.S. CPI expectations remain elevated. Sticky inflation has capped some of gold’s upside in the short term.
However, inflation + falling interest rates = real yields decline, which is structurally bullish for gold.
The market is currently balancing “sticky CPI” against the certainty of Fed easing.
3️⃣ Dollar & Yields – Supporting Gold’s Floor
U.S. Treasury yields have eased as traders anticipate policy cuts.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has struggled to extend rallies, despite inflation worries, because Fed policy is already tilted dovish.
This mix keeps gold resilient, even during intraday pullbacks.
Management:
Take partials at the first target.
Move SL to breakeven once $3,649 is defended.
Trail remainder toward extended upside if momentum candles build.
✅ What Confirms the Move
Strong 30m body close through $3,649.14.
Retest holds as support.
Expansion candles with follow-through buying.
❌ What Invalidates
Breakout closes back under $3,649 on the next bar (likely trap).
Sharp wick rejections with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line:
Only interested in longs above $3,649.14 → upside bias toward $3,653+ and $3,657–$3,660.
No shorts considered as fundamentals and rate cut odds heavily favor bullish setups.
JIOFIN 2Hour Time frameJIOFIN 2-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: ₹311.10 INR
Change: +1.28% from the previous close
Intraday High: ₹313.35 INR
Intraday Low: ₹309.60 INR
🔎 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-period MA: ₹310.50 INR
10-period MA: ₹310.00 INR
20-period MA: ₹309.50 INR
50-period MA: ₹308.00 INR
📈 Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
Resistance: ₹315.00 INR
Support: ₹305.00 INR
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above ₹315.00 INR could signal a move toward ₹320.00 INR.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below ₹305.00 INR may lead to further downside.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
