$DXY: Dollar Strength or Dollar Dip?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! 🌞 DXY: Dollar Strength or Dollar Dip?
With the DXY at 103.732, is the dollar flexing its muscles or ready to stumble? Let’s break it down! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: 103.732 as of Mar 14, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Near recent levels, down from 110.18 peak (web data) 📏
• Sector Trend: Forex markets volatile, with trade and policy shifts 🌟
It’s a wild ride—dollar’s dancing on the edge! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Role: Measures USD vs. euro, yen, pound, and more 🏆
• Influence: Drives forex and commodity prices globally ⏰
• Trend: Balancing U.S. policy and global demand, per data 🎯
King of currencies, but not without challengers! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Trade Tensions: U.S.-China tariff talks ongoing, per data 🌍
• Rate Cut Bets: Markets eyeing Fed moves, per posts on X 📋
• Market Reaction: Holding steady at 103.732 amid mixed signals 💡
Navigating a storm of global pressures! 🛳️
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Rate Cuts: Could weaken dollar if Fed acts, per X sentiment 🔍
• Trade Wars: Tariffs disrupting supply chains, per data 📉
• Global Growth: Slowdowns hitting demand for USD ❄️
It’s a tightrope—risks aplenty! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Reserve Status: USD’s global dominance holds firm 🥇
• U.S. Economy: Still a powerhouse, supporting dollar value 📊
• Safe Haven: Attracts flows in uncertain times, per trends 🔧
Got muscle to flex when it counts! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Vulnerable to rate cuts, trade spats 📉
• Opportunities: Strong U.S. data could lift it higher, per outlook 📈
Can it hold the line or break out? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
DXY at 103.732—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: 105+ soon, dollar rallies 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: 100 looms, dollar dips 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
The DXY’s 103.732 shows it’s steady but tested 📈. Trade wars and Fed moves could swing it either way—dips are our DCA gold 💰. Buy low, ride high—time’s the key! Gem or bust?
J-DXY
All eyes on the PCE todayWatching the US dollar reaction carefully today.
TVC:DXY
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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SPX is in a clear breakout trend! SP:SPX has triggered 2 larger bullish patterns.
Both patterns result in higher price.
Despite the weakness in NVDA the markets have shrugged off the decline.
We are trading into new all time highs so price discovery mode is in a effect.
When you have no resistance pivots or volume to trade against at new all time highs you really have to be careful if you're shorting the market.
Volume trends. extension moves, ATR, deviations should all be included in your analysis to define upside target zones.
We continue to remain net long the markets with key shorts in place.
US30 Pullback Toward 45,100 as DXY Weakens on Dovish Fed ToneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 45,100 zone. Dow Jones (US30) remains in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias is bullish, though price is retracing after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 45,100 — acting as a key zone within the ongoing trend.
Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) faced strong rejection at 98.700 following the Fed’s dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium. This bearish dollar sentiment could support US equities due to their negative correlation.
Next move: Holding above 45,100 may keep US30’s bullish momentum intact, while a decisive break lower would suggest deeper retracement.
Monitoring price behavior at this level to gauge whether buyers step in.
Trade safe,
Joe.
EURUSD and DXY - Reading Instituitonal Order FlowHi there,
It's been a while since my last post. Just catching up on my favourite pair, the EURUSD, and of course not missing out on the DXY for comparative analysis as it is heavily tied to the strength of the EURUSD.
For those new, these are ICT Concepts, with my own touches in it. Hope you enjoy
Happy trading!
- R2F Trading
Bullish Bounce off Key Support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.77
1st Support: 97.17
1st Resistance: 98.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Futures | ADX Heating Up – Continuation or Trap at MH?Price has pushed away from the untested H4 FVG, showing strong bullish pressure. With ADX > 25 on the 15m and close to crossing on 1H/4H, momentum is shifting into trend mode.
My watch:
Break + retest of yesterday’s high and MH level for continuation longs.
Only looking for shorts if liquidity sweeps above MH and we see strong rejection.
Question is: do we run higher with ADX confirmation, or is this just a trap before a deeper pullback?
DXY: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 98.147 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 98.349 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
The pair has broken its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
We expect the price to consolidate and complete a pullback toward the broken zone before resuming its decline toward lower support levels.
A strong breakout and daily close above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gbpusd short ideaI have been a little lately calling but let's try to improve this a little. The call me Samurai for a reason :)
So i am not going to fight the momentum this week so far however i do favour a bullish pound at least for this week and likely into the next couple of weeks. I I think we are engineering mid week sell side to then take and then resume weekly trend.
I want to see it drop into Old London sell side.
Let's see how this goes.
GC Midweek Outlook – Daily Imbalance Tested, H4 FVG Still in PlaPrice has now completed the move into the Daily FVG (~3425–3443) that I highlighted earlier this week. This is the critical mid-week decision point.
Bearish Case: If price rejects here, downside rotation into the untouched H4 FVG (3377–3396) remains possible before any larger move higher.
Bullish Case: If buyers defend the H1 imbalance and hold above 3412, continuation toward the Monthly High (3451) is on the table.
ADX remains under 25, suggesting no strong trending conditions yet — market is still liquidity-driven.
I’ll be watching the Daily FVG reaction and how price handles the H1 imbalance as key intraday signals.
Gold Watching 3,360 Support as Powell Dovish Tone Weighs on USDHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring Gold for a buying opportunity around 3,360 zone, Gold (XAUUSD) recently broke above the 3,360 resistance, turning it into an important support level to watch on any pullback. A retracement into this zone could help determine whether the breakout has strength to extend toward higher levels.
On the fundamental side, Fed Chair Powell struck a dovish tone, signaling support for a potential September rate cut, citing lower inflation pressures and risks in the labor market. This backdrop keeps USD under pressure and maintains a bullish bias for Gold in the near term.
Monitoring price action around 3,360 to assess whether buyers defend this level or if deeper consolidation unfolds.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)I'll warn you all again, don't blindly ignore this 'Scenario 2 Bullish Analysis' as it might catch you off guard!👀 Gold has failed to take out the Wave 2 low ($3,245) multiple times now.
As long as Gold remains above Wave 2 low ($3,245), this Gold bullish bias remains an option. As traders we always have to be prepared to adapt to different market conditions.
Is the Crypto Winter here?Ethereum is seeing a very large decline today.
Hitting massive long term technical resistance in an overbought and hyped up treasury bull run.
It looks like Ethereum has done a prefect bull trap of the all time high price.
Our members received the short alert on Friday and its been a very profitable trade thus far.
A failed breakout of all time highs can lead to catastrophic falls.
The total crypto market caps need to be monitored for a head & shoulders topping formation.
GC 8/26 Outlook – Filling the H4 FVG, Trend Not Ready YetPrice is finally working down into the H4 FVG (3377–3396 zone) after rejecting the Daily FVG overhead (~3425–3440). This is the key area of interest going into Tuesday’s trading sessions.
🔑 Context:
Daily FVG above → unfilled liquidity magnet for the future.
H4 FVG below → currently being filled, acting as the main battleground.
Daily Low (3405) already taken; price now sitting between liquidity pools.
ADX < 25 (HTFs) → No strong trending environment yet, so expect more range-like behavior until a side commits.
📌 What I’m Watching:
Reaction inside the H4 FVG → Looking for either absorption/reversal (bullish case) or continuation through to lower liquidity.
Liquidity Levels:
Midpoint of H4 FVG (~3394).
Bottom of H4 FVG (~3377).
Weekly/Monthly Lows (3353 / 3347) if downside momentum extends.
Killzones:
Asian: Likely to set the range.
London: Could raid deeper into FVG.
NY: Potential reaction leg (either reversal or continuation).
📊 Bias: Neutral → short-term bearish into H4 FVG completion. Waiting for a clear reaction to confirm the next trending move.
Gbpusd lond idea I like that we took London sell-side liquidity and then shifted back into the range. I am bearish dollar until we take at least one weekly low.
Right now i want to see some pullback as depicted and then a run on some buy-side liquidity as depicted and maybe PDH.
This will be another simulated trade setup.
EURUSD Challenges 1.1740-Resistance Amid Rate Cut ExpectationsDXY weakness appears to have priced in a September rate cut, with the 96 support level still technically significant. It aligns with a 17-year trendline, placing attention on whether the dollar can stage a rebound within its dominant bearish structure. Meanwhile, EURUSD remains capped below the 1.18 resistance, which would need to break to open the path toward 2021 highs above 1.20.
With the daily RSI holding neutral-to-bullish territory above the 50 level, EURUSD may extend its rally toward 1.1780 and 1.1830 if it clears 1.1740. A confirmed breakout could open the way toward 2021 highs between 1.20 and 1.23.
Downside: A pullback below 1.1690 could find support at 1.1670, 1.1640, and 1.1600. A break below 1.16 may trigger deeper losses toward 1.1480 and 1.1380.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 97.19
1st Support: 96.36
1st Resistance: 100.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold Weekly Plan: Daily FVG → H4 FVGGold closed last week with a strong impulsive move into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). As we open the new week, I’ll be watching closely:
Daily FVG (3423–3451): Potential resistance and rejection zone early in the week.
H4 Bullish FVG (3390–3395): If price rejects the Daily FVG, I expect a retrace into this zone to set the weekly low between Monday and Tuesday.
From there, we could see a bullish expansion for the rest of the week.
The key question: Will Gold respect the Daily FVG as resistance before rebalancing lower, or will buyers push straight through?
What’s your bias going into the week? 🚀📉